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Residential Property
Market Overview
INDIA
QUARTERLY UPDATE | MAY | 2012




Accelerating success.
1Q 2012 | THE KNOWLEDGE


Research report
SYDNEY CENTRAL BUSINESS DISTRICT

research & forecast Report
India RESIDENTIAL market




                                                                      MACRO ECONOMIC OVERVIEW

                                                                      •	During 4Q 2011 GDP grew at 6.9 % in real terms suggesting a moderation in growth in comparison
                                                                        to preceding two quarters. The finance minister presented India’s Union Budget 2012 -13 this
                                                                        quarter projecting a GDP growth rate of 7.6% for 2012-13.

                                                                      •	The headline inflation figure moderated from 8.3% in December 2011 to 6.6 and 6.95% in
                                                                        January and February 2012, respectively. Keeping in view the moderation in inflation rate the
                                                                        Reserve Bank of India (RBI) reduced the CRR (Cash Reserve Ratio) by 50 basis points in January
                                                                        for the first time since one and a half year. A further reduction of 75 basis point was made in
                                                                        March 2012. The current CRR rate is 4.75%.
                                                                      	
 ECONOMIC BAROMETER                                                   •	The Budget remained silent on most of the major real estate related issues. It did however
                                                                        mentioned that efforts are on to arrive at a political consensus on the issue of allowing 51%
                                     Mar-11           Mar-12            Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) in multi-brand retailing.
                 REPO RATE           6.50%            8.50%
                                                                      •	The Budget aims to provide impetus to affordable housing by providing various incentives to both
                                                                        developers and end users. For example the External Commercial Borrowings (ECB) is allowed
       REVERSE REPO RATE             5.50%            7.50%
                                                                        for low cost housing projects which would help developers to raise debt at a lower rate.
                           CRR       6.00%            4.75%
                                                                      •	From an end user perspective, the budget provides few incentives including, Service tax
                  INFLATION          9.68%             6.95%            exemption for construction service related to residential dwelling and low cost mass housing up
                                                                        to an area of 60 sq mtr under the scheme of affordable housing. The existing scheme of interest
                               1
         Home Loan Rate              10.25%           11.00%            subvention of 1% for housing loans up to INRs 15 lakh (where the cost of the house does not
                                                                        exceed INR 25 lakhs), was extended by one more year.


Return on Alternative Investments                                               ECONOMIC INDICATORS
                          Mar-11       Mar-12          YoY %
                                                                                        12.0
                                                      Change

           Gold            20,730        27,300          31.69%                        10.0



          SILVER           52,450        56,014           6.80%
                                                                                        8.0
                  2
 Fixed Deposit               9.5%         9.25%          -0.25%
                                                                                        6.0
          EQUITY            18,167        17,675         -2.71%

 REALTY INDEX               2,054          1,821         -11.31%                        4.0




                                                                                        2.0
                                                                      In Percentage




                      1
   2
                     SBI Home Loan Rate for Loan upto INR 50 Lakhs.
                                                                                        0.0
    For a period of more than one year and amount below INR 1 Crore
                                                                                               Jan ‘08



                                                                                                         Apr ‘08



                                                                                                                   Jul ‘08



                                                                                                                             Oct‘08



                                                                                                                                       Jan ‘09



                                                                                                                                                  Apr ‘09



                                                                                                                                                            Jul ‘09



                                                                                                                                                                            Oct‘09



                                                                                                                                                                                          Jan ‘10



                                                                                                                                                                                                    Apr ‘10



                                                                                                                                                                                                                  Jul ‘10



                                                                                                                                                                                                                            Oct‘10



                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          Jan ‘11



                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         Apr ‘11



                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   Jul ‘11



                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             Oct ‘11



                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       Jan ‘12




                                                                                      (-2.0)


                                                                                                                                      Repo Rate                       Reverse Repo Rate             Cash Reserve Ratio               Wholesale Price Index




                                                                      Source: Colliers International India Research




www.colliers.com
THE KNOWLEDGE | 1q 2012 | residential | Mumbai


                                                                                                                                                                  MUMBAI                                                       1Q 2012 PREMIUM RESIDENTIAL AVerage
                                                                                                                                                                                                                               CAPITAL VALUE
                                                                                                                                                                  •		 his quarter several new residential projects
                                                                                                                                                                    T
                                                                                                                                                                    were launched in Mumbai including a                                70,000

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       60,000
                                                                                                                                                                    few premium residential projects such as                           50,000

                                                                                                                                                                    “Imperia” by Raheja Universal, and “ITC Glory”                     40,000

                                                                                                                                                                    and “Aquino” by Rohan Lifescapes. All of                           30,000


                                                                                                                                                                    these new launches were located in western                         20,000




                                                                                                                                                                                                                       INR per sq ft
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       10,000
                                                                                                                                                                    suburbs and were priced in the range of INR                            0
                                                                                                                                                                    22,000 to 32,500 per sq ft.




