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Investing in the
Saudi Arabian
Healthcare Sector
Perspective Ghassan Barrage
René Perillieux
Richard Shediac
Booz & Company
Contact Information
Abu Dhabi
Richard Shediac
Partner
+971-2-699-2400
richard.shediac@booz.com
Beirut
Ghassan Barrage
Senior Executive Advisor
+961-1-985-655
ghassan.barrage@booz.com
Dubai
René Perillieux
Senior Executive Advisor
+971-4-390-0260
rene.perillieux@booz.com
Originally published as:
“Investing in the Saudi Arabian Healthcare Sector,”
by Ghassan Barrage, Ziad Fares, René Perillieux,
and Richard Shediac, Booz Allen Hamilton, 2007.
The authors wish to acknowledge the support received from
SAGIA. In particular, we wish to thank Dr. Salim Al-Malik for his
painstaking and valuable input, without which this work would
not have been possible.
Booz & Company 1
The new
SAUDI ARABIAN
HEALTHCARE
MARKET
At present, the Saudi Arabian
government funds most of the
demand for healthcare capital and
operating expenditures. However,
analysts believe that government
alone will be unable to continue to
meet this demand. They have
concluded that the only way to ensure
that Saudi nationals’ health needs will
be met without adversely affecting
economic progress is to increase
private sector participation in the
health care system. Only by attracting
partners from the private sector who
can bring world-class medical
knowledge, management skills, and
capital to the sector will Saudi Arabia
be able to make high-quality health-
care available to everyone in Saudi
society. The government has recog-
nized this situation, and has identified
healthcare as one of the key sectors
targeted in its wide-ranging privatiza-
tion program (Exhibit 1, page 2).
Today, the Ministry of Health (MoH)
is working with the Saudi Arabian
General Investment Authority
(SAGIA) to prepare the sector for
this essential but difficult transition.
As a first step, the two agencies have
studied the best practices of the
countries with the most successful
healthcare systems and drafted plans
that adapt these practices to the
unique needs and circumstances
of Saudi Arabia. While MoH and
SAGIA are still working out the
details, the underlying goals have
already been established:
• Create a stronger institutional
set-up and effective regulatory
framework to promote private
sector investment in healthcare
and the production and distribu-
tion of pharmaceuticals and
medical supplies,
Over the coming years, Saudi Arabia is likely to experience
a sharp increase in its healthcare needs. Most observers
believe that population growth, a slowly aging society, and
the conditions that affluence often exacerbates, such as obesity,
diabetes, and cardiovascular diseases, as well as cancer, will
create a tremendous new demand for healthcare services.
Booz & Company2
Sector Targeted for Privatization Objectives of Privatization
-	Telecommunications
-	Sector Targeted For Privatization √
-	Water desalination; distribution and waste water treatment √
-	Air transport and airport services √
-	Postal services √
-	Healthcare
-	Education
-	Social services
-	Sports clubs
-	Rail transport, roads (e.g., toll roads) and ports √
-	Industrial cities √
-	Government hotels √
-	Grain silos √
-	Municipal services
-	Agriculture
-	Government investments in public companies √
-	Enhance effectiveness of national economy and promote competition √
-	Create investment opportunities for the private sector
-	Broaden participation of citizens in producing sectors of the economy
-	Promote local and foreign investment
-	Create employment opportunities for nationals
-	Improve the quality and cost effectiveness of services provided to citizens
-	Reduce public spending
-	Increase Government revenues
√ Underway
Source: Supreme Economic Council
• Develop a business environment
that will make Saudi Arabia a more
attractive destination for private
healthcare providers, and
• Attract investors and other partners
to the Middle East’s largest market
for healthcare.
The takeaway for healthcare
providers and producers of
pharmaceuticals and medical supplies
is clear: the Middle East’s largest
market of healthcare consumers
will become increasingly open to
private investment.
This paper looks first at the demo-
graphic and economic trends that will
drive this transition and make Saudi
Arabia a promising market from the
perspective of a healthcare provider,
then at what steps Saudi Arabia
intends to take to encourage private
healthcare businesses to operate in the
Kingdom, and finally, at which ser-
vices and what kinds of expertise will
be needed most during this transition.
Exhibit 1
Saudi Arabia Privatization Program
3Booz & Company
Between now and 2016, the popula-
tion of Saudi Arabia is expected to
grow by more than 20 percent, from
23 million to 30 million. Over the
same period, health expenditures are
expected to increase dramatically,
even faster than the rate of population
growth. Demand for hospital beds is
likely to grow from 51,000 to 70,000,
demand for hospitals is likely to rise
from 40,000 to 54,000 — and the
number of hospitals is likely to rise
from 364 to 502. There are several
reasons MoH planners see such a
sharp rise in health needs:
• Saudis will become older. Rising
affluence is expected to result in
longer lives for more Saudis. The
percentage of the population over
60 is rising, and is expected to more
than double by 2020. By 2020, the
number of old people is expected to
grow from approximately 1 million
(4 percent of the population) to
roughly 2.5 million (7 percent of the
population). At the same time, as
incomes increase, Saudis are likely
to spend an increasing amount of
money on healthcare treatments,
such as leading-edge therapies.
