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Residential Property
Market Overview
INDIA
QUARTERLY UPDATE | FEBRUARY | 2012




Accelerating success.
4Q 2011 | THE KNOWLEDGE


Research report
SYDNEY CENTRAL BUSINESS DISTRICT

research & forecast Report
India RESIDENTIAL market




                                                                 MACRO ECONOMIC OVERVIEW

                                                                 •	As per the latest Reserve Bank of India (RBI) projections GDP growth rate was recorded at 6.9%
                                                                   for 4Q 2011. The estimates by various agencies project the growth rate within a range of 7% to
                                                                   8% for 2011-2012, suggesting a moderation in the growth process.

                                                                 •	Provisional Wholesale Price Index as reported by Ministry of Finance was 7.47% for December
                                                                   2011. This quarter there was a slight decline in primary inflation due to the decrease food
                                                                   inflation which stood at -3.36%.

                                                                 •	In 4Q 2011, RBI did not increase repo rates. It further stated that there will not likely be any
                                                                   further increase to the policy rates, provided headline inflation moderates as is expected. The
                                                                   repo rate is currently at 8.5%.
 ECONOMIC BAROMETER
                                Dec-10           Dec-11          •	The Department of Industrial Policy and Promotion (DIPP) recorded FDI inflow for the period
                                                                   April to October, 2011 in Housing & Real Estate at INR 2,130 crores; which is a 2/3rd reduction
             REPO RATE          6.25%            8.50%             from the highs of the years 2008-09 and 2009-10. The Housing and Construction sector
                                                                   contribution to the total FDI has also reduced to 2.31% from to 7% in the previous year.
    REVERSE REPO RATE           5.25%            7.50%

                                                                 •	In 4Q 2011, Indian Rupee (INR) fell further by approximately 10% against the US Dollar to close
                     CRR        6.00%            6.00%
                                                                   at INRs 54.40 to 1.00 USD on 29th December 2011. The Rupee also weakened against the Euro
              INFLATION          9.47%            7.47%            dropping by approximately 5% to close the quarter at INRs 70.99 to 1.00 Euro.

      Home Loan Rate*           8.00%            11.00%          •		 ualified Foreign Investor can now directly invest in the Indian Equity Market. The investment
                                                                   Q
                                                                   limit is to 5% and 10% for individual and QFIs respectively of their paid up capital of the company
                                                                   that they establish in India.

Return on Alternative Investments                                          ECONOMIC INDICATORS
                   Dec-10          Dec-11         YoY %
                                                                                   12.0
                                                  Change

         Gold      20,496          28,041         36.81%                          10.0




        SILVER     45,346          51,168         12.84%                           8.0
                                                                 In Percentage




 Fixed Deposit
                                                                                   6.0
   (= 1 year)**     8.50%          9.25%          8.82%

       EQUITY      20,389          15,836        -22.33%                           4.0



 REALTY INDEX       2,856           1,497        -47.57%
                                                                                   2.0



              * SBI Home Loan Rate for Loan upto INR 50 Lakhs.
                                                                                   0.0
                              ** For amount below INR 1 Crore
                                                                                          Jan ‘08
                                                                                                    Feb ‘08
                                                                                                              Mar ‘08
                                                                                                                        Apr ‘08
                                                                                                                                  May ‘08
                                                                                                                                            Jun ‘08
                                                                                                                                                      Jul ‘08
                                                                                                                                                                Aug ‘08
                                                                                                                                                                          Sep‘08
                                                                                                                                                                                   Oct‘08
                                                                                                                                                                                            Nov ‘08
                                                                                                                                                                                                      Dec ‘08
                                                                                                                                                                                                                Jan ‘09
                                                                                                                                                                                                                          Feb ‘09
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    Mar ‘09
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              Apr ‘09
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        May ‘09
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  Jun ‘09
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            Jul ‘09
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      Aug ‘09
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                Sep‘09
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          Oct‘09
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         Nov ‘09
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   Dec ‘09
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             Jan ‘10
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       Feb ‘10
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 Mar ‘10
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           Apr ‘10
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     May ‘10
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               Jun ‘10
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         Jul ‘10
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   Aug ‘10
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             Sep‘10
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       Oct‘10
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      Nov ‘10
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                Dec ‘10
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          Jan ‘11
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    Feb ‘11
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              Mar ‘11
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              Apr ‘11
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        May ‘11
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  Jun ‘11
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            Jul ‘11
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      Aug ‘11
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                Sep‘11
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         Oct ‘11
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   Nov ‘11
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             Dec ‘11




