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Business Model Disrupted
The Value Multiplier
Four Steps to Creating More Value and
Better Performance
August 2014
Agenda
Research	
  
Assessment	
  
Ac-on	
  
Measurement	
  
2	
  
3	
  
4	
  
5	
  
Orienta-on	
  
1	
  
Different	
  ‘Asset’	
  Classes,	
  Value	
  Mul-pliersm	
  
Business	
  Model	
  Index	
  and	
  Leadership	
  Style	
  
Reallocate	
  Your	
  Capital	
  with	
  CAREsm	
  
GAAP	
  Versus	
  Measuring	
  All	
  the	
  Sources	
  of	
  Value	
  
Digital,	
  4	
  Business	
  Models,	
  Leadership	
  Preferences	
  
Acquired	
  by	
  Facebook	
  
for	
  ~19x	
  revenue	
  
Raised	
  funding	
  at	
  
valua-on	
  of	
  ~40x	
  
revenue	
  
Raised	
  funding	
  at	
  
valua-on	
  of	
  ~50x	
  
revenue	
  
Recent  IPOs  and  investments  highlight  value  of  Digital
Q. Which of the following technology enablers and/or disruptors do you believe
may threaten your business model?
	
  
*Exploring	
  Strategic	
  Risk,	
  DeloiVe	
  Touche	
  Tohmatsu,	
  2013,	
  www.deloiVe.com/strategicrisksurvey	
  	
  
53%  believe  Digital  threatens  exis?ng  business  models
Making  it  the  number  2  strategic  risk
Q:	
  Which	
  of	
  the	
  following	
  risk	
  areas	
  have	
  the	
  most	
  impact	
  on	
  your	
  business	
  strategy	
  (three	
  
years	
  ago,	
  today,	
  and	
  three	
  years	
  from	
  now)?	
  (Respondents	
  could	
  choose	
  more	
  than	
  one	
  answer.	
  
The	
  top	
  three	
  are	
  shown	
  below)	
  
*Exploring	
  Strategic	
  Risk,	
  DeloiVe	
  Touche	
  Tohmatsu,	
  2013,	
  www.deloiVe.com/strategicrisksurvey	
  	
  
21%	
  
21%	
  
19%	
  
15%	
  
14%	
  
Our	
  CEO	
  sets	
  a	
  clear	
  vision	
  for	
  digital	
  in	
  
our	
  business	
  
We	
  have	
  the	
  right	
  people	
  to	
  define	
  our	
  
digital	
  strategy	
  
We	
  have	
  the	
  necessary	
  technology	
  to	
  
execute	
  our	
  digital	
  strategy	
  
We	
  have	
  the	
  necessary	
  people	
  and	
  skill	
  
to	
  execute	
  our	
  digital	
  strategy	
  
We	
  have	
  the	
  necessary	
  processes	
  to	
  
execute	
  our	
  digital	
  strategy	
  
“Assessing	
  your	
  organiza-on’s	
  digital	
  readiness,	
  how	
  much	
  do	
  you	
  agree	
  with	
  
the	
  following	
  statements?”	
  
(8,	
  9,	
  or	
  10	
  on	
  a	
  scale	
  of	
  1	
  [completely	
  disagree]	
  to	
  10	
  [	
  completely	
  agree])	
  
Base: 1,254 executives in companies with 250 or more employees
*Forrester/Russell	
  Reynolds	
  2014	
  Digital	
  Business	
  Survey	
  
But,  Forrester  Research  says  few  companies  are  ready
1991 2011
Exxon Mobil Corp Exxon Mobil Corp
Altria Group Inc. Apple Inc.
Wal-Mart Stores Inc. Microsoft Corp
General Electric Co Intl Business Machines Corp
Merck & Co Chevron Corp
Coca-Cola Co Wal-Mart Stores Inc.
AT&T Corp Berkshire Hathaway
Intl Business Machines Corp General Electric Co
Bristol-Myers Squibb Co Procter & Gamble Co
Johnson & Johnson AT&T Inc.
Same position Higher positionLower positionNew entrant Lost position
Source: Compustat data
Business  Models  Effect  Even  Most  Valuable  Companies
So  how  did  we  get  here?
Industrial	
  	
  
revolu-on	
  —	
  1800	
  
Services	
  	
  
revolu-on	
  —	
  1975	
  
Informa-on	
  
revolu-on	
  —	
  1990	
  
Network	
  
revolu-on	
  —	
  2010	
  
Technology	
  
Time	
  
Each  Revolu?on  was  built  on  the  last
Industrial	
  Revolu5on	
  
	
  
Began	
  a	
  new	
  era:	
  	
  	
  	
  
	
  Away	
  from	
  Agriculture	
  
•  Focused	
  inside	
  on	
  
manufacturing	
  and	
  internal	
  
processes…	
  
	
  
•  New	
  financial	
  and	
  opera-ng	
  
measures	
  
•  Physical	
  output	
  
•  Asset	
  u-liza-on	
  
•  ROA	
  
Digital  Revolu?on
  
  
Beginning  a  new  era:  
              Away  from  Info.
•  Focused  outside  on  social  
and  commercial  networks  
and  the  big  data  
produced…
•  New  financial  and  
opera?ng  measures
•  Network	
  size	
  
•  	
  Crowdsourcing	
  
•  	
  Value	
  of	
  all	
  intangibles	
  
	
  
Informa5on	
  Revolu5on	
  
	
  
	
  
Began	
  a	
  new	
  era:	
  
	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  Away	
  from	
  Services	
  
•  Focused	
  inside	
  on	
  
intellectual	
  property,	
  
digi-zing	
  content	
  and	
  
insights…	
  
•  New	
  financial	
  and	
  opera-ng	
  
measures	
  
•  Crea-ve	
  output	
  
•  R&D	
  
•  ROI	
  
	
  
	
  
Services	
  Revolu5on	
  
	
  
Began	
  a	
  new	
  era:	
  
	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  Away	
  from	
  Industrial	
  
•  Focused	
  inside	
  on	
  	
  
hiring	
  and	
  training	
  
employees	
  to	
  provide	
  
services…	
  
•  New	
  financial	
  and	
  opera-ng	
  
measures	
  
•  Revenue/employee	
  
•  Customer	
  sa-sfac-on	
  
	
  
Industrial Revolution
~1800
Services Revolution
~1975
Information
Revolution ~1990
Digital
Revolution ~2010
•  Key	
  Asset:	
  	
  CapEx	
   •  Key	
  Asset:	
  	
  Human	
  
capital	
  
•  Key	
  Asset:	
  	
  IP	
   •  Key	
  Asset:	
  	
  Network	
  /	
  
rela-onships	
  
New  Eras,  New  Models,  New  Assets
Industrial	
  Revolu5on	
  
	
  
	
  Make	
  one,	
  sell	
  one	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
•  Focus:	
  	
  High	
  fixed	
  costs,	
  
Field	
  (Ins-tu-onal)	
  sales;	
  	
  
big	
  accounts	
  
•  	
  Key	
  Industries	
  
•  Manufacturing	
  
•  Transporta-on	
  
•  Energy	
  
•  	
  Key	
  Competencies	
  
•  Finance	
  
•  Manufacturing	
  
•  Distribu-on	
  
Digital  Revolu?on  

Many  make,  many  sell  


  
  
  

•  Focus:    Even  lower  fixed  
costs,  higher  gross  
margins;  Inbound  
marke?ng  (consumers)
•  Key  Industries
•  	
  Online	
  marketplaces	
  
•  	
  Social	
  sorware	
  
•  	
  Big	
  data	
  
•  Key  Competencies
•  Consumeriza-on	
  
•  Mobility	
  	
  
•  Engagement	
  
Informa5on	
  
	
  Revolu5on	
  
Make	
  one,	
  sell	
  many	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
•  Focus:	
  	
  Lower	
  fixed	
  costs	
  
and	
  higher	
  gross	
  margins:	
  	
  
Blended	
  sales;	
  SMB	
  
•  Key	
  Industries	
  
•  Enterprise	
  sorware	
  
•  Biotechnology	
  
•  Publishing	
  
•  	
  Key	
  Competencies	
  
•  Enterprise	
  Technology	
  
•  IP	
  development	
  
•  Content	
  
New  models,  new  economics,  new  assets
Services	
  Revolu5on	
  
	
  
Hire	
  one,	
  sell	
  one	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
•  Focus:	
  	
  Shir	
  of	
  capital	
  from	
  
CapEx	
  to	
  salary;	
  customer	
  
in-macy	
  
•  Key	
  Industries	
  
•  Finance	
  
•  Enterprise	
  Sorware	
  
•  Publishing	
  
•  	
  Key	
  Competencies	
  
•  Recrui-ng	
  and	
  training	
  
•  Customer	
  service	
  
•  Lifecycle	
  support	
  
Industrial Revolution
~1800
Services Revolution
~1975
Information
Revolution ~1990
Digital
Revolution ~2010
Network	
  
Orchestrators	
  
Technology	
  
Creators	
  
Service	
  
	
  Providers	
  
Asset	
  
	
  Builders	
  
Key assets Key competencies Key industries
•  Relationships
•  Network
•  Knowledge
•  Software
•  IP
•  Skilled
employees
•  PPE
•  Consumerism
•  Mobility
•  Engagement
•  Research &
development
•  Communication
•  People
services
•  Manufacturing
•  Distribution
•  Social software
•  Big data
•  Software
•  Biotech
•  Energy
•  Transport
•  Retail
•  Financial
•  Healthcare
•  Insurance
Different  eras  create  different  industries  and  assets
Network	
  
Orchestrators	
  
Technology	
  
Creators	
  
Service	
  
	
  Providers	
  
Asset	
  
	
  Builders	
  
Different  eras,  have  different  business  models
Many Make, many sell
Make one, sell one
Hire one, sell one
Make one, sell many
Build Platform
Technologies	
  
Newer	
  Older	
  
Low	
   High	
  
Growth	
  and	
  Value	
  
The  marginal  cost  for  scaling  goes  down  with  each  model!
Result:  Different  models,  different  results
Asset	
  
Builders	
  
Service	
  
Providers	
  
Technology	
  	
  
Creators	
  
Network	
  
Facilitators	
  
Exercise:    which  business  model  are  you?
?	
  
