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Technology And Social Change Research Centre




                                               A decade of plus ca change?
                                                         UK Digital Divides 1996-2006


                                                                        Ben Anderson


                                               IR9, Kobenhavn     © 2008, University of Essex   Saturday, 18 October 2008
Technology And Social Change Research Centre
                                               Contents
                                               •   Why do we care?
                                               •   UK trends in inequality: Access
                                               •   UK trends in inequality: e-Commerce
                                               •   Conclusions: Plus ca change?




                                               istr.essex.ac.uk/tasc   © 2008, University of Essex
Technology And Social Change Research Centre
                                               Why do we care?
                                               • Access to & usage of public services
                                                          • Increasingly online/technology mediated
                                                          • The most in need are traditionally the technology
                                                            laggards
                                                          • -> issues of ‘addressable market’
                                               • Access to & usage of private services
                                                          • Online commerce may enable cost/time savings
                                                          • But do the better off benefit the most?
                                               • Access to & usage of ‘social life’ services
                                                          • Increasing role of technology mediated social
                                                            relationships for support, information
                                                          • Taken for granted…ness

                                               istr.essex.ac.uk/tasc   © 2008, University of Essex
Technology And Social Change Research Centre
                                               Contents
                                               •   Why do we care?
                                               •   UK trends in inequality: Access
                                               •   UK trends in inequality: e-Commerce
                                               •   Conclusions: Plus ca change?




                                               istr.essex.ac.uk/tasc   © 2008, University of Essex
Technology And Social Change Research Centre
                                               UK Household ICT access




                                               •   Source: Family Expenditure Survey/Expenditure and Food Survey 1996-2006, yearly n approximately 7,500
                                               •   Base: All households

                                               istr.essex.ac.uk/tasc                © 2008, University of Essex
Technology And Social Change Research Centre
                                               Means of home internet access I




                                               •   Source: Family Expenditure Survey/Expenditure and Food Survey 1996-2006, yearly n approximately 7,500
                                               •   Base: All internet households

                                               istr.essex.ac.uk/tasc                © 2008, University of Essex
Technology And Social Change Research Centre
                                               Means of internet access II




                                               •   Source: Family Expenditure Survey/Expenditure and Food Survey 1996-2006, yearly n approximately 7,500
                                               •   Base: All internet households

                                               istr.essex.ac.uk/tasc                © 2008, University of Essex
Technology And Social Change Research Centre
                                               Social equity of ICT access

                                               • Lets play guess the technologies:
                                                          • Household Internet Access
                                                          • Fixed line telephone
                                                          • Mobile telephone (1 or more)
                                               • By employment status of household
                                                 response person
                                                          • NS-SEC 1 (high), NS-SEC 2 (medium), NS-
                                                            SEC 3 - (low)
                                                          • Inactive - not working
                                                          • Retired
                                               istr.essex.ac.uk/tasc   © 2008, University of Essex
Technology And Social Change Research Centre
                                               Which one is this?




                                                                                                                                                •     Access Gap =
                                                                                                                                                      difference between
                                                                                                                                                      highest & lowest




                                               •   Source: Family Expenditure Survey/Expenditure and Food Survey 1996-2006, yearly n approximately 7,500
                                               •   Base: All household response persons in each social group

                                               istr.essex.ac.uk/tasc                © 2008, University of Essex
Technology And Social Change Research Centre
                                               And this?




                                               •   Source: Family Expenditure Survey/Expenditure and Food Survey 1996-2006, yearly n approximately 7,500
                                               •   Base: All household response persons in each social group

                                               istr.essex.ac.uk/tasc                © 2008, University of Essex
Technology And Social Change Research Centre
                                               And this?




                                               •   Source: Family Expenditure Survey/Expenditure and Food Survey 1996-2006, yearly n approximately 7,500
                                               •   Base: All household response persons in each social group

                                               istr.essex.ac.uk/tasc                © 2008, University of Essex
Technology And Social Change Research Centre
                                               Social equity of ICT access




                                                                                                          •    Fixed line telephone
                                                                                                          •    Mobile(s)
                                                                                                          •    Internet access




                                               •   Source: Family Expenditure Survey/Expenditure and Food Survey 1996-2006, yearly n approximately 7,500
                                               •   Base: All household response persons in each social group
                                               istr.essex.ac.uk/tasc                © 2008, University of Essex
Technology And Social Change Research Centre
                                               But what about other factors?




