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Financial Planning
Fundamentals don’t change
Being rich = Money + time
Salary                     50000


Investment                  5000


Rate of return              14%


Years                         30


Total investment        18,00,000


Portfolio value    27,785,278
0
                                                                 Graph
              0
          000
      0
₹  30




              0  0
          000
      0
₹  20




             000
      0   00
₹  10




              ₹ 0
                     0   1   2   3   4   5   6   7   8   9   10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30
Year        Your age      Total saved excluding interest   Interest earned   Total saved including interest
        0              25 INR 0                            INR 0             INR 0
        1              26 INR 60,000                       INR 4,550         INR 64,550
        2              27 INR 120,000                      INR 18,137        INR 138,137
        3              28 INR 180,000                      INR 42,026        INR 222,026
        4              29 INR 240,000                      INR 77,660        INR 317,660
        5              30 INR 300,000                      INR 126,682       INR 426,682
        6              31 INR 360,000                      INR 190,968       INR 550,968
        7              32 INR 420,000                      INR 272,653       INR 692,653
        8              33 INR 480,000                      INR 374,175       INR 854,175
        9              34 INR 540,000                      INR 498,309       INR 1,038,309
       10              35 INR 600,000                      INR 648,222       INR 1,248,222
       11              36 INR 660,000                      INR 827,524       INR 1,487,524
       12              37 INR 720,000                      INR 1,040,327     INR 1,760,327
       13              38 INR 780,000                      INR 1,291,323     INR 2,071,323
       14              39 INR 840,000                      INR 1,585,858     INR 2,425,858
       15              40 INR 900,000                      INR 1,930,028     INR 2,830,028
       16              41 INR 960,000                      INR 2,330,782     INR 3,290,782
       17              42 INR 1,020,000                    INR 2,796,041     INR 3,816,041
       18              43 INR 1,080,000                    INR 3,334,837     INR 4,414,837
       19              44 INR 1,140,000                    INR 3,957,464     INR 5,097,464
       20              45 INR 1,200,000                    INR 4,675,659     INR 5,875,659
       21              46 INR 1,260,000                    INR 5,502,801     INR 6,762,801
       22              47 INR 1,320,000                    INR 6,454,143     INR 7,774,143
       23              48 INR 1,380,000                    INR 7,547,073     INR 8,927,073
       24              49 INR 1,440,000                    INR 8,801,414     INR 10,241,414
       25              50 INR 1,500,000                    INR 10,239,762    INR 11,739,762
       26              51 INR 1,560,000                    INR 11,887,878    INR 13,447,878
       27              52 INR 1,620,000                    INR 13,775,131    INR 15,395,131
       28              53 INR 1,680,000                    INR 15,935,000    INR 17,615,000
       29              54 INR 1,740,000                    INR 18,405,649    INR 20,145,649
       30              55 INR 1,800,000                    INR 21,230,590    INR 23,030,590
“Compound interest is the 8th wonder of the world”
             “He who understands it, earns it ... he who doesn't ... pays it.”
Salary                    50000


Investment                 5000


Rate of return             14%


Years                        20


Total investment       12,00,000


Portfolio value    65,81,731
Salary                    50000


Investment                 5000


Rate of return             14%


Years                        10


Total investment        6,00,000


Portfolio value    13,10,456
Investing Early - example 1


                              Rs. 3246 p.m. @ 12%
 vijay                                                            1 crore
                                     30 yrs                           11.7 lacs




                                    Rs. 10871 p.m. @ 12%
 Ajay                                                             1 crore
         Its way too early                    20 yrs                  26 lacs
           for me to save



                                               Rs. 44636 p.m. @ 12%
Sanjay                                                            1 crore
         Its way too early      I will save when       10 yrs         26 lacs
           for me to save    I have less expenses
Investing Early - example 2


                         Rs. 1000 @ 12%
vijay                                         36 lacs
                            30 yrs             3.6 lacs




        Rs. 1500 @ 12%
Ajay                                          54 lacs
            10 yrs                   20 yrs    1.8 lacs
Investing Early - example 3


      Rs. X for 30 years at 12%




                         86%
15
yrs
                                  14%
Investing early lowers your burden later
Investing Early

No. of years of
contribution at the end   % of corpus generated   Total corpus
of 30 yr. period

            0                    100.0%           1.76 crores

            5                    97.6%            1.72 crores

           10                    93.4%            1.65 crores

           15                    85.7%            1.51 crores

           20                    71.7%            1.26 crores

           25                    46.2%            0.81 crores

                                                        Rs. 5000 @ 12%

   It doesn’t matter much if you don’t invest in
                   later years
Investing Early - example 4
    26 yrs old      30 yrs                   3.5 crore




