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Q4 2012 | OFFICE


NORTH AMERICA


HIGHLIGHTS



                                                               Unlocking 2013 Office
                                                               Property Performance
                                                               What will be the right combination in 2013?

                                                               K.C. CONWAY, MAI, CRE EMD | Market Analytics
MARKET INDICATORS
Relative to prior period                                       KEY TAKEAWAYS
                      US        US       Canada Canada         •	     The North American and U.S. office vacancy rates declined further during Q4 2012 to 14.09%
                      Q4        Q1         Q4     Q1
                     2012      2013*      2012 2013*                  and 14.63%, respectively. This was the fourth consecutive quarter of improvement for the 6.4
                                                                      billion square feet of inventory in the 85 North American office markets tracked by Colliers.
        VACANCY
                                                               •	     The market uncertainty and volatility of 2H2012 inhibited neither office leasing or transaction
NET ABSORPTION                                                    activity. Q4 North American net absorption of 21.1 MSF was more than double Q3’s 10.4 MSF.
  CONSTRUCTION                                                        2012 total net absorption was 50.7 MSF (roughly the office inventory of Ft. Lauderdale), the best
                                                                      since the 2008–2009 financial crisis.
   RENTAL RATE
                                                 *Projected    •	     Major office property transactions totaled $77.6 billion in 2012, and surged at year-end 2012.
      Construction is the change in Under Construction                Q4’s $29.1 billion in office building sales surpassed all prior quarters in 2012, according to Real
                                                                      Capital Analytics.

NORTH AMERICAN OFFICE MARKET
Summary Statistics, Q4 2012                                         NORTH AMERICAN OFFICE VACANCY, INVENTORY AND ABSORPTION – Q4 2012

                                    US       CAN        NA

              VACANCY RATE      14.63% 6.80% 14.09%

        Change From Q3 2012 -0.21% -0.26% -0.21%

         ABSORPTION (MSF)         18.8         2.3      21.1

  NEW CONSTRUCTION (MSF)               9.1       1.5   10.6

UNDER CONSTRUCTION (MSF)          39.5         11.3    50.8                                                                                             Absorption Per Market (SF)
                                                                                                                                                        q3 '12 - q4 '12

                                                                                                                                                                  2,500,000


  ASKING RENTS PER SF               US       CAN                                                                                                                   1,250,000
                                                                                                                                                                    250,000
                                                                                                                                                                   -250,000
           Downtown Class A     $41.22 $51.42                                                                                                                     -1,250,000

                                                                                                                                                                 -2,500,000
         Change from Q3 2012     0.17%       1.67%

            Suburban Class A $26.21          $31.94                                                                                                     Sq. Ft. By Region
                                                                                                                                                                                 2 billion
                                                                                                                                                                               2.00000000
                                                                                                                                                                                 1 billion
                                                                                                                                                                               1.00000000
         Change from Q3 2012    0.08%        0.16%                                                                                                                               200 mil.
                                                                                                                                                                               2.00000000


                                                                                                                                                                 Occupied Sq. Ft.
                                                                                                                                                              Total_OffSF-Vacant_OffSF
                                                                                                                                                              Vacant_OffSF Ft.
                                                                                                                                                                 Vacant Sq.




WWW.COLLIERS.COM
HIGHLIGHTS | Q4 2012 | OFFICE | NORTH AMERICA


KEY TAKEAWAYS (continued)

•	     Capital is migrating out of the risk curve for investment in office building assets in search of yield. This trend, reported by Colliers in previous 2012
       reports, was corroborated by the recent Association of Foreign Investors in Real Estate report in which four of the top five markets for investment
       were in the U.S., including Houston for the first time.

•	     “ICEE” office markets are still hot. Intellectual Capital, Energy and Education (ICEE) markets continue to capture a disproportionate share of North
       American office absorption. During 2012, two-thirds of the 10 North American MSAs with the greatest absorption are characterized as
       ICEE markets. We see this trend continuing in 2013 as technology, energy and knowledge gateway centers remain the dominant generators of
       office-related employment.

•	     Medical Office has been a sleeper office sub-property type that saw a 30% growth in transaction activity in CY 2012 to $6.1 billion, or just shy of
       the 10% total $77.6 billion in CY 2012 office property sales. And, approximately half of the 71 MSF of office space under construction in the U.S. at
       the onset of 2013 is for medical-related use.

•	     Recovery in housing is an overlooked office demand driver that will gain additional traction in 2013.


IN THIS QUARTER’S REPORT, WE TAKE A LOOK AT THE
COMBINATION TO UNLOCKING VALUE IN 2013:
                                                                                    CANADIAN OFFICE ABSORPTION BY MARKET Q4 2012

                             RIGHT 14: In 2013 look for North American
                             vacancy to drop below 14%, fueled by                            Montréal, QC                                                                                                   365.7

                             another 50 MSF of absorption.                                    Calgary, AB                                                                                                330.0

                                                                                                                                                                                      203.3
                             LEFT 80:total office transactions above                         Toronto, ON
                                                                                                                                                                                     190.2
                             $80 billion                                                       Regina, SK

                                                                                           Saskatoon, SK                                                                     138.9
                             RIGHT 10: CMBS office property                           Waterloo Region, ON                                                 24.4
                             delinquencies rate below 10%                                  Edmonton, AB                                                  13.3

                             LEFT ICEE: Office job growth in Tech/                          Winnipeg, MB                                              0.0

                             Energy/Education MSAs outperforms                                Halifax, NS                                      -0.5

                             FIRE MSAs for a third consecutive year                           Victoria, BC                                 -14.4

                                                                                           Vancouver, BC                     -130.9
                             RIGHT MO: Medical Office is the emerging                                                 -183.2
                                                                                              Ottawa, ON
                             leader among office sub-property sectors
                                                                                                             -300.0     -200.0        -100.0       0.0          100.0          200.0           300.0       400.0
                                                    See page 7 for details                                                                                                                       Thousands




                                                                                    CANADIAN OFFICE UNDER CONSTRUCTION BY MARKET Q4 2012


                                                                                                Toronto, ON                                                                                       2.78

                                                                                                 Calgary, AB                                                    1.66

                                                                                              Vancouver, BC                                                 1.56

                                                                                                 Ottawa, ON                    0.36

                                                                                               Montréal, QC                  0.30

                                                                                                 Halifax, NS             0.19

                                                                                               Winnipeg, MB            0.13

                                                                                                  Regina, SK          0.08

                                                                                        Waterloo Region, ON           0.07

                                                                                              Saskatoon, SK           0.05

                                                                                                 Victoria, BC     0.00

                                                                                              Edmonton, AB        0.00

                                                                                                                0.0            0.5       1.0          1.5              2.0            2.5           3.0
                                                                                                                                                                                             Millions


                                                                                   Note: Q3 data reported for Winnipeg, MB



P. 2    | COLLIERS INTERNATIONAL
HIGHLIGHTS | Q4 2012 | OFFICE | NORTH AMERICA


IN BRIEF: OFFICE OUTLOOK 2013                                                                                 North American Downtown Markets:
2012 finished—and 2013 began—as Colliers observed in fall 2012: with progress on all fronts.                  Excluding renewals, of the leases signed
•	   North American Office Vacancy falls to just 14.09% at YE 2012.                                           this quarter, did most tenants:

•	   Net leasing activity best in five years: i) 21.1 MSF in Q4 2012; and ii) 50.7 MSF for CY 2012
•	   A 19% surge in office building sales surpasses 2004 transaction volume (3,000+ properties
                                                                                                                                         Hold Steady
     totaling approximately $78 billion during 2012)                                                                                        69.1%
                                                                                                                  Expand
                                                                                                                  16.2%
Despite the harmful summer “UV (Uncertainty & Volatility) rays” during 1H2012, and lingering anxiety
                                                                                                                            Contract
surrounding the U.S. fiscal debt crisis, ongoing Eurozone recession, the cost and logistics of                               14.7%
implementing Obamacare, and anemic job growth (150,000/month) for two consecutive years, office
real estate is persevering and returning to a state of balance. However, the recovery is broadening,
both in the factors that have driven it over the past 12 months, as well as the markets that it’s reaching.
No longer is the recovery confined to the CBDs of the “sexy six” core MSAs of New York, Boston,
Chicago, Los Angeles, San Francisco and Seattle; it’s expanding to suburban submarkets and
secondary MSAs. Real Capital Analytics’ Office Year In Review report noted a 31 percent increase in           North American Downtown Markets:
                                                                                                              What was the trend in Free Rent (in months)
suburban office building sales during 2012, and a 40 percent increase in office building sales outside        offered by CBD landlords this quarter?
the six core MSAs. While this new interest is driven by a dearth of assets in the core MSAs and the
search for yield in response to Federal Reserve monetary policy and cap rate compression, it has been
office job growth in technology, energy and primary-education focused MSAs (what Colliers coined the
Intellectual Capital, Energy and Education, or “ICEE” markets in 2011) that has defined which secondary                                     Same
markets were participating in this broadening recovery in the office property sector thus far.                   Less                       80.9%
                                                                                                                14.7%
                                                                                                                        More
In 2013, two other positive influences will impact this expansion: the housing recovery and growth in                   4.4%
medical office demand. Both are broad-based across the U.S. and will have more of an effect on
suburban office submarkets than CBDs. Why? First, professional services associated with a rise in
new home construction and existing home sales activity will rebuild in proximity to this increasing
housing activity in the suburbs. Second, our healthcare delivery model is shifting from one concentrated
on expensive urban hospital campuses to less capital-intensive, suburban outpatient facilities.
                                                                                                              North American Downtown Markets:
The ICEE, housing, and medical office factors, along with the continuing search for yield by investors,       What was the trend for tenant
add up to M.O.T.S (More Office To Secondaries) in 2013. As the diagram below depicts, rising                  improvement allowances offered by
absorption and modest new supply are driving vacancy down, and the requisite conditions to improve            CBD landlords this quarter?
NOI are in place to absorb any interest rate risk in 2H2013.
                                                                                                                                       Hold Steady
                                                                                                                                         91.2%
 U.S. OFFICE MARKET Q4 2010–Q4 2012
                                                                                                                 Contract Expand
                                                                                                                  2.9%     5.9%


       20.0      16.11
                         15.57   15.36   15.14
       18.0                                      15.03   14.96    14.88   14.83   14.63    16.0
       16.0                                                                                14.0
       14.0
                                                                                           12.0
       12.0                                                                                                   North American Suburban Markets:
                                                                                                  Vacancy %




                                                                                           10.0               Excluding renewals, of the leases signed
       10.0
                                                                                           8.0                this quarter in your CBD/downtown,
        8.0                                                                                                   did most tenants:
                                                                                           6.0
        6.0
        4.0                                                                                4.0
                                                                                           2.0                     Expand
        2.0                                                                                                        30.9%                  Hold Steady
                                                                                                                                            60.3%
          -                                                                                -
                  Q4      Q1      Q2       Q3     Q4      Q1      Q2       Q3      Q4                                   Contract
                                                                                                                         8.8%
                         2011                            2012
                          Absorption MSF          Completions MSF          Vacancy %




                                                                                                                           COLLIERS INTERNATIONAL |      P. 3
HIGHLIGHTS | Q4 2012 | OFFICE | NORTH AMERICA


                                                                                Vacancy
                                                                                From a regional perspective, Canada has the lowest average vacancy rate
                                                                                at 6.8 percent; and in the U.S., the Northeast has the lowest vacancy rate
                                                                                just shy of 14 percent. The highest vacancy rate among North American
                                                                                regions is the Western U.S. at 15.27 percent. The South and Midwest have
                                                                                average regional vacancy rates of 14.81% and 14.71%, respectively.
                                                                                Housing has been slow in its recovery in both these regions, and the job
                                                                                growth has been more focused on manufacturing, transportation and
                                                                                distribution, favoring industrial real estate over office.


                                                                                                               US                  CA                  NA

                                                                                 Vacancy Rate:                14.63%             6.80%               14.09%

BEHIND THE STATISTICS & BEYOND THE BASICS                                        Change from Q3 2012          -0.21%            -0.26%                -0.21%
Scope of Colliers Office Outlook Report: Colliers monitors office property
conditions in 85 North American markets from Toronto to Tampa, totaling
                                                                                Absorption
6.4 billion square feet of inventory. Approximately 93 percent (6.0 billion
                                                                                The final tally on 2012 net office absorption was not in the cards in
square feet) of this inventory is located in the United States.
                                                                                mid-2012, when it appeared that tenants and businesses were pulling back
                                                                                from leasing activity driving absorption down 6% over the prior six-month
The largest 20 North American markets (those with at least 100 MSF of
                                                                                period (2H2011). However, despite the market’s anxiety over the November
existing inventory) constitute approximately 60 percent of the 6.4 billion
                                                                                2012 election and the Fiscal Cliff, 2012’s net office absorption had its
square feet of North American office space tracked by Colliers. All of the
                                                                                best performance since the 2008–2009 financial crisis. Q4 net absorption
>90 million-square-foot markets are located in the U.S., except one: Toronto.
                                                                                was more than double that for any prior quarter during 2012 (21.1 MSF in
With respect to 2012 net absorption, just 10 of the 85 markets accounted
for 53 percent of the 50.7 MSF of net absorption, and all but one market        Q4 compared to 10.0 MSF for the rest of the year).
(Calgary) are located in the U.S. Below are the ten absorption-leading
MSAs for 2012—seven of which are ICEE markets.                                  Which markets outperformed and why? Examination of the top ten North
                                                                                American markets with respect to absorption in Q4 and YTD 2012 reveals
                                                                                the impact of ICEE employment drivers, commencement of a true housing
 ICEE MARKETS LEAD IN 2012 ABSORPTION                                           recovery, and importance of having a nationally or regionally recognized
                                                                                medical center.
                            MSA                      2012 ABSORPTION


       1              Houston (ICEE)                     4.50 MSF                TOP MARKETS FOR ABSORPTION

                                                                                           MSA             Q4 2012            MSA                 CY 2012
       2                Dallas (ICEE)                    2.90 MSF
                                                                                          Detroit                                                 4.50 MSF
                                                                                  1                       1.66 MSF         Houston
                                                                                       (Auto + Housing)                                      (ICEE) + Medical Center
       3               Atlanta (ICEE)                    2.80 MSF
                                                                                                                                                  2.90 MSF
                                                                                  2      Phoenix          1.46 MSF           Dallas          (ICEE) + Medical Center

       4                   Detroit                       2.75 MSF                                                           Atlanta               2.80 MSF
                                                                                  3      Chicago           1.13 MSF     (Housing Recovery)   (ICEE) + Medical Center


       5                  Chicago                        2.70 MSF                        Montreal                                                 2.75 MSF
                                                                                  4                       0.99 MSF          Detroit
                                                                                           (ICEE)                                                Medical Center

                                                                                       Philadelphia                                               2.70 MSF
       6               Calgary (ICEE)                     2.5 MSF                 5                       0.98 MSF          Chicago
                                                                                           (ICEE)                                                Medical Center

                                                                                         Houston                                                   2.5 MSF
                                                                                  6                       0.93 MSF          Calgary
                                                                                           (ICEE)                                                    (ICEE)
       7                  Phoenix                         2.4 MSF
                                                                                          Boston                           Phoenix
                                                                                  7                       0.93 MSF                                 2.4 MSF
                                                                                           (ICEE)                       (Housing Recovery)
       8               Boston (ICEE)                      2.2 MSF
                                                                                           Dallas                                                 2.2 MSF
                                                                                  8                       0.84 MSF          Boston
                                                                                           (ICEE)                                            (ICEE) + Medical Center

