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CCM Data & Primary Intelligence
            World Outlook of Glyphosate 2009-2014


                                      The First Edition




                                                            Researched & Prepared by:




                          Guangzhou CCM Information Science and Technology Co., Ltd
                                                             Guangzhou, P. R. China



                                      June 2009



Copyright by Guangzhou CCM Information Science and Technology Co., Ltd (P. R. China)
Any publication, distribution or copying of the content in this report is prohibited.
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Tel: +86-20-3761 6606                                      Fax: +86-20-3761 6968
CCM Data & Primary Intelligence
Description:


World Outlook of Glyphosate 2009-2014 edited by CCM International is the world first research about
global glyphosate. This report is comprised of 3 main sections including supply and demand,
glyphosate situation in each country and flow research. 10 key players are profiled.


From global insight, this report will present to readers a clear picture about production, distribution and
application of glyphosate in the global market especially 28 countries including 8 Asian-Pacific
countries (China, India, Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand, Vietnam, Israel and Australia), 5 Europe
countries (Belgium, Germany, Turkey, Russia and Ukraine), 2 North American countries (USA and
Canada), 1African country (S. Africa) and all the South American countries. With more than 53,000
words and over 300 tables and figures, this report will enable readers to gain unrivalled understanding
about global glyphosate market.


Through this report, you can:


Be well informed of the supply of intermediate and glyphosate⎫ formulations in these 28 countries
including key players and brands;
Get to⎫ know the application of glyphosate in these 28 countries breakdown by crop, growing periods
(pre-seeding stage, pre-emergence stage and post-emergent stage);
Gain intelligence on possible activities of Chinese glyphosate⎫ players;
Understand the demand of glyphosate in each county and⎫ continent;
Have a clear picture of glyphosate flow among some important⎫ countries
Know the purchasing behavior of some key multinational players⎫ such as Monsanto, Dow, Syngenta,
Nufarm


As the largest pesticide, glyphosate has developed to be the main profit source for many companies,
especially the top enterprises with broad sales channel in crop protection market. What is the market
share of main players in glyphosate market? Which competitive strategies do they take to strengthen
their position in glyphosate market? You can find answers in the report.


Undoubtedly, GM crops and no-till farming are the main drivers for glyphosate consumption in the
global. For the same reason, South America is the largest contributor to the world glyphosate
application hike in the past 5 years. Will its glyphosate market Which region(s) will be the⎫still hold the
growth trend in the near future?       Which new GM crops are likely to be⎫next growth point for
glyphosate market?      What are the attitudes⎫approved in main countries for glyphosate consumption?
of main countries to GM crops and their impacts on glyphosate?


CCM will give you an insightful analysis on the above questions.


Besides, bio-fuel is another key factor for glyphosate consumption. Due to the global energy crisis,
bio-fuel, recognized as an important substitute for petroleum, gains rapid development all over the
world, causing the growth of demand for the feed stocks, such as cane, oil palm, cassava, etc. Those



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CCM Data & Primary Intelligence
crops planted areas rise to meet the demand of bio-fuel. The main countries’ policies to bio-fuel and
their impacts on glyphosate is comprised in the report.


In a bid to figure out the glyphosate flow, CCM has dived deep into the global glyphosate supply chain,
with glyphosate technical producers, glyphosate trade, key players and brands in main countries
analyzed systematically. Moreover, an insightful research on the source and distribution of glyphosate
of the top players in glyphosate market is provided in the report.


It seems that glyphosate has enjoyed good days in most countries in the world, but it still faces some
risks. What are they and how will they affect glyphosate in the future? You can also find answers to
them.


Main content:


No.            Content                                                                        Page
               Executive summary                                                                1
               Introduction                                                                     3
               Methodology and source                                                           4
I              Market environment                                                               6
I-1            World economic outlook                                                           6
I-2            World demographic outlook                                                        9
I-3            World agricultural outlook                                                      12
I-4            World agricultural land usage                                                   14
I-4.1          Global GM crops                                                                 16
               - GM corn                                                                       19
               - GM soybean                                                                    20
               - GM cotton                                                                     20
               - GM rape                                                                       21
I-4.2          Other major crops                                                               21
I-5            Environmental & regulatory issues                                               22
II             Global supply & demand of glyphosate                                            22
II-1           Supply situation                                                                23
II-2           Demand situation                                                                26
II-2.1         Overview                                                                        26
II-2.2         Distribution                                                                    27
II-2.3         Use situation in crops                                                          30
III            Glyphosate industry in major regions                                            31
III-1          Asia-pacific                                                                    31
III-1.1        P.R. China                                                                      31
III-1.1.1      Glyphosate supply                                                               31
III-1.1.2      Glyphosate consumption                                                          33


