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Private Investment in Agricultural
Research and Technology Transfer in
               Africa

  Carl Pray, David Gisselquist, and Latha Nagarajan
The purpose of the paper
• Document the amount of private sector R&D and technology
  transfer in SSA

• To describe its impact (not in presentation)

• To suggest government policies - options to encourage the
  private sector to play a larger and more constructive role in
  the future




                                                                  2
Based on project “Measuring Private Research and Innovation
in South Asia and Sub-Saharan Africa” Gates Foundation
(2009-2011)
  Kenya – Hannington Odame, Elsie Kangai & David Spielman

  Senegal - Gert-Jan Stads and Louis Sène

  South Africa - Johann Kirsten, Ruan Stander & Choolwe
  Haankuku

  Tanzania – Hannington Odame, Elsie Kangai/Oscar Okumu
  Rose Matiko Ubwe, and David. J. Spielman

  Zambia – Mick Mwala and David Gisselquist

                                                            3
The Industries that introduce new agricultural
technologies and conduct agricultural research
• Agricultural Inputs
   –   Seeds
   –   Pesticides
   –   Fertilizers
   –   Animal genetics
   –   Feed
   –   Veterinary pharmaceuticals
• Large scale agriculture – tea and coffee plantations,
  floriculture
• Processing industries – sugar mills, tobacco
  companies


                                                          4
Sources of innovation from Private Sector:1/3 own
R&D, 10% public R&D, ½ imported
 Activities                # of Source of innovations (number of organizations with each source;
                 organizations               organizations may have >1 one source)
                     reporting      Developed in-country                Imported from
                   innovations     Own R&D Other R&D*              Parent firm Other source
 A. Inputs supply
 Seeds                       31             12                4              12              10
 Fertilizers                  4              2                1                               1
 Pesticides                  12              3                                6               5
 Ag Machinery                 7              3                3               3               1
 Livestock,                   9              4                                3               4
 fisheries inputs
 B. Large scale production
 Crops                        6              2                2               3               2
 Livestock
 Fisheries
 C. Processing
 Crops                        5              3                                                2
 Livestock                    3              2                1
 Fisheries                    3              3                                1
 Totals                      80             34               11              28              25    5
Cultivars primarily from private sector in South Africa, Tanzania & Zambia;
                      from public in Kenya and Senegal
                  Number of cultivars registered 2000 to 2009
             Crops                       Kenya          Senegal       South Africa* Tanzania                  Zambia
                                    Private Public   Private Public   Private Public Private Public        Private Public


             A. Cereals
                          Maize         67     70         2      8      482       16      37     10           105     8
                            Rice                7               16        0       0               5                   2
                          Wheat                 7                        61      20               5            13     4
                       Sorghum           1      7                        67       4               2             1     3
                          Barley         1                               12       1        2
                          Finger                1                         0       0                                   1
                           millet
                     Pearl millet               3                         0       0                                   3
             B. Other food crops
                          Sweet                 5                         ?       ?               6                   5
                          potato
                       Cassava                  9                         0       0               5                   4
                          Potato                                         66      15                             3
                      Sunflower                 3         3              61       5        2      3             6     0
                      Soybeans                  5                        84       8                            11     2
                        Cowpea           1      3                         0       2               1                   1
                     Groundnut                                   7        2      11                             4     1
                       Common                  12                        95      16               8             6     4
                          bean
                     Sugar cane                10         1              37       ?
             C. Fibres, drinks, drugs
                            Tea          1      4                         ?       ?
                          Coffee                                          ?       ?                   9
                       Tobacco                                           10      11        3                    6
                          Cotton                          2              33       3                                   1
                          Total#        71   146          8     31     1010      92       44          54      155    39     6
Private R&D Expenditures SSA, South Asia
Measures      Kenya      Senegal    South    Tanzania Zambia Bangla India
                                    Africa                   Desh


Private R&D   1.6 -3.2    3.6-4.7   41.0 –    0.9 -1.8   1.3-2.5   10-20   251.0
(In 2008                             50
Mill.US$)

Private R&D    0.25-      0.18-      0.49-    0.015-     0.05-     0.07-   0.12
as % of Ag     0.05       0.24       0.60      0.03      0.09      0.13
GDP

# of            12          61       201        32         25      119     2190
Scientists

– Seed industry about 40% of R&D
– Processing industry 30% of R&D


                                                                                   7
What explains patterns of private research?
                                                               South                         Bangla
                                         Kenya     Senegal    Africa    Tanzania Zambia        desh   India
Priv R&D (In 2008 Mill.US$)             1.6 -3.2    3.6-4.7 41.0 – 50     0.9 -1.8 1.3-2.5    10-20   251.0



Market Size Ag GDP (2008 Bill.US$)          6.3          2        8.3         6.2      2.8     15.1   218.1

