1. EU, NATO, AND THE
POLITICS OF
CONDITIONALITY
Angel Angelov
2. STRUCTURE OF THE LECTURE
I Introduction to Conditionality
II Enlargement Conditionality
III The EU and NATO Enlargement Conditionality
3. I INTRODUCTION TO CONDITIONALITY
I. INTRODUCTION TO CONDITIONALITY
II. Enlargement Conditionality
III. EU and NATO Conditionality
2. Definitions
4. Generations
6. Characteristics
4. 1. DEFINITION I. INTRODUCTION TO CONDITIONALITY
1. Definition
2.Generations of Conditionality
3. Characteristics of Conditionality
The law of conditionality:
Whatever comes into existence does so in dependence on
conditions, and in the absence of those conditions ceases
to exist.
(Sangharakshita, A Guide to the Buddhist Path)
A new world order can be created, and development aid,
by its conditionality, is one of the instruments to do so.
(Peter Uvin, ‘Do as I Say, Not as I do’: The Limits of Political Conditionality)
5. 1. DEFINITION I. INTRODUCTION TO CONDITIONALITY
1. Definition
2.Generations of Conditionality
3. Characteristics of Conditionality
I will provide you with ‘x’ on a condition you do ‘y’
The idea - old as politics itself
Recent addition to the lexicon of IR
6. 1. DEFINITION I. INTRODUCTION TO CONDITIONALITY
1. Definition
2.Generations of Conditionality
3. Characteristics of Conditionality
The use of fulfilment of stipulated political
obligations as a prerequisite for obtaining
economic aid
debt relief
most-favoured nation status
access to subsidized credit
membership in desired regional or global
organizations
7. 2. GENERATIONS OF CONDITIONALITY
I. INTRODUCTION TO CONDITIONALITY
1. Definition
2.Generations of Conditionality
3. Characteristics of Conditionality
A. First generation
Economic conditionality
B. Second generation
Political conditionality
8. A. First generation of Conditionality
I. INTRODUCTION TO CONDITIONALITY
1. Definition
2.Generations of Conditionality
3. Characteristics of Conditionality
Late 1970s - economic crisis in the Third World
Reasons - excessive government spending,
over-valued currencies, etc.
Prescription - domestic economic reforms
Economic reforms - condition for assistance
9. B. Second generation of conditionality
I. INTRODUCTION TO CONDITIONALITY
1. Definition
2.Generations of Conditionality
3. Characteristics of Conditionality
The end of the Cold War
Democracy and human rights - primary concern in
development
Free markets and free elections - essence of aid
Development aid - dependent on political reforms
10. 3. CHARACTERISTICS OF CONDITIONALITY
I. INTRODUCTION TO CONDITIONALITY
1. Definition
2.Generations of Conditionality
3. Characteristics of Conditionality
Power asymmetry
Demander’s availability of alternative sources
Donor’s necessity for interaction with the demander
Elaboration of the conditions
Demander’s commitment to reform
11. II ENLARGEMENT CONDITIONALITY
I. Introduction to Conditionality
II. ENLARGEMENT CONDITIONALITY
III. EU and NATO Conditionality
n Enlargement conditionality:
3rd generation of conditionality
n Rational
n Limitations
12. • ENLARGEMENT CONDITIONALITY :
3rd GENERATION OF CONDITIONALITY
II. ENLARGEMENT CONDITIONALITY
• Enlargement Conditionality: 3rd Generation
• Rational
• Limitations
Triggering factors:
Financial crisis in the Third World
First generation
End of the Cold War
Second generation
NATO and EU post-Cold war enlargements
Third generation
13. 1. ENLARGEMENT CONDITIONALITY AS A
THIRD GENERATION OF CONDITIONALITY
II. ENLARGEMENT CONDITIONALITY
• Enlargement Conditionality as a 3rd Generation
• Rational
• Limitations
Focus:
First generation
economic conditions
Second generation
brought in the human rights consideration
Third generation
‘full package’
14. 1. ENLARGEMENT CONDITIONALITY AS A
THIRD GENERATION OF CONDITIONALITY
II. ENLARGEMENT CONDITIONALITY
• Enlargement conditionality as a 3rd generation
• Rational
• Limitations
Features of the enlargement conditionality
1990s - beyond a simple listing of membership criteria
Complex and elaborated system of conditions
Extensive and institutionalized monitoring
15. 1. ENLARGEMENT CONDITIONALITY AS A
THIRD GENERATION OF CONDITIONALITY
II. ENLARGEMENT CONDITIONALITY
• Enlargement Conditionality as a 3rd Generation
• Rational
• Limitations
Goals:
Previous generations
more immediate results
Enlargement conditionality
longer term perspective and sustainability
16. 1. ENLARGEMENT CONDITIONALITY AS A
THIRD GENERATION OF CONDITIONALITY
II. ENLARGEMENT CONDITIONALITY
• Enlargement Conditionality as a 3rd Generation
• Rational
• Limitations
Better equipped for bringing and sustaining reforms
The benefits associated with membership:
sufficiently large as to induce far-reaching concessions
17. 2. RATIONAL
II. ENLARGEMENT CONDITIONALITY
• Enlargement Conditionality as a 3rd Generation
• Rational
• Limitations
Justifying rejection
Ensuring the contribution potential of the newcomers
Protection of the club’s basic values and interests
Motivating particular set of reforms in the candidates
18. 3. LIMITATIONS
II. ENLARGEMENT CONDITIONALITY
• Enlargement Conditionality as a 3rd Generation
• Rational
• Limitations
Geographical limitation