                                                                                 (-2.0)


                                                                                                                                                                                                       Repo Rate                                                                 Reverse Repo Rate                                           Cash Reserve Ratio                                                       Wholesale Price Index




                                                                 Source: Colliers International India Research




www.colliers.com
THE KNOWLEDGE | 4q 2011 | residential | Mumbai


                                                                                                                                                         mumbai                                                    4Q 2011 PREMIUM RESIDENTIAL AVerage
                                                                                                                                                                                                                   CAPITAL VALUE
                                                                                                                                                         •	In 4Q 2011, various projects/phases of the
                                                                                                                                                           projects were completed in Mumbai, including                    70,000

                                                                                                                                                                                                                           60,000
                                                                                                                                                           “Kalpataru Aura” at Ghatkopar by Kalpataru                      50,000
                                                                                                                                                           developers and “Lodha Bellissimo” by Lodha                      40,000

                                                                                                                                                           Group at Mahalaxmi.                                             30,000

                                                                                                                                                                                                                           20,000




                                                                                                                                                                                                           INR per sq ft
                                                                                                                                                                                                                           10,000
                                                                                                                                                         •	This quarter, the Mumbai real estate market                         0
                                                                                                                                                           witnessed the launch of several residential




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          Khar
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     Malabar Hill, Altamount
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     Road, Carmichael Road

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  Breach Candy, Napeansea
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        Road, Peddar Road

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             Colaba, Cuffe Parade


                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             Worli


                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         Prabhadevi


                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           Bandra




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      Santacruz


                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           Juhu


                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       Andheri


                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          Powai
                                                                                                                                                           projects, such as “Hill Crest” by Hubtown
                                                                                                                                                           Ltd., “Aria” by Parinee Developers, “Island
                                                                                                                                                           City Centre” by Bombay Realty, “Tripolis” by
                                                                                                                                                           Ekta World and “Green Acres” by Nirman
                                                                                                                                                           Relators. Lodha Group also launched its
                                                                                                                                                           mix use development project called “New
MUMBAI                                                                                                                                                     Cuffe Parade”, on its 23-acre land parcel in
                                                                                                                                                           Wadala. This land was purchased in 2010 at              CAPITAL VALUE TRENDS
                                                                                                                                                           approximately INR 4,500 crore.
CITY RESIDENTIAL BAROMETER                                                                                                                                                                                                 75,000

                                                                                                                                                         •	The residential market remained subdued,                        65,000

                                                                          3Q 2011                                    4Q 2011                               and fewer transactions were recorded during                     55,000

                                                                                                                                                                                                                           45,000
                                                                                                                                                           the quarter on account of an unstable global                    35,000
              RENTAL VALUE                                                                                                                                 economy and rising interest. Capital values                     25,000




                                                                                                                                                                                                           INR per sq ft
                                                                                                                                                           remained stable in almost all the micro
            CAPITAL VALUE                                                                                                                                                                                                   15,000

                                                                                                                                                           markets except for a few locations such as                       5,000




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         1Q2008

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               2Q2008

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               3Q2008

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            4Q2008

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    1Q2009

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                2Q2009

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         3Q2009

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      4Q2009

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                1Q2010

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          2Q2010

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   3Q2010

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  4Q2010

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            1Q2011

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     2Q2011

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 3Q2011

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           4Q2011
                                                                                                                                                           Breach Candy, Napeansea Road, Peddar Road,
                                                                                                                                                           Worli, Prabhadevi, Andheri and Powai where                                             Breach Candy,                                                                  Khar                                        Colaba, Cuffe                                Andheri
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  Napeansea Road,                                                                                                            Parade
                                                                                                                                                           capital value values witnessed an increase in                                          Peddar Road                                                                    Prabhadevi                                  Bandra                                       Worli

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               Santacruz                                                                                                                     Malabar Hill, Altamount Road, Carmichael
                                                                                                                                                           the range of 3 to 6% quarter on quarter.
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 Juhu
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             Road




