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Engineering Industry in Punjab
making the big leap forward
2012


CII – Valcon Report
Message by Mrs Kamna Raj Aggarwalla
                               Chairperson, CII Destination Punjab 2012

                               It is my proud privilege to present CII Valcon report on “Engineering Industry in
                               Punjab – Taking the Big Leap Forward” at the 2nd Edition of Destination Punjab
                               – An Industrial & Engineering exposition. The report and this event is part of our
                               endeavour to showcase to the world, the tremendous potential & promise that
                               engineering sector in Punjab holds.

                               CII and Valcon through this report have tried to come up with a holistic approach
                               and practicable solutions which would help create capacity and also bring in
                               concepts of competitiveness & automation that will help engineering sector
                               gain momentum to become the true growth driver of our economy.

                               While Destination Punjab 2012 seeks to provide a rare perfect platform to the
                               engineering sector in Punjab to explore boundless opportunities which will help
                               foster new partnerships & engineer profits.

                               I would like to convey my sincere gratitude to Government of Punjab, Valcon
Mrs Kamna Raj Aggarwalla
                               Management Consulting and my dear friends from Industry as also our
Chairperson, CII Destination
                               exhibitors, buyers, sponsors and other stakeholders, who have supported us in
Punjab 2012
                               this endeavour of reenergizing the engineering sector in the state.

                               Wishing everyone a meaningful and productive Destination Punjab.




2
CII – Valcon Report




Message by Ms Sandeep Riat
Chairperson, CII Ludhiana Zonal Council

It is a matter of great privilege for me to extend a very warm welcome to all the
stakeholders & participants of the 2nd edition of Destination Punjab being
organized at Ludhiana.

Our focus in this years’ edition is to revive & reenergize the engineering sector
in the state by showcasing the potential and opportunities existing in this sector
to our business fraternity across the country & globe.

As Ludhiana has traditionally been known as the hub of engineering
entrepreneurship in this region & country, through Destination Punjab 2012 we
have also endeavored to expose local entrepreneur to newer clients, latest
technologies & practices through a focused exposition and concurrent sessions
with experts and leaders from industry.

Besides these, CII & Valcon Management Consultants have together compiled a
report which highlights the tremendous opportunities waiting to be tapped in
                                                                                     Ms Sandeep Riat
engineering sector in the state. I am sure our stakeholders will find this report
                                                                                     Chairperson, CII Ludhiana Zonal
informative & useful.
                                                                                     Council
I would also take this opportunity to thank the state Government and other
stakeholders who have put in their sustained efforts and helped us in building a
successful Destination Punjab 2012.

Wishing everyone a pleasant & fruitful stay at Destination Punjab 2012,
Ludhiana.




                                                                                                                         3
Message by Mr Deepak Mittal
                             Chairman, CII Punjab State Council

                             On behalf of CII Punjab State Council, I take this opportunity to personally
                             welcome you all to the 2nd edition of Destination Punjab at Ludhiana.

                             After successfully organizing the 1st edition in Amritsar last year, this time we
                             have adopted a more focused approach to highlight the strengths &
                             opportunities existing in the engineering sector in the state.

                             At Destination Punjab 2012, besides an exposition, an extensive schedule of
                             Knowledge Sessions, Vendor Development Programs and a Conference on
                             Automation have been scheduled over a period of 3 days which I am sure would
                             help our business fraternity to expand its horizons by interacting with their
                             prospective partners besides learning newer concepts, technologies & practices.

                             I am also delighted to share that CII and Valcon Management Consultants have
                             compiled a holistic report which aims to provide a bird’s eye view of the
                             tremendous opportunities that exist for engineering Industry in Punjab as also it
Mr Deepak Mittal
                             suggests the way forward to realize the full potential of this sector in the state.
Chairman, CII Punjab State
Council                      This momentous effort would not have been possible without the unflinching
                             support provided by Government of Punjab, colleagues from Industry and other
                             stakeholders in this endeavour. I thank each and every one for their contribution.

                             Wish you all a very fruitful Destination Punjab 2012.




4
CII – Valcon Report




Message by Mr Krishnan Naganathan
CEO, Valcon Management Consultants

The engineering sector in Punjab is going through a tough phase – challenging
business environment coupled with traditional working style is a double
whammy for many of the home grown companies. Growth – in these conditions
– is possible only through a holistic approach of analysing the status quo, taking
steps to consolidate and diversify and leveraging the strengths to tap the
potential in this sector.

In this backdrop, I believe that there could not have been a better time than now
to present this report to the industry. This report by Valcon and CII attempts to
create a holistic view of the current status of Punjab’s engineering industry and
its growth vis-a-vis the Indian engineering sector. Further, we have also provided
the possible way forward for Punjab’s engineering industry to make the next big
leap forward.

This report also highlights the sunrise sub-sectors in the industry with long term
potential that are likely to emerge as key drivers for the engineering sector. The   Mr Krishnan Naganathan
potential of the various sub sectors has been looked into both in terms of           CEO, Valcon Management
profitability and return on investment, thus providing a quantified assessment       Consultants Pvt. Ltd
for the reader. The objective has been to make the reader aware of the emerging
opportunities and possibly trigger interest for further study and action.

We have also tried to identify and understand the strengths of Punjab’s
companies that have helped them survive and fend off challenges as also their
weaknesses that have kept them from growing faster. Our learning has been
complemented by views of industry experts and by Valcon’s view points on
leading practices that needs to be implemented to ride the next curve of growth.
As is the case in any study, the views expressed pertain primarily to majority of
the population studied. We realise that there are a number of companies who
stand out from the general and have outperformed others. In many ways, these
companies also set examples of the good practices to be emulated by others.

With a strong domestic market, untapped export potential and large
infrastructure investment plans by the government, there is an immense growth
opportunity waiting for the companies. I hope that CII and Valcon’s attempt in
sharing the collective insights benefit the readers and enables the sector to
drive long term growth in this sector.

In short: Taking you further.




                                                                                                                      5
Table of contents


    Punjab’s economy                                                           7
    Engineering sector and its relevance to growth of Punjab’s
    economy                                                                    8
    Opportunities in engineering sector                                       11
    	   Engineering sector overview in India                                  11
    	   Classification of engineering sectors                                 11
    Engineering sub-sectors                                                   15
    	   Medical equipment                                                      15
    	   Farm, construction and mining machinery                                17
    	   Metal fabrication                                                      21
    	   Industrial equipment and components                                    23
    	   Auto components                                                        27
    	   Aerospace and defence - Sunrise sector with strong long term potential 32
    	   Overall sector outlook                                                 32
    Potential for Punjab’s engineering industry                               33
    	 Strengths and weaknesses  33
    	 Capability assessment     38
    	Skills                     40
    	 Marketing capabilities43
    SWOT analysis of Punjab’s engineering industry                            46
    Key success factors for growth                                            48
    Hurdles and roadblocks                                                    49
    Valcon’s view                                                             50
    Information sources  acknowledgements                                    52
    About CII  About Valcon                                                  53




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CII – Valcon Report




Punjab’s economy


Demographics: Punjab has been one of the richest states in India since
independence. With a population of approximately 2.8 crores1 spread over a
fertile area of 50,362 km2 Punjab today is not only responsible for 15% of India’s
wheat and rice production2 but also contributes 2.5% of India’s industrial output.

Size and growth: The net industrial production in Punjab is nearly INR 30,000
crores. While agriculture and allied activities contribute 31% of state’s domestic
product (2009-10), industrial activities and services contribute nearly 18% and
51% respectively. The annualised growth in these sectors for last five years had
been 13.1%, 18.7% and 16.3% respectively indicating growing prominence of
industrial activities in overall economy of Punjab4.

Figure 1: Growth trends for components of economy in Punjab




                                                              100
    State domestic product in Rs 1,000 Cr at current prices




                                                              90

                                                              80

                                                              70

                                                              60

                                                              50

                                                              40

                                                              30

                                                              20

                                                              10

                                                               0
                                                                    2004 - 05   2005 - 06      2006 - 07     2007 - 08   2008 - 09      2009 - 10


                                                                    Industry          Agriculture          Services          Industry growth trend


Major industrial sectors: Registered factories contribute 56% of the
industrial output in Punjab. They accounted for around INR 17.5 thousand crores
of gross value added in 2009-105. The major industry contributing to this output
was engineering, accounting for 41% of gross value added while textiles,
leather and apparels accounting for another 21%.
1
  Provisional Population Totals at a Glance Figure : 2011: Punjab (Census of India)
2
  RBI Handbook of Statistics 2011
3
  Annual Survey of Industries 2009-2010
4
  RBI Handbook of Statistics 2011. Growth rates have been calculated on Current Prices
5
  RBI Handbook of Statistics 2011 and Annual Survey of Industries 2009-10 Average                                                                                     7
Engineering sector and its relevance to
    growth of Punjab’s economy
    Figure 2: Share of total output by industry sectors in Punjab



                                                              22.9%               Engineering
                          26.4%                                                   Textiles  leather
                                                                                  Food  beverages
                                                                                  Chemicals  pharmaceuticals
                                                                                  Others




                        8.4%                                             22.4%




                                     20%
    Source: Annual Survey of Industries 2009-2010



    Engineering sector is a major contributor to the economy of Punjab. Over the last
    decade (2000 to 2010) it has grown at 16.4 % annually (CAGR). Today, while it
    represents about 23% of total industrial output of Punjab it only forms 2.9% of
    engineering industry contribution at the national level. This is in contrast with
    engineering output from neighbouring states like Haryana and Uttarakhand
    which share some of the same geographical advantages and disadvantages as
    Punjab but have raced ahead due to supportive industrial policies, availability of
    suitable infrastructure and better industrial climate in these states.

    Figure 3: Engineering sector contribution from Indian states 2012


                                               2.4% 2.4%
                                  11.6%                    2.9%
                                                               3.2%               West Bengal
                                                                      4.7%        Rajasthan
                                                                                  Punjab
                                                                         6.9%     Andhra Pradesh
                     21.2%
                                                                                  Uttarakhand
                                                                             7%   Karnataka
                                                                                  Uttar Pradesh
                                                                                  Gujarat
                                                                       7.9%       Haryana
                                                                                  Tamil Nadu
                               17%                                                Maharashtra
                                                           12.6%
                                                                                  Others
    Source: Annual Survey of Industries 2009-2010



    In the last decade (2000 to 2010) the growth in Punjab’s engineering industry
    has been behind the national average of 17.0% (CAGR)6. Nevertheless it has
    6
        CAGR (Compounded Annual Growth Rate) is the constant annually compounded rate of growth which would 	
        lead to output in 2010 starting from the respective industrial output in year 2000. These rates have been 	
        calculated using data from Annual Survey of Industries 2009-2010.
8
CII – Valcon Report




been responsible for a big proportion of the industrial growth in Punjab in past
10 years due to its relative size.                                                                                   ƒƒ While engineering sector
                                                                                                                        accounts for nearly 23% of
More than 90% of the engineering Industry output from Punjab is from three                                              Punjab’s industrial output,
subsectors. Automotive and auto components have the largest contribution with                                           its share is a meagre 2.9%
large number of component manufacturers supplying to OEMs around Delhi and                                              amongst all states
in Uttarakhand. Several of the components manufacturers also supply to the                                           ƒƒ Engineering industries in
local tractor and farm equipment industry (classified under special purpose                                             nearby states like Haryana
machinery). Profitability of the sector is relatively poor with average profits being                                   and Uttarakhand are seen
5% of total industrial output.                                                                                          to be doing better than
                                                                                                                        Punjab in their contribution
Figure 4: Respective size of engineering related industries in Punjab
                                                                                                                        to national output

                                                                          Aerospace  defence                        ƒƒ Most of engineering
                                  5.63% 0.78%
                          4.88%                                           Medical equipment                             industrial output in Punjab is
                      2.98%
                                         0% 0.03%
                                                                          Automotive  auto components                  from low margin industries
                                                                          Castings, forgings  fabrication
                                                                 38.26%   Special purpose machinery
             21.71%                                                       Industrial equipment  components
                                                                          Consumer electrical  electronic eqpt.
                                                                          including appliances
                                                                          Industrial electrical  electronic eqpt.
                                                                          Heavy vehicles  transportation



                                     25.74%

Source: Annual Survey of Industries 2009-2010; Valcon analysis


Figure 5: Respective profit contribution of engineering related industries in Punjab


                                 2.11%     0.35%                          Aerospace  defence
                             6.82%
                                                                          Medical equipment
                        2.63%
                                                          27.67%          Automotive  auto components
                                         0% 0.03%
                                                                          Castings, forgings  fabrication
                                                                          Special purpose machinery
                                                                          Industrial equipment  components
                                                                          Consumer electrical  electronic eqpt.
                                                                          including appliances
              41.93%                                                      Industrial electrical  electronic eqpt.
                                                                          Heavy vehicles  transportation
                                                         18.46%



Source: Annual Survey of Industries 2009-2010; Valcon analysis



The second largest engineering subsector is castings, forgings and fabrication.
This sector supplies to customers in metal and mineral processing, heavy
vehicles and transportation, industrial equipment manufacturing, construction,
automotive and other diverse industries. Customers are spread across the
country as well as several businesses have significant exports. Poor profitability


                                                                                                                                                          9
(5% of output) in this large sector is due to the low value adding nature of the
                                                  subsector.