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III-1.2        Malaysia                                               38
III-1.2.1      Glyphosate supply                                      38
III-1.2.2      Glyphosate consumption                                 38
III-1.3        India                                                  43
III-1.3.1      Glyphosate supply                                      43
III-1.3.2      Glyphosate consumption                                 43
III-1.4        Indonesia                                              48
III-1.4.1      Glyphosate supply                                      48
III-1.4.2      Glyphosate consumption                                 48
III-1.5        Thailand                                               53
III-1.5.1      Glyphosate supply                                      53
III-1.5.2      Glyphosate consumption                                 53
III-1.6        Vietnam                                                57
III-1.6.1      Glyphosate supply                                      57
III-1.6.2      Glyphosate consumption                                 58
III-1.7        Israel                                                 62
III-1.7.1      Glyphosate supply                                      62
III-1.7.2      Glyphosate consumption                                 63
III-1.8        Australia                                              64
III-1.8.1      Glyphosate supply                                      64
III-1.8.2      Glyphosate consumption                                 65
III-2          Europe                                                 69
III-2.1        Belgium                                                69
III-2.1.1      Glyphosate supply                                      69
III-2.1.2      Glyphosate consumption                                 69
III-2.2        Russia                                                 73
III-2.2.1      Glyphosate supply                                      73
III-2.2.2      Glyphosate consumption                                 73
III-2.3        Germany                                                81
III-2.3.1      Glyphosate supply                                      81
III-2.3.2      Glyphosate consumption                                 81
III-2.4        Ukraine                                                86
III-2.4.1      Glyphosate supply                                      86
III-2.4.2      Glyphosate consumption                                 87
III-2.5        Turkey                                                 92
III-2.5.1      Glyphosate supply                                      92
III-2.5.2      Glyphosate consumption                                 92
III-3          South America                                          96
III-3.1        Argentina                                              96
III-3.1.1      Glyphosate supply                                      96


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III-3.1.2      Glyphosate consumption                                 97
III-3.2        Brazil                                                 102
III-3.2.1      Glyphosate supply                                      102
III-3.2.2      Glyphosate consumption                                 103
III-3.3        Paraguay                                               110
III-3.3.1      Glyphosate supply                                      110
III-3.3.2      Glyphosate consumption                                 110
III-3.4        Uruguay                                                115
III-3.4.1      Glyphosate supply                                      115
III-3.4.2      Glyphosate consumption                                 115
III-3.5        Columbia                                               119
III-3.5.1      Glyphosate supply                                      119
III-3.5.2      Glyphosate consumption                                 120
III-3.6        Bolivia                                                123
III-3.6.1      Glyphosate supply                                      123
III-3.6.2      Glyphosate consumption                                 123
III-3.7        Ecuador                                                127
III-3.7.1      Glyphosate supply                                      127
III-3.7.2      Glyphosate consumption                                 128
III-3.8        Peru                                                   131
III-3.8.1      Glyphosate supply                                      131
III-3.8.2      Glyphosate consumption                                 131
III-3.9        Venezuela                                              135
III-3.9.1      Glyphosate supply                                      135
III-3.9.2      Glyphosate consumption                                 135
III-3.10       Chile                                                  139
III-3.10.1     Glyphosate supply                                      139
III-3.10.2     Glyphosate consumption                                 139
III-3.11       Guyana                                                 143
III-3.11.1     Glyphosate supply                                      143
III-3.11.2     Glyphosate consumption                                 143
III-3.12       The Republic of Suriname                               146
III-3.12.1     Glyphosate supply                                      146
III-3.12.2     Glyphosate consumption                                 146
III-4          North America                                          150
III-4.1        US                                                     151
III-4.1.1      Glyphosate supply                                      151
III-4.1.2      Glyphosate consumption                                 151
III-4.2        Canada                                                 158
III-4.2.1      Glyphosate supply                                      158


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III-4.2.2      Glyphosate consumption                                                             158
III-5          Africa                                                                             165
III-5.1        S. Africa                                                                          165
III-5.1.1      Glyphosate supply                                                                  165
III-5.1.2      Glyphosate consumption                                                             166
IV             Flow research of glyphosate in global market and future trend                      172
IV-1           Trade situation in major countries                                                 172
IV-1.1         China                                                                              172
IV-1.2         US                                                                                 176
IV-1.3         Argentina                                                                          178
IV-2           Global glyphosate flow                                                             181
IV-2.1         Glyphosate technical and PMIDA                                                     181
IV-2.2         Glyphosate formulation                                                             184
IV-3           Trend                                                                              185
V              Price of glyphosate in international market and its future trend                   187
VI             Forecast on the global glyphosate industry                                         190
VI-1           Driven forces and barriers                                                         190
VI-1.1         Driven forces                                                                      190
VI-1.2         Barriers                                                                           194
VI-2           Future prospect of global glyphosate industry                                      195
               - Supply                                                                           195
               - Demand                                                                           195
VII            Conclusion and recommendation                                                      198
VIII           Profiles of key glyphosate players                                                 201
VIII-01        Monsanto                                                                           201
…              …                                                                                   0
VIII-10        Anhui Huaxing                                                                      214


Executive summary:


Glyphosate is the world's biggest selling herbicide, whose sales have grown sharply both in value and
volume. By 2008, global glyphosate sales have reached USD xxxx billion, with consumption volume of
xxxx tonnes.


