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Residential Property Market Overview
February 2014
Research & Forecast Report
India I Residential | Feb 2014

SYDNEY CENTRAL BUSINESS DISTRICT

research & forecast Report

Macro Economic Overview
•	The GDP grew by 4.6% in the first half of FY2013-14, which is the slowest economic
growth rate in the last nine years. The Reserve Bank of India (RBI), The World Bank, IMF
and ADB have lowered the growth forecast from 3.75% to 5.3% for 2013-14.
•	RBI raised its policy repo rate to 7.75% amid market worries over slowing growth and
the prospect of further tapering of US stimulus. Following the hike, banks are likely to
increase their home loan rates.

ECONOMIC BAROMETER

Dec-12

Dec-13

Repo rate

8.00%

7.75%

Reverse Repo rate

7.00%

6.75%

CRR

4.25%

4.00%

7.31%

6.16%

10.00%

10.30%

Inflation
Home loan rate

1

Return on Alternative Investments
Dec-12

Dec-13

31,096

30,434

-2.13%

Silver

59,963

46,121

-23.08%

Equity
Realty Index

3

8.50%

9.00%

ECONOMIC INDICATORS
12.0

5.88%

11.0

18,916

20,703

9.44%

10.0

1,940

1,347

-30.57%

8.0

SBI Home loan rate for loan upto INR 30 Lakhs
2
SBI Fixed deposit rate for a period of more than one year
and amount below INR 1 Crore
3
Realty Index is a free float weighted index, comprised of
real estate development companies in the BSE-500 Index.

9.0

In Percentage

2

Fixed Deposit

1

•	COLLIERS VIEW: The Indian real estate markets are primarily sentiment driven, and
the perception due to the adverse economic climate is that the residential sector will
witness lower demand until at least the national elections. We believe that for those
looking at a longer term investment, this is a good time to buy a property. Property today
is available at good discounts, and with prospects of a stable government the demand is
likely to rebound.

YoY %
Change

Gold

•	Due to the pessimistic economic outlook, sales volumes have come down by 15% to
40%. In the primary market, many developers were willing to negotiate on prices and
offered various incentives. In the secondary market, a substantial discount was available
and prices were well below that of the primary market. This is primarily because
investors shied away from the market, as they found it difficult to flip units and do not
foresee significant capital appreciation in the realty sector in the short term.

7.0
6.0
5.0
4.0
3.0
2.0
1.0

Repo Rate

Source: Goverment of India, Colliers International India Research

2 Research & Forecast Report | Feb 2014 | Residential | Colliers International
www.colliers.com

Cash Reserve Ratio

Wholesale Price Index

Oct ‘13

Dec ‘13

Jun ‘13

Aug ‘13

Feb‘13

Apr ‘13

Oct‘12

-2.0

Dec‘12

Jun‘12

Aug‘12

Feb‘12

Apr‘12

Oct‘11

Dec‘11

Jun‘11

Aug‘11

Feb‘11

Apr‘11

Oct‘10

Dec‘10

Jun‘10

Aug‘10

Feb‘10

Apr‘10

Oct‘09

Dec‘09

Aug‘09

Apr ‘09

Jun ‘09

Feb ‘09

Oct‘08

Dec’08

jun’ 08

Aug’08

-1.0

Apr ‘08

0.0
Mumbai
AVERAGE CAPITAL VALUE RANGE
80,000
70,000
60,000
50,000
INR per sq.ft.

•		 e market witnessed limited projects
Th
launched in micro-markets like
Goregaon, Byculla and Dombivali. These
projects were priced in the range of INR
12,750 to 19,000 per sq ft. A large-scale
mid-range project, Palava by Lodha
Group, was launched at Dombivali at
INR4,545 per sq ft.

Virar - Boisar

3,000 - 5,500

Note: Ongoing Price: Indicative asking price in the primary
market.

•	COLLIERS VIEW: Low liquidity, an
increase in interest rates and ready
reckoner rates will keep residential
markets under pressure in coming
quarters. Absorption in the luxury
segment will remain restricted; however,
the new launches in the middle and
low-end segments will continue to
have traction at the introductory prices.
Overall capital values in the primary and
secondary sales markets are expected
to be under pressure in the short to
medium term.

Andheri

Powai

Santacruz

Juhu

Khar

Bandra

Prabhadevi

Worli

South Mumbai

70,000
60,000
50,000
40,000
30,000
20,000
10,000
0

Colaba,
Cuffe Parade
Bandra

Andheri

Khar
Prabhadevi

Juhu

Santacruz

Breach Candy,
Napeansea Road,
Peddar Road

3Q2014F

3,500 - 7,500

80,000

3Q2013

Navi Mumbai

AVERAGE CAPITAL VALUE TRENDS

1Q2014F

4,000 - 8,000

Bandra

Khar

1Q2013

Thane - Kalyan

Prabhadevi

Santacruz

1Q2012

Ongoing Price
(P.S.F)

Worli

3Q2012

Micro Market

0
Juhu

3Q2011

INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITIES

50

1Q2011

Construction Pace

Colaba,
Cuffe Parade

100

Andheri

3Q2010

New Project

Breach Candy,
Napeansea
Road, Peddar Road

150

1Q2010

Rental Value

•	The state government has increased the
ready reckoner rates for residential and
commercial properties by up to 20% in
26 posh zones of Mumbai. The increase
in rates will impacts micro-markets like
Worli, Napeansea Road, Altamount Road
and Carter Road. The government is
expected to collect over INR20,000 crore
in 2013 - 14 via stamps and registration.
The increase in the ready reckoner rates
may result in increase in property prices
in these areas.

Malabar Hill, Altamount
Road, Carmichael Road
200

Powai

3Q2009

Capital Value

AVERAGE rental value

1Q2009

1Q 2014F

0

1Q2008

4Q 2013

10,000

INR per sq.ft. per month

CITY RESIDENTIAL BAROMETER

•	The average capital and rental values of
prime residential properties remained
stable. Due to very limited transactions
by both investors and end-users across
the city.

30,000
20,000

INR Per sq.ft.

MumBAI

40,000

3Q2008

•	Demand for premium residential
	
properties in the secondary sales market
remained moderate this quarter due to
high price points. In the primary market,
developers remained open to negotiation
on prices in projects having significant
unsold inventory.

Malabar Hill,
Altamount Road,
Carmichael Road

Powai

Worli

Note: Above values represents indicative asking price for
premium properties

SELECT NEW PROJECTS
Project Name

Location

Developer
Name

Tentative
Possession*

Rate (Per
Sq.ft.)**

Aveza (Gateway Towers)

Mulund East

Tata Housing

4Q 2017

13,500

Elanza

Santacruz East

Shamik Group

1Q 2015

17,000

Monte South

Byculla

Marathon Realty

4Q 2018

18,999

Palava

Dombivali

Lodha Group

4Q 2018

4,545

Raheja Ridgewood	

Goregaon

Raheja Group

4Q 2017

13,250

Sunteck City - Avenue II

Goregaon

Sunteck Realty

4Q 2018

12,750

Note: * As mentioned by developer ** Base selling price as quoted by developer

3
Delhi

Greater Kailash I &
II, South Extension

Panchashila, Anandlok, Niti Bagh, SDA

Friends Colony,
Maharani Bagh

Anand Niketan,
Vasant Vihar

Shanti Niketan,
Westend

Chanakya Puri

Anand Niketan,
Vasant Vihar

160

Chanakya Puri

120
80
40

Greater
Kailash I
& II, South
Extension

Golf Links,
Jor Bagh,
Sunder Nagar

0

Shanti Niketan,
Westend

Friends Colony,
Maharani Bagh

•	In order to create more land for residential
development on the outskirts of Delhi,
the Delhi Development Authority (DDA)
proposes to target areas like Kanjhawala,
Najafgarh, Burari, Ghitroni and Bawana
for real estate development as amended
in Master Plan of Delhi (MPD-2021).

Panchashila, Anandlok,
Niti Bagh, SDA

AVERAGE CAPITAL VALUE TRENDS
80,000
70,000
60,000
50,000
40,000
30,000
20,000

Prithviraj Road,
Aurangzeb Road
Chanakya Puri
Golf Links, Jor Bagh,
Sundar Nagar
Shanti Niketan, Westend

3Q2014F

3Q2013

1Q2014F

1Q2013

3Q2012

0

1Q2012

10,000

1Q2008

•	COLLIERS VIEW: The residential sector
will witness restricted demand until at
least the national elections. However, the
new state government started focusing
on various stalled infrastructure projects
in the city which are expected to be
operational in coming quarters. Rental
and capital values will remain under
pressure in near term for premium
properties.

Golf Links, Jor Bagh,
Sunder Nagar

Prithviraj Road,
Aurangzeb Road

Prithviraj Road,
Aurangzeb Road
200

1Q2011

Construction Pace

•	Capital values have come under pressure
and properties were available in the
market at heavy discounts. The sales
volumes were low and only a few deals
were concluded.

AVERAGE rental value

3Q2011

New Project

•	Pressures on rents continued with the
officials of multinational corporations
and expatriates that are currently trying
to optimise their costs negotiating on
rental values. However, asking rentals
have not changed much from previous
quarter.

1Q2010

Rental Value

0

3Q2010

Capital Value

15,000

1Q2009

1Q 2014F

45,000
30,000

INR Per sq.ft.

