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Evidence-Based HR: What is it and
    is it really happening yet?


                      Rob B Briner
                      r.b.briner@bath.ac.uk




    Evidence-Based HR: What is it and is it really happening yet?
                 University of Brighton 06.02.13
                                                                    1
Outline
   What is evidence-based practice?
   Background to evidence-based HR: Why do
    all practitioners need evidence based
    practice?
    –   General cognitive biases that affect us all
    –   Practice fads and fashions
    –   Consultants/advisors/fad vendors
    –   Power and politics
   How evidence-based is HR? Some criteria
                                                      2
                                                      2
The underlying simple and modest logic
of evidence-based practice
1. Practitioners in any field routinely make
   decisions and judgements (e.g., about
   interventions)
2. Those decisions are based on evidence
   (information) of various and many types
3. Using only a little evidence or evidence that is
   not relevant or valid is likely to produce poorer
   decisions and poorer outcomes
4. Using more and more relevant and valid
   evidence is likely to produce better decisions
   and outcome

                                                       3
                                                       3
So what’s the problem?
   Not a single problem but many interlinked
    problems including…
    1. Research and evidence produced by
       management schools in general is not being
       used or applied much
    2. Few incentives for (HR) academics to get
       involved in applying research
    3. (HR) Management practice often not much
       influenced by research or evidence
    4. Few incentives for (HR) managers to use
       research and evidence (including academic
       evidence) in their practice                  4
                                                    4
Who thinks it’s a problem?
   Many Past-Presidents of the Academy of
    Management (professional body for
    management academics)
    – Hambrick (1994): What if the Academy actually
        mattered?
    – Huff (2000): Mode1/2 knowledge production
    – Van de Ven (2002): Co-production of knowledge,
        engaged scholarship
    –   Bartunek (2003): Collaborative research
    –   Pearce (2004): What do we know and how do we
        really know it?
    –   Rousseau (2006): Evidence-based Management
    –   Cummings (2007): Quest for an engaged academy

                                                        5
                                                        5
Who else thinks it’s a problem?
   Many other management academics for
    example:
    – Pfeffer & Sutton: Evidence-Based Management
    – Lawler: Why HR Practices are not Evidence-Based
    – Rynes: Tackling the “great divide” between research
      production and dissemination in human resource
      management
    – Hodgkinson & Herriot: Re-aligning the Stakeholders in
      Management Research
    – Latham: Becoming the Evidence-Based Manager
    – Locke: Handbook of Principles of Organizational
      Behavior: Indispensable Knowledge for Evidence-
      Based Management                                        6
                                                              6
7
7
What field is this?
   “a research-user gap”
   “practitioners do not read academic journals”
   “the findings of research into what is an effective intervention
    are not being translated into actual practice”
   “academics not practitioners are driving the research agenda”
   “the relevance, quality and applicability of research is
    questionable”
   “practice is being driven more by fads and fashions than
    research”
   “many practices are doing more harm than good”
   “the collective wisdom from research is being lost”



                                                                       8
                                                                       8
What is EBMgt/HRM?
   Evidence-based management is about
    making decisions through the
    conscientious, explicit, and judicious use
    of four sources of information: (1)
    practitioner expertise and judgment, (2)
    evidence from the local context, (3) a critical
    evaluation of the best available research
    evidence, and (4) the perspectives of those
    people who might be affected by the
    decision. (Briner, Denyer, Rousseau, 2009)

                                                      9
                                                      9
What is evidence-based management?




                                      10
                                     10
What is a HRM decision in this context?
   HRM practitioners make many kinds of decisions
    – Small or large
    – Routine/programmed or unique/non-programmed
    – Fast/immediate or somewhat slower
    – Few resource implications or large resource
      implications
    – Full information with certain outcome or limited
      information with uncertain outcome
   Intuition or ‘gut feel’ great for some decisions but
    not so good for these
   Like any other source of evidence gut needs to be
    subject to critical scrutiny

                                                            11
                                                           11
What is evidence-based practice? Some
misconceptions and myths
   Evidence means quantitative ‘scientific’ evidence.
    No. Evidence in general just means information – like
    the use of ‘evidence’ in legal settings – anything might
    count if it’s valid and relevant.
   Evidence-based practice means practitioners
    cannot or should not use their professional
    expertise. No. Expertise is another form of knowledge
    which can be as valid or relevant as any other. And
    expertise is necessary to apply evidence.
   Evidence can prove things. No. Just probabilities or
    indications based on limited information and situations.
   Evidence tells you the truth about things. No.
    Truth is a whole different thing.                           12
                                                               12
What is evidence-based practice? Some
misconceptions and myths
   New exciting single ‘breakthrough’ studies
    provide the best evidence. No. It’s about what a
    body of research is suggesting.
   Collecting valid and relevant evidence gives you
    The Answer to The Problem. No. Evidence rarely
    gives you The Answer but helps you make better-
    informed decisions.
   Doing evidence-based practice means doing what
    the research evidence tells you works. No.
    Research evidence is just one of four sources of
    evidence. Evidence-based practice is about practice
    not research. Evidence doesn’t speak for itself or do
    anything.
                                                             13
                                                            13
What is evidence-based practice? Some
misconceptions and myths
   If you don’t have the evidence you can’t do
    anything. No. But you practice explicitly knowing this.
    It’s not about perfection or a completely knowable
    world.
   Experts (e.g., consultants and management
    school professors) know all about the evidence so
    you just need to ask them. Rarely true. Experts are
    invariably biased, have limited knowledge and have
    vested interests (particularly if their expertise is related
    to their power or other resources). We need to make
    our own judgements and overcome “trust me I’m a
    doctor”-type deference.

