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Shrieves Casting Company is considering adding a new line to its
    product mix and the capital budgeting analysis is being conducted. The
    production line would be set up in usued space in Shrieves’ main plant.

 The machinery’s invoice price would be approximately $220,000, another
    $10,000 in shipping charges would be required, and it would cost an
    additional $30,000 to install the equipment.
   The machinery has an economic life of 4 years and the accelerated
    depreciation rates are as follows: Year 1: 33%,.Year 2: 45%, Year 3: 15%,
    Year 4: 7%. The machinery is expected to have a salvage value of $50,000
    after 4 years of use.
   The new line would generate incremental sales of 1,500 units per year for
    4 years at an incremental cost of $100 per unit in the first year, excluding
    depreciation.
   Each unit can be sold for $200 in the first year.
   The sales price and cost are expected to increase by 5% per year due to
    inflation.
   Further, to handle the new line, the firm’s net working capital would
    have to increase by an amount equal to 20% of sales revenues.
   The firm’s tax rate is 40%, and its overall weighted average cost of capital
    is 10%.
                                                                               2
A. What is the machinery’s depreciable cost basis ?
What are the annual depreciation expenses ?
 Depreciation Basis: Cost + Shipping + Installation

   Basis = Cost ( $220,000)

          + Shipping ( $10,000)
          + Installation ( $30,000)

        = $260,000




                                                      3
What are the annual depreciation expenses ?

Annual Depreciation Expense
 Year      %          (Inıtıal Basis)   =Depreciation

 1        33%     *        $260,000      $85.8
 2        45%     *        $260,000      $117
 3        15%     *        $260,000      $39
 4        7%      *        $260,000      $18.2




                                                        4
B. Calculate the annual sales revenues and costs.

Annual Sales and Costs ( 5% inflation is assumed )
                     Year 1     Year 2   Year 3    Year 4

Units Quantity       1500      1500      1500       1500

Unit Selling price   $200      $210      $220,5     $231,52

Unit Cost            $100      $105      $110,25    $115,76

Sales                $300000   $315000   $330750    $347280

Costs                $150000   $157500   $165375    $173640

Revenue              $150000   $157500   $165375    $173640

                                                              5
Why is it important to include inflation when
estimating revenues and costs ?
  Nominal r > real r. The cost of capital, r, includes a premium for
   inflation.

  Nominal CF > real CF. This is because inflation.


  If you discount real CF with the higher nominal r, then your NPV
   estimate would be too low.

  Nominal CF should be discounted with nominal r and real CF
   should be discountes with real r.

  It is more realistic to find the nominal CF than it is to reduce the
   nominal r to a real r.                                                 6
C. Calculate the annual operating cash flows of the
investment
             Year 1     Year 2     Year 3     Year 4

Sales        $300,000   $315,000   $330,750   $347,280

Cost         $150,000   $157,500   $165,375   $173,640

Deprec.      $85,800    $117,000   $39,000    $18,200

EBIT         $64,200    $40,500    $126,375   $155,440

Taxes(40%)   $25,680    $16,200    $50,500    $62,176

EBIT(1-T)    $38,520    $24,300    $75,825    $93,264

+Deprec.     $85,800    $117,000   $39,000    $18,200

Net Op. CF   $124,320   $141,300   $114,825   $111,464
                                                         7
D. Estimate the required net working capital for each
year
Net Working Capital For Each Year

Year      Sales      NWC (%20)   CF Due To Inv. In NWC
•0         -         60,000       -60,000
•1         300,000   63,000       -3000
•2         315,000   66,150       -3150
•3         330,750   69,456       -3300
•4         347,280   0            -69,456




                                                         8
E. Calculate the after-tax salvage cash flow

Salvage Cash Flow

Salvage Value            50,000

Book Value                    0

Gain                     50,000

Tax on SV(0.4)           20,000

Net Terminal Cash Flow   30,000




                                               9
F. Calculating net cash flows and NVP
                          Year 0         Year 1     Year 2        Year 3     Year 4

  Initial Cost            -$300,000      0          0             0          0

  Operational CF          0              $124,320   $141,300      $114,825   $111,464

  NWC CF                  -$60,000       -$3,000    -$3,150       -$3,300    -$69,456

  Salvage CF              0              0          0             0          $30,000

  Net Cash Flow           -$320,000      $121,320   $138,150      $111,525   $72,008



    0            1    2            3         4
                                                              NPV = $37,437 > $0
-$320,000 $121,320 $138,150   $111,525   $72,008


                                                                                        10
ANY QUESTION?




THANKS FOR YOUR ATTENTION!


