Civil Beat Poll September 2012 2nd Congressional District
1. 1
• 751 Likely General Election Voters in Hawaii’s 2nd Congressional District
• Sampling Margin of Error +/-3.6%
• September 26-28, 2012
Who would you vote for in the race for U.S. House of Representatives—Tea Party activist Kawika
Crowley, or former Honolulu City Councilwoman Tulsi Gabbard? [name order randomized]
CD2
Gabbard 70%
Crowley 18%
Unsure 12%
Total 100%
How do you currently feel about the country’s economy?
Economy
Positive 56%
Negative 42%
Unsure 3%
Total 100%
Many economists believe that making the U.S. economy healthy again will require some mix of
government spending cuts and tax increases. In the next two questions, I will first ask you how you
feel about government spending cuts, and then ask how you feel about tax increases….
In terms of cutting government spending, what strategy do you think the country needs to help fix
the economy? Do we need cuts across the board, including to programs ranging from social security
to the military? Do we need targeted cuts to programs like the military and corporate subsidies, but
not to programs like social security or healthcare? Or do we not need any major cuts to government
spending?
Spending_Cuts
"Tough" cuts 26%
"Easy" cuts 54%
No cuts 6%
Unsure 13%
Total 100%
2. 2
In terms of raising taxes, what strategy do you think the country needs to help fix the economy? Do
we need to raise everyone’s taxes to some degree? Do we need to raise taxes only on individuals
with income above $250,000? Or do we not need any tax increases?
Tax_Increases
"Tough" taxes 16%
"Easy" taxes 54%
No taxes 24%
Unsure 5%
Total 100%
Which of the following do you think is the best way to solve our national deficit and budget
problems? Is it to focus most on cutting government spending? To focus most on raising revenues
by increasing taxes and closing tax loopholes? Or is it to focus about equally on spending cuts and
tax increases?
Solution
Cut spending 33%
Increase taxes 8%
Both 47%
Unsure 11%
Total 100%
3. 3
In your mind, how good an education do Hawaii's public school students receive—excellent, good,
fair, or poor?
Educ_Quality
Excellent 6%
Good 31%
Fair 43%
Poor 18%
Unsure 2%
Total 100%
Oahu, 2nd Congressional District Only:
How do you feel about the Honolulu Rail project – do you generally support or oppose it?
Rail
Support 35%
Oppose 57%
Unsure 9%
Total 100%
4. 4
Demographics:
Gender
Male 42%
Female 58%
Total 100%
Age
18-29 8%
30-39 4%
40-49 12%
50-64 38%
65+ 38%
Total 100%
Race_Ethnicity
Caucasian 49%
Japanese 29%
Filipino 6%
Hawaiian 6%
Chinese 5%
Hispanic/Latino 1%
Other/Mixed 4%
Total 100%
Politics
Liberal/Progressive 28%
Moderate 35%
Conservative 23%
Unsure 14%
Total 100%
5. 5
Party_ID
Democrat 55%
Republican 18%
Independent 22%
Unsure 5%
Total 100%
Education
No degree 3%
High School Degree 31%
College Degree 43%
Graduate Degree 24%
Total 100%
Military_Family
Yes 14%
No 86%
Total 100%
Income
Less than $50,000 46%
$50,000-$100,000 35%
$100,000 or more 19%
Total 100%
6. 6
Crosstabs:
CD2 * Gender Crosstabulation
% within Gender
Gender
Male Female
CD2 Gabbard 68% 72%
Crowley 24% 14%
Unsure 8% 14%
Total 100% 100%
CD2 * Age Crosstabulation
% within Age
Age
18-29 30-39 40-49 50-64 65+
CD2 Gabbard 64% 63% 66% 77% 67%
Crowley 22% 33% 23% 15% 17%
Unsure 14% 3% 11% 8% 16%
Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
CD2 * Race_Ethnicity Crosstabulation
% within Race_Ethnicity
Race_Ethnicity
Japanes Hispanic/Latin
Caucasian e Filipino Hawaiian Chinese o Other/Mixed
CD2 Gabbard 69% 69% 84% 73% 78% 60% 71%
Crowley 23% 13% 7% 22% 13% 10% 17%
Unsure 8% 18% 9% 5% 9% 30% 13%
Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
CD2 * Politics Crosstabulation
% within Politics
Politics
Liberal/Progressiv Conservativ
e Moderate e Unsure
CD2 Gabbard 82% 75% 45% 78%
Crowley 7% 16% 41% 6%
Unsure 11% 8% 14% 16%
Total 100% 100% 100% 100%
7. 7
CD2 * Party_ID Crosstabulation
% within Party_ID
Party_ID
Republica Independen
Democrat n t Unsure
CD2 Gabbard 83% 39% 63% 77%
Crowley 8% 44% 23% 4%
Unsure 8% 17% 15% 19%
Total 100% 100% 100% 100%
CD2 * Education Crosstabulation
% within Education
Education
High
No School College Graduate
degree Degree Degree Degree
CD2 Gabbard 60% 72% 68% 72%
Crowley 27% 13% 23% 15%
Unsure 13% 14% 9% 13%
Total 100% 100% 100% 100%
CD2 * Military_Family Crosstabulation
% within Military_Family
Military_Family
Yes No
CD2 Gabbard 60% 72%
Crowley 34% 16%
Unsure 6% 12%
Total 100% 100%
CD2 * Income Crosstabulation
% within Income
Income
Less $50,000-
than $100,00 $100,000
$50,000 0 or more
CD2 Gabbard 69% 71% 73%
Crowley 17% 20% 20%
Unsure 14% 8% 7%
Total 100% 100% 100%