How  do  you  make  and  spend  money?
As  noted,  there  are  four  business  models…
Sorware	
  and	
  
IP	
  
(IQ)	
  
Networks	
  and	
  
big	
  data	
  
(NQ)	
  
Assets	
  and	
  
products	
  
(PQ)	
  
People	
  and	
  
services	
  
(EQ)	
  
The	
  digital	
  divide	
  
Exercise:  what  is  your  business  model?
1.  Consider	
  your	
  revenues	
  
and	
  ask…	
  
2.  Where	
  do	
  most	
  of	
  our	
  
revenues	
  come	
  from…	
  
3.  Then,	
  place	
  a	
  post-­‐it	
  note	
  
on	
  one	
  of	
  4	
  quadrants…	
  
4.  Understand	
  what	
  this	
  
means	
  for	
  how	
  your	
  firm	
  
makes	
  and	
  spends	
  money	
  
Sorware	
  
and	
  IP	
  
Networks	
  &	
  
big	
  data	
  
Assets	
  &	
  
products	
  
People	
  &	
  
services	
  
Exercise:  How  do  you  make  and  spend  money?
Asset	
  Builders:	
  Make,	
  market,	
  distribute,	
  and	
  operate	
  physical	
  
assets	
  and	
  sell	
  products.	
  Invest	
  in	
  building/acquiring/managing	
  
PP&E.	
  Examples:	
  auto,	
  real	
  estate,	
  advanced	
  materials,	
  u@li@es,	
  
airlines,	
  and	
  telecom.	
  
	
  	
  
Service	
  Providers:	
  Hire	
  people	
  to	
  produce	
  services	
  for	
  which	
  
they	
  charge.	
  Invest	
  in	
  hiring/training,	
  ren-ng	
  space.	
  Examples:	
  
investment	
  banking,	
  healthcare,	
  customer	
  service,	
  accoun@ng,	
  
and	
  management	
  consul@ng.	
  
	
  
Technology	
  Creators:	
  Develop	
  and	
  sell	
  IP.	
  Invest	
  in	
  developing/
marke-ng	
  IP	
  to	
  more	
  users/subscribers	
  (not	
  making	
  more	
  of	
  the	
  
same).	
  Examples:	
  soAware,	
  high	
  tech,	
  bio	
  tech,	
  
pharmaceu@cals,	
  Fin	
  Tech,	
  and	
  data.	
  
	
  
Network	
  Orchestrators:	
  Create	
  networks	
  of	
  businesses/
consumers	
  who	
  interact	
  to	
  sell	
  products,	
  build	
  rela-onships,	
  
share	
  advice,	
  exchange	
  financial	
  instruments,	
  etc.	
  Invest	
  in	
  
technology	
  plauorms	
  and	
  growing	
  networks.	
  	
  Examples:	
  social	
  
networks,	
  commercial	
  networks,	
  and	
  financial	
  exchanges.	
  	
  
	
  
Other,	
  please	
  specify	
  ________________	
  
100%	
  100%	
  
Earnings	
  
contribu-on	
  
propor-on	
  
Capital	
  
Investment	
  
propor-on	
  
%	
   %	
  
%	
   %	
  
%	
   %	
  
%	
   %	
  
%	
   %	
  
Please	
  describe	
  your	
  earnings	
  and	
  investments	
  	
  u5lizing	
  the	
  four	
  basic	
  
business	
  models	
  below. 	
  	
  
First	
  aVempt	
  to	
  simplify.	
  	
  (1)	
  Cut	
  out	
  the	
  “count”	
  column,	
  (2)	
  re-­‐worded	
  ques-on,	
  	
  
(3)	
  eliminated	
  “scales	
  by”	
  sec-on	
  of	
  each	
  descrip-on,	
  (4)	
  shortened	
  remaining	
  wording.	
  
Make,	
  market,	
  distribute	
  and	
  operate	
  physical	
  assets	
  and	
  sell	
  
products:	
  Examples	
  include	
  auto,	
  real	
  estate,	
  advanced	
  
materials,	
  u@li@es,	
  airlines	
  and	
  telecom.	
  
	
  	
  
Design,	
  market	
  and	
  provide	
  services:	
  Examples	
  include	
  
investment	
  banking,	
  healthcare,	
  customer	
  service,	
  accoun@ng,	
  
informa@on	
  services	
  and	
  consul@ng.	
  
	
  
Develop,	
  market	
  and	
  sell	
  intellectual	
  property:	
  	
  Examples	
  
include	
  soAware,	
  high	
  tech,	
  bio	
  tech,	
  pharmaceu@cals,	
  Fin	
  
Tech	
  and	
  big	
  data.	
  
	
  
Create,	
  market	
  and	
  operate	
  networks	
  of	
  businesses,	
  
consumers,	
  investors,	
  etc.:	
  Examples	
  include	
  social/
commercial	
  networks	
  and	
  financial	
  exchanges.	
  	
  
	
  
Other,	
  please	
  specify	
  ________________	
  
100%	
   100%	
  
Earnings	
  
contribu-on	
  
Capital	
  	
  alloca-on	
  
%	
   %	
  
%	
   %	
  
%	
   %	
  
%	
   %	
  
%	
   %	
  
How	
  much	
  do	
  the	
  following	
  business	
  ac5vi5es	
  contribute	
  to	
  your	
  
earnings	
  and	
  consume	
  of	
  your	
  investments?	
  	
  
Shirs	
  away	
  from	
  “business	
  model	
  terminology”	
  and	
  toward	
  “ac-vity	
  terminology.”	
  Removes	
  “Invests	
  
in”	
  descrip-on	
  but	
  retains	
  examples	
  of	
  industries	
  
Make,	
  market,	
  distribute	
  and	
  operate	
  physical	
  assets	
  and	
  sell	
  
products	
  
	
  	
  
Design,	
  market	
  and	
  provide	
  services	
  
	
  
Develop,	
  market	
  and	
  sell	
  intellectual	
  property	
  
	
  
Create,	
  market	
  and	
  operate	
  networks	
  of	
  businesses,	
  
consumers,	
  investors,	
  etc.	
  	
  
	
  
Other,	
  please	
  specify	
  ________________	
  
100%	
   100%	
  
Earnings	
  
contribu-on	
  
Capital	
  	
  alloca-on	
  
%	
   %	
  
%	
   %	
  
%	
   %	
  
%	
   %	
  
%	
   %	
  
How	
  much	
  do	
  the	
  following	
  business	
  ac5vi5es	
  contribute	
  to	
  your	
  
earnings	
  and	
  consume	
  of	
  your	
  investments?	
  	
  
Same	
  as	
  above	
  but	
  removes	
  examples	
  of	
  industries	
  –	
  assumes	
  these	
  
descrip-ons	
  will	
  fit	
  CFOs	
  percep-ons	
  of	
  what	
  they	
  do.	
  