	 Nor will Saudi consumers be focused
entirely on access to advanced
therapies. Some surveys give the
Saudi health system a “C” grade,
ahead of Lebanon and Jordan but
behind Kuwait and far behind most
of Europe. Even in basic respects,
Saudi nationals are underserved
today. Just judging by such common
metrics as numbers of hospital
beds or physicians, Saudi Arabia
lags. At present, the Kingdom has
2.2 beds per thousand compared to
2.8 per thousand for Bahrain, 3.4
per thousand for the U.S., and 8 per
thousand for France. Physicians per
thousand are low as well, 1.7 per
thousand for the Kingdom compared
to 2.1 in Japan and 2.5 for the U.S.
• But wealth will not always bring
health. As most countries have
learned, affluence is not an unmiti-
gated benefit to health. This is true
in Saudi Arabia as well, where
greater material wealth is leading to a
deterioration of physical condition.
Today, the average Saudi national is
overweight. The average Body Mass
Index (BMI) of Saudi nationals 15
years and older is 30 kg/m2, far
above the global average of 23. A
Growth
Unsustainable
Without
Increased
Private Sector
Participation
Some surveys give the Saudi health
system a “C” grade, a bit ahead of
Lebanon and Jordan but behind
Kuwait and far behind most of Europe.
Even in basic respects, Saudi nationals
are underserved today. Just judging by
such common metrics as numbers of
hospital beds or physicians,
Saudi Arabia lags.
Booz & Company4
score greater than 25 is considered
overweight. Many Saudis also
smoke: roughly 24 percent of all
adult males smoke, and 14 percent
of school children and adolescents.
Such bad personal choices are
likely to continue to translate into
expensive and chronic conditions.
For example, diabetes is rampant:
about 20 percent of the Saudi
population over 20 years old has
type 1 or type 2 diabetes, compared
to 5 percent of the global popula-
tion. Treatments for diabetes and
cardiovascular diseases are
expected to triple and quadruple
respectively in the coming 20 years
• And the costs of treatment will
continue to rise. Paying for care of
such chronic conditions is difficult
now and is likely to grow worse.
For example, the spending on
cardiovascular diseases, already
high today, is expected to grow
rapidly to reach around one fifth
of healthcare expenditures by
2016. Also, modern advances in
medicine are continuously bringing
increasingly complex and expensive
treatment. With more extensive
travel, and rapidly spreading
information through the media and
the Internet, Saudis will become
increasingly demanding in terms of
the type and quality of healthcare
that they expect to receive in the
Kingdom. As a result, expenditures
on healthcare in Saudi Arabia are
expected to escalate very rapidly.
Past experience at MoH suggests that
the long-run trend is toward rapidly
increasing expense for healthcare.
Between 1999 and 2005, govern-
ment saw a 7.2 percent annual
compounded annual growth in its
healthcare budget. The Kingdom
spent US$13 billion on healthcare in
2005, and this spending is expected to
grow to over US$20 billion by 2016
(Exhibit 2).
Care Provisioning Breakdown by Source−2005
(Number of Hospital Beds)
Projected Saudi Expenditures−2006 to 2016
(US$ Billion)
Health Expenditure Breakdown by Source−2005
(US$ Billion)
Exhibit 2
Saudi Healthcare Market
Government Beds*
39,995
Government Spending*
US$9.8 Billion
Private Beds 11,135
Private Spending
US$3.2 Billion
78%
22%
75%
25%
Total = 51,130 Beds
Total = US $13 Billion
Dental/Other
Pharmaceuticals
Administration
Outpatient Services
Inpatient Services
CAGR
(2006–2016)
4.0%
Conservative
Projections
2005 2016(E)
$13.0
$20.0
3%
9%
12%
23%
53%
* ‘Government’ includes non-MoH entities such as the Armed Forces, National Guard, Red Crescent Society, etc.
Source: Central Statistics Department, MoH Statistics
5Booz & Company
Currently, the government dominates
the healthcare sector in Saudi Arabia.
Private sector spending for health
care in Saudi Arabia accounts for
25 percent of the total, compared to
55 percent for the U.S. or 76 percent
in India. Increased private sector
participation in healthcare is generally
accepted as essential to achieve the
Kingdom’s objective to increase
the efficacy of the Saudi healthcare
system while reducing the burden on
government spending. Present plans
call for a transition of the Kingdom
to a mixed healthcare system, in
which government participation is
limited largely to healthcare coverage
of the poor and military, with a
variety of private healthcare options
available to everyone else (Exhibit 3).
Specifically, the MoH has developed
a plan to fundamentally restructure
its activities in order to reduce its role
as the payor of first resort and at the
same time boost its capabilities as a
regulator of private healthcare ser-
vices. This plan calls for the following
main changes in the current MoH
healthcare system:
1. MoH will concentrate its health-
care provision activities on preventive
and curative primary care
2. A new government entity will be
established, the General Organization
for Hospitals, separate from MoH,
and all MoH hospitals assets will be
transferred to this new organization
to prepare the ground for increased
A Blueprint
for Change
Degree of Government Ownership
Degree of Private Sector Ownership
• Predominance of public sector
activities— ‘Command and
Control’ model
• Private sector involvement limited to
few care providers
• Emergence of private sector involve-
ment in healthcare and increasing
private insurance
• Decreasing burden on government
due to private insurance
• Mounting pressures for establishing a
comprehensive regulatory framework
• Widespread private sector healthcare
delivery options
• Public sector provisioning limited
to selected patients (e.g., the
poor/military)
• Increasing healthcare regulations
• Near-absence of public sector
healthcare
• Government role limited to ensuring
oversight, with limited subsidies
• Comprehensive regulations to ensure
fair play
Level 1:
“Government-Sponsored”
Health System
Level 2:
“Emerging”
Health System
Level 3:
“Intermediate”
Health System
Level 4:
“Market-Driven”
Health System
HEALTHCARE
DELIVERY
HEALTHCARE
DELIVERY
HEALTHCARE
DELIVERY
HEALTHCARE
DELIVERY
SERVICE
FUNDING
SERVICE
FUNDING
SERVICE
FUNDING
SERVICE
FUNDING
REGULATION REGULATION REGULATION REGULATION
PatientPatientPatientPatient
Increasing Private Sector Participation
Saudi arabia
Exhibit 3
Evolution Planned for the Saudi Healthcare Sector
Source: Booz & Company
Best-in-Class/Desired Health System Position
Booz & Company6
All these changes are likely to create
vast new opportunities for interna-
tional healthcare companies and
other healthcare providers. Over
the coming decade, a variety of
opportunities are likely to open
up in virtually every aspect of the
Saudi healthcare sector, as outlined
in Exhibit 4, and summarized
briefly below.