       9             Philadelphia (ICEE)                  2.2 MSF                                                                                 2.2 MSF
                                                                                  9     Minneapolis       0.82 MSF       Philadelphia        (ICEE) + Medical Center

       10              Seattle (ICEE)                     2.2 MSF                                                                                 2.2 MSF
                                                                                 10    Sacramento         0.82 MSF          Seattle          (ICEE) + Medical Center




P. 4   | COLLIERS INTERNATIONAL
HIGHLIGHTS | Q4 2012 | OFFICE | NORTH AMERICA


Looking at this list, several themes emerge:                                      Association of Foreign Investors in Real Estate’s annual 2013 Foreign
                                                                                  Investment Survey ranked the U.S. as the top place overall to invest; four
  •	   The overlapping seven MSAs: Seven of the top ten most active               U.S. markets were among their top five picks, including Houston, which
       markets for leasing activity in Q4 were also among the ten most active     had never before made this report’s global ranking.
       MSAs for all of calendar 2012. Houston, Dallas, Detroit, Chicago,
       Phoenix, Boston, and Philadelphia are prominent in both categories.        Construction Activity
                                                                                  To assess the risk of overbuilding, new construction activity needs
  •	   The predominance of ICEE: Seven of the top ten markets for net
                                                                                  to be considered from three perspectives: 1) new supply as a percent
       absorption in 2012 are MSAs with an ICEE employment profile
                                                                                  of existing inventory; 2) geographic concentration; and 3) sub-property
       (technology, energy and/or primary education).
                                                                                  type concentration.
  •	   The increasing role of housing and medical office: However, only
       five of the top ten markets for Q4 leasing activity are ICEE MSAs.         At the onset of 2013, approximately 78.5 MSF of new office supply is
       What explains the difference, and what explains the emergence of           underway in the U.S. and Canada, according to Dodge Pipeline. That
       MSAs like Atlanta, Detroit and Phoenix? The answer is two-fold:            activity translates to a North American new supply to existing inventory
       1) the real housing recovery is taking hold in even the most               ratio of 1.2%. Historically, only when this ratio passes 2.0% is it considered
       distressed housing markets, such as Atlanta, Detroit and Phoenix;          elevated and indicative of overbuilding risk. What’s more, the current
       and 2) high-profile medical centers are strongly impacting demand          supply-to-inventory ratio is actually much lower for most U.S. office
       for medical office space: Eight of the leading MSAs for absorption         markets due to geographic and sub-property type concentration.
       in 2012 have nationally or regionally recognized medical centers.
                                                                                  With respect to sub-property type construction, 51% of the 78.5 MSF of
Looking forward to 2013, the only brake on office leasing activity in key         total new supply is medical-office-related construction. Of the remaining
energy markets—Dallas, Denver, Houston, Oklahoma City, Philadelphia               38.5 MSF, 17.55 MSF (45.7% of the non-medical office new supply) is
(impact of Bakken shale), and Calgary—will be the delayed delivery of new         concentrated in just five states. The following table delineates these
space under construction. Houston and Denver can’t complete new space             geographic and sub-property type ratios:
fast enough to keep pace with demand. ICEE will also continue to be an
important office space demand driver in markets like Atlanta and Detroit
                                                                                                                           New Supply
where auto technology is fueling demand for engineers, and the office                          Delineation                                       Ratio (%)
                                                                                                                             (MSF)
space to house them. (In 2012, Porsche and General Motors both made
material commitments to locating auto technology centers in Atlanta.)                 North America                           78.5                100.0
And, the housing recovery will benefit suburban office space demand as
contractors and professional service providers (closing attorneys,                       Canada                                 7.2                 9.2
architects, engineers, building inspectors, etc.) rebuild or expand their
operations to service housing activity of approximately 1.0 million new
                                                                                         United States                         71.3                91.8
units—after years of less than half that level of activity. Atlanta, Charlotte,
Nashville, Phoenix, Tampa, and inland California markets will see the most
                                                                                      Office Property                         78.5                100.0
benefit from this housing recovery in 2013. In aggregate, 2013 should
surpass 2012’s 50 MSF of net absorption by conservative estimates of
15%–20%, or 57.5 to 60.0 MSF in total. Market forces will see 2H2013                     Medical Office                       40.0                 51.0
disproportionately higher net leasing activity than 1H2013, as was the case
in 2012.                                                                                 Non-Medical Office                   38.5                 49.0


Transaction Activity                                                                  U.S. Non-Medical Office                 38.5                100.0
Transactions of major office property were also uninhibited by 2H2012
uncertainty. There were more than 3,000 transactions in 2012, totaling                   Top 5 States                          17.5                45.7
$77.6 billion, with a noticeable surge at year-end 2012: the $29.1 billion in
Q4 office building sales surpassed all prior quarters in 2012, according to
                                                                                              Texas                             6.7                 17.4
Real Capital Analytics. As in recent years, New York, San Francisco, Los
Angeles, Washington D.C., and Seattle accounted for approximately 50
percent of the total dollar volume of office building sales during 2012.                      California                        4.9                12.8
Houston and Denver (two key ICEE MSAs) now rank among the top
markets for office building transaction volume.                                               Pennsylvania                     2.5                  6.4


The $77.6 billion in office transaction activity from 2012 is likely to be                    New York                         2.0                  5.2
surpassed in 2013, given the amount of idle domestic and foreign capital
searching for yield in tangible assets, such as commercial real estate. The                   New Jersey                        1.5                 3.9




                                                                                                                           COLLIERS INTERNATIONAL |          P. 5
HIGHLIGHTS | Q4 2012 | OFFICE | NORTH AMERICA



   ENGINEERING NEWS-RECORD’S CONSTRUCTION COST INDEX
   YEAR                JAN             FEB             MAR                  APR           MAY                JUN     JUL           AUG            SEP           OCT        NOV       DEC      AVG

    2013             9437             9453                                     Note: Construction Costs never dropped post 2007 & are rising at a faster pace.
    2012               9176           9198             9268                 9273          9290              9291    9324           9351           9341          9376       9398      9412     9308
    2011             8938             8998              9011                9027          9035              9053    9080           9088           9116          9147       9173      9172     9070
    2010             8660             8672              8671                8677          8761              8055    8844           8837           8836          8921       8951      8952     8799
   2009              8549             8533             8534                 8528          8574              8578    8566           8564           8586          8596       8592      8641     8570
   2008              8090             8094             8109                 8112          8141              8185    8293           8362           8557          8623       8602      8551     8310
   2007              7880             7880             7856                 7865          7942              7939    7959           8007           8050          8045       8092      8089     7966
   2006              7660             7689             7692                 7695          7691              7700    7721           7722           7763          7883       7911      7888     7751
   2005              7297             7298             7309                 7355          7398               7415   7422           7479           7540          7563       7630      7647     7446
   2004              6825             6862             6957                 7017          7065              7109    7126           7188           7298          7314       7312      7308     7115
   2003              6581             6640             6627                 6635          6642              6694    6695           6733           6741          6771       6794      6782     6694
   2002              6462             6462             6502                 6480          6512              6532    6605           6592           6589          6579       6578      6563     6538
    2001             6281             6272             6279                 6286          6288              6318    6404           6389           6391          6397       6410      6390     6343
   2000              6130             6160             6202                 6201          6233              6238    6225           6233           6224          6259       6266      6283     6221

INDEX METHODOLOGY: 200 hours of common labor at the 20-city average of common labor rates, plus 25 cwt of standard structural steel shapes at the mill price prior to 1996 and the fabricated
20-city price from 1996, plus 1.128 tons of portland cement at the 20-city price, plus 1,088 board-ft of 2x4 lumber at the 20-city price.


The good news is that the U.S. ratio of new supply to inventory (excluding                                          CAPITAL MARKETS
medical office construction) is less than a one-half of one percent—the                                             What is better than improving office property type fundamentals? For
lowest since 2003. And, only 21 MSF of new construction is underway                                                 those that purchased any of the 3,000 office properties that traded in
outside of the five most active states, where energy and technology                                                 2012, the answer is availability of capital. Domestic and foreign sources
companies, such as Exxon Mobil and Shell Energy in Texas and Endo                                                   are flush with capital ready to invest in tangible assets like real estate, that
Pharmaceutical in Pennsylvania, account for 60 percent of activity.                                                 can offer 2.5 to 3.0 times the yield offered by the U.S. government’s
                                                                                                                    10-year Treasury bond. And, the CMBS debt markets are opening up again
However, rising construction costs are a concern that spans all commercial                                          after four consecutive years of annual new issuance below $50 billion.
property types. It may surprise many to learn that construction costs                                               Underwriting terms and pricing spreads have also compressed in favor of
never actually declined during the 2008–2009 financial crisis and the                                               borrowers: Improving market conditions have enabled even properties
ensuing recession. As documented by the Engineering-News Record,                                                    with elevated vacancy rates to become financeable again due to the low
Construction, costs have risen 17% since the end of 2007, and are up over                                           DSCR hurdle provided by sub-5.0 percent interest rates and 90 percent
5.0 percent since February 2011. Investors and developers considering                                               LTVs. Declining CMBS delinquency rates have further aided new issuance
new construction investments should budget construction cost increases at                                           interest, and have CMBS investors enthusiastic about 2013 new issuance
double the CPI for 2013 and 2014, due to pressures on labor and materials.                                          increasing 50 percent over 2012’s $50 billion level to $75 billion. If you
                                                                                                                    have tenants, and can meet a 1.4 DSCR using a 4.5% loan coupon, the
                                                                                                                    capital markets are once again open to refinance your office building.
 PERCENTAGE 30+ DAYS DELINQUENT BY PROPERTY TYPE


   12                                                                                                                PERCENTAGE 30+ DAYS DELINQUENT BY PROPERTY TYPE

                                                                                                                                     JAN ‘13       DEC ‘12       NOV ‘12    3 MON    6 MON    1 YEAR

                                                            10.34
                                                    10.16           10.13                                             Industrial          11.32      11.24        11.48      11.53    11.72    12.14
                                            10.04                           9.99
   10                         9.68
                                     9.80
                                                                                   9.69   9.71   9.71
                                                                                                          9.57
              9.52
                       9.37                                                                                            Lodging            11.77      11.73        12.24      11.24    13.06   12.09

                                                                                                                     Multifamily          13.43      13.98        14.21     14.26     15.69    15.39

                                                                                                                        Office        10.48          10.66        10.37     10.20     10.69    8.90
       8
            Jan 2012      Mar 2012      May 2012        Jul 2012        Sep 2012      Nov 2012          Jan 2013
                                                                                                                        Retail             7.79          7.62      7.75      8.03     8.03     7.88

Source: Trepp – January 2013 CMBS Delinquency Report                                                                Source: Trepp – January 2013 CMBS Delinquency Report



P. 6       | COLLIERS INTERNATIONAL
HIGHLIGHTS | Q4 2012 | OFFICE | NORTH AMERICA


               THE COMBINATION TO UNLOCKING 2013
               OFFICE PROPERTY PERFORMANCE


           RIGHT 14 – Vacancy:                                                              LEFT ICEE – Office Demand Drivers:
            If the absorption momentum from 2H2012 carries over into                         The greatest opportunity for value enhancement and yield will
            2013 and Congress can maneuver its fiscal debt obstacle                          remain in those secondary markets with an ICEE employment
course in 1H2013, the North American office vacancy rate will decline            profile. Traditional FIRE (Finance Insurance and Real Estate) markets are
below 14.0 percent for the first time since 2005. Office property investors      going to face office absorption headwinds as financial institutions reduce
are keenly focused on the need for improvement in NOI in office properties       operating costs and the amount of office space they occupy. Financial
going forward to be positioned to absorb higher interest rate costs 3-5          institutions will be returning office inventory to the market undermining
years out. Cap rate compression has aided property values the past two           recent improvement in vacancy. For this part of the combination, turn to
years, but future value enhancement will have to be unlocked through NOI         ICEE vs. FIRE.
improvement (i.e., increasing occupancy and rental rates).
                                                                                            RIGHT MO – Medical Office:
           LEFT 80 – Office Transaction Activity:                                           The role of medical office space in the overall office vacancy
           With improving office property fundamentals and cheap debt to                    picture warrants monitoring in 2013, particularly as the Obama
           leverage transactions to maximize yield, 2013 should see office       administration’s healthcare legislation and mandated healthcare exchanges
transaction activity surpass the $80 billion mark by as much as 20%. The         are implemented. Due to strong demand and an absence of much new
opportunity to unlock value here is in quality assets in secondary ICEE          supply since 2007, demand for medical office space has risen dramatically
markets, such as Atlanta, Austin, Baltimore (now a post-Panamax ready            and is fueling a boom in new construction. The states with the most
port), Denver, Fort Worth, and Houston.                                          medical office construction activity are Texas, California, Maryland, New
                                                                                 York, North Carolina and Ohio. Medical office offers an unlocked opportunity
           RIGHT 10 – CMBS Office Delinquency:                                   as contraction continues among traditional users of office space, such
            For the capital markets to contribute to the improving office         as financial services firms. Do your homework before jumping into this
            property conditions, CMBS delinquency rates need to continue         sub-property sector, though. Vacancy and rental rates vary widely, and
on their downward trajectory and remain south of 10 percent overall. As          this subsector lacks the same availability of data and transparency as the
new issuance increases to a level north of $50 billion (increases the            greater North American office market.
denominator in the delinquency calculation), and special servicers
continue to resolve in excess of $1.0 billion in delinquent or defaulted loans
(decreases the numerator portion of the delinquency ratio calculation),
CMBS delinquency is likely to remain below 10 percent. This trend needs
to translate over to the office property sector. With a January CMBS office
delinquency rate of 10.48%, this ratio should decline further, and maybe
even drop below 10%, as mature legacy office property loans are finally
able to refinance. CMBS delinquency below 10 percent is critical to capital
market confidence and unlocking more opportunity for office property
leverage in 2013.