                                                                                                                                                         •	The premium residential lease market
                                                                                                                                                           remained active at locations such as Malabar
                                                                                                                                                                                                                   4Q 2011 PREMIUM RESIDENTIAL AVerage
 COLLIERS RESIDEX 4Q 2011 - MUMBAI                                                                                                                         Hill, Altamount Road, Carmichael Road, Breach
                                                                                                                                                                                                                   RENTAL VALUE
                                                                                                                                                           Candy, Napeansea Road, Peddar Road, Khar,
   150                                                                                                                                                     Juhu and Powai. These locations observed an                                                                                                                        Malabar Hill, Altamount Road,

                                                                                                                                                           appreciation in rental values in the range of
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              Carmichael Road
   140                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                Breach Candy,
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            Powai                                        200                                          Napeansea Rd.,
   130
                                                                                                                                                           1 % to 3% quarter on quarter.                                                                                                                                                 150
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        Peddar rd.
   120

   110                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              Andheri                                                                              100
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           Colaba, Cuffe Parade
   100                                                                                                                                                   •	The state government has decided to provide                                                                                                                                    50

    90                                                                                                                                                     an additional 0.33 Floor Space Index (FSI)                                                                                                                                          0

    80
                                                                                                                                                           in suburbs of Mumbai. The FSI would                                                     Juhu                                                                                                                                                      Prabhadevi

    70

    60
                                                                                                                                                           be available to the developer on paying a
    50                                                                                                                                                     premium. Currently, the state government                                                            Santacruz                                                                                                                      Worli
                  2Q2008



                                    4Q2008



                                                      2Q2009



                                                                        4Q2009
                           3Q2008




                                                               3Q2009




                                                                                                                                                           allows an FSI of 1 in the suburbs and 1.33 in
                                                                                          2Q2010



                                                                                                            4Q2010
         1Q2008




                                             1Q2009




                                                                                                   3Q2010
                                                                                 1Q2010




                                                                                                                              2Q2011



                                                                                                                                                4Q2011
                                                                                                                                       3Q2011
                                                                                                                     1Q2011




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     Khar                                Bandra
Rebase to 100                                                                                                                                              the island city.                                INR per Sq ft Per Month




   NEW PROJECTS

   Project Name                                                                                                                    Location                                  Developer Name         Tentative Possession                                                                                                                        Rate (Per Sq.ft.)*

   Aria                                                                                                                            Juhu Vile Parle Development               Parinee Developers                            4Q 2014                                                                                                                                                 23,000

   Green Acres                                                                                                                     Malad East                                Nirman Relators                               4Q 2016                                                                                                                                                  8,500

   Hill Crest                                                                                                                      Jogeshwari Vikhroli Link Road             Hub Town                                      2Q 2014                                                                                                                                                   9,500

   Island City Center                                                                                                              Dadar East                                Bombay Realty                                 4Q 2016                                                                                                                                                 37,500

   Tripolis                                                                                                                        Goregaon West                             Ekta World                                    4Q 2016                                                                                                                                                 10,500




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    Note: * As quoted by developer



p. 3              | Colliers International                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              Colliers International |                                                                                                                           p. 3
THE KNOWLEDGE | 4Q 2011 | residential | delhi


                                                                                                                                                           Delhi                                                        4Q 2011 PREMIUM RESIDENTIAL AVerage
                                                                                                                                                                                                                        CAPITAL VALUE
                                                                                                                                                           •	During 4Q 2011, several redevelopment
                                                                                                                                                             residential projects were ready for possession                 100,000

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                90,000
                                                                                                                                                             in locations such as Anand Niketan, Vasant                         80,000

                                                                                                                                                             Vihar, Westend, Defence Colony and Malcha                          70,000
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                60,000

                                                                                                                                                             Marg.                                                              50,000
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                40,000
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                30,000




                                                                                                                                                                                                                INR per Sq Ft
                                                                                                                                                           •	No new project was launched during 4Q                              20,000
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                10,000
                                                                                                                                                             2011.                                                                   0




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     Vasant Vihar
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   Sunder Nagar




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   Anand Niketan,
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             Prithviraj Road,
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            Aurangzeb Road



                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         Chanakya Puri


                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             Golf Links, Jor Bagh,



                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        Shanti Niketan,
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              Westend


                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            Panchashila, Anandlok,
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   Niti Bagh, SDA


                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        Friends Colony,
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        Maharani Bagh