Exercise:    How  Do  You  Classify  Yourself  (Placeholder)
Agenda
Research	
  
Assessment	
  
Ac-on	
  
Measurement	
  
2	
  
3	
  
4	
  
5	
  
Orienta-on	
  
1	
  
Different	
  ‘Asset’	
  Classes,	
  Value	
  Mul-pliersm	
  
Business	
  Model	
  Index	
  and	
  Leadership	
  Style	
  
Reallocate	
  Your	
  Capital	
  with	
  CAREsm	
  
GAAP	
  Versus	
  Measuring	
  All	
  the	
  Sources	
  of	
  Value	
  
Digital,	
  4	
  Business	
  Models,	
  Leadership	
  Preferences	
  
Industries  are  Ver?cals,  Business  Models  are  Horizontal
Network	
  Orchestrator	
  
Technology	
  Creators	
  
Service	
  Provider	
  
Asset	
  Builders	
  
Size of circle
represents
number of
companies
within
industry
Note: Based on analysis of the S&P 500
Source: Capital IQ data pulled October 2013,; Revenue is LTM
Average Multiplier
The  Value  Mul?plier  is  Inversely  Correlated  with  Tangible  Assets
Assets
2x
Services	
  
3x	
  
Size of circle
represents
number of
companies
within industry
or multiplier
group
Note: Based on analysis of the S&P 500
Source: Capital IQ data pulled October 2013,; Revenue is LTM
Average Multiplier
Industries  have  some  affilia?on  with  Business  Models
Tech
5x
NW
8x
•  Intercon-nental
Exchange	
  Group	
  
•  Discover	
  
Financial	
  
•  TripAdvisor	
  
•  Visa	
  
•  MasterCard	
  
•  CME	
  Group	
  
•  Salesforce.com	
  
•  Red	
  Hat	
  
•  Google	
  
•  eBay	
  
•  American	
  
Express	
  
•  Apple	
  
•  Nike	
  
•  Nasdaq	
  OMX	
  
Intangible Assets are now 80% of Market Value, Up from 20%
Source: Compustat data | Research from Ocean Tomo
0.62	
  
0.40	
  
0.31	
  
0.00	
  
Assets	
   Svcs	
   Tech	
   Network	
  
Average	
  COGS/Revenue	
  
0.15	
  
0.27	
   0.28	
  
0.41	
  
Assets	
   Svcs	
   Tech	
   Network	
  
Average	
  SG&A/Revenue	
  
Note: Based on analysis of the S&P 500 companies
Source: Data pulled from Capital IQ database in October 2013; Revenue is prior 12 months
Leaders  spend  money  based  on  their  business  model
0.01	
   0.00	
  
0.15	
  
0.06	
  
Assets	
   Svcs	
   Tech	
   Network	
  
Average	
  R&D/Revenue	
  
Result:  Network  business  models  grow  faster…
8.4	
   7.9	
  
12.6	
  
19.4	
  
Assets	
   Svcs	
   Tech	
   Network	
  
Avg.	
  Revenue	
  CAGR	
  ’10-­‐’12	
  
The	
  digital	
  
divide	
  
Note: Based on analysis of the S&P 500 companies
Source: Data pulled from Capital IQ database in October 2013; Revenue is prior 12 months
…  with  lowest  marginal  cost  of  expansion
…highest  profit  margins…
0.15	
   0.14	
  
0.24	
  
0.32	
  
Assets	
   Svcs	
   Tech	
   Network	
  
Average	
  Profit	
  Margin	
  
0.23	
   0.21	
  
0.30	
  
0.38	
  
Assets	
   Svcs	
   Tech	
   Network	
  
Average	
  EBITDA/Revenue	
  
Note: Based on analysis of the S&P 500
Source: Capital IQ data pulled October 2013; Revenue is prior 12 months
2.0	
   2.1	
  
4.6	
  
8.1	
  
Assets	
   Svcs	
   Tech	
   Network	
  
Average	
  Mul5plier	
  (Price	
  to	
  Revenue	
  ra5o)	
  
…as  well  as  enterprise  value  premiums!
Note: Based on analysis of the S&P 500 companies
Source: Data pulled from Capital IQ database in October 2013; Revenue is prior 12 months
The	
  digital	
  
divide	
  
Network  business  models  are  fastest  growing
0%	
  
20%	
  
40%	
  
60%	
  
80%	
  
100%	
  
1972	
   1982	
   1992	
   2002	
   2012	
  
Types	
  of	
  companies*	
  comprising	
  the	
  top	
  5%	
  of	
  the	
  S&P	
  500	
  by	
  P/R	
  
Assets	
   Services	
   Technology	
   Network	
  
*Each	
  company	
  manually	
  classified	
  based	
  on	
  examina-on	
  of	
  business	
  descrip-on,	
  spending,	
  and	
  MD&A	
  from	
  
annual	
  report,	
  along	
  with	
  press	
  releases	
  and	
  other	
  news;	
  company	
  classifica-on	
  was	
  changed	
  if	
  company	
  strategy	
  
changed	
  over	
  -me	
  
The	
  network	
  era	
  
0.00	
  
2.00	
  
4.00	
  
6.00	
  
8.00	
  
10.00	
  
1975	
   1980	
   1985	
   1990	
   1995	
   2000	
   2005	
   2010	
   2013	
  
Average	
  P/R	
  Ra5o	
  by	
  Business	
  Model	
  Historically	
  
Network	
  
Informa-on	
  
Services	
  
Industrial	
  
*Digital CAGR is 1980 – 2013
Note: Based on analysis of the S&P 500
Source: Capital IQ data pulled October 2013; Revenue is prior 12 months
CAGR  
1975  –  2013
8.7%*
2.7%
4.5%
3.4%
This  trend  is  accelera?ng  and  premiums  are  widening
Assets	
  
Technology	
  
0	
  
20	
  
40	
  
60	
  
80	
  
100	
  
120	
  
140	
  
160	
  
0	
   1	
   2	
   3	
   4	
   5	
   6	
   7	
   8	
   9	
   10	
   11	
   12	
   13	
   14	
   15	
   16	
   17	
   18+	
  
Distribu5on	
  of	
  S&P	
  500	
  
Investors	
  pay	
  more	
  than	
  $18	
  for	
  
each	
  $1	
  of	
  revenue	
  
Investors	
  pay	
  less	
  than	
  $1	
  for	
  
each	
  $1	
  of	
  revenue	
  
But:    80%  of  companies  are  s?ll  asset  and  services  firms
Number of companies that
fall within each range
80% of
companies
have P/R ratio
less than 3
Exercise:    which  business  model  are  you?
?	
  
How  do  you  make  and  spend  money?
Agenda
Research	
  
Assessment	
  
Ac-on	
  
Measurement	
  
2	
  
3	
  
4	
  
5	
  
Orienta-on	
  
1	
  
Mental	
  Models,	
  ‘Asset’	
  Classes,	
  Value	
  Mul-pliersm	
  
Business	
  Model	
  Index	
  and	
  Leadership	
  Style	
  
Reallocate	
  Your	
  Capital	
  with	
  CAREsm	
  
GAAP	
  Versus	
  Measuring	
  All	
  the	
  Sources	
  of	
  Value	
  
Digital,	
  4	
  Business	
  Models,	
  Leadership	
  Preferences	
  
Our  research  indicates  that  Business  are  f(Mental  Models)
Mental	
  model	
  
Business	
  model	
  
•  What	
  leadership…	
  
•  Believes	
  is	
  important	
  
•  Has	
  developed	
  their	
  own	
  skills	
  
•  Gives	
  -me	
  and	
  aVen-on	
  
•  Measures	
  and	
  reports	
  
•  How	
  a	
  company…	
  
•  Spends	
  and	
  makes	
  money	
  
•  Hires	
  people	
  and	
  builds	
  skills	
  
•  Engages	
  with	
  customers	
  
•  Generates	
  long	
  term	
  growth	
  &	
  performance	
  
Depends  on  leaders  ahtudes,  biases  and  beliefs
Exercise:    What’s  Your  Mental  Model
?	
  
What  is  your  leadership  Style?
Take  the  Survey:    Find  Your  Mul?plier
There  are  Four  Different  Business  Models
Technology	
  
Creators	
  
Network	
  
Facilitators	
  
Asset	
  
Builders	
  
Service	
  
Providers	
  
The	
  digital	
  divide	
  
Social	
  networks	
  
Stock	
  exchanges	
  
Credit	
  card	
  companies	
  
Financial	
  services	
  	
  
Insurance	
  companies	
  
Consultants	
  Manufacturers	
  
Retailers	
  
Distributors	
  
Drug	
  companies	
  
Biotech	
  companies	
  
SW	
  developers	
  
Each  Business  Model  Has  its  Own  Mul?plier  Effect
The	
  digital	
  divide	
  
4	
   8	
  
1	
   2	
  
Assets	
   Services	
  
Technology	
   Network	
  
Focus	
  
Investment	
  
Inside	
  Outside	
  
Intangible	
  Tangible	
  
…as  well  as  business  model  risks
IP	
  &	
  
sorware	
  
Risks	
  
Reputa-on	
  
&	
  network	
  
Risks	
  
Asset	
  &	
  
Product	
  
Quality	
  Risks	
  
Employee	
  &	
  
Training	
  
Risks	
  
The	
  digital	
  divide	
  
Exercise:    What  is  your  Mul?plier  Effect?
?	
  
…Calculate  the  value  of  your  business  model
Take  the  Survey:    Find  Your  Mul?plier
Alterna?ve:    Es?mate  your  P/R  ra?o  
1.  Write	
  your	
  company	
  name	
  
on	
  post-­‐its	
  
2.  Es-mate	
  your	
  P/R	
  ra-o	
  
3.  Place	
  post-­‐its	
  on	
  the	
  scale	
  
on	
  the	
  white	
  board	
  
4.  We	
  will	
  provide	
  the	
  actual	
  P/
R	
  ra-o	
  
5.  Discuss	
  the	
  difference	
  
Client	
  4	
  
Network	
  
8	
  
Client	
  1	
  
Physical	
  
2	
  
Client	
  3	
  
Info.	
  