4Q 2013

60,000

3Q2009

CITY RESIDENTIAL BAROMETER

90,000
75,000

INR per sq.ft. per month

Delhi

105,000

3Q2008

•	Limited new supply entered into Delhi
prime residential this quarter, in the
form of redevelopment in Vasant Vihar
and Panchsheel Park micro markets.

AVERAGE CAPITAL VALUE RANGE
120,000

INR per sq.ft.

•	The Delhi residential market remained
depressed for a third consecutive quarter.
Sales volumes were reduced significantly
primarily because of limited investor
interest in view of the current political
turbulence.

Panchashila, Anandlok,
Niti Bagh, SDA
Friends Colony,
Maharani Bagh
Greater Kailash I & II,
South Extension
Anand Niketan,
Vasant Vihar

Note: Above values represents indicative asking price for
premium properties

SELECT NEW PROJECTS
Project Name

Location

Developer
Name

Tentative
Possession*

Rate (Per
Sq.ft.)**

Capital Greens

Shivaji Marg

DLF Ltd.

2Q 2015

14,000

Castlewood

Okhla

Indiabulls Ltd.

2Q 2014

12,800

Kings Court

Greater Kailash- II

DLF Ltd.

1Q 2015

40,000

Queens Court

Greater Kailash- II

DLF Ltd.

1Q 2015

36,000

Signature Villas

Connaught Place

Tata Housing Ltd.

4Q 2017

120,000 - 150,000

Winter Hills

Dwaraka Morh

Umang Realtech

2Q 2014

10,250

Note: * As mentioned by developer ** Base selling price as quoted by developer

4 Research & Forecast Report | Feb 2014 | Residential | Colliers International
Gurgaon

Gurgaon

35,000
30,000

•	Projects which were close to completion
witnessed robust demand from endusers. However, in the secondary market,
a substantial discount was available
and prices were well below that of the
primary market. Slow construction
activities resulted in completion of few
residential projects / parts of projects
like “Tulip Orange” by Tulip Infratech
Pvt, Ltd, at Sector 70.

25,000
20,000
15,000
10,000

DLF Phase I

Sohna Road & Ext

Sushant Lok

NH - 8

0

Golf Course Road

5,000

AVERAGE rental value
Golf Course Road

80

Note: Ongoing Price: Indicative asking price in the primary
market.

•	COLLIERS VIEW: Looking forward, the
capital values are expected to remain
under pressure in coming quarters.
End-user activity is expected to remain
restricted primarily due to high price
points and relatively fewer options
available for mid-segment housing.
The pre-launches in the mid- and lowend segment will continue evince good
response at the introductory prices.

INR per sq.ft. per month

4,000
2,000
0

Golf Course Road
NH-8

Sohna Road
& Ext
Sushant Lok

3Q2014F

4,000 - 5,000

3Q2013

New Gurgaon

8,000
6,000

1Q2014F

4,500 - 5,500

1Q2013

Pataudi Road

10,000

3Q2012

4,000 - 5,000

14,000
12,000

1Q2012

Sohna Extension

18,000
16,000

1Q2011

7,500 - 9,000

AVERAGE CAPITAL VALUE TRENDS

3Q2011

Golf Course Road
Extension

DLF Phase I

1Q2010

Ongoing Price
(P.S.F)

Sushant Lok

3Q2010

INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITIES

•	In order to boost residential real estate
activities, the Haryana government
has decided to allow mixed land use
in commercial zones notified in the
master plan. According to the new
policy, projects with at least 10 acres
land and located along at least 30 meter
wide road, will be allowed mixed use
development comprising a maximum of
50% residential usage.

0

3Q2009

Construction Pace

Sohna Road
& Ext

20

1Q2009

New Project

40
NH - 8

3Q2008

Rental Value

•	Due to decreased demand, developers
remained cautious in launching new
projects. Restricted sales volumes in
both primary and secondary markets
resulted in downward pressure on both
capital and rental values across all micro
markets.

INR Per sq.ft.

1Q 2014F

Capital Value

Micro Market

40,000

60

CITY RESIDENTIAL BAROMETER
4Q 2013

AVERAGE CAPITAL VALUE RANGE
45,000

INR per sq.ft.

•	During 4Q 2013, restricted investor
	
activity pulled down the overall demand
in Gurgaon’s residential market. In the
primary market, developers did not
reduce the base selling price, but many
were willing to negotiate and offered
various incentives.

DLF Phase I

Note: Above values represents indicative asking price for
premium properties

SELECT NEW PROJECTS
Project Name

Location

Developer
Name

Tentative
Possession*

Rate (Per
Sq.ft.)**

Ashiana Landcraft

Sector 88A

Ashiana Group

4Q 2017

6,250

BPTP Pedestal

Sector 70A

BPTP Ltd.	

4Q 2018

7,000

Eldeco Sohna

Sohna Road

Eldeco Group

4Q 2018

4,250

Imperial Tower (Godrej Summit)

Sector 104

Godrej Group

4Q 2017

7,400

Ivy Terraces

Sector 70	

Unitech Ltd.

4Q 2018

4,500 - 6,500

Tranquil Heights

Sector 82A

Vatika Group

4Q 2017

7,200

Note: * As mentioned by developer ** Base selling price as quoted by developer

5
NOIDA
AVERAGE CAPITAL VALUE RANGE

•	The NOIDA residential property market
witnessed low sales volumes in both
primary and secondary residential
markets in 4Q 2013.

4,000 - 7,000

Sectors 71 to 83

4,500 - 5,500

Note: Ongoing Price: Indicative asking price in the primary
market.

Sector 28, 29, 30

Sector 61, 62., 63

Sector 50

Sector 92/93

Sector 44

0

Sector 61,62,63

INR per sq.ft.

Sector 92/93

AVERAGE CAPITAL VALUE TRENDS
12,000
10,500
9,000
7,500
6,000
4,500
3,000
1,500
0

3Q2014F

NOIDA Expressway

Sector 50

10

1Q2014F

Ongoing Price
(P.S.F)

20
Sector
28,29,30

3Q2013

Micro Market

•	COLLIERS VIEW: Currently, investors are
delaying their decisions due to economic
and political uncertainties. However,
considering the fact that the NOIDA
residential market is primarily driven by
end-users, the market may see marginal
increase in end-user and investor activity
with many new projects in the pipeline
offering various attractive offers and
other promotional schemes to lure buyer
interest. The market is expecting the
completion of various projects that were
launched during 2009 to 2010 and which
have already been delayed one or two
years. This additional supply will keep
capital and rental values stable across all
micro markets.

30

1Q2013

INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITIES

Sector 44

40

1Q2012

Construction Pace

AVERAGE rental value

3Q2012

New Project

0

3Q2011

Rental Value

1,500

1Q2011

•	In order to optimise the utilisation of land
and improve the habitability of NOIDA,
the NOIDA authority has approved a
mixed land use policy in NOIDA Master
Plan 2021, which will permit residential
facilities in commercial and institutional
areas.

Capital Value

3,000

3Q2010

1Q 2014F

4,500

1Q2010

4Q 2013

6,000

3Q2009

CITY RESIDENTIAL BAROMETER

9,000
7,500

INR per sq.ft. per month

Noida

•	Capital values and rental values in both
primary and secondary markets remained
stable; this is due to limited interest from
both investors and end-users. However,
developers offered various incentives,
that included cash discount to clear their
unsold inventories.

10,500

INR Per sq.ft.

•	New launches have dried up in the
fourth quarter in NOIDA and only a few
residential projects were launched, in
the price band of 4000 to 9000 per sq ft.
However a premium residential project
“Brys Buzz” by Brys Group at Sector 150
was priced at INR17,000 per sq ft.

12,000

Sector 92 / 93

Sector 44

Sector 50

Sector 61,62,63

Sector 28,29,30

Note: Above values represents indicative asking price for
premium properties

SELECT NEW PROJECTS
Project Name

Location

Developer
Name

Tentative
Possession*

Rate (Per
Sq.ft.)**

Brys Buzz

Sector 150

Brys Group

4Q 2017

17,000

Mahagun Meadows	

Sector 150

Mahagun Group

4Q 2016

4,550

Pratishtha

Sector 75	

Panchsheel
Buildtech Pvt. Ltd

4Q 2017

4,960

Romano

Sector-118

Supertech Ltd.

4Q 2017

4,150

Vasilia

Sector-32 & 25A

Wave Group

4Q 2016

8,370

Victory We

Sector 25A

Victory Projects

4Q 2015

8,650

Note: * As mentioned by developer ** Base selling price as quoted by developer

6 Research & Forecast Report | Feb 2014 | Residential | Colliers International
Chennai

CITY RESIDENTIAL BAROMETER
4Q 2013

1Q 2014F

Capital Value
Rental Value
New Project
Construction Pace

INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITIES
Micro Market

Ongoing Price
(P.S.F)

Velachery

5,000 - 7,000

Sholinganallur

3,500 - 4,200

Siruseri/ Kazipattur

3,000 - 4,000

Kelambakkam

3,000 - 4,000

34,000
30,000

INR per sq.ft.

26,000
22,000
18,000
14,000
10,000
6,000

Siruseri/ Kazipattur

Sholinganallur

Velachery

T Nagar

Adyar

Beasant Nagar

Anna Nagar

Alwarpet /
R A Puram

Boat Club

Nungambakkam

2,000

AVERAGE rental value
Boat Club
85

Siruseri/ Kazipattur

Nungambakkam

70
55
40

Sholinganallur

Anna Nagar

25
10
-5

Adyar

Velachery

•	During the same quarter, capital
values increased in the range of 2 - 9%
QoQ across all micro-markets, except
Nungambakkam and Anna Nagar, where
capital values remained stable due to
the high price bracket and low demand
base.