                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            Greater Kailash
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               I & II, South
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 Extension
                                                                                                                                                           •	Capital values for premium residential
                                                                                                                                                             properties observed a minor appreciation in
                                                                                                                                                             the range of 2% to 5% quarter on quarter
                                                                                                                                                             across all the micro markets. This could be
                                                                                                                                                             attributed to the limited premium supply and
delhi                                                                                                                                                        scope of development.
                                                                                                                                                                                                                        CAPITAL VALUE TRENDS
                                                                                                                                                           •	Due to continuous demand from expatriates
CITY RESIDENTIAL BAROMETER                                                                                                                                   and officials of MNC and Indian Corporate                          90,000


                                                                                                                                                             for prime residential properties, rental values
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                80,000
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                70,000
                                                                           3Q 2011                                     4Q 2011                               recorded an increase in the range of 7 to                          60,000


                                                                                                                                                             10% quarter on quarter across all the micro
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                50,000
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                40,000
              RENTAL VALUE                                                                                                                                   markets, except for a few location such as                         30,000




                                                                                                                                                                                                                INR per Sq Ft
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                20,000
                                                                                                                                                             Prithviraj Road, Aurangzeb Road, where rates
           CAPITAL VALUE                                                                                                                                                                                                        10,000

                                                                                                                                                             remained stable.                                                       0




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          1Q2008

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       2Q2008

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                3Q2008

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 4Q2008

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          1Q2009

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          2Q2009

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     3Q2009

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 4Q2009

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          1Q2010

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              2Q2010

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       3Q2010

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   4Q2010

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            1Q2011

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     2Q2011

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               3Q2011

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        4Q2011
                                                                                                                                                           •	The Delhi state cabinet has hiked the circle
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          Golf Links, Jor Bagh, Sunder Nagar                                                                             Prithviraj Road, Aurangzeb Road

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          Chanakya Puri                                                                                                 Shanti Niketan, Westend

                                                                                                                                                             rates for the second time this year in Delhi.                                                Panchashila, Anandlok, Niti Bagh, SDA                                                                         Friends Colony, Maharani Bagh


                                                                                                                                                             The circle rate hike was highest in category                                                 Greater Kailash I & II, South Extension                                                                       Anand Niketan, Vasant Vihar



                                                                                                                                                             ‘A’ (Anand Niketan, Bhikaji Cama Place,
                                                                                                                                                             Friends Colony, Maharani Bagh, Nehru Place
                                                                                                                                                             etc.) at 250% while in B (Defence Colony,
                                                                                                                                                                                                                        4Q 2011 PREMIUM RESIDENTIAL average
 COLLIERS RESIDEX 4Q 2011 - DELHI                                                                                                                            Greater Kailash, Green Park, Hauz Khas etc.),
                                                                                                                                                                                                                        RENTAL VALUE
                                                                                                                                                             C (Civil Lines, East of Kailash, Kalkaji, Lajpat
   150                                                                                                                                                       Nagar etc.) and D (Anand Vihar, Dwarka,
   140                                                                                                                                                       Janakpuri,Karol Bagh etc.) category areas the                                                                                Prithviraj Road, Aurangzeb Road
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       160
   130
                                                                                                                                                             circle rates increased by 100%. Earlier this                                     Anand Niketan,
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                Vasant Vihar
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       140
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       120                                                                      Chanakya Puri
   120
                                                                                                                                                             year in February, the circle rates increased up
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      100
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        80
    110
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        60
   100                                                                                                                                                       to 100% in various categories.                                                 Greater                                                     40
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           Kailash I                                                    20
    90                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   & II, South                                                     0                                                                                  Golf Links, Jor Bagh,
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         Extension                                                                                                                                             Sunder Nagar
    80

    70

    60                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      Friends Colony,                                                                                                                     Shanti Niketan, Westend
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            Maharani Bagh
    50
          1Q2008

                   2Q2008

                            3Q2008

                                     4Q2008

                                              1Q2009

                                                       2Q2009

                                                                3Q2009

                                                                         4Q2009

                                                                                  1Q2010

                                                                                           2Q2010

                                                                                                    3Q2010

                                                                                                             4Q2010

                                                                                                                      1Q2011

                                                                                                                               2Q2011

                                                                                                                                         3Q2011

                                                                                                                                                  4Q2011




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          Panchashila, Anandlok, Niti Bagh, SDA

Rebase to 100                                                                                                                                                                                                   INR per Sq ft Per Month




   NEW PROJECTS

   Project Name                                                                                                                         Location                                Developer Name          Tentative Possession                                                                                              Rate (Per Sq.ft.)*