5	
  
Client	
  2	
  
Services	
  
3	
  
High	
  
Low	
  
The	
  digital	
  divide	
  
Agenda
Research	
  
Assessment	
  
Ac-on	
  
Measurement	
  
2	
  
3	
  
4	
  
5	
  
Orienta-on	
  
1	
  
Mental	
  Models,	
  ‘Asset’	
  Classes,	
  Value	
  Mul-pliersm	
  
Business	
  Model	
  Index	
  and	
  Leadership	
  Style	
  
Reallocate	
  your	
  capital	
  with	
  CAREsm	
  
GAAP	
  Versus	
  Measuring	
  All	
  the	
  Sources	
  of	
  Value	
  
Digital,	
  4	
  Business	
  Models,	
  Leadership	
  Preferences	
  
Add Create
Eliminate Revise
Use  CARE  to  Reallocate  your  capital
The  Value  Mul?plier:      4  Step  Process
Orienta-on	
  
What:	
  	
  There	
  are	
  4	
  standard	
  business	
  models,	
  each	
  with	
  their	
  own	
  archetypes,	
  
assets,	
  and	
  Value	
  Mul-plierssm.	
  	
  
	
  
How:	
  	
  The	
  Value	
  Mul@plier	
  EBook	
  and	
  The	
  Value	
  Mul@plier	
  Research	
  EBook,	
  
Infographic	
  ,	
  instruc@onal	
  videos	
  (3),	
  and	
  ar@cles.	
  
Assessment	
  
What:	
  	
  Companies	
  can	
  ascertain	
  their	
  business	
  model	
  index,	
  leadership	
  style,	
  
and	
  all	
  the	
  sources	
  of	
  value.	
  
	
  
How:	
  	
  www.Digitalgrader.com	
  which	
  includes	
  Business	
  Model	
  Indexsm	
  and	
  
Leadership	
  Stylesm	
  (Forthcoming)	
  and	
  Digital	
  Inventory	
  Managersm	
  apps.	
  
Ac-on	
  
What:	
  	
  Organiza-ons	
  can	
  outperform	
  their	
  compe--on	
  by	
  crea-ng	
  network	
  
centric,	
  P:P	
  business	
  models.	
  
	
  
How:	
  	
  By	
  realloca@ng	
  capital	
  to	
  build	
  network	
  centric	
  business	
  models	
  using	
  our	
  
CAREsm	
  app	
  (Forthcoming),	
  Workbook,	
  Curriculum,	
  and	
  Standard	
  Presenta@on.	
  
Measurement	
  
What:	
  	
  Generally	
  Accepted	
  Accoun-ng	
  Procedures	
  (GAAP)	
  either	
  mis-­‐categorize	
  
or	
  overlook	
  many	
  of	
  today’s	
  most	
  valuable	
  assets.	
  
	
  
How:	
  	
  Use	
  our	
  Digital	
  Inventory	
  Managersm	
  to	
  integrate	
  big	
  data	
  and	
  financial	
  
data	
  to	
  track	
  all	
  the	
  sources	
  of	
  value	
  in	
  real	
  @me	
  (forthcoming).	
  	
  
Remember:    there  are  four  ‘assets’  in  which  to  invest
Asset	
   Examples	
  
Tangible	
  
Financial	
   Stocks,	
  Bonds,	
  Warrants,	
  Op-ons	
  
Physical	
   Plant,	
  Property,	
  Equipment	
  
Intangible	
  
Human	
   Employees,	
  Partners,	
  Contractors	
  
Intellectual	
   Data,	
  Knowledge,	
  Sorware	
  
Network	
   Customers,	
  Partners,	
  Alumni,	
  Prospects	
  
Exercise:    Think  About  How  to  Reallocate  your  Capital
?	
  
Use  CARE  to  rebalance  your  pornolio
Take  Care  Program:    4  Steps  to  Success
CARE:      Reallocate  your  capital
Por_olio	
  of	
  
Tangible	
  and	
  
Intangible	
  
assets	
  
Create	
  
Asset	
  will	
  operate	
  
more	
  efficiently	
  if	
  
decreased	
  in	
  scale	
  or	
  
scope	
  
Add	
  
An	
  opportunity	
  has	
  
been	
  iden@fied	
  to	
  
create	
  an	
  en@rely	
  new	
  
and	
  valuable	
  product/
asset	
  
Revise	
  
Asset	
  ahs	
  poten@al	
  to	
  
increase	
  value	
  crea@on	
  
by	
  adding	
  new	
  
components	
  (features,	
  
customers,	
  etc.)	
  
Eliminate	
  
Asset	
  is	
  no	
  longer	
  
valued	
  or	
  is	
  
underperforming	
  with	
  
no	
  path	
  to	
  
improvement	
  
Asset	
  1	
  
Asset	
  2	
  
Asset	
  3	
  
Agenda
Research	
  
Assessment	
  
Ac-on	
  
Measurement	
  
2	
  
3	
  
4	
  
5	
  
Orienta-on	
  
1	
  
Mental	
  Models,	
  ‘Asset’	
  Classes,	
  Value	
  Mul-pliersm	
  
Business	
  Model	
  Index	
  and	
  Leadership	
  Style	
  
Reallocate	
  Your	
  Capital	
  with	
  CAREsm	
  
GAAP	
  Versus	
  Measuring	
  All	
  the	
  Sources	
  of	
  Value	
  
Digital,	
  4	
  Business	
  Models,	
  Leadership	
  Preferences	
  
Reward
Risk
Biologic
alassets
Financialassets
Inventories
Property,plantandequipment
Non-current
assets
Employee
benefits
Depreciation
Payroll
Interest
expenses
Terminationbenefits
Interactions
Consumer
sentiment
Patients
Socialnetworks
Customers
Positive bias
Negative bias
Non categorized
Positive bias
Assets
Negative bias
Expenses
Neutral Bias
Not categorized
Some  Assets  have  Nega?ve  Bias,  Some  Posi?ve
Outside
Managed
Outside
unmanaged
Inside
managed
Inside
unmanaged
To  Compensate,  Examine  All  the  Sources  Of  Value
Measurement Capital Sources Examples
Inside	
  Managed	
   Financial	
  
Return on Asset, Return on
Investment, Assets under
management
Inside	
  Managed	
   Physical	
  
Rent, SF under management,
utilization/occupancy rate
Inside	
  Unmanaged	
   Human	
  
Intellectual capital, Employee
engagement, networks, alumni
Outside	
  Managed	
   Intellectual	
  
Patents, Trademarks, Copyrights,
business methods
Outside	
  Managed	
   Customers	
  
Loyalty, customer engagement, co-
creation, word of mouth marketing,
Outside	
  Unmanaged	
   Network	
  
Size of network, number of
participants, number of interactions,
data size, vitality
Examples  of  Different  Measurements  by  Quadrant
Exercise:    What  is  our  business  model  worth
?	
  
And  what  is  the  marginal  cost  for  scaling?
Inventory  all  your  sources  of  value
Human	
  capital	
   Intellectual	
  capital	
   Network	
  capital	
  
Business	
  
unit	
   Employees	
   Partners	
   Contractors	
   Data	
   Knowledge	
   Sorware	
   Customers	
   Partners	
   Alumni	
   Prospects	
  
BU1	
  
BU2	
  
BU3	
  
  
Intangible  Asset  Inventory  Tool
Alterna?ve:  Value  all  your  intangible  assets
•  Use	
  finance.yahoo.com	
  to	
  find	
  	
  	
  
•  Market	
  Value	
  	
  
•  It	
  is	
  found	
  under	
  Key	
  Sta-s-cs	
  
•  Determine	
  your	
  Non	
  assets	
  
•  In	
  addi-on,	
  write	
  down	
  your	
  key	
  
sta-s-cs:	
  
•  Revenues	
  
•  Expenses	
  
•  Profits	
  
Co. A FYxx Intangibles value $6B
Revenue $40B
Technology COS %
GM% 22%
SGA% 20%
Operating Margin % (.5%)
Market Value $9B
Price To Revenue 0.2
Total Assets $20B
Total Liabilities $15B
Intangible Assets (Market) $4B
Intangible Assets (Acquired) $1B
Physical Assets $15B
Co. B FYxx Intangibles value $106B
Revenue $60B
Technology COS 7%
GM% 14%
SGA% 12%
Operating Margin % 1.0%
Market Value $115B
Price to Revenue 2.0
Total Assets $30B
Total Liabilities $20B
Intangible Assets (Market) $105B
Intangible Assets (Acquired) $3B
Physical Assets $28B
Source:	
  Company	
  10-­‐K	
  	
  
Case  Study:    Company  A  versus  Company  B
•  Market	
  value	
  is	
  considered	
  to	
  be	
  the	
  present	
  value	
  of	
  future	
  discounted	
  cash	
  
flows	
  
•  Despite	
  being	
  rela-vely	
  same	
  sized	
  ($40B	
  and	
  $60B),	
  and	
  both	
  delivering	
  
opera-ng	
  margins	
  (~1%),	
  the	
  market	
  views	
  company	
  B	
  as	
  13x	
  more	
  valuable	
  
•  So	
  why	
  does	
  the	
  market	
  believe	
  Company	
  B’s	
  future	
  cash	
  flows	
  will	
  be	
  so	
  
much	
  higher	
  than	
  Company	
  A’s?	
  
