1. 484 Likely Democratic Primary Voters in the First Congressional District; Margin of Error +/- 4.5%
July 24 - July 28
70% Landlines; 30% Cellphones
CD 1
Kim 23%
Takai 30%
Anderson 7%
Espero 5%
Chang 15%
Manahan 6%
Undecided 14%
There is also a primary to select a Democratic nominee for the First District
Congressional seat currently held by Colleen Hanabusa. The candidates
include State Senator Will Espero; State Senator Donna Mercado Kim; State
Representative Mark Takai; Honolulu Councilman Ikaika Anderson; Honolulu
Councilman Stanley Chang, and Honolulu Councilman Joey Manahan. [name
order rotated], Which candidate are you supporting?
2. Demographics
GENDER
Male 50%
Female 50%
ETHNICITY
Caucasian 28%
Japanese 36%
Filipino 13%
Hawaiian 8%
Chinese 9%
Hispanic_Latino 0%
Other/Mixed 5%
POLITICAL IDEOLOGY
Liberal_Progressive 43%
Moderate 41%
Conservative 11%
Unsure 5%
PARTY I.D.
Democrat 79%
Republican 6%
Independent 14%
Unsure 1%
3. Yes 58%
No 39%
Refused 2%
Yes 36%
No 59%
Refused 5%
Annual Household Income
Less than $50,000 17%
$50,000 - $100,000 30%
More than $100,000 27%
Refused 25%
Have you, or a member of your immediate family such as a spouse, sibling,
parent, or child, served in the U.S. Military?
Are you, or a member of your immediate family, a member of a labor union?
4. Crosstabs
CD1 Male Female
Kim 24% 21%
Takai 31% 31%
Anderson 9% 6%
Espero 7% 4%
Chang 11% 18%
Manahan 7% 5%
Undecided 12% 16%
CD1 Under 50 50 and older
Kim 23% 21%
Takai 14% 37%
Anderson 15% 5%
Espero 8% 4%
Chang 16% 14%
Manahan 11% 4%
Undecided 14% 14%
CD1 Caucasian Japanese Filipino Hawaiian Chinese
Hispanic
Latino
Other Mixed
Kim 16% 26% 22% 16% 26% 72% 20%
Takai 29% 40% 20% 22% 25% 0% 48%
Anderson 2% 8% 1% 44% 0% 0% 13%
Espero 9% 2% 7% 4% 10% 0% 0%
Chang 19% 14% 5% 10% 28% 0% 15%
Manahan 6% 0% 27% 0% 0% 28% 2%
Undecided 19% 10% 18% 5% 11% 0% 3%
CD1
Liberal
progressive
Moderate Conservative Unsure
Kim 15% 21% 43% 32%
Takai 29% 35% 30% 29%
Anderson 11% 6% 0% 3%
Espero 4% 8% 4% 2%
Chang 16% 17% 8% 8%
Manahan 9% 3% 3% 5%
Undecided 16% 10% 12% 21%
5. CD1 Democrat Republican Independent Unsure
Kim 20% 37% 22% 23%
Takai 32% 23% 32% 54%
Anderson 8% 12% 4% 3%
Espero 5% 7% 6% 9%
Chang 15% 2% 22% 9%
Manahan 6% 3% 6% 0%
Undecided 14% 17% 8% 2%
CD1
Mil_Family Yes Mil_Family No
Kim 23% 20%
Takai 36% 24%
Anderson 4% 13%
Espero 4% 8%
Chang 17% 13%
Manahan 4% 9%
Undecided 13% 13%
QCD1
Union_Family
Yes
Union_Family
No
Kim 17% 24%
Takai 27% 34%
Anderson 13% 5%
Espero 9% 2%
Chang 11% 18%
Manahan 10% 3%
Undecided 12% 14%
QCD1 <$50k $50-$100k $100k+
Kim 28% 20% 20%
Takai 25% 33% 39%
Anderson 6% 12% 5%
Espero 4% 2% 7%
Chang 21% 6% 18%
Manahan 0% 12% 3%
Undecided 16% 16% 8%