                                              50000

1       5000
                   15000


       10 yrs      10 yrs                    10 yrs



                    10000
2
                   30 yrs



       14000                 no investment
3
      10 yrs                   20 yrs
Investing Early




investments made in early years contribute the
most
Investing Early
Years without
                          Amount required per   % increase in investment
contribution at the end
                               month            to reach the same corpus
of tenure
            0                    5000                    0.00%
            5                    5120                    2.41%
           10                    5350                    7.01%
           15                    5830                    16.6%
           20                    6980                    39.6%
           25                   10830                    116%
           29                   43100                    762%


                Save a few more bucks early
SIP of Rs. 1000 p.m.




Last few years contribute the most

Choice of investment asset matters a lot
How to start investing?
life insurance
≠
investment
ISSUES WITH ULIPs
AVOID THESE
ULIPs

Whole life insurance plans

Money back insurance plans

Pension/retirement plans

Child future plans

Any insurance cum investment product
online term insurance
Things to consider

Current liabilities


Future goals of your dependents


provide regular day-to-day expenses
tips while buying

buy before your next birthday


try to diversify


buy early in life for longer tenure
BEST ASSET CLASS?
INVESTING
Ultra-short Time Horizon (< 1 Year)
- Cash on Hand
- Bank Savings Accounts
- Liquid & Ultra-short term debt funds

Short Time Horizon ( 1- 3 Years)
- Short term Debt Mutual Funds
- Bank Fixed Deposits


Medium Time Horizon (3-5 Years)
- Bank Fixed Deposits
- Debt Mutual Funds
- Medium term Gilt Funds


Long Time Horizon (> 5 Years)
- Gold
- Equity (Stocks)
- Equity Mutual Funds
- Real Estate
Different Asset Classes
       Asset type   Returns post inflation      Taxable                        Pros                    Cons


Cash                                 -6%         No            Liquid. Safe                 No growth


Saving a/c                       -2 to 0%   Above 10,000       Liquid. Safe.                No growth. Taxable


Fixed deposit                      1 - 3%   Above 10,000       Hedge against inflation. Safe Lock-in. Taxable

                                                                                            7 years lock-in, partial
PPF                                 2.6%         No            Extremely safe
                                                                                            withdrawal

                                                                                            8.7 or 6 years lock-in.
KVP or NSC                         2.16%         No            Safe
                                                                                            Offline

Debt MFs                            1-3%         Yes           Liquid. Better than FD.      No growth. Taxable

                                                               As good as liquid. Safe. Non Returns only in long
Gold                             -1 to 4% No. Gold ETF - Yes
                                                               taxable.                     term
                                                                                            Non-liquid. Fixed.
Real estate                         6-9%         Yes           High returns.                Maintenance costs.
                                                                                            Taxes.

                                                               Liquid. Best for long term
Equity                              8-9%     > 1 yr. - No
                                                               wealth creation.
                                                                                            Unsafe in short run
Is Equity really risky?
When you invest in Equity, you are a partner
Learning from history
Learning from history
Learning from history
Learning from history




Investment
                 1 yr     2 yrs   3 yrs   5 yrs   7 yrs   10 yrs   15 yrs
tenure


Total positive
                 22        20      24      23      23      21       16
instances

Total
                 30        29      28      26      24      21       16
instance
% positive
                 73%      69%     86%     88%     96%     100%     100%
instance
Learning from history


100.00%




75.00%




50.00%




25.00%




    0%
          1 yr   2 yrs   3 yrs           5 yrs         7 yrs   10 yrs   15 yrs




                                 % positive instance
Learning from history
Learning from history




Investment
               1 yr     2 yrs   3 yrs   5 yrs   7 yrs   10 yrs   15 yrs
tenure




Best return    101%     59%     51%     43%     37%     31%      26%


Worst return   -51%    -22%     -14%    -2%     -3%      3%       7%
Learning from history


150.0%


112.5%


75.0%


37.5%


   0%


-37.5%


-75.0%
         1 yr   2 yrs   3 yrs             5 yrs        7 yrs     10 yrs   15 yrs



                                Best return       Worst return
Learning from history




Tenure               1 yr   2 yrs   3 yrs   5 yrs   7 yrs   10 yrs   15 yrs


Best return          101%   59%     51%     43%     37%     31%      26%
Average of 5 best    85%    52%     46%     39%     30%     27%      22%