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          Khar
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                Malabar Hill, Altamount
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                Road, Carmichael Road

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              Breach Candy, Napeansea
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    Road, Peddar Road

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           Colaba, Cuffe Parade


                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           Worli


                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         Prabhadevi


                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           Bandra




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       Santacruz


                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            Juhu


                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        Andheri


                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           Powai
                                                                                                                                                                  •	Construction activities remained slow and no
                                                                                                                                                                    new supply was added to the prime residential
                                                                                                                                                                    stock in Mumbai.

                                                                                                                                                                  •	Buyer’s sentiments remained cautious on the
MUMBAI                                                                                                                                                              backdrop of the current economic scenario
                                                                                                                                                                    and fewer transactions were recorded during                CAPITAL VALUE TRENDS
                                                                                                                                                                    the quarter.
CITY RESIDENTIAL BAROMETER                                                                                                                                                                                                             75,000


                                                                                                                                                                  •		 apital values for prime residential properties
                                                                                                                                                                    C                                                                  65,000


                                                                                 4Q 2011                                      1Q 2012                               in western suburbs such as Bandra,
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       55,000

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       45,000
                                                                                                                                                                    Santacruz, Andheri, Khar and Juhu recorded                         35,000
              RENTAL VALUE                                                                                                                                          an increase in the range of 3 to 9%. On the                        25,000




                                                                                                                                                                                                                       INR per sq ft
                                                                                                                                                                    contrary, properties located in South Central                      15,000
            CAPITAL VALUE
                                                                                                                                                                    locations observed downward pressure on                             5,000




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 1Q2008

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          2Q2008

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        3Q2008

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        4Q2008

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  1Q2009

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           2Q2009

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     3Q2009

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  4Q2009

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           1Q2010

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     2Q2010

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              3Q2010

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       4Q2010

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   1Q2011

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              2Q2011

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       3Q2011

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  4Q2011

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            1Q2012
                                                                                                                                                                    capital values and saw a marginal correction
                                                                                                                                                                    quarter-on-quarter.                                                                      Breach Candy,                                                                     Khar                                           Colaba,                                      Andheri
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             Napeansea Road,                                                                                                                  Cuffe Parade
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             Peddar Road                                                                       Prabhadevi                                     Bandra                                       Worli

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          Powai                                                                                                                               Malabar Hill,           Santacruz
                                                                                                                                                                  •		Due to steady demand for high-end rental
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               Juhu
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              Altamount Road, Carmichael Road


                                                                                                                                                                    premises, rental values for prime residential
                                                                                                                                                                    properties witnessed marginal increase in the
                                                                                                                                                                    range of 1 to 2% quarter-on-quarter in most
                                                                                                                                                                                                                               1Q 2012 PREMIUM RESIDENTIAL AVerage
 COLLIERS RESIDEX 1Q 2012 - MUMBAI                                                                                                                                  of the micro-markets barring locations such
                                                                                                                                                                                                                               RENTAL VALUE
                                                                                                                                                                    as Worli, Andheri, Juhu and Powai where
  140                                                                                                                                                               rental values remained stable on account of                                                                                                                             Malabar Hill, Altamount Road,

                                                                                                                                                                    ample supply.
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            Carmichael Road
  130                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  Breach Candy,
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        Powai                                          200                                             Napeansea Rd.,
  120                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    Peddar rd.
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        150
   110
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               Andheri                                                                                  100
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            Colaba, Cuffe Parade
  100
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          50
   90
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               0
   80
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              Juhu                                                                                                                                                            Prabhadevi
   70

   60
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          Santacruz                                                                                                                             Worli
   50
         1Q2008

                  2Q2008

                           3Q2008

                                    4Q2008

                                             1Q2009

                                                      2Q2009

                                                               3Q2009

                                                                        4Q2009

                                                                                 1Q2010

                                                                                          2Q2010

                                                                                                   3Q2010

                                                                                                            4Q2010

                                                                                                                     1Q2011

                                                                                                                              2Q2011

                                                                                                                                       3Q2011

                                                                                                                                                4Q2011

                                                                                                                                                         1Q2012




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    Khar                              Bandra
Rebase to 100                                                                                                                                                                                                               INR per Sq ft Per Month




   NEW PROJECTS

   Project Name                                                                                                                            Location                                    Developer Name          Tentative Possession                                                                                                                             Rate (Per Sq.ft.)*

   Aquino                                                                                                                                  Prabhadevi                                  Rohan Lifescapes                                4Q 2015                                                                                                                                                         32,500

   Imperia                                                                                                                                 Lower Parel                                 Raheja Universal                                 4Q 2016                                                                                                                                                        23,000

