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Finance and Investment in Saudi
Arabia: The Role of Fiscal Policy
                       1




           AHMED A. ALKHOLIFEY
   EXECUTIVE DIRECTOR FOR SAUDI ARABIA AT THE
         INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND
Stability
                                 2

 Stable Political System.


 Predictable Economic Policies:
   Consistent, credible, and clear policy messages.



 Well-Supervised Financial Sector:
   Well capitalized and highly profitable banking sector.



 Attractive Business Environment.
Global Role
                                         3

 Systemic Role of Saudi Arabia:
   Positive spillover effects of policies pursued by Saudi Arabia


                               2005-2009     2009      2010


        Imports (% of GDP)       20.0        23.0       21.6


       Remittances (bln. SR)     340.7       94.4      98.2


     Ensuring sustainable supply and stability of energy markets.
 The G20:
   Framing the new path for strong, sustainable, and balanced
    growth.
Growth
                                                         4

 Real GDP*
                                                             2009          2010         2011
             Saudi Arabia                                    0.1           4.1           6.5
            World Output                                     -0.7          5.1           4.0
        Advanced Economies                                   -3.7          3.1           1.6
          Emerging and
                                                             2.8           7.3           6.4
       Developing Economies
          *IMF World Economic Outlook, Oct 2011



 Non-Oil GDP
                                              2005-2009             2010          2011
           Saudi Arabia                            4.6              4.9           5.4
                     GCC                           3.6              4.5           5.3
5
                                   Government Hydrocarbon Revenue and Total
                                           Expenditure, 1980–2010
                                                (In U.S. dollar billions)
    Fiscal Policy
                                               Hydrocarbon Revenue
   Consistent & countercyclical
                                               Government Expenditure
Priorities:
   Investment in infrastructure.
   Investment in human capital


Competitiveness:
   Enhancing productivity of
   physical and human capital
Government Spending
                                                      6
    2011 Appropriations* for the main                         Government expenditures (Billion SR)
          development sectors


                   Specialized
                     Credit
                   Institutions                                                                      580*
                        13%

      Water, Agr
                                          Education
      iculture, an
                                             and
            d
                                           Training
      Infrastructure
                                             41%             346
            14%

Transport
& Telecom
   7%



                             Health and
                               social
                              Affairs
                                19%


            Municipalities
                   6%

    *Projections                                          *Projections
Promotion of Finance
                                                            7

               •finances large scale government and
                                                                Total loans and share of SCIs
 PIF (1971):    private projects                                      during 2006-2010
                                                                                                        117.5 (bil SR)

REDF (1974):   •finances real estate sector




SIDF (1974):   •finances industrial projects



               •provides interest-free loans for small
SCB (1971):     and emerging businesses and                                     37.8%
                professions

                                                                        18.7%
               •finances farmers and agricultural                                       19.9%   20.9%
ADF (1962):     projects                                         2.2%


Direct Loan    •Extends credit to private sector entities
 Program        for the purposes of establishing                ADF
                                                                        SCB
                                                                                PIF
  (1971):       development projects. (SR 7.0 Billion)                                  SIDF
                                                                                                REDF
                                                                                                        yr total
Conclusion
                                8




 Attractive business environment:
   Promising growth potentials

   Low tax rate (max. 20%) and business friendly tax
    administration.
   Large economic size

   Supportive economic policy including good finance terms

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Role of Fiscal Policy and Finance in Saudi Arabia's Stable Growth

  • 1. Finance and Investment in Saudi Arabia: The Role of Fiscal Policy 1 AHMED A. ALKHOLIFEY EXECUTIVE DIRECTOR FOR SAUDI ARABIA AT THE INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND
  • 2. Stability 2  Stable Political System.  Predictable Economic Policies:  Consistent, credible, and clear policy messages.  Well-Supervised Financial Sector:  Well capitalized and highly profitable banking sector.  Attractive Business Environment.
  • 3. Global Role 3  Systemic Role of Saudi Arabia:  Positive spillover effects of policies pursued by Saudi Arabia 2005-2009 2009 2010 Imports (% of GDP) 20.0 23.0 21.6 Remittances (bln. SR) 340.7 94.4 98.2  Ensuring sustainable supply and stability of energy markets.  The G20:  Framing the new path for strong, sustainable, and balanced growth.
  • 4. Growth 4  Real GDP* 2009 2010 2011 Saudi Arabia 0.1 4.1 6.5 World Output -0.7 5.1 4.0 Advanced Economies -3.7 3.1 1.6 Emerging and 2.8 7.3 6.4 Developing Economies *IMF World Economic Outlook, Oct 2011  Non-Oil GDP 2005-2009 2010 2011 Saudi Arabia 4.6 4.9 5.4 GCC 3.6 4.5 5.3
  • 5. 5 Government Hydrocarbon Revenue and Total Expenditure, 1980–2010 (In U.S. dollar billions) Fiscal Policy Hydrocarbon Revenue Consistent & countercyclical Government Expenditure Priorities: Investment in infrastructure. Investment in human capital Competitiveness: Enhancing productivity of physical and human capital
  • 6. Government Spending 6 2011 Appropriations* for the main Government expenditures (Billion SR) development sectors Specialized Credit Institutions 580* 13% Water, Agr Education iculture, an and d Training Infrastructure 41% 346 14% Transport & Telecom 7% Health and social Affairs 19% Municipalities 6% *Projections *Projections
  • 7. Promotion of Finance 7 •finances large scale government and Total loans and share of SCIs PIF (1971): private projects during 2006-2010 117.5 (bil SR) REDF (1974): •finances real estate sector SIDF (1974): •finances industrial projects •provides interest-free loans for small SCB (1971): and emerging businesses and 37.8% professions 18.7% •finances farmers and agricultural 19.9% 20.9% ADF (1962): projects 2.2% Direct Loan •Extends credit to private sector entities Program for the purposes of establishing ADF SCB PIF (1971): development projects. (SR 7.0 Billion) SIDF REDF yr total
  • 8. Conclusion 8  Attractive business environment:  Promising growth potentials  Low tax rate (max. 20%) and business friendly tax administration.  Large economic size  Supportive economic policy including good finance terms