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When does runoff occur and
what can be done to reduce
 impacts on water quality?


          Dennis Frame
   UW-Discovery Farms/Extension
Edges of Fields - Where are we at?
   25 Water-Quality
    Monitoring Stations
    evaluated (6-640 acres)
          5 Discovery Farms
           representing a variety of
           landscapes and farming
           systems
          Pioneer Farm

   5 Meteorological Stations
          Precipitation, soil temp,
           and soil moisture data used
           to understand conditions
           causing runoff

Source: Precipitation-Runoff Relations and Water-Quality
Characteristics at Edge-of-Field Stations, Discovery Farms
and Pioneer Farm, Wisconsin, 2003–8, publication pending
Edge-of-Field
   Edges-of-field indicate how field-
    management decisions can
    impact water quality losses

   Monitored a variety of site types
      Flow (runoff)
      Sediment loads and yields
      Nutrient loads and yields

   81 “station-years” of data (26
    “farm years”) collected at 25
    monitoring stations located on
    Discovery Farms and the Pioneer
    Farm from 2003-2008

   Use data to determine runoff
    losses of sediment and nutrients
    and determine the “when?” and
    “why?” to help guide management
    to reduce problems if they exist
Precipitation and Runoff
                                             Amounts
                            50.0
                            45.0
                                                       Snowfall liquid equivalent
                                                       Rainfall
                                                                                    • Precipitation averaged for the
                            40.0
                                                                                    entire data set was near
Precipitation, in inches




                            35.0
                            30.0                                                    average
                            25.0
                            20.0
                            15.0
                                                                                    • Runoff averaged 2.5 inches
                            10.0                                                    per year
                             5.0
                             0.0
                                                                                    • About 8% of precipitation was
                                      SW1, 2005
                                      SW1, 2006
                                      SW1, 2007
                                      SW2, 2004
                                      SW2, 2005
                                      SW2, 2006
                                      SW2, 2007
                                      SW2, 2008




                                       SE1, 2006
                                       SE1, 2007
                                       SE1, 2008
                                       NE1, 2004
                                       NE1, 2005
                                       NE1, 2006
                                       NE1, 2007
                                       NE1, 2008
                                       NE2, 2005
                                       NE2, 2006
                                       NE2, 2007
                                       NE2, 2008
                                   Pioneer, 2003
                                   Pioneer, 2004
                                   Pioneer, 2005
                                   Pioneer, 2006
                                   Pioneer, 2007
                                   Pioneer, 2008




                                                                                    measured as runoff

                             7.0
                                                                                    • Annual precipitation was not a
                                   Non-frozen ground
                             6.0
                                   Frozen ground
                                                                                    good indicator of annual runoff.
                             5.0
        Runoff, in inches




                             4.0
                                                                                    • Trend towards higher runoff on
                             3.0
                                                                                    tighter soils in the northeast
                             2.0

                             1.0

                             0.0
                                      SW1, 2005
                                      SW1, 2006
                                      SW1, 2007
                                      SW2, 2004
                                      SW2, 2005
                                      SW2, 2006
                                      SW2, 2007
                                      SW2, 2008




                                       SE1, 2006
                                       SE1, 2007
                                       SE1, 2008
                                       NE1, 2004
                                       NE1, 2005
                                       NE1, 2006
                                       NE1, 2007
                                       NE1, 2008
                                       NE2, 2005
                                       NE2, 2006
                                       NE2, 2007
                                       NE2, 2008
                                   Pioneer, 2003
                                   Pioneer, 2004
                                   Pioneer, 2005
                                   Pioneer, 2006
                                   Pioneer, 2007
                                   Pioneer, 2008




                                                                                     Source: Precipitation-Runoff Relations and Water-Quality
                                                                                     Characteristics at Edge-of-Field Stations, Discovery Farms
                                                                                     and Pioneer Farm, Wisconsin, 2003–8, publication pending
Distribution of Runoff
                                                                On average, runoff volumes
                                                                 were nearly equally
 Distribution of Annual Runoff                                   distributed between frozen
     Edge-of-Field Stations                                      and non-frozen periods.
                                                                In any one year, frozen
 Non-                                                            ground contributed up to
frozen                                       Frozen              100% of annual runoff.