Global glyphosate technical supply is mainly distributed in China, USA, Argentina and Brazil and
PMIDA is mainly produced in China, USA and Brazil. The total flow volume of glyphosate technical is
about xxxx tonnes in 2008 in the world. Formulation production concentrates in China, USA, Belgium,
Argentina, Australia, etc.


China, taking up 70% of the world’s glyphosate technical output, is consolidating its position.
Glyphosate capacity in China has increased crazily from xxxx tonnes in 2006 to xxxx tonnes in 2008,


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CCM Data & Primary Intelligence
and current xxxx t/a. The capacity will keep increasing in the coming few years.


Monsanto continues to be the top player, though its market share is decreasing. About xxxx of
Monsanto’s glyphosate technical is produced in its production sites in USA. Over xxxx of the production
is exported to its production sites in Belgium and Malaysia to make glyphosate based products such as
Roundup, which is then distributed all over the world.


Driven by expansion of GM crops and no-till farming, the world glyphosate consumption has been
soaring, with CAGR of about xxxx by volume in 2004~2008. However, the growth scenario varies
largely by region.


Asia Pacific is the region that has the greatest growth potential in the world. In this region, glyphosate is
mainly used in traditional crops, no-till farming and economic crops. Though this region took up only
xxxx of the world’s glyphosate market in 2008, it is expected to replace South America to be the main
driver for glyphosate consumption in the next 5 years.


Thanks to rapid expansion of GM crops, South America has become the largest driver for glyphosate
consumption in the world, surpassing North America in 2007. However, as a mature market now, this
region has little growth potential in the future, with its large coverage of GM crops and no-till farming.


In Europe and North America, glyphosate market has been also growing fast with CAGR of about xxxx
and xxxx respectively in 2004 ~ 2008. As to Europe, major contributors to glyphosate consumption
growth include bio-fuel development and agriculture recovery in some countries, such as Russia. As to
North America, the expansion of GM crops and evolution of glyphosate-resistant weeds are the main
drivers to glyphosate consumption growth in 2004~2008.


Capturing only 4.15% or so world glyphosate consumption, Africa is a small market for glyphosate.
Limited by the undeveloped economy, glyphosate consumption will grow slowly in the region in the next
5 years.


Character of CCM' Report:


The aim of this report is to provide powerful assistance to the strategy group and the management
team in making correct decision as how to penetrate the ever-increasing China market and how to
catch the maximum commercial opportunities. The report is formulated independently by CCM’s
professional market researchers, based on the first-hand and primary data which are analyzed by
scientific methodology, confirmed with both manufacturers/end users/traders and legal authorities, and
presented in a logic way.




Sample pages:




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II    Global supply & demand of glyphosate


II-1 Supply situation


- Glyphosate technical


The glyphosate industry is undergoing changes in structure and operation in a way and at a
speed that has not been witnessed previously. The drivers for such change have arisen from
two main common themes namely regionalisation and brisk demand.


Over XX glyphosate technical producers are distributed in China, with only X X outside China.
Table II-1.1 shows the 2008 world rankings for glyphosate producers based on capacity.


Table II-1.1 Key players of glyphosate technical in the world, ‘000 tonnes
                                                                 PMIDA                        Glyphosate technical

          Glyphosate producers                    Production               Source            Capacity    Production
                                                     2008        Captive     Outsourcing      2009          2008

 Chinese (about 50 producers)

 Monsanto (US,    ,    ,B                e,   )




                     Total



- Glyphosate formulation


Monsanto is the leading glyphosate formulation producer in the world, taking up XXX of the
market share.


Table II-1.2 Key players of glyphosate formulation in the world (convert to 95% technical, ‘000
tonnes)
     Key suppliers               Brand        Sales ($billion)   Sales volume ‘08          Share

 Monsanto                    Roundup

 Nufarm                      Credit




          Total              -
II-2 Demand situation


II-2.2 Distribution


……


CCM International divides the investigation area in this report into North America, South
America, Europe, Asia Pacific and Africa to research on the distribution of glyphosate. As there
is no glyphosate consumed in Antarctica, Antarctica is not considered here.


The most important glyphosate consumers are North America and South America, with the two
totally consuming XXX tonnes glyphosate, accounting for XXX of world’s total in 2008.