•  The business model, clicks are more scalable than bricks
•  The management team, and the employees (human capital) that
understand the newer business model
•  The customer, company B uses technology “as the business”, while
Company A uses technology “to support the business”
•  Recognizing	
  that	
  both	
  companies	
  have	
  strong	
  brand	
  and	
  reputa-on,	
  the	
  
market	
  gives	
  Company	
  B	
  credit	
  for	
  over	
  $100B	
  in	
  addi-onal	
  intangible	
  assets	
  
Note:    The  market  value  of  Intangibles
•  Split  into  four  working  groups,  which  will  each  tackle  one  of  the  following  
topics:  

1.  Who  at  the  client  do  you  target?
2.  What  does  the  client-­‐facing  lab  look  like?
3.  How  do  we  structure  a  strategy  engagement?
4.  How  does  this  align  with  exis?ng  Deloiqe  services
•  You  will  have  30  minutes  to  discuss  and  develop  ideas  within  your  
working  group
•  Each  group  will  then  read  back  out  to  the  lab,  ~10  minutes  per  topic
•  Last  topic:  which  clients  do  we  target  (20  min)
Note:    For  Each  Working  Session
4  step  process  for  growth  and  performance
Measuring	
  
On	
  Going	
  KPIS	
  
Ac-on	
  
6	
  Months	
  
Analysis	
  
3	
  Months	
  
Orienta-on	
  
1	
  Day	
  
Gather	
  senior	
  
leadership	
  in	
  
offsite	
  mee-ng	
  to	
  
asses	
  current	
  
mental	
  model	
  
assump-ons	
  	
  and	
  
business	
  model	
  
investments	
  
Generate	
  detailed	
  
business	
  model	
  
ac-ons	
  by	
  process	
  
and	
  product	
  to	
  
include	
  digital	
  
networks	
  star-ng	
  
with	
  ‘edge	
  based	
  
ini-a-ves’	
  
Expand	
  edge	
  
based	
  digital	
  
networks	
  and	
  new	
  
KPI’s	
  to	
  create	
  
plauorm	
  for	
  
business	
  model	
  
transforma-on	
  
over	
  -me	
  
Con-nuous	
  Improvement	
  
Conduct	
  high	
  
level	
  analysis	
  of	
  
capital	
  
alloca-ons	
  by	
  
SBU	
  and	
  	
  
inventory	
  all	
  
intangible	
  assets	
  
and	
  enabling	
  IT	
  	
  
4  Step  Process:  Orienta?on
Assess	
  Your	
  Risk	
  Propensity	
  and	
  Business	
  Model:	
  The	
  1-­‐Day	
  Offsite	
  
•  Understand	
  business	
  models	
  and	
  their	
  rela-ve	
  economics	
  
•  Assess	
  current	
  mental	
  models	
  of	
  leadership	
  team	
  
•  Assess	
  current	
  business	
  model	
  indicated	
  by	
  current	
  assets	
  and	
  technologies	
  
•  Exercises	
  to	
  understand	
  Value	
  Mul-plier	
  and	
  capital	
  alloca-on	
  
•  Management	
  team	
  has	
  complete	
  understanding	
  of	
  business	
  model	
  and	
  economics,	
  
plus	
  the	
  gap	
  between	
  current	
  business	
  model/performance	
  and	
  the	
  poten-al	
  
Process	
  
Tool	
  
Outcome	
  
Monitoring	
  
On	
  Going	
  
Ac-on	
  
6	
  Months	
  
Analysis	
  
3	
  Months	
  
Orienta-on	
  
1	
  Day	
  
4  Step  Process:  Analysis
Inventory	
  Tangible	
  and	
  Intangible	
  Assets:	
  The	
  90-­‐Day	
  Assessment	
  
•  Cross-­‐func-onal	
  task	
  force	
  formed	
  
•  Team	
  inventories	
  current	
  assets	
  and	
  technologies,	
  plus	
  capital	
  alloca-on	
  paVerns	
  
•  Team	
  inventories	
  unmeasured	
  and	
  intangible	
  assets	
  not	
  yet	
  mone-zed	
  by	
  firm	
  
•  Mental	
  Model	
  Assessment	
  and	
  Intangible	
  Asset	
  Inventory	
  
•  Management	
  team	
  has	
  complete	
  understanding	
  of	
  the	
  firms	
  assets,	
  both	
  tangible	
  
and	
  intangible,	
  plus	
  the	
  related	
  technologies	
  and	
  the	
  historical	
  trends	
  for	
  capital	
  
alloca-on	
  among	
  these	
  assets	
  
Process	
  
Tool	
  
Outcome	
  
Measure	
  
On	
  Going	
  KPIS	
  
Ac-on	
  
6	
  Months	
  
Analysis	
  
3	
  Months	
  
Orienta-on	
  
1	
  Day	
  
4  Step  Process:  Ac?on
Create	
  a	
  New	
  Business	
  Model:	
  The	
  6-­‐Month	
  Implementa5on	
  
•  Form	
  project	
  team	
  to	
  mone-ze	
  a	
  currently	
  under	
  u-lized	
  asset	
  (oren	
  a	
  network	
  of	
  
customers,	
  employees,	
  shareholders,	
  suppliers,	
  etc.)	
  
•  Develop	
  a	
  technological	
  plauorm	
  to	
  connect	
  this	
  popula-on	
  
•  Populate	
  the	
  plauorm	
  with	
  content	
  and	
  product	
  offerings	
  
•  Create	
  processes	
  and	
  incen-ves	
  that	
  encourage	
  the	
  network	
  to	
  par-cipate	
  
•  Template	
  for	
  a	
  New	
  Business	
  Model	
  
•  The	
  development	
  of	
  new	
  and	
  highly	
  scalable	
  assets	
  plus	
  a	
  repeatable	
  process	
  for	
  
con-nuing	
  to	
  develop	
  underu-lized	
  assets	
  
Process	
  
Tool	
  
Outcome	
  
Measure	
  
On	
  Going	
  KPIS	
  
Ac-on	
  
6	
  Months	
  
Analysis	
  
3	
  Months	
  
Orienta-on	
  
1	
  Day	
  
4  Step  Process:  Measurement
Monitor	
  and	
  Rebalance:	
  An	
  Ongoing	
  Process	
  for	
  Delivering	
  Value	
  
•  Establish	
  new	
  and	
  tailored	
  KPIs	
  for	
  the	
  developing	
  asset	
  (network)	
  	
  
•  Integrate	
  those	
  KPIs	
  with	
  exis-ng	
  financial	
  repor-ng	
  for	
  senior	
  management	
  
•  Use	
  KPIs	
  to	
  manage	
  and	
  allocate	
  financial	
  capital	
  across	
  all	
  assets	
  
•  Asset	
  Rebalancing	
  Tool	
  
•  Management	
  team	
  is	
  informed	
  about	
  the	
  progress	
  of	
  network	
  development,	
  using	
  
new	
  KPIs	
  tailored	
  to	
  the	
  asset	
  and	
  can	
  effec-vely	
  gauge	
  success	
  and	
  allocate	
  capital	
  
Process	
  
Tool	
  
Outcome	
  
Measure	
  
On	
  Going	
  KPIS	
  
Ac-on	
  
6	
  Months	
  
Analysis	
  
3	
  Months	
  
Orienta-on	
  
1	
  Day	
  

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Four Steps to Creating More Value and Better Performance