ground                                       ground
                                                                Because of this distribution,
 46%                                          54%                it is important to focus on
                                                                 causes/timing of runoff
                                                                 during both periods



Source: Precipitation-Runoff Relations and Water-Quality
Characteristics at Edge-of-Field Stations, Discovery Farms
and Pioneer Farm, Wisconsin, 2003–8, publication pending
Timing of Runoff – Critical Runoff
            Periods
                                                                             Mean-Monthly
                        Mean-Monthly                                               Runoff
             Mean-            Runoff                                       as a Percentage of
            Monthly   as a Percentage of    Runoff          Total                   Total
            Runoff      Annual Runoff      Frequency       Precip                Precip
October      0.07            3%              23%            2.32                     3%
November     0.02           <1%              15%            2.22                     1%
December     0.04            1%              35%            1.73                     2%
January      0.10            4%              50%            1.68                     6%
February     0.41           16%              58%            1.48                    28%
March        0.87           34%             100%            2.22                    39%
April        0.11            4%              54%            3.42                     3%
May          0.32           12%              38%            3.70                     9%
June         0.48           19%              42%            3.83                    13%
July         0.07            3%              42%            3.90                     2%
August       0.07            3%              19%            3.55                     2%
September    <0.01          <1%              19%            2.76                    <1%

                                                       Source: Precipitation-Runoff Relations and Water-Quality
                                                       Characteristics at Edge-of-Field Stations, Discovery Farms
                                                       and Pioneer Farm, Wisconsin, 2003–8, publication pending
Suspended sediment losses
                              (yields)
                                                    5,000
    Suspended sediment yield, in pounds per acre



                                                    4,500         Non-frozen ground
                                                                  Frozen ground
                                                    4,000
                                                                  Mean
                                                    3,500
                                                    3,000
                                                    2,500
                                                    2,000
                                                    1,500
                                                    1,000
                                                     500
                                                       0
                                                               SW1, 2005
                                                               SW1, 2006
                                                               SW1, 2007
                                                               SW2, 2004
                                                               SW2, 2005
                                                               SW2, 2006
                                                               SW2, 2007
                                                               SW2, 2008




                                                                SE1, 2006
                                                                SE1, 2007
                                                                SE1, 2008
                                                                NE1, 2004
                                                                NE1, 2005
                                                                NE1, 2006
                                                                NE1, 2007
                                                                NE1, 2008
                                                                NE2, 2005
                                                                NE2, 2006
                                                                NE2, 2007
                                                                NE2, 2008
                                                            Pioneer, 2003
                                                            Pioneer, 2004
                                                            Pioneer, 2005
                                                            Pioneer, 2006
                                                            Pioneer, 2007
                                                            Pioneer, 2008



                                                  Average across all farm years of data was 670 lb/acre
                                                  Nearly all sediment loss occurred during non-frozen ground periods
                                                  The same farm typically had both low and high sediment losses during the
                                                   monitored period                             Source: Precipitation-Runoff Relations and Water-Quality
                                                                                                           Characteristics at Edge-of-Field Stations, Discovery Farms
                                                                                                           and Pioneer Farm, Wisconsin, 2003–8, publication pending
Nutrient Losses
                                                                     Total Nitrogen
         Total Phosphorus
                                                                                                  Nitrate, frozen-
                           Particulate                                                             ground, 0.79,
                          phosphorus,                       Organic                                     11%
                        frozen ground,
                                                        nitrogen, non-
                            0.22, 11%
    Particulate                                         frozen ground,                               Ammonium,
   phosphorus,
                                                           2.22, 32%                                frozen ground,
    non-frozen
   ground, 0.74,                                                                                       1.31, 18%
       38%
                                                 Ammonium, non-
                                   Dissolved-     frozen ground,
                                    reactive
                                                     0.16, 2%
                                  phosphorus,                                                         Organic
                                frozen ground,             Nitrate, non-                         nitrogen, frozen
                       Dissolved- 0.60, 30%
                                                          frozen ground,                          ground, 1.69,
                        reactive
                      phosphorus,                            1.01, 14%                                 23%
                       non-frozen
                      ground, 0.42,
                          21%                         • Most N lost during the frozen-ground period
                                                      • Average loss was 7 lb/acre/year
• Most P lost during the non-frozen
ground period                                         • Most N losses were from Organic N
• Average loss was 2 lb/acre/year                     • Note ammonium losses from frozen ground
• About ½ of P loss was dissolved
                                                                   Source: Precipitation-Runoff Relations and Water-Quality
                                                                   Characteristics at Edge-of-Field Stations, Discovery Farms
                                                                   and Pioneer Farm, Wisconsin, 2003–8, publication pending
Lessons Learned
   In addition to the conservation practices and
    nutrient management plans that were already in
    place, consideration of
       critical runoff periods,
       field conditions (soil moisture, frozen soil),
       and the timing of field-management activities (manure
        applications) in relation to these periods and
        conditions
    could have significantly reduced runoff of
    nutrients from edges of fields.
In other words: Day-to-day decisions can be very
                   important!
Decisions Matter!