Beasant Nagar

Alwarpet /
R A Puram
T Nagar

AVERAGE CAPITAL VALUE TRENDS
25,000

21,000

•	Rents increased in the range of 4 - 10%
QoQ in most micro-markets, except Boat
Club, Anna Nagar, Adyar, Beasant Nagar,
T Nagar and Velachery where rents
remained stable.

17,000

INR Per sq.ft.

Chennai

•	4Q 2013, saw completion of various
premium projects, including Jashn by
Arihant Group at Egmore, 36 Carat by
Akshaya Homes at Kilpauk, both priced
in the range of INR18,000 - 22,000 per
sq ft and mid-range projects like Oriana
by Doshi Housing at Perungudi; Svasti
by True Value Homes at Thoraipakkam;
Lotus Pond by Vijayshanthi Group at
Padur; Upscale by Hiranandani Group
and Opaline Ph II by Olympia Group,
both at Egattur.

AVERAGE CAPITAL VALUE RANGE
38,000

INR per sq.ft. per month

•	In 4Q 2013, many new premium and
	
mid-range projects were launched
in Chennai. Micro-markets like R.A.
Puram, T. Nagar and Kotturpuram saw
premium projects launched in the price
range of INR15,000 - 25,000 per sq ft,
while micro-markets like Thoraipakkam,
Kelambakkam, Siruseri and Pallikaranai
witnessed mid-range projects launched
in the price bracket of INR3,000 - 7,000
per sq ft.

13,000

9,000

Boat Club
Sholinganallur
Siruseri/
Kazipattur

Alwarpet /
R A Puram
Beasant Nagar

T Nagar

Nugambakkam

3Q2014F

1Q2014F

1Q2013

3Q2013

1Q2012

3Q2012

1Q2011

3Q2011

3Q2010

1Q2010

3Q2009

1Q2009

1,000

1Q2008

•	COLLIERS VIEW: Going forward, we
expect a moderate increase in capital
values in the short term in the mid-range
segment. The demand is expected to
pick up further in this segment in the
near term. Rental and capital values for
premium properties will continue to
remain stable cautious sentiments of
investors as well as occupiers.

3Q2008

5,000

Note: Ongoing Price: Indicative asking price in the primary
market.

Anna Nagar

Adyar

Velachery

Note: Above values represents indicative asking price for
premium properties

SELECT NEW PROJECTS
Project Name

Location

Developer
Name

Tentative
Possession*

Rate (Per
Sq.ft.)**

Aldea

Thoraipakkam

Casa Grande

4Q 2015

5,100

Czar

R.A.Puram

Real Value

4Q 2015

25,000

Lilac Heights

R.A.Puram

ETA Star

4Q 2015

18,000

Manadarin

Thoraipakkam

Radiance

2Q 2015

7,100

Park Residence

Kotturpuram

Olympia Group

4Q 2015

23,000

Sukriti

T.Nagar

BBCL

2Q 2015

15,000

Note: * As mentioned by developer ** Base selling price as quoted by developer

7
Bengaluru
AVERAGE CAPITAL VALUE RANGE
32,000
28,000
24,000
20,000
INR per sq.ft.

•	In 4Q 2013, the Bengaluru residential
market witnessed reasonable demand
for residential space, mainly in micromarkets like Yelahanka, Sarjapur,
Whitefield and Thanisandra Road.
However there were less projects
launched this quarter as compared to
previous three quarters.

16,000
12,000
8,000

Bengaluru

CITY RESIDENTIAL BAROMETER

Yelahanka

Bannerghatta Road

Whitefield

Airport Road

Airport Road

Jayanagar

Cooke Town

Indiranagar

Koramangala

Central

Palace Orchard

0

AVERAGE rental value
Central
80

Yelahanka

Cooke Town

Yelahanka

3,500 - 5,000

Note: Ongoing Price: Indicative asking price in the primary
market.

•	COLLIERS VIEW: The city’s premium
residential market is expected to remain
active, due to healthy residential demand
for mid-range and premium housing,
accompanied by full-on construction
activities. Looking at the positive outlook,
we anticipate that capital values will
increase further from 2 to 4% QoQ across
all micro-markets.

10,000

5,000

0

3Q2014F

4,400 - 6,000

3Q2013

Whitefield

15,000

1Q2014F

4,200 - 6,000

20,000

•		 n a major land deal, Tata Housing has
I
purchased 20 acres of land in north
Bengaluru from Alstom T&D India for
a total consideration of INR120 crore to
develop a luxury housing project.

1Q2013

Bannerghatta Road

25,000

1Q2012

5,000 - 7,000

AVERAGE CAPITAL VALUE TRENDS

•	Continuous demand from IT/ITeS sector
employees caused an upsurge of 1 - 7% in
rents QoQ, across all micro-markets.

3Q2012

Airport Road

Airport Road
Indiranagar

3Q2011

Ongoing Price
(P.S.F)

Bannerghatta Road

1Q2011

Micro Market

Palace
Orchard

3Q2010

INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITIES

Koramangala

1Q2010

Construction Pace

0

1Q2009

New Project

Jayanagar

20

3Q2009

Rental Value

40
Whitefield

3Q2008

Capital Value

•	Overall capital values in most of the
micro-markets remained stable during
the quarter; however, a increase of 9 12% QoQ was witnessed in locations like
Jayanagar, Bannerghatta Road, Whitefield
and Yelahanka. This is because few
projects have been launched at a premium
price, making a significant change in the
average capital price range.

1Q2008

1Q 2014F

INR per sq.ft. per month

60

INR Per sq.ft.

4Q 2013

•	In this quarter, the city witnessed
completion of various premium and
mid-range projects, like Nitesh Central
Park by Nitesh Estates at Bagalur Cross,
Concorde South Scape by Concorde
Group at E-City Phase 2, Patel Smondo
Ville by Patel Realty at E-City Phase 1, and
Chartered Jardin by Chartered Housing
at RMV 2nd Stage.

4,000

Central

Cooke Town

Jayanagar

Indiranagar

Airport Road

Bannerghatta Road

Yelahanka
Koramangala

Whitefield

Palace Orchard

Note: Above values represents indicative asking price for
premium properties

SELECT NEW PROJECTS
Project Name

Location

Developer
Name

Tentative
Possession*

Rate (Per
Sq.ft.)**

Concorde Amber

Off Sarjapur Road

Concorde Group

4Q 2016

4,000

Mantri Lithos

Off Hebbal

Mantri Developers

4Q 2017

5,590

Prestige Lakeside Habitat

Varthur Road

Prestige Group

4Q 2017

4,770

Purva Westend

Hosur Main Road

Puravankara
Developers

4Q 2017

4,890

Skylark Ithaca

Whitefield

Skylark Mansion

4Q 2017

3,930

Sobha Palladium

Yemlur, Old Airport Road

Sobha Developers

4Q 2016

8,560

Note: * As mentioned by developer ** Base selling price as quoted by developer

8 Research & Forecast Report | Feb 2014 | Residential | Colliers International
Kolkata
AVERAGE CAPITAL VALUE RANGE

•	Reasonable demand was witnessed
during the quarter, primarily in midrange micro-markets located in South
and North Kolkata. Most of this demand
has come from end users.

Salt Lake

4,000 - 6,000

EM Bypass

4,000 - 7,000

New Town
-Rajarhat

3,200 - 4,600

Note: Ongoing Price: Indicative asking price in the primary
market.

•	COLLIERS VIEW: Many mid-range and
affordable residential projects were
launched in the peripheral locations
and the city witnessed increasing
activity in the mid-range segment. This
could be due to smaller ticket size and
affordability. Looking forward, capital
values are expected to rise marginally,
especially in the outskirt micro-markets
due to demand from end-users.

INR per sq.ft.

Behela

VIP Road

New Town -Rajarhat

Salt Lake

Tollygunge

EM Bypass

PA Shah Road

Loudon Street

Ballygunge

Bhawanipur

Alipore

Salt Lake

Behela

Ballygunge

Loudon Street

AVERAGE CAPITAL VALUE TRENDS
20,000
18,000
16,000
12,000
10,000
8,000
6,000
4,000
2,000
0

3Q2014F

2,900 - 3,700

Alipore

1Q2014F

Behela

0
EM Bypass

1Q2013

3,600 - 4,800

Tollygunge

10

3Q2013

Tollygunge

20

1Q2012

Ongoing Price
(P.S.F)

30
VIP Road

3Q2012

Micro Market

PA Shah Road

3Q2011

INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITIES

50

40

1Q2011

Construction Pace

•	Capital values in the premium residential
market remained stable in almost all
micro-markets, except Alipore and
Ballygunge where around a 3% QoQ
increase was witnessed during the
quarter. On the other hand, rents rose
in the range of 1 - 4% QoQ in almost all
micro-markets, except PA Shah Road,
Loudon Street, Ballygunge and VIP Road
where rents remained stable, due to low
base demand and limited availability.