                                                                    14
                                                                   14
It is not weird to use evidence in
everyday life
   Which film shall I watch this weekend?
   Which hotel shall I book in a city I’ve never
    been to before?
   What kind of camera should I buy?
   Which school is best for my children?
   Are those plug in alarms that are supposed
    to deter mice and rats any good?
   Should I apply for that job?
                                                     15
                                                    15
   Images of IMDB, Rotten Tomatoes, Trip
    Advisor, Which removed to reduce file size




                                                  16
                                                 16
So it’s not weird to use evidence in everyday
life – but is it weird in organizational life?
   Managers (and organizations) are generally
    supposed to use evidence to make decisions – part
    of what being a professional manager is about
   But it often seems that HRM is not particularly
    evidence-based
   In general HR managers appear to make some use
    of evidence from three sources: Expertise and
    experience, stakeholders, context
   But, for various reasons, appear to make relatively
    little use of external academic evidence
   One reason is that HR managers are not trained to
    do this – and that other things drive decisions

                                                           17
                                                          17
A bat and ball cost one pound and ten pence.
The bat costs a pound more than the ball. How
much does the ball cost?


                                                 18
                                                18
Error and biases in problem-solving and
decision-making




In a lake, there is a patch of lily pads. Every day, the patch
doubles in size. If it takes 48 days for the patch to cover
the entire lake, how long would it take for the patch to
cover half of the lake?

                                                                  19
                                                                 19
Error and biases in problem-solving and
decision-making
A certain town is served by two hospitals. In the larger
hospital about 45 babies are born each day, and in the
smaller hospital about 15 babies are born each day. As you
know, about 50% of all babies are boys. However the exact
percentage varies from day to day. Sometimes it may be
higher than 50%, sometimes lower. For a period of 1 year,
each hospital recorded the days on which more than 60% of
the babies born were boys. Which hospital do you think
recorded more such days?”


1. The larger hospital
2. The smaller hospital
3. About the same (that is, within 5% of each other)


                                                              20
                                                             20
Error and biases in problem-solving and
decision-making – some examples
   Confirmation bias: Tendency to interpret and search for information
    consistent with one’s prior beliefs
   Mere exposure effect: Tendency to develop a preference for things
    which we have become more familiar with
   Hindsight bias: Tendency to see past events as being more predictable
    than they were before the event occurred
   Loss aversion: Tendency to prefer avoiding losses than to acquiring
    gains
   Anchoring effect: Tendency to rely too heavily or over-emphasize one
    piece of information (e.g., restaurant wine lists, large reductions in
    price in sales)
   Framing effect: Drawing different conclusions from exactly the same
    information presented in different ways (e.g., would you prefer a ready
    meal that’s “85% fat free” or “15% fat”?)
   Meta-cognitive bias: The belief we are immune from such biases             21
                                                                              21
Visual perceptions too: Some classic
optical illusions




                                        22
                                       22
23
23
24
24
Management fads and fashions
   What are they?
   Some example
   What do they do?




                                25
                               25
Management fashions (Abrahamson)
   Management fashion: “a relatively transitory
    collective belief, disseminated by management
    fashion setters, that a management technique
    leads rational management progress.”
   Management fashion-setting: “the process by
    which management fashion setters continuously
    redefine both theirs and fashion followers'
    collective beliefs about which management
    techniques lead rational management progress.”
   Management fashion-setters: “Consulting firms,
    management gurus, business mass-media
    publications, and business schools.”

                                                      26
                                                     26
Management fashions (Carson et al,
2000)
   Interventions that are:
    – subject to social contagion because they are novel and
      perceived to be progressive, or preferable eexisting
      fashions
    – or are perceived to be innovative, rational, functional
    – are aimed at improving organizational performance either
      materially or symbolically through image enhancement
    – motivated by a desire either to fix an existing problem or
      capitalize on opportunities for improvement
    – considered to be of transitory value because, despite some
      acceptance no systematic research supporting their utility
      emerges


                                                                    27
                                                                   27
Examples
   Business process re-engineering
   Total quality management
   Quality circles
   Talent management
   Lean
   Outsourcing
   Employee Stock Ownership

                                       28
                                      28
29
29
30
30
Employee engagement – an aside
   Anyone read a systematic review of high-
    quality evidence about what EE is, how it
    works, and if it does anything?
    – Huge definitional problems
    – Is it anything different or new? Gallup Q12
      correlates .91 with job satisfaction at unit level
   Just how bad an idea is employee engagement?
    On multiple meanings, muddled measurement
    and management myths
http://www.kent.ac.uk/webteamtest/kbs-medway/3-briner.html

                                                              31
                                                             31
ABRAHAMSON (1996)




                     32
                    32
Article titles: Miller et al (2004)
   Stage 1 - Ascendancy: Total Quality: Wave of the
    Future, Reengineering: It’s Totally Radical, Welcome
    to the Revolution, The Promise of Reengineering,
    How to Work Wonders, Completely.
   Stage 2 – Maturity: Reengineering: The Hot New
    Managing Tool, The Reengineering Rage, Warning:
    This Good Idea May Become a Fad, Reengineering:
    Beyond the Buzzword.
   Stage 3 – Decline: Ten Reasons Why TQM
    Doesn't Work, TQM: The Mystique, the Mistakes,
    The Hocus-Pocus of Reengineering, Why TQM Fails
    and What to Do About It.
                                                            33
                                                           33
CARSON ET AL (2000)




                       34
                      34
How are fads a problem? (Donaldson &
Hilmer, 1998)
   “The main problem…is their lack of any solid
    intellectual foundation. Implicit in each fad is
    a cause effect statement that is rarely made
    explicit and never properly supported.”
   “…management needs to evolve a sound
    body of knowledge and clear language that
    will assist members of the profession to
    reason cogently. Faddism is the enemy of
    this professionalism.”