2 Adjacent Fields.
     Liquid dairy manure applied to 1 field (above)
     No manure applied to the other field (below)
When and Why?
   Management tools that focus on
    when and why and help guide
    decisions and planning can
    potentially decrease field-edge
    losses

   The timing describes periods of
    time that runoff is most likely to
    happen

   The why can describe the
    conditions that need to be met in
    order for runoff to develop

   Predicting that runoff will occur is
    more difficult than predicting if it is
    going to rain!
What is the distribution of runoff for various soil
                     conditions?
 Example: No-till farm in SW Wisconsin (2003-2008)

 Frozen   ground: 80%, Non-Frozen Ground: ~
 20%
     Of the Frozen ground runoff, about ¾ has
      occurred in Feb. and Mar.


 Of   the Non-Frozen ground runoff:
     83% occurred when soils were “Wet” (>35%)
     10% occurred when soils were “Medium” (25-35%
     7% occurred when soils were “Dry” (<25%)
Field Conditions
Example: No-till farm in SW Wisconsin (2003-2008)


                              Frozen Days
                 5%           "Low" Moisture Days
                              "Medium" Moisture Days
                              "High" Moisture Days
           32%          34%




                  29%
Frozen-Ground
Example: No-till farm in SW Wisconsin (2003-2008)

   ~40% of all Frozen-Ground runoff was the result
    of rain or rain on snow.

   ~60% of all Frozen-Ground runoff was snowmelt
    only, either from warm air temperatures, solar
    radiation, or a combination of both.

   Looking at precipitation forecasts in the winter
    and making application determinations is only
    part of the challenge.
When do these soil conditions occur?
                Example: No-till farm in SW Wisconsin (2003-2008)
   Frozen Ground: Average dates of persistent frost at any
    depth:               Nov 29 to Apr. 1
   Non-Frozen Ground:
       High (>35% Soil Moisture):
         • 47% in Spring (Apr., May, 1st ½ June)
         • 52% in Summer (2nd ½ June, July, Aug.)
         • occasionally in Fall (Sep., Oct., Nov.)

       Medium (25-35% Soil Moisture):
         • 40% in Spring (Apr., May, 1st ½ June)
         • 24% in Summer (2nd ½ June, July, Aug.)
         • 36% in Fall (Sep., Oct., Nov.)

       Low (<25% Soil Moisture):
         • 21% in Spring (Apr., May, 1st ½ June)
         • 46% in Summer (2nd ½ June, July, Aug.)
         • 34% in Fall (Sep., Oct., Nov.)
How much rain does it take to produce
  runoff for a given soil condition?
 Example: No-till farm in SW Wisconsin (2003-2008)

                               2.50

                                                                                   Median Rainfall
                               2.00
            Rainfall, inches




                               1.50



                               1.00



                               0.50



                               0.00
                                      <25% (low)   25-35% (med)     > 35% (high)    Frozen

                                                          Soil Condition

Note that these are the actual measured rainfall amounts that caused runoff for
each soil condition category. They do not necessarily represent the threshold rainfall
amounts that caused runoff.
How much rain does it take to produce
  runoff for a given soil condition?
 Example: No-till farm in SW Wisconsin (2003-2008)

                            2.50

                                                                                <25% (low )
                            2.00                                                25-35% (med)
                                                                                > 35% (high)
         Rainfall, inches




                                                                                Frozen
                            1.50



                            1.00



                            0.50



                            0.00
                                   <25% (low)   25-35% (med)     > 35% (high)    Frozen