Worst return         -51%   -22%    -14%    -2%     -3%      3%       7%
Average of 5 worst   -27%   -13%    -3%     1%      3%       6%      12%
Equity is risky in the short run and quite
           safe in the long run
Debt is safe in the short run and quite risky
               in the long run
Real estate vs. Equity
Misconceptions related to Real estate



Real estate prices always rise

It gives better returns than any other form of asset
Reality vs. Equity

Long term real estate returns are 14% CAGR
(valid for Mumbai).
If you add rental yield of 2-3%, then the total returns are 16-17% CAGR. 20% tax after indexation




The Sensex returned 18% from base 100 in 1978.
If you add dividend yield of 1.5%, then you get 19.5% CAGR




                         5000 p.m.                        17%                        19.5%

                            20 yrs                      84 lacs                      1.44 cr

                            30 yrs                       4.2 cr                      10.2 cr
Investing in equity
Should you invest in stocks directly?
How to go about investing in equity?




Invest in Equity MFs

Invest via SIP

Don’t be a MF collector
Investing in MFs

  2 Large cap funds
  1 Large + Mid cap fund
  1 Equity tax planning
  1 debt fund


           Top stock   Top sector   Top 3 sector                    Large cap +
  Funds                                            Top 10 stocks                  Large Cap
           exposure    exposure      exposure                        Mid cap

                                                                   96% money in   85% in 49
2 funds    5.52%       24.5%         52.8%            37%            74 stocks     stocks

                                                                   97% money in   81% in 59
5 funds    4.67%       21.07%         46%             34%            111 stocks    stocks

                                                                   98% money in   80% in 60
10 funds    5.7%        21%          46.5%            37%            131 stocks    stocks
Choosing an MF




valueresearchonline.com
Expense ratio is important in long run
                                   Rs. 100,000 at 12%
Buying an MF



- KYC compliance (PAN, POI, POA)

- fundsindia.com
- Approach the AMC
- Open a Demat account
Few tips about saving and investing

Start with goals in mind
      Short term - upgrade to sedan in 2 years

      Long term - start a restaurant after 20 years


Save first spend later



Automate
Automate


                           30%                       10%
  Future goals                   Salary account                  Retirement


                                                           Setup SIP in mutual fund
Goal 1            Goal 2                    60%

         Goal 3

                                 Expense account




                                  All your regular
                                      expenses
Don’ts

Get into wrong products for Tax saving

Keep paying for endowment/ULIPs


Not have emergency funds


Buy stocks on the basis of tips given by others

Shop for things you don’t need
If you were to take away single thing from this presentation




Start investing early
Two sites you should refer to:

www.jagoinvestor.com/archives
www.investmentyogi.com


Example taken from this book
Jagoinvestor - Changing your relationship with money