                                                  The third largest sector, special purpose machinery, is responsible for 23% of
                                                  Punjab’s engineering sector output and has a high profitability (13% of output). It
                                                  is responsible for nearly 43% of the profits from Punjab’s engineering sector
                                                  making it the major source of profitability for Punjab’s engineering industry. This
                                                  sector includes tractors and other farm equipment; machine tools, metal forming
                                                  machinery, machinery for mining, quarrying and construction; machinery for
                                                  processing of food and beverage, textile, apparel, leather, paper, rubber and
                                                  plastics. Many of the machinery manufacturing businesses are profitable due to
                                                  local prominence of their customer industries like agriculture; textiles and
                                                  apparel manufacturing; leather, food, beverage, and rubber processing, etc.

                                                  Consumer electronics, including household appliances, is the only other notable
                                                  subsector contributing 7.2% of engineering industry profits in Punjab despite
                                                  being responsible for less than 4% of output. This is due to high profitability of
                                                  13% generated by this sector.
* The growth scale has been made linear            Figure 6: Status of growth versus profitability of engineering sector in Punjab
between the lowest and median values and
median and highest values. The bubble                                                                                                         Special purpose
position indicates the relative rank of the                      10.0                                                                           machinery

sub-sector on this scale. The size of the                         9.0                                                                  Consumer/business
bubble indicates the size of the sub-sector in                                                                                            electrical 
terms of its gross output.                                        8.0                                                                     electronics

                                                                  7.0     Medical equipment
                                                                                                                                                    Industrial equipment 
                                                                                                                              Automotive  auto
                                                                  6.0                          Castings forgings                                         components
                                                                                                                                 components
                                                 Profitability




                                                                                                  fabrication
                                                                  5.0

                                                                  4.0

                                                                  3.0
                                                                                                Heavy vehicles                               Industrial electrical 
                                                                  2.0                              transport                                  electronic equipment


                                                                  1.0

                                                                  0.0
                                                                        0.0     1.0      2.0        3.0        4.0    5.0     6.0       7.0       8.0        9.0        10.0

                                                                                                                     Growth
                                                  Source: Annual Survey of Industries Data 2008-2009 and 2009-2010, Valcon analysis



                                                  In summary, majority of engineering industry output from Punjab has poor
                                                  profitability and hence there is significant opportunity to improve the sector
                                                  performance.

                                                  At this stage, we take a look at the performance of engineering sector in the
                                                  country and the opportunities for growth available in various sub-sectors of the
                                                  industry.

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CII – Valcon Report




Opportunities in engineering sector

Engineering sector overview in India
The engineering sector is the largest segment of Indian industry and employs
more than 40 lakh1 skilled and semi-skilled workers. It forms a significant part of
the manufacturing industry and is very diverse in nature.
India is also a major exporter of engineered products and services which is
estimated to touch ~USD 68 billion (~INR 360 thousand crores) by FY 20152. This
is primarily due to its comparative advantage of lower design, research  labour
cost. The engineering sector is 100 per cent de-licensed and has accounted for
8.9% of FDI inflow2 since April 2000.

Classification of engineering sectors
The key engineering sub-sectors which are part of the manufacturing sector in
India and have been focused upon in this report are:
ƒƒ   Aerospace and defence
ƒƒ   Medical equipment and appliances
ƒƒ   Industrial electrical and electronics
ƒƒ   Special purpose machinery
     yy Farm and construction machinery
     yy Other process equipment
     yy Metal forming and machine tools
ƒƒ Heavy vehicles and transportation
ƒƒ Industrial equipment and components
ƒƒ Castings, forgings and fabrication
   yy Castings and forgings
   yy Metal fabrication
ƒƒ Automotive and auto components
ƒƒ Consumer and business electrical and electronics
Some of these sub-sectors are inputs to others while some of them cater to the
consumers directly.
In terms of the gross output from these engineering industries we find that
automotive and auto parts and industrial electrical and electronics contribute
more than 50% of the output. These sectors are also among the oldest sectors
along with the castings, forgings and fabrication sectors. Some of the newer
sectors like aerospace and defence as well as medical equipment and
appliances are seeing a lot of impetus from both private and public enterprises.


                                                                                                      11
Figure 7: All-India engineering industry output by sub-sector in 2009-2010

                                              0%
                                        8%         1%
                                                        12%
                                   2%                                   Aerospace  defence
                             19%                                        Medical equipment  appliances
                                                                        Consumer/business electrical 
                                                              33%       electronics
                                                                        Automotive  auto parts
                                                                        Castings, forgings  fabrication
                                                                        Industrial equipment  components
                                                                        Industrial electrical  electronics
                                                                        Heavy transport vehicles
                         10%
                                                                        Special purpose machinery

                                             15%
     Source: ASI 2009-2010


     In order to evaluate the business attractiveness of these sectors we have
     analysed them on the following business parameters:
     ƒƒ Net profit profitability
     ƒƒ Growth
     ƒƒ 	 eturn on gross fixed asset (only plant and equipment). This measure is a
        R
        ratio of net profit to gross value of plant and machinery (RoGFA).
     ƒƒ Investment requirements. It has been evaluated using the measure of
        average capital deployed per factory.
     Evaluating the various sub-sectors for their performance on growth and profit-
     ability, we find that the following stand out as more attractive than others, in
     India:
     ƒƒ   Heavy vehicles and transportation
     ƒƒ   Medical equipment
     ƒƒ   Farm and construction machinery
     ƒƒ   Automotive and auto components
     ƒƒ   Metal fabrication




12
CII – Valcon Report




 Figure 8: Growth and profitability of engineering sub-sectors in India                                                                      * The growth scale has been made linear
                                                                                                                                             between the lowest and median values and
                10.0                                                                                                                         median and highest values. The bubble
                                                                                                          Medical equipment
                                                                                   Heavy transport                                           position indicates the relative rank of the
                 9.0                                                                  vehicles                                               sub-sector on this scale. The size of the
                                                       Industrial equipment                                                                 bubble indicates the size of the sub-sector
                 8.0                                        components                                                                       in terms of its gross output.
                 7.0
                        Aerospace  defence
                                                                        Consumer electrical              Farm  construction
                 6.0                                                        electronics                       machinery
Profitability




                 5.0
                                Other process equipment
                 4.0                                        Metal fabrication
                                                                                Industrial electrical 
                 3.0                                                                 electronics
                                     Castings  forgings                                                                 Automotive  auto
                 2.0                                                                                                        components


                 1.0
                         Metal forming  machine
                                   tools
                 0.0
                       0.0     1.0        2.0       3.0       4.0        5.0          6.0        7.0          8.0       9.0      10.0

                                                                       Growth


In order to understand the attractiveness in terms of entering certain sub-
sectors, we have compared on return on gross fixed assets† vs. average capital
employed per factory. As can be seen from the graph (see figure {9} the most
attractive sectors where the return on gross fixed assets is high while the
average capital employed per factory is low are:
ƒƒ              Farm and construction machinery
ƒƒ              Heavy vehicles and transportation
ƒƒ              Industrial equipment and components
ƒƒ              Other process equipment
ƒƒ              Medical equipment
ƒƒ              Metal fabrication
†
      It only includes plant and equipment




                                                                                                                                                                                       13
* The growth scale has been made linear         Figure 9: RoGFA vs. avg. capital deployed per factory
between the lowest and median values and
median and highest values. The bubble
                                                                                  10.0
position indicates the relative rank of the
                                                                                                                                                                                                Heavy transport
sub-sector on this scale. The size of the                                          9.0                                                                                                             vehicles
bubble indicates the size of the sub-sector
in terms of its gross output.                                                      8.0            Automotive  auto
                                              Avg. capital deployed per factory                      components
                                                                                                                                 Industrial electrical 
                                                                                   7.0                                                electronics
                                                                                                                                                        Industrial equipment 
                                                                                                                                                             components
                                                                                   6.0                                                                                                 Farm  construction
                                                                                                                                                                                           machinery
                                                                                   5.0
                                                                                                           Consumer electrical 
                                                                                   4.0                         electronics       Medical equipment
                                                                                                                                                                 Other process equipment
                                                                                   3.0                    Castings  forgings

                                                                                   2.0                                                            Metal fabrication

                                                                                   1.0         Metal forming  machine
                                                                                                         tools           Aerospace  defence
                                                                                   0.0
                                                                                         0.0        1.0       2.0        3.0       4.0        5.0          6.0        7.0        8.0         9.0      10.0

                                                                                                                                            RoGFA

                                                 In addition to the above parameters, it is also important to consider the size of
                                                 the sectors since it indicates more opportunity. Automotive and auto
                                                 components which is the largest sub-sector under engineering with a strong
                                                 growth trajectory is an important sector to consider.
                                                 Considering all the above mentioned parameters simultaneously and giving
                                                 higher weightage to profitability and RoGFA, we identified the following
                                                 sub-sectors for detailed study:

                                                                                                                                                                                              Avg. capital
                                                                                                                                                                                             employed per
                                                                                    Sub-sector                        Growth rate            Profitability                  RoGFA
                                                                                                                                                                                                factory

                                                                        Farm  construction                               High                  Medium                      High                   Medium
                                                                        machinery
                                                                    Heavy vehicles                                       High                  Medium                Medium-Low              Medium-High
                                                                    transportation

                                                                    Medical equipment                                     High                      High              Medium-High             Medium-Low

                                                                    Industrial equipment
                                                                     components                                         Medium              Medium-high              Medium-High                  Medium

                                                                    Metal fabrication                                    Medium                 Medium                Medium-High                   Low


                                                 Note: Lower avg. capital deployed per factory lowers the entry barriers for firms


                                                 Some of these sub-sectors such as farm and construction machinery and
                                                 automotive and auto components have a strong resonance to Punjab’s
                                                 engineering sector
                                                 The following section delves deeper into each of these sub-sectors and their
                                                 typical characteristics.
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CII – Valcon Report




Engineering sub-sectors

Medical equipment
India’s medical equipment market – valued at $4.9 billion (INR 25.8 thousand       An estimated three-quarters of
                                                                                   India’s demand for medical
crores) – is Asia’s fourth-largest (behind Japan, China, and South Korea) and is
                                                                                   devices is currently met by
projected to reach $8 billion (INR 42200 crores) by 2015, as health insurance
                                                                                   imports, nearly 30% of which
becomes more widely available and the country’s middle-class consumers
                                                                                   are supplied by the United
continue to demand better healthcare services.
                                                                                   States.
India’s rapidly growing healthcare market is providing significant trade
opportunities for medical device firms. An estimated three-quarters of India’s
demand for medical devices is currently met by imports, nearly 30% of which
are supplied by the United States
By 2050, India is expected to overtake China as the world’s most populated
country, with a projected population of 170 crores. By 2025, India’s elderly
population (aged 60 and above) is expected to reach nearly 200 million.

Figure 10: Medical devices market



                6

                5

                4
 US $ billion




                3

                2

                1

                0
                       2006              2009                   2012
Source: FICCI report



Key segments
Medical instruments and appliances, orthopaedic and prosthetic appliances are
the key segments in this category with 25.10% and 20% share. The
consumables such as bandages, medical supplies and syringes contribute close
to 20% to this category.




                                                                                                                      15
Figure 11: Key segments of medical equipment



                           15.20%                   25.10%          Medical instruments  appliances
                                                                    X Ray apparatus
                                                                    Bandages  other medical supplies
                 10.20%                                             Orthopeadic, prosthetic appliances
                                                                    Syringes, needles
                                                                    Electromedical
                                                                    Others
                                                             9.5%
                     12%

                                                      7.6%

                                    20%
     Source: www.aimedindia.com



     The Indian medical technology industry is highly competitive and fragmented,
     with domestic firms primarily manufacturing low technology products such as
     disposables/medical supplies, and MNCs primarily importing high end medical
     equipment. MNCs seeking to enter the industry typically form joint ventures
     with local manufacturers, establish subsidiaries or employ local agents to
     distribute their products.