Bhawanipur
New Town Rajarhat

1Q2010

New Project

AVERAGE rental value

3Q2010

Rental Value

0

3Q2009

Capital Value

10,000

1Q2009

1Q 2014F

30,000
20,000

1Q2008

4Q 2013

40,000

3Q2008

CITY RESIDENTIAL BAROMETER

•	Construction
activities
remained
moderate resulting in completion of few
projects / parts of the projects during
the last quarter of 2013, including Meera
Garden by Rajat Group at Madhyamgram
and Tirumani by Mani Group at
Ballygunje.

60,000
50,000

INR per sq.ft. per month

kolkata

70,000

INR Per sq.ft.

•	During 4Q 2013, the Kolkata residential
market saw many new launches
especially in micro-markets like
Rajarhat Action Area-III, Mahishbathan,
Tollygunj, Narendrapur and Belghariya
Expressway. Most of these projects were
launched in the affordable and midranges and were priced in the range of
INR2,900 - 4,150 per sq ft.

80,000

Bhawanipur

Alipore

Tollygunge

Behela

VIP Road

P A Shah Road

EM Bypass

Salt Lake

Ballygunge

Loudon street

New Town Rajarhat

Note: Above values represents indicative asking price for
premium properties

SELECT NEW PROJECTS
Project Name

Location

Developer
Name

Tentative
Possession*

Rate (Per
Sq.ft.)**

Curiocity

Action Area-III

Realtech Nirman

4Q 2016

4,150

Ideal Aquaview

Mahishbatan

Ideal Group

4Q 2016

3,700

Ivory Tower

Tollygunj

Ivory Group

4Q 2015

4,000

Magnolia Skyview

Rajarhat

Magnolia Group

4Q 2016

3,200

North Grande

Belghariya Expressway

Mounthill Realty

4Q 2016

3,600

Sucasa Twins

Norendrapur

Rupayan Construction Pvt Ltd

4Q 2015

2,900

Note: * As mentioned by developer ** Base selling price as quoted by developer

9
Pune

Pune

AVERAGE CAPITAL VALUE RANGE
80,000
70,000
60,000
50,000
INR per sq.ft.

40,000
30,000
20,000

Pimpri/Chinchwad/
Chakan

NIBM/Undri
/Kondhwa

Kothrud/
Bavdhan/
Wajre

Baner/Hinjewadi/
Wakad/Pashan

•	During the surveyed quarter, construction
activities remained slow and thus no
known projects / parts of projects saw
completion. Going ahead, construction
activities are likely to improve.

Magarpatta/
Hadapsar

0

Kalyani Nagar/
Viman Nagar/
Kharadi
Bhawanipur

10,000

Deccan/Camp/
Boat Club

•	Demand for residential units in Pune
continued to remain stable and the city
witnessed launch of a number of midrange projects in the price range of INR
4,500 to 5,500 per sq ft. However, few
premium projects like “The Palladium”
by Guardian Developers at Kothrud,
“Sanctum” by Kumar Properties at Baner,
and “Panchshil One North” by Panchshil
Realty at Hadapsar, were priced in the
range of INR9,900 to INR14,900 per sq ft.

AVERAGE rental value
Kalyani Nagar/Viman Nagar/Kharadi
Bhawanipur

30

Kothrud/Bavdhan/
Wajre

3,800 - 6,000

NIBM/Undri/
Kondhwa

3,800 - 5,000

Pimpri/Chinchwad/
Chakan

3,000 - 4,500

Note: Ongoing Price: Indicative asking price in the primary
market.

•	COLLIERS VIEW: The Pune residential
market saw many new launches in both
premium and mid segments. Continuous
demand from end-users and investors was
witnessed and is expected to continue in
the coming few quarters. In anticipation
of reasonable demand, capital values are
expected to rise in the mid-range and
affordable housing locations like PimpriChinchwad, Chakan and Kondhwa in the
range of 2% to 3% on a quarterly basis.

7,000
6,000
5,000
4,000
3,000
2,000

1Q2014F

5,000 - 12,000

3Q2014F

Baner/Hinjewadi/
Wakad/Pashan

9,000
8,000

3Q2013

5,000 - 12,000

11,000
10,000

1Q2013

Kalyani Nagar/
Viman Nagar/
Kharadi

AVERAGE CAPITAL VALUE TRENDS

3Q2012

Ongoing Price
(P.S.F)

Baner/Hinjewadi
/Wakad/Pashan

1Q2012

Micro Market

Kothrud/ Bavdhan/ Wajre

1Q2011

INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITIES

•	In 4Q 2013, the local government hiked
the Ready Reckoner (RR) rates in an
average range of 10% to 20% in almost
all the micro markets. Capital values
are set to increase mainly in locations
like Koregaon Park, Pimple Gurav and
Pimpri-Chinchwad, where a sharp
increase in rates was witnessed.

Magarpatta/
Hadapsar

3Q2011

Construction Pace

NIBM/
Undri/
Kondhwa

3Q2010

New Project

5

1Q2010

Rental Value

15

0

1Q2009

Capital Value

Deccan/Camp
/Boat Club

20

10

3Q2009

1Q 2014F

25

Pimpri/
Chinchwad
/Chakan
INR per sq.ft. per month

4Q 2013

•	Capital values in micro markets like
Kalyani Nagar, Viman Nagar, Kharadi,
Deccan, Camp, Boat Club, PimpriChinchwad and Chakan saw a marginal
increase in the range of 1% to 3% quarteron-quarter (QoQ). The rest of all micro
markets remained stable.

INR Per sq.ft.

CITY RESIDENTIAL BAROMETER

Kalyani Nagar/Viman Nagar/
Kharadi
Kothrud/Bavdhan/Wajre

Deccan/Camp/Boat Club/
Central Pune
Magarpatta/Hadapsar

NIBM/Undri/Kondhwa

Baner/Hinjewadi/Wakad/
Pashan

Pimpri/Chinchwad/Chakan

Note: Above values represents indicative asking price for
premium properties

SELECT NEW PROJECTS
Project Name

Location

Developer
Name

Tentative
Possession*

Rate (Per
Sq.ft.)**

Bramha Skycity

Dhanori

Bramha Realty &
Infrastructure

3Q 2015

4,550 - 4,600

Eastern Ranges phase II

Keshav Nagar

Phadnis Properties

4Q 2015

5,200

Guardian The Palladium

Kothrud

Guardian
Developers

1Q 2017

14,900

Nyati Evita

Lohegaon

Nyati Group

4Q 2016

4,500

Panchshil One North

Hadapsar

Panchshil Realty

4Q 2016

9,900

Sanctum

Baner

Kumar Properties

1Q 2017

12,000

Note: * As mentioned by developer ** Base selling price as quoted by developer

10 Research & Forecast Report | Feb 2014 | Residential | Colliers International
Residential Submarkets
Mumbai
The high-end residential real estate markets in Mumbai include Malabar Hill, Altamount Road, Carmichael Road, Napean Sea Road,
Breach Candy, Colaba, Cuffe Parade, Prabhadevi, Worli, Bandra, Khar, Santacruz, Juhu and Powai.
Delhi
The prime residential areas in Delhi are in the South region and comprise Vasant Vihar, Westend, Shanti Niketan, Anand Niketan and
Central Delhi locations. These areas enjoy proximity to embassies, the airport and central commercial areas - Connaught Place.
Gurgaon
The prime residential locations of Gurgaon include Golf Course Road, DLF Phase I, Sushant Lok and Sohna Road. The Delhi- Jaipur
Highway (NH-8) is also emerging as a preferred residential location owing to its proximity to the national capital.
NOIDA
NOIDA premium residential market is comprised of sectors 44, 50, 92, 61, 62, 63 , 28, 29, 30 and Taj Express Highway.
Chennai
The prime residential areas in Chennai include Boat Club, R.A.Puram, MRC Nagar, Thiruvanmiyur, Valmiki Nagar and Besant Nagar,
R.A Puram, Mylapore and Adyar in South Chennai, Nungambakkam, Chetpet, Poes Garden, Egmore, Alwarpet, T. Nagar in Central
Chennai; and Anna Nagar, Kilpauk in North West Chennai.
Bengaluru (Bangalore)
The residential market of Bengaluru comprises both apartments and independent residences. Currently, high-end residential
developments are mainly concentrated along the CBD, and Eastern and South precincts of the city. Recently, Northern Bengaluru has
also witnessed a spree of realty activity facilitated by the new International Airport at Devanhalli.
Kolkata
The prime residential areas in Kolkata include PA Shah Road, Tollygunge and Bhawanipur in South Kolkata, Alipore and Behala in
South-west Kolkata, Loudon Street and Ballygunge in Central Kolkata; and Salt Lake, EM Bypass and VIP Road in North Kolkata.
Pune
The prime residential areas in Pune include Kalyani Nagar, Viman Nagar, Boat Club Road, NIBM Road, Magarpatta, Hadapsar, Koregaon
Park. Recently, increased activities has been witnessed in Pimpri-Chinchwad, Baner-Pashan and Kondhwa.
CITY BAROMETERS
Increasing as compared to previous quarter
Decreasing as compared to previous quarter
Remained stable from previous quarter

11
Primary Authors:

62 countries on
6 continents
United States: 140
Canada: 42
Latin America: 20
195
EMEA: 85

