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Trends in IT/ITES Outsourcing in India



                  Ashok Antony

Seventh Annual International Smart-Sourcing Conference,
    Center for Global Oursourcing (CGO) Hyderabad,
                     August, 2008
Evolution and growth of IT/ITES industry in India


Captive IT/ITES companies in India


Key trends and challenges for Indian IT/ITES players
Evolution of IT ITES Industry- Major milestones



IT/ITES exports
$ Bn                                                                                                        2010 target more     $60 Bn
                                                                                                            challenging due
60                                                                                                          to a slowdown in
                                                                                                            US

          1968 - TCS set
50        up
          1970s - IBM
          leaves India
          1976 - HCL
40
          established
          1978- Patni                                                                                        More captive
          established                                                                                        centers sell
30                                                                                                           operations
          1980 – Wipro IT                     Emergence of ITES/BPO                  Captive centers begin exit
                                                                                                                   India and MNC players
          services setup                      off shoring by American
                                                                                                                   ramp up headcount
                                              Express, GE Capital
          1981 - Infosys
                                              (Genpact) and British
          was launched
20                                            Airways (WNS)                                                 GE sells 60% stake
          1987- Satyam                                                                                      in GECIS
          was launched
                                                                                                    IT players enter BPO space
10                                                                Impending Y2K                 BA sells major stake in WNS
                                   India’s economic
                                                                  problem and
                                   liberalization                                 Third party BPO service
                                                                  dotcom boom
                                                                                  providers emerge –
                                   IBM returns to India
 0                                                                                Spectramind, EXL, Daksh
        Pre 1990s           1990                                             2000                                                2010 (E)
Key Drivers of the Indian IT/ITES Outsourcing Industry




                             Cost arbitrage



                                               Favourable
                  Language
                                              tax structure



                                Drivers



                  Industry
                                              Qualified labor
                  maturity



                              Time zone
                              advantage
20 Indian firms among world's top 100 in outsourcing –
challenge the BIG 6

                                                                                                   Global Big Six
                 Domestic Big 6
                                                                                           IBM, CSC, EDS (now HP),
     (SWITCH) TCS, Infosys, Wipro,                                                          Accenture, ACS and HP
       Cognizant, Satyam & HCL

       Ranking                        Company Name                         Ranking                     Company Name

           3           Infosys                                                 36         Cambridge
           6           TCS                                                     40         ITC Infotech

           7           Wipro                                                   42         KPIT Cummins
           9           Genpact                                                 46         Patni
          10           Tech Mahindra                                           53         Zensar
          11           HCL Technology                                          54         MindTree
          16           Mastek                                                  56         Mphasis
          19           WNS Global Services                                     62         Aditya Birla Minacs
          22           Hexaware                                                73         FirstSource Solutions
          26           ExlService                                              84         VCustomer


          28           24/7 Customer



   Source: The International Association of Outsourcing Professionals (IAOP)
   Note: Rankings based on judged on four critical characteristics: size and growth; customer references; organizational competencies;
   and management capabilities.
Evolution and growth of IT/ITES industry in India


Captive IT/ITES companies in India


Key trends and challenges for Indian IT/ITES players
Captive IT/ITES companies




First wave (Pre 1990)       Focused on R&D – HP, Motorola, TI, Lucent


Second wave (1990-          Focused on software development – IBM,
95)                         Siemens, Oracle

Third wave (1995-01)        Focused on IT services – Microsoft, Perot
                            systems, EDS, Apple

Fourth wave (2001           Focused on Financial Services – IT, BPO,
onwards)                    KPO services of banks, insurers




                        Source: Infosys Research
Captives versus Third party – Cost Comparison




Annual Base Salary Costs                         Annual Mgmt Salary Costs            Mgmt staff per 1000 FTE

                     $9500-                                               $70,000
                                                                                                                   16-18
                     $10,300                                     27-38%   $90,000
$7700-     23-26%                                  $55,000-                                         15%
$8200      higher                                  $65000        higher                             higher



                                                                                         12-14




  Third party         Captives                     Third party            Captives    Third party            Captives




  Lower cost base makes third party centers more attractive in
  the long run

  Source: Everest Research Institute, CIO. COM
Captives – MNC players ramp up headcount




  Accenture has its largest delivery centre in India (35,000
 employees) ahead of the US.

  IBM to have 1/3 rd of staff in India by 2010

   Xansa’s India centers account for more than 60 per cent of
 global delivery

   LogicaCMG has half its over 6,000 global services delivery
 resources in India.