                                                        35
                                                       35
36
36
Related concept of the quick fix
   Focus on style and presentation not content or
    process
   Not be evaluated
   Not be as quick as had been hoped
   Not be effective so followed by another quick fix
   Become subject to organizational amnesia*
   Can be career-enhancing for managers (e.g.,
    issue selling, kick-ass CEOs)

                               *Kitchen equipment analogy

                                                             37
                                                            37
38
38
   Images of diet products removed to reduce
    file size




                                                 39
                                                39
40
40
So why are fads and fashions followed?
   Promise to deliver a lot and fast
   Appear simple
   New and shiny
   Will make everything alright
   Help contain anxieties around intractable problems
   Help user feel effective and cutting edge
   Seems very ‘human’ to want to find quick, easy answers
    that other people are adopting too


    Evidence-based management not really much of a fad
                    using these criteria
                                                              41
                                                             41
42
42
The role of consultants
   Translators of research evidence?
   Brokers or sellers of management fads and
    fashions?
   External objective advisors?
   Repositories of experience and wisdom?
   Change agents?
   Ways of justifying and externalizing
    unpopular decisions?
                                                 43
                                                43
Pfeffer & Sutton (2006)
   “…consultants and others who sell ideas and
    techniques are always rewarded for getting
    work, only sometimes rewarded for doing
    good work, and hardly ever rewarded for
    whether their advice actually enhances
    performance.
   The incentives are often even more perverse
    than that, because if a client company’s
    problems are only partly solved that leads to
    more work for the consulting firm.”
                                                     44
                                                    44
What are the incentives for consultancies
to be evidence-based?
   Get the work, get more work, and keep getting
    work (so depends almost entirely on what clients
    want)
    – Persuade (may not take much) clients they need some
      new thing, idea, technique, approach
    – Sell them the relevant product or service or intervention
      based on that idea, technique or approach
    – Saturate the market until everyone’s bought it
    – Invent or borrow new ideas, techniques and
      approaches clients do not yet use
    – Sell them the relevant product or service or intervention
    – Repeat
                                                                   45
                                                                  45
Power, politics and careers
   What are managers rewarded for?
    –   Doing what works? But very few evaluations
    –   Getting things done?
    –   Making things happen?
    –   Not rocking the boat?
    –   Working hard?
    –   Obeying orders?
    –   Solving problems?
    –   Meeting targets and goals? But who sets and why?
    –   Making their bosses look good?
   Do very senior people get there by being evidence-
    based managers?

                                                            46
                                                           46
Huge incentives and punishments around
conventional thinking, fads, fashions
   And there we see the power of any big
    managerial idea [fads]. It may be smart, like
    quality, or stupid, like conglomeration. Either
    way, if everybody's doing it, the pressure to do
    it too is immense. If it turns out to be smart,
    great. If it turns out to be stupid, well, you were
    in good company and most likely ended up no
    worse off than your competitors. Your
    company's board consists mostly of CEOs who
    were probably doing it at their companies. How
    mad can they get?

                                                           47
                                                          47
Huge incentives and punishments around
conventional thinking, fads, fashions
   The true value of conventional management
    wisdom [current fashion] is not that it's wise or
    dumb, but that it's conventional. It makes one
    of the hardest jobs in the world, managing an
    organization, a little easier. By following it,
    managers everywhere see a way to drag their
    sorry behinds through another quarter without
    getting fired. And isn't that, really, what it's all
    about?
                                (Colvin, 2004, Fortune)

                                                            48
                                                           48
What are the incentives for managers to
be evidence-based?
   Not rewarded for doing what ‘works’ – few
    evaluations
   Speed and action valued more highly than
    accuracy and analysis
   Managing and understanding power and
    politics to get things done more valued than
    understanding and using evidence to make
    decisions


                                                    49
                                                   49
What are the incentives for academics to be
evidence-based or support evidence-based
HR management?
   Not particularly evidence-based in their own practice
    (e.g., research methods, teaching methods)
   Rewarded largely through publishing ‘new’ research in
    the ‘best’ peer-reviewed journals
   No incentives to produce systematic reviews of evidence
   Few incentives to make work relevant to organizations
    except through
    – Teaching (though what models of learning are used and how is
      teaching rated?)
    – Personal consultancy (dangers of the ‘expert’)
    – Token “Implications for Practice” section at the end of journal
      articles
                                                                         50
                                                                        50
So why do all practitioners need
evidence-based practice?
   General cognitive biases that limit decision-
    making and judgement
   Practice fads and fashions
   Consultants/advisors/fad vendors
   Power and politics




                                                     51
                                                    51
How evidence-based is HR?
   This is not about whether or not HR uses
    evidence – of course it does
   It is about the extent to which HR is
    evidence-based
   Without such an analysis difficult to make
    progress to becoming more evidence-based
   But how to judge?