$2

billion in
annual revenue

1.12

billion square feet
under management

13,500

Surabhi Arora I Associate Director
Research
+91 124 456 7500
surabhi.arora@colliers.com
Amit Oberoi I National Director
Valuation & Advisory Services & Research
amit.oberoi@colliers.com
Sachin Sharma I Assistant Manager
Research
sachin.sharma@colliers.com
For Residential Services:
Mumbai:
raghavendra.prabhu@colliers.com
Delhi / NCR:
ajay.rakheja@colliers.com
Bengaluru:
goutam.chakraborty@colliers.com
Pune:
suresh.castellino@colliers.com
Chennai:
kaushik.reddy@colliers.com
Kolkata:
soumya.mukherjee@colliers.com

professionals
Technopolis Building, 1st Floor,
DLF Golf Course Road,
Sector 54, Gurgaon - 122 002
TEL +91 124 456 7500

About Colliers International
Colliers International is a global leader in commercial real estate services, with over 13,500
Corporation, Colliers International delivers a full range of services to real estate users, owners
and investors worldwide, including global corporate solutions, brokerage, property and asset
management, hotel investment sales and consulting, valuation, consulting and appraisal services,

colliers.com

Copyright © 2014 Colliers International.
ensure its accuracy, we cannot guarantee it. No responsibility is assumed for any inaccuracies. Readers are encouraged to consult

12 their professional advisors priorReport on Feb 2014 | Residential this report. International
Research & Forecast to acting | any of the material contained in | Colliers

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Residential property market overview feb 2014