Houston



                                                                                                                         COLLIERS INTERNATIONAL |        P. 7
HIGHLIGHTS | Q4 2012 | OFFICE | NORTH AMERICA



 UNITED STATES | DOWNTOWN OFFICE | ALL INVENTORY

                                                          EXISTING             NEW SUPPLY      UNDER        VACANCY        VACANCY       ABSORPTION
 MARKET                                                INVENTORY (SF)            Q4 2012    CONSTRUCTION    RATE (%)       RATE (%)        Q4 2012
                                                         DEC 31, 2012             (SF)          (SF)       SEP 30, 2012   DEC 31, 2012      (SF)

 NORTHEAST

 Baltimore, MD                                           28,840,782              234,874              -       14.06         14.02            9,076
 Boston, MA                                              60,725,404               98,096      2,435,000       14.08         13.06          616,698
 Hartford, CT                                             9,769,060                    -              -       21.24         20.72           50,896
 New York, NY – Downtown Manhattan                      110,942,138                    -      5,200,000       16.09         15.36          814,431
 New York, NY – Midtown Manhattan                       227,532,283                    -      1,052,150       11.94         12.04        (226,585)
 New York, NY – Midtown South Manhattan                 165,368,697                    -       850,000         7.96          8.03        (119,601)
 Philadelphia, PA                                        43,133,883              654,000              -       11.17         10.76          178,159
 Pittsburgh, PA                                          32,161,109               52,000       800,000         9.68          10.9        (129,087)
 Stamford, CT                                            18,966,293                    -              -       19.55         21.00        (274,722)
 Washington, DC                                         140,909,953                    -      1,903,911       10.44         10.48         (59,655)
 White Plains, NY                                         7,741,025                    -              -       15.19         15.78         (45,062)
 Northeast Total                                       846,090,627             1,038,970    12,241,061        11.86         11.77          814,548
 SOUTH

 Atlanta, GA                                             49,933,614              433,822       450,000        17.04         16.94           47,727
 Birmingham, AL*                                          4,338,335                    -              -       22.00         19.80           95,482
 Charleston, SC                                           2,068,469                    -        52,000         7.70          7.24            9,369
 Charlotte, NC                                           22,511,630              828,831              -        8.80          7.94          193,649
 Columbia, SC                                             4,490,309                    -              -       16.80         14.21          116,125
 Dallas, TX                                              34,744,566              204,109              -       26.98         27.58        (208,846)
 Ft. Lauderdale-Broward, FL                               8,003,061                    -              -       16.49         16.33           12,534
 Ft. Worth, TX                                           10,400,974                    -       154,801        13.05         12.14           94,885
 Greenville, SC                                           3,143,679                    -       235,000        12.24         15.68        (107,938)
 Houston, TX                                             36,514,081               50,000              -       14.45         13.72          269,002
 Jacksonville, FL                                        15,994,027               73,423              -       14.66         14.42           30,994
 Little Rock, AR                                          6,422,699                    -              -       11.30         12.48         (22,714)
 Louisville, KY                                          43,630,770              300,000              -       11.80         11.89          228,712
 Memphis, TN                                              6,108,640                    -        26,000        14.77         14.66            6,481
 Miami-Dade, FL                                          18,491,614               33,930              -       18.29         18.36         (12,903)
 Nashville, TN                                           12,087,245               48,000              -       14.76         13.52          167,473
 Orlando, FL                                             12,744,796                    -              -       11.83         11.86          (3,379)
 Raleigh/Durham/Chapel Hill, NC                          13,657,917                    -              -        6.49          6.08           55,964
 Richmond, VA                                            17,066,905                    -       112,000        10.76         10.70           10,479
 Savannah, GA                                               825,240               72,072              -       15.21         14.18           68,561
 Tampa Bay, FL                                            8,607,635               66,927              -       12.91         13.36         (39,132)
 West Palm Beach/Palm Beach County, FL                   10,130,113                    -              -       17.79         16.69          110,753
 South Total                                           341,916,319             2,111,114     1,029,801        15.10         14.88        1,123,278

*Absorption and vacancy figures for Birmingham account for direct space only




P. 8   | COLLIERS INTERNATIONAL
HIGHLIGHTS | Q4 2012 | OFFICE | NORTH AMERICA



UNITED STATES | DOWNTOWN OFFICE | ALL INVENTORY   (continued)

                                             EXISTING           NEW SUPPLY         UNDER        VACANCY        VACANCY       ABSORPTION
MARKET                                    INVENTORY (SF)          Q4 2012       CONSTRUCTION    RATE (%)       RATE (%)        Q4 2012
                                            DEC 31, 2012           (SF)             (SF)       SEP 30, 2012   DEC 31, 2012      (SF)

MIDWEST
Chicago, IL                                 159,986,353           297,763                 -       13.45         13.23          347,362
Cincinnati, OH                               18,047,286                 -                 -       18.12         18.09            5,408
Cleveland, OH                                34,140,929           710,100          475,000        19.26         19.07           66,433
Columbus, OH                                 19,597,350           395,500          280,000        11.00         11.90           36,469
Detroit, MI                                  26,153,283         1,165,425                 -       21.04         20.88           42,065
Grand Rapids, MI                              5,461,588                 -                 -       23.24         22.34           49,026
Indianapolis, IN                             23,453,317                 -           18,000        13.71         13.34           94,650
Kansas City, MO                              34,664,036                 -          215,000        14.60         14.43           61,577
Milwaukee, WI                                19,887,288           145,000                 -       13.71         13.39           62,655
Minneapolis, MN                              31,840,763                 -                 -       15.13         14.98           46,977
Omaha, NE                                     6,358,928            60,000                 -        7.16          8.53            9,192
St. Louis, MO                                27,493,907                 -                 -       16.52         16.66         (37,405)
St. Paul, MN                                 12,904,838                 -                 -       13.85         13.82            4,013
Midwest Total                              419,989,866          2,773,788          988,000        14.98         14.86          788,422
WEST

Bakersfield, CA                               3,020,093                 -                 -        8.86          7.62           44,571
Boise, ID                                     3,741,536           241,208          260,000        10.95         10.24           66,851
Denver, CO                                   34,251,235            39,656          112,000        12.43         12.26           70,574
Fresno, CA                                    3,284,713                 -                 -       11.40         11.66          (8,393)
Honolulu, HI                                  7,119,083                 -                 -       14.00         13.21           55,973
Las Vegas, NV                                 4,192,128                 -          458,200        12.31         12.37          (2,488)
Los Angeles, CA                              31,942,700           418,600          229,500        18.46         19.03        (178,200)
Oakland, CA                                  16,891,513                 -                 -       12.90         13.45         (92,321)
Phoenix, AZ                                  21,016,381           203,609                 -       21.30         21.52           29,081
Portland, OR                                 33,287,613           100,083                 -        9.77          9.89         (40,940)
Reno, NV                                      1,388,078                 -                 -       19.58         19.50            9,309
Sacramento, CA                               18,949,701           130,000                 -        9.80          9.59           39,662
San Diego, CA                                10,149,972                 -                 -       20.14         19.84           30,448
San Francisco, CA                            88,179,309           189,835         2,510,615       10.51         10.28          387,187
San Jose/Silicon Valley                       7,601,845           318,000                 -       23.69         24.73         (81,425)
Seattle/Puget Sound, WA                      56,216,928           340,563          625,501        12.01         12.04          284,779
Stockton, CA                                  8,221,819                 -                 -       18.86         18.16           58,138
Walnut Creek/Pleasanton, CA                  12,561,714                 -                 -       16.26         15.71          (4,731)
West Total                                 362,016,361          1,981,554        4,195,816        13.32         13.29          668,075

U.S. TOTAL                                1,970,013,173         7,905,426       18,454,678        13.36         13.25        3,394,323




                                                                                                          COLLIERS INTERNATIONAL |    P. 9
HIGHLIGHTS | Q4 2012 | OFFICE | NORTH AMERICA



 UNITED STATES | DOWNTOWN OFFICE | CLASS A

                                                                    AVG ANNUAL      QUARTERLY   ANNUAL
                                                    EXISTING                                               VACANCY        VACANCY       ABSORPTION
                                                                    QUOTED RENT      CHANGE     CHANGE
 MARKET                                          INVENTORY (SF)                                            RATE (%)       RATE (%)        Q4 2012
                                                                      (USD PSF)      IN RENT    IN RENT
                                                   DEC 31, 2012                                           SEP 30, 2012   DEC 31, 2012      (SF)
                                                                     DEC 31, 2012      (%)        (%)

 NORTHEAST

 Baltimore, MD                                      13,228,621          14.93         0.7        5.9        14.93          14.92           1,726
 Boston, MA                                         41,333,537          13.92         1.5        1.7        13.92          13.07         349,709
 Hartford, CT                                        6,660,379          22.39        -1.0       -0.3        22.39          21.47          60,970
 New York, NY – Downtown Manhattan                  77,672,777          18.75        -0.1       -2.2        18.75          17.54         940,170
 New York, NY – Midtown Manhattan                  192,290,701          12.60        -1.2        0.7        12.60          12.76        (297,418)
 New York, NY – Midtown South Manhattan             32,865,338           6.79         0.1       11.7         6.79           8.33        (504,207)
 Philadelphia, PA                                   32,656,957          10.59        -0.5          -        10.59          10.52          19,612
 Pittsburgh, PA                                     18,279,017           7.64         2.9        4.1         7.64           7.13          29,859
 Stamford, CT                                       13,299,364          21.77        -1.9       -6.4        21.77          23.01        (164,957)
 Washington, DC                                     85,704,698          11.90         0.3        2.1        11.90          11.92         (20,351)
 White Plains, NY                                    4,885,999          17.00        -2.0       -4.3        17.00          18.10         (53,855)
 Northeast Total                                  518,877,388          13.30         -0.2        1.2        13.30          13.22         361,258
 SOUTH

 Atlanta, GA                                        30,000,462          18.87         0.1       -1.3        18.87          18.53         101,522
 Birmingham, AL*                                     3,322,353          11.56           -        1.0        11.56          11.34           7,962
 Charleston, SC                                      1,043,494           3.33         1.2       10.1         3.33           2.55           8,134
 Charlotte, NC                                      16,040,594          10.40         1.9        1.4        10.40           9.11         208,132
 Columbia, SC                                        1,926,914          15.02         3.9        4.1        15.02          10.13          94,216
 Dallas, TX                                         22,693,924          23.68         0.9        2.3        23.68          24.69        (230,826)
 Ft. Lauderdale-Broward, FL                          4,454,238          21.30        -0.4       -0.5        21.30          21.27           1,229
 Ft. Worth, TX                                       5,850,052          11.69         0.9        0.9        11.69          10.54          67,382
 Greenville, SC                                      1,871,715           8.83         6.1       -3.5         8.83          15.32        (121,511)
 Houston, TX                                        26,119,764          10.69         0.4        5.2        10.69           9.75         244,855
 Jacksonville, FL                                    6,830,482          15.40         0.3        2.0        15.40          14.97          29,314
 Little Rock, AR                                     2,636,353           9.72         0.2        0.6         9.72          11.83          (3,212)
 Louisville, KY                                     10,560,672          13.05         0.4       -4.6        13.05          14.57         100,131
 Memphis, TN                                         1,966,542          18.26        -0.1        0.3        18.26          18.63          (7,338)
 Miami-Dade, FL                                      9,758,448          21.50        -0.9       -3.2        21.50          21.31          18,821
 Nashville, TN                                       3,953,423          20.50        -1.5       -6.7        20.50          18.37          84,077
 Orlando, FL                                         5,784,868          16.57        -1.2       -2.1        16.57          15.93          37,028
 Raleigh/Durham/Chapel Hill, NC                      5,633,684           8.74         0.4       -3.1         8.74           8.33          22,893
 Richmond, VA                                        5,895,522           7.46         0.1        4.6         7.46           7.37           4,979
 Savannah, GA                                          642,460          13.02         7.5        7.2        13.02           7.65          97,201
 Tampa Bay, FL                                       4,791,174          13.98        -0.5        2.0        13.98          15.22         (59,515)
 West Palm Beach/Palm Beach County, FL               3,337,557          22.51        -0.3        3.2        22.51          20.69          60,785
 South Total                                      175,114,695          15.62          0.7        1.0        15.62          15.40         766,259

*Absorption and vacancy figures for Birmingham account for direct space only




P. 10   | COLLIERS INTERNATIONAL
HIGHLIGHTS | Q4 2012 | OFFICE | NORTH AMERICA



UNITED STATES | DOWNTOWN OFFICE | CLASS A   (continued)
                                                          AVG ANNUAL      QUARTERLY   ANNUAL
                                        EXISTING                                                 VACANCY        VACANCY       ABSORPTION
                                                          QUOTED RENT      CHANGE     CHANGE
MARKET                               INVENTORY (SF)                                              RATE (%)       RATE (%)        Q4 2012
                                                            (USD PSF)      IN RENT    IN RENT
                                       DEC 31, 2012                                             SEP 30, 2012   DEC 31, 2012      (SF)
                                                           DEC 31, 2012      (%)        (%)

MIDWEST
Chicago, IL                             60,846,877           37.36          0.3        0.7        14.52          14.05         284,974
Cincinnati, OH                           8,815,068           21.96            -       -6.0        19.11          22.06        (260,407)
Cleveland, OH                            9,728,269           21.33         -0.3        6.3        13.68          13.34           32,992
Columbus, OH                             8,106,210           18.52         -1.4       -1.5        12.15          11.14           82,018
Detroit, MI                              9,120,878           22.80         -0.2       -3.1        17.14          17.07            6,139
Grand Rapids, MI                         1,542,050           19.28          0.1       -8.1        22.34          19.56           42,756
Indianapolis, IN                         9,928,804           19.03          2.0       -1.2        18.92          18.30           50,070
Kansas City, MO                         10,276,792           18.90         -0.3        0.7        19.91          19.89            2,029
Milwaukee, WI                            5,411,144           20.17          2.8        0.9        13.09          12.07           55,208
Minneapolis, MN                         13,618,828           16.52          6.9       15.3        12.33          11.78           75,272
Omaha, NE                                3,417,878           19.62         -0.6        1.7         4.22           4.54         (10,025)
St. Louis, MO                           10,678,000           17.73          0.5       -0.3        13.53          13.78         (25,983)
St. Paul, MN                             2,773,960           13.35         -0.4       17.8         9.64          10.19         (15,440)
Midwest Total                         154,264,758            27.20          0.6        0.8        14.85          14.64         319,603
WEST

Bakersfield, CA                             699,798          17.40            -          -         4.35           3.86            3,413
Boise, ID                                2,228,115           20.12         -2.6        8.1         7.05           5.21         200,470
Denver, CO                              21,238,158            30.0          0.1        4.2        13.54          13.02         110,767
Fresno, CA                               1,058,046           24.00            -       -7.7        12.37          12.37                -
Honolulu, HI                             4,966,720           34.45          0.7       -1.0        13.34          12.23           43,171
Las Vegas, NV                               807,588          31.32          0.4        0.8        10.67          11.60          (7,551)
Los Angeles, CA                         17,749,600           36.12            -       -6.2        16.46          18.00        (267,100)
Oakland, CA                             10,198,245           30.72         -3.0       -3.0         9.86          11.22        (138,461)
Phoenix, AZ                              9,459,620           22.86            -        1.5        20.05          21.15        (104,497)
Portland, OR                            13,189,621           24.89            -          -         8.76           8.78          (3,087)
Reno, NV                                    557,635          21.31         -1.3       -7.5        20.87          18.03           15,817
Sacramento, CA                           9,062,614           32.40            -          -         8.34           8.08           23,514
San Diego, CA                            7,254,266           28.20            -       -0.4        17.67          17.37           21,659
San Francisco, CA                       56,642,612           49.56          5.6       20.5        10.31           9.71         508,711
San Jose/Silicon Valley                  3,365,127           31.83         -6.6       -0.7        25.84          27.02         (40,361)
Seattle/Puget Sound, WA                 32,531,336           30.96          2.1        3.4        14.12          13.60         428,837
Stockton, CA                             2,790,574           20.16            -       -4.5        27.05          26.45           16,621
Walnut Creek/Pleasanton, CA              8,233,222           27.72          0.4        0.9        14.97          15.44         (38,786)
West Total                            202,032,897            35.43            -        0.8        13.07          12.96         773,137

U.S. TOTAL                           1,050,289,738           41.22          0.2        1.0        13.87          13.74        2,220,257




                                                                                                       COLLIERS INTERNATIONAL |       P. 11
HIGHLIGHTS | Q4 2012 | OFFICE | NORTH AMERICA



 UNITED STATES | SUBURBAN OFFICE | ALL INVENTORY

                                                         EXISTING         NEW SUPPLY        UNDER        VACANCY        VACANCY       ABSORPTION
 MARKET                                               INVENTORY (SF)        Q4 2012      CONSTRUCTION    RATE (%)       RATE (%)        Q4 2012
                                                        DEC 31, 2012         (SF)            (SF)       SEP 30, 2012   DEC 31, 2012      (SF)