   Kings Court                                                                                                                          Greater Kailash- II                     DLF                                              1Q 2015                                                                                                                               36,000

   Queens Court                                                                                                                         Greater Kailash- II                     DLF                                              1Q 2015                                                                                                                               26,000

   Capital Greens                                                                                                                       Shivaji Marg                            DLF                                             2Q 2015                                                                                                                                14,000

   Winter Hills                                                                                                                         Dwarka Morh                             Umang Realtech                                  4Q 2013                                                                                                                                 7,000




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           Note: * As quoted by developer



p. 4               | Colliers International                                                                                                                                                                                                                              Colliers International |                                                                                                                       p. 4
India residential property market overview Q1 2012
India residential property market overview Q1 2012
India residential property market overview Q1 2012
India residential property market overview Q1 2012
India residential property market overview Q1 2012
India residential property market overview Q1 2012
India residential property market overview Q1 2012
India residential property market overview Q1 2012

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India residential property market overview Q1 2012

  • 1. Residential Property Market Overview INDIA QUARTERLY UPDATE | FEBRUARY | 2012 Accelerating success.
  • 2. 4Q 2011 | THE KNOWLEDGE Research report SYDNEY CENTRAL BUSINESS DISTRICT research & forecast Report India RESIDENTIAL market MACRO ECONOMIC OVERVIEW • As per the latest Reserve Bank of India (RBI) projections GDP growth rate was recorded at 6.9% for 4Q 2011. The estimates by various agencies project the growth rate within a range of 7% to 8% for 2011-2012, suggesting a moderation in the growth process. • Provisional Wholesale Price Index as reported by Ministry of Finance was 7.47% for December 2011. This quarter there was a slight decline in primary inflation due to the decrease food inflation which stood at -3.36%. • In 4Q 2011, RBI did not increase repo rates. It further stated that there will not likely be any further increase to the policy rates, provided headline inflation moderates as is expected. The repo rate is currently at 8.5%. ECONOMIC BAROMETER Dec-10 Dec-11 • The Department of Industrial Policy and Promotion (DIPP) recorded FDI inflow for the period April to October, 2011 in Housing & Real Estate at INR 2,130 crores; which is a 2/3rd reduction REPO RATE 6.25% 8.50% from the highs of the years 2008-09 and 2009-10. The Housing and Construction sector contribution to the total FDI has also reduced to 2.31% from to 7% in the previous year. REVERSE REPO RATE 5.25% 7.50% • In 4Q 2011, Indian Rupee (INR) fell further by approximately 10% against