     Key growth drivers
     ƒƒ Faster upgradation of existing technology and global new product innovation
     ƒƒ Availability of advanced and sophisticated medical technology
     ƒƒ Medical tourism is being promoted by the government and stimulated by the
        corporate boom in medical care driving private care providers to upgrade their
        medical technology infrastructure
     ƒƒ Increased penetration of health insurance leading to increased coverage of
        high cost treatment
     ƒƒ Rising disposable income/purchasing power

     Key challenges
     ƒƒ Penetration is very low in rural/towns/smaller towns due to affordability.
        Rural healthcare providers would want a cheaper and cost effective solution
        and don’t opt for high end products
     ƒƒ Unclear government regulation coupled with ambiguous quality standards is
        also a key challenge faced by this sector

     Way forward
     ƒƒ Financial engineering along with product sales can dramatically enlarge the
        market




16
CII – Valcon Report




ƒƒ 	 se of technology to reduce cost, increase penetration such as telemedicine,
   U
   remote monitoring etc.                                                                Innovation is the key
ƒƒ Sound regulatory framework is a key enabler for the growth of the medical             Companies need to innovate
   technology                                                                            and invest in RD to come out
                                                                                         with cost effective solutions
                                                                                         and think of economies of
Farm, construction and mining machinery                                                  scale so that they can reach
                                                                                         more customers with the right
This sub-sector caters to two significant sectors of the Indian economy;
                                                                                         pricing.
Agriculture and infrastructure which together contribute more than 25% to
India’s GDP. Currently the farm and construction machinery sub-sector accounts
for only about 4% of the engineering sector output but has seen a growth rate
of over 18% over the period FY2009 to FY2010.
The farm machinery segment consists of diverse set of products across the
agricultural value chain:

Fig. 12: Agricultural value chain



                                          Weeding
 Tilling  seeding                                                        Post harvest
                           Sowing          plant          Harvesting
    preparation                                                           processing
                                         protection

  Tractors            Seeders        Harrow           Harvester         Seed extr.
  Levelers            Planters       Tiller           Thresher          Dehusker
  Ploughs             Transplanter   Sprayer          Reaper            Mill
                                     Duster                             Dryer



Amongst all the products, tractors are the largest segment in India and is also
one of the main categories of products exported. Several Indian companies like
Tractors  Farm Equipment Ltd. (TAFE), Mahindra  Mahindra, Escorts Agri
Machinery Group, etc. have built successful business with tractors as their main
product category. India is the world’s largest producer of tractors and accounts
for a third of the world’s production. India is a net exporters of tractors, which
has grown at a CAGR of 17% over the last 5 years. The domestic market has
grown at a CAGR of ~15% over the last 5 years with North India being the
largest market.




                                                                                                                           17
CII – Valcon report on enginnering industry in Punjab




                                        Figure 13: Region wise tractor sale FY 2008 and FY 2009

     Increased mechanisation and                                           9%                                                     13%
     lower labour availability is
     driving the domestic demand
                                                                                   18%                                                        21%
     for farm equipment. In addition,      38%                                                       36%
     cost pressures in the
     international markets are
     forcing global players to                                                      8%
     source components and
     assemblies from India in                                                                                                           10%

     growing volumes.                          Central               26%                          Central         19%
                                               West                                               West
                                               East                                               East
                                               South                                              South
                                               North                                              North

                                        Source: CMIE Prowess




                                        The tractor industry is very organised and also fairly consolidated as can be seen
                                        from the market share trends below:



                                              Sub sector                                     FY 2008             FY 2011            FY 2012

                                          Mahindra  Mahindra Ltd. (MM Ltd.)                 34%                 39.6%              39.2%

                                         Tractors  Farm Equipment Ltd. (TFEL)                21%                 21%                24.0%

                                         Escorts Ltd.                                         13%                 12.1%              10.3%

                                         John Deere Equipment Pvt. Ltd.                           8%              9.8%               9.2%

                                         International Tractors Ltd.                              8%              8.5%               8.3%

                                        Sources: CMIE Prowess, IAS



                                        Key drivers
                                        ƒƒ Increasing need for mechaniation. The difficulty in getting manual labour due
                                           to urbanisation and the need to improve productivity are driving the use of
                                           machinery to enable sustainable farming
                                        ƒƒ Emergence of corporate sourcing from farmers. This has led to an increase in
                                           margins available to the farmer enabling the drive for greater productivity
                                        ƒƒ Better financing and credit schemes in rural areas. Government subsidies and
                                           also organised money lending by co-operative banks has given avenues to
                                           the farmer to procure farm machinery



18
CII – Valcon Report




The government has estimated that investment worth INR 40 lakh crores will be
made over the 12th five year plan period in Infrastructure development in the                Infrastructure growth has
country. The key areas of infrastructure are rail, road, power, ports and airports           slowed down but it is an
which contribute about 66% to the construction sector in India while residential             imperative if growth in India
and commercial account for 27% and 7% respectively. Private participation in                 needs to be sustained.
the infrastructure sector is set to rise to 50% of the total infrastructure                  Increasing number of
investment. This growth is one of the primary drivers for the construction                   international firms are setting
equipment sub-sector.                                                                        up manufacturing and sourcing
                                                                                             operations in India to cater to
Construction and mining equipment consists of machinery such as hydraulic                    domestic as well as
excavators, backhoe loaders, bull dozers, dump trucks, pavers, wet mix plants,               international demand.
cranes, fork lifts, dozers, etc. with an estimated market size of INR 14,740
crores.

A classification of this equipment is as shown below:


                               Construction  mining equipment



                                         Material handling
   Earth moving equipments                                          Other machineries
                                           equipments

   Backhoe loaders                 Conveyors                     Concrete mixers
   Wheeled loaders                 Forklifts                     Road rollers
   Excavators                      Automated storage             Pavers
   Trenchers                       Automated guided vehicle      Spraying  plastering M/C
   Bulldozers                      Cranes  hoists               Hot mix plants
   Dumpers                         Robots, etc.                  Crushers
   Graders                                                       Pumps (heavy duty)
   Compactors                                                    Slurry seal machines
   Scrappers, etc.                                               Tunneling  drilling
                                                                 Machines
                                                                 Tippers, etc.


Source: Industry sources, DB Research


Backhoe loader is the largest segment in the sector, in terms of volume followed
by hydraulic excavators and mobile cranes.
The Indian construction and mining equipment industry is estimated to have
presence of about 200 players, though can be considered as organised as
players in the organised sector are estimated to account for about 80-85% of
the revenue and the top four player	 s together account for ~85% of total
market share. JCB India Ltd. is the market leader in the Indian construction and
mining equipment market, accounting for ~30% of total market share, followed
by BEML Ltd (~18%).




                                                                                                                                19
CII – Valcon report on enginnering industry in Punjab




     Figure 14: Major players


                                                 16.3%                                                                    JCB India Ltd.
                                                                                                                          BEML Ltd.
                                                                                                  30.6%                   Tecpro Systems Ltd.
                                                                                                                          Mcnally Bharat Engg. Co. Ltd.
                                       9.3%
                                                                                                                          LT Komatsu Ltd.
                                                                                                                          Others


                                       12.1%


                                                                                      18.3%
                                                       13.6%

     Source: Industry Sources, CMIE Prowess, DB Research



     Raw material expense is the largest operating expense component in the sector,
     accounting for ~56.7% of total sales in FY 2012. Iron and steel are the two main
     raw materials used in the segment.

     Evaluating the farm and construction equipment sector on some of the
     operational parameters gives a better perspective of the governing factors for
     success in this sector. Here we have compared this against auto components to
     give greater clarity on their relative requirements. As we can see here the farm,
     construction and mining machinery industry has relatively similar product
     complexity but has a lower requirement for precision. Also given that on an
     average this sector has a larger product size it implies a higher value product.

     Figure 15: Product complexity and product size
                        High




                                                                                                           High




                                     Auto components
                                                                                        Product valueadd




                                                                                                                                             Farm  construction
     Precision levels




                                                                                                                                                 machinery
                                                         Farm  construction
                                                             machinery

                                                                                                                     Auto components
                        Low




                                                                                                           Low




                               Low                                             High                               Light                                        Heavy


                                               Product complexity                                                                   Product size




20
CII – Valcon Report




Metal fabrication
This is a highly fragmented and labour intensive sector with medium and small
scale industries heavily dependent on job work. Fabrication applies to the
building of machines, structures and other equipment, by cutting, shaping and
assembling components made from raw materials by using various mechanical
processes such as welding, soldering, forging, brazing, forming, pressing,
bending and stress removal. Welding is a major process input in most
fabrication jobs.
Since the demand for fabrication sector comes from the engineering sector,                  Steel availability coupled with
especially capital goods, the growth of fabrication industry largely depends on             labour availability enables
the overall industrial scenario. The fabrication industry caters to many sectors            Indian firms to deliver
such as transportation, construction and structures, industrial and heavy                   fabricated products which are
equipment, packaging, consumer products, etc. The major user industry for the               competitive globally. Domestic
fabrication sector is the general structural fabrication followed by the railway            demand for structural steel
and shipping, machine building and construction.                                            (on-site and off-site) is driven
                                                                                            primarily by the core
Raw material is the primary cost driver of this industry and is easily available in         infrastructure segments and
India, only special steel needs to be imported. However, with prices of steel               construction segments
increasing on global and domestic level, slowing demand and manufacturers in                (residential and commercial).
the engineering sector planning a reduction in production capacity, the growth
of this industry is likely to undergo a moderation in the near term.

Figure 16: Cost structure [%] (2011)


                                        0%
                                 3.1%
                                                      Increase in stock
                       2%                             Raw materials
                                        0%            Power generation and distribution
                                                      Other manufacturing expenses
                                                      Employee cost
             10.4%
                                                      Selling and administration expenses
                                                      Miscellaneous expenses
                                                      Depreciation
                7.1%
                                             61.9%
                                                      Other operational expenses

                       9.6%
                              5.8%

Source: Ecotrends




                                                                                                                                21
Key drivers
     ƒƒ 	 roject based – core industry sector plays a major role and effects upstream
        P
        and downstream fabricators
     ƒƒ 	 edium and small scale industries heavily dependent on job work
        M
     ƒƒ More power dependant compared to a machining industry
     ƒƒ 	 rowth also dependent on growth in the engineering sector, especially
        G
        capital goods industry
     ƒƒ Construction industry will drive the demand for small units and also on site
        fabrication for structural elements

     Future growth outlook
     ƒƒ General structural fabrication will continue to grow (example: cement, power,
        two-wheeler frames, etc.)
     ƒƒ 	 ousing sector growth will affect performance of small and medium
        H
        fabricators
     ƒƒ 	 lectrical and power projects – major impetus for future success
        E
     Evaluating the metal fabrication sector on some of the operational parameters,
     shows us that the precision requirements are far lower than auto components
     and also has lower product complexity. On the other hand it is more labour
     intensive and requires higher skill level since there are more manual
     intervention as compared to auto components. This gives a fair indication of the
     cost drivers and importance of skilled labour in this sector.