                                                       Soil Condition

   Focus on the minimum rainfall amounts needed to produce runoff
How different were the minimum rainfall
                     amounts among the farms?
                                            Minimum Rainfall Causing Runoff for 4 Different Farming Systems
                    1.40
                                                                                                                  <25% (low soil moisture)
                                                                                                                  25-35% (med. soil moisture)
                    1.20                                                                                          > 35% (high soil moisture)
                                                                                                                  Frozen soil

                    1.00
 Rainfall, inches




                    0.80


                    0.60


                    0.40


                    0.20


                    0.00
                           SW WI No-Till ('04-'08)      SW WI Till ('04-'08)   NE WI Pasture and Till ('05-'08)     NE WI Till ('04-'08)




As one would expect some differences are present between the farms. However,
from a critical-period planning standpoint, they are rather similar!
The next steps…?
 Online advisory index screening tool                     On the ground data and decision-
    based on NWS predictions…                     PLUS…            making criteria

                                                           Soil Temperature
                                                            and Soil Moisture
                                                            Data

                                                  +        Criteria for risk of
                                                            runoff based upon
                                                            rainfall/runoff
                                                            relations
                                                           = Decision making
                                                            tool!
Source: http://www.manureadvisorysystem.wi.gov/
One Potential Risk Model

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Non Frozen

  • 1. When does runoff occur and what can be done to reduce impacts on water quality? Dennis Frame UW-Discovery Farms/Extension
  • 2. Edges of Fields - Where are we at?  25 Water-Quality Monitoring Stations evaluated (6-640 acres)  5 Discovery Farms representing a variety of landscapes and farming systems  Pioneer Farm  5 Meteorological Stations  Precipitation, soil temp, and soil moisture data used to understand conditions causing runoff Source: Precipitation-Runoff Relations and Water-Quality Characteristics at Edge-of-Field Stations, Discovery Farms and Pioneer Farm, Wisconsin, 2003–8, publication pending
  • 3. Edge-of-Field  Edges-of-field indicate how field- management decisions can impact water quality losses  Monitored a variety of site types  Flow (runoff)  Sediment loads and yields  Nutrient loads and yields  81 “station-years” of data (26 “farm years”) collected at 25 monitoring stations located on Discovery Farms and the Pioneer Farm from 2003-2008  Use data to determine runoff losses of sediment and nutrients and determine the “when?” and “why?” to help guide management to reduce problems if they exist
