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Setting the Framework: Economic Growth, Investment and Deficit Reduction Tamara Draut, Demos Lawrence Mishel, Economic Policy Institute
The Employment and Income Landscape
Family income growth by income group, 1989-2007 162% 108% Top 0.1% Top 1% 38% 95-99% 7% Bottom 90%
High unemployment ahead Projected 2012: 8.3% 2013: 6.5% Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics and Moody’s Economy.com
Underemployment, 2000-2010 Black Hispanic All Source: Economytrack.org
Setting Priorities           What is an Emergency?
‘Emergency’ spending in 2010 Source: EPI Analysis of CBO Estimates *Includes EUC, EB, FAC, and COBRA.  ** CBO Estimate of the Administration's Request
Setting Priorities Ensuring              Retirement                  Security
Income composition for the elderly, 2008 Earnings Other Pensions Social Security Source: Social Security Administration (2010)
Participation in employer-sponsored retirement plans in 2008*, by race
Male life expectancy at 65 2006 1986 2006 1986 Source: Waldron (2007)
The long-term budget challenge Controlling escalating health care costs
The Long-term Budget Outlook: One view Other Mandatory Medicare & Medicaid Revenue Social Security Net Interest Source: EPI Analysis of CBO Long-Term Budget Outlook and Budget and Economic Update
The Long-term Budget Outlook: Another view Net Interest Other Mandatory Medicare & Medicaid Revenue Social Security Source: EPI Analysis of CBO Long-Term Budget Outlook and Budget and Economic Update
What Drives Health Care Costs Source: Congressional Budget Office (2007)
Health Care Costs in the Private Sector 11.7% 8.5%
The long-term budget challenge Rebuilding our revenue base
Revenue as a Share of the Economy Hits a 60-Year Low Revenue Deficit Sources: OMB Historical Tables 2.1 (1945-2009),  CBO Analysis of the FY2011 Budget (Projections 2010-2020)
The Bush-Era Tax Cuts Account for Half of the Deficit After the Economy Recovers TARP Economic Recovery Measures Other Economic Downturn War costs Bush-era Tax Cuts Source: Center on Budget and Policy Priorities Analysis of CBO Estimates
The long-term budget challenge Investing in growth
With the Exception of Temporary Spending Related to the Recession, Discretionary Spending will be at Historically Low Levels Projected Domestic discretionary spending *Includes Departments of Veterans Affairs, Homeland Security, and State Source: OMB Historical Tables
The Physical Infrastructure Deficit (in billions) Estimated Spending Projected Shortfall (Based on 5-year spending needs)
Public Spending on Childcare and Preschool, 2005 U.S. 0.4% Source: OECD (2010)
Percentage of Public University Revenue from State Appropriations and Tuition Source: U.S. Department of Education
Our Fiscal Security The Responsible Path toward Recovery and Long-Term Growth

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America's fiscal choices_10_4

  • 1. Setting the Framework: Economic Growth, Investment and Deficit Reduction Tamara Draut, Demos Lawrence Mishel, Economic Policy Institute
  • 2. The Employment and Income Landscape
  • 3. Family income growth by income group, 1989-2007 162% 108% Top 0.1% Top 1% 38% 95-99% 7% Bottom 90%
  • 4. High unemployment ahead Projected 2012: 8.3% 2013: 6.5% Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics and Moody’s Economy.com
  • 5. Underemployment, 2000-2010 Black Hispanic All Source: Economytrack.org
  • 6. Setting Priorities What is an Emergency?
  • 7. ‘Emergency’ spending in 2010 Source: EPI Analysis of CBO Estimates *Includes EUC, EB, FAC, and COBRA. ** CBO Estimate of the Administration's Request
  • 8. Setting Priorities Ensuring Retirement Security
  • 9. Income composition for the elderly, 2008 Earnings Other Pensions Social Security Source: Social Security Administration (2010)
  • 10. Participation in employer-sponsored retirement plans in 2008*, by race
  • 11. Male life expectancy at 65 2006 1986 2006 1986 Source: Waldron (2007)
  • 12. The long-term budget challenge Controlling escalating health care costs
  • 13. The Long-term Budget Outlook: One view Other Mandatory Medicare & Medicaid Revenue Social Security Net Interest Source: EPI Analysis of CBO Long-Term Budget Outlook and Budget and Economic Update
  • 14. The Long-term Budget Outlook: Another view Net Interest Other Mandatory Medicare & Medicaid Revenue Social Security Source: EPI Analysis of CBO Long-Term Budget Outlook and Budget and Economic Update
  • 15. What Drives Health Care Costs Source: Congressional Budget Office (2007)
  • 16. Health Care Costs in the Private Sector 11.7% 8.5%
  • 17. The long-term budget challenge Rebuilding our revenue base
  • 18. Revenue as a Share of the Economy Hits a 60-Year Low Revenue Deficit Sources: OMB Historical Tables 2.1 (1945-2009), CBO Analysis of the FY2011 Budget (Projections 2010-2020)
  • 19. The Bush-Era Tax Cuts Account for Half of the Deficit After the Economy Recovers TARP Economic Recovery Measures Other Economic Downturn War costs Bush-era Tax Cuts Source: Center on Budget and Policy Priorities Analysis of CBO Estimates
  • 20. The long-term budget challenge Investing in growth
  • 21. With the Exception of Temporary Spending Related to the Recession, Discretionary Spending will be at Historically Low Levels Projected Domestic discretionary spending *Includes Departments of Veterans Affairs, Homeland Security, and State Source: OMB Historical Tables
  • 22. The Physical Infrastructure Deficit (in billions) Estimated Spending Projected Shortfall (Based on 5-year spending needs)
  • 23. Public Spending on Childcare and Preschool, 2005 U.S. 0.4% Source: OECD (2010)
  • 24. Percentage of Public University Revenue from State Appropriations and Tuition Source: U.S. Department of Education
  • 25. Our Fiscal Security The Responsible Path toward Recovery and Long-Term Growth

Notas del editor

  1. Members of the first quintile have a non-trivial amount of their income coming from “Public Cash Assistance.” this is about 8.5%