  • 1. Business Model Disrupted The Value Multiplier Four Steps to Creating More Value and Better Performance August 2014
  • 2. Agenda Research   Assessment   Ac-on   Measurement   2   3   4   5   Orienta-on   1   Different  ‘Asset’  Classes,  Value  Mul-pliersm   Business  Model  Index  and  Leadership  Style   Reallocate  Your  Capital  with  CAREsm   GAAP  Versus  Measuring  All  the  Sources  of  Value   Digital,  4  Business  Models,  Leadership  Preferences  
  • 3. Acquired  by  Facebook   for  ~19x  revenue   Raised  funding  at   valua-on  of  ~40x   revenue   Raised  funding  at   valua-on  of  ~50x   revenue   Recent  IPOs  and  investments  highlight  value  of  Digital
  • 4. Q. Which of the following technology enablers and/or disruptors do you believe may threaten your business model?   *Exploring  Strategic  Risk,  DeloiVe  Touche  Tohmatsu,  2013,  www.deloiVe.com/strategicrisksurvey     53%  believe  Digital  threatens  exis?ng  business  models
  • 5. Making  it  the  number  2  strategic  risk Q:  Which  of  the  following  risk  areas  have  the  most  impact  on  your  business  strategy  (three   years  ago,  today,  and  three  years  from  now)?  (Respondents  could  choose  more  than  one  answer.   The  top  three  are  shown  below)   *Exploring  Strategic  Risk,  DeloiVe  Touche  Tohmatsu,  2013,  www.deloiVe.com/strategicrisksurvey    
  • 6. 21%   21%   19%   15%   14%   Our  CEO  sets  a  clear  vision  for  digital  in   our  business   We  have  the  right  people  to  define  our   digital  strategy   We  have  the  necessary  technology  to   execute  our  digital  strategy   We  have  the  necessary  people  and  skill   to  execute  our  digital  strategy   We  have  the  necessary  processes  to   execute  our  digital  strategy   “Assessing  your  organiza-on’s  digital  readiness,  how  much  do  you  agree  with   the  following  statements?”   (8,  9,  or  10  on  a  scale  of  1  [completely  disagree]  to  10  [  completely  agree])   Base: 1,254 executives in companies with 250 or more employees *Forrester/Russell  Reynolds  2014  Digital  Business  Survey   But,  Forrester  Research  says  few  companies  are  ready
  • 7. 1991 2011 Exxon Mobil Corp Exxon Mobil Corp Altria Group Inc. Apple Inc. Wal-Mart Stores Inc. Microsoft Corp General Electric Co Intl Business Machines Corp Merck & Co Chevron Corp Coca-Cola Co Wal-Mart Stores Inc. AT&T Corp Berkshire Hathaway Intl Business Machines Corp General Electric Co Bristol-Myers Squibb Co Procter & Gamble Co Johnson & Johnson AT&T Inc. Same position Higher positionLower positionNew entrant Lost position Source: Compustat data Business  Models  Effect  Even  Most  Valuable  Companies
  • 8. So  how  did  we  get  here?
  • 9. Industrial     revolu-on  —  1800   Services     revolu-on  —  1975   Informa-on   revolu-on  —  1990   Network   revolu-on  —  2010   Technology   Time   Each  Revolu?on  was  built  on  the  last
  • 10. Industrial  Revolu5on     Began  a  new  era:          Away  from  Agriculture   •  Focused  inside  on   manufacturing  and  internal   processes…     •  New  financial  and  opera-ng   measures   •  Physical  output   •  Asset  u-liza-on   •  ROA   Digital  Revolu?on     Beginning  a  new  era:                Away  from  Info. •  Focused  outside  on  social   and  commercial  networks   and  the  big  data   produced… •  New  financial  and   opera?ng  measures •  Network  size   •   Crowdsourcing   •   Value  of  all  intangibles     Informa5on  Revolu5on       Began  a  new  era:                  Away  from  Services   •  Focused  inside  on   intellectual  property,   digi-zing  content  and   insights…   •  New  financial  and  opera-ng   measures   •  Crea-ve  output   •  R&D   •  ROI       Services  Revolu5on     Began  a  new  era:                  Away  from  Industrial   •  Focused  inside  on     hiring  and  training   employees  to  provide   services…   •  New  financial  and  opera-ng   measures   •  Revenue/employee   •  Customer  sa-sfac-on     Industrial Revolution ~1800 Services Revolution ~1975 Information Revolution ~1990 Digital Revolution ~2010 •  Key  Asset:    CapEx   •  Key  Asset:    Human   capital   •  Key  Asset:    IP   •  Key  Asset:    Network  /   rela-onships   New  Eras,  New  Models,  New  Assets
  • 11. Industrial  Revolu5on      Make  one,  sell  one               •  Focus:    High  fixed  costs,   Field  (Ins-tu-onal)  sales;     big  accounts   •   Key  Industries   •  Manufacturing   •  Transporta-on   •  Energy   •   Key  Competencies   •  Finance   •  Manufacturing   •  Distribu-on   Digital  Revolu?on   Many  make,  many  sell         •  Focus:    Even  lower  fixed   costs,  higher  gross   margins;  Inbound   marke?ng  (consumers) •  Key  Industries •   Online  marketplaces   •   Social  sorware   •   Big  data   •  Key  Competencies •  Consumeriza-on   •  Mobility     •  Engagement   Informa5on    Revolu5on   Make  one,  sell  many               •  Focus:    Lower  fixed  costs   and  higher  gross  margins:     Blended  sales;  SMB   •  Key  Industries   •  Enterprise  sorware   •  Biotechnology   •  Publishing   •   Key  Competencies   •  Enterprise  Technology   •  IP  development   •  Content   New  models,  new  economics,  new  assets Services  Revolu5on     Hire  one,  sell  one               •  Focus:    Shir  of  capital  from   CapEx  to  salary;  customer   in-macy   •  Key  Industries   •  Finance   •  Enterprise  Sorware   •  Publishing   •   Key  Competencies   •  Recrui-ng  and  training   •  Customer  service   •  Lifecycle  support   Industrial Revolution ~1800 Services Revolution ~1975 Information Revolution ~1990 Digital Revolution ~2010
  • 12. Network   Orchestrators   Technology   Creators   Service    Providers   Asset    Builders   Key assets Key competencies Key industries •  Relationships •  Network •  Knowledge •  Software •  IP •  Skilled employees •  PPE •  Consumerism •  Mobility •  Engagement •  Research & development •  Communication •  People services •  Manufacturing •  Distribution •  Social software •  Big data •  Software •  Biotech •  Energy •  Transport •  Retail •  Financial •  Healthcare •  Insurance Different  eras  create  different  industries  and  assets
  • 13. Network   Orchestrators   Technology   Creators   Service    Providers   Asset    Builders   Different  eras,  have  different  business  models Many Make, many sell Make one, sell one Hire one, sell one Make one, sell many Build Platform
  • 14. Technologies   Newer  Older   Low   High   Growth  and  Value   The  marginal  cost  for  scaling  goes  down  with  each  model! Result:  Different  models,  different  results Asset   Builders   Service   Providers   Technology     Creators   Network   Facilitators  
  • 15. Exercise:    which  business  model  are  you? ?   How  do  you  make  and  spend  money?
  • 16. As  noted,  there  are  four  business  models… Sorware  and   IP   (IQ)   Networks  and   big  data   (NQ)   Assets  and   products   (PQ)   People  and   services   (EQ)   The  digital  divide  
  • 17. Exercise:  what  is  your  business  model? 1.  Consider  your  revenues   and  ask…   2.  Where  do  most  of  our   revenues  come  from…   3.  Then,  place  a  post-­‐it  note   on  one  of  4  quadrants…   4.  Understand  what  this   means  for  how  your  firm   makes  and  spends  money   Sorware   and  IP   Networks  &   big  data   Assets  &   products   People  &   services  
  • 18. Exercise:  How  do  you  make  and  spend  money?
  • 19. Asset  Builders:  Make,  market,  distribute,  and  operate  physical   assets  and  sell  products.  Invest  in  building/acquiring/managing   PP&E.  Examples:  auto,  real  estate,  advanced  materials,  u@li@es,   airlines,  and  telecom.       Service  Providers:  Hire  people  to  produce  services  for  which   they  charge.  Invest  in  hiring/training,  ren-ng  space.  Examples:   investment  banking,  healthcare,  customer  service,  accoun@ng,   and  management  consul@ng.     Technology  Creators:  Develop  and  sell  IP.  Invest  in  developing/ marke-ng  IP  to  more  users/subscribers  (not  making  more  of  the   same).  Examples:  soAware,  high  tech,  bio  tech,   pharmaceu@cals,  Fin  Tech,  and  data.     Network  Orchestrators:  Create  networks  of  businesses/ consumers  who  interact  to  sell  products,  build  rela-onships,   share  advice,  exchange  financial  instruments,  etc.  Invest  in   technology  plauorms  and  growing  networks.    Examples:  social   networks,  commercial  networks,  and  financial  exchanges.       Other,  please  specify  ________________   100%  100%   Earnings   contribu-on   propor-on   Capital   Investment   propor-on   %   %   %   %   %   %   %   %   %   %   Please  describe  your  earnings  and  investments    u5lizing  the  four  basic   business  models  below.     First  aVempt  to  simplify.    (1)  Cut  out  the  “count”  column,  (2)  re-­‐worded  ques-on,     (3)  eliminated  “scales  by”  sec-on  of  each  descrip-on,  (4)  shortened  remaining  wording.   Make,  market,  distribute  and  operate  physical  assets  and  sell   products:  Examples  include  auto,  real  estate,  advanced   materials,  u@li@es,  airlines  and  telecom.       