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Figure  . Insurance Reform Proposals as of October 2009 Note: GI = guaranteed issue; CR = community rating. Source: Commonwealth Fund analysis of proposals.   Senate Finance Committee (Chairman’s Mark) 10/13/09 (as amended) Senate HELP Committee  7/15/09 (as amended) House of Representatives Tri-Committee 7/31/09 (as amended) Insurance market regulations GI, adjusted CR 4:1; 5-yr phase-in for small group; report medical loss ratio; uninsured eligible for high-risk pools  until 2013 GI, adjusted CR 2:1;  meet medical loss standards GI, adjusted CR 2:1;  meet medical loss standards Individual mandate Penalty: $750/year per adult in  household phased in at  $200 in 2014, $400 in 2015,  $600 in 2016, $750 in 2017;  exempts premiums >8% of income Penalty: $750/year per person  (exemptions if unaffordable) Penalty: 2.5% of the difference between the tax filing threshold  and MAGI up to the average  national premium Exchange State or regional State or regional National or state ,[object Object],Private and co-op Private and public Private, public, and co-op ,[object Object],Individuals and small businesses  50–100, 100 by 2015,  100+ at state option Individuals and small businesses < 50 Individuals and small businesses phase in <10–20+ ,[object Object],Essential health benefits  65%-90% actuarial value,  Four tiers plus young adults policy Essential health benefits  76%–93% actuarial value,  three tiers Essential health benefits  70%–95% actuarial value,  four tiers ,[object Object],Sliding scale 2%–12% of income  up to 300% FPL/ flat cap at 12%  for 300%–400% FPL; cost-sharing  credits for 100%–200%FPL Sliding scale 1%–12.5% of  income up to 400% FPL Sliding scale 1.5%–12% of  income up to 400% FPL;  cost-sharing credits  133%–350% FPL Medicaid/CHIP expansion Up to 133% FPL  Up to 150% FPL Up to 133% FPL Shared responsibility/ Employer pay-or-play Firms >50 FTEs pay  uncovered worker fee Small-employer tax credit Play or pay; firms >25 workers 60%+ premium contribution; penalty $750/yr  per uncovered FTE, $375/yr  per uncovered PTE Small-employer subsidy Play or pay; firms >$500,000 payroll 72.5% + prem. contribution for indiv./ 65% + for families; sliding scale phased-in from 2% to 8% of payroll Small-employer tax credit
Figure  . Trend in the Number of Uninsured, 2012–2020, Under  Current Law and Senate Finance and House Tri-Committee Proposals Millions Note: The uninsured includes unauthorized immigrants. With unauthorized immigrants excluded from the calculation, nearly 94% and 97% of legal nonelderly residents are projected to have insurance under the Senate Finance and House proposal, respectively. Data: Estimates by The Congressional Budget Office.
Figure  . System Improvement Provisions of  National Health Reform Proposals, 2009 Source: Commonwealth Fund analysis of health reform proposals. Senate Finance Committee  (Chairman’s Mark) 10/13/09 (as amended) Senate HELP Committee  7/15/09 (as amended) House of Representatives  Tri-Committee 7/31/09 (as amended) Exchange standards and plans State or regional exchanges; private  and co-op plans offered; essential health benefits 65%–90% actuarial value, four tiers plus young adults policy; insurers must report percent  of premium spent on items other than medical care State exchanges (can band together  to form regional); private and public plans offered; essential health benefits 76%–93% actuarial value, three tiers; insurers must meet specified medical loss ratio National or state exchanges; private, public or co-op plans offered; essential health benefits 70%–95% actuarial value, four tiers; insurers must meet specified medical loss ratio Primary care 10% bonus payments for 5 years;  cut all other payments by 0.5% Increase Medicare payments for  PCPs by 5%; bring Medicaid PCPs  up to Medicare level Prevention and wellness Provide annual wellness visit and/or health risk assessment for Medicare beneficiaries; strengthen state and employer wellness programs;  remove cost-sharing for proven preventive services Develop a national prevention and wellness strategy; remove cost- sharing for proven preventive services; invest in preventive programs; grants to wellness incentive programs; grants to support community prevention programs Develop a national prevention and wellness strategy; remove cost- sharing for proven preventive  services; grants to support employer wellness programs Innovative payment pilots: medical homes, accountable care organizations, bundled hospital and post-acute care  Allow Medicaid beneficiaries to designate medical home; ACOs