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International University


Isabel I de Castilla
Basic Statistical Concepts
Population
   The specific group of individuals or individual objects or events to
   be studied; the total group to which we make projections and
   inferences (hence, the term “inferential statistics”)
Sample
   A subset of individual elements from a population which is
   examined and from which we draw conclusions about the
   population as a whole
Random Sample
   A sample selected in such a way that every individual member of
   the population has an equal chance of being selected
Basic Statistical Concepts
Bias
       In statistics, bias is bad, nasty, evil. In research, it is simply an
       obstacle. Bias is the systematic favoritism that is present in the
       data collection process which may result in skewed or misleading
       results.
Sources of Bias
       Sample selection: Non-random samples may be biased.
       Data collection: The way questions are asked, as well as the
       processing and handling of data may create bias.


Bias is often referred to as Error
Basic Statistical Concepts
Data
    The actual measurements obtained through a study or procedure
    (“data” is plural, the singular is “datum”)
Types of Data
    Numerical: Measurements for which the numbers have value such
    as height and weight. Something which has quantity (hence,
    “quantitative data”)
    Categorical: Observations of categories such as gender or race.
    Numbers may be used to label categories but there is no
    relationship between the number and its value (e.g., 1 = male and 2
    = female)
Basic Statistical Concepts
Statistic
    A number that summarizes the data collected from a sample.
    Some examples include frequencies, percentages, percentiles, and
    averages.
Parameter
    Statistics are based on sample data. If the summary number is
    from the entire population then it is a parameter. A study that
    obtains data from an entire population and is summarized by using
    parameters is a census.
Basic Statistical Concepts
Mean
   The average or middle of a data set obtained by summing all the
   values in the data set and dividing by the total number of values.
   Also called the arithmetic mean; different calculations are used to
   create a geometric mean or a harmonic mean; these are not
   generally used in social and market research.
Median
   When the data values are lined up in order from smallest to largest,
   the median is the middle value, the point where half of the values
   are above the median and half are below.
Mode
   When data are grouped into categories, the mode is the largest
   category, based on the number of individuals in the category.
Basic Statistical Concepts
Mean vs Median (vs Mode)
                                                                                      x = ∑.
                                                                                            x
   The mean is calculated with the formula                                                 n
   The median is the middle value in an ordered distribution.
   Consider these data:
                               40   38
     Car Prices    N of
                               35
                                                                       What’s “average”?
                  Models

       $15K        38          30


       $20K        16          25


       $25K        11          20
                                           16
                               15
                                                                                                                 14
       $30K         6                             11
                               10
                                                                                                           9
       $35K         3                                     6
                               5                                 3      2
       $40K         2                                                          1      0      0      0
                               0
       $45K         1               $15K   $20K   $25K   $30K   $35K   $40K   $45K   $50K   $55K   $60K   $65K   $70K


       $65K         9
       $70K        14
                                The mean is $31,400 (n = 100) and the
                                 median is $20,000. The mode is the
                        most frequent category, $15,000.
Basic Statistical Concepts
Variation
    Not every score is the same. There are different prices for different
    cars. Some people pay different prices for the same car. Prices
    change over time. As the previous exhibit shows, measures of
    central tendency are not sufficient to describe the distribution (and
    variability) of scores.
Standard Deviation
                                                 ∑ ( x −. x )
                                                                2