the US Dollar to close CRR 6.00% 6.00% at INRs 54.40 to 1.00 USD on 29th December 2011. The Rupee also weakened against the Euro INFLATION 9.47% 7.47% dropping by approximately 5% to close the quarter at INRs 70.99 to 1.00 Euro. Home Loan Rate* 8.00% 11.00% • ualified Foreign Investor can now directly invest in the Indian Equity Market. The investment Q limit is to 5% and 10% for individual and QFIs respectively of their paid up capital of the company that they establish in India. Return on Alternative Investments ECONOMIC INDICATORS Dec-10 Dec-11 YoY % 12.0 Change Gold 20,496 28,041 36.81% 10.0 SILVER 45,346 51,168 12.84% 8.0 In Percentage Fixed Deposit 6.0 (= 1 year)** 8.50% 9.25% 8.82% EQUITY 20,389 15,836 -22.33% 4.0 REALTY INDEX 2,856 1,497 -47.57% 2.0 * SBI Home Loan Rate for Loan upto INR 50 Lakhs. 0.0 ** For amount below INR 1 Crore Jan ‘08 Feb ‘08 Mar ‘08 Apr ‘08 May ‘08 Jun ‘08 Jul ‘08 Aug ‘08 Sep‘08 Oct‘08 Nov ‘08 Dec ‘08 Jan ‘09 Feb ‘09 Mar ‘09 Apr ‘09 May ‘09 Jun ‘09 Jul ‘09 Aug ‘09 Sep‘09 Oct‘09 Nov ‘09 Dec ‘09 Jan ‘10 Feb ‘10 Mar ‘10 Apr ‘10 May ‘10 Jun ‘10 Jul ‘10 Aug ‘10 Sep‘10 Oct‘10 Nov ‘10 Dec ‘10 Jan ‘11 Feb ‘11 Mar ‘11 Apr ‘11 May ‘11 Jun ‘11 Jul ‘11 Aug ‘11 Sep‘11 Oct ‘11 Nov ‘11 Dec ‘11 (-2.0) Repo Rate Reverse Repo Rate Cash Reserve Ratio Wholesale Price Index Source: Colliers International India Research www.colliers.com
  • 3. THE KNOWLEDGE | 4q 2011 | residential | Mumbai mumbai 4Q 2011 PREMIUM RESIDENTIAL AVerage CAPITAL VALUE • In 4Q 2011, various projects/phases of the projects were completed in Mumbai, including 70,000 60,000 “Kalpataru Aura” at Ghatkopar by Kalpataru 50,000 developers and “Lodha Bellissimo” by Lodha 40,000 Group at Mahalaxmi. 30,000 20,000 INR per sq ft 10,000 • This quarter, the Mumbai real estate market 0 witnessed the launch of several residential Khar Malabar Hill, Altamount Road, Carmichael Road Breach Candy, Napeansea Road, Peddar Road Colaba, Cuffe Parade Worli Prabhadevi Bandra Santacruz Juhu Andheri Powai projects, such as “Hill Crest” by Hubtown Ltd., “Aria” by Parinee Developers, “Island City Centre” by Bombay Realty, “Tripolis” by Ekta World and “Green Acres” by Nirman Relators. Lodha Group also launched its mix use development project called “New MUMBAI Cuffe Parade”, on its 23-acre land parcel in Wadala. This land was purchased in 2010 at CAPITAL VALUE TRENDS approximately INR 4,500 crore. CITY RESIDENTIAL BAROMETER 75,000 • The residential market remained subdued, 65,000 3Q 2011 4Q 2011 and fewer transactions were recorded during 55,000 45,000 the quarter on account of an unstable global 35,000 RENTAL VALUE economy and rising interest. Capital values 25,000 INR per sq ft remained stable in almost all the micro CAPITAL VALUE 15,000 markets except for a few locations such as 5,000 1Q2008 2Q2008 3Q2008 4Q2008 1Q2009 2Q2009 3Q2009 4Q2009 1Q2010 2Q2010 3Q2010 4Q2010 1Q2011 2Q2011 3Q2011 4Q2011 Breach Candy, Napeansea Road, Peddar Road, Worli, Prabhadevi, Andheri and Powai where Breach Candy, Khar Colaba, Cuffe Andheri Napeansea Road, Parade capital value values witnessed an increase in Peddar Road Prabhadevi Bandra Worli Santacruz Malabar Hill, Altamount Road, Carmichael the range of 3 to 6% quarter on quarter. Juhu Road • The premium residential lease market remained active at locations such as Malabar 4Q 2011 PREMIUM RESIDENTIAL AVerage COLLIERS RESIDEX 4Q 2011 - MUMBAI Hill, Altamount Road, Carmichael Road, Breach RENTAL VALUE Candy, Napeansea Road, Peddar Road, Khar, 150 Juhu and Powai. These locations observed an Malabar Hill, Altamount Road, appreciation in rental values in the range of Carmichael Road 140 Breach Candy, Powai 200 Napeansea Rd., 130 1 % to 3% quarter on quarter. 