   ITC Glory                                                                                                                               Parel                                       Rohan Lifescapes                                 4Q 2014                                                                                                                                                    22,000

   Kanakia Skywalk                                                                                                                         Malad East                                  Kanakia Group                                   4Q 2016                                                                                                                                                         9,500




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    Note: * As quoted by developer



p. 3              | Colliers International                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          Colliers International |                                                                                                                                p. 3
THE KNOWLEDGE | 1Q 2012 | residential | delhi


                                                                                                                                                                   Delhi                                                        1Q 2012 PREMIUM RESIDENTIAL AVerage
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                CAPITAL VALUE
                                                                                                                                                                   •		 he new residential supply in the premium
                                                                                                                                                                     T
                                                                                                                                                                     segment remains restricted, as only a few                      100,000

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        90,000
                                                                                                                                                                     redevelopment projects were completed this                         80,000

                                                                                                                                                                     quarter. Similarly no new residential projects                     70,000
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        60,000

                                                                                                                                                                     were launched this quarter, except for a few                       50,000
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        40,000
                                                                                                                                                                     redevelopment projects undertaken by local                         30,000




                                                                                                                                                                                                                        INR per Sq Ft
                                                                                                                                                                     developers.                                                        20,000
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        10,000
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             0

                                                                                                                                                                   •		 apital value of prime residential properties
                                                                                                                                                                     C




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        Vasant Vihar
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            Sunder Nagar




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      Anand Niketan,
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     Prithviraj Road,
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    Aurangzeb Road



                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 Chanakya Puri


                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      Golf Links, Jor Bagh,



                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       Shanti Niketan,
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             Westend


                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  Panchashila, Anandlok,
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         Niti Bagh, SDA


                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    Friends Colony,
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    Maharani Bagh


                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               Greater Kailash
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  I & II, South
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    Extension
                                                                                                                                                                     appreciated in the range of 5 to 10% across
                                                                                                                                                                     all the micro markets in 1Q 2012. However,
                                                                                                                                                                     buyers’ sentiments remained cautions due to
                                                                                                                                                                     prevailing uncertainties in economy.

delhi                                                                                                                                                              •		Demand for premium residential properties
                                                                                                                                                                     remained consistent in South Delhi’s much                  CAPITAL VALUE TRENDS
                                                                                                                                                                     sought after locations such as Prithviraj
CITY RESIDENTIAL BAROMETER                                                                                                                                           Road, Aurangzeb Road, Chanakya Puri, Golf                          90,000


                                                                                                                                                                     Links, Jor Bagh and Sunder Nagar, however,
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        80,000
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        70,000
                                                                                  4Q 2011                                      1Q 2012                               in Shanti Niketan, Westend, Panchashila,                           60,000


                                                                                                                                                                     Anandlok, Niti Bagh, SDA, Friends Colony,
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        50,000
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        40,000
              RENTAL VALUE                                                                                                                                           Maharani Bagh, Greater Kailash I & II, South                       30,000




                                                                                                                                                                                                                        INR per Sq Ft
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        20,000
                                                                                                                                                                     Extension, Anand Niketan and Vasant Vihar
           CAPITAL VALUE                                                                                                                                                                                                                10,000

                                                                                                                                                                     rents appreciated in the range of 2 to 9%.                             0




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  1Q2008

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              2Q2008

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        3Q2008

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      4Q2008

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 1Q2009

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              2Q2009

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              3Q2009

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           4Q2009

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         1Q2010

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        2Q2010

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           3Q2010

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      4Q2010

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      1Q2011

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                2Q2011

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         3Q2011

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  4Q2011

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             1Q2012
                                                                                                                                                                   •		n order to facilitate smooth travel between
                                                                                                                                                                     I
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  Golf Links, Jor Bagh, Sunder Nagar                                                                                                Prithviraj Road, Aurangzeb Road

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  Chanakya Puri                                                                                                                     Shanti Niketan, Westend

                                                                                                                                                                     the two cities, Delhi and Gurgaon, the Delhi                                                 Panchashila, Anandlok, Niti Bagh, SDA                                                                                             Friends Colony, Maharani Bagh


                                                                                                                                                                     Development Authority (DDA) has planned to                                                   Greater Kailash I & II, South Extension                                                                                           Anand Niketan, Vasant Vihar



                                                                                                                                                                     develop three Urban Extension Roads (UERs)
                                                                                                                                                                     connecting Dwarka to Palam Vihar, Najafgarh
                                                                                                                                                                     to Dhansa and Nelson Mandela Road to MG
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                1Q 2012 PREMIUM RESIDENTIAL average
 COLLIERS RESIDEX 1Q 2012 - DELHI                                                                                                                                    Road.
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                RENTAL VALUE