     Figure 17: Product complexity and operator skills
                        High




                                                                                                   High




                                                                                                            Metal fabrication
                                      Auto components
                                                                            Labour intensiveness
     Precision levels




                                                                                                             Auto components

                                     Metal fabrication
                        Low




                                                                                                   Low




                               Low                                   High                                 Light                              Heavy


                                                Product complexity                                                         Operator skills




22
CII – Valcon Report




Industrial equipment and components
This sector consists of varied set of equipment with application across all major
industries including power, automotive, construction, capital goods, etc. The
various categories which form this sub-sector are as shown below with engines
and turbines (33%) forming the largest category. Refrigeration, air-conditioning
equipment (19%), pumps and compressors (14%) and bearings and gears (13%)
constitutes the other key categories.
Figure 18: Revenue share by segment



                                                     Engines  turbines
                     19%                             Hydraulics  pneumatics
                                              33%
                                                     Pumps, compressions  valves
              0%
                                                     Bearings  gears
                                                     Heating equipment
             10%
                                                     Lifting  handling equipment
                                                     Power driven hand tools
                3%                                   Refrigeration, air-conditioning, fire
                                                     extinguishers  weighing machinery

                                             8%
                      13%

                                       14%



In terms of their profit contribution to the sector the main segments are engines
and turbines, pumps, compressor and valves and refrigeration and air
conditioning.
Figure 19: Profit share by segment


                            11%
                      0%                             Engines  turbines
                                             50%     Fluid power equipment
                     7%
                                                     Pumps, compressions  valves
                2%                                   Bearings  gears
                                                     Heating equipment
              10%
                                                     Lifting  handling equipment
                                                     Power driven hand tools
                                                     Refrigeration, air-conditioning, fire
                                                     extinguishers  weighing machinery

                     14%

                                  6%




                                                                                                             23
Engines and turbines
     The main sector that this segment caters to is the power generation sector and
     generally grouped under the boiler-turbine-generator (BTG) segment.
     Figure 20: Revenue share by segment


                                  10%
                                                                      Boilers
                                                                      Turbines
                                                                      Generators


                    27%

                                                             63%




     Source: IBEF Report on Elecrical Machinery


     It is expected that about 40% increase in thermal power capacity will be seen in
     the 12th five-year plan period. Most of the equipment for the projects under
     execution is being supplied by Chinese OEM’s with BHEL and LT MHI being the
     other significant player.
     Figure 21: Share of OEMs for super-critical projects under execution


                                 12%
                                                                      China-based OEMs
                                                                      BHEL
                                                                      LT-MHI
                     15%
                                                                      Others

                                                             57%




                          16%



     Source: ICRA Research



     With many bilateral nuclear agreements in place, India is expected to become
     a major hub for manufacturing nuclear reactors and associated components.
     The Indian Government proposes to add 3,380 MW of nuclear power capacity
     by 2012.There is a huge opportunity for players to re-orient and focus their
     efforts to develop technology for higher capacity thermal units and nuclear
     reactors.




24
CII – Valcon Report




The key challenge facing the sector is the delay in project execution which
impacts the order flow and cash flow. Also transport of this equipment faces
major issues due to the absence of good quality infrastructure.
Raw material is the primary cost driver followed by employee cost.
Figure 22: Cost structure [%] (2011)


                                              0.1%
                                       2.2%
                                2.9%
                         5.5%                                          Increase in stock
                                                                       Raw materials
                 12.7%
                                              0%                       Power generation and distribution
                                                                       Other manufacturing expenses
                                                                       Employee cost
             5.4%                                                      Selling and administration expenses
                                                                       Miscellaneous expenses
               1.1%
                                                                       Depreciation
                                                               70.2%
                                                                       Other operational expenses



Source: Ecotrends



Key drivers
ƒƒ Increasing demand for energy and large investments in the energy sector                                   The BTG as well as pumps and
ƒƒ Civilian nuclear deals between India and other nations will encourage                                     compressor segments are
   growth in the nuclear power generation sector                                                             driven by the growth in power
                                                                                                             and oil and gas sectors.
Pumps, compressors and valves                                                                                Technology capabilities play
                                                                                                             an important role in the high
This category of products is used across multiple sectors like oil and gas and
                                                                                                             value/performance sectors
agriculture and power generation. Pumps and valves comprise of more than
                        Table 10 Pumps valves compressors                                                    and there is a need for
two-thirds of this INR 12,000-14,000 crore sector while compressors is the
                                                                                                             domestic companies to invest
other category.                                                                                              in RD to build more profitable
Some of the major players in the Indian market are:				                                                      businesses.


        Pumps                          Valves                           Compressors


 Kirloskar Brothers Ltd.               Flowserve Corporation            BHEL

 CRI Pumps                             Tyco Flow                        Siemens

 Crompton Greaves                      LT Audco                        Ingersoll Rand

 KSB                                   Fisher Sanmar                    Atlas Copco

 Bharat Bijlee                         BHEL                             Dresser Rand




                                                                                                                                                25
Compressor design complexity implies a fewer number of domestic
                                     manufacturers while pumps and valves market has a significant unorganised
                                     segment. In India the Rotary compressors dominate the market with 85%
                                     share.
                                     Figure 23: Pumps market share - organised vs unorganised
     Organised retail and
     processed food sectors will                                                                 Unorganised
     drive a wave of growth in the                                                               Organised
     cold chain infrastructure
     across the country. A large
     number of domestic and
                                                   56%                                     44%
     international players are
     gearing up for it.




                                     Source: Netscribes – Pumps Market 2011


                                     Key drivers
                                     ƒƒ Growth in oil and gas sector with large number of projects
                                     ƒƒ Irrigation projects with the government’s increased focus on agriculture

                                     Refrigeration and air conditioning equipment
                                     This sector is seeing a boost in its growth with increased need for cold chains
                                     to be established. The process of storing, transporting and displaying food at
                                     appropriate temperatures will gain more significance. Refrigeration segment
                                     is expected to grow at about 10-15% over the next 3 years while the air
                                     conditioning segment is poised for a 15-20% growth over the same period.
                                     Figure 24: Market share by segment


                                                                  8%
                                                                                                 Air conditioning systems
                                                                                                 Commercial refrigeration
                                                         14%
                                                                                                 ACR servicing




                                                                                           78%




                                     Source: AIACRA




26
CII – Valcon Report




There are large number of Indian and international firms which have a strong
presence in this sector such as Blue Star, Carrier, Haier, Voltas. The key
component of refrigeration and air conditioning systems are compressor
which has been described in the previous section.

Key drivers
ƒƒ Growth in organised retail
ƒƒ Growth in processed food sector
ƒƒ Increased need for air conditioned commercial establishments



Auto components
Growth in automobile sector has been one of the key drivers of the economic
growth of the country. However, Indian auto components industry has been
witnessing a moderation in its revenue growth to 16% in FY 2012 as compared
to the average growth of above 30% in previous two fiscal on the back of
slowing automobile sales.
Figure 25: Comprehensive product range


                            7%           9%
                                                          Electrical parts
                                              10%         Equipment
                                                          Suspension  braking parts
                                                          Body  chassis
              31%
                                                          Drive transmission  steering parts
                                                    12%   Engine parts
                                                          Others



                                              12%


                              19%

Source: www.acmainfo.com



As compared to the auto component market overseas, India focuses primarily on
the ancillary and equipment segments rather than engine and suspension parts,
due to its developing RD capabilities. Contribution of suspension and braking
parts and Equipment is going to improve in the years to come due to use of 4
wheel drive and increase in replacement market.
India is one of the largest auto components market with a production turnover of
INR 226 thousand crores in FY 2012. It has grown at a CAGR of ~18.7% over FY
2008-12. Growth in domestic auto industry and demand from export market led
to the growth of auto component industry.




                                                                                                                27
Figure 26: Growth of Indian auto components industry

     Indian auto component
     industry comprises of round                      7000
     600 companies in the                                                                                                                         E
                                                                                                                                              %         5876
                                                      6000                                                                                  13
     organised sector which                                                                                                          wt
                                                                                                                                        h
                                                                                                                                  gro
     account 85% of the production                                                                                          ted
                                                      5000                                                            tima
     whereas more than 6,000                                                                                       Es
                                      INR (billion)

     companies involved in the                        4000
                                                                                                                                            3447.6
     unorganised market.
                                                      3000
                                                                                                                       2262
                                                                                                        2074.8
                                                      2000                                  1565.2
                                                               1378        1196
                                                      1000

                                                         0
                                                             2007 - 08   2008 - 09         2009 - 10   2010 - 11   2011 - 12            2015 - 16(E) 2020 - 21(E)

                                                                                                         Year
                                     Source: www.acmainfo.com



                                     As per industry estimates, out of the total turnover of the Indian auto
                                     components industry, around 60% is derived from sales to domestic OEMs,
                                     around 25% comes from sales to the domestic replacement market and around
                                     15% is derived from exports

                                     Competitive scenario
                                     Indian auto components industry apart from being categorised into OEMs and
                                     replacements market is organised but highly fragmented in nature.
                                                                               Table 11 Competitive scenario
                                     Indian auto component industry comprises of round 600 companies in the
                                     organised sector which account 85% of the production whereas more than
                                     6,000 companies involved in the unorganised market.


                                      Company                                                                              Number of companies
                                                                               Turnover range (INR Bn)
                                      classification                                                                       in organised sector

                                      Medium                                       10                                     14

                                      Small                                       2.50 - 10                                85

                                      Mini                                        0.50 - 2.50                              200

                                      Micro                                        0.50                                   305




28
CII – Valcon Report




Altogether top five players account for ~9.24% of the market while top ten
companies corner ~11.93% of the market. Low share of leading companies
indicate the fragmented nature of the industry.
India has been a net importer of auto components during FY 2008-12 and while
imports continue to grow at 25%. However, exports continue to be the beacon
of hope despite the slow-down in the global economy.

Export-import dynamics
Exports to European region accounted for highest share in auto component            India remained a net importer
exports from India of 39% in FY 2012, followed by America region (30%), Asia        of auto components during FY
(19%). However, the exports to Africa region recorded highest y-o-y growth of       2008-12. Imports continued to
about 55% followed by over 39% growth in exports to European region during          grow at 25%, exceeding USD
the similar period.                                                                 10.5 billion compared to USD
                                                                                    8.5 billion in the previous year
Figure 27: Growth of exports vs imports                                             as compared to growth of
                                                                                    exports at 18%.
                           28                                             Exports
                                 334
   FY 2012                14              514.4                           Imports
                 237.1
   FY 2011                        387.6

                 160
   FY 2010
                            306.8

                  184
   FY 2009
                            312.8

                 159.6
   FY 2008               260.4


             0    100               200           300   400   500   600

Source: crisil.com  www.acmainfo.com
                                          50


Key drivers
ƒƒ The performance of auto component industry is totally dependent on the
   performance of automobile sector. The future outlook is still better with auto
   component mirroring the auto industry growth at a rate of 13-15%
ƒƒ Increasing focus on localisation of vendor base
ƒƒ Sourcing of auto components by international automobile companies to cut
   costs
ƒƒ Increasing focus towards quality certification which has now led to
   increased purchase of parts from the organised market




                                                                                                                         29
Figure 28: Growth of auto components relative to growth of auto industry




                40%

     % growth
                20%

                  0


                            0




                                              1




                                                           2




                                                                                ..




                                                                                                 ..
                          -1




                                          -1




                                                         -1




                                                                            -.




                                                                                                 -.
                                                                          15




                                                                                             20
                        09




                                         10




                                                       11




                                                                         20




                                                                                           20
                      20




                                         20




                                                      20
                                     Auto component                              Auto industry

                      Source: CMIE IAS



     Key challegens
     Though in the long term, auto component’s growth prospects are strong, it is
     facing challenges and bottlenecks to growth:
     ƒƒ Financial viability in face of ever increasing cost pressures
     ƒƒ Tier 2/3 companies also face challenges of low return on investment which
        prevents scaling up of operations
     ƒƒ Economic condition. High interest rates coupled with inflation and weakening
        of the rupee
     ƒƒ Work force management
     ƒƒ Government’s move to push for more multilateral and bilateral trade

     Government initiatives to promote growth and innovation
     ƒƒ The government has proposed to formulate a sequel of AMP II (2018-27) to
        put in place a framework for the long term growth trajectory for auto and
        auto ancillary sector
     ƒƒ Creation of Technology Up-gradation  Development Scheme (TUDS) for auto
        components and setting up of Auto Component Technology Development
        Fund (ATDF) which will help auto component companies in accessing loans at
        reduced rates of interest for research and development activities,
        upgradation of process and technology acquisition
     ƒƒ Auto Component Manufacturers Association (ACMA) has identified the long
        term investment requirement by auto component industry during 2012-16 of
        about ~INR 15,000 crores of which ~INR 7,500 crores are proposed to be
        financed through soft loans with interest subvention



30
CII – Valcon Report




ƒƒ The government has allowed 100% foreign equity investment in the sector,
   through the automatic route, without any minimum investment criteria                  The auto components industry
                                                                                         in India is around two-thirds
Future growth outlook                                                                    the size of the OEM segment.
There is no doubt the medium to long-term growth story of India remains intact,          This proportion is around one
however auto component industry will have to get used to such transient                  to two times in mature markets
ups-and-downs arising from the difficult economic situation. Significant                 of Europe, America and Japan.
opportunities exist to enhance share in the global automotive market. Industries
need to invest in design and development to move up the value chain.
Currently, the auto components industry in India is around two-thirds the size of
the OEM segment. This proportion is around one to two times in mature markets
of Europe, America and Japan. This indicates:
ƒƒ Higher proportion of imports of auto components in India by OEMs and
ƒƒ Lower replacement market sales

Other sub-sectors
The following sub-sectors also appear to have a larger scope for business
growth over the medium term:
Electronics (engine-side and body-side) – The localisation proportion of
electronic components in Indian cars remains low as of now. Given the growing
need to offer driver information systems, engine management systems and
emission control systems in cars to meet the advancing safety and emission
regulations, the use of electronics in Indian cars is likely to see a proliferation in
the times to come. This should translate into strong growth for auto ancillaries
having capabilities in this segment.
Plastics – Although this segment is already quite competition intensive,
considering OEMs’ focus on adopting light-weighting technologies and already
several instances where material of components has been changed by OEMs
from sheet metal to plastic; it augurs well for auto component manufacturers
having strong capability in the plastics space. Sheet moulded composites, bulk
moulded composites and long fibre thermoplastics are some of the new
materials being used to replace metal and conventional plastics.
Aluminium die-casting – In the boom period of 2009-10 and 2010-11, the auto
industry had experienced significant capacity constraints for aluminium die-cast
components. The capacity shortage was more severe at tier-2 suppliers’ end and
this had prompted few tier-1 players to backward integrate not just for captive
consumption but also for selling to other customers. Also, for select engine
components, OEMs are likely to demand tighter product tolerances to meet the
stringent emission control norms which in turn is likely to increase per unit
realisation for auto ancillaries manufacturing such components (although at the
cost of higher capital investments).