 NORTHEAST

 Baltimore, MD                                           86,786,838            234,874    1,163,140       12.65          12.44          386,882
 Boston, MA                                             110,971,331             98,096    1,563,851       19.37          19.10          314,921
 Fairfield County, CT                                    41,493,424             74,726            -       12.56          12.88          -68,762
 Hartford, CT                                            12,251,551                  -            -       14.96          14.44           63,815
 Long Island, NY                                         71,732,215            768,000       55,000       10.71          10.66          718,538
 New Jersey – Central                                   103,723,820            315,670      116,057       20.92          20.70          487,335
 New Jersey – Northern                                  137,967,000             30,000      737,600       21.03          21.09          -52,196
 Philadelphia, PA                                       110,578,994            654,000      322,005       15.17          14.94          802,694
 Pittsburgh, PA                                          89,275,846             52,000      764,395        7.57           7.06           46,342
 Washington, DC                                         283,566,213                  -            -       15.44          15.83        -1,118,510
 Westchester County, NY                                  37,071,839                  -            -       15.05          15.39         -126,457
 Northeast Total                                     1,085,419,071         2,227,366      4,722,048       15.73          15.73        1,454,602
 SOUTH

 Atlanta, GA                                            171,243,642            433,822      674,097       17.04          17.03          363,892
 Birmingham, AL*                                         14,213,847                  -            -       18.48          17.93           77,062
 Charleston, SC                                           9,379,515                  -       75,000       15.00          14.79           35,516
 Charlotte, NC                                           75,365,988            828,831      108,596       13.31          13.45          626,394
 Columbia, SC                                             5,016,258                  -            -       24.04          25.61          -79,155
 Dallas, TX                                             241,020,318            204,109    1,027,817       15.94          15.57        1,050,842
 Ft. Lauderdale-Broward, FL                              42,982,403                  -      806,572       13.73          13.71            6,984
 Ft. Worth, TX                                           20,158,197                  -      144,233        7.73           7.25           97,536
 Greenville, SC                                           5,093,005                  -            -       18.52          18.10           21,540
 Houston, TX                                            159,079,088             50,000    4,394,827       14.20          13.81          664,309
 Jacksonville, FL                                        44,916,088             73,423        2,607       13.36          13.26           96,049
 Little Rock, AR                                          7,625,053                  -       46,000       12.58          12.45          -43,423
 Memphis, TN                                             27,443,840                  -      113,392       14.82          14.46          100,717
 Miami-Dade, FL                                          63,016,310             33,930      162,063       13.96          13.64          229,620
 Nashville, TN                                           14,842,231             28,000            -        7.49           7.51           23,248
 Orlando, FL                                             53,927,670                  -       87,895       15.58          14.95          431,065
 Raleigh/Durham/Chapel Hill, NC                          64,136,382                  -            -       14.15          13.97          119,064
 Richmond, VA                                            34,412,752                  -            -       11.73          12.21         -164,213
 Savannah, GA                                             1,534,208                  -            -       23.69          18.94           48,350
 Tampa Bay, FL                                           71,219,715             66,927      269,272       16.08          15.69          404,271
 West Palm Beach/Palm Beach County, FL                   28,655,101                  -       30,000       19.18          18.30          251,828
 South Total                                         1,155,281,611         1,719,042      7,942,371       15.03          14.78        4,361,496

*Absorption and vacancy figures for Birmingham account for direct space only




P. 12   | COLLIERS INTERNATIONAL
HIGHLIGHTS | Q4 2012 | OFFICE | NORTH AMERICA



UNITED STATES | SUBURBAN OFFICE | ALL INVENTORY   (continued)

                                             EXISTING       NEW SUPPLY          UNDER        VACANCY          VACANCY       ABSORPTION
MARKET                                    INVENTORY (SF)      Q4 2012        CONSTRUCTION    RATE (%)         RATE (%)        Q4 2012
                                            DEC 31, 2012       (SF)              (SF)       SEP 30, 2012     DEC 31, 2012      (SF)

MIDWEST
Chicago, IL                                157,535,389           297,763              -       17.07            16.73          783,012
Cincinnati, OH                              35,718,611                  -             -       20.10            21.01          -326,094
Cleveland, OH                              107,371,768           710,100        788,866        9.94             9.97          605,183
Columbus, OH                                43,849,812           156,500        111,000       11.88            12.06            56,993
Detroit, MI                                137,172,750          1,165,425        31,232       19.08            18.59         1,619,025
Grand Rapids, MI                            11,557,283                  -       382,000       23.28            23.19            10,173
Indianapolis, IN                            45,740,597                  -        75,000       13.29            13.15            90,627
Kansas City, MO                             56,941,429                  -     1,510,765       13.45            13.27          103,240
Milwaukee, WI                               33,034,701           145,000              -       11.51            11.70           -59,970
Minneapolis, MN                             82,273,735                  -       931,700       14.33            13.39          776,569
Omaha, NE                                   20,597,840             60,000       180,000       12.12            12.10            72,609
St. Louis, MO                               55,244,405                  -             -       11.53            11.08          247,729
Midwest Total                              787,038,320          2,534,788     4,010,563       14.86            14.62         3,979,096
WEST

Bakersfield, CA                              5,994,188                  -        81,594        6.60             6.98           -22,693
Boise, ID                                   11,093,685           196,235              -       18.77            18.98          135,657
Denver, CO                                 104,416,469                  -       745,767       14.29            14.08          126,306
Fairfield, CA                                4,877,417                  -             -       25.28            25.70           -20,478
Fresno, CA                                  18,008,675                  -        70,000       12.99            13.25           -47,197
Honolulu, HI                                 7,490,275                  -        40,000       12.89            12.88             9,218
Las Vegas, NV                               35,115,687                  -        42,123       25.55            24.64          320,637
Los Angeles, CA                            168,909,400           418,600      1,213,700       17.76            17.78          410,100
Los Angeles – Inland Empire, CA             21,626,300                  -             -       22.84            21.25          344,823
Oakland, CA                                 16,165,151                  -             -       19.54            18.11          231,011
Orange County, CA                           80,477,400                  -       380,000       17.08            16.61          315,300
Phoenix, AZ                                109,902,559           108,609        375,482       21.58            20.36         1,435,184
Portland, OR                                44,445,096           100,083        163,874       11.71            11.19          322,024
Reno, NV                                     5,547,351                  -             -       16.37            15.99            38,829
Sacramento, CA                              73,472,600           130,000        257,451       18.74            17.82          781,917
San Diego, CA                               70,818,124                  -       946,457       13.92            13.59          235,680
San Francisco Peninsula                     35,142,199             18,781             -       13.69            14.03          -102,740
San Jose/Silicon Valley                     54,745,633           318,000              -       12.86            12.42          390,701
Seattle/Puget Sound, WA                     74,567,897                  -        82,950       12.47            10.98          370,396
Walnut Creek/Pleasanton, CA                 32,987,041                  -             -       12.77            11.73          343,070
West Total                                 975,803,147          1,290,308     4,399,398       16.56            16.00         5,617,745

U.S. TOTAL                               4,003,542,149          7,771,504    21,074,380       15.56            15.31        15,412,939




                                                                                                           COLLIERS INTERNATIONAL |      P. 13
HIGHLIGHTS | Q4 2012 | OFFICE | NORTH AMERICA



 UNITED STATES | SUBURBAN OFFICE | CLASS A
                                                                    AVERAGE
                                                 EXISTING                         QUARTERLY    ANNUAL      VACANCY        VACANCY       ABSORPTION
                                                                 ANNUAL QUOTED
 MARKET                                       INVENTORY (SF)                      CHANGE IN   CHANGE IN    RATE (%)       RATE (%)        Q4 2012
                                                                 RENT (USD PSF)
                                                DEC 31, 2012                       RENT (%)    RENT (%)   SEP 30, 2012   DEC 31, 2012      (SF)
                                                                   DEC 31, 2012

 NORTHEAST
 Baltimore, MD                                    30,282,850          24.87        -1.03        -3.23        15.91          15.37        362,930
 Boston, MA                                       47,074,119          24.74        -1.55        -3.06        17.80          17.88        -40,309
 Fairfield County, CT                             17,597,470          35.35        -2.67         9.24        13.25          13.77        -27,217
 Hartford, CT                                       7,906,889         20.25        -2.78        -3.39        13.53          12.75         61,867
 Long Island, NY                                  23,077,975          30.47         0.20         1.84        11.46          11.56        -21,446
 New Jersey – Central                             60,391,076          26.52        -0.86        -1.78        22.45          21.95        546,337
 New Jersey – Northern                            84,682,274          26.28        -1.05        -1.28        20.62          20.42        193,221
 Philadelphia, PA                                 68,076,073          24.73         0.91         2.96        14.54          14.27        740,149
 Pittsburgh, PA                                   17,179,193          21.95         0.87         2.09         6.49           5.30        148,053
 Washington, DC                                  132,646,603          32.03        -1.39        -1.51        15.26          15.83       -745,611
 Westchester County, NY                           17,442,819          26.42        -0.38        -2.87        18.72          19.26        -94,133
 Northeast Total                                 506,357,341          27.65        -0.92        -0.61        16.74          16.73       1,123,841
 SOUTH
 Atlanta, GA                                      79,312,905          22.34         0.68         0.81        16.61          16.34        527,253
 Birmingham, AL*                                    8,943,059         21.09        -0.80         0.43        16.81          15.96         76,173
 Charleston, SC                                     3,942,925         23.18         0.17        -2.56        11.45          11.49            809
 Charlotte, NC                                    19,403,225          22.80         0.62         6.19        15.18          16.61        410,325
 Columbia, SC                                        973,189          16.55        -1.55        -4.00        13.77          14.93        -11,304
 Dallas, TX                                       91,055,763          23.30            -         1.30        16.20          15.50        634,612
 Ft. Lauderdale-Broward, FL                       10,963,059          27.14         0.04        -2.44        18.82          18.45         40,574
 Ft. Worth, TX                                      2,638,353         24.00            -        -2.04         3.89           3.85          1,032
 Greenville, SC                                     2,245,798         17.32         1.88        -0.40        15.60          12.66         66,172
 Houston, TX                                      66,845,822          28.20         3.26         3.15        12.00          11.44        379,470
 Jacksonville, FL                                   9,206,865         19.58            -        -3.59         8.46           8.32         13,028
 Little Rock, AR                                    3,027,212         19.25         0.94         3.89        18.98          18.71          9,217
 Memphis, TN                                        8,113,880         21.44        -0.79        -1.02         8.42           8.10         25,608
 Miami-Dade, FL                                   16,308,475          30.52         0.07        -3.05        19.81          18.70        180,756
 Nashville, TN                                      7,288,561         23.23         0.13         6.32         5.34           5.87        -39,206
 Orlando, FL                                      16,827,628          20.93        -1.60        -3.77        21.08          19.88        201,731
 Raleigh/Durham/Chapel Hill, NC                   24,532,197          20.76        -0.48        -2.21        14.39          13.76        154,190
 Richmond, VA                                     13,564,697          18.78        -0.05         0.48        14.24          13.60         86,395
 Savannah, GA                                        490,035          22.70         0.18         0.35        23.70          17.79         28,932
 Tampa Bay, FL                                    23,629,402          22.78        -0.35        -2.15        16.07          14.48        214,151
 West Palm Beach/Palm Beach County, FL              9,163,879         29.68        -1.53        -2.94        18.14          17.23         83,092
 South Total                                     418,476,929          23.80         0.61         0.57        15.23          14.70       3,083,010

*Absorption and vacancy figures for Birmingham account for direct space only




P. 14   | COLLIERS INTERNATIONAL
HIGHLIGHTS | Q4 2012 | OFFICE | NORTH AMERICA



UNITED STATES | SUBURBAN OFFICE | CLASS A   (continued)
                                                        AVERAGE
                                      EXISTING                        QUARTERLY    ANNUAL      VACANCY        VACANCY       ABSORPTION
                                                     ANNUAL QUOTED
MARKET                             INVENTORY (SF)                     CHANGE IN   CHANGE IN    RATE (%)       RATE (%)        Q4 2012
                                                     RENT (USD PSF)
                                     DEC 31, 2012                      RENT (%)    RENT (%)   SEP 30, 2012   DEC 31, 2012      (SF)
                                                       DEC 31, 2012

MIDWEST
Chicago, IL                            76,979,405         27.00            -        1.89        18.23         17.70          403,696
Cincinnati, OH                         15,916,607         20.54         0.39        0.20        19.40         20.31         -144,815
Cleveland, OH                          13,701,278         21.34        -0.33        0.05        10.44         10.05          689,788
Columbus, OH                           18,133,071         19.05         0.37        2.14        10.57         11.50           -27,569
Detroit, MI                            33,643,164         20.52        -0.24       -2.01        15.52         15.72           -67,275
Grand Rapids, MI                        2,206,876         17.50        -2.78       -9.00        28.84         28.22            13,520
Indianapolis, IN                       12,403,471         18.00         0.39        1.58        17.72         17.10            85,772
Kansas City, MO                        14,734,064         20.30         0.30       -1.93        11.87         11.78            14,100
Milwaukee, WI                           5,912,609         22.32         9.90        9.79        10.93         10.58            20,889
Minneapolis, MN                        26,674,839         13.80        -1.43       -0.50        16.12         15.62          131,289
Omaha, NE                               4,342,362         26.15            -        0.85         5.07           5.01         104,815
St. Louis, MO                          25,996,388         21.89         0.05       -1.40        10.62         10.79           -45,320
Midwest Total                        250,644,134          21.91         0.14       0.77        15.26          15.12         1,178,890
WEST

Bakersfield, CA                         2,697,867         24.00            -           -         4.74           5.28          -14,426
Boise, ID                               3,108,058         15.12         0.13        0.47        14.14         13.57            17,779
Denver, CO                             34,321,698         23.74         1.32        4.49        11.95         11.96            -3,198
Fairfield, CA                           1,917,086         25.61        -2.07        2.11        26.88         29.77           -55,433
Fresno, CA                              4,017,507         25.20            -           -        17.26         18.85           -63,910
Las Vegas, NV                           4,979,076         29.28            -       -1.61        34.96         33.02            96,889
Los Angeles, CA                       102,533,800         33.96         0.71        1.43        17.26         17.20          455,100
Los Angeles – Inland Empire, CA         5,194,800         23.52         1.03        2.08        27.39         23.62          195,866
Oakland, CA                             3,870,228         26.40            -       -0.90        26.20         24.23            76,225
Orange County, CA                      32,834,800         25.56        -0.93       -0.47        17.93         16.96          253,700
Phoenix, AZ                            30,242,049         23.29         0.26       -1.06        23.12         20.31          918,319
Portland, OR                           11,012,912         22.95        -0.35        0.31        14.02         14.06            -4,348
Reno, NV                                2,989,478         18.62            -       -7.09        13.90         13.91            34,636
Sacramento, CA                         16,324,396         22.20        -0.54       -1.60        21.51         20.99          185,646
San Diego, CA                          23,418,247         32.88            -        4.18        11.52         10.73          184,465
San Francisco Peninsula                22,281,029         41.64        -0.29      10.16         13.53         14.09         -109,899
San Jose/Silicon Valley                27,077,797         39.07        -1.34        8.17        14.02         14.43          145,393
Seattle/Puget Sound, WA                20,850,141         31.68         0.86        4.55        10.38           8.57         132,984
Walnut Creek/Pleasanton, CA            15,972,148         25.92         3.85      14.89         10.33           8.98         216,974
West Total                           365,643,117          30.38         0.35       3.37        16.25          15.68         2,662,762

U.S. TOTAL                          1,541,121,521         26.21        -0.08       0.82        15.97          15.67         8,048,503