                                                  52
                                                 52
Is it really happening? Some evaluation
criteria
1. The term “evidence-based” is well-known
   and used
2. The latest research findings and
   systematic research summaries are
   accessible to practitioners
3. Articles reporting primary research and
   traditional literature reviews are
   accessible to practitioners

                                              53
                                             53
Is it really happening: Some evaluation
criteria
4. ‘Cutting-edge’ practices, panaceas and
   fashionable new ideas are treated with
   healthy scepticism
5. There is a demand for evidence-based
   practice from clients and customers
6. Practice decisions are integrative and draw
   on the four sources of information and
   evidence described in the definition of
   EBMgt
7. Initial training and CPD adopt evidence-
   based approaches
                                                  54
                                                 54
SO WHAT DO HR MANAGERS DO?
   Little systematic evidence about what managers
    do but…
   Often under pressure to do quick fixes
   Often few perceived advantages to slower fixes
   Can say with some certainty that EBP does not
    characterize most HR manager activity
   Though of course all HR managers do use some
    evidence in some ways
   But HR generally still a fad junkie waiting for the
    Next Big Thing
                                                           55
                                                          55
Seven common misperceptions (Rynes et
al, 2002)
   72% agreed but it is probably wrong




                                           56
                                          56
Seven common misperceptions (Rynes et
al, 2002)
   57% agreed but it is probably wrong




                                           57
                                          57
Seven common misperceptions (Rynes et
al, 2002)
   68% agreed but it is probably wrong




                                           58
                                          58
Seven common misperceptions (Rynes et
al, 2002)
   83% agreed but it is probably wrong




                                           59
                                          59
Seven common misperceptions (Rynes et
al, 2002)
   70% agreed but it is probably wrong




                                           60
                                          60
Seven common misperceptions (Rynes et
al, 2002)
   72% agreed but it is probably wrong




                                           61
                                          61
Why don’t some HR practitioners like
EBMgt?
   Can undermines formal authority
   Feel it means they can’t do what they want
   Speed valued more than accuracy
   It’s effortful
   Are not rewarded for doing what works (little evaluation)
   Feel can’t use own experience and judgment (not true)
   Have too high expectations of ‘evidence’ – that evidence
    should give you The Answer otherwise it’s not worth
    knowing
   Distrust of science based on way it’s often reported

                                                                 62
                                                                62
The Daily Mail oncological ontology
project
   “a blog following the Daily Mail’s ongoing
    mission to divide all the inanimate objects in
    the world into those that cause or cure
    cancer”




                                                      63
                                                     63
Things that cause cancer
   Air travel             Pickles
   Baby bottles           Skiing
   Beer                   Shaving
   Bras                   Sun cream
   Bubble bath            Tea
   Childlessness          Vitamins
   Chocolate              Wi-Fi
   English breakfast      Worcestershire sauce
   Left-handedness        Working
                                                    64
                                                   64
Things that prevent cancer
   Almonds              Magnets
   Brussel sprouts      Masturbation
   Coconut shells       Migraine
   Countryside          Mushrooms
   Dancing              Pasta
   Eating slowly        Pumpkins
   Housework            Pets
   Ketchup              Relaxation
   Leeks                Viagra
                                          65
                                         65
Things that cause and prevent cancer
   Allergies          Milk
   Bread              Mobile phones
   Caffeine           Mouthwash
   Children           Rice
   Chocolate          Statins
   Dieting            Stress
   Fruit              Tanning pills
   Gardening          Tea
   Measles            Vitamins
                                         66
                                        66
How to become a little more evidence-
based
   Evaluate where you are now personally and
    organizationally
   Identify what skills and other resources you
    might need
   Chief evidence officer?
   Get training in evidence-based management
   Get access to peer-reviewed evidence


                                                    67
                                                   67
Incorporating academic (published)
evidence
   Do you have access to academic journals?
   Do you have resources to help you gather
    and interpret this evidence?
   Is it incorporated into your decision-making?




                                                     68
                                                    68
What is a systematic review?
   It’s research on existing research
   Because single studies don’t matter – it’ the
    body of evidence we need to use
   They have a clear, explicit and replicable
    methodology
    – Clear review question – what is the specific
      question we want to answer?
    – Search strategy – where to look and why?
    – Quality criteria – what will count as high,
      medium, and low quality and inadmissible
      evidence?                                       69
                                                     69
Gathering the evidence together
   For each study found
    – How relevant is it?
    – How ‘good’ is it methodologically in relation to the
      review question
    – What is it telling us?
   Synthesize or summarize the evidence
   Allows us to draw reliable conclusions about
    what we know and do not know about a given
    question or problem
   Incorporated with the other three sources of
    evidence to help inform decisions                         70
                                                             70
SRs already happening in other areas




Worldwide communities devoted to promoting access to
evidence-based practice
Members collaborate to summarize state of the art
knowledge on specific practices identified as important and
under/over/mis-used
On-line access to information, designed for ease and speed
of use

                                                           71
                                                          71
Cochrane Collaboration
   Founded in 1993 it aims to help people make well-informed
    decisions by preparing, maintaining and promoting the
    accessibility of systematic reviews of the effects of
    interventions in all areas of health care
   Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews
     – 1995 36 reviews
     – 1999 500 reviews
     – 2001 1000 reviews
     – 2004 2000 reviews + 1400 published protocols (plans)
     – 2012 5000+ reviews
   Reviews prepared by healthcare professionals who volunteer
    (10000 people worldwide)
   Cochrane Review Groups
   Application and debate about quality standards