  Cap Gemini has 18 per cent of its workforce in India.
Captives – ITES players cashing out…However India remains a
key location for IT majors




     BA sells stake in WNS

     Deutche bank sells stake in captive to HCL

     GE sells stake in GECIS

     Prudential plc sells part of its captive operations to Capita

     Aviva sells its captive operations to WNS

     Citigroup contemplates sale of captive centre

     AOL sells its BPO unit to Essar group
Evolution and growth of IT/ITES industry in India


Captive IT/ITES companies in India


Key trends and challenges for Indian IT/ITES players
Key trends and challenges for Indian IT/ITES players




  Exposure to US slowdown

  Wage inflation and effects of rising rupee

  The lure of emerging markets

  Tapping tier-II cities and graduate pool

  Pricing power

  High Customer churn

  Competition from other low-cost countries
Companies try to diversify beyond US. US still remains the largest
market



             10 0 %

              90%
                                                      Re st of the
                                                      World
              80%

              70 %
                                                      Europe
              60%

              50 %

              40%                                     Ame rica s

              30%

              20%

              10 %

               0%
                      FY 04   FY 05   FY 06   FY 07


Companies look to Europe to offset currency effects and a US slowdown
Emerging markets to serve as alternate low cost development
centres and key growth markets for services




 Near shoring to locations such as Canada, Mexico for tapping the
 US market
 Companies including Infosys , KPIT-Infosystems, Genpact,
 Cybernet - Slash- Support (CSS) opened offices in Poland
 Genpact opened an office in Mexico, to serve as its Latin America
 headquarters
 TCS launched a new subsidiary, TCS South Africa, to strengthen its
 focus and expand operations in South Africa.
 Infosys has formed a New Growth Engines (NGE) unit to
 expand business in emerging markets
 Satyam is expanding its footprint in emerging markets with
 offices in Brazil, China, Malaysia, Hungary, Egypt, Kuwait, Saudi
 Arabia, and Dubai, among others.
Erosion of labor arbitrage – Wage inflation and Appreciation of the
rupee




                                                                                                    Between 2003 and May
48


46                                                                                                  2008, the rupee has
                                                                                                    appreciated over 7.6%
44

                                                                                                    At its lowest rate of 39.26 a
                                                                                                    Dollar in Jan 2008, the
42


40                                                                                                  rupee was 15% higher
                                                                                                    versus the dollar
38

                                                                                                    According to Mercer,
36
                                                                                                    India’s wage inflation is set
34                                                                                                  to average about 15 per
 Jun-03   Dec-03   Jun-04   Dec-04   Jun-05   Dec-05   Jun-06   Dec-06   Jun-07   Dec-07   Jun-08
                                                                                                    cent a year until 2011
Expansion to Tier-II, Tier III cities



    Tier I cities account for over 85 per cent of IT sector
    employment and over 90 per cent of the BPO employment
    Approximately 50 per cent of the additional talent requirements
    to be met from Tier-II and Tier-III cities
    Tier II cities can offer cost advantages of 35-50 percent over
    mature locations due to lower labour and real estate costs and
    reduced staff attrition rates
    Tier II cities to account for 40% BPO jobs by 2018
    Future growth in Tier-II cities to occur in SEZs
      - Emerging destinations: Ahmedabad, Bhubaneshwar, Chandigarh, Coimbatore,
       Indore, Jaipur, Kochi, Lucknow , Madurai, Mangalore, Nagpur,
       Thiruvananthapuram, Tiruchirapalli, Vadodara, Visakhapatnam




                          Source: NASSCOM-AT Kearney study
IT Companies look beyond Engineers



 Big manpower shortfall—close to half a million—by 2010.
 About 20-25 % of the technical work in the IT industry can be
 done by non-engineers. However less than 10% of the staff in IT
 industry are non-engineers
 Top five IT players to recruit a minimum of 10,000 plain science
 candidates in 2008
 Advantages:
   - Low entry level salary costs (30% to 50% lower)
   - Right-skilling
   - Optimize resource utilization
   - Deployment in new areas such as infrastructure management,
   testing, support and maintenance
Pricing Power – Companies were able to raise prices in
rising rupee scenario




      A percentage rise in the rupee against the dollar leads to a
        - 1.2% loss in earnings for Wipro
        - 1.9% fall for Infosys and
        - 2.2% dip for Satyam

      Most major IT/ITES players increased prices on new
      contracts and tried to negotiate on existing contracts
        - Infosys raised prices for new customers and 2 percent
           increase in existing contracts
         - TCS prices new contracts at higher prices

      However small and mid-sized companies which lacked
      pricing power were hit by the rising rupee
Other Challenges / Trends




      High customer churn among the IT majors

      Decline in mega deals: In 2007, mega deals accounted for
      only 6.8 per cent of the number of total contracts in 2007,
      down from 7.4 per cent in 2006
      Increasing competition from countries like Poland, china
      etc.