                                               •    Year by year multivariate analysis - Household Internet Access
                                               •    Also included - tenure, region, accommodation type (not shown)
                                               istr.essex.ac.uk/tasc    © 2008, University of Essex
Technology And Social Change Research Centre
                                               But what about other factors?




                                               •    Year by year multivariate analysis - Mobile telephony
                                               •    Also included - tenure, sex, region, accommodation type (not shown)
                                               istr.essex.ac.uk/tasc     © 2008, University of Essex
Technology And Social Change Research Centre
                                               Comparing effects




                                               •    Year by year multivariate analysis
                                               •    Major effects shown
                                               istr.essex.ac.uk/tasc     © 2008, University of Essex
Technology And Social Change Research Centre
                                               Contents
                                               •   Why do we care?
                                               •   UK trends in inequality: Access
                                               •   UK trends in inequality: e-Commerce
                                               •   Conclusions: Plus ca change?




                                               istr.essex.ac.uk/tasc   © 2008, University of Essex
Technology And Social Change Research Centre
                                               E-commerce Trends I




                                               •    % bought at least one item online in last 3 months
                                               •    Source: Family Expenditure Survey/Expenditure and Food Survey 1996-2006, yearly n approximately 7,500
                                               •    Base: All households (left), All households with internet access (right)



                                               istr.essex.ac.uk/tasc                © 2008, University of Essex
Technology And Social Change Research Centre
                                               E-commerce Trends II




                                               •    Mean number of online purchases in last 3 months
                                               •    Source: Family Expenditure Survey/Expenditure and Food Survey 1996-2006, yearly n approximately 7,500
                                               •    Base: All households (left), All households with internet access (right)



                                               istr.essex.ac.uk/tasc                © 2008, University of Essex
Technology And Social Change Research Centre
                                               E-commerce Trends III




                                               •    Mean weekly value of online purchases
                                               •    Source: Family Expenditure Survey/Expenditure and Food Survey 1996-2006, yearly n approximately 7,500
                                               •    Base: All households (left), All households with internet access (right)



                                               istr.essex.ac.uk/tasc                © 2008, University of Essex
Technology And Social Change Research Centre
                                               E-commerce Trends IV




                                               •    Mean weekly value of online purchases (divided by income decile)
                                               •    Source: Family Expenditure Survey/Expenditure and Food Survey 1996-2006, yearly n approximately 7,500
                                               •    Base: All households (left), All households with internet access (right)



                                               istr.essex.ac.uk/tasc                © 2008, University of Essex
Technology And Social Change Research Centre
                                               E-commerce Trends IV (reprise)




                                               •    Mean weekly value of online purchases (divided by income decile) - 4 Q moving
                                                    average
                                               •    Source: Family Expenditure Survey/Expenditure and Food Survey 1996-2006, yearly n approximately 7,500
                                               •    Base: All households (left), All households with internet access (right)

                                               istr.essex.ac.uk/tasc                © 2008, University of Essex
Technology And Social Change Research Centre
                                               Contents
                                               •   Why do we care?
                                               •   UK trends in inequality: Access
                                               •   UK trends in inequality: e-Commerce
                                               •   Conclusions




                                               istr.essex.ac.uk/tasc   © 2008, University of Essex
Technology And Social Change Research Centre
                                               Access: Plus ca change?
                                               • For those who have internet access at home:
                                                          • Mostly market provision -> social stratification persists
                                                          • Lack of access in non-working, older age groups with low
                                                            income & ‘social renters’ - persistent Access Gap
                                               • Mobile telephony
                                                          • Purely market provision -> very little social stratification!
                                                          • Even age effects are diluting - Access Gap is narrowing
                                               • Implications?
                                                          • Public services - media channels and ‘reachable
                                                            audience’ critical, emphasis on mobiles for access
                                                            equity?
                                                          • Justification for ‘mobile’ intervention measures?