Tertiary care. Long waiting periods
at public hospitals, bed shortages,
increasing incidence of chronic dis-
eases, and the deteriorating quality of
care in with some areas are creating
opportunities for multidisciplinary
hospitals, specialized centers of excel-
lence including such complex areas as
oncology and organ transplants.
Secondary care. The high incidence
of chronic diseases such as cardiovas-
cular diseases, and diabetes as well
as the capacity saturation at public
hospitals and the limited availability
of specialists mean that there are
great opportunities for specialty
centers in plastic surgery, derma-
tology, cardiology, and diabetes.
Opportunities also exist to establish
community in several areas.
Ambulatory care and testing centers.
The high incidence of chronic diseases,
a government-sponsored focus on
preventative care, and the increasing
numbers of people on private health
insurance is also likely to create
opportunities for physician practice
groups, disease management clinics,
and diagnostic imaging sectors.
Generic pharmaceuticals. The
growth in population as well as the
drug coverage mandated under the
new insurance law will encourage
domestic manufacturing of products
such as analgesics and vitamins,
as well as more complex products
such as prescription antibiotics
and beta-blockers.
Medical devices manufacturing.
Rapidly growing market and more
effective regulations will make it
more attractive to produce locally
many common medical supplies
and devices, such as sterile bandages,
catheters, and dentures, EKG
machines and X-ray film.
Insurance. All employers will be
required to provide health insurance.
Initially, this policy will be applied
Investment
Opportunities
public private partnerships in health-
care provision
3. A National Health Fund will be
established under the Ministry of
Finance, also separate from MoH,
to fund directly healthcare services
provided to patients
The initial phase of this program will
last three years, and will concentrate
on modernizing the overall govern-
ment IT infrastructure, establishing a
new healthcare regulatory framework.
In parallel, SAGIA is working
with various government entities
to improve the overall investment
environment in Saudi Arabia. The
aspiration is that Saudi Arabia
will be ranked among the 10 most
competitive economies in the world,
in terms of investment attractiveness.
To achieve this objective, programs
are underway to further open and
liberalize the economy, enhance the
availability of manpower and other
national resources, establish improved
regulations, and reduce government
red tape.
7Booz & Company
LowHigh
EconomicValueAdd
Mature Nascent
Market Maturity Needed
High Priority
Opportunities
Other
Opportunities
HMO
Commercial/
Clinical R&D
Other Pharma/
In-Vitro Diagnostics
Proton
Therapy
Preferred Provider
Organization
Prescription Pharma
High Risk Medical
Devices
e-Health
Laboratory
Services
Imaging/Diagnostic
Services
Tertiary Care
Medium Risk
Medical Devices
Generic
Pharmaceuticals
Over-the-Counter
Pharmaceuticals
Secondary
Care
Long Term
CareNon Clinical
Management Services
Education
Facilities
Clinical Management
Services
Substitutive
Insurance
Low Risk
Medical Devices
Supplemental
Insurance
Pharmaceutical Fine
Chemicals
1ry
/Ambulatory
Care
Exhibit 4
Investment Opportunities
Source: Booz  Company
to non-Saudis, but eventually, it will
be extended to cover all workers
employed in the economy.
e-Health. The growth in the numbers
of players in the health care sector
as well as the increasing sophistica-
tion of care available is likely to
generate complexity. To cope with
this development, the MoH wishes
to encourage the establishment of a
national electronic records system
for healthcare. Accordingly, health
systems integrators and potentially
telemedicine specialists are likely to
be in high demand.
Education. In some ways, the most
basic medical shortage that Saudi
Arabia now faces is a shortage of
doctors and nursing staff. To satisfy
current needs, more medical schools
and residency programs must be
developed. Accordingly the govern-
ment supports the development of
more medical education facilities,
and some of these will be available
for private sector investment. Saudi
Arabia will actively seek to create
partnerships with leading educational
institutions to build the country’s
medical education capacities.
Booz  Company8
Over the next few decades, Saudi Arabia
is expected to face a sharp increase in
its health care needs. A rising population,
a growing percentage of Saudi nation-
als over 60, and a surge in the illnesses
of affluence are all expected to create
tremendous new demand for health care
services. Planners within the Saudi gov-
ernment believe that the current, largely
state-funded health care system will be
unable to meet these needs. To cope with
that growth in demand, plans are being
made to encourage the development of
a private health care sector. This is likely
to create a tremendous opportunity for a
broad range of foreign health care com-
panies to participate in the Middle East’s
largest health care market.
