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Africa RISING
              East and Southern Africa Research Review and Planning
                        Meeting, Arusha, Tanzania, 1-5 October 2012




Introducing the Africa RISING
Research framework


          Joseph Rusike IITA)
Context
• Sustainably intensify household food, cash crop and
  livestock production in FtF target areas (West Africa,
  ESA, Ethiopian highlands)
• In line with USAID missions
• In line with the CRP 1.1 and 1.2
• Farm-level issues to landscape to markets (beyond the
  plot and field to consumers)
• Integrate multiple stakeholders
• Staple foods within major farming systems with links to
  nutrition and diversification
• Research backstops FtF investments
Purpose
• Provide pathways out of hunger and poverty for small holder
  families through sustainably intensified farming systems that
  sufficiently improve food, nutrition, and income security,
  particularly for women and children, and conserve or enhance
  the natural resource base

• Research contributes to the developmental aims FtF
Objectives: Research

 • Identify & evaluate demand-driven options for sustainable
   intensification that contribute to rural poverty alleviation,
   improved nutrition and equity and ecosystem stability

 • Evaluate, document & share experiences with approaches for
   delivering and integrating innovation for sustainable
   intensification in a way that will promote their uptake beyond
   the Africa RISING action research sites
Objectives: Development
• Create opportunities for smallholders (within Africa RISING
  action research sites) to move out of poverty and improve
  their nutritional status – especially of young children and
  mothers – while maintaining or improving ecosystem stability

• Facilitate partner-led dissemination of integrated innovations
  for sustainable intensification beyond the Africa RISING action
  research sites
Outcomes: Research
 • Integrated innovations increase production & / or improve
   productivity in a sustainable manner for targeted households
   at Africa RISING research sites

 • Aggregated impact of these farming practices at household
   level contributes to an improved understanding of ecosystem
   stability at the landscape level

 • Dissemination of integrated innovations for SI leads to
   impacts beyond the Africa RISING action research sites
Outcomes: Development
• Wider adoption of innovations identified and tested by the
  program’s outputs within the Africa RISING action research sites
  enhances livelihoods through increased agricultural output, income
  diversity, reduced vulnerability to adverse environmental and
  economic challenges and improved nutrition and welfare; especially
  of young children and mothers

• Development community initiates programs, based on the
  knowledge tools and innovations developed and promoted by Africa
  RISING, that are directed at developmental goals that are consistent
  with the Africa RISING program purpose
Research design: hypotheses
 • ADOPTION rates for any innovation (combinations of technologies and
   management practices and knowledge) are enhanced by targeting on the
   demand from and capacities of potential adopters

 • INTEGRATION: Innovations with components that mutually reinforce whole
   farm performance/productivity produce greater and more sustained benefits
   than the joint adoption of equally effective single purpose technologies and
   practices

 • TRADE-OFF: Effective targeting of innovations also reduces the negative impacts
   of trade-offs between farm productivity and environmental sustainability and
   helps to identify potential “win-win” options for SI

 • SEQUENCING: Adoption of innovations that lead to SI is affected by the
   sequence in which the component technologies, practices and knowledge are
   integrated and applied

 • SCALABILITY: A research approach based on targeting and evaluating SI-related
   innovations, in context, increases the relevance of findings from action research
   sites and enhances their scalability to similar strata elsewhere (i.e. to similar
   development domains and households typologies in other locations)
Research outputs
• Situation analysis and program synthesis

• Integrated Systems Improvement

• Scaling and delivery of integrated innovation

• M & E (Program-wide synthesis and co-learning)
Output: Situation analysis
• Determine development domains (agro-ecological potential, market
  access, and population density)

• Prioritize target areas (welfare, sustainability, farming systems,
  degradation, governments’ & USAID priorities)

• Develop farm household typologies

• Identify pathway entry points

• Inventory of innovations

• Ex-ante potential of innovations

• Priority setting and planning for integrated systems improvement

•   Program-wide synthesis and co-learning
Output: Integrated systems
• Identify research teams within R4D platforms to lead
  innovation activities related to system improvement

• Identify modeling/decision support tools for ex-ante
  technology identification, trade-off analysis, evaluation
  of the ex-ante sustainability and resilience of options,
  and guiding future research

• Participatory evaluation and adaptation of appropriate
  combinations of technologies and interventions

• Address new research challenges and opportunities
  emerging from the activities
Output: Scaling
• Assess scalability of integrated innovations (meta-analysis of
  options)

• Identify/develop scaling approaches for targeted integrated
  innovations

• Pilot test scaling approaches from action sites within project
  area

• Develop costed templates for scaling by development
  investors

• Evaluate aggregated impact of household level interventions
  at landscape scale and beyond
Output: M & E
• Sakana’s presentation
Methods: PTD, PRA,
• (de Janvry, A., Dustan, A., Sadoulet, E., 2010. Recent advances in
  impact analysis methods for ex-post impact assessments of
  agricultural technology: Options for the CGIAR. University of
  California at Berkeley. < http://impact.cgiar.org/meetings-and-
  events> ).