                                               istr.essex.ac.uk/tasc    © 2008, University of Essex
Technology And Social Change Research Centre
                                               E-Commerce: conflicting trends?
                                               • Given home-based internet access
                                                          •   ‘Lower status’ groups appear less likely to do it
                                                          •   And to purchase fewer items
                                                          •   And to spend less
                                                          •   But their spend, as a proportion of income, appears quite
                                                              similar (except for the ‘retired’)
                                               • Future Research
                                                          • Are there differences in items purchased?
                                                          • Does overall consumption increase?
                                                          • Is there evidence of time vs cost savings at different ends
                                                            of the income range? Is this what the ‘inactive’ are doing?
                                                          • How does location of access - home vs ‘institution’ - make
                                                            a difference?

                                               istr.essex.ac.uk/tasc    © 2008, University of Essex
Technology And Social Change Research Centre
                                               Thank you
                                               • benander@essex.ac.uk




                                               istr.essex.ac.uk/tasc   © 2008, University of Essex

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A decade of plus ca change? UK Digital Divides 1996-2006

  • 1. Technology And Social Change Research Centre A decade of plus ca change? UK Digital Divides 1996-2006 Ben Anderson IR9, Kobenhavn © 2008, University of Essex Saturday, 18 October 2008
  • 2. Technology And Social Change Research Centre Contents • Why do we care? • UK trends in inequality: Access • UK trends in inequality: e-Commerce • Conclusions: Plus ca change? istr.essex.ac.uk/tasc © 2008, University of Essex
  • 3. Technology And Social Change Research Centre Why do we care? • Access to & usage of public services • Increasingly online/technology mediated • The most in need are traditionally the technology laggards • -> issues of ‘addressable market’ • Access to & usage of private services • Online commerce may enable cost/time savings • But do the better off benefit the most? • Access to & usage of ‘social life’ services • Increasing role of technology mediated social relationships for support, information • Taken for granted…ness istr.essex.ac.uk/tasc © 2008, University of Essex
  • 4. Technology And Social Change Research Centre Contents • Why do we care? • UK trends in inequality: Access • UK trends in inequality: e-Commerce • Conclusions: Plus ca change? istr.essex.ac.uk/tasc © 2008, University of Essex
  • 5. Technology And Social Change Research Centre UK Household ICT access • Source: Family Expenditure Survey/Expenditure and Food Survey 1996-2006, yearly n approximately 7,500 • Base: All households istr.essex.ac.uk/tasc © 2008, University of Essex
  • 6. Technology And Social Change Research Centre Means of home internet access I • Source: Family Expenditure Survey/Expenditure and Food Survey 1996-2006, yearly n approximately 7,500 • Base: All internet households istr.essex.ac.uk/tasc © 2008, University of Essex
  • 7. Technology And Social Change Research Centre Means of internet access II • Source: Family Expenditure Survey/Expenditure and Food Survey 1996-2006, yearly n approximately 7,500 • Base: All internet households istr.essex.ac.uk/tasc © 2008, University of Essex
  • 8. Technology And Social Change Research Centre Social equity of ICT access • Lets play guess the technologies: • Household Internet Access • Fixed line telephone • Mobile telephone (1 or more) • By employment status of household response person • NS-SEC 1 (high), NS-SEC 2 (medium), NS- SEC 3 - (low) • Inactive - not working • Retired istr.essex.ac.uk/tasc © 2008, University of Essex
  • 9. Technology And Social Change Research Centre Which one is this? • Access Gap = difference between highest & lowest • Source: Family Expenditure Survey/Expenditure and Food Survey 1996-2006, yearly n approximately 7,500 • Base: All household response persons in each social group istr.essex.ac.uk/tasc © 2008, University of Essex
  • 10. Technology And Social Change Research Centre And this? • Source: Family Expenditure Survey/Expenditure and Food Survey 1996-2006, yearly n approximately 7,500 • Base: All household response persons in each social group istr.essex.ac.uk/tasc © 2008, University of Essex