  • 4. Precipitation and Runoff Amounts 50.0 45.0 Snowfall liquid equivalent Rainfall • Precipitation averaged for the 40.0 entire data set was near Precipitation, in inches 35.0 30.0 average 25.0 20.0 15.0 • Runoff averaged 2.5 inches 10.0 per year 5.0 0.0 • About 8% of precipitation was SW1, 2005 SW1, 2006 SW1, 2007 SW2, 2004 SW2, 2005 SW2, 2006 SW2, 2007 SW2, 2008 SE1, 2006 SE1, 2007 SE1, 2008 NE1, 2004 NE1, 2005 NE1, 2006 NE1, 2007 NE1, 2008 NE2, 2005 NE2, 2006 NE2, 2007 NE2, 2008 Pioneer, 2003 Pioneer, 2004 Pioneer, 2005 Pioneer, 2006 Pioneer, 2007 Pioneer, 2008 measured as runoff 7.0 • Annual precipitation was not a Non-frozen ground 6.0 Frozen ground good indicator of annual runoff. 5.0 Runoff, in inches 4.0 • Trend towards higher runoff on 3.0 tighter soils in the northeast 2.0 1.0 0.0 SW1, 2005 SW1, 2006 SW1, 2007 SW2, 2004 SW2, 2005 SW2, 2006 SW2, 2007 SW2, 2008 SE1, 2006 SE1, 2007 SE1, 2008 NE1, 2004 NE1, 2005 NE1, 2006 NE1, 2007 NE1, 2008 NE2, 2005 NE2, 2006 NE2, 2007 NE2, 2008 Pioneer, 2003 Pioneer, 2004 Pioneer, 2005 Pioneer, 2006 Pioneer, 2007 Pioneer, 2008 Source: Precipitation-Runoff Relations and Water-Quality Characteristics at Edge-of-Field Stations, Discovery Farms and Pioneer Farm, Wisconsin, 2003–8, publication pending
  • 5. Distribution of Runoff  On average, runoff volumes were nearly equally Distribution of Annual Runoff distributed between frozen Edge-of-Field Stations and non-frozen periods.  In any one year, frozen Non- ground contributed up to frozen Frozen 100% of annual runoff. ground ground  Because of this distribution, 46% 54% it is important to focus on causes/timing of runoff during both periods Source: Precipitation-Runoff Relations and Water-Quality Characteristics at Edge-of-Field Stations, Discovery Farms and Pioneer Farm, Wisconsin, 2003–8, publication pending
  • 6. Timing of Runoff – Critical Runoff Periods Mean-Monthly Mean-Monthly Runoff Mean- Runoff as a Percentage of Monthly as a Percentage of Runoff Total Total Runoff Annual Runoff Frequency Precip Precip October 0.07 3% 23% 2.32 3% November 0.02 <1% 15% 2.22 1% December 0.04 1% 35% 1.73 2% January 0.10 4% 50% 1.68 6% February 0.41 16% 58% 1.48 28% March 0.87 34% 100% 2.22 39% April 0.11 4% 54% 3.42 3% May 0.32 12% 38% 3.70 9% June 0.48 19% 42% 3.83 13% July 0.07 3% 42% 3.90 2% August 0.07 3% 19% 3.55 2% September <0.01 <1% 19% 2.76 <1% Source: Precipitation-Runoff Relations and Water-Quality Characteristics at Edge-of-Field Stations, Discovery Farms and Pioneer Farm, Wisconsin, 2003–8, publication pending
  • 7. Suspended sediment losses (yields) 5,000 Suspended sediment yield, in pounds per acre 4,500 Non-frozen ground Frozen ground 4,000 Mean 3,500 3,000 2,500 2,000 1,500 1,000 500 0 SW1, 2005 SW1, 2006 SW1, 2007 SW2, 2004 SW2, 2005 SW2, 2006 SW2, 2007 SW2, 2008 SE1, 2006 SE1, 2007 SE1, 2008 NE1, 2004 NE1, 2005 NE1, 2006 NE1, 2007 NE1, 2008 NE2, 2005 NE2, 2006 NE2, 2007 NE2, 2008 Pioneer, 2003 Pioneer, 2004 Pioneer, 2005 Pioneer, 2006 Pioneer, 2007 Pioneer, 2008  Average across all farm years of data was 670 lb/acre  Nearly all sediment loss occurred during non-frozen ground periods  The same farm typically had both low and high sediment losses during the monitored period Source: Precipitation-Runoff Relations and Water-Quality Characteristics at Edge-of-Field Stations, Discovery Farms and Pioneer Farm, Wisconsin, 2003–8, publication pending
  • 8. Nutrient Losses Total Nitrogen Total Phosphorus Nitrate, frozen- Particulate ground, 0.79, phosphorus, Organic 11% frozen ground, nitrogen, non- 0.22, 11% Particulate frozen ground, Ammonium, phosphorus, 2.22, 32% frozen ground, non-frozen ground, 0.74, 1.31, 18% 38% Ammonium, non- Dissolved- frozen ground, reactive 0.16, 2% phosphorus, Organic frozen ground, Nitrate, non- nitrogen, frozen Dissolved- 0.60, 30% frozen ground, ground, 1.69, reactive phosphorus, 1.01, 14% 23% non-frozen ground, 0.42, 21% • Most N lost during the frozen-ground period • Average loss was 7 lb/acre/year • Most P lost during the non-frozen ground period • Most N losses were from Organic N • Average loss was 2 lb/acre/year • Note ammonium losses from frozen ground • About ½ of P loss was dissolved Source: Precipitation-Runoff Relations and Water-Quality Characteristics at Edge-of-Field Stations, Discovery Farms and Pioneer Farm, Wisconsin, 2003–8, publication pending
