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PARIOFORMA




                     Summary Report
                         October 2007




Parioforma Ltd
55 Princes Gate
London SW7 2PN
United Kingdom
www.parioforma.com
PARIOFORMA




   61 face-to-face interviews in hospitals across Russia:
    ◦ Respondent breakdown:
       Head of Pharmacy: 79%
       Doctors/ Clinical Pharmacologists: 13%
       Clinical Pharmacists: 3%
       Head Nurses responsible for buying: 5%

   12 interviews with top managers in Russian companies
   8 interviews with distributors
   8 interviews with Western companies
   8 interviews with the Ministry



                                                 Parioforma Ltd – 55 Princes Gate – London SW7 2PN – United Kingdom
                                                                                                www.parioforma.com
PARIOFORMA




 •     Estimated at ~USD $75 mln in 2006

                                                        Total Market: Basic solutions (by value)

$140


$120                              Basic solutions sales by value, mln. USD

$100


 $80


 $60


 $40

 $20


  $0
          2001         2002         2003           2004           2005        2006      2007 (E)   2008 (F)     2009 (F)     2010 (F)     2011 (F)


                                                                          NB: Includes imports and domestic manufacturing but not In-house production
       NB: In-house production not included. Source: RMBC sales audit, Diamond-Vision import data, ex-manufacturer prices calculated assuming average
                                                                                  wholesaler margin = 25% and VAT = 10%.Packs recalculated in litres
                                                                                     § For a list of solutions included under each heading see appendix


                                                                             Parioforma Ltd – 55 Princes Gate – London SW7 2PN – United Kingdom
                                                                                                                            www.parioforma.com
PARIOFORMA




                                                                  Total Market: Basic solutions (by volume)

                      60                                                                                                                                    $2.5


                      50
                                                                                                                                                            $2.0




                                                                                                                                                                   Ex-manufacturer price in USD
                      40
Sales in mln litres




                                                                                                                                                            $1.5

                      30

                                                                                                                                                            $1.0
                      20                                                              Basic solutions sales by volume, mln. litres

                                                                                      Basic solutions price per litre, USD                                  $0.5
                      10


                      0                                                                                                                                     $0.0
                               2001       2002        2003       2004       2005       2006      2007 (E)    2008 (F)    2009 (F)    2010 (F)   2011 (F)




                           NB: In-house production not included. Source: RMBC sales audit, Diamond-Vision import data, ex-manufacturer prices calculated assuming
                                                                                     average wholesaler margin = 25% and VAT = 10%.Packs recalculated in litres
                                                                                                                                    Equivalent price per litre used


                                                                                        Parioforma Ltd – 55 Princes Gate – London SW7 2PN – United Kingdom
                                                                                                                                       www.parioforma.com
PARIOFORMA




DRIVERS:                                  RESTRAINERS:

• Substitution of hospital in situ        • Hospitals financially constrained
production
                                          • Infusion solutions under-funded
• Change of medical practice
                                          • Variations in funding
• Price increases
                                          • Lack of market education
• Increased volumes of more expensive
commercially produced solutions
• Expanding economy




                                        Parioforma Ltd – 55 Princes Gate – London SW7 2PN – United Kingdom
                                                                                       www.parioforma.com
PARIOFORMA




•   Market for basic solutions is dominated by domestically manufactured solutions


                                 45
                                 40
                                 35
                                 30
                  Mlns, litres




                                 25
                                 20                Domestic Basic Solutions
                                 15                Imported Basic Solutions
                                 10
                                 5
                                 0
                                          2004                       2005                      2006



                        Source: RMBC sales audit, Diamond-Vision import data, ex-manufacturer prices calculated assuming average wholesaler
                                                                                   margin = 25% and VAT = 10%.Packs recalculated in litres


                                                                 Parioforma Ltd – 55 Princes Gate – London SW7 2PN – United Kingdom
                                                                                                                www.parioforma.com
PARIOFORMA




   38% of hospitals interviewed continue to produce infusion solutions in-
    house

   The bulk of production is composed of NaCl and glucose (~80%)