    140
                                                                                                                                                                   •		 he Delhi government has given its in-
                                                                                                                                                                     T
   130                                                                                                                                                               principle approval for developing a monorail                                                                                  Prithviraj Road, Aurangzeb Road
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  200
   120                                                                                                                                                               corridor of 10.8 kms in Trans-Yamuna area.                                       Anand Niketan,
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        Vasant Vihar
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   160
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           Chanakya Puri
    110
                                                                                                                                                                     This monorail line is expected to link between                                                                                                                120

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       80
   100
                                                                                                                                                                     Shastri Park metro station and Trilokpuri via                                  Greater                                                                            40
    90
                                                                                                                                                                     Laxmi Nagar in East Delhi and will have 12
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   Kailash I
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 & II, South                                                                               0                                                                                   Golf Links, Jor Bagh,
    80                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           Extension                                                                                                                                                                        Sunder Nagar

    70
                                                                                                                                                                     stations. It is proposed to be functional by end
    60
                                                                                                                                                                     of 2017.
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    Friends Colony,                                                                                                                                       Shanti Niketan, Westend
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    Maharani Bagh
    50
          1Q2008

                   2Q2008

                            3Q2008

                                     4Q2008

                                              1Q2009

                                                       2Q2009

                                                                3Q2009

                                                                         4Q2009

                                                                                  1Q2010

                                                                                           2Q2010

                                                                                                    3Q2010

                                                                                                             4Q2010

                                                                                                                      1Q2011

                                                                                                                               2Q2011

                                                                                                                                        3Q2011

                                                                                                                                                 4Q2011

                                                                                                                                                          1Q2012




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   Panchashila, Anandlok, Niti Bagh, SDA

Rebase to 100                                                                                                                                                                                                                INR per Sq ft Per Month




   Ongoing Projects

   Project Name                                                                                                                              Location                                   Developer Name          Tentative Possession                                                                                                     Rate (Per Sq.ft.)*

   Kings Court                                                                                                                               Greater Kailash- II                        DLF Ltd.                                         1Q 2015                                                                                                                                                36,000

   Queens Court                                                                                                                              Greater Kailash- II                        DLF Ltd.                                         1Q 2015                                                                                                                                                26,000

   Capital Greens                                                                                                                            Shivaji Marg                               DLF Ltd.                                        2Q 2015                                                                                                                                                     14,000

   Winter Hills                                                                                                                              Dwarka Morh                                Umang Realtech                                  4Q 2013                                                                                                                                                     7,000




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  Note: * As quoted by developer



p. 4               | Colliers International
THE KNOWLEDGE | 1q 2011 | residential | gurgaon


                                                                                                                                        gurgaon                                                      1Q 2012 PREMIUM RESIDENTIAL AVerage
                                                                                                                                                                                                     CAPITAL VALUE
                                                                                                                                        •		 arious projects / phases of projects were
                                                                                                                                          V
                                                                                                                                          offered for possession during this quarter                        15,000


                                                                                                                                          including “DLF Belaire”, “DLF Park Place”                         12,000

                                                                                                                                          and “DLF Mangnolias” at Golf Course Road                          9,000

                                                                                                                                          developed by DLF Ltd and “Tatvam Villa”
                                                                                                                                                                                                            6,000
                                                                                                                                          developed by Vipul Ltd located at Sohna




                                                                                                                                                                                            INR per sq ft
                                                                                                                                          Road.
                                                                                                                                                                                                            3,000


                                                                                                                                                                                                                0




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  Golf Course Road




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        Sohna Road & Ext




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             DLF Phase I




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              Sushant Lok




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              NH - 8
                                                                                                                                        •		n 1Q 2012, the projects launched included,
                                                                                                                                          I
                                                                                                                                          “Gurgaon Greens” by Emaar MGF, “Amstoria”
                                                                                                                                          by BPTP, “Centrum Park” by India Bulls Ltd,
                                                                                                                                          “Colour Coding” by 3C Universal, “Provence
                                                                                                                                          Estate” by Krrish Group and Imperia Esfera
                                                                                                                                          by Imperia Group. All of these projects were
gurgaon                                                                                                                                   located in the sectors adjoining the Dwarka
                                                                                                                                          Expressway and were launched in a price                    CAPITAL VALUE TRENDS
                                                                                                                                          range of INR 4,000-5,000 per sq ft.
CITY RESIDENTIAL BAROMETER                                                                                                                                                                                  18,000

                                                                                                                                        •		 s compared to the previous quarter, capital
                                                                                                                                          A                                                                 16,000
                                                                                                                                                                                                            14,000
                                                                  4Q 2011                               1Q 2012                           values for prime residential properties                           12,000