                                                                  72
                                                                 72
73
73
How to become a little more evidence-
based
   View it as personal and professional and
    organizational development
   Ask lots of questions (critical thinking skills)
   Develop decision aids, tools, processes,
    frameworks
   Develop healthy scepticism
   Accept ignorance and limits of all forms of
    knowledge and evidence

                                                        74
                                                       74
It’s a choice
   How do you want to practice as a HR
    professional?
   How would you like your skills, knowledge
    and effectiveness to develop over the course
    (of your possibly very long) career?
   How do you think the profession needs to
    develop?
   Do you want us to go beyond fads and
    fashions? If so, how is it going to happen?
                                                    75
                                                   75
Evidence-based approaches still appear to
be one of the most useful ways of getting
more, critically evaluated evidence into the
        decision-making processes




                                                76
                                               76
Thank you
Questions, thoughts, comments, criticisms?


          r.b.briner@bath.ac.uk


                                              77
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Here are the key steps to solve this problem:* Originally, the patch covers some fraction of the lake (let's call it x) * Each day, the patch doubles in size* It takes 48 days to cover the entire lake* We want to know how long it takes to cover half the lake* We set up an exponential growth equation: x * 2^t = 1/2 (where t is time in days)* Taking the log of both sides: t = log(1/2) / log(2) * log(1/2) is -log(2)* log(2) is 1* Therefore, t = -log(2