   Main reason for the decline in in-hospital production is the increasing
    restrictions by RosZdravNadzor

   The majority of respondents agreed that in-hospital production would
    continue to decline over the next 5 years

   Respondents noted that the decline in in-house production will be
    accompanied by a switch to manufactured solutions




                                        Parioforma Ltd – 55 Princes Gate – London SW7 2PN – United Kingdom
                                                                                       www.parioforma.com
PARIOFORMA




•     Most infusion solution sales go through hospital tenders
•     Pharmacy sales are direct patient purchases


    Pharm acy vs. Hospital Sales of Basic IVs in                  Pharm acy vs. Hospital Sales of Plasm a
                  m ln litres 2006                                    Expanders in m ln litres 2006
                19%
                             Through pharmacy sales                              32%         Through pharmacy sales

                             Through hospital sales                                          Through hospital sales


                                                           68%
81%



     Source: RMBC sales audit, expert opinion




                                                      Parioforma Ltd – 55 Princes Gate – London SW7 2PN – United Kingdom
                                                                                                     www.parioforma.com
PARIOFORMA




DRIVERS:                                   RESTRAINERS:
• Cheaper to utilise polymer line (for     • Preference for glass persists
new entrants)
                                           • Glass recycled for in-house
•Transportation of glass costly and        production
complicated
                                           • Majority of domestic players continue
• Special features                         to offer glass
• More convenient to use                   • Upfront unit cost
• Rigid plastic replicates the form of     • Poor quality of domestically produced
glass                                      PVC




                                         Parioforma Ltd – 55 Princes Gate – London SW7 2PN – United Kingdom
                                                                                        www.parioforma.com
PARIOFORMA




   200ml and 400ml dominate

       100%

        90%

        80%

        70%                                                                                            100 ml
        60%                                                                                            1000 ml
                                                                                                       500 ml
        50%                                                                                            250 ml
                                                                                                       400 ml
        40%
                                                                                                       200 ml
        30%

        20%

        10%

        0%
              2004   2005      2006   2007 (F)    2008 (F)    2009 (F)    2010 (F)     2011 (F)


                                        Source: RMBC sales audit, Diamond-Vision import data, RMC/Aston estimates


                                                 Parioforma Ltd – 55 Princes Gate – London SW7 2PN – United Kingdom
                                                                                                www.parioforma.com
PARIOFORMA




•   Estimated at ~$23 mln in 2006

                                         Total market: Plasma Expanders

    $50

    $45

    $40
                                    Plasma Expanders sales by value, mln. USD
    $35

    $30

    $25

    $20

    $15

    $10

     $5

     $0
          2001   2002   2003      2004        2005         2006       2007 (F)   2008 (F)   2009 (F)   2010 (F)   2011 (F)
                                         *
                          Source: RMBC sales audit, Diamond-Vision import data, ex-manufacturer prices calculated assuming average
                                                               wholesaler margin = 25% and VAT = 10%.Packs recalculated in litres


                                                           Parioforma Ltd – 55 Princes Gate – London SW7 2PN – United Kingdom
                                                                                                          www.parioforma.com
PARIOFORMA




DRIVERS:                                 RESTRAINERS:
• Increased financing of hospitals       • Financial constraints

• Increasing complexity of surgeries     • Variations in funding

• Developing private healthcare          • Price sensitivity

• Heavy investment in sales &            • Market education required
marketing of branded product
manufacturers




                                       Parioforma Ltd – 55 Princes Gate – London SW7 2PN – United Kingdom
                                                                                      www.parioforma.com
PARIOFORMA




•                 Domestic solutions dominate by volume
•                 Market moving in favour of imported solutions by value - reflecting marketing efforts


                                       Domestic Plasma Expanders                                                    Domestic Plasma Expanders
              5                                                                            $25
                                       Imported Plasma Expanders                                                    Imported Plasma Expanders
              4                                                                            $20
Mlns Litres




                                                                                  $ Mlns
              3                                                                            $15

              2                                                                            $10

              1                                                                             $5

              0                                                                             $0
                         2004             2005                  2006                               2004                 2005                 2006