Table II-2.2.2 Major used field and characters of glyphosate consumption in different area
       Area                   Major fields                             Characteristics

South America                                            -
     Europe                                              -
  Asia Pacific                                           -
       Africa                                            -



……

III-4 North America


III-4.1     USA


……


There are dozens of glyphosate brands from more than xx companies in the United States,
such as Roundup, Touchdown, xxx, xxx, xxx, xxx, xxx, xxx, xxx, xxx, xxx, etc.


Table III-4.1.1.1 Basic information of key glyphosate producers in USA

 Key supplier         Technical capacity (t/a)   Brand       Market share

 Monsanto

 Mey
……


III-4.1.2 Glyphosate consumption


Glyphosate use in the United States is increasing rapidly with the introduction of
glyphosate-resistant (Roundup-Ready) crops and the development of glyphosate-resistant
weeds. The glyphosate consumption in USA is rising stably year on year, and the CAGR
reached XXX from 2004~2008. And the growth rate still maintained at XXX in 2008, which
indicated a flourishing glyphosate demand.


Table III-4.1.2.2 Glyphosate consumption in major crops in USA, 2004-2008 (converted to 95%
technical, tonne)
 Year       Corn     Soybean     Wheat   Cotton   Sorghum   Orchard    Rapeseed   Beet   Others   Total

 2004
 2005
 2006
 2007
 2008



Table III-4.1.2.3 Glyphosate consumption in different growing periods of major crops, 2008
(converted to 95% technical, tonne)
   Crops           Pre-seeding   Pre-emergence    Post-emergence      Total

    Corn
  Soybean
   Wheat
   Cotton
  Sorghum
  Rapeseed
    Beet
Table III-4.1.2.4 Glyphosate consumption in major orchard, 2008
              Area applied,       Applications,     Rate per application,    Rate per crop     Total applied (converted
 Orchard
                   percent          number               kg per ha          year, kg per ha    to 95% technical, tonne)

     Apple           XX                XX                    XX                   XX                        XX
     Pear            XX                XX                    XX                   XX                        XX
 Orange              XX                XX                    XX                   XX                        XX
     Grape           XX                XX                    XX                   XX                        XX



IV     Flow of glyphosate in global market and future trend


IV-1 Trade situation in major countries


……

Table IV -1.2.1 Destinations of U.S. glyphosate and PMIDA, 2008 (tonne)
     Destination          PMIDA        Gly. Tech.        41% IPA        62% IPA        Other formulations

 Belgium
 Argentina




 Total




……
Figure IV-1.2 Major overseas importers of Chinese glyphosate technical and PMIDA, 2008




V     Price of glyphosate in international market and its future trend


Figure V-2 Influencing factors on glyphosate technical price


    price of imported chinese glyphosate

                            Import tariff

                  Price of leading brand

                    Supply and demand

                          Raw materials

                                            0%   10%   20%   30%   40%   50%   60%    70%    80%   90% 100%

                                Very important                             Relatively important
                                Ralevant but not obviously important       Not at all important
                                Not sure
VI-2 Future prospect of global glyphosate industry


VI-1.1 Driven forces


Figure VI-1.1.1 Growth rates of glyphosate consumption and related drivers, 2004-2008
    40.00%

    30.00%


    20.00%


    10.00%

     0.00%
                          2004              2005              2006               2007                  2008
   -10.00%

                                   Global glyphosaet consum ption
                                   Global harvested area
                                   Herbicide tolerance+Herbicide tolerance/Insect resistance
                                   No-tillarge*


Table VI-1.1.1 No-till situation in different regions, 2008
                                 Harvested area,          No-till area,              Share in                  Share of
          Area
                                 million hectares       million hectares         harvested area               no-till area

  South America                                   xxx                49.00                       xxx                         xxx

  North America                                   xxx                     xxx                    xxx                         xxx

   Asia Pacific                                   xxx                     xxx                    xxx                         xxx

         Europe                                   xxx                     xxx                    xxx                         xxx

         Africa                                   xxx                     xxx                    xxx                         xxx

         Global                                   xxx                     xxx                    xxx                         xxx



Table VI-1.1.2 Comparison of glyphosate, paraquat and glufosinate
                  Title                          Glyphosate               Paraquat              Glufosinate

Price consumption per acre                 xxx                    xxx                     xxx
Capacity                                   xxx                    xxx                     xxx
Technology                                 xxx                    xxx                     xxx
Resistant crops                            xxx                    xxx                     xxx
Effect                                     xxx                    xxx                     xxx
Figure VI-2.3 Forecast of growth rate of glyphosate demand in different area, 2009-2014


    60.00%

    50.00%

    40.00%

    30.00%

    20.00%

    10.00%

    0.00%
             2005    2006   2007   2008   2009    2010    2011   2012   2013    2014
   -10.00%

         North Am erica      South Am erica      Europe      Asia Pacific      Africa




VII Conclusion and Recommendation



    China will keep the position as key glyphosate technical supplier


China has taken up xx% of glyphosate technical market share in the world, with current
capacity of over xxt/a. It is unlikely for overseas producers to newly engage in glyphosate
technical production or expand capacity. China will keep the position as key glyphosate
technical supplier in the world.