                             11

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Anıl Sural - Cash Flow Analysis

  • 1. 1
  • 2. Shrieves Casting Company is considering adding a new line to its product mix and the capital budgeting analysis is being conducted. The production line would be set up in usued space in Shrieves’ main plant.  The machinery’s invoice price would be approximately $220,000, another $10,000 in shipping charges would be required, and it would cost an additional $30,000 to install the equipment.  The machinery has an economic life of 4 years and the accelerated depreciation rates are as follows: Year 1: 33%,.Year 2: 45%, Year 3: 15%, Year 4: 7%. The machinery is expected to have a salvage value of $50,000 after 4 years of use.  The new line would generate incremental sales of 1,500 units per year for 4 years at an incremental cost of $100 per unit in the first year, excluding depreciation.  Each unit can be sold for $200 in the first year.  The sales price and cost are expected to increase by 5% per year due to inflation.  Further, to handle the new line, the firm’s net working capital would have to increase by an amount equal to 20% of sales revenues.  The firm’s tax rate is 40%, and its overall weighted average cost of capital is 10%. 2
  • 3. A. What is the machinery’s depreciable cost basis ? What are the annual depreciation expenses ? Depreciation Basis: Cost + Shipping + Installation Basis = Cost ( $220,000) + Shipping ( $10,000) + Installation ( $30,000) = $260,000 3
  • 4. What are the annual depreciation expenses ? Annual Depreciation Expense Year % (Inıtıal Basis) =Depreciation 1 33% * $260,000 $85.8 2 45% * $260,000 $117 3 15% * $260,000 $39 4 7% * $260,000 $18.2 4
  • 5. B. Calculate the annual sales revenues and costs. Annual Sales and Costs ( 5% inflation is assumed ) Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Units Quantity 1500 1500 1500 1500 Unit Selling price $200 $210 $220,5 $231,52 Unit Cost $100 $105 $110,25 $115,76 Sales $300000 $315000 $330750 $347280 Costs $150000 $157500 $165375 $173640 Revenue $150000 $157500 $165375 $173640 5
  • 6. Why is it important to include inflation when estimating revenues and costs ?  Nominal r > real r. The cost of capital, r, includes a premium for inflation.  Nominal CF > real CF. This is because inflation.  If you discount real CF with the higher nominal r, then your NPV estimate would be too low.  Nominal CF should be discounted with nominal r and real CF should be discountes with real r.  It is more realistic to find the nominal CF than it is to reduce the nominal r to a real r. 6
  • 7. C. Calculate the annual operating cash flows of the investment Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Sales $300,000 $315,000 $330,750 $347,280 Cost $150,000 $157,500 $165,375 $173,640 Deprec. $85,800 $117,000 $39,000 $18,200 EBIT $64,200 $40,500 $126,375 $155,440 Taxes(40%) $25,680 $16,200 $50,500 $62,176 EBIT(1-T) $38,520 $24,300 $75,825 $93,264 +Deprec. $85,800 $117,000 $39,000 $18,200 Net Op. CF $124,320 $141,300 $114,825 $111,464 7
  • 8. D. Estimate the required net working capital for each year Net Working Capital For Each Year Year Sales NWC (%20) CF Due To Inv. In NWC •0 - 60,000 -60,000 •1 300,000 63,000 -3000 •2 315,000 66,150 -3150 •3 330,750 69,456 -3300 •4 347,280 0 -69,456 8
  • 9. E. Calculate the after-tax salvage cash flow Salvage Cash Flow Salvage Value 50,000 Book Value 0 Gain 50,000 Tax on SV(0.4) 20,000 Net Terminal Cash Flow 30,000 9
  • 10. F. Calculating net cash flows and NVP Year 0 Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Initial Cost -$300,000 0 0 0 0 Operational CF 0 $124,320 $141,300 $114,825 $111,464 NWC CF -$60,000 -$3,000 -$3,150 -$3,300 -$69,456 Salvage CF 0 0 0 0 $30,000 Net Cash Flow -$320,000 $121,320 $138,150 $111,525 $72,008 0 1 2 3 4 NPV = $37,437 > $0 -$320,000 $121,320 $138,150 $111,525 $72,008 10
  • 11. ANY QUESTION? THANKS FOR YOUR ATTENTION! 11