Policies
   Nom. rates of assistance to Agric.
    (2000-04)                               9.3       -7.5       -0.1       -12.4    -28.5      3.9    15.8
   IPR Index(2005)                         3.22       2.93       4.25       2.64      1.94     1.87    3.76
   Ease of doing business (2009)             98       152         34         128       76      107     134


Government research
  Govt. scientists (2002)                   704        116       677         513      120     1610    5103
   University Scientists (2002)             180         22       137          84       22      197    8045
   Public R&D (2002 Mil.US$PPP)             263         50       585          78      197      218    2713
   Public R&D intensity                    1.22       1.21       2.16       0.28      0.44     0.36    0.37
                                                                                                        8
South Africa, Tanzania, and Zambia fit economic models,
Kenya and Senegal do not

  • South Africa has most private R&D the biggest markets, does
    not tax agriculture, has strong IPRs and business climate, and
    substantial public sector research
  • Tanzania and Zambia has least because markets
    smaller, heavy taxation of ag, weak business climate and IPR
    and relative small public sector R&D.
  • Kenya have much less R&D than expected. It has a
    substantial market, it supports agricultural sector, business
    climate and IPRs are middle of these countries and public
    sector is relatively large
  • Senegal has more R&D than expected since its ag sector is
    so small, it taxes agriculture, has poor business climate and a
    small public sector research program.

                                                                      9
Historically gradual growth in R&D until recent
spurt

   • Got rid of colonial monopolies and monopsonies but
     sometimes replaced them with government
     monopolies

   • Liberalization
      – Trade barriers
      – Allowing entry of new firms and foreign firms


   • Increased government support of agriculture….



                                                          10
Examples of growth – Seed Industry
• Liberalization starts in 1990s –
   – 1990s government monopolies on improved seed sales broken
   – 2000s Parastatals dissolve in Tanzania and Zambia, not Kenya
   – Gradual reduction in trade barriers to seed imports
• Support for seed companies and research
• Impact of changes
   – Industry grows
       • Spread of regional multinationals like Seedco and Pannar,
       • National companies Western Seed and East African seed company.
       • MNCs get serious about Africa
   – Many new varieties available
   – Increased seed trade



                                                                          11
Examples of Growth of Innovation and R&D
Processing
   • Same stages of colonial to nationalization to
     privatization as seed
      – Breakup of regional markets reduces market size
   • Impacts differ by country
      – In Senegal privatization of cotton and groundnut industries
        has shifted research from the public to private sector
      – In Kenya liberalization has created more competition in
        some processing industries which is good for farmers but
        may initially lead to less research
      – Privatization in Zambia &Tanzania led to increased foreign
        investment in some industries like sugar where Illovo has
        bought government mills and is bringing in new technology
   • Regional multinationals --- Illovo, Kenya Breweries,
     SABMiller
                                                                      12
Could African agribusiness research accelerate
like India since the mid 1990s?
        Indian Agribusiness R&D Expenditure
 Industry                         1984-85         1994-95    2008-09

                                          Millions of 2005 US$
 Seed and Biotechnology                  1.3            4.9       88.6
 Pesticides                                9             17       35.7
 Fertilizers#                            6.8            6.7        7.9
 Agricultural Machinery                  3.7            6.5       40.5
 Biofertilizers & Biopesticides           na             na        1.3
 Poultry and feeds                        na            3.5        7.8
 Animal Health                           0.9            2.7       18.6
 Sugar                                   0.9            2.5       10.8
 Biofuels                                  0              0       13.1
 Food, Beverages & Plantations           1.3           10.3       27.0
 Total                                  23.9           54.1      251.3
                                                                       13
It is possible that growth will accelerate
• Currently Agribusiness in 5 African countries spend as much
  as $62 million: > the $54 million India spent in mid 1990s
• Market for new technology is growing:
    – Harmonization and regional integration has helped to open up bigger
      markets but they still are limited relative to India’s
    – A few African firms are globally competitive – SABMiller in beer, SAPPI
      and Mondi in paper & forestry, South African citrus – but are not
      exporters like Mahindra and Mahindra in tractors and UPL in pesticides
    – Regional and national companies are competitive – Tropicasem,
      Seedco, Pannar, Illovo.
    – Some investments by science based MNCs (which account for 40% of
      India private R&D) – Pioneer and Monsanto.
    – Investments by MNCs land-based or generic technologies from South–
      Indians investing in sugar mills & tea plantations; Brazilians in biofuel,
      Indians & Chinese in generic pesticides and machinery
•   Appropriability (IPRs) getting stronger but still weak outside
                                                                               14
    South Africa
Policy options – Some more general policies –
some Science and Technology Policy
•   Further reductions of trade barriers to technology introduction and trade
    leads to larger markets and more incentive to invest in innovation and
    research