                                                                                                                            31
Aerospace and defence – Sunrise sector with
       strong long term potential
       Overview
       This sector is currently in its nascent stages in India but presents a large
       opportunity. Until now, most projects are executed by PSU or government
       research agencies which have the RD and technological expertise. But
       with more private players acquiring technological capability by way of JV’s,
       acquisitions or talent inflow have begun to play a more significant role not
       just domestically but also on the international stage.

       Key drivers
       ƒƒ 100% private sector participation with defence having a restriction of
          26% FDI
       ƒƒ Offset policy from large defence spend
       ƒƒ Strong maintenance, repair and overhaul (MRO) capabilities
       ƒƒ Continued growth of civil aviation
       ƒƒ Investments in the Indian space programme – INR 40,000 crores during
          the period 2007-2012

       Key challenges
       ƒƒ Moving up the value chain from being tier 2-3 suppliers to tier 1 suppliers
       ƒƒ Building design and integration capabilities
       ƒƒ Availability of highly skilled workforce
       ƒƒ High import duties on imported components
       ƒƒ Access to funding for high initial capital investment



     Overall sector outlook
     Demand in the engineering sector is expected to remain healthy primarily on
     account of the government increased thrust on infrastructure development in
     turn having positive impact on various sub-sectors. Favourable government
     policies and regulations would enable the sector to scale up its growth
     potential.
     Increased spend in defence, improving medical infrastructure, indigenisation of
     auto components to tap export potential, farm and construction equipment are
     going to be critical drivers for growth of this engineering industry.
     The next section analyses Punjab’s strength in leveraging the growth potential.



32
CII – Valcon Report




Potential for Punjab’s engineering
industry
Strengths and weaknesses
Though Punjab has been an agriculture dominated economy since
Independence, the state occupied an important position in the engineering
sector of the country. The industrial towns like Ludhiana, Amritsar, Jalandhar,
Mohali, etc. host several small, medium and large industrial units. Dominated
by small and medium enterprises, Punjab excels in production of leather goods,
textiles, machine and hand tools and paper packaging.
Local availability of raw material, skills and market demand have contributed to
significant growth of these industries. All of this was adequately supported by
the enterprising spirit of Punjab’s businessmen who instilled flexibility in running
their operations to meet diverse customisation requests and customer
expectations.
The success of the engineering industry is primarily due two reasons: the spurt
of agricultural growth that aided the manufacturing to move out of infancy
through sustained local demand, and the ability of the businessmen to think
ahead of time and ahead of competition.
Examples of such forward thinking include use of automation in textile
manufacturing, development of machine tools industry, leadership in high
volume bicycle market and so on.
However, it would not be prudent to say that all local companies have adopted
innovative thinking and best practices. Companies have usually focussed on one
or two strengths that would set them apart from the competition. This is also
reflected by inputs received during our discussions across industries in Punjab
(see figure {29}).




                                                                                                       33
CII - Valcon Report on Engineering Industry in Punjab 2012
CII - Valcon Report on Engineering Industry in Punjab 2012
CII - Valcon Report on Engineering Industry in Punjab 2012
CII - Valcon Report on Engineering Industry in Punjab 2012
CII - Valcon Report on Engineering Industry in Punjab 2012
CII - Valcon Report on Engineering Industry in Punjab 2012
CII - Valcon Report on Engineering Industry in Punjab 2012
CII - Valcon Report on Engineering Industry in Punjab 2012
CII - Valcon Report on Engineering Industry in Punjab 2012
CII - Valcon Report on Engineering Industry in Punjab 2012
CII - Valcon Report on Engineering Industry in Punjab 2012
CII - Valcon Report on Engineering Industry in Punjab 2012
CII - Valcon Report on Engineering Industry in Punjab 2012
CII - Valcon Report on Engineering Industry in Punjab 2012
CII - Valcon Report on Engineering Industry in Punjab 2012
CII - Valcon Report on Engineering Industry in Punjab 2012
CII - Valcon Report on Engineering Industry in Punjab 2012
CII - Valcon Report on Engineering Industry in Punjab 2012
CII - Valcon Report on Engineering Industry in Punjab 2012
CII - Valcon Report on Engineering Industry in Punjab 2012
CII - Valcon Report on Engineering Industry in Punjab 2012
CII - Valcon Report on Engineering Industry in Punjab 2012
CII - Valcon Report on Engineering Industry in Punjab 2012

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CII - Valcon Report on Engineering Industry in Punjab 2012