Saudi Arabia is in the midst of an
exciting transition to a more open,
market-driven economy. Over the
past ten years, the government has
pushed a variety of changes that have
made Saudi Arabia a better place to
do business, including its decision to
join the World Trade Organization.
In fact, if present trends continue,
by 2010, SAGIA believes that Saudi
Arabia may well be one of the ten
best places to do business in the world.
One crucial component in this
program—for citizens individually
and for the nation as a whole—is
the creation of a more market-
driven healthcare system. The fully
nationalized system that served an
earlier era well is no longer suited
for the complex, dynamic country
that Saudi Arabia is now becoming.
For both economic and public health
reasons, the government is committed
to a course of change that will in
the end create a system that is more
responsive to the health needs of
Saudi consumers.
This transition to a market-driven
healthcare system will not only
be good news for Saudis and the
Saudi economy. For international
healthcare providers and investors,
the coming liberalization of the
sector will mean increased access
to the largest healthcare market in
the Middle East, and an exciting
opportunity to help millions of
Saudis live longer, healthier lives.
Conclusion
9Booz  Company
About SAGIA
The Saudi Arabian General Investment Authority (SAGIA) is a service entity aiming
to provide services and facilities to promote investment and economic development
in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia. SAGIA was established in April 2000 under the
directives of the Supreme Economic Council (SEC) as a catalyst to promote inward
investments, facilitate exchange of best practice between the public and private
sectors, as well as act as an intermediary between the global business community
and the Saudi Government and its ministries and agencies. It also aims to contrib-
ute to economic policy-making substantiated by research and strategic criteria.
SAGIA’s role is complementary and supportive to the bodies directly concerned
with the various investment sectors and working to finalize the investors’
procedures. The mission of SAGIA is to create a probusiness environment
while providing comprehensive services to investors, and fostering investment
opportunities in energy, transportation and knowledge based industries
Six core roles maximize SAGIA’s impact on Saudi economics and investor interests.
1. Facilitation: SAGIA’s promise to investors begins by providing comprehensive
transactional support services that transcend licensing and extend through to the
completion of a project and beyond.
2. Investor-to-Opportunity Matchmaking: Targeted and focused matchmaking
defines SAGIA’s marketing and promotion activities.
3. Special Incentives for Lesser-developed Regions: In cooperation with regional
authorities inside Saudi Arabia, SAGIA’s regional development focus leverages a
region’s strength for the investor’s profit.
4. Special Incentives for Entrepreneurs: Feeding the leaves and branches of a
healthy economy requires cultivating an entrepreneurial spirit. SAGIA does this by
partnering with The Centennial Fund, a national, non-profit foundation dedicated
to mentoring and funding Saudi entrepreneurs.
5. Dedicated Sector Services: SAGIA offers its comprehensive investment
facilitation package to all investors seeking opportunities in any of the economy’s
open sectors. To maximize the Kingdom’s competitive advantages and set the
stage for further economic diversification, however, SAGIA dedicates sector-specific
resources and services in Strategic Business Units.
6. Pro-Business Advocacy: Being competitive in the global economy means a
business environment characterized by healthy practices, policies, and procedures.
Easing Your Path
The Saudi Arabian General Investment Authority (SAGIA) is the gateway to
investment in Saudi Arabia, easing the path of investors and facilitating their
progress through the required procedures by providing comprehensive services.
The focal points for investors are SAGIA’s One Step Shops in Riyadh, Jeddah and
Dammam. Here investors receive personal attention as they are furnished with all
necessary information, including details of the benefits and incentives to which
they are entitled; guided through the licensing process; and given direct access to
all relevant government ministries and agencies in the one location. Post-licensing
services such as assistance with land acquisition, site development and the
obtaining of utilities is also available.
For potential investors the web portal, www.investinsaudi.com, ensures easy
and effective access to SAGIA and provides regularly up-dated investor-related
business information and details of SAGIA-identified opportunities.
For more information kindly visit our website: www.sagia.gov.sa
About the Authors
Richard Shediac is a partner with
Booz  Company based in Abu Dhabi.
He leads the firm’s healthcare activities in
the Middle East and has participated in
various strategy, operations improvement,
and organization projects in the Middle
East, Europe, and Asia.
Ghassan Barrage is a senior executive
advisor with Booz  Company in Beirut.
He has extensive management consulting
experience in strategic planning and
organization development in various
industries in Europe and the Middle East,
including healthcare.
René Perillieux is a senior executive
advisor with Booz  Company in Dubai.
He leads the firm’s work with European
public health organizations and
providers, and specializes in strategy,
innovation, technology management,
and large-scale transformation for
private and public organizations.
Printed in USA
©2007 Booz  Company Inc.
The most recent list of
our office addresses and
telephone numbers can
be found on our website,
www.booz.com
Worldwide
Offices
Asia
Beijing
Hong Kong
Mumbai
Seoul
Shanghai
Taipei
Tokyo
Australia,
New Zealand 
Southeast Asia
Adelaide
Auckland
Bangkok
Brisbane
Canberra
Jakarta
Kuala Lumpur
Melbourne
Sydney
Europe
Amsterdam
Berlin
Copenhagen
Dublin
Düsseldorf
Frankfurt
Helsinki
London
Madrid
Milan
Moscow
Munich
Oslo
Paris
Rome
Stockholm
Stuttgart
Vienna
Warsaw
Zurich
Middle East
Abu Dhabi
Beirut
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Dubai
Riyadh
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Atlanta
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Cleveland
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São Paulo
Booz  Company is a leading global management
consulting firm, helping the world’s top businesses,
governments, and organizations.