      KPO services to emerge as a niche high growth area
        – Emergence of high-end KPO services such as actuarial
        outsourcing
Thank You

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IT-ITES Outsourcing Trends In India

  • 1. Trends in IT/ITES Outsourcing in India Ashok Antony Seventh Annual International Smart-Sourcing Conference, Center for Global Oursourcing (CGO) Hyderabad, August, 2008
  • 2. Evolution and growth of IT/ITES industry in India Captive IT/ITES companies in India Key trends and challenges for Indian IT/ITES players
  • 3. Evolution of IT ITES Industry- Major milestones IT/ITES exports $ Bn 2010 target more $60 Bn challenging due 60 to a slowdown in US 1968 - TCS set 50 up 1970s - IBM leaves India 1976 - HCL 40 established 1978- Patni More captive established centers sell 30 operations 1980 – Wipro IT Emergence of ITES/BPO Captive centers begin exit India and MNC players services setup off shoring by American ramp up headcount Express, GE Capital 1981 - Infosys (Genpact) and British was launched 20 Airways (WNS) GE sells 60% stake 1987- Satyam in GECIS was launched IT players enter BPO space 10 Impending Y2K BA sells major stake in WNS India’s economic problem and liberalization Third party BPO service dotcom boom providers emerge – IBM returns to India 0 Spectramind, EXL, Daksh Pre 1990s 1990 2000 2010 (E)
  • 4. Key Drivers of the Indian IT/ITES Outsourcing Industry Cost arbitrage Favourable Language tax structure Drivers Industry Qualified labor maturity Time zone advantage
  • 5. 20 Indian firms among world's top 100 in outsourcing – challenge the BIG 6 Global Big Six Domestic Big 6 IBM, CSC, EDS (now HP), (SWITCH) TCS, Infosys, Wipro, Accenture, ACS and HP Cognizant, Satyam & HCL Ranking Company Name Ranking Company Name 3 Infosys 36 Cambridge 6 TCS 40 ITC Infotech 7 Wipro 42 KPIT Cummins 9 Genpact 46 Patni 10 Tech Mahindra 53 Zensar 11 HCL Technology 54 MindTree 16 Mastek 56 Mphasis 19 WNS Global Services 62 Aditya Birla Minacs 22 Hexaware 73 FirstSource Solutions 26 ExlService 84 VCustomer 28 24/7 Customer Source: The International Association of Outsourcing Professionals (IAOP) Note: Rankings based on judged on four critical characteristics: size and growth; customer references; organizational competencies; and management capabilities.
  • 6. Evolution and growth of IT/ITES industry in India Captive IT/ITES companies in India Key trends and challenges for Indian IT/ITES players
  • 7. Captive IT/ITES companies First wave (Pre 1990) Focused on R&D – HP, Motorola, TI, Lucent Second wave (1990- Focused on software development – IBM, 95) Siemens, Oracle Third wave (1995-01) Focused on IT services – Microsoft, Perot systems, EDS, Apple Fourth wave (2001 Focused on Financial Services – IT, BPO, onwards) KPO services of banks, insurers Source: Infosys Research
  • 8. Captives versus Third party – Cost Comparison Annual Base Salary Costs Annual Mgmt Salary Costs Mgmt staff per 1000 FTE $9500- $70,000 16-18 $10,300 27-38% $90,000 $7700- 23-26% $55,000- 15% $8200 higher $65000 higher higher 12-14 Third party Captives Third party Captives Third party Captives Lower cost base makes third party centers more attractive in the long run Source: Everest Research Institute, CIO. COM
  • 9. Captives – MNC players ramp up headcount Accenture has its largest delivery centre in India (35,000 employees) ahead of the US. IBM to have 1/3 rd of staff in India by 2010 Xansa’s India centers account for more than 60 per cent of global delivery LogicaCMG has half its over 6,000 global services delivery resources in India. Cap Gemini has 18 per cent of its workforce in India.
  • 10. Captives – ITES players cashing out…However India remains a key location for IT majors BA sells stake in WNS Deutche bank sells stake in captive to HCL GE sells stake in GECIS Prudential plc sells part of its captive operations to Capita Aviva sells its captive operations to WNS Citigroup contemplates sale of captive centre AOL sells its BPO unit to Essar group