  • 1. Residential Property Market Overview February 2014
  • 2. Research & Forecast Report India I Residential | Feb 2014 SYDNEY CENTRAL BUSINESS DISTRICT research & forecast Report Macro Economic Overview • The GDP grew by 4.6% in the first half of FY2013-14, which is the slowest economic growth rate in the last nine years. The Reserve Bank of India (RBI), The World Bank, IMF and ADB have lowered the growth forecast from 3.75% to 5.3% for 2013-14. • RBI raised its policy repo rate to 7.75% amid market worries over slowing growth and the prospect of further tapering of US stimulus. Following the hike, banks are likely to increase their home loan rates. ECONOMIC BAROMETER Dec-12 Dec-13 Repo rate 8.00% 7.75% Reverse Repo rate 7.00% 6.75% CRR 4.25% 4.00% 7.31% 6.16% 10.00% 10.30% Inflation Home loan rate 1 Return on Alternative Investments Dec-12 Dec-13 31,096 30,434 -2.13% Silver 59,963 46,121 -23.08% Equity Realty Index 3 8.50% 9.00% ECONOMIC INDICATORS 12.0 5.88% 11.0 18,916 20,703 9.44% 10.0 1,940 1,347 -30.57% 8.0 SBI Home loan rate for loan upto INR 30 Lakhs 2 SBI Fixed deposit rate for a period of more than one year and amount below INR 1 Crore 3 Realty Index is a free float weighted index, comprised of real estate development companies in the BSE-500 Index. 9.0 In Percentage 2 Fixed Deposit 1 • COLLIERS VIEW: The Indian real estate markets are primarily sentiment driven, and the perception due to the adverse economic climate is that the residential sector will witness lower demand until at least the national elections. We believe that for those looking at a longer term investment, this is a good time to buy a property. Property today is available at good discounts, and with prospects of a stable government the demand is likely to rebound. YoY % Change Gold • Due to the pessimistic economic outlook, sales volumes have come down by 15% to 40%. In the primary market, many developers were willing to negotiate on prices and offered various incentives. In the secondary market, a substantial discount was available and prices were well below that of the primary market. This is primarily because investors shied away from the market, as they found it difficult to flip units and do not foresee significant capital appreciation in the realty sector in the short term. 7.0 6.0 5.0 4.0 3.0 2.0 1.0 Repo Rate Source: Goverment of India, Colliers International India Research 2 Research & Forecast Report | Feb 2014 | Residential | Colliers International www.colliers.com Cash Reserve Ratio Wholesale Price Index Oct ‘13 Dec ‘13 Jun ‘13 Aug ‘13 Feb‘13 Apr ‘13 Oct‘12 -2.0 Dec‘12 Jun‘12 Aug‘12 Feb‘12 Apr‘12 Oct‘11 Dec‘11 Jun‘11 Aug‘11 Feb‘11 Apr‘11 Oct‘10 Dec‘10 Jun‘10 Aug‘10 Feb‘10 Apr‘10 Oct‘09 Dec‘09 Aug‘09 Apr ‘09 Jun ‘09 Feb ‘09 Oct‘08 Dec’08 jun’ 08 Aug’08 -1.0 Apr ‘08 0.0
  • 3. Mumbai AVERAGE CAPITAL VALUE RANGE 80,000 70,000 60,000 50,000 INR per sq.ft. • e market witnessed limited projects Th launched in micro-markets like Goregaon, Byculla and Dombivali. These projects were priced in the range of INR 12,750 to 19,000 per sq ft. A large-scale mid-range project, Palava by Lodha Group, was launched at Dombivali at INR4,545 per sq ft. Virar - Boisar 3,000 - 5,500 Note: Ongoing Price: Indicative asking price in the primary market. • COLLIERS VIEW: Low liquidity, an increase in interest rates and ready reckoner rates will keep residential markets under pressure in coming quarters. Absorption in the luxury segment will remain restricted; however, the new launches in the middle and low-end segments will continue to have traction at the introductory prices. Overall capital values in the primary and secondary sales markets are expected to be under pressure in the short to medium term. Andheri Powai Santacruz Juhu Khar Bandra Prabhadevi Worli South Mumbai 70,000 60,000 50,000 40,000 30,000 20,000 10,000 0 Colaba, Cuffe Parade Bandra Andheri Khar Prabhadevi Juhu Santacruz Breach Candy, Napeansea Road, Peddar Road 3Q2014F 3,500 - 7,500 80,000 3Q2013 Navi Mumbai AVERAGE CAPITAL VALUE TRENDS 1Q2014F 4,000 - 8,000 Bandra Khar 1Q2013 Thane - Kalyan Prabhadevi Santacruz 1Q2012 Ongoing Price (P.S.F) Worli 3Q2012 Micro Market 0 Juhu 3Q2011 INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITIES 50 1Q2011 Construction Pace Colaba, Cuffe Parade 100 Andheri 3Q2010 New Project Breach Candy, Napeansea Road, Peddar Road 150 1Q2010 Rental Value • The state government has increased the ready reckoner rates for residential and commercial properties by up to 20% in 26 posh zones of Mumbai. The increase in rates will impacts micro-markets like Worli, Napeansea Road, Altamount Road and Carter Road. The government is expected to collect over INR20,000 crore in 2013 - 14 via stamps and registration. The increase in the ready reckoner rates may result in increase in property prices in these areas. Malabar Hill, Altamount Road, Carmichael Road 200 Powai 3Q2009 Capital Value AVERAGE rental value 1Q2009 1Q 2014F 0 1Q2008 4Q 2013 10,000 INR per sq.ft. per month CITY RESIDENTIAL BAROMETER • The average capital and rental values of prime residential properties remained stable. Due to very limited transactions by both investors and end-users across the city. 30,000 20,000 INR Per sq.ft. MumBAI 40,000 3Q2008 • Demand for premium residential properties in the secondary sales market remained moderate this quarter due to high price points. In the primary market, developers remained open to negotiation on prices in projects having significant unsold inventory. Malabar Hill, Altamount Road, Carmichael Road Powai Worli Note: Above values represents indicative asking price for premium properties SELECT NEW PROJECTS Project Name Location Developer Name Tentative Possession* Rate (Per Sq.ft.)** Aveza (Gateway Towers) Mulund East Tata Housing 4Q 2017 13,500 Elanza Santacruz East Shamik Group 1Q 2015 17,000 Monte South Byculla Marathon Realty 4Q 2018 18,999 Palava Dombivali Lodha Group 4Q 2018 4,545 Raheja Ridgewood Goregaon Raheja Group 4Q 2017 13,250 Sunteck City - Avenue II Goregaon Sunteck Realty 4Q 2018 12,750 Note: * As mentioned by developer ** Base selling price as quoted by developer 3
  • 4. Delhi Greater Kailash I & II, South Extension Panchashila, Anandlok, Niti Bagh, SDA Friends Colony, Maharani Bagh Anand Niketan, Vasant Vihar Shanti Niketan, Westend Chanakya Puri Anand Niketan, Vasant Vihar 160 Chanakya Puri 120 80 40 Greater Kailash I & II, South Extension Golf Links, Jor Bagh, Sunder Nagar 0 Shanti Niketan, Westend Friends Colony, Maharani Bagh • In order to create more land for residential development on the outskirts of Delhi, the Delhi Development Authority (DDA) proposes to target areas like Kanjhawala, Najafgarh, Burari, Ghitroni and Bawana for real estate development as amended in Master Plan of Delhi (MPD-2021). Panchashila, Anandlok, Niti Bagh, SDA AVERAGE CAPITAL VALUE TRENDS 80,000 70,000 60,000 50,000 40,000 30,000 20,000 Prithviraj Road, Aurangzeb Road Chanakya Puri Golf Links, Jor Bagh, Sundar Nagar Shanti Niketan, Westend 3Q2014F 3Q2013 1Q2014F 1Q2013 3Q2012 0 1Q2012 10,000 1Q2008 • COLLIERS VIEW: The residential sector will witness restricted demand until at least the national elections. However, the new state government started focusing on various stalled infrastructure projects in the city which are expected to be operational in coming quarters. Rental and capital values will remain under pressure in near term for premium properties. Golf Links, Jor Bagh, Sunder Nagar Prithviraj Road, Aurangzeb Road Prithviraj Road, Aurangzeb Road 200 1Q2011 Construction Pace • Capital values have come under pressure and properties were available in the market at heavy discounts. The sales volumes were low and only a few deals were concluded. AVERAGE rental value 3Q2011 New Project • Pressures on rents continued with the officials of multinational corporations and expatriates that are currently trying to optimise their costs negotiating on rental values. However, asking rentals have not changed much from previous quarter. 1Q2010 Rental Value 0 3Q2010 Capital Value 15,000 1Q2009 1Q 2014F 45,000 30,000 INR Per sq.ft. 4Q 2013 60,000 3Q2009 CITY RESIDENTIAL BAROMETER 90,000 75,000 INR per sq.ft. per month Delhi 105,000 3Q2008 • Limited new supply entered into Delhi prime residential this quarter, in the form of redevelopment in Vasant Vihar and Panchsheel Park micro markets. AVERAGE CAPITAL VALUE RANGE 120,000 INR per sq.ft. • The Delhi residential market remained depressed for a third consecutive quarter. Sales volumes were reduced significantly primarily because of limited investor interest in view of the current political turbulence. Panchashila, Anandlok, Niti Bagh, SDA Friends Colony, Maharani Bagh Greater Kailash I & II, South Extension Anand Niketan, Vasant Vihar Note: Above values represents indicative asking price for premium properties SELECT NEW PROJECTS Project Name Location Developer Name Tentative Possession* Rate (Per Sq.ft.)** Capital Greens Shivaji Marg DLF Ltd. 2Q 2015 14,000 Castlewood Okhla Indiabulls Ltd. 2Q 2014 12,800 Kings Court Greater Kailash- II DLF Ltd. 1Q 2015 40,000 Queens Court Greater Kailash- II DLF Ltd. 1Q 2015 36,000 Signature Villas Connaught Place Tata Housing Ltd. 4Q 2017 120,000 - 150,000 Winter Hills Dwaraka Morh Umang Realtech 2Q 2014 10,250 Note: * As mentioned by developer ** Base selling price as quoted by developer 4 Research & Forecast Report | Feb 2014 | Residential | Colliers International
  • 5. Gurgaon Gurgaon 35,000 30,000 • Projects which were close to completion witnessed robust demand from endusers. However, in the secondary market, a substantial discount was available and prices were well below that of the primary market. Slow construction activities resulted in completion of few residential projects / parts of projects like “Tulip Orange” by Tulip Infratech Pvt, Ltd, at Sector 70. 25,000 20,000 15,000 10,000 DLF Phase I Sohna Road & Ext Sushant Lok NH - 8 0 Golf Course Road 5,000 AVERAGE rental value Golf Course Road 80 Note: Ongoing Price: Indicative asking price in the primary market. • COLLIERS VIEW: Looking forward, the capital values are expected to remain under pressure in coming quarters. End-user activity is expected to remain restricted primarily due to high price points and relatively fewer options available for mid-segment housing. The pre-launches in the mid- and lowend segment will continue evince good response at the introductory prices. INR per sq.ft. per month 4,000 2,000 0 Golf Course Road NH-8 Sohna Road & Ext Sushant Lok 3Q2014F 4,000 - 5,000 3Q2013 New Gurgaon 8,000 6,000 1Q2014F 4,500 - 5,500 1Q2013 Pataudi Road 10,000 3Q2012 4,000 - 5,000 14,000 12,000 1Q2012 Sohna Extension 18,000 16,000 1Q2011 7,500 - 9,000 AVERAGE CAPITAL VALUE TRENDS 3Q2011 Golf Course Road Extension DLF Phase I 1Q2010 Ongoing Price (P.S.F) Sushant Lok 3Q2010 INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITIES • In order to boost residential real estate activities, the Haryana government has decided to allow mixed land use in commercial zones notified in the master plan. According to the new policy, projects with at least 10 acres land and located along at least 30 meter wide road, will be allowed mixed use development comprising a maximum of 50% residential usage. 0 3Q2009 Construction Pace Sohna Road & Ext 20 1Q2009 New Project 40 NH - 8 3Q2008 Rental Value • Due to decreased demand, developers remained cautious in launching new projects. Restricted sales volumes in both primary and secondary markets resulted in downward pressure on both capital and rental values across all micro markets. INR Per sq.ft. 1Q 2014F Capital Value Micro Market 40,000 60 CITY RESIDENTIAL BAROMETER 4Q 2013 AVERAGE CAPITAL VALUE RANGE 45,000 INR per sq.ft. • During 4Q 2013, restricted investor activity pulled down the overall demand in Gurgaon’s residential market. In the primary market, developers did not reduce the base selling price, but many were willing to negotiate and offered various incentives. DLF Phase I Note: Above values represents indicative asking price for premium properties SELECT NEW PROJECTS Project Name Location Developer Name Tentative Possession* Rate (Per Sq.ft.)** Ashiana Landcraft Sector 88A Ashiana Group 4Q 2017 6,250 BPTP Pedestal Sector 70A BPTP Ltd. 4Q 2018 7,000 Eldeco Sohna Sohna Road Eldeco Group 4Q 2018 4,250 Imperial Tower (Godrej Summit) Sector 104 Godrej Group 4Q 2017 7,400 Ivy Terraces Sector 70 Unitech Ltd. 4Q 2018 4,500 - 6,500 Tranquil Heights Sector 82A Vatika Group 4Q 2017 7,200 Note: * As mentioned by developer ** Base selling price as quoted by developer 5