  • 1. Engineering Industry in Punjab making the big leap forward 2012 CII – Valcon Report
  • 2. Message by Mrs Kamna Raj Aggarwalla Chairperson, CII Destination Punjab 2012 It is my proud privilege to present CII Valcon report on “Engineering Industry in Punjab – Taking the Big Leap Forward” at the 2nd Edition of Destination Punjab – An Industrial & Engineering exposition. The report and this event is part of our endeavour to showcase to the world, the tremendous potential & promise that engineering sector in Punjab holds. CII and Valcon through this report have tried to come up with a holistic approach and practicable solutions which would help create capacity and also bring in concepts of competitiveness & automation that will help engineering sector gain momentum to become the true growth driver of our economy. While Destination Punjab 2012 seeks to provide a rare perfect platform to the engineering sector in Punjab to explore boundless opportunities which will help foster new partnerships & engineer profits. I would like to convey my sincere gratitude to Government of Punjab, Valcon Mrs Kamna Raj Aggarwalla Management Consulting and my dear friends from Industry as also our Chairperson, CII Destination exhibitors, buyers, sponsors and other stakeholders, who have supported us in Punjab 2012 this endeavour of reenergizing the engineering sector in the state. Wishing everyone a meaningful and productive Destination Punjab. 2
  • 3. CII – Valcon Report Message by Ms Sandeep Riat Chairperson, CII Ludhiana Zonal Council It is a matter of great privilege for me to extend a very warm welcome to all the stakeholders & participants of the 2nd edition of Destination Punjab being organized at Ludhiana. Our focus in this years’ edition is to revive & reenergize the engineering sector in the state by showcasing the potential and opportunities existing in this sector to our business fraternity across the country & globe. As Ludhiana has traditionally been known as the hub of engineering entrepreneurship in this region & country, through Destination Punjab 2012 we have also endeavored to expose local entrepreneur to newer clients, latest technologies & practices through a focused exposition and concurrent sessions with experts and leaders from industry. Besides these, CII & Valcon Management Consultants have together compiled a report which highlights the tremendous opportunities waiting to be tapped in Ms Sandeep Riat engineering sector in the state. I am sure our stakeholders will find this report Chairperson, CII Ludhiana Zonal informative & useful. Council I would also take this opportunity to thank the state Government and other stakeholders who have put in their sustained efforts and helped us in building a successful Destination Punjab 2012. Wishing everyone a pleasant & fruitful stay at Destination Punjab 2012, Ludhiana. 3
  • 4. Message by Mr Deepak Mittal Chairman, CII Punjab State Council On behalf of CII Punjab State Council, I take this opportunity to personally welcome you all to the 2nd edition of Destination Punjab at Ludhiana. After successfully organizing the 1st edition in Amritsar last year, this time we have adopted a more focused approach to highlight the strengths & opportunities existing in the engineering sector in the state. At Destination Punjab 2012, besides an exposition, an extensive schedule of Knowledge Sessions, Vendor Development Programs and a Conference on Automation have been scheduled over a period of 3 days which I am sure would help our business fraternity to expand its horizons by interacting with their prospective partners besides learning newer concepts, technologies & practices. I am also delighted to share that CII and Valcon Management Consultants have compiled a holistic report which aims to provide a bird’s eye view of the tremendous opportunities that exist for engineering Industry in Punjab as also it Mr Deepak Mittal suggests the way forward to realize the full potential of this sector in the state. Chairman, CII Punjab State Council This momentous effort would not have been possible without the unflinching support provided by Government of Punjab, colleagues from Industry and other stakeholders in this endeavour. I thank each and every one for their contribution. Wish you all a very fruitful Destination Punjab 2012. 4
  • 5. CII – Valcon Report Message by Mr Krishnan Naganathan CEO, Valcon Management Consultants The engineering sector in Punjab is going through a tough phase – challenging business environment coupled with traditional working style is a double whammy for many of the home grown companies. Growth – in these conditions – is possible only through a holistic approach of analysing the status quo, taking steps to consolidate and diversify and leveraging the strengths to tap the potential in this sector. In this backdrop, I believe that there could not have been a better time than now to present this report to the industry. This report by Valcon and CII attempts to create a holistic view of the current status of Punjab’s engineering industry and its growth vis-a-vis the Indian engineering sector. Further, we have also provided the possible way forward for Punjab’s engineering industry to make the next big leap forward. This report also highlights the sunrise sub-sectors in the industry with long term potential that are likely to emerge as key drivers for the engineering sector. The Mr Krishnan Naganathan potential of the various sub sectors has been looked into both in terms of CEO, Valcon Management profitability and return on investment, thus providing a quantified assessment Consultants Pvt. Ltd for the reader. The objective has been to make the reader aware of the emerging opportunities and possibly trigger interest for further study and action. We have also tried to identify and understand the strengths of Punjab’s companies that have helped them survive and fend off challenges as also their weaknesses that have kept them from growing faster. Our learning has been complemented by views of industry experts and by Valcon’s view points on leading practices that needs to be implemented to ride the next curve of growth. As is the case in any study, the views expressed pertain primarily to majority of the population studied. We realise that there are a number of companies who stand out from the general and have outperformed others. In many ways, these companies also set examples of the good practices to be emulated by others. With a strong domestic market, untapped export potential and large infrastructure investment plans by the government, there is an immense growth opportunity waiting for the companies. I hope that CII and Valcon’s attempt in sharing the collective insights benefit the readers and enables the sector to drive long term growth in this sector. In short: Taking you further. 5
  • 6. Table of contents Punjab’s economy 7 Engineering sector and its relevance to growth of Punjab’s economy 8 Opportunities in engineering sector 11 Engineering sector overview in India 11 Classification of engineering sectors 11 Engineering sub-sectors 15 Medical equipment 15 Farm, construction and mining machinery 17 Metal fabrication 21 Industrial equipment and components 23 Auto components 27 Aerospace and defence - Sunrise sector with strong long term potential 32 Overall sector outlook 32 Potential for Punjab’s engineering industry 33 Strengths and weaknesses 33 Capability assessment 38 Skills 40 Marketing capabilities43 SWOT analysis of Punjab’s engineering industry 46 Key success factors for growth 48 Hurdles and roadblocks 49 Valcon’s view 50 Information sources acknowledgements 52 About CII About Valcon 53 6
  • 7. CII – Valcon Report Punjab’s economy Demographics: Punjab has been one of the richest states in India since independence. With a population of approximately 2.8 crores1 spread over a fertile area of 50,362 km2 Punjab today is not only responsible for 15% of India’s wheat and rice production2 but also contributes 2.5% of India’s industrial output. Size and growth: The net industrial production in Punjab is nearly INR 30,000 crores. While agriculture and allied activities contribute 31% of state’s domestic product (2009-10), industrial activities and services contribute nearly 18% and 51% respectively. The annualised growth in these sectors for last five years had been 13.1%, 18.7% and 16.3% respectively indicating growing prominence of industrial activities in overall economy of Punjab4. Figure 1: Growth trends for components of economy in Punjab 100 State domestic product in Rs 1,000 Cr at current prices 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 2004 - 05 2005 - 06 2006 - 07 2007 - 08 2008 - 09 2009 - 10 Industry Agriculture Services Industry growth trend Major industrial sectors: Registered factories contribute 56% of the industrial output in Punjab. They accounted for around INR 17.5 thousand crores of gross value added in 2009-105. The major industry contributing to this output was engineering, accounting for 41% of gross value added while textiles, leather and apparels accounting for another 21%. 1 Provisional Population Totals at a Glance Figure : 2011: Punjab (Census of India) 2 RBI Handbook of Statistics 2011 3 Annual Survey of Industries 2009-2010 4 RBI Handbook of Statistics 2011. Growth rates have been calculated on Current Prices 5 RBI Handbook of Statistics 2011 and Annual Survey of Industries 2009-10 Average 7
  • 8. Engineering sector and its relevance to growth of Punjab’s economy Figure 2: Share of total output by industry sectors in Punjab 22.9% Engineering 26.4% Textiles leather Food beverages Chemicals pharmaceuticals Others 8.4% 22.4% 20% Source: Annual Survey of Industries 2009-2010 Engineering sector is a major contributor to the economy of Punjab. Over the last decade (2000 to 2010) it has grown at 16.4 % annually (CAGR). Today, while it represents about 23% of total industrial output of Punjab it only forms 2.9% of engineering industry contribution at the national level. This is in contrast with engineering output from neighbouring states like Haryana and Uttarakhand which share some of the same geographical advantages and disadvantages as Punjab but have raced ahead due to supportive industrial policies, availability of suitable infrastructure and better industrial climate in these states. Figure 3: Engineering sector contribution from Indian states 2012 2.4% 2.4% 11.6% 2.9% 3.2% West Bengal 4.7% Rajasthan Punjab 6.9% Andhra Pradesh 21.2% Uttarakhand 7% Karnataka Uttar Pradesh Gujarat 7.9% Haryana Tamil Nadu 17% Maharashtra 12.6% Others Source: Annual Survey of Industries 2009-2010 In the last decade (2000 to 2010) the growth in Punjab’s engineering industry has been behind the national average of 17.0% (CAGR)6. Nevertheless it has 6 CAGR (Compounded Annual Growth Rate) is the constant annually compounded rate of growth which would lead to output in 2010 starting from the respective industrial output in year 2000. These rates have been calculated using data from Annual Survey of Industries 2009-2010. 8
  • 9. CII – Valcon Report been responsible for a big proportion of the industrial growth in Punjab in past 10 years due to its relative size. ƒƒ While engineering sector accounts for nearly 23% of More than 90% of the engineering Industry output from Punjab is from three Punjab’s industrial output, subsectors. Automotive and auto components have the largest contribution with its share is a meagre 2.9% large number of component manufacturers supplying to OEMs around Delhi and amongst all states in Uttarakhand. Several of the components manufacturers also supply to the ƒƒ Engineering industries in local tractor and farm equipment industry (classified under special purpose nearby states like Haryana machinery). Profitability of the sector is relatively poor with average profits being and Uttarakhand are seen 5% of total industrial output. to be doing better than Punjab in their contribution Figure 4: Respective size of engineering related industries in Punjab to national output Aerospace defence ƒƒ Most of engineering 5.63% 0.78% 4.88% Medical equipment industrial output in Punjab is 2.98% 0% 0.03% Automotive auto components from low margin industries Castings, forgings fabrication 38.26% Special purpose machinery 21.71% Industrial equipment components Consumer electrical electronic eqpt. including appliances Industrial electrical electronic eqpt. Heavy vehicles transportation 25.74% Source: Annual Survey of Industries 2009-2010; Valcon analysis Figure 5: Respective profit contribution of engineering related industries in Punjab 2.11% 0.35% Aerospace defence 6.82% Medical equipment 2.63% 27.67% Automotive auto components 0% 0.03% Castings, forgings fabrication Special purpose machinery Industrial equipment components Consumer electrical electronic eqpt. including appliances 41.93% Industrial electrical electronic eqpt. Heavy vehicles transportation 18.46% Source: Annual Survey of Industries 2009-2010; Valcon analysis The second largest engineering subsector is castings, forgings and fabrication. This sector supplies to customers in metal and mineral processing, heavy vehicles and transportation, industrial equipment manufacturing, construction, automotive and other diverse industries. Customers are spread across the country as well as several businesses have significant exports. Poor profitability 9
  • 10. (5% of output) in this large sector is due to the low value adding nature of the subsector. The third largest sector, special purpose machinery, is responsible for 23% of Punjab’s engineering sector output and has a high profitability (13% of output). It is responsible for nearly 43% of the profits from Punjab’s engineering sector making it the major source of profitability for Punjab’s engineering industry. This sector includes tractors and other farm equipment; machine tools, metal forming machinery, machinery for mining, quarrying and construction; machinery for processing of food and beverage, textile, apparel, leather, paper, rubber and plastics. Many of the machinery manufacturing businesses are profitable due to local prominence of their customer industries like agriculture; textiles and apparel manufacturing; leather, food, beverage, and rubber processing, etc. Consumer electronics, including household appliances, is the only other notable subsector contributing 7.2% of engineering industry profits in Punjab despite being responsible for less than 4% of output. This is due to high profitability of 13% generated by this sector. * The growth scale has been made linear Figure 6: Status of growth versus profitability of engineering sector in Punjab between the lowest and median values and median and highest values. The bubble Special purpose position indicates the relative rank of the 10.0 machinery sub-sector on this scale. The size of the 9.0 Consumer/business bubble indicates the size of the sub-sector in electrical terms of its gross output. 8.0 electronics 7.0 Medical equipment Industrial equipment Automotive auto 6.0 Castings forgings components components Profitability fabrication 5.0 4.0 3.0 Heavy vehicles Industrial electrical 2.0 transport electronic equipment 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 4.0 5.0 6.0 7.0 8.0 9.0 10.0 Growth Source: Annual Survey of Industries Data 2008-2009 and 2009-2010, Valcon analysis In summary, majority of engineering industry output from Punjab has poor profitability and hence there is significant opportunity to improve the sector performance. At this stage, we take a look at the performance of engineering sector in the country and the opportunities for growth available in various sub-sectors of the industry. 10
  • 11. CII – Valcon Report Opportunities in engineering sector Engineering sector overview in India The engineering sector is the largest segment of Indian industry and employs more than 40 lakh1 skilled and semi-skilled workers. It forms a significant part of the manufacturing industry and is very diverse in nature. India is also a major exporter of engineered products and services which is estimated to touch ~USD 68 billion (~INR 360 thousand crores) by FY 20152. This is primarily due to its comparative advantage of lower design, research labour cost. The engineering sector is 100 per cent de-licensed and has accounted for 8.9% of FDI inflow2 since April 2000. Classification of engineering sectors The key engineering sub-sectors which are part of the manufacturing sector in India and have been focused upon in this report are: ƒƒ Aerospace and defence ƒƒ Medical equipment and appliances ƒƒ Industrial electrical and electronics ƒƒ Special purpose machinery yy Farm and construction machinery yy Other process equipment yy Metal forming and machine tools ƒƒ Heavy vehicles and transportation ƒƒ Industrial equipment and components ƒƒ Castings, forgings and fabrication yy Castings and forgings yy Metal fabrication ƒƒ Automotive and auto components ƒƒ Consumer and business electrical and electronics Some of these sub-sectors are inputs to others while some of them cater to the consumers directly. In terms of the gross output from these engineering industries we find that automotive and auto parts and industrial electrical and electronics contribute more than 50% of the output. These sectors are also among the oldest sectors along with the castings, forgings and fabrication sectors. Some of the newer sectors like aerospace and defence as well as medical equipment and appliances are seeing a lot of impetus from both private and public enterprises. 11