                                                                                                        COLLIERS INTERNATIONAL |        P. 15
HIGHLIGHTS | Q4 2012 | OFFICE | NORTH AMERICA



 CANADA | DOWNTOWN OFFICE | ALL INVENTORY

                                EXISTING           NEW SUPPLY               UNDER                  VACANCY               VACANCY          ABSORPTION
 MARKET                      INVENTORY (SF)          Q4 2012             CONSTRUCTION              RATE (%)              RATE (%)           Q4 2012
                               DEC 31, 2012           (SF)                   (SF)                 SEP 30, 2012          DEC 31, 2012         (SF)

 Calgary, AB                   39,567,994            256,657                 1,661,000                4.52                  3.68           330,012
 Edmonton, AB                  11,260,840            117,768                           -              8.42                  8.30            13,280
 Halifax, NS                    4,684,110              38,948                 190,000                11.44                 11.45              -470
 Montréal, QC                  49,428,581            127,000                  304,000                 5.01                  4.27           365,660
 Ottawa, ON                    15,526,942              87,700                 360,000                 5.57                  6.75          -183,170
 Regina, SK                     3,801,824            220,000                      80,000              1.92                  2.59           190,164
 Saskatoon, SK*                 2,319,464            109,000                      50,000              3.25                  3.34           138,900
 Toronto, ON                   69,531,181            464,455                 2,784,698                5.10                  4.58           203,259
 Vancouver, BC                 24,408,488              20,299                1,563,810                3.50                  4.03          -130,891
 Victoria, BC                   4,952,849              80,455                          -              7.79                  8.28            -14,428
 Waterloo Region, ON            3,772,982                       -                 66,075             14.87                 14.22            24,360
 Winnipeg, MB                  11,188,648                       -             130,375                 6.59                  6.59                  -

 CANADA TOTAL                 240,443,903           1,522,282                7,189,958                5.35                  5.04           936,676

 *Saskatoon tracks but does not submit suburban inventory figures for this report

 CANADA | DOWNTOWN OFFICE | CLASS A
                                                AVG ANNUAL
                                EXISTING                            QUARTERLY            ANNUAL           VACANCY           VACANCY
                                                QUOTED RENT                                                                               ABSORPTION
 MARKET                      INVENTORY (SF)                           CHANGE             CHANGE           RATE (%)          RATE (%)
                                                  (CAD PSF)                                                                               Q4 2012 (SF)
                               DEC 31, 2012                         IN RENT (%)        IN RENT (%)       SEP 30, 2012      DEC 31, 2012
                                                 DEC 31, 2012

 Calgary, AB                   26,727,389          60.21                 -                  8.7               1.46             1.84        -102,756
 Edmonton, AB                   9,074,913          42.02               0.7                  5.3               8.27             8.45         -16,593
 Halifax, NS                    1,933,746          32.35                 -                  1.7               9.06             8.95           2,144
 Montréal, QC                  23,075,596          45.00               7.1                  7.1               4.49             4.13          82,257
 Ottawa, ON                     9,535,830          51.60               3.5                  6.7               4.52             4.92         -38,670
 Regina, SK                     1,094,911          42.00               4.0                 13.5               0.96             1.42         212,815
 Saskatoon, SK                     570,571         40.00               5.3                  8.1               1.84             3.59          67,509
 Toronto, ON                   40,130,328          54.28               0.6                  2.4               5.70             4.70         187,396
 Vancouver, BC                 10,029,234          54.57              -1.1                  0.1               2.08             2.65         -60,827
 Victoria, BC                      513,808         35.00              -2.8                 -7.4               9.43             4.88              39
 Waterloo Region, ON            1,559,429          25.66                 -                 -0.8              12.48            12.01           7,282
 Winnipeg, MB                   2,619,428          33.50                 -                 N/A                4.76             4.76               -

 CANADA TOTAL                 126,865,183          51.42               1.7                  4.5               4.46             4.24         340,596




P. 16   | COLLIERS INTERNATIONAL
North American Office Highlights Q4-12
North American Office Highlights Q4-12
North American Office Highlights Q4-12

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North American Office Highlights Q4-12