  • 1. Evidence-Based HR: What is it and is it really happening yet? Rob B Briner r.b.briner@bath.ac.uk Evidence-Based HR: What is it and is it really happening yet? University of Brighton 06.02.13 1
  • 2. Outline  What is evidence-based practice?  Background to evidence-based HR: Why do all practitioners need evidence based practice? – General cognitive biases that affect us all – Practice fads and fashions – Consultants/advisors/fad vendors – Power and politics  How evidence-based is HR? Some criteria 2 2
  • 3. The underlying simple and modest logic of evidence-based practice 1. Practitioners in any field routinely make decisions and judgements (e.g., about interventions) 2. Those decisions are based on evidence (information) of various and many types 3. Using only a little evidence or evidence that is not relevant or valid is likely to produce poorer decisions and poorer outcomes 4. Using more and more relevant and valid evidence is likely to produce better decisions and outcome 3 3
  • 4. So what’s the problem?  Not a single problem but many interlinked problems including… 1. Research and evidence produced by management schools in general is not being used or applied much 2. Few incentives for (HR) academics to get involved in applying research 3. (HR) Management practice often not much influenced by research or evidence 4. Few incentives for (HR) managers to use research and evidence (including academic evidence) in their practice 4 4
  • 5. Who thinks it’s a problem?  Many Past-Presidents of the Academy of Management (professional body for management academics) – Hambrick (1994): What if the Academy actually mattered? – Huff (2000): Mode1/2 knowledge production – Van de Ven (2002): Co-production of knowledge, engaged scholarship – Bartunek (2003): Collaborative research – Pearce (2004): What do we know and how do we really know it? – Rousseau (2006): Evidence-based Management – Cummings (2007): Quest for an engaged academy 5 5
  • 6. Who else thinks it’s a problem?  Many other management academics for example: – Pfeffer & Sutton: Evidence-Based Management – Lawler: Why HR Practices are not Evidence-Based – Rynes: Tackling the “great divide” between research production and dissemination in human resource management – Hodgkinson & Herriot: Re-aligning the Stakeholders in Management Research – Latham: Becoming the Evidence-Based Manager – Locke: Handbook of Principles of Organizational Behavior: Indispensable Knowledge for Evidence- Based Management 6 6
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  • 8. What field is this?  “a research-user gap”  “practitioners do not read academic journals”  “the findings of research into what is an effective intervention are not being translated into actual practice”  “academics not practitioners are driving the research agenda”  “the relevance, quality and applicability of research is questionable”  “practice is being driven more by fads and fashions than research”  “many practices are doing more harm than good”  “the collective wisdom from research is being lost” 8 8
  • 9. What is EBMgt/HRM?  Evidence-based management is about making decisions through the conscientious, explicit, and judicious use of four sources of information: (1) practitioner expertise and judgment, (2) evidence from the local context, (3) a critical evaluation of the best available research evidence, and (4) the perspectives of those people who might be affected by the decision. (Briner, Denyer, Rousseau, 2009) 9 9
  • 10. What is evidence-based management? 10 10
  • 11. What is a HRM decision in this context?  HRM practitioners make many kinds of decisions – Small or large – Routine/programmed or unique/non-programmed – Fast/immediate or somewhat slower – Few resource implications or large resource implications – Full information with certain outcome or limited information with uncertain outcome  Intuition or ‘gut feel’ great for some decisions but not so good for these  Like any other source of evidence gut needs to be subject to critical scrutiny 11 11
  • 12. What is evidence-based practice? Some misconceptions and myths  Evidence means quantitative ‘scientific’ evidence. No. Evidence in general just means information – like the use of ‘evidence’ in legal settings – anything might count if it’s valid and relevant.  Evidence-based practice means practitioners cannot or should not use their professional expertise. No. Expertise is another form of knowledge which can be as valid or relevant as any other. And expertise is necessary to apply evidence.  Evidence can prove things. No. Just probabilities or indications based on limited information and situations.  Evidence tells you the truth about things. No. Truth is a whole different thing. 12 12
  • 13. What is evidence-based practice? Some misconceptions and myths  New exciting single ‘breakthrough’ studies provide the best evidence. No. It’s about what a body of research is suggesting.  Collecting valid and relevant evidence gives you The Answer to The Problem. No. Evidence rarely gives you The Answer but helps you make better- informed decisions.  Doing evidence-based practice means doing what the research evidence tells you works. No. Research evidence is just one of four sources of evidence. Evidence-based practice is about practice not research. Evidence doesn’t speak for itself or do anything. 13 13
  • 14. What is evidence-based practice? Some misconceptions and myths  If you don’t have the evidence you can’t do anything. No. But you practice explicitly knowing this. It’s not about perfection or a completely knowable world.  Experts (e.g., consultants and management school professors) know all about the evidence so you just need to ask them. Rarely true. Experts are invariably biased, have limited knowledge and have vested interests (particularly if their expertise is related to their power or other resources). We need to make our own judgements and overcome “trust me I’m a doctor”-type deference. 14 14
  • 15. It is not weird to use evidence in everyday life  Which film shall I watch this weekend?  Which hotel shall I book in a city I’ve never been to before?  What kind of camera should I buy?  Which school is best for my children?  Are those plug in alarms that are supposed to deter mice and rats any good?  Should I apply for that job? 15 15
  • 16. Images of IMDB, Rotten Tomatoes, Trip Advisor, Which removed to reduce file size 16 16
  • 17. So it’s not weird to use evidence in everyday life – but is it weird in organizational life?  Managers (and organizations) are generally supposed to use evidence to make decisions – part of what being a professional manager is about  But it often seems that HRM is not particularly evidence-based  In general HR managers appear to make some use of evidence from three sources: Expertise and experience, stakeholders, context  But, for various reasons, appear to make relatively little use of external academic evidence  One reason is that HR managers are not trained to do this – and that other things drive decisions 17 17
  • 18. A bat and ball cost one pound and ten pence. The bat costs a pound more than the ball. How much does the ball cost? 18 18
  • 19. Error and biases in problem-solving and decision-making In a lake, there is a patch of lily pads. Every day, the patch doubles in size. If it takes 48 days for the patch to cover the entire lake, how long would it take for the patch to cover half of the lake? 19 19
  • 20. Error and biases in problem-solving and decision-making A certain town is served by two hospitals. In the larger hospital about 45 babies are born each day, and in the smaller hospital about 15 babies are born each day. As you know, about 50% of all babies are boys. However the exact percentage varies from day to day. Sometimes it may be higher than 50%, sometimes lower. For a period of 1 year, each hospital recorded the days on which more than 60% of the babies born were boys. Which hospital do you think recorded more such days?” 1. The larger hospital 2. The smaller hospital 3. About the same (that is, within 5% of each other) 20 20