                                                                                                                                          recorded an marginal increase in the range of                     10,000
                                                                                                                                                                                                             8,000
              RENTAL VALUE                                                                                                                2 to 4% across all micro markets, barring a                        6,000

                                                                                                                                          few locations such as DLF Phase-1 and NH-8,




                                                                                                                                                                                            INR per sq ft
                                                                                                                                                                                                             4,000

            CAPITAL VALUE                                                                                                                                                                                    2,000
                                                                                                                                          where capital values remained stable quarter-                          0




                                                                                                                                                                                                                     3Q2008

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                4Q2008

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     1Q2009

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              2Q2009

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       3Q2009

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           4Q2009

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    1Q2010

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              2Q2010

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            3Q2010

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     4Q2010

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                1Q2011

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            2Q2011

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     3Q2011

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                4Q2011

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         1Q2012
                                                                                                                                          on-quarter on the account of muted demand.
                                                                                                                                                                                                                               NH-8                                                                                                   Sohna Road & Ext

                                                                                                                                        •		 ental values for prime residential properties
                                                                                                                                          R                                                                                    Golf Course Road                                                                                      Sushant Lok

                                                                                                                                          increased in the range of 2 to 9% quarter-                                           DLF Phase I



                                                                                                                                          on-quarter in locations such as DLF Phase 1,
                                                                                                                                          Golf Course Road, Sohna Road & Extension
                                                                                                                                          and Sushant Lok due to increasing demand
                                                                                                                                                                                                     1Q 2012 PREMIUM RESIDENTIAL AVerage
 COLLIERS RESIDEX 1Q 2012 - GURGAON                                                                                                       from multinational corporations as well as
                                                                                                                                                                                                     RENTAL VALUE
                                                                                                                                          domestic companies.
   150

                                                                                                                                        •		n a bid to improve infrastructure in the
                                                                                                                                          I
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              Golf Course Road
   140
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    80
   130
                                                                                                                                          newly-developing sectors on the Golf Course                                                                                                               60
   120

   110
                                                                                                                                          Extension Road and Dwarka Expressway, the                                                                                                                 40

   100                                                                                                                                    State Government has allocated INR 1,394                                            NH-8
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    20
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               Sohna Road & Ext

    90                                                                                                                                    crore for various infrastructure projects such
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    0
    80
                                                                                                                                          as strengthening roads and developing water
    70

    60
                                                                                                                                          supply and sewage systems.
    50
         4Q2008

                  1Q2009




                                    3Q2009

                                             4Q2009

                                                      1Q2010

                                                               2Q2010

                                                                        3Q2010

                                                                                 4Q2010

                                                                                          1Q2011

                                                                                                   2Q2011

                                                                                                            3Q2011

                                                                                                                      4Q2011

                                                                                                                               1Q2012
                           2Q2009




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       DLF Phase I
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         Sushant Lok
Rebase to 100                                                                                                                                                                                    INR per Sq ft Per Month




   NEW PROJECTS

   Project Name                                                                                                      Location                               Developer Name            Tentative Possession                                                                                           Rate (Per Sq.ft.)*

   Amstoria                                                                                                          Sector 102                             BPTP Ltd.                                        4Q 2015                                                                                                                     11,000

                                                                                                                                                            India Bulls Real Estate
   Centrum Park                                                                                                      Sector 110                                                                              4Q 2013                                                                                                                      4,500
                                                                                                                                                            Ltd.

   Colour Coding                                                                                                     Sector 89                              3C Universal                                     4Q 2016                                                                                                                      4,000

   Gurgaon Greens                                                                                                    Sector 102                             Emaar MGF                                        4Q 2016                                                                                                                      5,000

   Imperia Esfera                                                                                                    Sector 37 C                            Imperia Group                                    1Q 2015                                                                                                                      3,500

   Provence Estate                                                                                                   Gurgaon-Faridabad Road                 Krrish Group                                     4Q 2015                                                                                                                      6,750
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           Note: * As quoted by developer



                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          Colliers International |                                                                                                       p. 5
The knowledge report india residential property market overview 1 q 2012
The knowledge report india residential property market overview 1 q 2012
The knowledge report india residential property market overview 1 q 2012
The knowledge report india residential property market overview 1 q 2012
The knowledge report india residential property market overview 1 q 2012
The knowledge report india residential property market overview 1 q 2012
The knowledge report india residential property market overview 1 q 2012

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The knowledge report india residential property market overview 1 q 2012

