The document presents a framework for increasing renewable energy deployment in Cambridgeshire. It finds that the county has significant potential for solar, biomass, heat pumps, and wind energy under different scenarios. Deployment could range from a low scenario of 8% to a high scenario of 30% by 2031, closing the carbon gap. This would represent billions of pounds in investment. Key pathways for deployment include public sector, community, and commercial. The public sector could maximize the potential of its assets and policies to attract investment. Communities need funding and guidance. The commercial sector requires a supportive policy framework and opportunities to be clearly identified.

1. Cambridgeshire Renewables Infrastructure Framework
Presentation to Senior Public Sector Event 12/10/11
Duncan Price, Director
Cambridgeshire Renewables Infrastructure Framework

2. Cambridgeshire’s challenging carbon objectives
What is Cambridgeshire's potential?
Cambridgeshire Renewables Infrastructure Framework 1

3. Cambridgeshire is progressing well
Cambridgeshire Renewables Infrastructure Framework 2

4. Modelling renewable energy deployment potential
Scenario 4
Scenario 1 Scenario 2 Scenario 3 (high without
Inputs (low) (medium) (high) wind)
Discount rate 9% 7% 6% 6%
DECC - 'high DECC - 'high
Energy price DECC - 'low' DECC - 'high' high' energy high' energy
[1]
energy prices energy prices prices prices
current rates current rates
(FIT/ RHI (FIT/ RHI
designed to designed to
give fixed give fixed
return & will return & will
Financial lower than adjust to adjust to
incentives current tariff energy energy
(FIT/RHI) rates current rates prices) prices)
Project
deployment
rate
(wind/biomas 30% (0% for
s/EfW) 8% 15% 30% wind)
Green policy
support (for
building
integrated
technologies) Low Medium High High
Cambridgeshire Renewables Infrastructure Framework 3

5. Deployment options for renewable energy
Cambridgeshire Renewables Infrastructure Framework 4

6. Renewable electricity potential is very large
Cambridgeshire Renewables Infrastructure Framework 5

7. Renewable heat constitutes the greater challenge
Cambridgeshire Renewables Infrastructure Framework 6

8. S. Cambs and Hunts have largest resource
Cambridgeshire Renewables Infrastructure Framework 7

9. District heating potential lies in Cambridge and
Huntingdon
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10. Substantial infrastructure is needed
Number of installations associated with delivery of each scenario
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11. Significant investment opportunity
Investment potential for each scenario in £millions
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12. Energy efficiency and renewable energy can
close the carbon ‘gap’
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13. Conclusions
• Cambridgeshire is doing well – especially renewable electricity
• There is potential for more – solar, biomass, heat pumps, wind
• All technologies are needed – heat and electricity
• Somewhere between medium & high scenarios delivers by 2031
• Also closes carbon gap to meet pro-rata 4th carbon budget
• Significant investment potential – up to £6.1 billion for high
scenario
Cambridgeshire Renewables Infrastructure Framework 12

14. Thanks
Duncan Price
Renewable energy delivery pathways
Director
Camco
t: +44 (0)20 7121 6150
m: +44 (0)7769 692 610
e: duncan.price@camcoglobal.com
172 Tottenham Court Road London
W1T 7NS United Kingdom
www.camcoglobal.com
Cambridgeshire Renewables Infrastructure Framework 13

15. There are three delivery pathways
Community Public Sector Commercial
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16. What is the potential for each pathway?
Deployment potential by pathway
1600
1400
Deployment potential (GWh)
Wind >=6 turbines
1200
Wind <=5 turbines
1000
Biomass
800
ASHP
600
GSHP
400
SWH
200
PV
0
Public sector Community Commercial
Cambridgeshire Renewables Infrastructure Framework 15

17. Community deployment potential
• PV
• 145MWp, 1,150,000m² of panels
• 460 non-residential buildings and 30,400 houses (14%)
• £640m capex, £150m NPV
• Solar water heating
• 42,600m² of panels on 8,500 houses (4%)
• £50m capex, £20m NPV
• Heat pumps
• 43,000 or 15% of houses
• £140m capex, £75m NPV
• Wind
• 75MW or 30 turbines
• £120m capex, £8m NPV
Cambridgeshire Renewables Infrastructure Framework 16

18. Vision for community delivery pathway
• Communities have strong incentive to invest in renewable energy
• Effective hard and soft incentive mechanisms
• Minimisation of risks and barriers to implementation
• Communities have access to a range of funding sources
• Availability of applicable finance options for a range of project types
• Gaining access to existing and new funding sources
• Communities are maximising learning from leading practice
• Demonstration case studies of successful community energy schemes
• Access to quality impartial ‘self-help’ guidance and information
Cambridgeshire Renewables Infrastructure Framework 17