•   Development of universities, public research, and training of scientists is
    essential

•   Privatization along with anti-trust increases competition, technology transfer
    and eventually technology development

•   Public private partnerships can stimulate the development of appropriate
    research and technology development

•   Gradual strengthening of IPRs when agriculture and agribusiness have
    started to grow is important
                                                                                  15

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Private Investment in Agricultural Research and Technology Transfer in Africa Drives Innovation

  • 1. Private Investment in Agricultural Research and Technology Transfer in Africa Carl Pray, David Gisselquist, and Latha Nagarajan
  • 2. The purpose of the paper • Document the amount of private sector R&D and technology transfer in SSA • To describe its impact (not in presentation) • To suggest government policies - options to encourage the private sector to play a larger and more constructive role in the future 2
  • 3. Based on project “Measuring Private Research and Innovation in South Asia and Sub-Saharan Africa” Gates Foundation (2009-2011) Kenya – Hannington Odame, Elsie Kangai & David Spielman Senegal - Gert-Jan Stads and Louis Sène South Africa - Johann Kirsten, Ruan Stander & Choolwe Haankuku Tanzania – Hannington Odame, Elsie Kangai/Oscar Okumu Rose Matiko Ubwe, and David. J. Spielman Zambia – Mick Mwala and David Gisselquist 3
  • 4. The Industries that introduce new agricultural technologies and conduct agricultural research • Agricultural Inputs – Seeds – Pesticides – Fertilizers – Animal genetics – Feed – Veterinary pharmaceuticals • Large scale agriculture – tea and coffee plantations, floriculture • Processing industries – sugar mills, tobacco companies 4
  • 5. Sources of innovation from Private Sector:1/3 own R&D, 10% public R&D, ½ imported Activities # of Source of innovations (number of organizations with each source; organizations organizations may have >1 one source) reporting Developed in-country Imported from innovations Own R&D Other R&D* Parent firm Other source A. Inputs supply Seeds 31 12 4 12 10 Fertilizers 4 2 1 1 Pesticides 12 3 6 5 Ag Machinery 7 3 3 3 1 Livestock, 9 4 3 4 fisheries inputs B. Large scale production Crops 6 2 2 3 2 Livestock Fisheries C. Processing Crops 5 3 2 Livestock 3 2 1 Fisheries 3 3 1 Totals 80 34 11 28 25 5
  • 6. Cultivars primarily from private sector in South Africa, Tanzania & Zambia; from public in Kenya and Senegal Number of cultivars registered 2000 to 2009 Crops Kenya Senegal South Africa* Tanzania Zambia Private Public Private Public Private Public Private Public Private Public A. Cereals Maize 67 70 2 8 482 16 37 10 105 8 Rice 7 16 0 0 5 2 Wheat 7 61 20 5 13 4 Sorghum 1 7 67 4 2 1 3 Barley 1 12 1 2 Finger 1 0 0 1 millet Pearl millet 3 0 0 3 B. Other food crops Sweet 5 ? ? 6 5 potato Cassava 9 0 0 5 4 Potato 66 15 3 Sunflower 3 3 61 5 2 3 6 0 Soybeans 5 84 8 11 2 Cowpea 1 3 0 2 1 1 Groundnut 7 2 11 4 1 Common 12 95 16 8 6 4 bean Sugar cane 10 1 37 ? C. Fibres, drinks, drugs Tea 1 4 ? ? Coffee ? ? 9 Tobacco 10 11 3 6 Cotton 2 33 3 1 Total# 71 146 8 31 1010 92 44 54 155 39 6
  • 7. Private R&D Expenditures SSA, South Asia Measures Kenya Senegal South Tanzania Zambia Bangla India Africa Desh Private R&D 1.6 -3.2 3.6-4.7 41.0 – 0.9 -1.8 1.3-2.5 10-20 251.0 (In 2008 50 Mill.US$) Private R&D 0.25- 0.18- 0.49- 0.015- 0.05- 0.07- 0.12 as % of Ag 0.05 0.24 0.60 0.03 0.09 0.13 GDP # of 12 61 201 32 25 119 2190 Scientists – Seed industry about 40% of R&D – Processing industry 30% of R&D 7
  • 8. What explains patterns of private research? South Bangla Kenya Senegal Africa Tanzania Zambia desh India Priv R&D (In 2008 Mill.US$) 1.6 -3.2 3.6-4.7 41.0 – 50 0.9 -1.8 1.3-2.5 10-20 251.0 Market Size Ag GDP (2008 Bill.US$) 6.3 2 8.3 6.2 2.8 15.1 218.1 Policies Nom. rates of assistance to Agric. (2000-04) 9.3 -7.5 -0.1 -12.4 -28.5 3.9 15.8 IPR Index(2005) 3.22 2.93 4.25 2.64 1.94 1.87 3.76 Ease of doing business (2009) 98 152 34 128 76 107 134 Government research Govt. scientists (2002) 704 116 677 513 120 1610 5103 University Scientists (2002) 180 22 137 84 22 197 8045 Public R&D (2002 Mil.US$PPP) 263 50 585 78 197 218 2713 Public R&D intensity 1.22 1.21 2.16 0.28 0.44 0.36 0.37 8