                                                 Source: RMBC sales audit, Diamond-Vision import data, ex-manufacturer prices calculated assuming average
                                                                                      wholesaler margin = 25% and VAT = 10%.Packs recalculated in litres




                                                                               Parioforma Ltd – 55 Princes Gate – London SW7 2PN – United Kingdom
                                                                                                                              www.parioforma.com
PARIOFORMA




   200ml and 400ml dominate

        100%

         90%

         80%

         70%
                                                                                                      100 ml
         60%                                                                                          450 ml

         50%                                                                                          250 ml
                                                                                                      500 ml
         40%
                                                                                                      200 ml
         30%

         20%

         10%

          0%
               2004   2005     2006   2007 (F)     2008 (F)   2009 (F)    2010 (F)    2011 (F)


                                          Source: RMBC sales audit, Diamond-Vision import data, RMC/Aston estimates

                                                 Parioforma Ltd – 55 Princes Gate – London SW7 2PN – United Kingdom
                                                                                                www.parioforma.com
PARIOFORMA




    Premixes are used rarely
    Novocaine was the most frequently purchased ready-mixed solution by study
     respondents
    The second most frequent class was anti-infectives/ anti-bacterials

DRIVERS:                                       RESTRAINERS:
• Increased financing of hospitals             • Financial constraints
• Safety                                       • Limited availability
• Time efficiency                              • Variations in funding
• Developing private healthcare                • Price
                                               • No market education



                                            Parioforma Ltd – 55 Princes Gate – London SW7 2PN – United Kingdom
                                                                                           www.parioforma.com
PARIOFORMA




Basic Solutions                 Plasma Expanders
Sodium Chloride                 Starches 6%/ 10%

Dextrose                        Dextrans

Ringer’s Acetate/ Quintasol     Gelatins

Ringer’s solution               Polyvinylpyrrolidon (PVP)

Mannitol/ Mannit

Hartmann’s Solution             NB: Blood products were outside the scope of the study

Acesolum

Disolum

Trisolum

Chlo-salt

Mafusol

Sodium Bicarbonate

Calcium Chloride

Potassium Chloride




                              Parioforma Ltd – 55 Princes Gate – London SW7 2PN – United Kingdom
                                                                             www.parioforma.com
PARIOFORMA




   Parioforma Ltd. is an international business consultancy founded in 2005 and
    headquartered in London, UK.
   For further information or to discuss your needs please contact us…



                 LONDON OFFICE                     ASSOCIATE OFFICES
      Contact: Charles Rowlands                        Intrix Corp, Darien
                                         USA
      charles.rowlands@parioforma.com                  Connecticut
                                         Eastern
                                                       Vanguard, Moscow
      55 Prince’s Gate                   Europe
      Exhibition Road
      London SW7 2PN                     Brazil        Intrix Corp, São Paulo
      United Kingdom
      Tel: +44 (0) 7803 907577           Japan         TRN, Tokyo
      www.parioforma.com

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Russian market for iv solutions