Our founder, Edwin Booz, defined the profession
when he established the first management consulting
firm in 1914.
Today, with more than 3,300 people in 58 offices
around the world, we bring foresight and knowledge,
deep functional expertise, and a practical approach to
building capabilities and delivering real impact.
We work closely with our clients to create and deliver
essential advantage. For our management magazine
strategy+business, visit www.strategy-business.com.
For the Ideation Center, Booz  Company’s
leading think tank in the Middle East,
visit www.ideationcenter.com.
Visit www.booz.com and www.booz.com/me
to learn more about Booz  Company.

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Investing in the_saudi_arabian_healthcare_sector

  • 1. Investing in the Saudi Arabian Healthcare Sector Perspective Ghassan Barrage René Perillieux Richard Shediac
  • 2. Booz & Company Contact Information Abu Dhabi Richard Shediac Partner +971-2-699-2400 richard.shediac@booz.com Beirut Ghassan Barrage Senior Executive Advisor +961-1-985-655 ghassan.barrage@booz.com Dubai René Perillieux Senior Executive Advisor +971-4-390-0260 rene.perillieux@booz.com Originally published as: “Investing in the Saudi Arabian Healthcare Sector,” by Ghassan Barrage, Ziad Fares, René Perillieux, and Richard Shediac, Booz Allen Hamilton, 2007. The authors wish to acknowledge the support received from SAGIA. In particular, we wish to thank Dr. Salim Al-Malik for his painstaking and valuable input, without which this work would not have been possible.
  • 3. Booz & Company 1 The new SAUDI ARABIAN HEALTHCARE MARKET At present, the Saudi Arabian government funds most of the demand for healthcare capital and operating expenditures. However, analysts believe that government alone will be unable to continue to meet this demand. They have concluded that the only way to ensure that Saudi nationals’ health needs will be met without adversely affecting economic progress is to increase private sector participation in the health care system. Only by attracting partners from the private sector who can bring world-class medical knowledge, management skills, and capital to the sector will Saudi Arabia be able to make high-quality health- care available to everyone in Saudi society. The government has recog- nized this situation, and has identified healthcare as one of the key sectors targeted in its wide-ranging privatiza- tion program (Exhibit 1, page 2). Today, the Ministry of Health (MoH) is working with the Saudi Arabian General Investment Authority (SAGIA) to prepare the sector for this essential but difficult transition. As a first step, the two agencies have studied the best practices of the countries with the most successful healthcare systems and drafted plans that adapt these practices to the unique needs and circumstances of Saudi Arabia. While MoH and SAGIA are still working out the details, the underlying goals have already been established: • Create a stronger institutional set-up and effective regulatory framework to promote private sector investment in healthcare and the production and distribu- tion of pharmaceuticals and medical supplies, Over the coming years, Saudi Arabia is likely to experience a sharp increase in its healthcare needs. Most observers believe that population growth, a slowly aging society, and the conditions that affluence often exacerbates, such as obesity, diabetes, and cardiovascular diseases, as well as cancer, will create a tremendous new demand for healthcare services.
  • 4. Booz & Company2 Sector Targeted for Privatization Objectives of Privatization - Telecommunications - Sector Targeted For Privatization √ - Water desalination; distribution and waste water treatment √ - Air transport and airport services √ - Postal services √ - Healthcare - Education - Social services - Sports clubs - Rail transport, roads (e.g., toll roads) and ports √ - Industrial cities √ - Government hotels √ - Grain silos √ - Municipal services - Agriculture - Government investments in public companies √ - Enhance effectiveness of national economy and promote competition √ - Create investment opportunities for the private sector - Broaden participation of citizens in producing sectors of the economy - Promote local and foreign investment - Create employment opportunities for nationals - Improve the quality and cost effectiveness of services provided to citizens - Reduce public spending - Increase Government revenues √ Underway Source: Supreme Economic Council • Develop a business environment that will make Saudi Arabia a more attractive destination for private healthcare providers, and • Attract investors and other partners to the Middle East’s largest market for healthcare. The takeaway for healthcare providers and producers of pharmaceuticals and medical supplies is clear: the Middle East’s largest market of healthcare consumers will become increasingly open to private investment. This paper looks first at the demo- graphic and economic trends that will drive this transition and make Saudi Arabia a promising market from the perspective of a healthcare provider, then at what steps Saudi Arabia intends to take to encourage private healthcare businesses to operate in the Kingdom, and finally, at which ser- vices and what kinds of expertise will be needed most during this transition. Exhibit 1 Saudi Arabia Privatization Program
  • 5. 3Booz & Company Between now and 2016, the popula- tion of Saudi Arabia is expected to grow by more than 20 percent, from 23 million to 30 million. Over the same period, health expenditures are expected to increase dramatically, even faster than the rate of population growth. Demand for hospital beds is likely to grow from 51,000 to 70,000, demand for hospitals is likely to rise from 40,000 to 54,000 — and the number of hospitals is likely to rise from 364 to 502. There are several reasons MoH planners see such a sharp rise in health needs: • Saudis will become older. Rising affluence is expected to result in longer lives for more Saudis. The percentage of the population over 60 is rising, and is expected to more than double by 2020. By 2020, the number of old people is expected to grow from approximately 1 million (4 percent of the population) to roughly 2.5 million (7 percent of the population). At the same time, as incomes increase, Saudis are likely to spend an increasing amount of money on healthcare treatments, such as leading-edge therapies. Nor will Saudi consumers be focused entirely on access to advanced therapies. Some surveys give the Saudi health system a “C” grade, ahead of Lebanon and Jordan but behind Kuwait and far behind most of Europe. Even in basic respects, Saudi nationals are underserved today. Just judging by such common metrics as numbers of hospital beds or physicians, Saudi Arabia lags. At present, the Kingdom has 2.2 beds per thousand compared to 2.8 per thousand for Bahrain, 3.4 per thousand for the U.S., and 8 per thousand for France. Physicians per thousand are low as well, 1.7 per thousand for the Kingdom compared to 2.1 in Japan and 2.5 for the U.S. • But wealth will not always bring health. As most countries have learned, affluence is not an unmiti- gated benefit to health. This is true in Saudi Arabia as well, where greater material wealth is leading to a deterioration of physical condition. Today, the average Saudi national is overweight. The average Body Mass Index (BMI) of Saudi nationals 15 years and older is 30 kg/m2, far above the global average of 23. A Growth Unsustainable Without Increased Private Sector Participation Some surveys give the Saudi health system a “C” grade, a bit ahead of Lebanon and Jordan but behind Kuwait and far behind most of Europe. Even in basic respects, Saudi nationals are underserved today. Just judging by such common metrics as numbers of hospital beds or physicians, Saudi Arabia lags.