  • 9. South Africa, Tanzania, and Zambia fit economic models, Kenya and Senegal do not • South Africa has most private R&D the biggest markets, does not tax agriculture, has strong IPRs and business climate, and substantial public sector research • Tanzania and Zambia has least because markets smaller, heavy taxation of ag, weak business climate and IPR and relative small public sector R&D. • Kenya have much less R&D than expected. It has a substantial market, it supports agricultural sector, business climate and IPRs are middle of these countries and public sector is relatively large • Senegal has more R&D than expected since its ag sector is so small, it taxes agriculture, has poor business climate and a small public sector research program. 9
  • 10. Historically gradual growth in R&D until recent spurt • Got rid of colonial monopolies and monopsonies but sometimes replaced them with government monopolies • Liberalization – Trade barriers – Allowing entry of new firms and foreign firms • Increased government support of agriculture…. 10
  • 11. Examples of growth – Seed Industry • Liberalization starts in 1990s – – 1990s government monopolies on improved seed sales broken – 2000s Parastatals dissolve in Tanzania and Zambia, not Kenya – Gradual reduction in trade barriers to seed imports • Support for seed companies and research • Impact of changes – Industry grows • Spread of regional multinationals like Seedco and Pannar, • National companies Western Seed and East African seed company. • MNCs get serious about Africa – Many new varieties available – Increased seed trade 11
  • 12. Examples of Growth of Innovation and R&D Processing • Same stages of colonial to nationalization to privatization as seed – Breakup of regional markets reduces market size • Impacts differ by country – In Senegal privatization of cotton and groundnut industries has shifted research from the public to private sector – In Kenya liberalization has created more competition in some processing industries which is good for farmers but may initially lead to less research – Privatization in Zambia &Tanzania led to increased foreign investment in some industries like sugar where Illovo has bought government mills and is bringing in new technology • Regional multinationals --- Illovo, Kenya Breweries, SABMiller 12
  • 13. Could African agribusiness research accelerate like India since the mid 1990s? Indian Agribusiness R&D Expenditure Industry 1984-85 1994-95 2008-09 Millions of 2005 US$ Seed and Biotechnology 1.3 4.9 88.6 Pesticides 9 17 35.7 Fertilizers# 6.8 6.7 7.9 Agricultural Machinery 3.7 6.5 40.5 Biofertilizers & Biopesticides na na 1.3 Poultry and feeds na 3.5 7.8 Animal Health 0.9 2.7 18.6 Sugar 0.9 2.5 10.8 Biofuels 0 0 13.1 Food, Beverages & Plantations 1.3 10.3 27.0 Total 23.9 54.1 251.3 13
  • 14. It is possible that growth will accelerate • Currently Agribusiness in 5 African countries spend as much as $62 million: > the $54 million India spent in mid 1990s • Market for new technology is growing: – Harmonization and regional integration has helped to open up bigger markets but they still are limited relative to India’s – A few African firms are globally competitive – SABMiller in beer, SAPPI and Mondi in paper & forestry, South African citrus – but are not exporters like Mahindra and Mahindra in tractors and UPL in pesticides – Regional and national companies are competitive – Tropicasem, Seedco, Pannar, Illovo. – Some investments by science based MNCs (which account for 40% of India private R&D) – Pioneer and Monsanto. – Investments by MNCs land-based or generic technologies from South– Indians investing in sugar mills & tea plantations; Brazilians in biofuel, Indians & Chinese in generic pesticides and machinery • Appropriability (IPRs) getting stronger but still weak outside 14 South Africa
  • 15. Policy options – Some more general policies – some Science and Technology Policy • Further reductions of trade barriers to technology introduction and trade leads to larger markets and more incentive to invest in innovation and research • Development of universities, public research, and training of scientists is essential • Privatization along with anti-trust increases competition, technology transfer and eventually technology development • Public private partnerships can stimulate the development of appropriate research and technology development • Gradual strengthening of IPRs when agriculture and agribusiness have started to grow is important 15

Notas del editor

  1. About one third of the firms report innovations based on their own R&D. 11 reported that the source of their innovations was from other sources – mainly the public sector. Half the firms had imported new technologies and of those about half came from their parent firms while half came from other sources….