  • 1. Residential Property Market Overview INDIA QUARTERLY UPDATE | MAY | 2012 Accelerating success.
  • 2. 1Q 2012 | THE KNOWLEDGE Research report SYDNEY CENTRAL BUSINESS DISTRICT research & forecast Report India RESIDENTIAL market MACRO ECONOMIC OVERVIEW • During 4Q 2011 GDP grew at 6.9 % in real terms suggesting a moderation in growth in comparison to preceding two quarters. The finance minister presented India’s Union Budget 2012 -13 this quarter projecting a GDP growth rate of 7.6% for 2012-13. • The headline inflation figure moderated from 8.3% in December 2011 to 6.6 and 6.95% in January and February 2012, respectively. Keeping in view the moderation in inflation rate the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) reduced the CRR (Cash Reserve Ratio) by 50 basis points in January for the first time since one and a half year. A further reduction of 75 basis point was made in March 2012. The current CRR rate is 4.75%. ECONOMIC BAROMETER • The Budget remained silent on most of the major real estate related issues. It did however mentioned that efforts are on to arrive at a political consensus on the issue of allowing 51% Mar-11 Mar-12 Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) in multi-brand retailing. REPO RATE 6.50% 8.50% • The Budget aims to provide impetus to affordable housing by providing various incentives to both developers and end users. For example the External Commercial Borrowings (ECB) is allowed REVERSE REPO RATE 5.50% 7.50% for low cost housing projects which would help developers to raise debt at a lower rate. CRR 6.00% 4.75% • From an end user perspective, the budget provides few incentives including, Service tax INFLATION 9.68% 6.95% exemption for construction service related to residential dwelling and low cost mass housing up to an area of 60 sq mtr under the scheme of affordable housing. The existing scheme of interest 1 Home Loan Rate 10.25% 11.00% subvention of 1% for housing loans up to INRs 15 lakh (where the cost of the house does not exceed INR 25 lakhs), was extended by one more year. Return on Alternative Investments ECONOMIC INDICATORS Mar-11 Mar-12 YoY % 12.0 Change Gold 20,730 27,300 31.69% 10.0 SILVER 52,450 56,014 6.80% 8.0 2 Fixed Deposit 9.5% 9.25% -0.25% 6.0 EQUITY 18,167 17,675 -2.71% REALTY INDEX 2,054 1,821 -11.31% 4.0 2.0 In Percentage 1 2 SBI Home Loan Rate for Loan upto INR 50 Lakhs. 0.0 For a period of more than one year and amount below INR 1 Crore Jan ‘08 Apr ‘08 Jul ‘08 Oct‘08 Jan ‘09 Apr ‘09 Jul ‘09 Oct‘09 Jan ‘10 Apr ‘10 Jul ‘10 Oct‘10 Jan ‘11 Apr ‘11 Jul ‘11 Oct ‘11 Jan ‘12 (-2.0) Repo Rate Reverse Repo Rate Cash Reserve Ratio Wholesale Price Index Source: Colliers International India Research www.colliers.com
  • 3. THE KNOWLEDGE | 1q 2012 | residential | Mumbai MUMBAI 1Q 2012 PREMIUM RESIDENTIAL AVerage CAPITAL VALUE • his quarter several new residential projects T were launched in Mumbai including a 70,000 60,000 few premium residential projects such as 50,000 “Imperia” by Raheja Universal, and “ITC Glory” 40,000 and “Aquino” by Rohan Lifescapes. All of 30,000 these new launches were located in western 20,000 INR per sq ft 10,000 suburbs and were priced in the range of INR 0 22,000 to 32,500 per sq ft. Khar Malabar Hill, Altamount Road, Carmichael Road Breach Candy, Napeansea Road, Peddar Road Colaba, Cuffe Parade Worli Prabhadevi Bandra Santacruz Juhu Andheri Powai • Construction activities remained slow and no new supply was added to the prime residential stock in Mumbai. • Buyer’s sentiments remained cautious on the MUMBAI backdrop of the current economic scenario and fewer transactions were recorded during CAPITAL VALUE TRENDS the quarter. CITY RESIDENTIAL BAROMETER 75,000 • apital values for prime residential properties C 65,000 4Q 2011 1Q 2012 in western suburbs such as Bandra, 55,000 45,000 Santacruz, Andheri, Khar and Juhu recorded 35,000 RENTAL VALUE an increase in the range of 3 to 9%. On the 25,000 INR per