  • 6. NOIDA AVERAGE CAPITAL VALUE RANGE • The NOIDA residential property market witnessed low sales volumes in both primary and secondary residential markets in 4Q 2013. 4,000 - 7,000 Sectors 71 to 83 4,500 - 5,500 Note: Ongoing Price: Indicative asking price in the primary market. Sector 28, 29, 30 Sector 61, 62., 63 Sector 50 Sector 92/93 Sector 44 0 Sector 61,62,63 INR per sq.ft. Sector 92/93 AVERAGE CAPITAL VALUE TRENDS 12,000 10,500 9,000 7,500 6,000 4,500 3,000 1,500 0 3Q2014F NOIDA Expressway Sector 50 10 1Q2014F Ongoing Price (P.S.F) 20 Sector 28,29,30 3Q2013 Micro Market • COLLIERS VIEW: Currently, investors are delaying their decisions due to economic and political uncertainties. However, considering the fact that the NOIDA residential market is primarily driven by end-users, the market may see marginal increase in end-user and investor activity with many new projects in the pipeline offering various attractive offers and other promotional schemes to lure buyer interest. The market is expecting the completion of various projects that were launched during 2009 to 2010 and which have already been delayed one or two years. This additional supply will keep capital and rental values stable across all micro markets. 30 1Q2013 INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITIES Sector 44 40 1Q2012 Construction Pace AVERAGE rental value 3Q2012 New Project 0 3Q2011 Rental Value 1,500 1Q2011 • In order to optimise the utilisation of land and improve the habitability of NOIDA, the NOIDA authority has approved a mixed land use policy in NOIDA Master Plan 2021, which will permit residential facilities in commercial and institutional areas. Capital Value 3,000 3Q2010 1Q 2014F 4,500 1Q2010 4Q 2013 6,000 3Q2009 CITY RESIDENTIAL BAROMETER 9,000 7,500 INR per sq.ft. per month Noida • Capital values and rental values in both primary and secondary markets remained stable; this is due to limited interest from both investors and end-users. However, developers offered various incentives, that included cash discount to clear their unsold inventories. 10,500 INR Per sq.ft. • New launches have dried up in the fourth quarter in NOIDA and only a few residential projects were launched, in the price band of 4000 to 9000 per sq ft. However a premium residential project “Brys Buzz” by Brys Group at Sector 150 was priced at INR17,000 per sq ft. 12,000 Sector 92 / 93 Sector 44 Sector 50 Sector 61,62,63 Sector 28,29,30 Note: Above values represents indicative asking price for premium properties SELECT NEW PROJECTS Project Name Location Developer Name Tentative Possession* Rate (Per Sq.ft.)** Brys Buzz Sector 150 Brys Group 4Q 2017 17,000 Mahagun Meadows Sector 150 Mahagun Group 4Q 2016 4,550 Pratishtha Sector 75 Panchsheel Buildtech Pvt. Ltd 4Q 2017 4,960 Romano Sector-118 Supertech Ltd. 4Q 2017 4,150 Vasilia Sector-32 & 25A Wave Group 4Q 2016 8,370 Victory We Sector 25A Victory Projects 4Q 2015 8,650 Note: * As mentioned by developer ** Base selling price as quoted by developer 6 Research & Forecast Report | Feb 2014 | Residential | Colliers International
  • 7. Chennai CITY RESIDENTIAL BAROMETER 4Q 2013 1Q 2014F Capital Value Rental Value New Project Construction Pace INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITIES Micro Market Ongoing Price (P.S.F) Velachery 5,000 - 7,000 Sholinganallur 3,500 - 4,200 Siruseri/ Kazipattur 3,000 - 4,000 Kelambakkam 3,000 - 4,000 34,000 30,000 INR per sq.ft. 26,000 22,000 18,000 14,000 10,000 6,000 Siruseri/ Kazipattur Sholinganallur Velachery T Nagar Adyar Beasant Nagar Anna Nagar Alwarpet / R A Puram Boat Club Nungambakkam 2,000 AVERAGE rental value Boat Club 85 Siruseri/ Kazipattur Nungambakkam 70 55 40 Sholinganallur Anna Nagar 25 10 -5 Adyar Velachery • During the same quarter, capital values increased in the range of 2 - 9% QoQ across all micro-markets, except Nungambakkam and Anna Nagar, where capital values remained stable due to the high price bracket and low demand base. Beasant Nagar Alwarpet / R A Puram T Nagar AVERAGE CAPITAL VALUE TRENDS 25,000 21,000 • Rents increased in the range of 4 - 10% QoQ in most micro-markets, except Boat Club, Anna Nagar, Adyar, Beasant Nagar, T Nagar and Velachery where rents remained stable. 17,000 INR Per sq.ft. Chennai • 4Q 2013, saw completion of various premium projects, including Jashn by Arihant Group at Egmore, 36 Carat by Akshaya Homes at Kilpauk, both priced in the range of INR18,000 - 22,000 per sq ft and mid-range projects like Oriana by Doshi Housing at Perungudi; Svasti by True Value Homes at Thoraipakkam; Lotus Pond by Vijayshanthi Group at Padur; Upscale by Hiranandani Group and Opaline Ph II by Olympia Group, both at Egattur. AVERAGE CAPITAL VALUE RANGE 38,000 INR per sq.ft. per month • In 4Q 2013, many new premium and mid-range projects were launched in Chennai. Micro-markets like R.A. Puram, T. Nagar and Kotturpuram saw premium projects launched in the price range of INR15,000 - 25,000 per sq ft, while micro-markets like Thoraipakkam, Kelambakkam, Siruseri and Pallikaranai witnessed mid-range projects launched in the price bracket of INR3,000 - 7,000 per sq ft. 13,000 9,000 Boat Club Sholinganallur Siruseri/ Kazipattur Alwarpet / R A Puram Beasant Nagar T Nagar Nugambakkam 3Q2014F 1Q2014F 1Q2013 3Q2013 1Q2012 3Q2012 1Q2011 3Q2011 3Q2010 1Q2010 3Q2009 1Q2009 1,000 1Q2008 • COLLIERS VIEW: Going forward, we expect a moderate increase in capital values in the short term in the mid-range segment. The demand is expected to pick up further in this segment in the near term. Rental and capital values for premium properties will continue to remain stable cautious sentiments of investors as well as occupiers. 3Q2008 5,000 Note: Ongoing Price: Indicative asking price in the primary market. Anna Nagar Adyar Velachery Note: Above values represents indicative asking price for premium properties SELECT NEW PROJECTS Project Name Location Developer Name Tentative Possession* Rate (Per Sq.ft.)** Aldea Thoraipakkam Casa Grande 4Q 2015 5,100 Czar R.A.Puram Real Value 4Q 2015 25,000 Lilac Heights R.A.Puram ETA Star 4Q 2015 18,000 Manadarin Thoraipakkam Radiance 2Q 2015 7,100 Park Residence Kotturpuram Olympia Group 4Q 2015 23,000 Sukriti T.Nagar BBCL 2Q 2015 15,000 Note: * As mentioned by developer ** Base selling price as quoted by developer 7
  • 8. Bengaluru AVERAGE CAPITAL VALUE RANGE 32,000 28,000 24,000 20,000 INR per sq.ft. • In 4Q 2013, the Bengaluru residential market witnessed reasonable demand for residential space, mainly in micromarkets like Yelahanka, Sarjapur, Whitefield and Thanisandra Road. However there were less projects launched this quarter as compared to previous three quarters. 16,000 12,000 8,000 Bengaluru CITY RESIDENTIAL BAROMETER Yelahanka Bannerghatta Road Whitefield Airport Road Airport Road Jayanagar Cooke Town Indiranagar Koramangala Central Palace Orchard 0 AVERAGE rental value Central 80 Yelahanka Cooke Town Yelahanka 3,500 - 5,000 Note: Ongoing Price: Indicative asking price in the primary market. • COLLIERS VIEW: The city’s premium residential market is expected to remain active, due to healthy residential demand for mid-range and premium housing, accompanied by full-on construction activities. Looking at the positive outlook, we anticipate that capital values will increase further from 2 to 4% QoQ across all micro-markets. 10,000 5,000 0 3Q2014F 4,400 - 6,000 3Q2013 Whitefield 15,000 1Q2014F 4,200 - 6,000 20,000 • n a major land deal, Tata Housing has I purchased 20 acres of land in north Bengaluru from Alstom T&D India for a total consideration of INR120 crore to develop a luxury housing project. 1Q2013 Bannerghatta Road 25,000 1Q2012 5,000 - 7,000 AVERAGE CAPITAL VALUE TRENDS • Continuous demand from IT/ITeS sector employees caused an upsurge of 1 - 7% in rents QoQ, across all micro-markets. 3Q2012 Airport Road Airport Road Indiranagar 3Q2011 Ongoing Price (P.S.F) Bannerghatta Road 1Q2011 Micro Market Palace Orchard 3Q2010 INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITIES Koramangala 1Q2010 Construction Pace 0 1Q2009 New Project Jayanagar 20 3Q2009 Rental Value 40 Whitefield 3Q2008 Capital Value • Overall capital values in most of the micro-markets remained stable during the quarter; however, a increase of 9 12% QoQ was witnessed in locations like Jayanagar, Bannerghatta Road, Whitefield and Yelahanka. This is because few projects have been launched at a premium price, making a significant change in the average capital price range. 1Q2008 1Q 2014F INR per sq.ft. per month 60 INR Per sq.ft. 4Q 2013 • In this quarter, the city witnessed completion of various premium and mid-range projects, like Nitesh Central Park by Nitesh Estates at Bagalur Cross, Concorde South Scape by Concorde Group at E-City Phase 2, Patel Smondo Ville by Patel Realty at E-City Phase 1, and Chartered Jardin by Chartered Housing at RMV 2nd Stage. 4,000 Central Cooke Town Jayanagar Indiranagar Airport Road Bannerghatta Road Yelahanka Koramangala Whitefield Palace Orchard Note: Above values represents indicative asking price for premium properties SELECT NEW PROJECTS Project Name Location Developer Name Tentative Possession* Rate (Per Sq.ft.)** Concorde Amber Off Sarjapur Road Concorde Group 4Q 2016 4,000 Mantri Lithos Off Hebbal Mantri Developers 4Q 2017 5,590 Prestige Lakeside Habitat Varthur Road Prestige Group 4Q 2017 4,770 Purva Westend Hosur Main Road Puravankara Developers 4Q 2017 4,890 Skylark Ithaca Whitefield Skylark Mansion 4Q 2017 3,930 Sobha Palladium Yemlur, Old Airport Road Sobha Developers 4Q 2016 8,560 Note: * As mentioned by developer ** Base selling price as quoted by developer 8 Research & Forecast Report | Feb 2014 | Residential | Colliers International