……

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World outlook of glyphosate 2009 2014 – edition (1)

  • 1. CCM Data & Primary Intelligence World Outlook of Glyphosate 2009-2014 The First Edition Researched & Prepared by: Guangzhou CCM Information Science and Technology Co., Ltd Guangzhou, P. R. China June 2009 Copyright by Guangzhou CCM Information Science and Technology Co., Ltd (P. R. China) Any publication, distribution or copying of the content in this report is prohibited. Website: http://www.cnchemicals.com Tel: +86-20-38768114, 38768926 Fax: +86-20-38767356, 38768956 Email: econtact@cnchemicals.com Website: http://www.cnchemicals.com Email: econtact@cnchemicals.com Tel: +86-20-3761 6606 Fax: +86-20-3761 6968
  • 2. CCM Data & Primary Intelligence Description: World Outlook of Glyphosate 2009-2014 edited by CCM International is the world first research about global glyphosate. This report is comprised of 3 main sections including supply and demand, glyphosate situation in each country and flow research. 10 key players are profiled. From global insight, this report will present to readers a clear picture about production, distribution and application of glyphosate in the global market especially 28 countries including 8 Asian-Pacific countries (China, India, Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand, Vietnam, Israel and Australia), 5 Europe countries (Belgium, Germany, Turkey, Russia and Ukraine), 2 North American countries (USA and Canada), 1African country (S. Africa) and all the South American countries. With more than 53,000 words and over 300 tables and figures, this report will enable readers to gain unrivalled understanding about global glyphosate market. Through this report, you can: Be well informed of the supply of intermediate and glyphosate⎫ formulations in these 28 countries including key players and brands; Get to⎫ know the application of glyphosate in these 28 countries breakdown by crop, growing periods (pre-seeding stage, pre-emergence stage and post-emergent stage); Gain intelligence on possible activities of Chinese glyphosate⎫ players; Understand the demand of glyphosate in each county and⎫ continent; Have a clear picture of glyphosate flow among some important⎫ countries Know the purchasing behavior of some key multinational players⎫ such as Monsanto, Dow, Syngenta, Nufarm As the largest pesticide, glyphosate has developed to be the main profit source for many companies, especially the top enterprises with broad sales channel in crop protection market. What is the market share of main players in glyphosate market? Which competitive strategies do they take to strengthen their position in glyphosate market? You can find answers in the report. Undoubtedly, GM crops and no-till farming are the main drivers for glyphosate consumption in the global. For the same reason, South America is the largest contributor to the world glyphosate application hike in the past 5 years. Will its glyphosate market Which region(s) will be the⎫still hold the growth trend in the near future? Which new GM crops are likely to be⎫next growth point for glyphosate market? What are the attitudes⎫approved in main countries for glyphosate consumption? of main countries to GM crops and their impacts on glyphosate? CCM will give you an insightful analysis on the above questions. Besides, bio-fuel is another key factor for glyphosate consumption. Due to the global energy crisis, bio-fuel, recognized as an important substitute for petroleum, gains rapid development all over the world, causing the growth of demand for the feed stocks, such as cane, oil palm, cassava, etc. Those Website: http://www.cnchemicals.com Email: econtact@cnchemicals.com Tel: +86-20-3761 6606 Fax: +86-20-3761 6968
  • 3. CCM Data & Primary Intelligence crops planted areas rise to meet the demand of bio-fuel. The main countries’ policies to bio-fuel and their impacts on glyphosate is comprised in the report. In a bid to figure out the glyphosate flow, CCM has dived deep into the global glyphosate supply chain, with glyphosate technical producers, glyphosate trade, key players and brands in main countries analyzed systematically. Moreover, an insightful research on the source and distribution of glyphosate of the top players in glyphosate market is provided in the report. It seems that glyphosate has enjoyed good days in most countries in the world, but it still faces some risks. What are they and how will they affect glyphosate in the future? You can also find answers