  • 1. Q4 2012 | OFFICE NORTH AMERICA HIGHLIGHTS Unlocking 2013 Office Property Performance What will be the right combination in 2013? K.C. CONWAY, MAI, CRE EMD | Market Analytics MARKET INDICATORS Relative to prior period KEY TAKEAWAYS US US Canada Canada • The North American and U.S. office vacancy rates declined further during Q4 2012 to 14.09% Q4 Q1 Q4 Q1 2012 2013* 2012 2013* and 14.63%, respectively. This was the fourth consecutive quarter of improvement for the 6.4 billion square feet of inventory in the 85 North American office markets tracked by Colliers. VACANCY • The market uncertainty and volatility of 2H2012 inhibited neither office leasing or transaction NET ABSORPTION     activity. Q4 North American net absorption of 21.1 MSF was more than double Q3’s 10.4 MSF. CONSTRUCTION 2012 total net absorption was 50.7 MSF (roughly the office inventory of Ft. Lauderdale), the best since the 2008–2009 financial crisis. RENTAL RATE *Projected • Major office property transactions totaled $77.6 billion in 2012, and surged at year-end 2012. Construction is the change in Under Construction Q4’s $29.1 billion in office building sales surpassed all prior quarters in 2012, according to Real Capital Analytics. NORTH AMERICAN OFFICE MARKET Summary Statistics, Q4 2012 NORTH AMERICAN OFFICE VACANCY, INVENTORY AND ABSORPTION – Q4 2012 US CAN NA VACANCY RATE 14.63% 6.80% 14.09% Change From Q3 2012 -0.21% -0.26% -0.21% ABSORPTION (MSF) 18.8 2.3 21.1 NEW CONSTRUCTION (MSF) 9.1 1.5 10.6 UNDER CONSTRUCTION (MSF) 39.5 11.3 50.8 Absorption Per Market (SF) q3 '12 - q4 '12 2,500,000 ASKING RENTS PER SF US CAN 1,250,000 250,000 -250,000 Downtown Class A $41.22 $51.42 -1,250,000 -2,500,000 Change from Q3 2012 0.17% 1.67% Suburban Class A $26.21 $31.94 Sq. Ft. By Region 2 billion 2.00000000 1 billion 1.00000000 Change from Q3 2012 0.08% 0.16% 200 mil. 2.00000000 Occupied Sq. Ft. Total_OffSF-Vacant_OffSF Vacant_OffSF Ft. Vacant Sq. WWW.COLLIERS.COM
  • 2. HIGHLIGHTS | Q4 2012 | OFFICE | NORTH AMERICA KEY TAKEAWAYS (continued) • Capital is migrating out of the risk curve for investment in office building assets in search of yield. This trend, reported by Colliers in previous 2012 reports, was corroborated by the recent Association of Foreign Investors in Real Estate report in which four of the top five markets for investment were in the U.S., including Houston for the first time. • “ICEE” office markets are still hot. Intellectual Capital, Energy and Education (ICEE) markets continue to capture a disproportionate share of North American office absorption. During 2012, two-thirds of the 10 North American MSAs with the greatest absorption are characterized as ICEE markets. We see this trend continuing in 2013 as technology, energy and knowledge gateway centers remain the dominant generators of office-related employment. • Medical Office has been a sleeper office sub-property type that saw a 30% growth in transaction activity in CY 2012 to $6.1 billion, or just shy of the 10% total $77.6 billion in CY 2012 office property sales. And, approximately half of the 71 MSF of office space under construction in the U.S. at the onset of 2013 is for medical-related use. • Recovery in housing is an overlooked office demand driver that will gain additional traction in 2013. IN THIS QUARTER’S REPORT, WE TAKE A LOOK AT THE COMBINATION TO UNLOCKING VALUE IN 2013: CANADIAN OFFICE ABSORPTION BY MARKET Q4 2012 RIGHT 14: In 2013 look for North American vacancy to drop below 14%, fueled by Montréal, QC 365.7 another 50 MSF of absorption. Calgary, AB 330.0 203.3 LEFT 80:total office transactions above Toronto, ON 190.2 $80 billion Regina, SK Saskatoon, SK 138.9 RIGHT 10: CMBS office property Waterloo Region, ON 24.4 delinquencies rate below 10% Edmonton, AB 13.3 LEFT ICEE: Office job growth in Tech/ Winnipeg, MB 0.0 Energy/Education MSAs outperforms Halifax, NS -0.5 FIRE MSAs for a third consecutive year Victoria, BC -14.4 Vancouver, BC -130.9 RIGHT MO: Medical Office is the emerging -183.2 Ottawa, ON leader among office sub-property sectors -300.0 -200.0 -100.0 0.0 100.0 200.0 300.0 400.0 See page 7 for details  Thousands CANADIAN OFFICE UNDER CONSTRUCTION BY MARKET Q4 2012 Toronto, ON 2.78 Calgary, AB 1.66 Vancouver, BC 1.56 Ottawa, ON 0.36 Montréal, QC 0.30 Halifax, NS 0.19 Winnipeg, MB 0.13 Regina, SK 0.08 Waterloo Region, ON 0.07 Saskatoon, SK 0.05 Victoria, BC 0.00 Edmonton, AB 0.00 0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 Millions Note: Q3 data reported for Winnipeg, MB P. 2 | COLLIERS INTERNATIONAL
  • 3. HIGHLIGHTS | Q4 2012 | OFFICE | NORTH AMERICA IN BRIEF: OFFICE OUTLOOK 2013 North American Downtown Markets: 2012 finished—and 2013 began—as Colliers observed in fall 2012: with progress on all fronts. Excluding renewals, of the leases signed • North American Office Vacancy falls to just 14.09% at YE 2012. this quarter, did most tenants: • Net leasing activity best in five years: i) 21.1 MSF in Q4 2012; and ii) 50.7 MSF for CY 2012 • A 19% surge in office building sales surpasses 2004 transaction volume (3,000+ properties Hold Steady totaling approximately $78 billion during 2012) 69.1% Expand 16.2% Despite the harmful summer “UV (Uncertainty & Volatility) rays” during 1H2012, and lingering anxiety Contract surrounding the U.S. fiscal debt crisis, ongoing Eurozone recession, the cost and logistics of 14.7% implementing Obamacare, and anemic job growth (150,000/month) for two consecutive years, office real estate is persevering and returning to a state of balance. However, the recovery is broadening, both in the factors that have driven it over the past 12 months, as well as the markets that it’s reaching. No longer is the recovery confined to the CBDs of the “sexy six” core MSAs of New York, Boston, Chicago, Los Angeles, San Francisco and Seattle; it’s expanding to suburban submarkets and secondary MSAs. Real Capital Analytics’ Office Year In Review report noted a 31 percent increase in North American Downtown Markets: What was the trend in Free Rent (in months) suburban office building sales during 2012, and a 40 percent increase in office building sales outside offered by CBD landlords this quarter? the six core MSAs. While this new interest is driven by a dearth of assets in the core MSAs and the search for yield in response to Federal Reserve monetary policy and cap rate compression, it has been office job growth in technology, energy and primary-education focused MSAs (what Colliers coined the Intellectual Capital, Energy and Education, or “ICEE” markets in 2011) that has defined which secondary Same markets were participating in this broadening recovery in the office property sector thus far. Less 80.9% 14.7% More In 2013, two other positive influences will impact this expansion: the housing recovery and growth in 4.4% medical office demand. Both are broad-based across the U.S. and will have more of an effect on suburban office submarkets than CBDs. Why? First, professional services associated with a rise in new home construction and existing home sales activity will rebuild in proximity to this increasing housing activity in the suburbs. Second, our healthcare delivery model is shifting from one concentrated on expensive urban hospital campuses to less capital-intensive, suburban outpatient facilities. North American Downtown Markets: The ICEE, housing, and medical office factors, along with the continuing search for yield by investors, What was the trend for tenant add up to M.O.T.S (More Office To Secondaries) in 2013. As the diagram below depicts, rising improvement allowances offered by absorption and modest new supply are driving vacancy down, and the requisite conditions to improve CBD landlords this quarter? NOI are in place to absorb any interest rate risk in 2H2013. Hold Steady 91.2% U.S. OFFICE MARKET Q4 2010–Q4 2012 Contract Expand 2.9% 5.9% 20.0 16.11 15.57 15.36 15.14 18.0 15.03 14.96 14.88 14.83 14.63 16.0 16.0 14.0 14.0 12.0 12.0 North American Suburban Markets: Vacancy % 10.0 Excluding renewals, of the leases signed 10.0 8.0 this quarter in your CBD/downtown, 8.0 did most tenants: 6.0 6.0 4.0 4.0 2.0 Expand 2.0 30.9% Hold Steady 60.3% - - Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Contract 8.8% 2011 2012 Absorption MSF Completions MSF Vacancy % COLLIERS INTERNATIONAL | P. 3
  • 4. HIGHLIGHTS | Q4 2012 | OFFICE | NORTH AMERICA Vacancy From a regional perspective, Canada has the lowest average vacancy rate at 6.8 percent; and in the U.S., the Northeast has the lowest vacancy rate just shy of 14 percent. The highest vacancy rate among North American regions is the Western U.S. at 15.27 percent. The South and Midwest have average regional vacancy rates of 14.81% and 14.71%, respectively. Housing has been slow in its recovery in both these regions, and the job growth has been more focused on manufacturing, transportation and distribution, favoring industrial real estate over office. US CA NA Vacancy Rate: 14.63% 6.80% 14.09% BEHIND THE STATISTICS & BEYOND THE BASICS Change from Q3 2012 -0.21% -0.26% -0.21% Scope of Colliers Office Outlook Report: Colliers monitors office property conditions in 85 North American markets from Toronto to Tampa, totaling Absorption 6.4 billion square feet of inventory. Approximately 93 percent (6.0 billion The final tally on 2012 net office absorption was not in the cards in square feet) of this inventory is located in the United States. mid-2012, when it appeared that tenants and businesses were pulling back from leasing activity driving absorption down 6% over the prior six-month The largest 20 North American markets (those with at least 100 MSF of period (2H2011). However, despite the market’s anxiety over the November existing inventory) constitute approximately 60 percent of the 6.4 billion 2012 election and the Fiscal Cliff, 2012’s net office absorption had its square feet of North American office space tracked by Colliers. All of the best performance since the 2008–2009 financial crisis. Q4 net absorption >90 million-square-foot markets are located in the U.S., except one: Toronto. was more than double that for any prior quarter during 2012 (21.1 MSF in With respect to 2012 net absorption, just 10 of the 85 markets accounted for 53 percent of the 50.7 MSF of net absorption, and all but one market Q4 compared to 10.0 MSF for the rest of the year). (Calgary) are located in the U.S. Below are the ten absorption-leading MSAs for 2012—seven of which are ICEE markets. Which markets outperformed and why? Examination of the top ten North American markets with respect to absorption in Q4 and YTD 2012 reveals the impact of ICEE employment drivers, commencement of a true housing ICEE MARKETS LEAD IN 2012 ABSORPTION recovery, and importance of having a nationally or regionally recognized medical center. MSA 2012 ABSORPTION 1 Houston (ICEE) 4.50 MSF TOP MARKETS FOR ABSORPTION MSA Q4 2012 MSA CY 2012 2 Dallas (ICEE) 2.90 MSF Detroit 4.50 MSF 1 1.66 MSF Houston (Auto + Housing) (ICEE) + Medical Center 3 Atlanta (ICEE) 2.80 MSF 2.90 MSF 2 Phoenix 1.46 MSF Dallas (ICEE) + Medical Center 4 Detroit 2.75 MSF Atlanta 2.80 MSF 3 Chicago 1.13 MSF (Housing Recovery) (ICEE) + Medical Center 5 Chicago 2.70 MSF Montreal 2.75 MSF 4 0.99 MSF Detroit (ICEE) Medical Center Philadelphia 2.70 MSF 6 Calgary (ICEE) 2.5 MSF 5 0.98 MSF Chicago (ICEE) Medical Center Houston 2.5 MSF 6 0.93 MSF Calgary (ICEE) (ICEE) 7 Phoenix 2.4 MSF Boston Phoenix 7 0.93 MSF 2.4 MSF (ICEE) (Housing Recovery) 8 Boston (ICEE) 2.2 MSF Dallas 2.2 MSF 8 0.84 MSF Boston (ICEE) (ICEE) + Medical Center 9 Philadelphia (ICEE) 2.2 MSF 2.2 MSF 9 Minneapolis 0.82 MSF Philadelphia (ICEE) + Medical Center 10 Seattle (ICEE) 2.2 MSF 2.2 MSF 10 Sacramento 0.82 MSF Seattle (ICEE) + Medical Center P. 4 | COLLIERS INTERNATIONAL
  • 5. HIGHLIGHTS | Q4 2012 | OFFICE | NORTH AMERICA Looking at this list, several themes emerge: Association of Foreign Investors in Real Estate’s annual 2013 Foreign Investment Survey ranked the U.S. as the top place overall to invest; four • The overlapping seven MSAs: Seven of the top ten most active U.S. markets were among their top five picks, including Houston, which markets for leasing activity in Q4 were also among the ten most active had never before made this report’s global ranking. MSAs for all of calendar 2012. Houston, Dallas, Detroit, Chicago, Phoenix, Boston, and Philadelphia are prominent in both categories. Construction Activity To assess the risk of overbuilding, new construction activity needs • The predominance of ICEE: Seven of the top ten markets for net to be considered from three perspectives: 1) new supply as a percent absorption in 2012 are MSAs with an ICEE employment profile of existing inventory; 2) geographic concentration; and 3) sub-property (technology, energy and/or primary education). type concentration. • The increasing role of housing and medical office: However, only five of the top ten markets for Q4 leasing activity are ICEE MSAs. At the onset of 2013, approximately 78.5 MSF of new office supply is What explains the difference, and what explains the emergence of underway in the U.S. and Canada, according to Dodge Pipeline. That MSAs like Atlanta, Detroit and Phoenix? The answer is two-fold: activity translates to a North American new supply to existing inventory 1) the real housing recovery is taking hold in even the most ratio of 1.2%. Historically, only when this ratio passes 2.0% is it considered distressed housing markets, such as Atlanta, Detroit and Phoenix; elevated and indicative of overbuilding risk. What’s more, the current and 2) high-profile medical centers are strongly impacting demand supply-to-inventory ratio is actually much lower for most U.S. office for medical office space: Eight of the leading MSAs for absorption markets due to geographic and sub-property type concentration. in 2012 have nationally or regionally recognized medical centers. With respect to sub-property type construction, 51% of the 78.5 MSF of Looking forward to 2013, the only brake on office leasing activity in key total new supply is medical-office-related construction. Of the remaining energy markets—Dallas, Denver, Houston, Oklahoma City, Philadelphia 38.5 MSF, 17.55 MSF (45.7% of the non-medical office new supply) is (impact of Bakken shale), and Calgary—will be the delayed delivery of new concentrated in just five states. The following table delineates these space under construction. Houston and Denver can’t complete new space geographic and sub-property type ratios: fast enough to keep pace with demand. ICEE will also continue to be an important office space demand driver in markets like Atlanta and Detroit New Supply where auto technology is fueling demand for engineers, and the office Delineation Ratio (%) (MSF) space to house them. (In 2012, Porsche and General Motors both made material commitments to locating auto technology centers in Atlanta.) North America 78.5 100.0 And, the housing recovery will benefit suburban office space demand as contractors and professional service providers (closing attorneys, Canada 7.2 9.2 architects, engineers, building inspectors, etc.) rebuild or expand their operations to service housing activity of approximately 1.0 million new United States 71.3 91.8 units—after years of less than half that level of activity. Atlanta, Charlotte, Nashville, Phoenix, Tampa, and inland California markets will see the most Office Property 78.5 100.0 benefit from this housing recovery in 2013. In aggregate, 2013 should surpass 2012’s 50 MSF of net absorption by conservative estimates of 15%–20%, or 57.5 to 60.0 MSF in total. Market forces will see 2H2013 Medical Office 40.0 51.0 disproportionately higher net leasing activity than 1H2013, as was the case in 2012. Non-Medical Office 38.5 49.0 Transaction Activity U.S. Non-Medical Office 38.5 100.0 Transactions of major office property were also uninhibited by 2H2012 uncertainty. There were more than 3,000 transactions in 2012, totaling Top 5 States 17.5 45.7 $77.6 billion, with a noticeable surge at year-end 2012: the $29.1 billion in Q4 office building sales surpassed all prior quarters in 2012, according to Texas 6.7 17.4 Real Capital Analytics. As in recent years, New York, San Francisco, Los Angeles, Washington D.C., and Seattle accounted for approximately 50 percent of the total dollar volume of office building sales during 2012. California 4.9 12.8 Houston and Denver (two key ICEE MSAs) now rank among the top markets for office building transaction volume. Pennsylvania 2.5 6.4 The $77.6 billion in office transaction activity from 2012 is likely to be New York 2.0 5.2 surpassed in 2013, given the amount of idle domestic and foreign capital searching for yield in tangible assets, such as commercial real estate. The New Jersey 1.5 3.9 COLLIERS INTERNATIONAL | P. 5