Temporal limitation
19. III EU AND NATO ENLARGEMENT
CONDITIONALITY
I. Introduction to Conditionality
II. Enlargement Conditionality
III. EU and NATO ENLARGEMENT CONDITIONALITY
n Membership conditionality
n Characteristics
n Rational
n Limitations
20. 1. MEMBERSHIP CONDITIONALITY
III. EU AND NATO ENLARGEMENT CONDITIONALITY
• Membership Conditionality
• Rational
• Characteristics
A. EU membership conditionality
B. NATO membership conditionality
21. A. EU membership conditionality
III. EU AND NATO ENLARGEMENT CONDITIONALITY
• Membership Conditionality
• Rational
• Characteristics
• Limitations
Copenhagen conditions:
democracy and protection of human and minority
rights
a functioning market economy
implementation of the acqui
Fourth basic condition:
‘good neighbourliness’ (Agenda 2000 )
22. B. NATO membership conditionality
III. EU AND NATO ENLARGEMENT CONDITIONALITY
• Membership Conditionality
• Characteristics
• Rational
• Limitations
‘Study on NATO Enlargement’
Functioning democratic political system
Market economy
Democratic civil-military relations
Minority protection
Good-neighbourliness
Ability to provide a military contribution and achieve
interoperability
23. 2. CHARACTERISTICS OF THE EU AND NATO
ENLARGEMENT CONDITIONALITY
III. EU AND NATO ENLARGEMENT CONDITIONALITY
• Membership Conditionality
• Characteristics
• Rational
• Limitations
Power asymmetry
Is there a power asymmetry between EU/NATO and the applicants?
Demander’s availability of alternative sources
Are there available alternatives to the EU/NATO membership?
Donor’s necessity for a particular interaction with the ‘demander
Is there a lack of an urgent need for EU/NATO to enlarge?
Elaboration of the conditions
Are EU and NATO imposing conditions unilaterally?
Demander’s commitment to reform
Could the applicants have undertaken the required reforms if EU/NATO
membership was not conditioned on them?
24. Is there a power asymmetry?
III. EU AND NATO ENLARGEMENT CONDITIONALITY
• Membership Conditionality
• Characteristics
• Rational
• Limitations
‘Carrot and stick’ approach
Carrot - positive conditionality
If you do ‘x’ we provide you with ‘y’
membership - encourages a peaceful transformation of the
social, political and military systems
Stick - negative conditionality
If you do not do ‘x’ we will not provide you with ‘y’
denial of membership
“Carrot and stick” approach = significant power asymmetry
25. Are there available alternatives to the
membership in EU/NATO?
III. EU AND NATO ENLARGEMENT CONDITIONALITY
• Membership Conditionality
• Characteristics
• Rational
• Limitations
Membership affiliations during and after the Cold War
In economic terms - EU membership is the most attractive option
A dangerous security vacuum
Russia - not in a position, nor requested to assist
Neutrality is not an option
Membership in NATO – the most reliable option
26. Is there a lack of an urgent need for
EU/NATO to enlarge?
III. EU AND NATO ENLARGEMENT CONDITIONALITY
• Membership Conditionality
• Characteristics
• Rational
• Limitations
No enthusiasm for ‘big bang’ enlargement
Significant mismatch between demand and supply
27. Are EU and NATO imposing conditions
unilaterally? III. EU AND NATO ENLARGEMENT CONDITIONALITY
• Membership Conditionality
• Characteristics
• Rational
• Limitations
NATO alone sets the conditions and the timetable for the
accession
The applicants – excluded from the decision-making
Partnership for Peace / Stability Pact for SEE
‘Take it or leave it’
28. Could the applicants have undertaken the reforms
if membership was not conditioned on them?
III. EU AND NATO ENLARGEMENT CONDITIONALITY
• Membership Conditionality
• Characteristics
• Rational
• Limitations
At its best- form of paternalism
At its worst - imposes an alien agenda
Problem of timing
29. 3. RATIONAL OF THE NATO
ENLARGEMENT CONDITIONALITY
III. EU AND NATO ENLARGEMENT CONDITIONALITY
• Membership Conditionality
• Characteristics
• Rational
• Limitations
Justifying rejection
- keep the unwanted applicants away
Ensuring contribution potential of the newcomers
- sensibility on the inclusion of ‘free riders’
30. 3. RATIONAL OF THE NATO
ENLARGEMENT CONDITIONALITY
III. EU AND NATO ENLARGEMENT CONDITIONALITY
• Membership Conditionality
• Characteristics
• Rational
• Limitations
Protection of the club’s basic values and interests
- widening should not obstruct deepening
Motivating particular set of reforms
- enlargement is one the most influential foreign
policy instruments
31. 3. LIMITATIONS TO THE NATO
ENLARGEMENT CONDITIONALITY
III. EU AND NATO ENLARGEMENT CONDITIONALITY
• Membership Conditionality
• Characteristics
• Rational
• Limitations
Geographical limitation
limited to the North-Atlantic area
Temporal limitation
limited to the awarding of membership
32. CONCLUSION
I. Introduction to Conditionality
II. Enlargement Conditionality
III. EU and NATO Enlargement conditionality
Effective environment shaping instrument
Reasons:
functions in an environment of power asymmetry
has no viable alternative
the demand of membership exceeds the supply
many reforms are triggered by EU’s and NATO’s
carrot and stick approach