  • 1. PARIOFORMA Summary Report October 2007 Parioforma Ltd 55 Princes Gate London SW7 2PN United Kingdom www.parioforma.com
  • 2. PARIOFORMA  61 face-to-face interviews in hospitals across Russia: ◦ Respondent breakdown:  Head of Pharmacy: 79%  Doctors/ Clinical Pharmacologists: 13%  Clinical Pharmacists: 3%  Head Nurses responsible for buying: 5%  12 interviews with top managers in Russian companies  8 interviews with distributors  8 interviews with Western companies  8 interviews with the Ministry Parioforma Ltd – 55 Princes Gate – London SW7 2PN – United Kingdom www.parioforma.com
  • 3. PARIOFORMA • Estimated at ~USD $75 mln in 2006 Total Market: Basic solutions (by value) $140 $120 Basic solutions sales by value, mln. USD $100 $80 $60 $40 $20 $0 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 (E) 2008 (F) 2009 (F) 2010 (F) 2011 (F) NB: Includes imports and domestic manufacturing but not In-house production NB: In-house production not included. Source: RMBC sales audit, Diamond-Vision import data, ex-manufacturer prices calculated assuming average wholesaler margin = 25% and VAT = 10%.Packs recalculated in litres § For a list of solutions included under each heading see appendix Parioforma Ltd – 55 Princes Gate – London SW7 2PN – United Kingdom www.parioforma.com
  • 4. PARIOFORMA Total Market: Basic solutions (by volume) 60 $2.5 50 $2.0 Ex-manufacturer price in USD 40 Sales in mln litres $1.5 30 $1.0 20 Basic solutions sales by volume, mln. litres Basic solutions price per litre, USD $0.5 10 0 $0.0 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 (E) 2008 (F) 2009 (F) 2010 (F) 2011 (F) NB: In-house production not included. Source: RMBC sales audit, Diamond-Vision import data, ex-manufacturer prices calculated assuming average wholesaler margin = 25% and VAT = 10%.Packs recalculated in litres Equivalent price per litre used Parioforma Ltd – 55 Princes Gate – London SW7 2PN – United Kingdom www.parioforma.com
  • 5. PARIOFORMA DRIVERS: RESTRAINERS: • Substitution of hospital in situ • Hospitals financially constrained production • Infusion solutions under-funded • Change of medical practice • Variations in funding • Price increases • Lack of market education • Increased volumes of more expensive commercially produced solutions • Expanding economy Parioforma Ltd – 55 Princes Gate – London SW7 2PN – United Kingdom www.parioforma.com
  • 6. PARIOFORMA • Market for basic solutions is dominated by domestically manufactured solutions 45 40 35 30 Mlns, litres 25 20 Domestic Basic Solutions 15 Imported Basic Solutions 10 5 0 2004 2005 2006 Source: RMBC sales audit, Diamond-Vision import data, ex-manufacturer prices calculated assuming average wholesaler margin = 25% and VAT = 10%.Packs recalculated in litres Parioforma Ltd – 55 Princes Gate – London SW7 2PN – United Kingdom www.parioforma.com
  • 7. PARIOFORMA  38% of hospitals interviewed continue to produce infusion solutions in- house  The bulk of production is composed of NaCl and glucose (~80%)  Main reason for the decline in in-hospital production is the increasing restrictions by RosZdravNadzor  The majority of respondents agreed that in-hospital production would continue to decline over the next 5 years  Respondents noted that the decline in in-house production will be accompanied by a switch to manufactured solutions Parioforma Ltd – 55 Princes Gate – London SW7 2PN – United Kingdom www.parioforma.com
  • 8. PARIOFORMA • Most infusion solution sales go through hospital tenders • Pharmacy sales are direct patient purchases Pharm acy vs. Hospital Sales of Basic IVs in Pharm acy vs. Hospital Sales of Plasm a m ln litres 2006 Expanders in m ln litres 2006 19% Through pharmacy sales 32% Through pharmacy sales Through hospital sales Through hospital sales 68% 81% Source: RMBC sales audit, expert opinion Parioforma Ltd – 55 Princes Gate – London SW7 2PN – United Kingdom www.parioforma.com