  • 6. HIGHLIGHTS | Q4 2012 | OFFICE | NORTH AMERICA ENGINEERING NEWS-RECORD’S CONSTRUCTION COST INDEX YEAR JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP OCT NOV DEC AVG 2013 9437 9453 Note: Construction Costs never dropped post 2007 & are rising at a faster pace. 2012 9176 9198 9268 9273 9290 9291 9324 9351 9341 9376 9398 9412 9308 2011 8938 8998 9011 9027 9035 9053 9080 9088 9116 9147 9173 9172 9070 2010 8660 8672 8671 8677 8761 8055 8844 8837 8836 8921 8951 8952 8799 2009 8549 8533 8534 8528 8574 8578 8566 8564 8586 8596 8592 8641 8570 2008 8090 8094 8109 8112 8141 8185 8293 8362 8557 8623 8602 8551 8310 2007 7880 7880 7856 7865 7942 7939 7959 8007 8050 8045 8092 8089 7966 2006 7660 7689 7692 7695 7691 7700 7721 7722 7763 7883 7911 7888 7751 2005 7297 7298 7309 7355 7398 7415 7422 7479 7540 7563 7630 7647 7446 2004 6825 6862 6957 7017 7065 7109 7126 7188 7298 7314 7312 7308 7115 2003 6581 6640 6627 6635 6642 6694 6695 6733 6741 6771 6794 6782 6694 2002 6462 6462 6502 6480 6512 6532 6605 6592 6589 6579 6578 6563 6538 2001 6281 6272 6279 6286 6288 6318 6404 6389 6391 6397 6410 6390 6343 2000 6130 6160 6202 6201 6233 6238 6225 6233 6224 6259 6266 6283 6221 INDEX METHODOLOGY: 200 hours of common labor at the 20-city average of common labor rates, plus 25 cwt of standard structural steel shapes at the mill price prior to 1996 and the fabricated 20-city price from 1996, plus 1.128 tons of portland cement at the 20-city price, plus 1,088 board-ft of 2x4 lumber at the 20-city price. The good news is that the U.S. ratio of new supply to inventory (excluding CAPITAL MARKETS medical office construction) is less than a one-half of one percent—the What is better than improving office property type fundamentals? For lowest since 2003. And, only 21 MSF of new construction is underway those that purchased any of the 3,000 office properties that traded in outside of the five most active states, where energy and technology 2012, the answer is availability of capital. Domestic and foreign sources companies, such as Exxon Mobil and Shell Energy in Texas and Endo are flush with capital ready to invest in tangible assets like real estate, that Pharmaceutical in Pennsylvania, account for 60 percent of activity. can offer 2.5 to 3.0 times the yield offered by the U.S. government’s 10-year Treasury bond. And, the CMBS debt markets are opening up again However, rising construction costs are a concern that spans all commercial after four consecutive years of annual new issuance below $50 billion. property types. It may surprise many to learn that construction costs Underwriting terms and pricing spreads have also compressed in favor of never actually declined during the 2008–2009 financial crisis and the borrowers: Improving market conditions have enabled even properties ensuing recession. As documented by the Engineering-News Record, with elevated vacancy rates to become financeable again due to the low Construction, costs have risen 17% since the end of 2007, and are up over DSCR hurdle provided by sub-5.0 percent interest rates and 90 percent 5.0 percent since February 2011. Investors and developers considering LTVs. Declining CMBS delinquency rates have further aided new issuance new construction investments should budget construction cost increases at interest, and have CMBS investors enthusiastic about 2013 new issuance double the CPI for 2013 and 2014, due to pressures on labor and materials. increasing 50 percent over 2012’s $50 billion level to $75 billion. If you have tenants, and can meet a 1.4 DSCR using a 4.5% loan coupon, the capital markets are once again open to refinance your office building. PERCENTAGE 30+ DAYS DELINQUENT BY PROPERTY TYPE 12 PERCENTAGE 30+ DAYS DELINQUENT BY PROPERTY TYPE JAN ‘13 DEC ‘12 NOV ‘12 3 MON 6 MON 1 YEAR 10.34 10.16 10.13 Industrial 11.32 11.24 11.48 11.53 11.72 12.14 10.04 9.99 10 9.68 9.80 9.69 9.71 9.71 9.57 9.52 9.37 Lodging 11.77 11.73 12.24 11.24 13.06 12.09 Multifamily 13.43 13.98 14.21 14.26 15.69 15.39 Office 10.48 10.66 10.37 10.20 10.69 8.90 8 Jan 2012 Mar 2012 May 2012 Jul 2012 Sep 2012 Nov 2012 Jan 2013 Retail 7.79 7.62 7.75 8.03 8.03 7.88 Source: Trepp – January 2013 CMBS Delinquency Report Source: Trepp – January 2013 CMBS Delinquency Report P. 6 | COLLIERS INTERNATIONAL
  • 7. HIGHLIGHTS | Q4 2012 | OFFICE | NORTH AMERICA THE COMBINATION TO UNLOCKING 2013 OFFICE PROPERTY PERFORMANCE RIGHT 14 – Vacancy: LEFT ICEE – Office Demand Drivers: If the absorption momentum from 2H2012 carries over into The greatest opportunity for value enhancement and yield will 2013 and Congress can maneuver its fiscal debt obstacle remain in those secondary markets with an ICEE employment course in 1H2013, the North American office vacancy rate will decline profile. Traditional FIRE (Finance Insurance and Real Estate) markets are below 14.0 percent for the first time since 2005. Office property investors going to face office absorption headwinds as financial institutions reduce are keenly focused on the need for improvement in NOI in office properties operating costs and the amount of office space they occupy. Financial going forward to be positioned to absorb higher interest rate costs 3-5 institutions will be returning office inventory to the market undermining years out. Cap rate compression has aided property values the past two recent improvement in vacancy. For this part of the combination, turn to years, but future value enhancement will have to be unlocked through NOI ICEE vs. FIRE. improvement (i.e., increasing occupancy and rental rates). RIGHT MO – Medical Office: LEFT 80 – Office Transaction Activity: The role of medical office space in the overall office vacancy With improving office property fundamentals and cheap debt to picture warrants monitoring in 2013, particularly as the Obama leverage transactions to maximize yield, 2013 should see office administration’s healthcare legislation and mandated healthcare exchanges transaction activity surpass the $80 billion mark by as much as 20%. The are implemented. Due to strong demand and an absence of much new opportunity to unlock value here is in quality assets in secondary ICEE supply since 2007, demand for medical office space has risen dramatically markets, such as Atlanta, Austin, Baltimore (now a post-Panamax ready and is fueling a boom in new construction. The states with the most port), Denver, Fort Worth, and Houston. medical office construction activity are Texas, California, Maryland, New York, North Carolina and Ohio. Medical office offers an unlocked opportunity RIGHT 10 – CMBS Office Delinquency: as contraction continues among traditional users of office space, such For the capital markets to contribute to the improving office as financial services firms. Do your homework before jumping into this property conditions, CMBS delinquency rates need to continue sub-property sector, though. Vacancy and rental rates vary widely, and on their downward trajectory and remain south of 10 percent overall. As this subsector lacks the same availability of data and transparency as the new issuance increases to a level north of $50 billion (increases the greater North American office market. denominator in the delinquency calculation), and special servicers continue to resolve in excess of $1.0 billion in delinquent or defaulted loans (decreases the numerator portion of the delinquency ratio calculation), CMBS delinquency is likely to remain below 10 percent. This trend needs to translate over to the office property sector. With a January CMBS office delinquency rate of 10.48%, this ratio should decline further, and maybe even drop below 10%, as mature legacy office property loans are finally able to refinance. CMBS delinquency below 10 percent is critical to capital market confidence and unlocking more opportunity for office property leverage in 2013. Houston COLLIERS INTERNATIONAL | P. 7
  • 8. HIGHLIGHTS | Q4 2012 | OFFICE | NORTH AMERICA UNITED STATES | DOWNTOWN OFFICE | ALL INVENTORY EXISTING NEW SUPPLY UNDER VACANCY VACANCY ABSORPTION MARKET INVENTORY (SF) Q4 2012 CONSTRUCTION RATE (%) RATE (%) Q4 2012 DEC 31, 2012 (SF) (SF) SEP 30, 2012 DEC 31, 2012 (SF) NORTHEAST Baltimore, MD 28,840,782 234,874 - 14.06 14.02 9,076 Boston, MA 60,725,404 98,096 2,435,000 14.08 13.06 616,698 Hartford, CT 9,769,060 - - 21.24 20.72 50,896 New York, NY – Downtown Manhattan 110,942,138 - 5,200,000 16.09 15.36 814,431 New York, NY – Midtown Manhattan 227,532,283 - 1,052,150 11.94 12.04 (226,585) New York, NY – Midtown South Manhattan 165,368,697 - 850,000 7.96 8.03 (119,601) Philadelphia, PA 43,133,883 654,000 - 11.17 10.76 178,159 Pittsburgh, PA 32,161,109 52,000 800,000 9.68 10.9 (129,087) Stamford, CT 18,966,293 - - 19.55 21.00 (274,722) Washington, DC 140,909,953 - 1,903,911 10.44 10.48 (59,655) White Plains, NY 7,741,025 - - 15.19 15.78 (45,062) Northeast Total 846,090,627 1,038,970 12,241,061 11.86 11.77 814,548 SOUTH Atlanta, GA 49,933,614 433,822 450,000 17.04 16.94 47,727 Birmingham, AL* 4,338,335 - - 22.00 19.80 95,482 Charleston, SC 2,068,469 - 52,000 7.70 7.24 9,369 Charlotte, NC 22,511,630 828,831 - 8.80 7.94 193,649 Columbia, SC 4,490,309 - - 16.80 14.21 116,125 Dallas, TX 34,744,566 204,109 - 26.98 27.58 (208,846) Ft. Lauderdale-Broward, FL 8,003,061 - - 16.49 16.33 12,534 Ft. Worth, TX 10,400,974 - 154,801 13.05 12.14 94,885 Greenville, SC 3,143,679 - 235,000 12.24 15.68 (107,938) Houston, TX 36,514,081 50,000 - 14.45 13.72 269,002 Jacksonville, FL 15,994,027 73,423 - 14.66 14.42 30,994 Little Rock, AR 6,422,699 - - 11.30 12.48 (22,714) Louisville, KY 43,630,770 300,000 - 11.80 11.89 228,712 Memphis, TN 6,108,640 - 26,000 14.77 14.66 6,481 Miami-Dade, FL 18,491,614 33,930 - 18.29 18.36 (12,903) Nashville, TN 12,087,245 48,000 - 14.76 13.52 167,473 Orlando, FL 12,744,796 - - 11.83 11.86 (3,379) Raleigh/Durham/Chapel Hill, NC 13,657,917 - - 6.49 6.08 55,964 Richmond, VA 17,066,905 - 112,000 10.76 10.70 10,479 Savannah, GA 825,240 72,072 - 15.21 14.18 68,561 Tampa Bay, FL 8,607,635 66,927 - 12.91 13.36 (39,132) West Palm Beach/Palm Beach County, FL 10,130,113 - - 17.79 16.69 110,753 South Total 341,916,319 2,111,114 1,029,801 15.10 14.88 1,123,278 *Absorption and vacancy figures for Birmingham account for direct space only P. 8 | COLLIERS INTERNATIONAL
  • 9. HIGHLIGHTS | Q4 2012 | OFFICE | NORTH AMERICA UNITED STATES | DOWNTOWN OFFICE | ALL INVENTORY (continued) EXISTING NEW SUPPLY UNDER VACANCY VACANCY ABSORPTION MARKET INVENTORY (SF) Q4 2012 CONSTRUCTION RATE (%) RATE (%) Q4 2012 DEC 31, 2012 (SF) (SF) SEP 30, 2012 DEC 31, 2012 (SF) MIDWEST Chicago, IL 159,986,353 297,763 - 13.45 13.23 347,362 Cincinnati, OH 18,047,286 - - 18.12 18.09 5,408 Cleveland, OH 34,140,929 710,100 475,000 19.26 19.07 66,433 Columbus, OH 19,597,350 395,500 280,000 11.00 11.90 36,469 Detroit, MI 26,153,283 1,165,425 - 21.04 20.88 42,065 Grand Rapids, MI 5,461,588 - - 23.24 22.34 49,026 Indianapolis, IN 23,453,317 - 18,000 13.71 13.34 94,650 Kansas City, MO 34,664,036 - 215,000 14.60 14.43 61,577 Milwaukee, WI 19,887,288 145,000 - 13.71 13.39 62,655 Minneapolis, MN 31,840,763 - - 15.13 14.98 46,977 Omaha, NE 6,358,928 60,000 - 7.16 8.53 9,192 St. Louis, MO 27,493,907 - - 16.52 16.66 (37,405) St. Paul, MN 12,904,838 - - 13.85 13.82 4,013 Midwest Total 419,989,866 2,773,788 988,000 14.98 14.86 788,422 WEST Bakersfield, CA 3,020,093 - - 8.86 7.62 44,571 Boise, ID 3,741,536 241,208 260,000 10.95 10.24 66,851 Denver, CO 34,251,235 39,656 112,000 12.43 12.26 70,574 Fresno, CA 3,284,713 - - 11.40 11.66 (8,393) Honolulu, HI 7,119,083 - - 14.00 13.21 55,973 Las Vegas, NV 4,192,128 - 458,200 12.31 12.37 (2,488) Los Angeles, CA 31,942,700 418,600 229,500 18.46 19.03 (178,200) Oakland, CA 16,891,513 - - 12.90 13.45 (92,321) Phoenix, AZ 21,016,381 203,609 - 21.30 21.52 29,081 Portland, OR 33,287,613 100,083 - 9.77 9.89 (40,940) Reno, NV 1,388,078 - - 19.58 19.50 9,309 Sacramento, CA 18,949,701 130,000 - 9.80 9.59 39,662 San Diego, CA 10,149,972 - - 20.14 19.84 30,448 San Francisco, CA 88,179,309 189,835 2,510,615 10.51 10.28 387,187 San Jose/Silicon Valley 7,601,845 318,000 - 23.69 24.73 (81,425) Seattle/Puget Sound, WA 56,216,928 340,563 625,501 12.01 12.04 284,779 Stockton, CA 8,221,819 - - 18.86 18.16 58,138 Walnut Creek/Pleasanton, CA 12,561,714 - - 16.26 15.71 (4,731) West Total 362,016,361 1,981,554 4,195,816 13.32 13.29 668,075 U.S. TOTAL 1,970,013,173 7,905,426 18,454,678 13.36 13.25 3,394,323 COLLIERS INTERNATIONAL | P. 9
  • 10. HIGHLIGHTS | Q4 2012 | OFFICE | NORTH AMERICA UNITED STATES | DOWNTOWN OFFICE | CLASS A AVG ANNUAL QUARTERLY ANNUAL EXISTING VACANCY VACANCY ABSORPTION QUOTED RENT CHANGE CHANGE MARKET INVENTORY (SF) RATE (%) RATE (%) Q4 2012 (USD PSF) IN RENT IN RENT DEC 31, 2012 SEP 30, 2012 DEC 31, 2012 (SF) DEC 31, 2012 (%) (%) NORTHEAST Baltimore, MD 13,228,621 14.93 0.7 5.9 14.93 14.92 1,726 Boston, MA 41,333,537 13.92 1.5 1.7 13.92 13.07 349,709 Hartford, CT 6,660,379 22.39 -1.0 -0.3 22.39 21.47 60,970 New York, NY – Downtown Manhattan 77,672,777 18.75 -0.1 -2.2 18.75 17.54 940,170 New York, NY – Midtown Manhattan 192,290,701 12.60 -1.2 0.7 12.60 12.76 (297,418) New York, NY – Midtown South Manhattan 32,865,338 6.79 0.1 11.7 6.79 8.33 (504,207) Philadelphia, PA 32,656,957 10.59 -0.5 - 10.59 10.52 19,612 Pittsburgh, PA 18,279,017 7.64 2.9 4.1 7.64 7.13 29,859 Stamford, CT 13,299,364 21.77 -1.9 -6.4 21.77 23.01 (164,957) Washington, DC 85,704,698 11.90 0.3 2.1 11.90 11.92 (20,351) White Plains, NY 4,885,999 17.00 -2.0 -4.3 17.00 18.10 (53,855) Northeast Total 518,877,388 13.30 -0.2 1.2 13.30 13.22 361,258 SOUTH Atlanta, GA 30,000,462 18.87 0.1 -1.3 18.87 18.53 101,522 Birmingham, AL* 3,322,353 11.56 - 1.0 11.56 11.34 7,962 Charleston, SC 1,043,494 3.33 1.2 10.1 3.33 2.55 8,134 Charlotte, NC 16,040,594 10.40 1.9 1.4 10.40 9.11 208,132 Columbia, SC 1,926,914 15.02 3.9 4.1 15.02 10.13 94,216 Dallas, TX 22,693,924 23.68 0.9 2.3 23.68 24.69 (230,826) Ft. Lauderdale-Broward, FL 4,454,238 21.30 -0.4 -0.5 21.30 21.27 1,229 Ft. Worth, TX 5,850,052 11.69 0.9 0.9 11.69 10.54 67,382 Greenville, SC 1,871,715 8.83 6.1 -3.5 8.83 15.32 (121,511) Houston, TX 26,119,764 10.69 0.4 5.2 10.69 9.75 244,855 Jacksonville, FL 6,830,482 15.40 0.3 2.0 15.40 14.97 29,314 Little Rock, AR 2,636,353 9.72 0.2 0.6 9.72 11.83 (3,212) Louisville, KY 10,560,672 13.05 0.4 -4.6 13.05 14.57 100,131 Memphis, TN 1,966,542 18.26 -0.1 0.3 18.26 18.63 (7,338) Miami-Dade, FL 9,758,448 21.50 -0.9 -3.2 21.50 21.31 18,821 Nashville, TN 3,953,423 20.50 -1.5 -6.7 20.50 18.37 84,077 Orlando, FL 5,784,868 16.57 -1.2 -2.1 16.57 15.93 37,028 Raleigh/Durham/Chapel Hill, NC 5,633,684 8.74 0.4 -3.1 8.74 8.33 22,893 Richmond, VA 5,895,522 7.46 0.1 4.6 7.46 7.37 4,979 Savannah, GA 642,460 13.02 7.5 7.2 13.02 7.65 97,201 Tampa Bay, FL 4,791,174 13.98 -0.5 2.0 13.98 15.22 (59,515) West Palm Beach/Palm Beach County, FL 3,337,557 22.51 -0.3 3.2 22.51 20.69 60,785 South Total 175,114,695 15.62 0.7 1.0 15.62 15.40 766,259 *Absorption and vacancy figures for Birmingham account for direct space only P. 10 | COLLIERS INTERNATIONAL