19. Vision for community delivery pathway
• Communities are managing energy projects effectively
• Identification of governance methods and relative benefits of each approach
• Range of delivery options identified
• Investment and delivery opportunities are clearly communicated
Cambridgeshire Renewables Infrastructure Framework 18

20. Public sector deployment potential
• PV • Wind
• 39MWp, 300,00m² of panels • 27MW or 11 turbines
• 180 non-residential buildings and 7,500 • £44m capex, £3m NPV
houses (18%)
• Biomass
• £170m capex, £40m NPV
• 14 installations of 1.5MW
• Solar water heating
• 8,400m² of panels on 1,700 houses (4%)
• £10m capex, £4m NPV
• Heat pumps
• 8,100 or 20% of houses
• £40m capex, £23m NPV
Cambridgeshire Renewables Infrastructure Framework 19

21. Vision for public sector pathway
• Public sector is maximising value of its own hard assets
• PV on roofs of offices, schools, hospitals, leisure centres
• PV in social housing – own stock, ALMO and with housing association partners
• Appropriate wind development on public land
• Provision of anchor loads for district heating and CHP
• Renewable energy transition plan for each building
• Demonstration projects for advanced technologies and new approaches
Cambridgeshire Renewables Infrastructure Framework 20

22. Vision for public sector pathway
• Public sector is maximising value from its soft assets
• Planning policies – LDF, LDO, s106, CIL
• Enabling mechanisms – community energy fund, grant funding
• Public sector led development – de-risking projects, early project promotion
• Political engagement – FIT, RHI and Green Deal policy certainty, tariffs, etc.
• Market development – awareness raising, pipeline development for Green Deal
Cambridgeshire Renewables Infrastructure Framework 21

23. Vision for public sector pathway
Cambridgeshire Renewables Infrastructure Framework 22

24. Commercial deployment potential
• PV • Wind
• 160MWp, 1,300,000m² of panels • For wind parks ≤5 turbines, 28MW or
11 turbines
• 3,200 non-residential buildings
• For wind parks ≥6 turbines, 375MW
• £720m capex, £165m NPV
or 150 turbines
• Solar water heating • Total capex £660m, £45m NPV
• 8,300m² of panels on 1,700 or 20% of
• Biomass
buildings
• 14 installations of 1.5MW
• £9m capex, £4m NPV
• Heat pumps
• 200 or 3% of buildings
• £75m capex, £43m NPV
Cambridgeshire Renewables Infrastructure Framework 23

25. Vision for commercial delivery pathway
• Investment opportunities are clearly identified
• Technical, economic and deployment potential based on WP1
• Benefits of growth agenda are articulated
• Preconditions are clearly understood by public and private sector + community
• Public sector is facilitating investment
• Establishing clear public policies and protocols to provide market certainty
• Engaging in constructive dialogue with community
• Using its own assets to lever wider opportunities
Cambridgeshire Renewables Infrastructure Framework 24

26. Vision for commercial delivery pathway
• Investment is flowing, projects being developed
• Cambridgeshire seen as county with good renewable energy development
potential
• Cambridgeshire demonstrated to be investor-friendly
• Supply chain is in place, levels of risk and return meet minimum commercial
requirements
• Constructive dialogue, community benefiting and accepting
Cambridgeshire Renewables Infrastructure Framework 25

27. Vision for commercial delivery pathway
Cambridgeshire Renewables Infrastructure Framework 26

28. PV deployment potential
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29. Wind deployment potential
Cambridgeshire Renewables Infrastructure Framework 28

30. What will the pathways look like or include?
• Compelling vision of what can be achieved
• Shared understanding of barriers and risks to implementation
• Cambridgeshire benefiting from up to £6.5bn of investment
• Local businesses are providing goods and services to the sector
• Leading county where people choose to invest
• Consistent and pro-active policy framework is adopted
• The public sector takes the lead
• Project plan for shared decision making
Cambridgeshire Renewables Infrastructure Framework 29

31. Cambridgeshire’s challenging carbon objectives
Discussion Points
Cambridgeshire Renewables Infrastructure Framework 30

32. What will the public sector pathways look like?
• How can the public sector facilitate and support the delivery of more
renewable energy delivery in Cambridgeshire?
• What is the role of the Public Sector?
• How can the public sector create the conditions to attract business and
community buy-in and investment in Cambridgeshire?
Cambridgeshire Renewables Infrastructure Framework 31

33. Thanks
Duncan Price
Director
Camco
t: +44 (0)20 7121 6150
m: +44 (0)7769 692 610
e: duncan.price@camcoglobal.com
172 Tottenham Court Road London
W1T 7NS United Kingdom
www.camcoglobal.com
Cambridgeshire Renewables Infrastructure Framework 32