  • 12. Figure 7: All-India engineering industry output by sub-sector in 2009-2010 0% 8% 1% 12% 2% Aerospace defence 19% Medical equipment appliances Consumer/business electrical 33% electronics Automotive auto parts Castings, forgings fabrication Industrial equipment components Industrial electrical electronics Heavy transport vehicles 10% Special purpose machinery 15% Source: ASI 2009-2010 In order to evaluate the business attractiveness of these sectors we have analysed them on the following business parameters: ƒƒ Net profit profitability ƒƒ Growth ƒƒ eturn on gross fixed asset (only plant and equipment). This measure is a R ratio of net profit to gross value of plant and machinery (RoGFA). ƒƒ Investment requirements. It has been evaluated using the measure of average capital deployed per factory. Evaluating the various sub-sectors for their performance on growth and profit- ability, we find that the following stand out as more attractive than others, in India: ƒƒ Heavy vehicles and transportation ƒƒ Medical equipment ƒƒ Farm and construction machinery ƒƒ Automotive and auto components ƒƒ Metal fabrication 12
  • 13. CII – Valcon Report Figure 8: Growth and profitability of engineering sub-sectors in India * The growth scale has been made linear between the lowest and median values and 10.0 median and highest values. The bubble Medical equipment Heavy transport position indicates the relative rank of the 9.0 vehicles sub-sector on this scale. The size of the Industrial equipment bubble indicates the size of the sub-sector 8.0 components in terms of its gross output. 7.0 Aerospace defence Consumer electrical Farm construction 6.0 electronics machinery Profitability 5.0 Other process equipment 4.0 Metal fabrication Industrial electrical 3.0 electronics Castings forgings Automotive auto 2.0 components 1.0 Metal forming machine tools 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 4.0 5.0 6.0 7.0 8.0 9.0 10.0 Growth In order to understand the attractiveness in terms of entering certain sub- sectors, we have compared on return on gross fixed assets† vs. average capital employed per factory. As can be seen from the graph (see figure {9} the most attractive sectors where the return on gross fixed assets is high while the average capital employed per factory is low are: ƒƒ Farm and construction machinery ƒƒ Heavy vehicles and transportation ƒƒ Industrial equipment and components ƒƒ Other process equipment ƒƒ Medical equipment ƒƒ Metal fabrication † It only includes plant and equipment 13
  • 14. * The growth scale has been made linear Figure 9: RoGFA vs. avg. capital deployed per factory between the lowest and median values and median and highest values. The bubble 10.0 position indicates the relative rank of the Heavy transport sub-sector on this scale. The size of the 9.0 vehicles bubble indicates the size of the sub-sector in terms of its gross output. 8.0 Automotive auto Avg. capital deployed per factory components Industrial electrical 7.0 electronics Industrial equipment components 6.0 Farm construction machinery 5.0 Consumer electrical 4.0 electronics Medical equipment Other process equipment 3.0 Castings forgings 2.0 Metal fabrication 1.0 Metal forming machine tools Aerospace defence 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 4.0 5.0 6.0 7.0 8.0 9.0 10.0 RoGFA In addition to the above parameters, it is also important to consider the size of the sectors since it indicates more opportunity. Automotive and auto components which is the largest sub-sector under engineering with a strong growth trajectory is an important sector to consider. Considering all the above mentioned parameters simultaneously and giving higher weightage to profitability and RoGFA, we identified the following sub-sectors for detailed study: Avg. capital employed per Sub-sector Growth rate Profitability RoGFA factory Farm construction High Medium High Medium machinery Heavy vehicles High Medium Medium-Low Medium-High transportation Medical equipment High High Medium-High Medium-Low Industrial equipment components Medium Medium-high Medium-High Medium Metal fabrication Medium Medium Medium-High Low Note: Lower avg. capital deployed per factory lowers the entry barriers for firms Some of these sub-sectors such as farm and construction machinery and automotive and auto components have a strong resonance to Punjab’s engineering sector The following section delves deeper into each of these sub-sectors and their typical characteristics. 14
  • 15. CII – Valcon Report Engineering sub-sectors Medical equipment India’s medical equipment market – valued at $4.9 billion (INR 25.8 thousand An estimated three-quarters of India’s demand for medical crores) – is Asia’s fourth-largest (behind Japan, China, and South Korea) and is devices is currently met by projected to reach $8 billion (INR 42200 crores) by 2015, as health insurance imports, nearly 30% of which becomes more widely available and the country’s middle-class consumers are supplied by the United continue to demand better healthcare services. States. India’s rapidly growing healthcare market is providing significant trade opportunities for medical device firms. An estimated three-quarters of India’s demand for medical devices is currently met by imports, nearly 30% of which are supplied by the United States By 2050, India is expected to overtake China as the world’s most populated country, with a projected population of 170 crores. By 2025, India’s elderly population (aged 60 and above) is expected to reach nearly 200 million. Figure 10: Medical devices market 6 5 4 US $ billion 3 2 1 0 2006 2009 2012 Source: FICCI report Key segments Medical instruments and appliances, orthopaedic and prosthetic appliances are the key segments in this category with 25.10% and 20% share. The consumables such as bandages, medical supplies and syringes contribute close to 20% to this category. 15
  • 16. Figure 11: Key segments of medical equipment 15.20% 25.10% Medical instruments appliances X Ray apparatus Bandages other medical supplies 10.20% Orthopeadic, prosthetic appliances Syringes, needles Electromedical Others 9.5% 12% 7.6% 20% Source: www.aimedindia.com The Indian medical technology industry is highly competitive and fragmented, with domestic firms primarily manufacturing low technology products such as disposables/medical supplies, and MNCs primarily importing high end medical equipment. MNCs seeking to enter the industry typically form joint ventures with local manufacturers, establish subsidiaries or employ local agents to distribute their products. Key growth drivers ƒƒ Faster upgradation of existing technology and global new product innovation ƒƒ Availability of advanced and sophisticated medical technology ƒƒ Medical tourism is being promoted by the government and stimulated by the corporate boom in medical care driving private care providers to upgrade their medical technology infrastructure ƒƒ Increased penetration of health insurance leading to increased coverage of high cost treatment ƒƒ Rising disposable income/purchasing power Key challenges ƒƒ Penetration is very low in rural/towns/smaller towns due to affordability. Rural healthcare providers would want a cheaper and cost effective solution and don’t opt for high end products ƒƒ Unclear government regulation coupled with ambiguous quality standards is also a key challenge faced by this sector Way forward ƒƒ Financial engineering along with product sales can dramatically enlarge the market 16
  • 17. CII – Valcon Report ƒƒ se of technology to reduce cost, increase penetration such as telemedicine, U remote monitoring etc. Innovation is the key ƒƒ Sound regulatory framework is a key enabler for the growth of the medical Companies need to innovate technology and invest in RD to come out with cost effective solutions and think of economies of Farm, construction and mining machinery scale so that they can reach more customers with the right This sub-sector caters to two significant sectors of the Indian economy; pricing. Agriculture and infrastructure which together contribute more than 25% to India’s GDP. Currently the farm and construction machinery sub-sector accounts for only about 4% of the engineering sector output but has seen a growth rate of over 18% over the period FY2009 to FY2010. The farm machinery segment consists of diverse set of products across the agricultural value chain: Fig. 12: Agricultural value chain Weeding Tilling seeding Post harvest Sowing plant Harvesting preparation processing protection Tractors Seeders Harrow Harvester Seed extr. Levelers Planters Tiller Thresher Dehusker Ploughs Transplanter Sprayer Reaper Mill Duster Dryer Amongst all the products, tractors are the largest segment in India and is also one of the main categories of products exported. Several Indian companies like Tractors Farm Equipment Ltd. (TAFE), Mahindra Mahindra, Escorts Agri Machinery Group, etc. have built successful business with tractors as their main product category. India is the world’s largest producer of tractors and accounts for a third of the world’s production. India is a net exporters of tractors, which has grown at a CAGR of 17% over the last 5 years. The domestic market has grown at a CAGR of ~15% over the last 5 years with North India being the largest market. 17
  • 18. CII – Valcon report on enginnering industry in Punjab Figure 13: Region wise tractor sale FY 2008 and FY 2009 Increased mechanisation and 9% 13% lower labour availability is driving the domestic demand 18% 21% for farm equipment. In addition, 38% 36% cost pressures in the international markets are forcing global players to 8% source components and assemblies from India in 10% growing volumes. Central 26% Central 19% West West East East South South North North Source: CMIE Prowess The tractor industry is very organised and also fairly consolidated as can be seen from the market share trends below: Sub sector FY 2008 FY 2011 FY 2012 Mahindra Mahindra Ltd. (MM Ltd.) 34% 39.6% 39.2% Tractors Farm Equipment Ltd. (TFEL) 21% 21% 24.0% Escorts Ltd. 13% 12.1% 10.3% John Deere Equipment Pvt. Ltd. 8% 9.8% 9.2% International Tractors Ltd. 8% 8.5% 8.3% Sources: CMIE Prowess, IAS Key drivers ƒƒ Increasing need for mechaniation. The difficulty in getting manual labour due to urbanisation and the need to improve productivity are driving the use of machinery to enable sustainable farming ƒƒ Emergence of corporate sourcing from farmers. This has led to an increase in margins available to the farmer enabling the drive for greater productivity ƒƒ Better financing and credit schemes in rural areas. Government subsidies and also organised money lending by co-operative banks has given avenues to the farmer to procure farm machinery 18
  • 19. CII – Valcon Report The government has estimated that investment worth INR 40 lakh crores will be made over the 12th five year plan period in Infrastructure development in the Infrastructure growth has country. The key areas of infrastructure are rail, road, power, ports and airports slowed down but it is an which contribute about 66% to the construction sector in India while residential imperative if growth in India and commercial account for 27% and 7% respectively. Private participation in needs to be sustained. the infrastructure sector is set to rise to 50% of the total infrastructure Increasing number of investment. This growth is one of the primary drivers for the construction international firms are setting equipment sub-sector. up manufacturing and sourcing operations in India to cater to Construction and mining equipment consists of machinery such as hydraulic domestic as well as excavators, backhoe loaders, bull dozers, dump trucks, pavers, wet mix plants, international demand. cranes, fork lifts, dozers, etc. with an estimated market size of INR 14,740 crores. A classification of this equipment is as shown below: Construction mining equipment Material handling Earth moving equipments Other machineries equipments Backhoe loaders Conveyors Concrete mixers Wheeled loaders Forklifts Road rollers Excavators Automated storage Pavers Trenchers Automated guided vehicle Spraying plastering M/C Bulldozers Cranes hoists Hot mix plants Dumpers Robots, etc. Crushers Graders Pumps (heavy duty) Compactors Slurry seal machines Scrappers, etc. Tunneling drilling Machines Tippers, etc. Source: Industry sources, DB Research Backhoe loader is the largest segment in the sector, in terms of volume followed by hydraulic excavators and mobile cranes. The Indian construction and mining equipment industry is estimated to have presence of about 200 players, though can be considered as organised as players in the organised sector are estimated to account for about 80-85% of the revenue and the top four player s together account for ~85% of total market share. JCB India Ltd. is the market leader in the Indian construction and mining equipment market, accounting for ~30% of total market share, followed by BEML Ltd (~18%). 19
  • 20. CII – Valcon report on enginnering industry in Punjab Figure 14: Major players 16.3% JCB India Ltd. BEML Ltd. 30.6% Tecpro Systems Ltd. Mcnally Bharat Engg. Co. Ltd. 9.3% LT Komatsu Ltd. Others 12.1% 18.3% 13.6% Source: Industry Sources, CMIE Prowess, DB Research Raw material expense is the largest operating expense component in the sector, accounting for ~56.7% of total sales in FY 2012. Iron and steel are the two main raw materials used in the segment. Evaluating the farm and construction equipment sector on some of the operational parameters gives a better perspective of the governing factors for success in this sector. Here we have compared this against auto components to give greater clarity on their relative requirements. As we can see here the farm, construction and mining machinery industry has relatively similar product complexity but has a lower requirement for precision. Also given that on an average this sector has a larger product size it implies a higher value product. Figure 15: Product complexity and product size High High Auto components Product valueadd Farm construction Precision levels machinery Farm construction machinery Auto components Low Low Low High Light Heavy Product complexity Product size 20
  • 21. CII – Valcon Report Metal fabrication This is a highly fragmented and labour intensive sector with medium and small scale industries heavily dependent on job work. Fabrication applies to the building of machines, structures and other equipment, by cutting, shaping and assembling components made from raw materials by using various mechanical processes such as welding, soldering, forging, brazing, forming, pressing, bending and stress removal. Welding is a major process input in most fabrication jobs. Since the demand for fabrication sector comes from the engineering sector, Steel availability coupled with especially capital goods, the growth of fabrication industry largely depends on labour availability enables the overall industrial scenario. The fabrication industry caters to many sectors Indian firms to deliver such as transportation, construction and structures, industrial and heavy fabricated products which are equipment, packaging, consumer products, etc. The major user industry for the competitive globally. Domestic fabrication sector is the general structural fabrication followed by the railway demand for structural steel and shipping, machine building and construction. (on-site and off-site) is driven primarily by the core Raw material is the primary cost driver of this industry and is easily available in infrastructure segments and India, only special steel needs to be imported. However, with prices of steel construction segments increasing on global and domestic level, slowing demand and manufacturers in (residential and commercial). the engineering sector planning a reduction in production capacity, the growth of this industry is likely to undergo a moderation in the near term. Figure 16: Cost structure [%] (2011) 0% 3.1% Increase in stock 2% Raw materials 0% Power generation and distribution Other manufacturing expenses Employee cost 10.4% Selling and administration expenses Miscellaneous expenses Depreciation 7.1% 61.9% Other operational expenses 9.6% 5.8% Source: Ecotrends 21
  • 22. Key drivers ƒƒ roject based – core industry sector plays a major role and effects upstream P and downstream fabricators ƒƒ edium and small scale industries heavily dependent on job work M ƒƒ More power dependant compared to a machining industry ƒƒ rowth also dependent on growth in the engineering sector, especially G capital goods industry ƒƒ Construction industry will drive the demand for small units and also on site fabrication for structural elements Future growth outlook ƒƒ General structural fabrication will continue to grow (example: cement, power, two-wheeler frames, etc.) ƒƒ ousing sector growth will affect performance of small and medium H fabricators ƒƒ lectrical and power projects – major impetus for future success E Evaluating the metal fabrication sector on some of the operational parameters, shows us that the precision requirements are far lower than auto components and also has lower product complexity. On the other hand it is more labour intensive and requires higher skill level since there are more manual intervention as compared to auto components. This gives a fair indication of the cost drivers and importance of skilled labour in this sector. Figure 17: Product complexity and operator skills High High Metal fabrication Auto components Labour intensiveness Precision levels Auto components Metal fabrication Low Low Low High Light Heavy Product complexity Operator skills 22