  • 11. Evolution and growth of IT/ITES industry in India Captive IT/ITES companies in India Key trends and challenges for Indian IT/ITES players
  • 12. Key trends and challenges for Indian IT/ITES players Exposure to US slowdown Wage inflation and effects of rising rupee The lure of emerging markets Tapping tier-II cities and graduate pool Pricing power High Customer churn Competition from other low-cost countries
  • 13. Companies try to diversify beyond US. US still remains the largest market 10 0 % 90% Re st of the World 80% 70 % Europe 60% 50 % 40% Ame rica s 30% 20% 10 % 0% FY 04 FY 05 FY 06 FY 07 Companies look to Europe to offset currency effects and a US slowdown
  • 14. Emerging markets to serve as alternate low cost development centres and key growth markets for services Near shoring to locations such as Canada, Mexico for tapping the US market Companies including Infosys , KPIT-Infosystems, Genpact, Cybernet - Slash- Support (CSS) opened offices in Poland Genpact opened an office in Mexico, to serve as its Latin America headquarters TCS launched a new subsidiary, TCS South Africa, to strengthen its focus and expand operations in South Africa. Infosys has formed a New Growth Engines (NGE) unit to expand business in emerging markets Satyam is expanding its footprint in emerging markets with offices in Brazil, China, Malaysia, Hungary, Egypt, Kuwait, Saudi Arabia, and Dubai, among others.
  • 15. Erosion of labor arbitrage – Wage inflation and Appreciation of the rupee Between 2003 and May 48 46 2008, the rupee has appreciated over 7.6% 44 At its lowest rate of 39.26 a Dollar in Jan 2008, the 42 40 rupee was 15% higher versus the dollar 38 According to Mercer, 36 India’s wage inflation is set 34 to average about 15 per Jun-03 Dec-03 Jun-04 Dec-04 Jun-05 Dec-05 Jun-06 Dec-06 Jun-07 Dec-07 Jun-08 cent a year until 2011
  • 16. Expansion to Tier-II, Tier III cities Tier I cities account for over 85 per cent of IT sector employment and over 90 per cent of the BPO employment Approximately 50 per cent of the additional talent requirements to be met from Tier-II and Tier-III cities Tier II cities can offer cost advantages of 35-50 percent over mature locations due to lower labour and real estate costs and reduced staff attrition rates Tier II cities to account for 40% BPO jobs by 2018 Future growth in Tier-II cities to occur in SEZs - Emerging destinations: Ahmedabad, Bhubaneshwar, Chandigarh, Coimbatore, Indore, Jaipur, Kochi, Lucknow , Madurai, Mangalore, Nagpur, Thiruvananthapuram, Tiruchirapalli, Vadodara, Visakhapatnam Source: NASSCOM-AT Kearney study
  • 17. IT Companies look beyond Engineers Big manpower shortfall—close to half a million—by 2010. About 20-25 % of the technical work in the IT industry can be done by non-engineers. However less than 10% of the staff in IT industry are non-engineers Top five IT players to recruit a minimum of 10,000 plain science candidates in 2008 Advantages: - Low entry level salary costs (30% to 50% lower) - Right-skilling - Optimize resource utilization - Deployment in new areas such as infrastructure management, testing, support and maintenance
  • 18. Pricing Power – Companies were able to raise prices in rising rupee scenario A percentage rise in the rupee against the dollar leads to a - 1.2% loss in earnings for Wipro - 1.9% fall for Infosys and - 2.2% dip for Satyam Most major IT/ITES players increased prices on new contracts and tried to negotiate on existing contracts - Infosys raised prices for new customers and 2 percent increase in existing contracts - TCS prices new contracts at higher prices However small and mid-sized companies which lacked pricing power were hit by the rising rupee
  • 19. Other Challenges / Trends High customer churn among the IT majors Decline in mega deals: In 2007, mega deals accounted for only 6.8 per cent of the number of total contracts in 2007, down from 7.4 per cent in 2006 Increasing competition from countries like Poland, china etc. KPO services to emerge as a niche high growth area – Emergence of high-end KPO services such as actuarial outsourcing