  • 9. Lessons Learned  In addition to the conservation practices and nutrient management plans that were already in place, consideration of  critical runoff periods,  field conditions (soil moisture, frozen soil),  and the timing of field-management activities (manure applications) in relation to these periods and conditions could have significantly reduced runoff of nutrients from edges of fields. In other words: Day-to-day decisions can be very important!
  • 10. Decisions Matter! 2 Adjacent Fields.  Liquid dairy manure applied to 1 field (above)  No manure applied to the other field (below)
  • 11. When and Why?  Management tools that focus on when and why and help guide decisions and planning can potentially decrease field-edge losses  The timing describes periods of time that runoff is most likely to happen  The why can describe the conditions that need to be met in order for runoff to develop  Predicting that runoff will occur is more difficult than predicting if it is going to rain!
  • 12. What is the distribution of runoff for various soil conditions? Example: No-till farm in SW Wisconsin (2003-2008)  Frozen ground: 80%, Non-Frozen Ground: ~ 20%  Of the Frozen ground runoff, about ¾ has occurred in Feb. and Mar.  Of the Non-Frozen ground runoff:  83% occurred when soils were “Wet” (>35%)  10% occurred when soils were “Medium” (25-35%  7% occurred when soils were “Dry” (<25%)
  • 13. Field Conditions Example: No-till farm in SW Wisconsin (2003-2008) Frozen Days 5% "Low" Moisture Days "Medium" Moisture Days "High" Moisture Days 32% 34% 29%
  • 14. Frozen-Ground Example: No-till farm in SW Wisconsin (2003-2008)  ~40% of all Frozen-Ground runoff was the result of rain or rain on snow.  ~60% of all Frozen-Ground runoff was snowmelt only, either from warm air temperatures, solar radiation, or a combination of both.  Looking at precipitation forecasts in the winter and making application determinations is only part of the challenge.
  • 15. When do these soil conditions occur? Example: No-till farm in SW Wisconsin (2003-2008)  Frozen Ground: Average dates of persistent frost at any depth: Nov 29 to Apr. 1  Non-Frozen Ground:  High (>35% Soil Moisture): • 47% in Spring (Apr., May, 1st ½ June) • 52% in Summer (2nd ½ June, July, Aug.) • occasionally in Fall (Sep., Oct., Nov.)  Medium (25-35% Soil Moisture): • 40% in Spring (Apr., May, 1st ½ June) • 24% in Summer (2nd ½ June, July, Aug.) • 36% in Fall (Sep., Oct., Nov.)  Low (<25% Soil Moisture): • 21% in Spring (Apr., May, 1st ½ June) • 46% in Summer (2nd ½ June, July, Aug.) • 34% in Fall (Sep., Oct., Nov.)
  • 16. How much rain does it take to produce runoff for a given soil condition? Example: No-till farm in SW Wisconsin (2003-2008) 2.50 Median Rainfall 2.00 Rainfall, inches 1.50 1.00 0.50 0.00 <25% (low) 25-35% (med) > 35% (high) Frozen Soil Condition Note that these are the actual measured rainfall amounts that caused runoff for each soil condition category. They do not necessarily represent the threshold rainfall amounts that caused runoff.
  • 17. How much rain does it take to produce runoff for a given soil condition? Example: No-till farm in SW Wisconsin (2003-2008) 2.50 <25% (low ) 2.00 25-35% (med) > 35% (high) Rainfall, inches Frozen 1.50 1.00 0.50 0.00 <25% (low) 25-35% (med) > 35% (high) Frozen Soil Condition Focus on the minimum rainfall amounts needed to produce runoff
  • 18. How different were the minimum rainfall amounts among the farms? Minimum Rainfall Causing Runoff for 4 Different Farming Systems 1.40 <25% (low soil moisture) 25-35% (med. soil moisture) 1.20 > 35% (high soil moisture) Frozen soil 1.00 Rainfall, inches 0.80 0.60 0.40 0.20 0.00 SW WI No-Till ('04-'08) SW WI Till ('04-'08) NE WI Pasture and Till ('05-'08) NE WI Till ('04-'08) As one would expect some differences are present between the farms. However, from a critical-period planning standpoint, they are rather similar!
  • 19. The next steps…? Online advisory index screening tool On the ground data and decision- based on NWS predictions… PLUS… making criteria  Soil Temperature and Soil Moisture Data +  Criteria for risk of runoff based upon rainfall/runoff relations  = Decision making tool! Source: http://www.manureadvisorysystem.wi.gov/