to them. Main content: No. Content Page Executive summary 1 Introduction 3 Methodology and source 4 I Market environment 6 I-1 World economic outlook 6 I-2 World demographic outlook 9 I-3 World agricultural outlook 12 I-4 World agricultural land usage 14 I-4.1 Global GM crops 16 - GM corn 19 - GM soybean 20 - GM cotton 20 - GM rape 21 I-4.2 Other major crops 21 I-5 Environmental & regulatory issues 22 II Global supply & demand of glyphosate 22 II-1 Supply situation 23 II-2 Demand situation 26 II-2.1 Overview 26 II-2.2 Distribution 27 II-2.3 Use situation in crops 30 III Glyphosate industry in major regions 31 III-1 Asia-pacific 31 III-1.1 P.R. China 31 III-1.1.1 Glyphosate supply 31 III-1.1.2 Glyphosate consumption 33 Website: http://www.cnchemicals.com Email: econtact@cnchemicals.com Tel: +86-20-3761 6606 Fax: +86-20-3761 6968
  • 4. CCM Data & Primary Intelligence III-1.2 Malaysia 38 III-1.2.1 Glyphosate supply 38 III-1.2.2 Glyphosate consumption 38 III-1.3 India 43 III-1.3.1 Glyphosate supply 43 III-1.3.2 Glyphosate consumption 43 III-1.4 Indonesia 48 III-1.4.1 Glyphosate supply 48 III-1.4.2 Glyphosate consumption 48 III-1.5 Thailand 53 III-1.5.1 Glyphosate supply 53 III-1.5.2 Glyphosate consumption 53 III-1.6 Vietnam 57 III-1.6.1 Glyphosate supply 57 III-1.6.2 Glyphosate consumption 58 III-1.7 Israel 62 III-1.7.1 Glyphosate supply 62 III-1.7.2 Glyphosate consumption 63 III-1.8 Australia 64 III-1.8.1 Glyphosate supply 64 III-1.8.2 Glyphosate consumption 65 III-2 Europe 69 III-2.1 Belgium 69 III-2.1.1 Glyphosate supply 69 III-2.1.2 Glyphosate consumption 69 III-2.2 Russia 73 III-2.2.1 Glyphosate supply 73 III-2.2.2 Glyphosate consumption 73 III-2.3 Germany 81 III-2.3.1 Glyphosate supply 81 III-2.3.2 Glyphosate consumption 81 III-2.4 Ukraine 86 III-2.4.1 Glyphosate supply 86 III-2.4.2 Glyphosate consumption 87 III-2.5 Turkey 92 III-2.5.1 Glyphosate supply 92 III-2.5.2 Glyphosate consumption 92 III-3 South America 96 III-3.1 Argentina 96 III-3.1.1 Glyphosate supply 96 Website: http://www.cnchemicals.com Email: econtact@cnchemicals.com Tel: +86-20-3761 6606 Fax: +86-20-3761 6968
  • 5. CCM Data & Primary Intelligence III-3.1.2 Glyphosate consumption 97 III-3.2 Brazil 102 III-3.2.1 Glyphosate supply 102 III-3.2.2 Glyphosate consumption 103 III-3.3 Paraguay 110 III-3.3.1 Glyphosate supply 110 III-3.3.2 Glyphosate consumption 110 III-3.4 Uruguay 115 III-3.4.1 Glyphosate supply 115 III-3.4.2 Glyphosate consumption 115 III-3.5 Columbia 119 III-3.5.1 Glyphosate supply 119 III-3.5.2 Glyphosate consumption 120 III-3.6 Bolivia 123 III-3.6.1 Glyphosate supply 123 III-3.6.2 Glyphosate consumption 123 III-3.7 Ecuador 127 III-3.7.1 Glyphosate supply 127 III-3.7.2 Glyphosate consumption 128 III-3.8 Peru 131 III-3.8.1 Glyphosate supply 131 III-3.8.2 Glyphosate consumption 131 III-3.9 Venezuela 135 III-3.9.1 Glyphosate supply 135 III-3.9.2 Glyphosate consumption 135 III-3.10 Chile 139 III-3.10.1 Glyphosate supply 139 III-3.10.2 Glyphosate consumption 139 III-3.11 Guyana 143 III-3.11.1 Glyphosate supply 143 III-3.11.2 Glyphosate consumption 143 III-3.12 The Republic of Suriname 146 III-3.12.1 Glyphosate supply 146 III-3.12.2 Glyphosate consumption 146 III-4 North America 150 III-4.1 US 151 III-4.1.1 Glyphosate supply 151 III-4.1.2 Glyphosate consumption 151 III-4.2 Canada 158 III-4.2.1 Glyphosate supply 158 Website: http://www.cnchemicals.com Email: econtact@cnchemicals.com Tel: +86-20-3761 6606 Fax: +86-20-3761 6968
  • 6. CCM Data & Primary Intelligence III-4.2.2 Glyphosate consumption 158 III-5 Africa 165 III-5.1 S. Africa 165 III-5.1.1 Glyphosate supply 165 III-5.1.2 Glyphosate consumption 166 IV Flow research of glyphosate in global market and future trend 172 IV-1 Trade situation in major countries 172 IV-1.1 China 172 IV-1.2 US 176 IV-1.3 Argentina 178 IV-2 Global glyphosate flow 181 IV-2.1 Glyphosate technical and PMIDA 181 IV-2.2 Glyphosate formulation 184 IV-3 Trend 185 V Price of glyphosate in international market and its future trend 187 VI Forecast on the global glyphosate industry 190 VI-1 Driven forces and barriers 190 VI-1.1 Driven forces 190 VI-1.2 Barriers 194 VI-2 Future prospect of global glyphosate industry 195 - Supply 195 - Demand 195 VII Conclusion and recommendation 198 VIII Profiles of key glyphosate players 201 VIII-01 Monsanto 201 … … 0 VIII-10 Anhui Huaxing 214 Executive summary: Glyphosate is the world's biggest selling herbicide, whose sales have grown sharply both in value and volume. By 2008, global glyphosate sales have reached