  • 6. Booz & Company4 score greater than 25 is considered overweight. Many Saudis also smoke: roughly 24 percent of all adult males smoke, and 14 percent of school children and adolescents. Such bad personal choices are likely to continue to translate into expensive and chronic conditions. For example, diabetes is rampant: about 20 percent of the Saudi population over 20 years old has type 1 or type 2 diabetes, compared to 5 percent of the global popula- tion. Treatments for diabetes and cardiovascular diseases are expected to triple and quadruple respectively in the coming 20 years • And the costs of treatment will continue to rise. Paying for care of such chronic conditions is difficult now and is likely to grow worse. For example, the spending on cardiovascular diseases, already high today, is expected to grow rapidly to reach around one fifth of healthcare expenditures by 2016. Also, modern advances in medicine are continuously bringing increasingly complex and expensive treatment. With more extensive travel, and rapidly spreading information through the media and the Internet, Saudis will become increasingly demanding in terms of the type and quality of healthcare that they expect to receive in the Kingdom. As a result, expenditures on healthcare in Saudi Arabia are expected to escalate very rapidly. Past experience at MoH suggests that the long-run trend is toward rapidly increasing expense for healthcare. Between 1999 and 2005, govern- ment saw a 7.2 percent annual compounded annual growth in its healthcare budget. The Kingdom spent US$13 billion on healthcare in 2005, and this spending is expected to grow to over US$20 billion by 2016 (Exhibit 2). Care Provisioning Breakdown by Source−2005 (Number of Hospital Beds) Projected Saudi Expenditures−2006 to 2016 (US$ Billion) Health Expenditure Breakdown by Source−2005 (US$ Billion) Exhibit 2 Saudi Healthcare Market Government Beds* 39,995 Government Spending* US$9.8 Billion Private Beds 11,135 Private Spending US$3.2 Billion 78% 22% 75% 25% Total = 51,130 Beds Total = US $13 Billion Dental/Other Pharmaceuticals Administration Outpatient Services Inpatient Services CAGR (2006–2016) 4.0% Conservative Projections 2005 2016(E) $13.0 $20.0 3% 9% 12% 23% 53% * ‘Government’ includes non-MoH entities such as the Armed Forces, National Guard, Red Crescent Society, etc. Source: Central Statistics Department, MoH Statistics
  • 7. 5Booz & Company Currently, the government dominates the healthcare sector in Saudi Arabia. Private sector spending for health care in Saudi Arabia accounts for 25 percent of the total, compared to 55 percent for the U.S. or 76 percent in India. Increased private sector participation in healthcare is generally accepted as essential to achieve the Kingdom’s objective to increase the efficacy of the Saudi healthcare system while reducing the burden on government spending. Present plans call for a transition of the Kingdom to a mixed healthcare system, in which government participation is limited largely to healthcare coverage of the poor and military, with a variety of private healthcare options available to everyone else (Exhibit 3). Specifically, the MoH has developed a plan to fundamentally restructure its activities in order to reduce its role as the payor of first resort and at the same time boost its capabilities as a regulator of private healthcare ser- vices. This plan calls for the following main changes in the current MoH healthcare system: 1. MoH will concentrate its health- care provision activities on preventive and curative primary care 2. A new government entity will be established, the General Organization for Hospitals, separate from MoH, and all MoH hospitals assets will be transferred to this new organization to prepare the ground for increased A Blueprint for Change Degree of Government Ownership Degree of Private Sector Ownership • Predominance of public sector activities— ‘Command and Control’ model • Private sector involvement limited to few care providers • Emergence of private sector involve- ment in healthcare and increasing private insurance • Decreasing burden on government due to private insurance • Mounting pressures for establishing a comprehensive regulatory framework • Widespread private sector healthcare delivery options • Public sector provisioning limited to selected patients (e.g., the poor/military) • Increasing healthcare regulations • Near-absence of public sector healthcare • Government role limited to ensuring oversight, with limited subsidies • Comprehensive regulations to ensure fair play Level 1: “Government-Sponsored” Health System Level 2: “Emerging” Health System Level 3: “Intermediate” Health System Level 4: “Market-Driven” Health System HEALTHCARE DELIVERY HEALTHCARE DELIVERY HEALTHCARE DELIVERY HEALTHCARE DELIVERY SERVICE FUNDING SERVICE FUNDING SERVICE FUNDING SERVICE FUNDING REGULATION REGULATION REGULATION REGULATION PatientPatientPatientPatient Increasing Private Sector Participation Saudi arabia Exhibit 3 Evolution Planned for the Saudi Healthcare Sector Source: Booz & Company Best-in-Class/Desired Health System Position