  • 11. Technology And Social Change Research Centre And this? • Source: Family Expenditure Survey/Expenditure and Food Survey 1996-2006, yearly n approximately 7,500 • Base: All household response persons in each social group istr.essex.ac.uk/tasc © 2008, University of Essex
  • 12. Technology And Social Change Research Centre Social equity of ICT access • Fixed line telephone • Mobile(s) • Internet access • Source: Family Expenditure Survey/Expenditure and Food Survey 1996-2006, yearly n approximately 7,500 • Base: All household response persons in each social group istr.essex.ac.uk/tasc © 2008, University of Essex
  • 13. Technology And Social Change Research Centre But what about other factors? • Year by year multivariate analysis - Household Internet Access • Also included - tenure, region, accommodation type (not shown) istr.essex.ac.uk/tasc © 2008, University of Essex
  • 14. Technology And Social Change Research Centre But what about other factors? • Year by year multivariate analysis - Mobile telephony • Also included - tenure, sex, region, accommodation type (not shown) istr.essex.ac.uk/tasc © 2008, University of Essex
  • 15. Technology And Social Change Research Centre Comparing effects • Year by year multivariate analysis • Major effects shown istr.essex.ac.uk/tasc © 2008, University of Essex
  • 16. Technology And Social Change Research Centre Contents • Why do we care? • UK trends in inequality: Access • UK trends in inequality: e-Commerce • Conclusions: Plus ca change? istr.essex.ac.uk/tasc © 2008, University of Essex
  • 17. Technology And Social Change Research Centre E-commerce Trends I • % bought at least one item online in last 3 months • Source: Family Expenditure Survey/Expenditure and Food Survey 1996-2006, yearly n approximately 7,500 • Base: All households (left), All households with internet access (right) istr.essex.ac.uk/tasc © 2008, University of Essex
  • 18. Technology And Social Change Research Centre E-commerce Trends II • Mean number of online purchases in last 3 months • Source: Family Expenditure Survey/Expenditure and Food Survey 1996-2006, yearly n approximately 7,500 • Base: All households (left), All households with internet access (right) istr.essex.ac.uk/tasc © 2008, University of Essex
  • 19. Technology And Social Change Research Centre E-commerce Trends III • Mean weekly value of online purchases • Source: Family Expenditure Survey/Expenditure and Food Survey 1996-2006, yearly n approximately 7,500 • Base: All households (left), All households with internet access (right) istr.essex.ac.uk/tasc © 2008, University of Essex
  • 20. Technology And Social Change Research Centre E-commerce Trends IV • Mean weekly value of online purchases (divided by income decile) • Source: Family Expenditure Survey/Expenditure and Food Survey 1996-2006, yearly n approximately 7,500 • Base: All households (left), All households with internet access (right) istr.essex.ac.uk/tasc © 2008, University of Essex
  • 21. Technology And Social Change Research Centre E-commerce Trends IV (reprise) • Mean weekly value of online purchases (divided by income decile) - 4 Q moving average • Source: Family Expenditure Survey/Expenditure and Food Survey 1996-2006, yearly n approximately 7,500 • Base: All households (left), All households with internet access (right) istr.essex.ac.uk/tasc © 2008, University of Essex
  • 22. Technology And Social Change Research Centre Contents • Why do we care? • UK trends in inequality: Access • UK trends in inequality: e-Commerce • Conclusions istr.essex.ac.uk/tasc © 2008, University of Essex
  • 23. Technology And Social Change Research Centre Access: Plus ca change? • For those who have internet access at home: • Mostly market provision -> social stratification persists • Lack of access in non-working, older age groups with low income & ‘social renters’ - persistent Access Gap • Mobile telephony • Purely market provision -> very little social stratification! • Even age effects are diluting - Access Gap is narrowing • Implications? • Public services - media channels and ‘reachable audience’ critical, emphasis on mobiles for access equity? • Justification for ‘mobile’ intervention measures? istr.essex.ac.uk/tasc © 2008, University of Essex
  • 24. Technology And Social Change Research Centre E-Commerce: conflicting trends? • Given home-based internet access • ‘Lower status’ groups appear less likely to do it • And to purchase fewer items • And to spend less • But their spend, as a proportion of income, appears quite similar (except for the ‘retired’) • Future Research • Are there differences in items purchased? • Does overall consumption increase? • Is there evidence of time vs cost savings at different ends of the income range? Is this what the ‘inactive’ are doing? • How does location of access - home vs ‘institution’ - make a difference? istr.essex.ac.uk/tasc © 2008, University of Essex
  • 25. Technology And Social Change Research Centre Thank you • benander@essex.ac.uk istr.essex.ac.uk/tasc © 2008, University of Essex