150 Peddar rd. 120 110 Andheri 100 Colaba, Cuffe Parade 100 • The state government has decided to provide 50 90 an additional 0.33 Floor Space Index (FSI) 0 80 in suburbs of Mumbai. The FSI would Juhu Prabhadevi 70 60 be available to the developer on paying a 50 premium. Currently, the state government Santacruz Worli 2Q2008 4Q2008 2Q2009 4Q2009 3Q2008 3Q2009 allows an FSI of 1 in the suburbs and 1.33 in 2Q2010 4Q2010 1Q2008 1Q2009 3Q2010 1Q2010 2Q2011 4Q2011 3Q2011 1Q2011 Khar Bandra Rebase to 100 the island city. INR per Sq ft Per Month NEW PROJECTS Project Name Location Developer Name Tentative Possession Rate (Per Sq.ft.)* Aria Juhu Vile Parle Development Parinee Developers 4Q 2014 23,000 Green Acres Malad East Nirman Relators 4Q 2016 8,500 Hill Crest Jogeshwari Vikhroli Link Road Hub Town 2Q 2014 9,500 Island City Center Dadar East Bombay Realty 4Q 2016 37,500 Tripolis Goregaon West Ekta World 4Q 2016 10,500 Note: * As quoted by developer p. 3 | Colliers International Colliers International | p. 3
  • 4. THE KNOWLEDGE | 4Q 2011 | residential | delhi Delhi 4Q 2011 PREMIUM RESIDENTIAL AVerage CAPITAL VALUE • During 4Q 2011, several redevelopment residential projects were ready for possession 100,000 90,000 in locations such as Anand Niketan, Vasant 80,000 Vihar, Westend, Defence Colony and Malcha 70,000 60,000 Marg. 50,000 40,000 30,000 INR per Sq Ft • No new project was launched during 4Q 20,000 10,000 2011. 0 Vasant Vihar Sunder Nagar Anand Niketan, Prithviraj Road, Aurangzeb Road Chanakya Puri Golf Links, Jor Bagh, Shanti Niketan, Westend Panchashila, Anandlok, Niti Bagh, SDA Friends Colony, Maharani Bagh Greater Kailash I & II, South Extension • Capital values for premium residential properties observed a minor appreciation in the range of 2% to 5% quarter on quarter across all the micro markets. This could be attributed to the limited premium supply and delhi scope of development. CAPITAL VALUE TRENDS • Due to continuous demand from expatriates CITY RESIDENTIAL BAROMETER and officials of MNC and Indian Corporate 90,000 for prime residential properties, rental values 80,000 70,000 3Q 2011 4Q 2011 recorded an increase in the range of 7 to 60,000 10% quarter on quarter across all the micro 50,000 40,000 RENTAL VALUE markets, except for a few location such as 30,000 INR per Sq Ft 20,000 Prithviraj Road, Aurangzeb Road, where rates CAPITAL VALUE 10,000 remained stable. 0 1Q2008 2Q2008 3Q2008 4Q2008 1Q2009 2Q2009 3Q2009 4Q2009 1Q2010 2Q2010 3Q2010 4Q2010 1Q2011 2Q2011 3Q2011 4Q2011 • The Delhi state cabinet has hiked the circle Golf Links, Jor Bagh, Sunder Nagar Prithviraj Road, Aurangzeb Road Chanakya Puri Shanti Niketan, Westend rates for the second time this year in Delhi. Panchashila, Anandlok, Niti Bagh, SDA Friends Colony, Maharani Bagh The circle rate hike was highest in category Greater Kailash I & II, South Extension Anand Niketan, Vasant Vihar ‘A’ (Anand Niketan, Bhikaji Cama Place, Friends Colony, Maharani Bagh, Nehru Place etc.) at 250% while in B (Defence Colony, 4Q 2011 PREMIUM RESIDENTIAL average COLLIERS RESIDEX 4Q 2011 - DELHI Greater Kailash, Green Park, Hauz Khas etc.), RENTAL VALUE C (Civil Lines, East of Kailash, Kalkaji, Lajpat 150 Nagar etc.) and D (Anand Vihar, Dwarka, 140 Janakpuri,Karol Bagh etc.) category areas the Prithviraj Road, Aurangzeb Road 160 130 circle rates increased by 100%. Earlier this Anand Niketan, Vasant Vihar 140 120 Chanakya Puri 120 year in February, the circle rates increased up 100 80 110 60 100 to 100% in various categories. Greater 40 Kailash I 20 90 & II, South 0 Golf Links, Jor Bagh, Extension Sunder Nagar 80 70 60 Friends Colony, Shanti Niketan, Westend Maharani Bagh 50 1Q2008 2Q2008 3Q2008 4Q2008 1Q2009 2Q2009 3Q2009 4Q2009 1Q2010 2Q2010 3Q2010 4Q2010 1Q2011 2Q2011 3Q2011 4Q2011 Panchashila, Anandlok, Niti Bagh, SDA Rebase to 100 INR per Sq ft Per Month NEW PROJECTS Project Name Location Developer Name Tentative Possession Rate (Per Sq.ft.)* Kings Court Greater Kailash- II DLF 1Q 2015 36,000 Queens Court Greater Kailash- II DLF 1Q 2015 26,000 Capital Greens Shivaji Marg DLF 2Q 2015 14,000 Winter Hills Dwarka Morh Umang Realtech 4Q 2013 7,000 Note: * As quoted by developer p. 4 | Colliers International Colliers International | p. 4