  • 21. Error and biases in problem-solving and decision-making – some examples  Confirmation bias: Tendency to interpret and search for information consistent with one’s prior beliefs  Mere exposure effect: Tendency to develop a preference for things which we have become more familiar with  Hindsight bias: Tendency to see past events as being more predictable than they were before the event occurred  Loss aversion: Tendency to prefer avoiding losses than to acquiring gains  Anchoring effect: Tendency to rely too heavily or over-emphasize one piece of information (e.g., restaurant wine lists, large reductions in price in sales)  Framing effect: Drawing different conclusions from exactly the same information presented in different ways (e.g., would you prefer a ready meal that’s “85% fat free” or “15% fat”?)  Meta-cognitive bias: The belief we are immune from such biases 21 21
  • 22. Visual perceptions too: Some classic optical illusions 22 22
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  • 25. Management fads and fashions  What are they?  Some example  What do they do? 25 25
  • 26. Management fashions (Abrahamson)  Management fashion: “a relatively transitory collective belief, disseminated by management fashion setters, that a management technique leads rational management progress.”  Management fashion-setting: “the process by which management fashion setters continuously redefine both theirs and fashion followers' collective beliefs about which management techniques lead rational management progress.”  Management fashion-setters: “Consulting firms, management gurus, business mass-media publications, and business schools.” 26 26
  • 27. Management fashions (Carson et al, 2000)  Interventions that are: – subject to social contagion because they are novel and perceived to be progressive, or preferable eexisting fashions – or are perceived to be innovative, rational, functional – are aimed at improving organizational performance either materially or symbolically through image enhancement – motivated by a desire either to fix an existing problem or capitalize on opportunities for improvement – considered to be of transitory value because, despite some acceptance no systematic research supporting their utility emerges 27 27
  • 28. Examples  Business process re-engineering  Total quality management  Quality circles  Talent management  Lean  Outsourcing  Employee Stock Ownership 28 28
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  • 31. Employee engagement – an aside  Anyone read a systematic review of high- quality evidence about what EE is, how it works, and if it does anything? – Huge definitional problems – Is it anything different or new? Gallup Q12 correlates .91 with job satisfaction at unit level  Just how bad an idea is employee engagement? On multiple meanings, muddled measurement and management myths http://www.kent.ac.uk/webteamtest/kbs-medway/3-briner.html 31 31
  • 33. Article titles: Miller et al (2004)  Stage 1 - Ascendancy: Total Quality: Wave of the Future, Reengineering: It’s Totally Radical, Welcome to the Revolution, The Promise of Reengineering, How to Work Wonders, Completely.  Stage 2 – Maturity: Reengineering: The Hot New Managing Tool, The Reengineering Rage, Warning: This Good Idea May Become a Fad, Reengineering: Beyond the Buzzword.  Stage 3 – Decline: Ten Reasons Why TQM Doesn't Work, TQM: The Mystique, the Mistakes, The Hocus-Pocus of Reengineering, Why TQM Fails and What to Do About It. 33 33
  • 34. CARSON ET AL (2000) 34 34
  • 35. How are fads a problem? (Donaldson & Hilmer, 1998)  “The main problem…is their lack of any solid intellectual foundation. Implicit in each fad is a cause effect statement that is rarely made explicit and never properly supported.”  “…management needs to evolve a sound body of knowledge and clear language that will assist members of the profession to reason cogently. Faddism is the enemy of this professionalism.” 35 35
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  • 37. Related concept of the quick fix  Focus on style and presentation not content or process  Not be evaluated  Not be as quick as had been hoped  Not be effective so followed by another quick fix  Become subject to organizational amnesia*  Can be career-enhancing for managers (e.g., issue selling, kick-ass CEOs) *Kitchen equipment analogy 37 37
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  • 39. Images of diet products removed to reduce file size 39 39
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  • 41. So why are fads and fashions followed?  Promise to deliver a lot and fast  Appear simple  New and shiny  Will make everything alright  Help contain anxieties around intractable problems  Help user feel effective and cutting edge  Seems very ‘human’ to want to find quick, easy answers that other people are adopting too Evidence-based management not really much of a fad using these criteria 41 41
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  • 43. The role of consultants  Translators of research evidence?  Brokers or sellers of management fads and fashions?  External objective advisors?  Repositories of experience and wisdom?  Change agents?  Ways of justifying and externalizing unpopular decisions? 43 43
  • 44. Pfeffer & Sutton (2006)  “…consultants and others who sell ideas and techniques are always rewarded for getting work, only sometimes rewarded for doing good work, and hardly ever rewarded for whether their advice actually enhances performance.  The incentives are often even more perverse than that, because if a client company’s problems are only partly solved that leads to more work for the consulting firm.” 44 44
  • 45. What are the incentives for consultancies to be evidence-based?  Get the work, get more work, and keep getting work (so depends almost entirely on what clients want) – Persuade (may not take much) clients they need some new thing, idea, technique, approach – Sell them the relevant product or service or intervention based on that idea, technique or approach – Saturate the market until everyone’s bought it – Invent or borrow new ideas, techniques and approaches clients do not yet use – Sell them the relevant product or service or intervention – Repeat 45 45
  • 46. Power, politics and careers  What are managers rewarded for? – Doing what works? But very few evaluations – Getting things done? – Making things happen? – Not rocking the boat? – Working hard? – Obeying orders? – Solving problems? – Meeting targets and goals? But who sets and why? – Making their bosses look good?  Do very senior people get there by being evidence- based managers? 46 46
  • 47. Huge incentives and punishments around conventional thinking, fads, fashions  And there we see the power of any big managerial idea [fads]. It may be smart, like quality, or stupid, like conglomeration. Either way, if everybody's doing it, the pressure to do it too is immense. If it turns out to be smart, great. If it turns out to be stupid, well, you were in good company and most likely ended up no worse off than your competitors. Your company's board consists mostly of CEOs who were probably doing it at their companies. How mad can they get? 47 47
  • 48. Huge incentives and punishments around conventional thinking, fads, fashions  The true value of conventional management wisdom [current fashion] is not that it's wise or dumb, but that it's conventional. It makes one of the hardest jobs in the world, managing an organization, a little easier. By following it, managers everywhere see a way to drag their sorry behinds through another quarter without getting fired. And isn't that, really, what it's all about? (Colvin, 2004, Fortune) 48 48