to  share savings in Medicare;  Innovations Center Grants to support medical home model Adopt medical homes, ACOs, and bundled payments on large scale  if pilot programs prove successful; Center for Payment Innovation Productivity improvements Modify market basket updates to account for productivity improvements Modify market basket updates to account for productivity improvements Comparative effectiveness Create Patient-Centered Outcomes Research Institute Create Center for Health Outcomes Research and Evaluation with AHRQ Establish Comparative Effectiveness Research within AHRQ Quality improvement Direct HHS to develop national  quality strategy Provide grants for improving health system efficiency Establish the Center for Quality Improvement to identify, develop, evaluate, disseminate, and  implement best practices; develop national priorities for performance improvement and quality measures
Figure  . House and Senate Payment and System Reform Savings,  2010–2019 Source: The Congressional Budget Office Preliminary Analysis of the Senate Finance Chairman's Mark of the America's Healthy Future Act, as Amended, Oct. 7, 2009,  http://www.cbo.gov/doc.cfm?index=10642 . The Congressional Budget Office Analysis of H.R. 3200, The Affordable Health Choices Act, July 17, 2009,  http://www.cbo.gov/ftpdocs/104xx/doc10464/hr3200.pdf . Dollars in billions CBO estimate of Senate Finance Committee Bill  CBO estimate of  H.R. 3200 Total Savings from Payment and System Reforms – $404 – $219 ,[object Object],11 229 Total Savings Other than SGR Reform – 415 – 448 ,[object Object],– 162 – 201 ,[object Object],– 130 – 162 ,[object Object],4 19 ,[object Object],– 10 0 ,[object Object],– 2 – 19 ,[object Object],– 45 – 17 ,[object Object],1 – 30 ,[object Object],– 33 – 34 ,[object Object],– 22 — ,[object Object],– 16 – 4
Figure  . Major Sources of Savings and Revenues Compared with Projected Spending, Net Cumulative Effect on Federal Deficit, 2010–2019 Dollars in billions Source: The Congressional Budget Office Preliminary Analysis of the Senate Finance Chairman's Mark of the America's Healthy Future Act, as Amended, Oct. 7, 2009,  http://www.cbo.gov/doc.cfm?index=10642 . The Congressional Budget Office Analysis of H.R. 3200, The Affordable Health Choices Act, July 17, 2009,  http://www.cbo.gov/ftpdocs/104xx/doc10464/hr3200.pdf . CBO estimate of Senate Finance Committee Bill CBO estimate of  H.R. 3200 Total Net Impact on Federal Deficit, 2010-2019 – $81 $239 Total Federal Cost of Coverage Expansion and Improvement $719 $1,042 ,[object Object],345 438 ,[object Object],461 773 ,[object Object],— – 45 ,[object Object],23 53 ,[object Object],– 4 – 29 ,[object Object],– 23 – 163 ,[object Object],– 83 15 Total Savings from Payment and System Reforms – $404 – $219 ,[object Object],11 229 ,[object Object],– 415 – 448 Total Revenues – $397 – $583 ,[object Object],– 201 — ,[object Object],— – 544 ,[object Object],– 196 – 39
Figure  . Proportions of System Savings and New Revenue in  H.R. 3200 as Amended and Senate Finance Committee Bill as Reported Dollars in billions * Numbers may not sum to total because of rounding. Source: The Congressional Budget Office Preliminary Analysis of Specifications for the Senate Finance Chairman's Mark of the America's Healthy Future Act, Oct. 7, 2009,  http://www.cbo.gov/doc.cfm?index=10642 , and The Joint Committee on Taxation Estimated Revenue Effects of the Revenue Provisions in the Chairman’s Mark, as Modified, Sept. 22, 2009,  http://jct.gov/publications.html?func=startdown&id=3581 . The Congressional Budget Office Analysis of  H.R. 3200, The Affordable Health Choices Act, July 17, 2009,  http://www.cbo.gov/ftpdocs/104xx/doc10464/hr3200.pdf . $1,042* $895
Figure  . Sources of New Revenue in H.R. 3200 as Amended  and Senate Finance Committee Bill as Reported Insurer excise tax ($201 billion, 40%) Uninsured payments ($4 billion, 1%) Senate Finance Other revenues ($39 billion, 5%) Income surtax  on wealthy  ($544 billion, 66%) H.R. 3200 Employer play-or-pay ($23 billion, 5%) Other revenues ($196 billion, 32%) Uninsured payments ($29 billion, 4%) Employer  play-or-pay ($163 billion, 20%) Employer Exchange payments ($45 billion, 5%) Source: The Congressional Budget Office Preliminary Analysis of Specifications for the Senate Finance Chairman's Mark of the America's Healthy Future Act, Oct. 7, 2009,  http://www.cbo.gov/doc.cfm?index=10642 , and The Joint Committee on Taxation Estimated Revenue Effects of the Revenue Provisions in the Chairman’s Mark, as Modified, Sept. 22, 2009,  http://jct.gov/publications.html?func=startdown&id=3581 . The Congressional Budget Office Analysis of  H.R. 3200, The Affordable Health Choices Act, July 17, 2009,  http://www.cbo.gov/ftpdocs/104xx/doc10464/hr3200.pdf . Tax and outlay effects ($83 billion, 16%)