Design,  market  and  provide  services:  Examples  include   investment  banking,  healthcare,  customer  service,  accoun@ng,   informa@on  services  and  consul@ng.     Develop,  market  and  sell  intellectual  property:    Examples   include  soAware,  high  tech,  bio  tech,  pharmaceu@cals,  Fin   Tech  and  big  data.     Create,  market  and  operate  networks  of  businesses,   consumers,  investors,  etc.:  Examples  include  social/ commercial  networks  and  financial  exchanges.       Other,  please  specify  ________________   100%   100%   Earnings   contribu-on   Capital    alloca-on   %   %   %   %   %   %   %   %   %   %   How  much  do  the  following  business  ac5vi5es  contribute  to  your   earnings  and  consume  of  your  investments?     Shirs  away  from  “business  model  terminology”  and  toward  “ac-vity  terminology.”  Removes  “Invests   in”  descrip-on  but  retains  examples  of  industries   Make,  market,  distribute  and  operate  physical  assets  and  sell   products       Design,  market  and  provide  services     Develop,  market  and  sell  intellectual  property     Create,  market  and  operate  networks  of  businesses,   consumers,  investors,  etc.       Other,  please  specify  ________________   100%   100%   Earnings   contribu-on   Capital    alloca-on   %   %   %   %   %   %   %   %   %   %   How  much  do  the  following  business  ac5vi5es  contribute  to  your   earnings  and  consume  of  your  investments?     Same  as  above  but  removes  examples  of  industries  –  assumes  these   descrip-ons  will  fit  CFOs  percep-ons  of  what  they  do.   Exercise:    How  Do  You  Classify  Yourself  (Placeholder)
  • 20. Agenda Research   Assessment   Ac-on   Measurement   2   3   4   5   Orienta-on   1   Different  ‘Asset’  Classes,  Value  Mul-pliersm   Business  Model  Index  and  Leadership  Style   Reallocate  Your  Capital  with  CAREsm   GAAP  Versus  Measuring  All  the  Sources  of  Value   Digital,  4  Business  Models,  Leadership  Preferences  
  • 21. Industries  are  Ver?cals,  Business  Models  are  Horizontal Network  Orchestrator   Technology  Creators   Service  Provider   Asset  Builders  
  • 22. Size of circle represents number of companies within industry Note: Based on analysis of the S&P 500 Source: Capital IQ data pulled October 2013,; Revenue is LTM Average Multiplier The  Value  Mul?plier  is  Inversely  Correlated  with  Tangible  Assets
  • 23. Assets 2x Services   3x   Size of circle represents number of companies within industry or multiplier group Note: Based on analysis of the S&P 500 Source: Capital IQ data pulled October 2013,; Revenue is LTM Average Multiplier Industries  have  some  affilia?on  with  Business  Models Tech 5x NW 8x •  Intercon-nental Exchange  Group   •  Discover   Financial   •  TripAdvisor   •  Visa   •  MasterCard   •  CME  Group   •  Salesforce.com   •  Red  Hat   •  Google   •  eBay   •  American   Express   •  Apple   •  Nike   •  Nasdaq  OMX  
  • 24. Intangible Assets are now 80% of Market Value, Up from 20% Source: Compustat data | Research from Ocean Tomo
  • 25. 0.62   0.40   0.31   0.00   Assets   Svcs   Tech   Network   Average  COGS/Revenue   0.15   0.27   0.28   0.41   Assets   Svcs   Tech   Network   Average  SG&A/Revenue   Note: Based on analysis of the S&P 500 companies Source: Data pulled from Capital IQ database in October 2013; Revenue is prior 12 months Leaders  spend  money  based  on  their  business  model 0.01   0.00   0.15   0.06   Assets   Svcs   Tech   Network   Average  R&D/Revenue  
  • 26. Result:  Network  business  models  grow  faster… 8.4   7.9   12.6   19.4   Assets   Svcs   Tech   Network   Avg.  Revenue  CAGR  ’10-­‐’12   The  digital   divide   Note: Based on analysis of the S&P 500 companies Source: Data pulled from Capital IQ database in October 2013; Revenue is prior 12 months …  with  lowest  marginal  cost  of  expansion
  • 27. …highest  profit  margins… 0.15   0.14   0.24   0.32   Assets   Svcs   Tech   Network   Average  Profit  Margin   0.23   0.21   0.30   0.38   Assets   Svcs   Tech   Network   Average  EBITDA/Revenue   Note: Based on analysis of the S&P 500 Source: Capital IQ data pulled October 2013; Revenue is prior 12 months
  • 28. 2.0   2.1   4.6   8.1   Assets   Svcs   Tech   Network   Average  Mul5plier  (Price  to  Revenue  ra5o)   …as  well  as  enterprise  value  premiums! Note: Based on analysis of the S&P 500 companies Source: Data pulled from Capital IQ database in October 2013; Revenue is prior 12 months The  digital   divide  
  • 29. Network  business  models  are  fastest  growing 0%   20%   40%   60%   80%   100%   1972   1982   1992   2002   2012   Types  of  companies*  comprising  the  top  5%  of  the  S&P  500  by  P/R   Assets   Services   Technology   Network   *Each  company  manually  classified  based  on  examina-on  of  business  descrip-on,  spending,  and  MD&A  from   annual  report,  along  with  press  releases  and  other  news;  company  classifica-on  was  changed  if  company  strategy   changed  over  -me   The  network  era  
  • 30. 0.00   2.00   4.00   6.00   8.00   10.00   1975   1980   1985   1990   1995   2000   2005   2010   2013   Average  P/R  Ra5o  by  Business  Model  Historically   Network   Informa-on   Services   Industrial   *Digital CAGR is 1980 – 2013 Note: Based on analysis of the S&P 500 Source: Capital IQ data pulled October 2013; Revenue is prior 12 months CAGR   1975  –  2013 8.7%* 2.7% 4.5% 3.4% This  trend  is  accelera?ng  and  premiums  are  widening Assets   Technology  
  • 31. 0   20   40   60   80   100   120   140   160   0   1   2   3   4   5   6   7   8   9   10   11   12   13   14   15   16   17   18+   Distribu5on  of  S&P  500   Investors  pay  more  than  $18  for   each  $1  of  revenue   Investors  pay  less  than  $1  for   each  $1  of  revenue   But:    80%  of  companies  are  s?ll  asset  and  services  firms Number of companies that fall within each range 80% of companies have P/R ratio less than 3
  • 32. Exercise:    which  business  model  are  you? ?   How  do  you  make  and  spend  money?
  • 33. Agenda Research   Assessment   Ac-on   Measurement   2   3   4   5   Orienta-on   1   Mental  Models,  ‘Asset’  Classes,  Value  Mul-pliersm   Business  Model  Index  and  Leadership  Style   Reallocate  Your  Capital  with  CAREsm   GAAP  Versus  Measuring  All  the  Sources  of  Value   Digital,  4  Business  Models,  Leadership  Preferences  
  • 34. Our  research  indicates  that  Business  are  f(Mental  Models) Mental  model   Business  model   •  What  leadership…   •  Believes  is  important   •  Has  developed  their  own  skills   •  Gives  -me  and  aVen-on   •  Measures  and  reports   •  How  a  company…   •  Spends  and  makes  money   •  Hires  people  and  builds  skills   •  Engages  with  customers   •  Generates  long  term  growth  &  performance   Depends  on  leaders  ahtudes,  biases  and  beliefs
  • 35. Exercise:    What’s  Your  Mental  Model ?   What  is  your  leadership  Style?
  • 36. Take  the  Survey:    Find  Your  Mul?plier
  • 37. There  are  Four  Different  Business  Models Technology   Creators   Network   Facilitators   Asset   Builders   Service   Providers   The  digital  divide   Social  networks   Stock  exchanges   Credit  card  companies   Financial  services     Insurance  companies   Consultants  Manufacturers   Retailers   Distributors   Drug  companies   Biotech  companies   SW  developers  
  • 38. Each  Business  Model  Has  its  Own  Mul?plier  Effect The  digital  divide   4   8   1   2   Assets   Services   Technology   Network   Focus   Investment   Inside  Outside   Intangible  Tangible  
  • 39. …as  well  as  business  model  risks IP  &   sorware   Risks   Reputa-on   &  network   Risks   Asset  &   Product   Quality  Risks   Employee  &   Training   Risks   The  digital  divide  
  • 40. Exercise:    What  is  your  Mul?plier  Effect? ?   …Calculate  the  value  of  your  business  model
  • 41. Take  the  Survey:    Find  Your  Mul?plier
  • 42. Alterna?ve:    Es?mate  your  P/R  ra?o   1.  Write  your  company  name   on  post-­‐its   2.  Es-mate  your  P/R  ra-o   3.  Place  post-­‐its  on  the  scale   on  the  white  board   4.  We  will  provide  the  actual  P/ R  ra-o   5.  Discuss  the  difference   Client  4   Network   8   Client  1   Physical   2   Client  3   Info.   5   Client  2   Services   3   High   Low   The  digital  divide  
  • 43. Agenda Research   Assessment   Ac-on   Measurement   2   3   4   5   Orienta-on   1   Mental  Models,  ‘Asset’  Classes,  Value  Mul-pliersm   Business  Model  Index  and  Leadership  Style   Reallocate  your  capital  with  CAREsm   GAAP  Versus  Measuring  All  the  Sources  of  Value   Digital,  4  Business  Models,  Leadership  Preferences  
  • 44. Add Create Eliminate Revise Use  CARE  to  Reallocate  your  capital