  • 9. PARIOFORMA DRIVERS: RESTRAINERS: • Cheaper to utilise polymer line (for • Preference for glass persists new entrants) • Glass recycled for in-house •Transportation of glass costly and production complicated • Majority of domestic players continue • Special features to offer glass • More convenient to use • Upfront unit cost • Rigid plastic replicates the form of • Poor quality of domestically produced glass PVC Parioforma Ltd – 55 Princes Gate – London SW7 2PN – United Kingdom www.parioforma.com
  • 10. PARIOFORMA  200ml and 400ml dominate 100% 90% 80% 70% 100 ml 60% 1000 ml 500 ml 50% 250 ml 400 ml 40% 200 ml 30% 20% 10% 0% 2004 2005 2006 2007 (F) 2008 (F) 2009 (F) 2010 (F) 2011 (F) Source: RMBC sales audit, Diamond-Vision import data, RMC/Aston estimates Parioforma Ltd – 55 Princes Gate – London SW7 2PN – United Kingdom www.parioforma.com
  • 11. PARIOFORMA • Estimated at ~$23 mln in 2006 Total market: Plasma Expanders $50 $45 $40 Plasma Expanders sales by value, mln. USD $35 $30 $25 $20 $15 $10 $5 $0 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 (F) 2008 (F) 2009 (F) 2010 (F) 2011 (F) * Source: RMBC sales audit, Diamond-Vision import data, ex-manufacturer prices calculated assuming average wholesaler margin = 25% and VAT = 10%.Packs recalculated in litres Parioforma Ltd – 55 Princes Gate – London SW7 2PN – United Kingdom www.parioforma.com
  • 12. PARIOFORMA DRIVERS: RESTRAINERS: • Increased financing of hospitals • Financial constraints • Increasing complexity of surgeries • Variations in funding • Developing private healthcare • Price sensitivity • Heavy investment in sales & • Market education required marketing of branded product manufacturers Parioforma Ltd – 55 Princes Gate – London SW7 2PN – United Kingdom www.parioforma.com
  • 13. PARIOFORMA • Domestic solutions dominate by volume • Market moving in favour of imported solutions by value - reflecting marketing efforts Domestic Plasma Expanders Domestic Plasma Expanders 5 $25 Imported Plasma Expanders Imported Plasma Expanders 4 $20 Mlns Litres $ Mlns 3 $15 2 $10 1 $5 0 $0 2004 2005 2006 2004 2005 2006 Source: RMBC sales audit, Diamond-Vision import data, ex-manufacturer prices calculated assuming average wholesaler margin = 25% and VAT = 10%.Packs recalculated in litres Parioforma Ltd – 55 Princes Gate – London SW7 2PN – United Kingdom www.parioforma.com
  • 14. PARIOFORMA  200ml and 400ml dominate 100% 90% 80% 70% 100 ml 60% 450 ml 50% 250 ml 500 ml 40% 200 ml 30% 20% 10% 0% 2004 2005 2006 2007 (F) 2008 (F) 2009 (F) 2010 (F) 2011 (F) Source: RMBC sales audit, Diamond-Vision import data, RMC/Aston estimates Parioforma Ltd – 55 Princes Gate – London SW7 2PN – United Kingdom www.parioforma.com
  • 15. PARIOFORMA  Premixes are used rarely  Novocaine was the most frequently purchased ready-mixed solution by study respondents  The second most frequent class was anti-infectives/ anti-bacterials DRIVERS: RESTRAINERS: • Increased financing of hospitals • Financial constraints • Safety • Limited availability • Time efficiency • Variations in funding • Developing private healthcare • Price • No market education Parioforma Ltd – 55 Princes Gate – London SW7 2PN – United Kingdom www.parioforma.com
  • 16. PARIOFORMA Basic Solutions Plasma Expanders Sodium Chloride Starches 6%/ 10% Dextrose Dextrans Ringer’s Acetate/ Quintasol Gelatins Ringer’s solution Polyvinylpyrrolidon (PVP) Mannitol/ Mannit Hartmann’s Solution NB: Blood products were outside the scope of the study Acesolum Disolum Trisolum Chlo-salt Mafusol Sodium Bicarbonate Calcium Chloride Potassium Chloride Parioforma Ltd – 55 Princes Gate – London SW7 2PN – United Kingdom www.parioforma.com
  • 17. PARIOFORMA  Parioforma Ltd. is an international business consultancy founded in 2005 and headquartered in London, UK.  For further information or to discuss your needs please contact us… LONDON OFFICE ASSOCIATE OFFICES Contact: Charles Rowlands Intrix Corp, Darien USA charles.rowlands@parioforma.com Connecticut Eastern Vanguard, Moscow 55 Prince’s Gate Europe Exhibition Road London SW7 2PN Brazil Intrix Corp, São Paulo United Kingdom Tel: +44 (0) 7803 907577 Japan TRN, Tokyo www.parioforma.com