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Investing early

  • 3. Being rich = Money + time
  • 4. Salary 50000 Investment 5000 Rate of return 14% Years 30 Total investment 18,00,000 Portfolio value 27,785,278
  • 5. 0 Graph 0 000 0 ₹  30 0 0 000 0 ₹  20 000 0 00 ₹  10 ₹ 0 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30
  • 6. Year Your age Total saved excluding interest Interest earned Total saved including interest 0 25 INR 0 INR 0 INR 0 1 26 INR 60,000 INR 4,550 INR 64,550 2 27 INR 120,000 INR 18,137 INR 138,137 3 28 INR 180,000 INR 42,026 INR 222,026 4 29 INR 240,000 INR 77,660 INR 317,660 5 30 INR 300,000 INR 126,682 INR 426,682 6 31 INR 360,000 INR 190,968 INR 550,968 7 32 INR 420,000 INR 272,653 INR 692,653 8 33 INR 480,000 INR 374,175 INR 854,175 9 34 INR 540,000 INR 498,309 INR 1,038,309 10 35 INR 600,000 INR 648,222 INR 1,248,222 11 36 INR 660,000 INR 827,524 INR 1,487,524 12 37 INR 720,000 INR 1,040,327 INR 1,760,327 13 38 INR 780,000 INR 1,291,323 INR 2,071,323 14 39 INR 840,000 INR 1,585,858 INR 2,425,858 15 40 INR 900,000 INR 1,930,028 INR 2,830,028 16 41 INR 960,000 INR 2,330,782 INR 3,290,782 17 42 INR 1,020,000 INR 2,796,041 INR 3,816,041 18 43 INR 1,080,000 INR 3,334,837 INR 4,414,837 19 44 INR 1,140,000 INR 3,957,464 INR 5,097,464 20 45 INR 1,200,000 INR 4,675,659 INR 5,875,659 21 46 INR 1,260,000 INR 5,502,801 INR 6,762,801 22 47 INR 1,320,000 INR 6,454,143 INR 7,774,143 23 48 INR 1,380,000 INR 7,547,073 INR 8,927,073 24 49 INR 1,440,000 INR 8,801,414 INR 10,241,414 25 50 INR 1,500,000 INR 10,239,762 INR 11,739,762 26 51 INR 1,560,000 INR 11,887,878 INR 13,447,878 27 52 INR 1,620,000 INR 13,775,131 INR 15,395,131 28 53 INR 1,680,000 INR 15,935,000 INR 17,615,000 29 54 INR 1,740,000 INR 18,405,649 INR 20,145,649 30 55 INR 1,800,000 INR 21,230,590 INR 23,030,590
  • 7. “Compound interest is the 8th wonder of the world” “He who understands it, earns it ... he who doesn't ... pays it.”
  • 8. Salary 50000 Investment 5000 Rate of return 14% Years 20 Total investment 12,00,000 Portfolio value 65,81,731
  • 9. Salary 50000 Investment 5000 Rate of return 14% Years 10 Total investment 6,00,000 Portfolio value 13,10,456
  • 10. Investing Early - example 1 Rs. 3246 p.m. @ 12% vijay 1 crore 30 yrs 11.7 lacs Rs. 10871 p.m. @ 12% Ajay 1 crore Its way too early 20 yrs 26 lacs for me to save Rs. 44636 p.m. @ 12% Sanjay 1 crore Its way too early I will save when 10 yrs 26 lacs for me to save I have less expenses
  • 11. Investing Early - example 2 Rs. 1000 @ 12% vijay 36 lacs 30 yrs 3.6 lacs Rs. 1500 @ 12% Ajay 54 lacs 10 yrs 20 yrs 1.8 lacs
  • 12. Investing Early - example 3 Rs. X for 30 years at 12% 86% 15 yrs 14%
  • 13. Investing early lowers your burden later
  • 14. Investing Early No. of years of contribution at the end % of corpus generated Total corpus of 30 yr. period 0 100.0% 1.76 crores 5 97.6% 1.72 crores 10 93.4% 1.65 crores 15 85.7% 1.51 crores 20 71.7% 1.26 crores 25 46.2% 0.81 crores Rs. 5000 @ 12% It doesn’t matter much if you don’t invest in later years
  • 15. Investing Early - example 4 26 yrs old 30 yrs 3.5 crore 50000 1 5000 15000 10 yrs 10 yrs 10 yrs 10000 2 30 yrs 14000 no investment 3 10 yrs 20 yrs
  • 16. Investing Early investments made in early years contribute the most
  • 17. Investing Early Years without Amount required per % increase in investment contribution at the end month to reach the same corpus of tenure 0 5000 0.00% 5 5120 2.41% 10 5350 7.01% 15 5830 16.6% 20 6980 39.6% 25 10830 116% 29 43100 762% Save a few more bucks early
  • 18. SIP of Rs. 1000 p.m. Last few years contribute the most Choice of investment asset matters a lot
  • 19. How to start investing?
  • 22. AVOID THESE ULIPs Whole life insurance plans Money back insurance plans Pension/retirement plans Child future plans Any insurance cum investment product
  • 24.
  • 25. Things to consider Current liabilities Future goals of your dependents provide regular day-to-day expenses
  • 26. tips while buying buy before your next birthday try to diversify buy early in life for longer tenure