  • 23. CII – Valcon Report Industrial equipment and components This sector consists of varied set of equipment with application across all major industries including power, automotive, construction, capital goods, etc. The various categories which form this sub-sector are as shown below with engines and turbines (33%) forming the largest category. Refrigeration, air-conditioning equipment (19%), pumps and compressors (14%) and bearings and gears (13%) constitutes the other key categories. Figure 18: Revenue share by segment Engines turbines 19% Hydraulics pneumatics 33% Pumps, compressions valves 0% Bearings gears Heating equipment 10% Lifting handling equipment Power driven hand tools 3% Refrigeration, air-conditioning, fire extinguishers weighing machinery 8% 13% 14% In terms of their profit contribution to the sector the main segments are engines and turbines, pumps, compressor and valves and refrigeration and air conditioning. Figure 19: Profit share by segment 11% 0% Engines turbines 50% Fluid power equipment 7% Pumps, compressions valves 2% Bearings gears Heating equipment 10% Lifting handling equipment Power driven hand tools Refrigeration, air-conditioning, fire extinguishers weighing machinery 14% 6% 23
  • 24. Engines and turbines The main sector that this segment caters to is the power generation sector and generally grouped under the boiler-turbine-generator (BTG) segment. Figure 20: Revenue share by segment 10% Boilers Turbines Generators 27% 63% Source: IBEF Report on Elecrical Machinery It is expected that about 40% increase in thermal power capacity will be seen in the 12th five-year plan period. Most of the equipment for the projects under execution is being supplied by Chinese OEM’s with BHEL and LT MHI being the other significant player. Figure 21: Share of OEMs for super-critical projects under execution 12% China-based OEMs BHEL LT-MHI 15% Others 57% 16% Source: ICRA Research With many bilateral nuclear agreements in place, India is expected to become a major hub for manufacturing nuclear reactors and associated components. The Indian Government proposes to add 3,380 MW of nuclear power capacity by 2012.There is a huge opportunity for players to re-orient and focus their efforts to develop technology for higher capacity thermal units and nuclear reactors. 24
  • 25. CII – Valcon Report The key challenge facing the sector is the delay in project execution which impacts the order flow and cash flow. Also transport of this equipment faces major issues due to the absence of good quality infrastructure. Raw material is the primary cost driver followed by employee cost. Figure 22: Cost structure [%] (2011) 0.1% 2.2% 2.9% 5.5% Increase in stock Raw materials 12.7% 0% Power generation and distribution Other manufacturing expenses Employee cost 5.4% Selling and administration expenses Miscellaneous expenses 1.1% Depreciation 70.2% Other operational expenses Source: Ecotrends Key drivers ƒƒ Increasing demand for energy and large investments in the energy sector The BTG as well as pumps and ƒƒ Civilian nuclear deals between India and other nations will encourage compressor segments are growth in the nuclear power generation sector driven by the growth in power and oil and gas sectors. Pumps, compressors and valves Technology capabilities play an important role in the high This category of products is used across multiple sectors like oil and gas and value/performance sectors agriculture and power generation. Pumps and valves comprise of more than Table 10 Pumps valves compressors and there is a need for two-thirds of this INR 12,000-14,000 crore sector while compressors is the domestic companies to invest other category. in RD to build more profitable Some of the major players in the Indian market are: businesses. Pumps Valves Compressors Kirloskar Brothers Ltd. Flowserve Corporation BHEL CRI Pumps Tyco Flow Siemens Crompton Greaves LT Audco Ingersoll Rand KSB Fisher Sanmar Atlas Copco Bharat Bijlee BHEL Dresser Rand 25
  • 26. Compressor design complexity implies a fewer number of domestic manufacturers while pumps and valves market has a significant unorganised segment. In India the Rotary compressors dominate the market with 85% share. Figure 23: Pumps market share - organised vs unorganised Organised retail and processed food sectors will Unorganised drive a wave of growth in the Organised cold chain infrastructure across the country. A large number of domestic and 56% 44% international players are gearing up for it. Source: Netscribes – Pumps Market 2011 Key drivers ƒƒ Growth in oil and gas sector with large number of projects ƒƒ Irrigation projects with the government’s increased focus on agriculture Refrigeration and air conditioning equipment This sector is seeing a boost in its growth with increased need for cold chains to be established. The process of storing, transporting and displaying food at appropriate temperatures will gain more significance. Refrigeration segment is expected to grow at about 10-15% over the next 3 years while the air conditioning segment is poised for a 15-20% growth over the same period. Figure 24: Market share by segment 8% Air conditioning systems Commercial refrigeration 14% ACR servicing 78% Source: AIACRA 26
  • 27. CII – Valcon Report There are large number of Indian and international firms which have a strong presence in this sector such as Blue Star, Carrier, Haier, Voltas. The key component of refrigeration and air conditioning systems are compressor which has been described in the previous section. Key drivers ƒƒ Growth in organised retail ƒƒ Growth in processed food sector ƒƒ Increased need for air conditioned commercial establishments Auto components Growth in automobile sector has been one of the key drivers of the economic growth of the country. However, Indian auto components industry has been witnessing a moderation in its revenue growth to 16% in FY 2012 as compared to the average growth of above 30% in previous two fiscal on the back of slowing automobile sales. Figure 25: Comprehensive product range 7% 9% Electrical parts 10% Equipment Suspension braking parts Body chassis 31% Drive transmission steering parts 12% Engine parts Others 12% 19% Source: www.acmainfo.com As compared to the auto component market overseas, India focuses primarily on the ancillary and equipment segments rather than engine and suspension parts, due to its developing RD capabilities. Contribution of suspension and braking parts and Equipment is going to improve in the years to come due to use of 4 wheel drive and increase in replacement market. India is one of the largest auto components market with a production turnover of INR 226 thousand crores in FY 2012. It has grown at a CAGR of ~18.7% over FY 2008-12. Growth in domestic auto industry and demand from export market led to the growth of auto component industry. 27
  • 28. Figure 26: Growth of Indian auto components industry Indian auto component industry comprises of round 7000 600 companies in the E % 5876 6000 13 organised sector which wt h gro account 85% of the production ted 5000 tima whereas more than 6,000 Es INR (billion) companies involved in the 4000 3447.6 unorganised market. 3000 2262 2074.8 2000 1565.2 1378 1196 1000 0 2007 - 08 2008 - 09 2009 - 10 2010 - 11 2011 - 12 2015 - 16(E) 2020 - 21(E) Year Source: www.acmainfo.com As per industry estimates, out of the total turnover of the Indian auto components industry, around 60% is derived from sales to domestic OEMs, around 25% comes from sales to the domestic replacement market and around 15% is derived from exports Competitive scenario Indian auto components industry apart from being categorised into OEMs and replacements market is organised but highly fragmented in nature. Table 11 Competitive scenario Indian auto component industry comprises of round 600 companies in the organised sector which account 85% of the production whereas more than 6,000 companies involved in the unorganised market. Company Number of companies Turnover range (INR Bn) classification in organised sector Medium 10 14 Small 2.50 - 10 85 Mini 0.50 - 2.50 200 Micro 0.50 305 28
  • 29. CII – Valcon Report Altogether top five players account for ~9.24% of the market while top ten companies corner ~11.93% of the market. Low share of leading companies indicate the fragmented nature of the industry. India has been a net importer of auto components during FY 2008-12 and while imports continue to grow at 25%. However, exports continue to be the beacon of hope despite the slow-down in the global economy. Export-import dynamics Exports to European region accounted for highest share in auto component India remained a net importer exports from India of 39% in FY 2012, followed by America region (30%), Asia of auto components during FY (19%). However, the exports to Africa region recorded highest y-o-y growth of 2008-12. Imports continued to about 55% followed by over 39% growth in exports to European region during grow at 25%, exceeding USD the similar period. 10.5 billion compared to USD 8.5 billion in the previous year Figure 27: Growth of exports vs imports as compared to growth of exports at 18%. 28 Exports 334 FY 2012 14 514.4 Imports 237.1 FY 2011 387.6 160 FY 2010 306.8 184 FY 2009 312.8 159.6 FY 2008 260.4 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 Source: crisil.com www.acmainfo.com 50 Key drivers ƒƒ The performance of auto component industry is totally dependent on the performance of automobile sector. The future outlook is still better with auto component mirroring the auto industry growth at a rate of 13-15% ƒƒ Increasing focus on localisation of vendor base ƒƒ Sourcing of auto components by international automobile companies to cut costs ƒƒ Increasing focus towards quality certification which has now led to increased purchase of parts from the organised market 29
  • 30. Figure 28: Growth of auto components relative to growth of auto industry 40% % growth 20% 0 0 1 2 .. .. -1 -1 -1 -. -. 15 20 09 10 11 20 20 20 20 20 Auto component Auto industry Source: CMIE IAS Key challegens Though in the long term, auto component’s growth prospects are strong, it is facing challenges and bottlenecks to growth: ƒƒ Financial viability in face of ever increasing cost pressures ƒƒ Tier 2/3 companies also face challenges of low return on investment which prevents scaling up of operations ƒƒ Economic condition. High interest rates coupled with inflation and weakening of the rupee ƒƒ Work force management ƒƒ Government’s move to push for more multilateral and bilateral trade Government initiatives to promote growth and innovation ƒƒ The government has proposed to formulate a sequel of AMP II (2018-27) to put in place a framework for the long term growth trajectory for auto and auto ancillary sector ƒƒ Creation of Technology Up-gradation Development Scheme (TUDS) for auto components and setting up of Auto Component Technology Development Fund (ATDF) which will help auto component companies in accessing loans at reduced rates of interest for research and development activities, upgradation of process and technology acquisition ƒƒ Auto Component Manufacturers Association (ACMA) has identified the long term investment requirement by auto component industry during 2012-16 of about ~INR 15,000 crores of which ~INR 7,500 crores are proposed to be financed through soft loans with interest subvention 30
  • 31. CII – Valcon Report ƒƒ The government has allowed 100% foreign equity investment in the sector, through the automatic route, without any minimum investment criteria The auto components industry in India is around two-thirds Future growth outlook the size of the OEM segment. There is no doubt the medium to long-term growth story of India remains intact, This proportion is around one however auto component industry will have to get used to such transient to two times in mature markets ups-and-downs arising from the difficult economic situation. Significant of Europe, America and Japan. opportunities exist to enhance share in the global automotive market. Industries need to invest in design and development to move up the value chain. Currently, the auto components industry in India is around two-thirds the size of the OEM segment. This proportion is around one to two times in mature markets of Europe, America and Japan. This indicates: ƒƒ Higher proportion of imports of auto components in India by OEMs and ƒƒ Lower replacement market sales Other sub-sectors The following sub-sectors also appear to have a larger scope for business growth over the medium term: Electronics (engine-side and body-side) – The localisation proportion of electronic components in Indian cars remains low as of now. Given the growing need to offer driver information systems, engine management systems and emission control systems in cars to meet the advancing safety and emission regulations, the use of electronics in Indian cars is likely to see a proliferation in the times to come. This should translate into strong growth for auto ancillaries having capabilities in this segment. Plastics – Although this segment is already quite competition intensive, considering OEMs’ focus on adopting light-weighting technologies and already several instances where material of components has been changed by OEMs from sheet metal to plastic; it augurs well for auto component manufacturers having strong capability in the plastics space. Sheet moulded composites, bulk moulded composites and long fibre thermoplastics are some of the new materials being used to replace metal and conventional plastics. Aluminium die-casting – In the boom period of 2009-10 and 2010-11, the auto industry had experienced significant capacity constraints for aluminium die-cast components. The capacity shortage was more severe at tier-2 suppliers’ end and this had prompted few tier-1 players to backward integrate not just for captive consumption but also for selling to other customers. Also, for select engine components, OEMs are likely to demand tighter product tolerances to meet the stringent emission control norms which in turn is likely to increase per unit realisation for auto ancillaries manufacturing such components (although at the cost of higher capital investments). 31
  • 32. Aerospace and defence – Sunrise sector with strong long term potential Overview This sector is currently in its nascent stages in India but presents a large opportunity. Until now, most projects are executed by PSU or government research agencies which have the RD and technological expertise. But with more private players acquiring technological capability by way of JV’s, acquisitions or talent inflow have begun to play a more significant role not just domestically but also on the international stage. Key drivers ƒƒ 100% private sector participation with defence having a restriction of 26% FDI ƒƒ Offset policy from large defence spend ƒƒ Strong maintenance, repair and overhaul (MRO) capabilities ƒƒ Continued growth of civil aviation ƒƒ Investments in the Indian space programme – INR 40,000 crores during the period 2007-2012 Key challenges ƒƒ Moving up the value chain from being tier 2-3 suppliers to tier 1 suppliers ƒƒ Building design and integration capabilities ƒƒ Availability of highly skilled workforce ƒƒ High import duties on imported components ƒƒ Access to funding for high initial capital investment Overall sector outlook Demand in the engineering sector is expected to remain healthy primarily on account of the government increased thrust on infrastructure development in turn having positive impact on various sub-sectors. Favourable government policies and regulations would enable the sector to scale up its growth potential. Increased spend in defence, improving medical infrastructure, indigenisation of auto components to tap export potential, farm and construction equipment are going to be critical drivers for growth of this engineering industry. The next section analyses Punjab’s strength in leveraging the growth potential. 32
  • 33. CII – Valcon Report Potential for Punjab’s engineering industry Strengths and weaknesses Though Punjab has been an agriculture dominated economy since Independence, the state occupied an important position in the engineering sector of the country. The industrial towns like Ludhiana, Amritsar, Jalandhar, Mohali, etc. host several small, medium and large industrial units. Dominated by small and medium enterprises, Punjab excels in production of leather goods, textiles, machine and hand tools and paper packaging. Local availability of raw material, skills and market demand have contributed to significant growth of these industries. All of this was adequately supported by the enterprising spirit of Punjab’s businessmen who instilled flexibility in running their operations to meet diverse customisation requests and customer expectations. The success of the engineering industry is primarily due two reasons: the spurt of agricultural growth that aided the manufacturing to move out of infancy through sustained local demand, and the ability of the businessmen to think ahead of time and ahead of competition. Examples of such forward thinking include use of automation in textile manufacturing, development of machine tools industry, leadership in high volume bicycle market and so on. However, it would not be prudent to say that all local companies have adopted innovative thinking and best practices. Companies have usually focussed on one or two strengths that would set them apart from the competition. This is also reflected by inputs received during our discussions across industries in Punjab (see figure {29}). 33