sq ft contrary, properties located in South Central 15,000 CAPITAL VALUE locations observed downward pressure on 5,000 1Q2008 2Q2008 3Q2008 4Q2008 1Q2009 2Q2009 3Q2009 4Q2009 1Q2010 2Q2010 3Q2010 4Q2010 1Q2011 2Q2011 3Q2011 4Q2011 1Q2012 capital values and saw a marginal correction quarter-on-quarter. Breach Candy, Khar Colaba, Andheri Napeansea Road, Cuffe Parade Peddar Road Prabhadevi Bandra Worli Powai Malabar Hill, Santacruz • Due to steady demand for high-end rental Juhu Altamount Road, Carmichael Road premises, rental values for prime residential properties witnessed marginal increase in the range of 1 to 2% quarter-on-quarter in most 1Q 2012 PREMIUM RESIDENTIAL AVerage COLLIERS RESIDEX 1Q 2012 - MUMBAI of the micro-markets barring locations such RENTAL VALUE as Worli, Andheri, Juhu and Powai where 140 rental values remained stable on account of Malabar Hill, Altamount Road, ample supply. Carmichael Road 130 Breach Candy, Powai 200 Napeansea Rd., 120 Peddar rd. 150 110 Andheri 100 Colaba, Cuffe Parade 100 50 90 0 80 Juhu Prabhadevi 70 60 Santacruz Worli 50 1Q2008 2Q2008 3Q2008 4Q2008 1Q2009 2Q2009 3Q2009 4Q2009 1Q2010 2Q2010 3Q2010 4Q2010 1Q2011 2Q2011 3Q2011 4Q2011 1Q2012 Khar Bandra Rebase to 100 INR per Sq ft Per Month NEW PROJECTS Project Name Location Developer Name Tentative Possession Rate (Per Sq.ft.)* Aquino Prabhadevi Rohan Lifescapes 4Q 2015 32,500 Imperia Lower Parel Raheja Universal 4Q 2016 23,000 ITC Glory Parel Rohan Lifescapes 4Q 2014 22,000 Kanakia Skywalk Malad East Kanakia Group 4Q 2016 9,500 Note: * As quoted by developer p. 3 | Colliers International Colliers International | p. 3
  • 4. THE KNOWLEDGE | 1Q 2012 | residential | delhi Delhi 1Q 2012 PREMIUM RESIDENTIAL AVerage CAPITAL VALUE • he new residential supply in the premium T segment remains restricted, as only a few 100,000 90,000 redevelopment projects were completed this 80,000 quarter. Similarly no new residential projects 70,000 60,000 were launched this quarter, except for a few 50,000 40,000 redevelopment projects undertaken by local 30,000 INR per Sq Ft developers. 20,000 10,000 0 • apital value of prime residential properties C Vasant Vihar Sunder Nagar Anand Niketan, Prithviraj Road, Aurangzeb Road Chanakya Puri Golf Links, Jor Bagh, Shanti Niketan, Westend Panchashila, Anandlok, Niti Bagh, SDA Friends Colony, Maharani Bagh Greater Kailash I & II, South Extension appreciated in the range of 5 to 10% across all the micro markets in 1Q 2012. However, buyers’ sentiments remained cautions due to prevailing uncertainties in economy. delhi • Demand for premium residential properties remained consistent in South Delhi’s much CAPITAL VALUE TRENDS sought after locations such as Prithviraj CITY RESIDENTIAL BAROMETER Road, Aurangzeb Road, Chanakya Puri, Golf 90,000 Links, Jor Bagh and Sunder Nagar, however, 80,000 70,000 4Q 2011 1Q 2012 in Shanti Niketan, Westend, Panchashila, 60,000 Anandlok, Niti Bagh, SDA, Friends Colony, 50,000 40,000 RENTAL VALUE Maharani Bagh, Greater Kailash I & II, South 30,000 INR per Sq Ft 20,000 Extension, Anand Niketan and Vasant Vihar CAPITAL VALUE 10,000 rents appreciated in the range of 2 to 9%. 0 1Q2008 2Q2008 3Q2008 4Q2008 1Q2009 2Q2009 3Q2009 4Q2009 1Q2010 2Q2010 3Q2010 4Q2010 1Q2011 2Q2011 3Q2011 4Q2011 1Q2012 • n order to facilitate smooth travel between I Golf Links, Jor Bagh, Sunder Nagar Prithviraj Road, Aurangzeb Road Chanakya Puri Shanti Niketan, Westend the two cities, Delhi and Gurgaon, the Delhi Panchashila, Anandlok, Niti Bagh, SDA Friends Colony, Maharani Bagh Development Authority (DDA) has planned to Greater Kailash I & II, South Extension Anand Niketan, Vasant Vihar develop three Urban Extension Roads (UERs) connecting Dwarka to Palam Vihar, Najafgarh to Dhansa and Nelson Mandela Road to MG 1Q 2012 PREMIUM RESIDENTIAL average COLLIERS RESIDEX 1Q 2012 - DELHI Road. RENTAL VALUE 140 • he Delhi government has given its in- T 130 principle approval for developing a monorail