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Nicaragua:  Between revolution  and  democracy CEPAD, October  2010 Felix Maradiaga-Blandon
Overview ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
A legacy of volatility and conflict ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
The Open Wounds of a betrayed Revolution ,[object Object],[object Object]
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
DEMOCRATIC TRANSITION AND POST-CONFLICT RECONSTRUCTION
Peace Agreements and Disarmament
Nicaragua’s Economic Evolution  (1970 – 2006) Total and Agricultural Real GDP during Different Administrations (USD of 2000) Source: World Development Indicators, World Bank 1 st  Somoza’s Presidency Triunvirato 2 nd   Somoza’s  Presidency Junta de Gobierno (Ortega) Daniel Ortega Violeta Barrios Arnoldo Alem án Enrique Bolaños AGR GDP / TOTAL GDP (1970-2004) = 23.5% Average.
External Debt as % of GDP  (1970 – 2006) Source: World Development Indicators, World Bank AVERAGE DEBT AS % of GDP (1970-2004) = 242.69%
Foreign Direct Investment  (1970 – 2006) Net Inflows, Current USD Source: World Development Indicators, World Bank AVERAGE FDI (1970-2004) = 58.8 Million USD
Conservative Reforms ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Challenges to Economic Development ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
[object Object]
Social Indicators ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],1  Source: World Bank Estimates Indicator Belize Costa Rica El Salvador Guatemala Honduras Panama Nicaragua GNI per capita (Atlas method US$) 2004 est. 3,940 4,670 2,350 2,130 1,030 4,450 790 Literacy (15+ years) 77 96 80 69 80 92 77 Life expectancy (years), 2003 71.2 78.6 70.4 66.1 66.1 75 68.8 Infant mortality rate (deaths/1,000), 2003 33 8 32 35 32 18 30 Access to improved water source (% population) 91% 97% 82% 95% 90% 91% 81% Telephone lines: fixed & mobile (per 1000), 2003 317.3 274.4 292.0 134.7 (2000) 72.4 389.5 122.5
Source: Institute for Strategy and Competitiveness Agricultural products are Nicaragua’s biggest exports Agricultural Products Hospitality and Tourism Fishing and Fishing Products Processed Food Jewelry, Precious Metals and Collectibles Transportation and Logistics Communications Services Other
Democracy and Institutions ,[object Object],[object Object]
High Corruption and Low Legitimacy
The Aleman and Ortega “Pact”
Higlights of the Ortega Administration  ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
The Imposition of “Orteguism” ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
DEMOCRACY UNDER FIRE
News coverage of the current political crisis ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Is There Any Hope?
 
DEMOGRAPHIC BONUS
Civil Society is playing a central role in pushing for democratic reforms
Thank you!

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Overview of Nicaraguan Current Affairs

  • 1. Nicaragua: Between revolution and democracy CEPAD, October 2010 Felix Maradiaga-Blandon
  • 2.
  • 3.
  • 4.
  • 5.
  • 6. DEMOCRATIC TRANSITION AND POST-CONFLICT RECONSTRUCTION
  • 7. Peace Agreements and Disarmament
  • 8. Nicaragua’s Economic Evolution (1970 – 2006) Total and Agricultural Real GDP during Different Administrations (USD of 2000) Source: World Development Indicators, World Bank 1 st Somoza’s Presidency Triunvirato 2 nd Somoza’s Presidency Junta de Gobierno (Ortega) Daniel Ortega Violeta Barrios Arnoldo Alem án Enrique Bolaños AGR GDP / TOTAL GDP (1970-2004) = 23.5% Average.
  • 9. External Debt as % of GDP (1970 – 2006) Source: World Development Indicators, World Bank AVERAGE DEBT AS % of GDP (1970-2004) = 242.69%
  • 10. Foreign Direct Investment (1970 – 2006) Net Inflows, Current USD Source: World Development Indicators, World Bank AVERAGE FDI (1970-2004) = 58.8 Million USD
  • 11.
  • 12.
  • 13.
  • 14.
  • 15. Source: Institute for Strategy and Competitiveness Agricultural products are Nicaragua’s biggest exports Agricultural Products Hospitality and Tourism Fishing and Fishing Products Processed Food Jewelry, Precious Metals and Collectibles Transportation and Logistics Communications Services Other
  • 16.
  • 17. High Corruption and Low Legitimacy
  • 18. The Aleman and Ortega “Pact”
  • 19.
  • 20.
  • 22.
  • 23.
  • 24.
  • 25.
  • 26.
  • 27.
  • 28. Is There Any Hope?
  • 29.  
  • 30.
  • 31.
  • 33.
  • 34. Civil Society is playing a central role in pushing for democratic reforms