Figure  . Proposals’ Impact on Insurance Coverage and Costs, 2019 Source: The Congressional Budget Office Preliminary Analysis of Specifications for the Senate Finance Chairman's Mark of the America's Healthy Future Act, Oct. 7, 2009,  http://www.cbo.gov/doc.cfm?index=10642 .  The Congressional Budget Office Analysis of H.R. 3200, The Affordable Health Choices Act, July 17, 2009,  http://www.cbo.gov/ftpdocs/104xx/doc10464/hr3200.pdf . Senate Finance Committee  Modified Chairman’s Mark 10/2/09 House of Representatives Tri-Committee 7/31/09 Formerly uninsured now covered, 2019 29 million 35 million Additionally covered by  Medicaid/CHIP, 2019 11 million 9 million Covered in exchange, 2019 25 million 30 million Net cost of coverage expansion, 2010–2019 $719 billion $1,042 billion Net impact on federal deficit, 2010–2019 – $81 billion $239 billion
Figure  . Major Areas of Similarities and Differences Between Bills Source: Commonwealth Fund analysis of health reform proposals. Similarities between bills Differences between bills ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

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Insurance Reform and Coverage Proposals Comparison

  • 1.
  • 2. Figure . Trend in the Number of Uninsured, 2012–2020, Under Current Law and Senate Finance and House Tri-Committee Proposals Millions Note: The uninsured includes unauthorized immigrants. With unauthorized immigrants excluded from the calculation, nearly 94% and 97% of legal nonelderly residents are projected to have insurance under the Senate Finance and House proposal, respectively. Data: Estimates by The Congressional Budget Office.
  • 3. Figure . System Improvement Provisions of National Health Reform Proposals, 2009 Source: Commonwealth Fund analysis of health reform proposals. Senate Finance Committee (Chairman’s Mark) 10/13/09 (as amended) Senate HELP Committee 7/15/09 (as amended) House of Representatives Tri-Committee 7/31/09 (as amended) Exchange standards and plans State or regional exchanges; private and co-op plans offered; essential health benefits 65%–90% actuarial value, four tiers plus young adults policy; insurers must report percent of premium spent on items other than medical care State exchanges (can band together to form regional); private and public plans offered; essential health benefits 76%–93% actuarial value, three tiers; insurers must meet specified medical loss ratio National or state exchanges; private, public or co-op plans offered; essential health benefits 70%–95% actuarial value, four tiers; insurers must meet specified medical loss ratio Primary care 10% bonus payments for 5 years; cut all other payments by 0.5% Increase Medicare payments for PCPs by 5%; bring Medicaid PCPs up to Medicare level Prevention and wellness Provide annual wellness visit and/or health risk assessment for Medicare beneficiaries; strengthen state and employer wellness programs; remove cost-sharing for proven preventive services Develop a national prevention and wellness strategy; remove cost- sharing for proven preventive services; invest in preventive programs; grants to wellness incentive programs; grants to support community prevention programs Develop a national prevention and wellness strategy; remove cost- sharing for proven preventive services; grants to support employer wellness programs Innovative payment pilots: medical homes, accountable care organizations, bundled hospital and post-acute care Allow Medicaid beneficiaries to designate medical home; ACOs to share savings in Medicare; Innovations Center Grants to support medical home model Adopt medical homes, ACOs, and bundled payments on large scale if pilot programs prove successful; Center for Payment Innovation Productivity improvements Modify market basket updates to account for productivity improvements Modify market basket updates to account for productivity improvements Comparative effectiveness Create Patient-Centered Outcomes Research Institute Create Center for Health Outcomes Research and Evaluation with AHRQ Establish Comparative Effectiveness Research within AHRQ Quality improvement Direct HHS to develop national quality strategy Provide grants for improving health system efficiency Establish the Center for Quality Improvement to identify, develop, evaluate, disseminate, and implement best practices; develop national priorities for performance improvement and quality measures
  • 4.