  • 45. The  Value  Mul?plier:      4  Step  Process Orienta-on   What:    There  are  4  standard  business  models,  each  with  their  own  archetypes,   assets,  and  Value  Mul-plierssm.       How:    The  Value  Mul@plier  EBook  and  The  Value  Mul@plier  Research  EBook,   Infographic  ,  instruc@onal  videos  (3),  and  ar@cles.   Assessment   What:    Companies  can  ascertain  their  business  model  index,  leadership  style,   and  all  the  sources  of  value.     How:    www.Digitalgrader.com  which  includes  Business  Model  Indexsm  and   Leadership  Stylesm  (Forthcoming)  and  Digital  Inventory  Managersm  apps.   Ac-on   What:    Organiza-ons  can  outperform  their  compe--on  by  crea-ng  network   centric,  P:P  business  models.     How:    By  realloca@ng  capital  to  build  network  centric  business  models  using  our   CAREsm  app  (Forthcoming),  Workbook,  Curriculum,  and  Standard  Presenta@on.   Measurement   What:    Generally  Accepted  Accoun-ng  Procedures  (GAAP)  either  mis-­‐categorize   or  overlook  many  of  today’s  most  valuable  assets.     How:    Use  our  Digital  Inventory  Managersm  to  integrate  big  data  and  financial   data  to  track  all  the  sources  of  value  in  real  @me  (forthcoming).    
  • 46. Remember:    there  are  four  ‘assets’  in  which  to  invest Asset   Examples   Tangible   Financial   Stocks,  Bonds,  Warrants,  Op-ons   Physical   Plant,  Property,  Equipment   Intangible   Human   Employees,  Partners,  Contractors   Intellectual   Data,  Knowledge,  Sorware   Network   Customers,  Partners,  Alumni,  Prospects  
  • 47. Exercise:    Think  About  How  to  Reallocate  your  Capital ?   Use  CARE  to  rebalance  your  pornolio
  • 48. Take  Care  Program:    4  Steps  to  Success
  • 49. CARE:      Reallocate  your  capital Por_olio  of   Tangible  and   Intangible   assets   Create   Asset  will  operate   more  efficiently  if   decreased  in  scale  or   scope   Add   An  opportunity  has   been  iden@fied  to   create  an  en@rely  new   and  valuable  product/ asset   Revise   Asset  ahs  poten@al  to   increase  value  crea@on   by  adding  new   components  (features,   customers,  etc.)   Eliminate   Asset  is  no  longer   valued  or  is   underperforming  with   no  path  to   improvement   Asset  1   Asset  2   Asset  3  
  • 50. Agenda Research   Assessment   Ac-on   Measurement   2   3   4   5   Orienta-on   1   Mental  Models,  ‘Asset’  Classes,  Value  Mul-pliersm   Business  Model  Index  and  Leadership  Style   Reallocate  Your  Capital  with  CAREsm   GAAP  Versus  Measuring  All  the  Sources  of  Value   Digital,  4  Business  Models,  Leadership  Preferences  
  • 53. Measurement Capital Sources Examples Inside  Managed   Financial   Return on Asset, Return on Investment, Assets under management Inside  Managed   Physical   Rent, SF under management, utilization/occupancy rate Inside  Unmanaged   Human   Intellectual capital, Employee engagement, networks, alumni Outside  Managed   Intellectual   Patents, Trademarks, Copyrights, business methods Outside  Managed   Customers   Loyalty, customer engagement, co- creation, word of mouth marketing, Outside  Unmanaged   Network   Size of network, number of participants, number of interactions, data size, vitality Examples  of  Different  Measurements  by  Quadrant
  • 54. Exercise:    What  is  our  business  model  worth ?   And  what  is  the  marginal  cost  for  scaling?
  • 55. Inventory  all  your  sources  of  value
  • 56. Human  capital   Intellectual  capital   Network  capital   Business   unit   Employees   Partners   Contractors   Data   Knowledge   Sorware   Customers   Partners   Alumni   Prospects   BU1   BU2   BU3     Intangible  Asset  Inventory  Tool
  • 57. Alterna?ve:  Value  all  your  intangible  assets •  Use  finance.yahoo.com  to  find       •  Market  Value     •  It  is  found  under  Key  Sta-s-cs   •  Determine  your  Non  assets   •  In  addi-on,  write  down  your  key   sta-s-cs:   •  Revenues   •  Expenses   •  Profits  
  • 58. Co. A FYxx Intangibles value $6B Revenue $40B Technology COS % GM% 22% SGA% 20% Operating Margin % (.5%) Market Value $9B Price To Revenue 0.2 Total Assets $20B Total Liabilities $15B Intangible Assets (Market) $4B Intangible Assets (Acquired) $1B Physical Assets $15B Co. B FYxx Intangibles value $106B Revenue $60B Technology COS 7% GM% 14% SGA% 12% Operating Margin % 1.0% Market Value $115B Price to Revenue 2.0 Total Assets $30B Total Liabilities $20B Intangible Assets (Market) $105B Intangible Assets (Acquired) $3B Physical Assets $28B Source:  Company  10-­‐K     Case  Study:    Company  A  versus  Company  B
  • 59. •  Market  value  is  considered  to  be  the  present  value  of  future  discounted  cash   flows   •  Despite  being  rela-vely  same  sized  ($40B  and  $60B),  and  both  delivering   opera-ng  margins  (~1%),  the  market  views  company  B  as  13x  more  valuable   •  So  why  does  the  market  believe  Company  B’s  future  cash  flows  will  be  so   much  higher  than  Company  A’s?   •  The business model, clicks are more scalable than bricks •  The management team, and the employees (human capital) that understand the newer business model •  The customer, company B uses technology “as the business”, while Company A uses technology “to support the business” •  Recognizing  that  both  companies  have  strong  brand  and  reputa-on,  the   market  gives  Company  B  credit  for  over  $100B  in  addi-onal  intangible  assets   Note:    The  market  value  of  Intangibles
  • 60. •  Split  into  four  working  groups,  which  will  each  tackle  one  of  the  following   topics:   1.  Who  at  the  client  do  you  target? 2.  What  does  the  client-­‐facing  lab  look  like? 3.  How  do  we  structure  a  strategy  engagement? 4.  How  does  this  align  with  exis?ng  Deloiqe  services •  You  will  have  30  minutes  to  discuss  and  develop  ideas  within  your   working  group •  Each  group  will  then  read  back  out  to  the  lab,  ~10  minutes  per  topic •  Last  topic:  which  clients  do  we  target  (20  min) Note:    For  Each  Working  Session
  • 61.
  • 62. 4  step  process  for  growth  and  performance Measuring   On  Going  KPIS   Ac-on   6  Months   Analysis   3  Months   Orienta-on   1  Day   Gather  senior   leadership  in   offsite  mee-ng  to   asses  current   mental  model   assump-ons    and   business  model   investments   Generate  detailed   business  model   ac-ons  by  process   and  product  to   include  digital   networks  star-ng   with  ‘edge  based   ini-a-ves’   Expand  edge   based  digital   networks  and  new   KPI’s  to  create   plauorm  for   business  model   transforma-on   over  -me   Con-nuous  Improvement   Conduct  high   level  analysis  of   capital   alloca-ons  by   SBU  and     inventory  all   intangible  assets   and  enabling  IT    
  • 63. 4  Step  Process:  Orienta?on Assess  Your  Risk  Propensity  and  Business  Model:  The  1-­‐Day  Offsite   •  Understand  business  models  and  their  rela-ve  economics   •  Assess  current  mental  models  of  leadership  team   •  Assess  current  business  model  indicated  by  current  assets  and  technologies   •  Exercises  to  understand  Value  Mul-plier  and  capital  alloca-on   •  Management  team  has  complete  understanding  of  business  model  and  economics,   plus  the  gap  between  current  business  model/performance  and  the  poten-al   Process   Tool   Outcome   Monitoring   On  Going   Ac-on   6  Months   Analysis   3  Months   Orienta-on   1  Day  
  • 64. 4  Step  Process:  Analysis Inventory  Tangible  and  Intangible  Assets:  The  90-­‐Day  Assessment   •  Cross-­‐func-onal  task  force  formed   •  Team  inventories  current  assets  and  technologies,  plus  capital  alloca-on  paVerns   •  Team  inventories  unmeasured  and  intangible  assets  not  yet  mone-zed  by  firm   •  Mental  Model  Assessment  and  Intangible  Asset  Inventory   •  Management  team  has  complete  understanding  of  the  firms  assets,  both  tangible   and  intangible,  plus  the  related  technologies  and  the  historical  trends  for  capital   alloca-on  among  these  assets   Process   Tool   Outcome   Measure   On  Going  KPIS   Ac-on   6  Months   Analysis   3  Months   Orienta-on   1  Day  
  • 65. 4  Step  Process:  Ac?on Create  a  New  Business  Model:  The  6-­‐Month  Implementa5on   •  Form  project  team  to  mone-ze  a  currently  under  u-lized  asset  (oren  a  network  of   customers,  employees,  shareholders,  suppliers,  etc.)   •  Develop  a  technological  plauorm  to  connect  this  popula-on   •  Populate  the  plauorm  with  content  and  product  offerings   •  Create  processes  and  incen-ves  that  encourage  the  network  to  par-cipate   •  Template  for  a  New  Business  Model   •  The  development  of  new  and  highly  scalable  assets  plus  a  repeatable  process  for   con-nuing  to  develop  underu-lized  assets   Process   Tool   Outcome   Measure   On  Going  KPIS   Ac-on   6  Months   Analysis   3  Months   Orienta-on   1  Day  
  • 66. 4  Step  Process:  Measurement Monitor  and  Rebalance:  An  Ongoing  Process  for  Delivering  Value   •  Establish  new  and  tailored  KPIs  for  the  developing  asset  (network)     •  Integrate  those  KPIs  with  exis-ng  financial  repor-ng  for  senior  management   •  Use  KPIs  to  manage  and  allocate  financial  capital  across  all  assets   •  Asset  Rebalancing  Tool   •  Management  team  is  informed  about  the  progress  of  network  development,  using   new  KPIs  tailored  to  the  asset  and  can  effec-vely  gauge  success  and  allocate  capital   Process   Tool   Outcome   Measure   On  Going  KPIS   Ac-on   6  Months   Analysis   3  Months   Orienta-on   1  Day