  • 11. HIGHLIGHTS | Q4 2012 | OFFICE | NORTH AMERICA UNITED STATES | DOWNTOWN OFFICE | CLASS A (continued) AVG ANNUAL QUARTERLY ANNUAL EXISTING VACANCY VACANCY ABSORPTION QUOTED RENT CHANGE CHANGE MARKET INVENTORY (SF) RATE (%) RATE (%) Q4 2012 (USD PSF) IN RENT IN RENT DEC 31, 2012 SEP 30, 2012 DEC 31, 2012 (SF) DEC 31, 2012 (%) (%) MIDWEST Chicago, IL 60,846,877 37.36 0.3 0.7 14.52 14.05 284,974 Cincinnati, OH 8,815,068 21.96 - -6.0 19.11 22.06 (260,407) Cleveland, OH 9,728,269 21.33 -0.3 6.3 13.68 13.34 32,992 Columbus, OH 8,106,210 18.52 -1.4 -1.5 12.15 11.14 82,018 Detroit, MI 9,120,878 22.80 -0.2 -3.1 17.14 17.07 6,139 Grand Rapids, MI 1,542,050 19.28 0.1 -8.1 22.34 19.56 42,756 Indianapolis, IN 9,928,804 19.03 2.0 -1.2 18.92 18.30 50,070 Kansas City, MO 10,276,792 18.90 -0.3 0.7 19.91 19.89 2,029 Milwaukee, WI 5,411,144 20.17 2.8 0.9 13.09 12.07 55,208 Minneapolis, MN 13,618,828 16.52 6.9 15.3 12.33 11.78 75,272 Omaha, NE 3,417,878 19.62 -0.6 1.7 4.22 4.54 (10,025) St. Louis, MO 10,678,000 17.73 0.5 -0.3 13.53 13.78 (25,983) St. Paul, MN 2,773,960 13.35 -0.4 17.8 9.64 10.19 (15,440) Midwest Total 154,264,758 27.20 0.6 0.8 14.85 14.64 319,603 WEST Bakersfield, CA 699,798 17.40 - - 4.35 3.86 3,413 Boise, ID 2,228,115 20.12 -2.6 8.1 7.05 5.21 200,470 Denver, CO 21,238,158 30.0 0.1 4.2 13.54 13.02 110,767 Fresno, CA 1,058,046 24.00 - -7.7 12.37 12.37 - Honolulu, HI 4,966,720 34.45 0.7 -1.0 13.34 12.23 43,171 Las Vegas, NV 807,588 31.32 0.4 0.8 10.67 11.60 (7,551) Los Angeles, CA 17,749,600 36.12 - -6.2 16.46 18.00 (267,100) Oakland, CA 10,198,245 30.72 -3.0 -3.0 9.86 11.22 (138,461) Phoenix, AZ 9,459,620 22.86 - 1.5 20.05 21.15 (104,497) Portland, OR 13,189,621 24.89 - - 8.76 8.78 (3,087) Reno, NV 557,635 21.31 -1.3 -7.5 20.87 18.03 15,817 Sacramento, CA 9,062,614 32.40 - - 8.34 8.08 23,514 San Diego, CA 7,254,266 28.20 - -0.4 17.67 17.37 21,659 San Francisco, CA 56,642,612 49.56 5.6 20.5 10.31 9.71 508,711 San Jose/Silicon Valley 3,365,127 31.83 -6.6 -0.7 25.84 27.02 (40,361) Seattle/Puget Sound, WA 32,531,336 30.96 2.1 3.4 14.12 13.60 428,837 Stockton, CA 2,790,574 20.16 - -4.5 27.05 26.45 16,621 Walnut Creek/Pleasanton, CA 8,233,222 27.72 0.4 0.9 14.97 15.44 (38,786) West Total 202,032,897 35.43 - 0.8 13.07 12.96 773,137 U.S. TOTAL 1,050,289,738 41.22 0.2 1.0 13.87 13.74 2,220,257 COLLIERS INTERNATIONAL | P. 11
  • 12. HIGHLIGHTS | Q4 2012 | OFFICE | NORTH AMERICA UNITED STATES | SUBURBAN OFFICE | ALL INVENTORY EXISTING NEW SUPPLY UNDER VACANCY VACANCY ABSORPTION MARKET INVENTORY (SF) Q4 2012 CONSTRUCTION RATE (%) RATE (%) Q4 2012 DEC 31, 2012 (SF) (SF) SEP 30, 2012 DEC 31, 2012 (SF) NORTHEAST Baltimore, MD 86,786,838 234,874 1,163,140 12.65 12.44 386,882 Boston, MA 110,971,331 98,096 1,563,851 19.37 19.10 314,921 Fairfield County, CT 41,493,424 74,726 - 12.56 12.88 -68,762 Hartford, CT 12,251,551 - - 14.96 14.44 63,815 Long Island, NY 71,732,215 768,000 55,000 10.71 10.66 718,538 New Jersey – Central 103,723,820 315,670 116,057 20.92 20.70 487,335 New Jersey – Northern 137,967,000 30,000 737,600 21.03 21.09 -52,196 Philadelphia, PA 110,578,994 654,000 322,005 15.17 14.94 802,694 Pittsburgh, PA 89,275,846 52,000 764,395 7.57 7.06 46,342 Washington, DC 283,566,213 - - 15.44 15.83 -1,118,510 Westchester County, NY 37,071,839 - - 15.05 15.39 -126,457 Northeast Total 1,085,419,071 2,227,366 4,722,048 15.73 15.73 1,454,602 SOUTH Atlanta, GA 171,243,642 433,822 674,097 17.04 17.03 363,892 Birmingham, AL* 14,213,847 - - 18.48 17.93 77,062 Charleston, SC 9,379,515 - 75,000 15.00 14.79 35,516 Charlotte, NC 75,365,988 828,831 108,596 13.31 13.45 626,394 Columbia, SC 5,016,258 - - 24.04 25.61 -79,155 Dallas, TX 241,020,318 204,109 1,027,817 15.94 15.57 1,050,842 Ft. Lauderdale-Broward, FL 42,982,403 - 806,572 13.73 13.71 6,984 Ft. Worth, TX 20,158,197 - 144,233 7.73 7.25 97,536 Greenville, SC 5,093,005 - - 18.52 18.10 21,540 Houston, TX 159,079,088 50,000 4,394,827 14.20 13.81 664,309 Jacksonville, FL 44,916,088 73,423 2,607 13.36 13.26 96,049 Little Rock, AR 7,625,053 - 46,000 12.58 12.45 -43,423 Memphis, TN 27,443,840 - 113,392 14.82 14.46 100,717 Miami-Dade, FL 63,016,310 33,930 162,063 13.96 13.64 229,620 Nashville, TN 14,842,231 28,000 - 7.49 7.51 23,248 Orlando, FL 53,927,670 - 87,895 15.58 14.95 431,065 Raleigh/Durham/Chapel Hill, NC 64,136,382 - - 14.15 13.97 119,064 Richmond, VA 34,412,752 - - 11.73 12.21 -164,213 Savannah, GA 1,534,208 - - 23.69 18.94 48,350 Tampa Bay, FL 71,219,715 66,927 269,272 16.08 15.69 404,271 West Palm Beach/Palm Beach County, FL 28,655,101 - 30,000 19.18 18.30 251,828 South Total 1,155,281,611 1,719,042 7,942,371 15.03 14.78 4,361,496 *Absorption and vacancy figures for Birmingham account for direct space only P. 12 | COLLIERS INTERNATIONAL
  • 13. HIGHLIGHTS | Q4 2012 | OFFICE | NORTH AMERICA UNITED STATES | SUBURBAN OFFICE | ALL INVENTORY (continued) EXISTING NEW SUPPLY UNDER VACANCY VACANCY ABSORPTION MARKET INVENTORY (SF) Q4 2012 CONSTRUCTION RATE (%) RATE (%) Q4 2012 DEC 31, 2012 (SF) (SF) SEP 30, 2012 DEC 31, 2012 (SF) MIDWEST Chicago, IL 157,535,389 297,763 - 17.07 16.73 783,012 Cincinnati, OH 35,718,611 - - 20.10 21.01 -326,094 Cleveland, OH 107,371,768 710,100 788,866 9.94 9.97 605,183 Columbus, OH 43,849,812 156,500 111,000 11.88 12.06 56,993 Detroit, MI 137,172,750 1,165,425 31,232 19.08 18.59 1,619,025 Grand Rapids, MI 11,557,283 - 382,000 23.28 23.19 10,173 Indianapolis, IN 45,740,597 - 75,000 13.29 13.15 90,627 Kansas City, MO 56,941,429 - 1,510,765 13.45 13.27 103,240 Milwaukee, WI 33,034,701 145,000 - 11.51 11.70 -59,970 Minneapolis, MN 82,273,735 - 931,700 14.33 13.39 776,569 Omaha, NE 20,597,840 60,000 180,000 12.12 12.10 72,609 St. Louis, MO 55,244,405 - - 11.53 11.08 247,729 Midwest Total 787,038,320 2,534,788 4,010,563 14.86 14.62 3,979,096 WEST Bakersfield, CA 5,994,188 - 81,594 6.60 6.98 -22,693 Boise, ID 11,093,685 196,235 - 18.77 18.98 135,657 Denver, CO 104,416,469 - 745,767 14.29 14.08 126,306 Fairfield, CA 4,877,417 - - 25.28 25.70 -20,478 Fresno, CA 18,008,675 - 70,000 12.99 13.25 -47,197 Honolulu, HI 7,490,275 - 40,000 12.89 12.88 9,218 Las Vegas, NV 35,115,687 - 42,123 25.55 24.64 320,637 Los Angeles, CA 168,909,400 418,600 1,213,700 17.76 17.78 410,100 Los Angeles – Inland Empire, CA 21,626,300 - - 22.84 21.25 344,823 Oakland, CA 16,165,151 - - 19.54 18.11 231,011 Orange County, CA 80,477,400 - 380,000 17.08 16.61 315,300 Phoenix, AZ 109,902,559 108,609 375,482 21.58 20.36 1,435,184 Portland, OR 44,445,096 100,083 163,874 11.71 11.19 322,024 Reno, NV 5,547,351 - - 16.37 15.99 38,829 Sacramento, CA 73,472,600 130,000 257,451 18.74 17.82 781,917 San Diego, CA 70,818,124 - 946,457 13.92 13.59 235,680 San Francisco Peninsula 35,142,199 18,781 - 13.69 14.03 -102,740 San Jose/Silicon Valley 54,745,633 318,000 - 12.86 12.42 390,701 Seattle/Puget Sound, WA 74,567,897 - 82,950 12.47 10.98 370,396 Walnut Creek/Pleasanton, CA 32,987,041 - - 12.77 11.73 343,070 West Total 975,803,147 1,290,308 4,399,398 16.56 16.00 5,617,745 U.S. TOTAL 4,003,542,149 7,771,504 21,074,380 15.56 15.31 15,412,939 COLLIERS INTERNATIONAL | P. 13
  • 14. HIGHLIGHTS | Q4 2012 | OFFICE | NORTH AMERICA UNITED STATES | SUBURBAN OFFICE | CLASS A AVERAGE EXISTING QUARTERLY ANNUAL VACANCY VACANCY ABSORPTION ANNUAL QUOTED MARKET INVENTORY (SF) CHANGE IN CHANGE IN RATE (%) RATE (%) Q4 2012 RENT (USD PSF) DEC 31, 2012 RENT (%) RENT (%) SEP 30, 2012 DEC 31, 2012 (SF) DEC 31, 2012 NORTHEAST Baltimore, MD 30,282,850 24.87 -1.03 -3.23 15.91 15.37 362,930 Boston, MA 47,074,119 24.74 -1.55 -3.06 17.80 17.88 -40,309 Fairfield County, CT 17,597,470 35.35 -2.67 9.24 13.25 13.77 -27,217 Hartford, CT 7,906,889 20.25 -2.78 -3.39 13.53 12.75 61,867 Long Island, NY 23,077,975 30.47 0.20 1.84 11.46 11.56 -21,446 New Jersey – Central 60,391,076 26.52 -0.86 -1.78 22.45 21.95 546,337 New Jersey – Northern 84,682,274 26.28 -1.05 -1.28 20.62 20.42 193,221 Philadelphia, PA 68,076,073 24.73 0.91 2.96 14.54 14.27 740,149 Pittsburgh, PA 17,179,193 21.95 0.87 2.09 6.49 5.30 148,053 Washington, DC 132,646,603 32.03 -1.39 -1.51 15.26 15.83 -745,611 Westchester County, NY 17,442,819 26.42 -0.38 -2.87 18.72 19.26 -94,133 Northeast Total 506,357,341 27.65 -0.92 -0.61 16.74 16.73 1,123,841 SOUTH Atlanta, GA 79,312,905 22.34 0.68 0.81 16.61 16.34 527,253 Birmingham, AL* 8,943,059 21.09 -0.80 0.43 16.81 15.96 76,173 Charleston, SC 3,942,925 23.18 0.17 -2.56 11.45 11.49 809 Charlotte, NC 19,403,225 22.80 0.62 6.19 15.18 16.61 410,325 Columbia, SC 973,189 16.55 -1.55 -4.00 13.77 14.93 -11,304 Dallas, TX 91,055,763 23.30 - 1.30 16.20 15.50 634,612 Ft. Lauderdale-Broward, FL 10,963,059 27.14 0.04 -2.44 18.82 18.45 40,574 Ft. Worth, TX 2,638,353 24.00 - -2.04 3.89 3.85 1,032 Greenville, SC 2,245,798 17.32 1.88 -0.40 15.60 12.66 66,172 Houston, TX 66,845,822 28.20 3.26 3.15 12.00 11.44 379,470 Jacksonville, FL 9,206,865 19.58 - -3.59 8.46 8.32 13,028 Little Rock, AR 3,027,212 19.25 0.94 3.89 18.98 18.71 9,217 Memphis, TN 8,113,880 21.44 -0.79 -1.02 8.42 8.10 25,608 Miami-Dade, FL 16,308,475 30.52 0.07 -3.05 19.81 18.70 180,756 Nashville, TN 7,288,561 23.23 0.13 6.32 5.34 5.87 -39,206 Orlando, FL 16,827,628 20.93 -1.60 -3.77 21.08 19.88 201,731 Raleigh/Durham/Chapel Hill, NC 24,532,197 20.76 -0.48 -2.21 14.39 13.76 154,190 Richmond, VA 13,564,697 18.78 -0.05 0.48 14.24 13.60 86,395 Savannah, GA 490,035 22.70 0.18 0.35 23.70 17.79 28,932 Tampa Bay, FL 23,629,402 22.78 -0.35 -2.15 16.07 14.48 214,151 West Palm Beach/Palm Beach County, FL 9,163,879 29.68 -1.53 -2.94 18.14 17.23 83,092 South Total 418,476,929 23.80 0.61 0.57 15.23 14.70 3,083,010 *Absorption and vacancy figures for Birmingham account for direct space only P. 14 | COLLIERS INTERNATIONAL
  • 15. HIGHLIGHTS | Q4 2012 | OFFICE | NORTH AMERICA UNITED STATES | SUBURBAN OFFICE | CLASS A (continued) AVERAGE EXISTING QUARTERLY ANNUAL VACANCY VACANCY ABSORPTION ANNUAL QUOTED MARKET INVENTORY (SF) CHANGE IN CHANGE IN RATE (%) RATE (%) Q4 2012 RENT (USD PSF) DEC 31, 2012 RENT (%) RENT (%) SEP 30, 2012 DEC 31, 2012 (SF) DEC 31, 2012 MIDWEST Chicago, IL 76,979,405 27.00 - 1.89 18.23 17.70 403,696 Cincinnati, OH 15,916,607 20.54 0.39 0.20 19.40 20.31 -144,815 Cleveland, OH 13,701,278 21.34 -0.33 0.05 10.44 10.05 689,788 Columbus, OH 18,133,071 19.05 0.37 2.14 10.57 11.50 -27,569 Detroit, MI 33,643,164 20.52 -0.24 -2.01 15.52 15.72 -67,275 Grand Rapids, MI 2,206,876 17.50 -2.78 -9.00 28.84 28.22 13,520 Indianapolis, IN 12,403,471 18.00 0.39 1.58 17.72 17.10 85,772 Kansas City, MO 14,734,064 20.30 0.30 -1.93 11.87 11.78 14,100 Milwaukee, WI 5,912,609 22.32 9.90 9.79 10.93 10.58 20,889 Minneapolis, MN 26,674,839 13.80 -1.43 -0.50 16.12 15.62 131,289 Omaha, NE 4,342,362 26.15 - 0.85 5.07 5.01 104,815 St. Louis, MO 25,996,388 21.89 0.05 -1.40 10.62 10.79 -45,320 Midwest Total 250,644,134 21.91 0.14 0.77 15.26 15.12 1,178,890 WEST Bakersfield, CA 2,697,867 24.00 - - 4.74 5.28 -14,426 Boise, ID 3,108,058 15.12 0.13 0.47 14.14 13.57 17,779 Denver, CO 34,321,698 23.74 1.32 4.49 11.95 11.96 -3,198 Fairfield, CA 1,917,086 25.61 -2.07 2.11 26.88 29.77 -55,433 Fresno, CA 4,017,507 25.20 - - 17.26 18.85 -63,910 Las Vegas, NV 4,979,076 29.28 - -1.61 34.96 33.02 96,889 Los Angeles, CA 102,533,800 33.96 0.71 1.43 17.26 17.20 455,100 Los Angeles – Inland Empire, CA 5,194,800 23.52 1.03 2.08 27.39 23.62 195,866 Oakland, CA 3,870,228 26.40 - -0.90 26.20 24.23 76,225 Orange County, CA 32,834,800 25.56 -0.93 -0.47 17.93 16.96 253,700 Phoenix, AZ 30,242,049 23.29 0.26 -1.06 23.12 20.31 918,319 Portland, OR 11,012,912 22.95 -0.35 0.31 14.02 14.06 -4,348 Reno, NV 2,989,478 18.62 - -7.09 13.90 13.91 34,636 Sacramento, CA 16,324,396 22.20 -0.54 -1.60 21.51 20.99 185,646 San Diego, CA 23,418,247 32.88 - 4.18 11.52 10.73 184,465 San Francisco Peninsula 22,281,029 41.64 -0.29 10.16 13.53 14.09 -109,899 San Jose/Silicon Valley 27,077,797 39.07 -1.34 8.17 14.02 14.43 145,393 Seattle/Puget Sound, WA 20,850,141 31.68 0.86 4.55 10.38 8.57 132,984 Walnut Creek/Pleasanton, CA 15,972,148 25.92 3.85 14.89 10.33 8.98 216,974 West Total 365,643,117 30.38 0.35 3.37 16.25 15.68 2,662,762 U.S. TOTAL 1,541,121,521 26.21 -0.08 0.82 15.97 15.67 8,048,503 COLLIERS INTERNATIONAL | P. 15
  • 16. HIGHLIGHTS | Q4 2012 | OFFICE | NORTH AMERICA CANADA | DOWNTOWN OFFICE | ALL INVENTORY EXISTING NEW SUPPLY UNDER VACANCY VACANCY ABSORPTION MARKET INVENTORY (SF) Q4 2012 CONSTRUCTION RATE (%) RATE (%) Q4 2012 DEC 31, 2012 (SF) (SF) SEP 30, 2012 DEC 31, 2012 (SF) Calgary, AB 39,567,994 256,657 1,661,000 4.52 3.68 330,012 Edmonton, AB 11,260,840 117,768 - 8.42 8.30 13,280 Halifax, NS 4,684,110 38,948 190,000 11.44 11.45 -470 Montréal, QC 49,428,581 127,000 304,000 5.01 4.27 365,660 Ottawa, ON 15,526,942 87,700 360,000 5.57 6.75 -183,170 Regina, SK 3,801,824 220,000 80,000 1.92 2.59 190,164 Saskatoon, SK* 2,319,464 109,000 50,000 3.25 3.34 138,900 Toronto, ON 69,531,181 464,455 2,784,698 5.10 4.58 203,259 Vancouver, BC 24,408,488 20,299 1,563,810 3.50 4.03 -130,891 Victoria, BC 4,952,849 80,455 - 7.79 8.28 -14,428 Waterloo Region, ON 3,772,982 - 66,075 14.87 14.22 24,360 Winnipeg, MB 11,188,648 - 130,375 6.59 6.59 - CANADA TOTAL 240,443,903 1,522,282 7,189,958 5.35 5.04 936,676 *Saskatoon tracks but does not submit suburban inventory figures for this report CANADA | DOWNTOWN OFFICE | CLASS A AVG ANNUAL EXISTING QUARTERLY ANNUAL VACANCY VACANCY QUOTED RENT ABSORPTION MARKET INVENTORY (SF) CHANGE CHANGE RATE (%) RATE (%) (CAD PSF) Q4 2012 (SF) DEC 31, 2012 IN RENT (%) IN RENT (%) SEP 30, 2012 DEC 31, 2012 DEC 31, 2012 Calgary, AB 26,727,389 60.21 - 8.7 1.46 1.84 -102,756 Edmonton, AB 9,074,913 42.02 0.7 5.3 8.27 8.45 -16,593 Halifax, NS 1,933,746 32.35 - 1.7 9.06 8.95 2,144 Montréal, QC 23,075,596 45.00 7.1 7.1 4.49 4.13 82,257 Ottawa, ON 9,535,830 51.60 3.5 6.7 4.52 4.92 -38,670 Regina, SK 1,094,911 42.00 4.0 13.5 0.96 1.42 212,815 Saskatoon, SK 570,571 40.00 5.3 8.1 1.84 3.59 67,509 Toronto, ON 40,130,328 54.28 0.6 2.4 5.70 4.70 187,396 Vancouver, BC 10,029,234 54.57 -1.1 0.1 2.08 2.65 -60,827 Victoria, BC 513,808 35.00 -2.8 -7.4 9.43 4.88 39 Waterloo Region, ON 1,559,429 25.66 - -0.8 12.48 12.01 7,282 Winnipeg, MB 2,619,428 33.50 - N/A 4.76 4.76 - CANADA TOTAL 126,865,183 51.42 1.7 4.5 4.46 4.24 340,596 P. 16 | COLLIERS INTERNATIONAL