  • 49. What are the incentives for managers to be evidence-based?  Not rewarded for doing what ‘works’ – few evaluations  Speed and action valued more highly than accuracy and analysis  Managing and understanding power and politics to get things done more valued than understanding and using evidence to make decisions 49 49
  • 50. What are the incentives for academics to be evidence-based or support evidence-based HR management?  Not particularly evidence-based in their own practice (e.g., research methods, teaching methods)  Rewarded largely through publishing ‘new’ research in the ‘best’ peer-reviewed journals  No incentives to produce systematic reviews of evidence  Few incentives to make work relevant to organizations except through – Teaching (though what models of learning are used and how is teaching rated?) – Personal consultancy (dangers of the ‘expert’) – Token “Implications for Practice” section at the end of journal articles 50 50
  • 51. So why do all practitioners need evidence-based practice?  General cognitive biases that limit decision- making and judgement  Practice fads and fashions  Consultants/advisors/fad vendors  Power and politics 51 51
  • 52. How evidence-based is HR?  This is not about whether or not HR uses evidence – of course it does  It is about the extent to which HR is evidence-based  Without such an analysis difficult to make progress to becoming more evidence-based  But how to judge? 52 52
  • 53. Is it really happening? Some evaluation criteria 1. The term “evidence-based” is well-known and used 2. The latest research findings and systematic research summaries are accessible to practitioners 3. Articles reporting primary research and traditional literature reviews are accessible to practitioners 53 53
  • 54. Is it really happening: Some evaluation criteria 4. ‘Cutting-edge’ practices, panaceas and fashionable new ideas are treated with healthy scepticism 5. There is a demand for evidence-based practice from clients and customers 6. Practice decisions are integrative and draw on the four sources of information and evidence described in the definition of EBMgt 7. Initial training and CPD adopt evidence- based approaches 54 54
  • 55. SO WHAT DO HR MANAGERS DO?  Little systematic evidence about what managers do but…  Often under pressure to do quick fixes  Often few perceived advantages to slower fixes  Can say with some certainty that EBP does not characterize most HR manager activity  Though of course all HR managers do use some evidence in some ways  But HR generally still a fad junkie waiting for the Next Big Thing 55 55
  • 56. Seven common misperceptions (Rynes et al, 2002)  72% agreed but it is probably wrong 56 56
  • 57. Seven common misperceptions (Rynes et al, 2002)  57% agreed but it is probably wrong 57 57
  • 58. Seven common misperceptions (Rynes et al, 2002)  68% agreed but it is probably wrong 58 58
  • 59. Seven common misperceptions (Rynes et al, 2002)  83% agreed but it is probably wrong 59 59
  • 60. Seven common misperceptions (Rynes et al, 2002)  70% agreed but it is probably wrong 60 60
  • 61. Seven common misperceptions (Rynes et al, 2002)  72% agreed but it is probably wrong 61 61
  • 62. Why don’t some HR practitioners like EBMgt?  Can undermines formal authority  Feel it means they can’t do what they want  Speed valued more than accuracy  It’s effortful  Are not rewarded for doing what works (little evaluation)  Feel can’t use own experience and judgment (not true)  Have too high expectations of ‘evidence’ – that evidence should give you The Answer otherwise it’s not worth knowing  Distrust of science based on way it’s often reported 62 62
  • 63. The Daily Mail oncological ontology project  “a blog following the Daily Mail’s ongoing mission to divide all the inanimate objects in the world into those that cause or cure cancer” 63 63
  • 64. Things that cause cancer  Air travel  Pickles  Baby bottles  Skiing  Beer  Shaving  Bras  Sun cream  Bubble bath  Tea  Childlessness  Vitamins  Chocolate  Wi-Fi  English breakfast  Worcestershire sauce  Left-handedness  Working 64 64
  • 65. Things that prevent cancer  Almonds  Magnets  Brussel sprouts  Masturbation  Coconut shells  Migraine  Countryside  Mushrooms  Dancing  Pasta  Eating slowly  Pumpkins  Housework  Pets  Ketchup  Relaxation  Leeks  Viagra 65 65
  • 66. Things that cause and prevent cancer  Allergies  Milk  Bread  Mobile phones  Caffeine  Mouthwash  Children  Rice  Chocolate  Statins  Dieting  Stress  Fruit  Tanning pills  Gardening  Tea  Measles  Vitamins 66 66
  • 67. How to become a little more evidence- based  Evaluate where you are now personally and organizationally  Identify what skills and other resources you might need  Chief evidence officer?  Get training in evidence-based management  Get access to peer-reviewed evidence 67 67
  • 68. Incorporating academic (published) evidence  Do you have access to academic journals?  Do you have resources to help you gather and interpret this evidence?  Is it incorporated into your decision-making? 68 68
  • 69. What is a systematic review?  It’s research on existing research  Because single studies don’t matter – it’ the body of evidence we need to use  They have a clear, explicit and replicable methodology – Clear review question – what is the specific question we want to answer? – Search strategy – where to look and why? – Quality criteria – what will count as high, medium, and low quality and inadmissible evidence? 69 69
  • 70. Gathering the evidence together  For each study found – How relevant is it? – How ‘good’ is it methodologically in relation to the review question – What is it telling us?  Synthesize or summarize the evidence  Allows us to draw reliable conclusions about what we know and do not know about a given question or problem  Incorporated with the other three sources of evidence to help inform decisions 70 70
  • 71. SRs already happening in other areas Worldwide communities devoted to promoting access to evidence-based practice Members collaborate to summarize state of the art knowledge on specific practices identified as important and under/over/mis-used On-line access to information, designed for ease and speed of use 71 71
  • 72. Cochrane Collaboration  Founded in 1993 it aims to help people make well-informed decisions by preparing, maintaining and promoting the accessibility of systematic reviews of the effects of interventions in all areas of health care  Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews – 1995 36 reviews – 1999 500 reviews – 2001 1000 reviews – 2004 2000 reviews + 1400 published protocols (plans) – 2012 5000+ reviews  Reviews prepared by healthcare professionals who volunteer (10000 people worldwide)  Cochrane Review Groups  Application and debate about quality standards 72 72
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  • 74. How to become a little more evidence- based  View it as personal and professional and organizational development  Ask lots of questions (critical thinking skills)  Develop decision aids, tools, processes, frameworks  Develop healthy scepticism  Accept ignorance and limits of all forms of knowledge and evidence 74 74
  • 75. It’s a choice  How do you want to practice as a HR professional?  How would you like your skills, knowledge and effectiveness to develop over the course (of your possibly very long) career?  How do you think the profession needs to develop?  Do you want us to go beyond fads and fashions? If so, how is it going to happen? 75 75
  • 76. Evidence-based approaches still appear to be one of the most useful ways of getting more, critically evaluated evidence into the decision-making processes 76 76
  • 77. Thank you Questions, thoughts, comments, criticisms? r.b.briner@bath.ac.uk 77 77