  • 9. Kolkata AVERAGE CAPITAL VALUE RANGE • Reasonable demand was witnessed during the quarter, primarily in midrange micro-markets located in South and North Kolkata. Most of this demand has come from end users. Salt Lake 4,000 - 6,000 EM Bypass 4,000 - 7,000 New Town -Rajarhat 3,200 - 4,600 Note: Ongoing Price: Indicative asking price in the primary market. • COLLIERS VIEW: Many mid-range and affordable residential projects were launched in the peripheral locations and the city witnessed increasing activity in the mid-range segment. This could be due to smaller ticket size and affordability. Looking forward, capital values are expected to rise marginally, especially in the outskirt micro-markets due to demand from end-users. INR per sq.ft. Behela VIP Road New Town -Rajarhat Salt Lake Tollygunge EM Bypass PA Shah Road Loudon Street Ballygunge Bhawanipur Alipore Salt Lake Behela Ballygunge Loudon Street AVERAGE CAPITAL VALUE TRENDS 20,000 18,000 16,000 12,000 10,000 8,000 6,000 4,000 2,000 0 3Q2014F 2,900 - 3,700 Alipore 1Q2014F Behela 0 EM Bypass 1Q2013 3,600 - 4,800 Tollygunge 10 3Q2013 Tollygunge 20 1Q2012 Ongoing Price (P.S.F) 30 VIP Road 3Q2012 Micro Market PA Shah Road 3Q2011 INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITIES 50 40 1Q2011 Construction Pace • Capital values in the premium residential market remained stable in almost all micro-markets, except Alipore and Ballygunge where around a 3% QoQ increase was witnessed during the quarter. On the other hand, rents rose in the range of 1 - 4% QoQ in almost all micro-markets, except PA Shah Road, Loudon Street, Ballygunge and VIP Road where rents remained stable, due to low base demand and limited availability. Bhawanipur New Town Rajarhat 1Q2010 New Project AVERAGE rental value 3Q2010 Rental Value 0 3Q2009 Capital Value 10,000 1Q2009 1Q 2014F 30,000 20,000 1Q2008 4Q 2013 40,000 3Q2008 CITY RESIDENTIAL BAROMETER • Construction activities remained moderate resulting in completion of few projects / parts of the projects during the last quarter of 2013, including Meera Garden by Rajat Group at Madhyamgram and Tirumani by Mani Group at Ballygunje. 60,000 50,000 INR per sq.ft. per month kolkata 70,000 INR Per sq.ft. • During 4Q 2013, the Kolkata residential market saw many new launches especially in micro-markets like Rajarhat Action Area-III, Mahishbathan, Tollygunj, Narendrapur and Belghariya Expressway. Most of these projects were launched in the affordable and midranges and were priced in the range of INR2,900 - 4,150 per sq ft. 80,000 Bhawanipur Alipore Tollygunge Behela VIP Road P A Shah Road EM Bypass Salt Lake Ballygunge Loudon street New Town Rajarhat Note: Above values represents indicative asking price for premium properties SELECT NEW PROJECTS Project Name Location Developer Name Tentative Possession* Rate (Per Sq.ft.)** Curiocity Action Area-III Realtech Nirman 4Q 2016 4,150 Ideal Aquaview Mahishbatan Ideal Group 4Q 2016 3,700 Ivory Tower Tollygunj Ivory Group 4Q 2015 4,000 Magnolia Skyview Rajarhat Magnolia Group 4Q 2016 3,200 North Grande Belghariya Expressway Mounthill Realty 4Q 2016 3,600 Sucasa Twins Norendrapur Rupayan Construction Pvt Ltd 4Q 2015 2,900 Note: * As mentioned by developer ** Base selling price as quoted by developer 9
  • 10. Pune Pune AVERAGE CAPITAL VALUE RANGE 80,000 70,000 60,000 50,000 INR per sq.ft. 40,000 30,000 20,000 Pimpri/Chinchwad/ Chakan NIBM/Undri /Kondhwa Kothrud/ Bavdhan/ Wajre Baner/Hinjewadi/ Wakad/Pashan • During the surveyed quarter, construction activities remained slow and thus no known projects / parts of projects saw completion. Going ahead, construction activities are likely to improve. Magarpatta/ Hadapsar 0 Kalyani Nagar/ Viman Nagar/ Kharadi Bhawanipur 10,000 Deccan/Camp/ Boat Club • Demand for residential units in Pune continued to remain stable and the city witnessed launch of a number of midrange projects in the price range of INR 4,500 to 5,500 per sq ft. However, few premium projects like “The Palladium” by Guardian Developers at Kothrud, “Sanctum” by Kumar Properties at Baner, and “Panchshil One North” by Panchshil Realty at Hadapsar, were priced in the range of INR9,900 to INR14,900 per sq ft. AVERAGE rental value Kalyani Nagar/Viman Nagar/Kharadi Bhawanipur 30 Kothrud/Bavdhan/ Wajre 3,800 - 6,000 NIBM/Undri/ Kondhwa 3,800 - 5,000 Pimpri/Chinchwad/ Chakan 3,000 - 4,500 Note: Ongoing Price: Indicative asking price in the primary market. • COLLIERS VIEW: The Pune residential market saw many new launches in both premium and mid segments. Continuous demand from end-users and investors was witnessed and is expected to continue in the coming few quarters. In anticipation of reasonable demand, capital values are expected to rise in the mid-range and affordable housing locations like PimpriChinchwad, Chakan and Kondhwa in the range of 2% to 3% on a quarterly basis. 7,000 6,000 5,000 4,000 3,000 2,000 1Q2014F 5,000 - 12,000 3Q2014F Baner/Hinjewadi/ Wakad/Pashan 9,000 8,000 3Q2013 5,000 - 12,000 11,000 10,000 1Q2013 Kalyani Nagar/ Viman Nagar/ Kharadi AVERAGE CAPITAL VALUE TRENDS 3Q2012 Ongoing Price (P.S.F) Baner/Hinjewadi /Wakad/Pashan 1Q2012 Micro Market Kothrud/ Bavdhan/ Wajre 1Q2011 INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITIES • In 4Q 2013, the local government hiked the Ready Reckoner (RR) rates in an average range of 10% to 20% in almost all the micro markets. Capital values are set to increase mainly in locations like Koregaon Park, Pimple Gurav and Pimpri-Chinchwad, where a sharp increase in rates was witnessed. Magarpatta/ Hadapsar 3Q2011 Construction Pace NIBM/ Undri/ Kondhwa 3Q2010 New Project 5 1Q2010 Rental Value 15 0 1Q2009 Capital Value Deccan/Camp /Boat Club 20 10 3Q2009 1Q 2014F 25 Pimpri/ Chinchwad /Chakan INR per sq.ft. per month 4Q 2013 • Capital values in micro markets like Kalyani Nagar, Viman Nagar, Kharadi, Deccan, Camp, Boat Club, PimpriChinchwad and Chakan saw a marginal increase in the range of 1% to 3% quarteron-quarter (QoQ). The rest of all micro markets remained stable. INR Per sq.ft. CITY RESIDENTIAL BAROMETER Kalyani Nagar/Viman Nagar/ Kharadi Kothrud/Bavdhan/Wajre Deccan/Camp/Boat Club/ Central Pune Magarpatta/Hadapsar NIBM/Undri/Kondhwa Baner/Hinjewadi/Wakad/ Pashan Pimpri/Chinchwad/Chakan Note: Above values represents indicative asking price for premium properties SELECT NEW PROJECTS Project Name Location Developer Name Tentative Possession* Rate (Per Sq.ft.)** Bramha Skycity Dhanori Bramha Realty & Infrastructure 3Q 2015 4,550 - 4,600 Eastern Ranges phase II Keshav Nagar Phadnis Properties 4Q 2015 5,200 Guardian The Palladium Kothrud Guardian Developers 1Q 2017 14,900 Nyati Evita Lohegaon Nyati Group 4Q 2016 4,500 Panchshil One North Hadapsar Panchshil Realty 4Q 2016 9,900 Sanctum Baner Kumar Properties 1Q 2017 12,000 Note: * As mentioned by developer ** Base selling price as quoted by developer 10 Research & Forecast Report | Feb 2014 | Residential | Colliers International
  • 11. Residential Submarkets Mumbai The high-end residential real estate markets in Mumbai include Malabar Hill, Altamount Road, Carmichael Road, Napean Sea Road, Breach Candy, Colaba, Cuffe Parade, Prabhadevi, Worli, Bandra, Khar, Santacruz, Juhu and Powai. Delhi The prime residential areas in Delhi are in the South region and comprise Vasant Vihar, Westend, Shanti Niketan, Anand Niketan and Central Delhi locations. These areas enjoy proximity to embassies, the airport and central commercial areas - Connaught Place. Gurgaon The prime residential locations of Gurgaon include Golf Course Road, DLF Phase I, Sushant Lok and Sohna Road. The Delhi- Jaipur Highway (NH-8) is also emerging as a preferred residential location owing to its proximity to the national capital. NOIDA NOIDA premium residential market is comprised of sectors 44, 50, 92, 61, 62, 63 , 28, 29, 30 and Taj Express Highway. Chennai The prime residential areas in Chennai include Boat Club, R.A.Puram, MRC Nagar, Thiruvanmiyur, Valmiki Nagar and Besant Nagar, R.A Puram, Mylapore and Adyar in South Chennai, Nungambakkam, Chetpet, Poes Garden, Egmore, Alwarpet, T. Nagar in Central Chennai; and Anna Nagar, Kilpauk in North West Chennai. Bengaluru (Bangalore) The residential market of Bengaluru comprises both apartments and independent residences. Currently, high-end residential developments are mainly concentrated along the CBD, and Eastern and South precincts of the city. Recently, Northern Bengaluru has also witnessed a spree of realty activity facilitated by the new International Airport at Devanhalli. Kolkata The prime residential areas in Kolkata include PA Shah Road, Tollygunge and Bhawanipur in South Kolkata, Alipore and Behala in South-west Kolkata, Loudon Street and Ballygunge in Central Kolkata; and Salt Lake, EM Bypass and VIP Road in North Kolkata. Pune The prime residential areas in Pune include Kalyani Nagar, Viman Nagar, Boat Club Road, NIBM Road, Magarpatta, Hadapsar, Koregaon Park. Recently, increased activities has been witnessed in Pimpri-Chinchwad, Baner-Pashan and Kondhwa. CITY BAROMETERS Increasing as compared to previous quarter Decreasing as compared to previous quarter Remained stable from previous quarter 11
  • 12. Primary Authors: 62 countries on 6 continents United States: 140 Canada: 42 Latin America: 20 195 EMEA: 85 $2 billion in annual revenue 1.12 billion square feet under management 13,500 Surabhi Arora I Associate Director Research +91 124 456 7500 surabhi.arora@colliers.com Amit Oberoi I National Director Valuation & Advisory Services & Research amit.oberoi@colliers.com Sachin Sharma I Assistant Manager Research sachin.sharma@colliers.com For Residential Services: Mumbai: raghavendra.prabhu@colliers.com Delhi / NCR: ajay.rakheja@colliers.com Bengaluru: goutam.chakraborty@colliers.com Pune: suresh.castellino@colliers.com Chennai: kaushik.reddy@colliers.com Kolkata: soumya.mukherjee@colliers.com professionals Technopolis Building, 1st Floor, DLF Golf Course Road, Sector 54, Gurgaon - 122 002 TEL +91 124 456 7500 About Colliers International Colliers International is a global leader in commercial real estate services, with over 13,500 Corporation, Colliers International delivers a full range of services to real estate users, owners and investors worldwide, including global corporate solutions, brokerage, property and asset management, hotel investment sales and consulting, valuation, consulting and appraisal services, colliers.com Copyright © 2014 Colliers International. ensure its accuracy, we cannot guarantee it. No responsibility is assumed for any inaccuracies. Readers are encouraged to consult 12 their professional advisors priorReport on Feb 2014 | Residential this report. International Research & Forecast to acting | any of the material contained in | Colliers