USD xxxx billion, with consumption volume of xxxx tonnes. Global glyphosate technical supply is mainly distributed in China, USA, Argentina and Brazil and PMIDA is mainly produced in China, USA and Brazil. The total flow volume of glyphosate technical is about xxxx tonnes in 2008 in the world. Formulation production concentrates in China, USA, Belgium, Argentina, Australia, etc. China, taking up 70% of the world’s glyphosate technical output, is consolidating its position. Glyphosate capacity in China has increased crazily from xxxx tonnes in 2006 to xxxx tonnes in 2008, Website: http://www.cnchemicals.com Email: econtact@cnchemicals.com Tel: +86-20-3761 6606 Fax: +86-20-3761 6968
  • 7. CCM Data & Primary Intelligence and current xxxx t/a. The capacity will keep increasing in the coming few years. Monsanto continues to be the top player, though its market share is decreasing. About xxxx of Monsanto’s glyphosate technical is produced in its production sites in USA. Over xxxx of the production is exported to its production sites in Belgium and Malaysia to make glyphosate based products such as Roundup, which is then distributed all over the world. Driven by expansion of GM crops and no-till farming, the world glyphosate consumption has been soaring, with CAGR of about xxxx by volume in 2004~2008. However, the growth scenario varies largely by region. Asia Pacific is the region that has the greatest growth potential in the world. In this region, glyphosate is mainly used in traditional crops, no-till farming and economic crops. Though this region took up only xxxx of the world’s glyphosate market in 2008, it is expected to replace South America to be the main driver for glyphosate consumption in the next 5 years. Thanks to rapid expansion of GM crops, South America has become the largest driver for glyphosate consumption in the world, surpassing North America in 2007. However, as a mature market now, this region has little growth potential in the future, with its large coverage of GM crops and no-till farming. In Europe and North America, glyphosate market has been also growing fast with CAGR of about xxxx and xxxx respectively in 2004 ~ 2008. As to Europe, major contributors to glyphosate consumption growth include bio-fuel development and agriculture recovery in some countries, such as Russia. As to North America, the expansion of GM crops and evolution of glyphosate-resistant weeds are the main drivers to glyphosate consumption growth in 2004~2008. Capturing only 4.15% or so world glyphosate consumption, Africa is a small market for glyphosate. Limited by the undeveloped economy, glyphosate consumption will grow slowly in the region in the next 5 years. Character of CCM' Report: The aim of this report is to provide powerful assistance to the strategy group and the management team in making correct decision as how to penetrate the ever-increasing China market and how to catch the maximum commercial opportunities. The report is formulated independently by CCM’s professional market researchers, based on the first-hand and primary data which are analyzed by scientific methodology, confirmed with both manufacturers/end users/traders and legal authorities, and presented in a logic way. Sample pages: Website: http://www.cnchemicals.com Email: econtact@cnchemicals.com Tel: +86-20-3761 6606 Fax: +86-20-3761 6968
  • 8. II Global supply & demand of glyphosate II-1 Supply situation - Glyphosate technical The glyphosate industry is undergoing changes in structure and operation in a way and at a speed that has not been witnessed previously. The drivers for such change have arisen from two main common themes namely regionalisation and brisk demand. Over XX glyphosate technical producers are distributed in China, with only X X outside China. Table II-1.1 shows the 2008 world rankings for glyphosate producers based on capacity. Table II-1.1 Key players of glyphosate technical in the world, ‘000 tonnes PMIDA Glyphosate technical Glyphosate producers Production Source Capacity Production 2008 Captive Outsourcing 2009 2008 Chinese (about 50 producers) Monsanto (US, , ,B e, ) Total - Glyphosate formulation Monsanto is the leading glyphosate formulation producer in the world, taking up XXX of the market share. Table II-1.2 Key players of glyphosate formulation in the world (convert to 95% technical, ‘000 tonnes) Key suppliers Brand Sales ($billion) Sales volume ‘08 Share Monsanto Roundup Nufarm Credit Total -