    The formula for standard deviation is   s=
                                                     n −1
    The standard deviation tells you whether the scores are tightly
    grouped or widely distributed. Two data sets can have the same
    mean but have very different distributions. In the previous bi-modal
    example, the standard deviation is $21,119, indicating a high degree
    of variation. Note that is the variance.2
                                           s
Basic Statistical Concepts
Normal Distribution
    The normal distribution is described graphically by the bell-shaped
    curve. As the number of values in a distribution grows large, there
    is a tendency in many situations for the largest group of individuals
    to cluster in the middle of the distribution with successively fewer
    individuals as the values move out to the tails or ends of the
    distribution. Due to symmetry, the mean and median are equal and
    in the middle of the distribution.
Basic Statistical Concepts
Normal Distribution (continued)
    The normal distribution is the starting point for understanding
    variability. With a normal distribution, standard deviation has
    special significance. It is the distance from the mean to the saddle
    point or point where the curvature changes from concave up to
    concave down. At
    this point, about 68% of
    the values lie within one
    standard deviation (this
    is know as the empirical
    rule). 95% of the values
    will fall within two
    standard deviations and
    99.7% will fall within
    three standard
    deviations.
Basic Statistical Concepts
Normal Distribution                                                                  The difference in variability is clear
300                                                                                  when two normal distributions with
250
                                           252
                                                                   x = 50
                                                                                     the same mean are shown on the
200
                                     210         210
                                                                   s = 1.6           same scale
150                                                                                 300
                               120                     120

100                                                                                 250


                          45                                 45                     200
50
                10                                                 10
          1                                                               1
 0                                                                                  150
          45        46    47    48   49    50    51    52    53    54     55
30
                                                                                    100


25
                                                                                    50
                                                                   x = 50
20                                                                 s = 16             0
                                                                                          0   10   20   30   40   50   60   70   80   90   100

15



10



 5



 0
      0        10        20    30    40    50     60    70    80     90       100
Basic Statistical Concepts
Standard Scores
                                            ( x − x)
   The formula for a standard score is         s
                                                   , where x is the original
   score and s is the standard deviation.


   Among other things, a standard score allows for comparisons when
   means and distributions may be different for the scores being
   compared. The standard score gives the relative standing of the
   original score taking into account the mean and the variation in the
   distribution. Standard scores are used in statements like, “Sales at
   the Troy store are +2 standard deviations (above the mean).”
   Knowing that a score is above or below the mean and that it is 2, 3,
   or more standard deviations identifies the scores position relative
   to all other scores both in terms of direction (from the mean) and
   how extreme the score is given how other scores are distributed.
Basic Statistical Concepts
Standard Error
    Standard error is the same basic concept as standard deviation,
    both represent a typical distance from the mean. The difference is
    that the original population values will deviate from each other due
    to natural phenomena (different height, different ideas, different
    characteristics). But standard error is the deviation of the sample
    means (from multiple samples of the population).
    Sample means vary due to the error that occurs from not doing a
    census (hence, “standard error”). According to the central limit
    theorem if the samples are large enough the distribution of all
    possible sample means will have a bell-shaped or normal
    distribution. Error above and below the mean cancels out and the
    distribution is symmetrical.
    σ
     n is
        the standard error, where    σ
                                     is the population standard
    deviation.

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Unidad didactica Estadistica