• Participatory technology evaluation and adaptation, Participatory
  Action Research, FPR

• Pilot technology on small test plots allocated randomly to treatment
  and controls (on-station/on-farm) to estimate gains of technology

• Farmers participating not representative of adopters
  (placement/selection biases)

• Researchers/Extension agents/NGO staff induce different behaviour
  from actual adopters

• Approach untenable for impact evaluation
Methods: Randomized
experiments (or natural)
• Natural or randomized experiments village,
  community is unit of randomization/individuals
  unit of observation

• Many villages in geographically distinct
  areas=>scalability

• Withhold treatment from some villages but data
  still collected…
Methods: RCT: Supply side
interventions
• Choose villages that do not have the technology

• Randomly choose a subset of treatment and control
  villages

• Sell technology at market prices i.e. agro-dealers or
  production and marketing contracts through
  agribusiness firms

• Adopters farmers adopting technology when
  available for purchase
Methods: Roll out over time
• Match villages in pairs based on observables (using
  as many characteristics as possible)

• Randomize Treatment and Control within each pair

• Randomly choose say 5 pairs of villages

• Stratify the sample to obtain better randomization
  results

• Rollout across villages can start from the most
  favorable to the least favorable pair without
  imposing a bias on measured impacts

• Do not sabotage technology by introducing to areas
Methods: Roll out over time
• Match villages in pairs based on observables (using as
  many characteristics as possible)

• Randomize Treatment and Control within each pair

• Randomly choose say 5 pairs of villages

• Stratify the sample to obtain better randomization
  results

• Rollout across villages can start from the most favorable
  to the least favorable pair without imposing a bias on
  measured impacts

• Do not sabotage technology by introducing to areas
Methods: Roll out: MCC-Ghana
    Chris Udry, Ernest Aryeetey, Dean Karlan, Isaac Osei-Akoto
Thank you!

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Introducing the Africa RISING research framework