Prithviraj Road, Aurangzeb Road 200 120 corridor of 10.8 kms in Trans-Yamuna area. Anand Niketan, Vasant Vihar 160 Chanakya Puri 110 This monorail line is expected to link between 120 80 100 Shastri Park metro station and Trilokpuri via Greater 40 90 Laxmi Nagar in East Delhi and will have 12 Kailash I & II, South 0 Golf Links, Jor Bagh, 80 Extension Sunder Nagar 70 stations. It is proposed to be functional by end 60 of 2017. Friends Colony, Shanti Niketan, Westend Maharani Bagh 50 1Q2008 2Q2008 3Q2008 4Q2008 1Q2009 2Q2009 3Q2009 4Q2009 1Q2010 2Q2010 3Q2010 4Q2010 1Q2011 2Q2011 3Q2011 4Q2011 1Q2012 Panchashila, Anandlok, Niti Bagh, SDA Rebase to 100 INR per Sq ft Per Month Ongoing Projects Project Name Location Developer Name Tentative Possession Rate (Per Sq.ft.)* Kings Court Greater Kailash- II DLF Ltd. 1Q 2015 36,000 Queens Court Greater Kailash- II DLF Ltd. 1Q 2015 26,000 Capital Greens Shivaji Marg DLF Ltd. 2Q 2015 14,000 Winter Hills Dwarka Morh Umang Realtech 4Q 2013 7,000 Note: * As quoted by developer p. 4 | Colliers International
  • 5. THE KNOWLEDGE | 1q 2011 | residential | gurgaon gurgaon 1Q 2012 PREMIUM RESIDENTIAL AVerage CAPITAL VALUE • arious projects / phases of projects were V offered for possession during this quarter 15,000 including “DLF Belaire”, “DLF Park Place” 12,000 and “DLF Mangnolias” at Golf Course Road 9,000 developed by DLF Ltd and “Tatvam Villa” 6,000 developed by Vipul Ltd located at Sohna INR per sq ft Road. 3,000 0 Golf Course Road Sohna Road & Ext DLF Phase I Sushant Lok NH - 8 • n 1Q 2012, the projects launched included, I “Gurgaon Greens” by Emaar MGF, “Amstoria” by BPTP, “Centrum Park” by India Bulls Ltd, “Colour Coding” by 3C Universal, “Provence Estate” by Krrish Group and Imperia Esfera by Imperia Group. All of these projects were gurgaon located in the sectors adjoining the Dwarka Expressway and were launched in a price CAPITAL VALUE TRENDS range of INR 4,000-5,000 per sq ft. CITY RESIDENTIAL BAROMETER 18,000 • s compared to the previous quarter, capital A 16,000 14,000 4Q 2011 1Q 2012 values for prime residential properties 12,000 recorded an marginal increase in the range of 10,000 8,000 RENTAL VALUE 2 to 4% across all micro markets, barring a 6,000 few locations such as DLF Phase-1 and NH-8, INR per sq ft 4,000 CAPITAL VALUE 2,000 where capital values remained stable quarter- 0 3Q2008 4Q2008 1Q2009 2Q2009 3Q2009 4Q2009 1Q2010 2Q2010 3Q2010 4Q2010 1Q2011 2Q2011 3Q2011 4Q2011 1Q2012 on-quarter on the account of muted demand. NH-8 Sohna Road & Ext • ental values for prime residential properties R Golf Course Road Sushant Lok increased in the range of 2 to 9% quarter- DLF Phase I on-quarter in locations such as DLF Phase 1, Golf Course Road, Sohna Road & Extension and Sushant Lok due to increasing demand 1Q 2012 PREMIUM RESIDENTIAL AVerage COLLIERS RESIDEX 1Q 2012 - GURGAON from multinational corporations as well as RENTAL VALUE domestic companies. 150 • n a bid to improve infrastructure in the I Golf Course Road 140 80 130 newly-developing sectors on the Golf Course 60 120 110 Extension Road and Dwarka Expressway, the 40 100 State Government has allocated INR 1,394 NH-8 20 Sohna Road & Ext 90 crore for various infrastructure projects such 0 80 as strengthening roads and developing water 70 60 supply and sewage systems. 50 4Q2008 1Q2009 3Q2009 4Q2009 1Q2010 2Q2010 3Q2010 4Q2010 1Q2011 2Q2011 3Q2011 4Q2011 1Q2012 2Q2009 DLF Phase I Sushant Lok Rebase to 100 INR per Sq ft Per Month NEW PROJECTS Project Name Location Developer Name Tentative Possession Rate (Per Sq.ft.)* Amstoria Sector 102 BPTP Ltd. 4Q 2015 11,000 India Bulls Real Estate Centrum Park Sector 110 4Q 2013 4,500 Ltd. Colour Coding Sector 89 3C Universal 4Q 2016 4,000 Gurgaon Greens Sector 102 Emaar MGF 4Q 2016 5,000 Imperia Esfera Sector 37 C Imperia Group 1Q 2015 3,500 Provence Estate Gurgaon-Faridabad Road Krrish Group 4Q 2015 6,750 Note: * As quoted by developer Colliers International | p. 5