  • 28. INVESTING Ultra-short Time Horizon (< 1 Year) - Cash on Hand - Bank Savings Accounts - Liquid & Ultra-short term debt funds Short Time Horizon ( 1- 3 Years) - Short term Debt Mutual Funds - Bank Fixed Deposits Medium Time Horizon (3-5 Years) - Bank Fixed Deposits - Debt Mutual Funds - Medium term Gilt Funds Long Time Horizon (> 5 Years) - Gold - Equity (Stocks) - Equity Mutual Funds - Real Estate
  • 29. Different Asset Classes Asset type Returns post inflation Taxable Pros Cons Cash -6% No Liquid. Safe No growth Saving a/c -2 to 0% Above 10,000 Liquid. Safe. No growth. Taxable Fixed deposit 1 - 3% Above 10,000 Hedge against inflation. Safe Lock-in. Taxable 7 years lock-in, partial PPF 2.6% No Extremely safe withdrawal 8.7 or 6 years lock-in. KVP or NSC 2.16% No Safe Offline Debt MFs 1-3% Yes Liquid. Better than FD. No growth. Taxable As good as liquid. Safe. Non Returns only in long Gold -1 to 4% No. Gold ETF - Yes taxable. term Non-liquid. Fixed. Real estate 6-9% Yes High returns. Maintenance costs. Taxes. Liquid. Best for long term Equity 8-9% > 1 yr. - No wealth creation. Unsafe in short run
  • 31. When you invest in Equity, you are a partner
  • 35. Learning from history Investment 1 yr 2 yrs 3 yrs 5 yrs 7 yrs 10 yrs 15 yrs tenure Total positive 22 20 24 23 23 21 16 instances Total 30 29 28 26 24 21 16 instance % positive 73% 69% 86% 88% 96% 100% 100% instance
  • 36. Learning from history 100.00% 75.00% 50.00% 25.00% 0% 1 yr 2 yrs 3 yrs 5 yrs 7 yrs 10 yrs 15 yrs % positive instance
  • 38. Learning from history Investment 1 yr 2 yrs 3 yrs 5 yrs 7 yrs 10 yrs 15 yrs tenure Best return 101% 59% 51% 43% 37% 31% 26% Worst return -51% -22% -14% -2% -3% 3% 7%
  • 39. Learning from history 150.0% 112.5% 75.0% 37.5% 0% -37.5% -75.0% 1 yr 2 yrs 3 yrs 5 yrs 7 yrs 10 yrs 15 yrs Best return Worst return
  • 40. Learning from history Tenure 1 yr 2 yrs 3 yrs 5 yrs 7 yrs 10 yrs 15 yrs Best return 101% 59% 51% 43% 37% 31% 26% Average of 5 best 85% 52% 46% 39% 30% 27% 22% Worst return -51% -22% -14% -2% -3% 3% 7% Average of 5 worst -27% -13% -3% 1% 3% 6% 12%
  • 41. Equity is risky in the short run and quite safe in the long run
  • 42. Debt is safe in the short run and quite risky in the long run
  • 43. Real estate vs. Equity
  • 44. Misconceptions related to Real estate Real estate prices always rise It gives better returns than any other form of asset
  • 45.
  • 46. Reality vs. Equity Long term real estate returns are 14% CAGR (valid for Mumbai). If you add rental yield of 2-3%, then the total returns are 16-17% CAGR. 20% tax after indexation The Sensex returned 18% from base 100 in 1978. If you add dividend yield of 1.5%, then you get 19.5% CAGR 5000 p.m. 17% 19.5% 20 yrs 84 lacs 1.44 cr 30 yrs 4.2 cr 10.2 cr
  • 48. Should you invest in stocks directly?
  • 49. How to go about investing in equity? Invest in Equity MFs Invest via SIP Don’t be a MF collector
  • 50. Investing in MFs 2 Large cap funds 1 Large + Mid cap fund 1 Equity tax planning 1 debt fund Top stock Top sector Top 3 sector Large cap + Funds Top 10 stocks Large Cap exposure exposure exposure Mid cap 96% money in 85% in 49 2 funds 5.52% 24.5% 52.8% 37% 74 stocks stocks 97% money in 81% in 59 5 funds 4.67% 21.07% 46% 34% 111 stocks stocks 98% money in 80% in 60 10 funds 5.7% 21% 46.5% 37% 131 stocks stocks
  • 52. Expense ratio is important in long run Rs. 100,000 at 12%
  • 53. Buying an MF - KYC compliance (PAN, POI, POA) - fundsindia.com - Approach the AMC - Open a Demat account
  • 54. Few tips about saving and investing Start with goals in mind Short term - upgrade to sedan in 2 years Long term - start a restaurant after 20 years Save first spend later Automate
  • 55. Automate 30% 10% Future goals Salary account Retirement Setup SIP in mutual fund Goal 1 Goal 2 60% Goal 3 Expense account All your regular expenses
  • 56. Don’ts Get into wrong products for Tax saving Keep paying for endowment/ULIPs Not have emergency funds Buy stocks on the basis of tips given by others Shop for things you don’t need
  • 57. If you were to take away single thing from this presentation Start investing early
  • 58. Two sites you should refer to: www.jagoinvestor.com/archives www.investmentyogi.com Example taken from this book Jagoinvestor - Changing your relationship with money