  • 9. II-2 Demand situation II-2.2 Distribution …… CCM International divides the investigation area in this report into North America, South America, Europe, Asia Pacific and Africa to research on the distribution of glyphosate. As there is no glyphosate consumed in Antarctica, Antarctica is not considered here. The most important glyphosate consumers are North America and South America, with the two totally consuming XXX tonnes glyphosate, accounting for XXX of world’s total in 2008. Table II-2.2.2 Major used field and characters of glyphosate consumption in different area Area Major fields Characteristics South America - Europe - Asia Pacific - Africa - …… III-4 North America III-4.1 USA …… There are dozens of glyphosate brands from more than xx companies in the United States, such as Roundup, Touchdown, xxx, xxx, xxx, xxx, xxx, xxx, xxx, xxx, xxx, etc. Table III-4.1.1.1 Basic information of key glyphosate producers in USA Key supplier Technical capacity (t/a) Brand Market share Monsanto Mey
  • 10. …… III-4.1.2 Glyphosate consumption Glyphosate use in the United States is increasing rapidly with the introduction of glyphosate-resistant (Roundup-Ready) crops and the development of glyphosate-resistant weeds. The glyphosate consumption in USA is rising stably year on year, and the CAGR reached XXX from 2004~2008. And the growth rate still maintained at XXX in 2008, which indicated a flourishing glyphosate demand. Table III-4.1.2.2 Glyphosate consumption in major crops in USA, 2004-2008 (converted to 95% technical, tonne) Year Corn Soybean Wheat Cotton Sorghum Orchard Rapeseed Beet Others Total 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 Table III-4.1.2.3 Glyphosate consumption in different growing periods of major crops, 2008 (converted to 95% technical, tonne) Crops Pre-seeding Pre-emergence Post-emergence Total Corn Soybean Wheat Cotton Sorghum Rapeseed Beet
  • 11. Table III-4.1.2.4 Glyphosate consumption in major orchard, 2008 Area applied, Applications, Rate per application, Rate per crop Total applied (converted Orchard percent number kg per ha year, kg per ha to 95% technical, tonne) Apple XX XX XX XX XX Pear XX XX XX XX XX Orange XX XX XX XX XX Grape XX XX XX XX XX IV Flow of glyphosate in global market and future trend IV-1 Trade situation in major countries …… Table IV -1.2.1 Destinations of U.S. glyphosate and PMIDA, 2008 (tonne) Destination PMIDA Gly. Tech. 41% IPA 62% IPA Other formulations Belgium Argentina Total ……
  • 12. Figure IV-1.2 Major overseas importers of Chinese glyphosate technical and PMIDA, 2008 V Price of glyphosate in international market and its future trend Figure V-2 Influencing factors on glyphosate technical price price of imported chinese glyphosate Import tariff Price of leading brand Supply and demand Raw materials 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Very important Relatively important Ralevant but not obviously important Not at all important Not sure
  • 13. VI-2 Future prospect of global glyphosate industry VI-1.1 Driven forces Figure VI-1.1.1 Growth rates of glyphosate consumption and related drivers, 2004-2008 40.00% 30.00% 20.00% 10.00% 0.00% 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 -10.00% Global glyphosaet consum ption Global harvested area Herbicide tolerance+Herbicide tolerance/Insect resistance No-tillarge* Table VI-1.1.1 No-till situation in different regions, 2008 Harvested area, No-till area, Share in Share of Area million hectares million hectares harvested area no-till area South America xxx 49.00 xxx xxx North America xxx xxx xxx xxx Asia Pacific xxx xxx xxx xxx Europe xxx xxx xxx xxx Africa xxx xxx xxx xxx Global xxx xxx xxx xxx Table VI-1.1.2 Comparison of glyphosate, paraquat and glufosinate Title Glyphosate Paraquat Glufosinate Price consumption per acre xxx xxx xxx Capacity xxx xxx xxx Technology xxx xxx xxx Resistant crops xxx xxx xxx Effect xxx xxx xxx
  • 14. Figure VI-2.3 Forecast of growth rate of glyphosate demand in different area, 2009-2014 60.00% 50.00% 40.00% 30.00% 20.00% 10.00% 0.00% 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 -10.00% North Am erica South Am erica Europe Asia Pacific Africa VII Conclusion and Recommendation  China will keep the position as key glyphosate technical supplier China has taken up xx% of glyphosate technical market share in the world, with current capacity of over xxt/a. It is unlikely for overseas producers to newly engage in glyphosate technical production or expand capacity. China will keep the position as key glyphosate technical supplier in the world. ……