  • 8. Booz & Company6 All these changes are likely to create vast new opportunities for interna- tional healthcare companies and other healthcare providers. Over the coming decade, a variety of opportunities are likely to open up in virtually every aspect of the Saudi healthcare sector, as outlined in Exhibit 4, and summarized briefly below. Tertiary care. Long waiting periods at public hospitals, bed shortages, increasing incidence of chronic dis- eases, and the deteriorating quality of care in with some areas are creating opportunities for multidisciplinary hospitals, specialized centers of excel- lence including such complex areas as oncology and organ transplants. Secondary care. The high incidence of chronic diseases such as cardiovas- cular diseases, and diabetes as well as the capacity saturation at public hospitals and the limited availability of specialists mean that there are great opportunities for specialty centers in plastic surgery, derma- tology, cardiology, and diabetes. Opportunities also exist to establish community in several areas. Ambulatory care and testing centers. The high incidence of chronic diseases, a government-sponsored focus on preventative care, and the increasing numbers of people on private health insurance is also likely to create opportunities for physician practice groups, disease management clinics, and diagnostic imaging sectors. Generic pharmaceuticals. The growth in population as well as the drug coverage mandated under the new insurance law will encourage domestic manufacturing of products such as analgesics and vitamins, as well as more complex products such as prescription antibiotics and beta-blockers. Medical devices manufacturing. Rapidly growing market and more effective regulations will make it more attractive to produce locally many common medical supplies and devices, such as sterile bandages, catheters, and dentures, EKG machines and X-ray film. Insurance. All employers will be required to provide health insurance. Initially, this policy will be applied Investment Opportunities public private partnerships in health- care provision 3. A National Health Fund will be established under the Ministry of Finance, also separate from MoH, to fund directly healthcare services provided to patients The initial phase of this program will last three years, and will concentrate on modernizing the overall govern- ment IT infrastructure, establishing a new healthcare regulatory framework. In parallel, SAGIA is working with various government entities to improve the overall investment environment in Saudi Arabia. The aspiration is that Saudi Arabia will be ranked among the 10 most competitive economies in the world, in terms of investment attractiveness. To achieve this objective, programs are underway to further open and liberalize the economy, enhance the availability of manpower and other national resources, establish improved regulations, and reduce government red tape.
  • 9. 7Booz & Company LowHigh EconomicValueAdd Mature Nascent Market Maturity Needed High Priority Opportunities Other Opportunities HMO Commercial/ Clinical R&D Other Pharma/ In-Vitro Diagnostics Proton Therapy Preferred Provider Organization Prescription Pharma High Risk Medical Devices e-Health Laboratory Services Imaging/Diagnostic Services Tertiary Care Medium Risk Medical Devices Generic Pharmaceuticals Over-the-Counter Pharmaceuticals Secondary Care Long Term CareNon Clinical Management Services Education Facilities Clinical Management Services Substitutive Insurance Low Risk Medical Devices Supplemental Insurance Pharmaceutical Fine Chemicals 1ry /Ambulatory Care Exhibit 4 Investment Opportunities Source: Booz Company to non-Saudis, but eventually, it will be extended to cover all workers employed in the economy. e-Health. The growth in the numbers of players in the health care sector as well as the increasing sophistica- tion of care available is likely to generate complexity. To cope with this development, the MoH wishes to encourage the establishment of a national electronic records system for healthcare. Accordingly, health systems integrators and potentially telemedicine specialists are likely to be in high demand. Education. In some ways, the most basic medical shortage that Saudi Arabia now faces is a shortage of doctors and nursing staff. To satisfy current needs, more medical schools and residency programs must be developed. Accordingly the govern- ment supports the development of more medical education facilities, and some of these will be available for private sector investment. Saudi Arabia will actively seek to create partnerships with leading educational institutions to build the country’s medical education capacities.