  • 5.
  • 6. Figure . Proportions of System Savings and New Revenue in H.R. 3200 as Amended and Senate Finance Committee Bill as Reported Dollars in billions * Numbers may not sum to total because of rounding. Source: The Congressional Budget Office Preliminary Analysis of Specifications for the Senate Finance Chairman's Mark of the America's Healthy Future Act, Oct. 7, 2009, http://www.cbo.gov/doc.cfm?index=10642 , and The Joint Committee on Taxation Estimated Revenue Effects of the Revenue Provisions in the Chairman’s Mark, as Modified, Sept. 22, 2009, http://jct.gov/publications.html?func=startdown&id=3581 . The Congressional Budget Office Analysis of H.R. 3200, The Affordable Health Choices Act, July 17, 2009, http://www.cbo.gov/ftpdocs/104xx/doc10464/hr3200.pdf . $1,042* $895
  • 7. Figure . Sources of New Revenue in H.R. 3200 as Amended and Senate Finance Committee Bill as Reported Insurer excise tax ($201 billion, 40%) Uninsured payments ($4 billion, 1%) Senate Finance Other revenues ($39 billion, 5%) Income surtax on wealthy ($544 billion, 66%) H.R. 3200 Employer play-or-pay ($23 billion, 5%) Other revenues ($196 billion, 32%) Uninsured payments ($29 billion, 4%) Employer play-or-pay ($163 billion, 20%) Employer Exchange payments ($45 billion, 5%) Source: The Congressional Budget Office Preliminary Analysis of Specifications for the Senate Finance Chairman's Mark of the America's Healthy Future Act, Oct. 7, 2009, http://www.cbo.gov/doc.cfm?index=10642 , and The Joint Committee on Taxation Estimated Revenue Effects of the Revenue Provisions in the Chairman’s Mark, as Modified, Sept. 22, 2009, http://jct.gov/publications.html?func=startdown&id=3581 . The Congressional Budget Office Analysis of H.R. 3200, The Affordable Health Choices Act, July 17, 2009, http://www.cbo.gov/ftpdocs/104xx/doc10464/hr3200.pdf . Tax and outlay effects ($83 billion, 16%)
  • 8. Figure . Proposals’ Impact on Insurance Coverage and Costs, 2019 Source: The Congressional Budget Office Preliminary Analysis of Specifications for the Senate Finance Chairman's Mark of the America's Healthy Future Act, Oct. 7, 2009, http://www.cbo.gov/doc.cfm?index=10642 . The Congressional Budget Office Analysis of H.R. 3200, The Affordable Health Choices Act, July 17, 2009, http://www.cbo.gov/ftpdocs/104xx/doc10464/hr3200.pdf . Senate Finance Committee Modified Chairman’s Mark 10/2/09 House of Representatives Tri-Committee 7/31/09 Formerly uninsured now covered, 2019 29 million 35 million Additionally covered by Medicaid/CHIP, 2019 11 million 9 million Covered in exchange, 2019 25 million 30 million Net cost of coverage expansion, 2010–2019 $719 billion $1,042 billion Net impact on federal deficit, 2010–2019 – $81 billion $239 billion
  • 9.