  • 2. Basic Statistical Concepts Population The specific group of individuals or individual objects or events to be studied; the total group to which we make projections and inferences (hence, the term “inferential statistics”) Sample A subset of individual elements from a population which is examined and from which we draw conclusions about the population as a whole Random Sample A sample selected in such a way that every individual member of the population has an equal chance of being selected
  • 3. Basic Statistical Concepts Bias In statistics, bias is bad, nasty, evil. In research, it is simply an obstacle. Bias is the systematic favoritism that is present in the data collection process which may result in skewed or misleading results. Sources of Bias Sample selection: Non-random samples may be biased. Data collection: The way questions are asked, as well as the processing and handling of data may create bias. Bias is often referred to as Error
  • 4. Basic Statistical Concepts Data The actual measurements obtained through a study or procedure (“data” is plural, the singular is “datum”) Types of Data Numerical: Measurements for which the numbers have value such as height and weight. Something which has quantity (hence, “quantitative data”) Categorical: Observations of categories such as gender or race. Numbers may be used to label categories but there is no relationship between the number and its value (e.g., 1 = male and 2 = female)
  • 5. Basic Statistical Concepts Statistic A number that summarizes the data collected from a sample. Some examples include frequencies, percentages, percentiles, and averages. Parameter Statistics are based on sample data. If the summary number is from the entire population then it is a parameter. A study that obtains data from an entire population and is summarized by using parameters is a census.
  • 6. Basic Statistical Concepts Mean The average or middle of a data set obtained by summing all the values in the data set and dividing by the total number of values. Also called the arithmetic mean; different calculations are used to create a geometric mean or a harmonic mean; these are not generally used in social and market research. Median When the data values are lined up in order from smallest to largest, the median is the middle value, the point where half of the values are above the median and half are below. Mode When data are grouped into categories, the mode is the largest category, based on the number of individuals in the category.
  • 7. Basic Statistical Concepts Mean vs Median (vs Mode) x = ∑. x The mean is calculated with the formula n The median is the middle value in an ordered distribution. Consider these data: 40 38 Car Prices N of 35 What’s “average”? Models $15K 38 30 $20K 16 25 $25K 11 20 16 15 14 $30K 6 11 10 9 $35K 3 6 5 3 2 $40K 2 1 0 0 0 0 $45K 1 $15K $20K $25K $30K $35K $40K $45K $50K $55K $60K $65K $70K $65K 9 $70K 14 The mean is $31,400 (n = 100) and the median is $20,000. The mode is the most frequent category, $15,000.
  • 8. Basic Statistical Concepts Variation Not every score is the same. There are different prices for different cars. Some people pay different prices for the same car. Prices change over time. As the previous exhibit shows, measures of central tendency are not sufficient to describe the distribution (and variability) of scores. Standard Deviation ∑ ( x −. x ) 2 The formula for standard deviation is s= n −1 The standard deviation tells you whether the scores are tightly grouped or widely distributed. Two data sets can have the same mean but have very different distributions. In the previous bi-modal example, the standard deviation is $21,119, indicating a high degree of variation. Note that is the variance.2 s
  • 9. Basic Statistical Concepts Normal Distribution The normal distribution is described graphically by the bell-shaped curve. As the number of values in a distribution grows large, there is a tendency in many situations for the largest group of individuals to cluster in the middle of the distribution with successively fewer individuals as the values move out to the tails or ends of the distribution. Due to symmetry, the mean and median are equal and in the middle of the distribution.
  • 10. Basic Statistical Concepts Normal Distribution (continued) The normal distribution is the starting point for understanding variability. With a normal distribution, standard deviation has special significance. It is the distance from the mean to the saddle point or point where the curvature changes from concave up to concave down. At this point, about 68% of the values lie within one standard deviation (this is know as the empirical rule). 95% of the values will fall within two standard deviations and 99.7% will fall within three standard deviations.
  • 11. Basic Statistical Concepts Normal Distribution The difference in variability is clear 300 when two normal distributions with 250 252 x = 50 the same mean are shown on the 200 210 210 s = 1.6 same scale 150 300 120 120 100 250 45 45 200 50 10 10 1 1 0 150 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 30 100 25 50 x = 50 20 s = 16 0 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 15 10 5 0 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100
  • 12. Basic Statistical Concepts Standard Scores ( x − x) The formula for a standard score is s , where x is the original score and s is the standard deviation. Among other things, a standard score allows for comparisons when means and distributions may be different for the scores being compared. The standard score gives the relative standing of the original score taking into account the mean and the variation in the distribution. Standard scores are used in statements like, “Sales at the Troy store are +2 standard deviations (above the mean).” Knowing that a score is above or below the mean and that it is 2, 3, or more standard deviations identifies the scores position relative to all other scores both in terms of direction (from the mean) and how extreme the score is given how other scores are distributed.
  • 13. Basic Statistical Concepts Standard Error Standard error is the same basic concept as standard deviation, both represent a typical distance from the mean. The difference is that the original population values will deviate from each other due to natural phenomena (different height, different ideas, different characteristics). But standard error is the deviation of the sample means (from multiple samples of the population). Sample means vary due to the error that occurs from not doing a census (hence, “standard error”). According to the central limit theorem if the samples are large enough the distribution of all possible sample means will have a bell-shaped or normal distribution. Error above and below the mean cancels out and the distribution is symmetrical. σ n is the standard error, where σ is the population standard deviation.