  • 10. Booz Company8 Over the next few decades, Saudi Arabia is expected to face a sharp increase in its health care needs. A rising population, a growing percentage of Saudi nation- als over 60, and a surge in the illnesses of affluence are all expected to create tremendous new demand for health care services. Planners within the Saudi gov- ernment believe that the current, largely state-funded health care system will be unable to meet these needs. To cope with that growth in demand, plans are being made to encourage the development of a private health care sector. This is likely to create a tremendous opportunity for a broad range of foreign health care com- panies to participate in the Middle East’s largest health care market. Saudi Arabia is in the midst of an exciting transition to a more open, market-driven economy. Over the past ten years, the government has pushed a variety of changes that have made Saudi Arabia a better place to do business, including its decision to join the World Trade Organization. In fact, if present trends continue, by 2010, SAGIA believes that Saudi Arabia may well be one of the ten best places to do business in the world. One crucial component in this program—for citizens individually and for the nation as a whole—is the creation of a more market- driven healthcare system. The fully nationalized system that served an earlier era well is no longer suited for the complex, dynamic country that Saudi Arabia is now becoming. For both economic and public health reasons, the government is committed to a course of change that will in the end create a system that is more responsive to the health needs of Saudi consumers. This transition to a market-driven healthcare system will not only be good news for Saudis and the Saudi economy. For international healthcare providers and investors, the coming liberalization of the sector will mean increased access to the largest healthcare market in the Middle East, and an exciting opportunity to help millions of Saudis live longer, healthier lives. Conclusion
  • 11. 9Booz Company About SAGIA The Saudi Arabian General Investment Authority (SAGIA) is a service entity aiming to provide services and facilities to promote investment and economic development in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia. SAGIA was established in April 2000 under the directives of the Supreme Economic Council (SEC) as a catalyst to promote inward investments, facilitate exchange of best practice between the public and private sectors, as well as act as an intermediary between the global business community and the Saudi Government and its ministries and agencies. It also aims to contrib- ute to economic policy-making substantiated by research and strategic criteria. SAGIA’s role is complementary and supportive to the bodies directly concerned with the various investment sectors and working to finalize the investors’ procedures. The mission of SAGIA is to create a probusiness environment while providing comprehensive services to investors, and fostering investment opportunities in energy, transportation and knowledge based industries Six core roles maximize SAGIA’s impact on Saudi economics and investor interests. 1. Facilitation: SAGIA’s promise to investors begins by providing comprehensive transactional support services that transcend licensing and extend through to the completion of a project and beyond. 2. Investor-to-Opportunity Matchmaking: Targeted and focused matchmaking defines SAGIA’s marketing and promotion activities. 3. Special Incentives for Lesser-developed Regions: In cooperation with regional authorities inside Saudi Arabia, SAGIA’s regional development focus leverages a region’s strength for the investor’s profit. 4. Special Incentives for Entrepreneurs: Feeding the leaves and branches of a healthy economy requires cultivating an entrepreneurial spirit. SAGIA does this by partnering with The Centennial Fund, a national, non-profit foundation dedicated to mentoring and funding Saudi entrepreneurs. 5. Dedicated Sector Services: SAGIA offers its comprehensive investment facilitation package to all investors seeking opportunities in any of the economy’s open sectors. To maximize the Kingdom’s competitive advantages and set the stage for further economic diversification, however, SAGIA dedicates sector-specific resources and services in Strategic Business Units. 6. Pro-Business Advocacy: Being competitive in the global economy means a business environment characterized by healthy practices, policies, and procedures. Easing Your Path The Saudi Arabian General Investment Authority (SAGIA) is the gateway to investment in Saudi Arabia, easing the path of investors and facilitating their progress through the required procedures by providing comprehensive services. The focal points for investors are SAGIA’s One Step Shops in Riyadh, Jeddah and Dammam. Here investors receive personal attention as they are furnished with all necessary information, including details of the benefits and incentives to which they are entitled; guided through the licensing process; and given direct access to all relevant government ministries and agencies in the one location. Post-licensing services such as assistance with land acquisition, site development and the obtaining of utilities is also available. For potential investors the web portal, www.investinsaudi.com, ensures easy and effective access to SAGIA and provides regularly up-dated investor-related business information and details of SAGIA-identified opportunities. For more information kindly visit our website: www.sagia.gov.sa About the Authors Richard Shediac is a partner with Booz Company based in Abu Dhabi. He leads the firm’s healthcare activities in the Middle East and has participated in various strategy, operations improvement, and organization projects in the Middle East, Europe, and Asia. Ghassan Barrage is a senior executive advisor with Booz Company in Beirut. He has extensive management consulting experience in strategic planning and organization development in various industries in Europe and the Middle East, including healthcare. René Perillieux is a senior executive advisor with Booz Company in Dubai. He leads the firm’s work with European public health organizations and providers, and specializes in strategy, innovation, technology management, and large-scale transformation for private and public organizations.
  • 12. Printed in USA ©2007 Booz Company Inc. The most recent list of our office addresses and telephone numbers can be found on our website, www.booz.com Worldwide Offices Asia Beijing Hong Kong Mumbai Seoul Shanghai Taipei Tokyo Australia, New Zealand Southeast Asia Adelaide Auckland Bangkok Brisbane Canberra Jakarta Kuala Lumpur Melbourne Sydney Europe Amsterdam Berlin Copenhagen Dublin Düsseldorf Frankfurt Helsinki London Madrid Milan Moscow Munich Oslo Paris Rome Stockholm Stuttgart Vienna Warsaw Zurich Middle East Abu Dhabi Beirut Cairo Dubai Riyadh North America Atlanta Chicago Cleveland Dallas Detroit Florham Park Houston Los Angeles McLean Mexico City New York City Parsippany San Francisco South America Buenos Aires Rio de Janeiro Santiago São Paulo Booz Company is a leading global management consulting firm, helping the world’s top businesses, governments, and organizations. Our founder, Edwin Booz, defined the profession when he established the first management consulting firm in 1914. Today, with more than 3,300 people in 58 offices around the world, we bring foresight and knowledge, deep functional expertise, and a practical approach to building capabilities and delivering real impact. We work closely with our clients to create and deliver essential advantage. For our management magazine strategy+business, visit www.strategy-business.com. For the Ideation Center, Booz Company’s leading think tank in the Middle East, visit www.ideationcenter.com. Visit www.booz.com and www.booz.com/me to learn more about Booz Company.