  • 1. Africa RISING East and Southern Africa Research Review and Planning Meeting, Arusha, Tanzania, 1-5 October 2012 Introducing the Africa RISING Research framework Joseph Rusike IITA)
  • 2. Context • Sustainably intensify household food, cash crop and livestock production in FtF target areas (West Africa, ESA, Ethiopian highlands) • In line with USAID missions • In line with the CRP 1.1 and 1.2 • Farm-level issues to landscape to markets (beyond the plot and field to consumers) • Integrate multiple stakeholders • Staple foods within major farming systems with links to nutrition and diversification • Research backstops FtF investments
  • 3. Purpose • Provide pathways out of hunger and poverty for small holder families through sustainably intensified farming systems that sufficiently improve food, nutrition, and income security, particularly for women and children, and conserve or enhance the natural resource base • Research contributes to the developmental aims FtF
  • 4. Objectives: Research • Identify & evaluate demand-driven options for sustainable intensification that contribute to rural poverty alleviation, improved nutrition and equity and ecosystem stability • Evaluate, document & share experiences with approaches for delivering and integrating innovation for sustainable intensification in a way that will promote their uptake beyond the Africa RISING action research sites
  • 5. Objectives: Development • Create opportunities for smallholders (within Africa RISING action research sites) to move out of poverty and improve their nutritional status – especially of young children and mothers – while maintaining or improving ecosystem stability • Facilitate partner-led dissemination of integrated innovations for sustainable intensification beyond the Africa RISING action research sites
  • 6. Outcomes: Research • Integrated innovations increase production & / or improve productivity in a sustainable manner for targeted households at Africa RISING research sites • Aggregated impact of these farming practices at household level contributes to an improved understanding of ecosystem stability at the landscape level • Dissemination of integrated innovations for SI leads to impacts beyond the Africa RISING action research sites
  • 7. Outcomes: Development • Wider adoption of innovations identified and tested by the program’s outputs within the Africa RISING action research sites enhances livelihoods through increased agricultural output, income diversity, reduced vulnerability to adverse environmental and economic challenges and improved nutrition and welfare; especially of young children and mothers • Development community initiates programs, based on the knowledge tools and innovations developed and promoted by Africa RISING, that are directed at developmental goals that are consistent with the Africa RISING program purpose
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  • 9. Research design: hypotheses • ADOPTION rates for any innovation (combinations of technologies and management practices and knowledge) are enhanced by targeting on the demand from and capacities of potential adopters • INTEGRATION: Innovations with components that mutually reinforce whole farm performance/productivity produce greater and more sustained benefits than the joint adoption of equally effective single purpose technologies and practices • TRADE-OFF: Effective targeting of innovations also reduces the negative impacts of trade-offs between farm productivity and environmental sustainability and helps to identify potential “win-win” options for SI • SEQUENCING: Adoption of innovations that lead to SI is affected by the sequence in which the component technologies, practices and knowledge are integrated and applied • SCALABILITY: A research approach based on targeting and evaluating SI-related innovations, in context, increases the relevance of findings from action research sites and enhances their scalability to similar strata elsewhere (i.e. to similar development domains and households typologies in other locations)
  • 10. Research outputs • Situation analysis and program synthesis • Integrated Systems Improvement • Scaling and delivery of integrated innovation • M & E (Program-wide synthesis and co-learning)
  • 11. Output: Situation analysis • Determine development domains (agro-ecological potential, market access, and population density) • Prioritize target areas (welfare, sustainability, farming systems, degradation, governments’ & USAID priorities) • Develop farm household typologies • Identify pathway entry points • Inventory of innovations • Ex-ante potential of innovations • Priority setting and planning for integrated systems improvement • Program-wide synthesis and co-learning
  • 12. Output: Integrated systems • Identify research teams within R4D platforms to lead innovation activities related to system improvement • Identify modeling/decision support tools for ex-ante technology identification, trade-off analysis, evaluation of the ex-ante sustainability and resilience of options, and guiding future research • Participatory evaluation and adaptation of appropriate combinations of technologies and interventions • Address new research challenges and opportunities emerging from the activities
  • 13. Output: Scaling • Assess scalability of integrated innovations (meta-analysis of options) • Identify/develop scaling approaches for targeted integrated innovations • Pilot test scaling approaches from action sites within project area • Develop costed templates for scaling by development investors • Evaluate aggregated impact of household level interventions at landscape scale and beyond
  • 14. Output: M & E • Sakana’s presentation
  • 15. Methods: PTD, PRA, • (de Janvry, A., Dustan, A., Sadoulet, E., 2010. Recent advances in impact analysis methods for ex-post impact assessments of agricultural technology: Options for the CGIAR. University of California at Berkeley. < http://impact.cgiar.org/meetings-and- events> ). • Participatory technology evaluation and adaptation, Participatory Action Research, FPR • Pilot technology on small test plots allocated randomly to treatment and controls (on-station/on-farm) to estimate gains of technology • Farmers participating not representative of adopters (placement/selection biases) • Researchers/Extension agents/NGO staff induce different behaviour from actual adopters • Approach untenable for impact evaluation
  • 16. Methods: Randomized experiments (or natural) • Natural or randomized experiments village, community is unit of randomization/individuals unit of observation • Many villages in geographically distinct areas=>scalability • Withhold treatment from some villages but data still collected…
  • 17. Methods: RCT: Supply side interventions • Choose villages that do not have the technology • Randomly choose a subset of treatment and control villages • Sell technology at market prices i.e. agro-dealers or production and marketing contracts through agribusiness firms • Adopters farmers adopting technology when available for purchase
  • 18. Methods: Roll out over time • Match villages in pairs based on observables (using as many characteristics as possible) • Randomize Treatment and Control within each pair • Randomly choose say 5 pairs of villages • Stratify the sample to obtain better randomization results • Rollout across villages can start from the most favorable to the least favorable pair without imposing a bias on measured impacts • Do not sabotage technology by introducing to areas
  • 19. Methods: Roll out over time • Match villages in pairs based on observables (using as many characteristics as possible) • Randomize Treatment and Control within each pair • Randomly choose say 5 pairs of villages • Stratify the sample to obtain better randomization results • Rollout across villages can start from the most favorable to the least favorable pair without imposing a bias on measured impacts • Do not sabotage technology by introducing to areas
  • 20. Methods: Roll out: MCC-Ghana Chris Udry, Ernest Aryeetey, Dean Karlan, Isaac Osei-Akoto