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Value of Medication Adherence in Chronic Vascular Disease:
Fixed Effects Models of Health Services Utilization and Cost
Roebuck, MC, MBA; Liberman, JN, PhD; Gemmill-Toyama, MC, PhD; Brennan, TA, MD, JD, MPH
RESEARCH OBJECTIVE                                                   Descriptive Statistics by Chronic Vascular Condition                                                                   Marginal Effects of Adherence on Health Services Utilization and Cost
To examine the relationship between adherence to                                                     Congestive
medication therapy and the utilization and cost of health                                                                                                                                         Utilization (All Individuals)                                                                                                                                                                    Cost (All Individuals)
                                                                                                    Heart Failure Hypertension Diabetes Dyslipidemia                                          2                                                                                                                                                                                         $2,000
services in four chronic vascular disorders (congestive heart        Variable                       (n = 16,353) (n = 112,757) (n = 42,080) (n = 53,041)                                      1                                                                                                                                              ns
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    0.35          0.27                                 $1,058         $429         $656          $601
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        1.13          0.04                                                    $0
failure, hypertension, diabetes and dyslipidemia); while                                                   0.550                  0.487                 0.532                  0.502          0
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             -0.03        -0.02         -0.01                                                                                                                                                                                          ($1,860)
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               ($1,258)
                                                                     Male                                                                                                                                                                                      -0.04                                                                                                                   ($2,000)
addressing the potential endogeneity of adherence.                                                        (0.497)                (0.500)               (0.499)                (0.500)        -1
                                                                                                                                                                                                                    -2.14         -2.39
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                -1.78
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   ($3,908) ($3,756)
                                                                                                                                                                                             -2                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             ($4,337) ($4,413)
Effect estimates from prior studies may be biased due to             Age                                  77.301                 68.401                67.872                 65.096         -3
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       ($4,000)

unobservables correlated with both adherence and health                                                  (10.600)               (13.692)              (13.745)               (14.157)        -4                                                                                                                                                                                        ($6,000)
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      ($7,823)
services utilization and cost.                                       Senior (age≥65)                       0.872                  0.614                 0.615                  0.517         -5        -5.72                                                                                                                                                                           ($8,000)                                                               ($8,881)
                                                                                                          (0.334)                (0.487)               (0.487)                (0.500)        -6
                                                                                                                                                                                                            Annual Inpatient Hospital Days                               Annual Emergency                                          Annual Outpatient                                 ($10,000)
STUDY DESIGN                                                         Charlson Comorbidity                  2.025                  1.112                 1.696                  1.001                         (Adherent vs. Non-Adherent)                                  Department Visits
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     (Adherent vs. Non-Adherent)
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    Physician Visits
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              (Adherent vs. Non-Adherent)
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 Annual Pharmacy Costs
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              (Adherent vs. Non-Adherent)
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         Annual Medical Costs
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      (Adherent vs. Non-Adherent)
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             Annual Total Health Care Costs
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             (Adherent vs. Non-Adherent)
                                                                     Index                                (1.365)                (1.222)               (1.179)                (1.173)
A longitudinal claims analysis of patients with continuous
insurance coverage from 1/1/05 to 6/30/08. Condition cohorts         Annual Inpatient                     11.901                  3.291                 4.255                 2.239                                                                                                                                                                                                                Cost (Seniors)
                                                                     Hospital Days
                                                                                                                                                                                                  Utilization (Seniors)
                                                                                                         (26.973)               (13.967)              (16.458)               (11.148)
were constructed using ICD-9-CM codes. Medical and pharmacy                                                                                                                                   2                                                                                                                                                                                         $2,000
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      $467          $676         $655
                                                                     Annual Emergency                     0.613                   0.318                 0.353                  0.265          1                                                                                                                                             ns      0.45          0.37                                 $1,040
claims data were used to derive six annual measures of health        Department Visits                   (1.156)                 (0.827)               (0.891)                (0.745)         0
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        1.22          0.01                                                    $0
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       ns
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           -0.02        -0.01                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   ($1,847)
services utilization and cost: inpatient hospital days, emergency                                                                                                                            -1                                                 -1.88
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               -0.01         -0.05                                                                                                     ($2,000)                                                                                                         ($2,502)
                                                                     Annual Outpatient                   11.651                   8.506                 9.407                  8.660
department visits, outpatient physician visits, pharmacy costs,      Physician Visits                   (10.306)                 (7.811)               (8.458)                (7.836)
                                                                                                                                                                                             -2
                                                                                                                                                                                                                   -3.14          -3.41                                                                                                                                                ($4,000)
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  ($5,170)
                                                                                                                                                                                             -3
medical costs and total health care costs. Patients were defined                                                                                                                             -4                                                                                                                                                                                        ($6,000)                                                                             ($6,292) ($5,847)                                       ($5,824)
                                                                     Annual Pharmacy                       3,780                  2,867                 3,624                  2,920
as adherent where their condition-level Medication Possession        Costs ($)                            (4,493)                (3,901)               (4,371)                (4,078)        -5       -5.87                                                                                                                                                                            ($8,000)
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       ($7,893)
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               ($8,934)
Ratios were at least 0.80. Fixed effects models were estimated to                                         39,076                 14,813                17,955                 12,688
                                                                                                                                                                                             -6
                                                                                                                                                                                                            Annual Inpatient Hospital Days                                Annual Emergency                                        Annual Outpatient
                                                                     Annual Medical                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  ($10,000)                    Annual Pharmacy Costs                                   Annual Medical Costs                                 Annual Total Health Care Costs
control for the potential endogeneity of adherence.                  Costs ($)                           (81,569)               (42,371)              (50,042)               (39,477)                        (Adherent vs. Non-Adherent)                                   Department Visits                                        Physician Visits
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               (Adherent vs. Non-Adherent)                             (Adherent vs. Non-Adherent)                             (Adherent vs. Non-Adherent)
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      (Adherent vs. Non-Adherent)                             (Adherent vs. Non-Adherent)
                                                                     Annual Total                         42,856                 17,680                21,580                 15,608
POPULATION STUDIED                                                   Health Care Costs ($)               (82,058)               (43,047)              (50,753)               (40,256)               Congestive Heart Failure                                 Hypertension                                       Diabetes                                Dyslipidemia
The sample consisted of 16,353 patients with congestive heart        Medication                            0.400                  0.591                 0.513                  0.522         Notes: Unless denoted with “ns”, presented are statistically signi cant (p<0.01) marginal e ect estimates from linear xed e ects models of health services utilization and cost. All models included a weighted Charlson Comorbidity Index; two year indicator variables; dummy variables for senior, male, and adherent; and interaction terms for adherent with male and senior.
failure, 112,757 with hypertension, 42,080 with diabetes and         Possession Ratio (MPR)               (0.435)                (0.417)               (0.426)                (0.427)
53,041 with dyslipidemia.
                                                                     Adherent (MPR≥0.80)                  0.340
                                                                                                         (0.474)
                                                                                                                                  0.505
                                                                                                                                 (0.500)
                                                                                                                                                        0.412
                                                                                                                                                       (0.492)
                                                                                                                                                                               0.426
                                                                                                                                                                              (0.495)
                                                                                                                                                                                          CONCLUSIONS
                                                                                                                                                                                          To fully understand the clinical and economic impacts of                                                                                      pharmacy costs, medication adherence provided substantial
PRINCIPAL FINDINGS                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      medical savings, likely due to reductions in hospitalization and
• Medication adherence was associated with fewer                     Notes: Presented are means with standard deviations in parentheses for last year of study period (7/1/07-6/30/08).   prescription drug use in community-based settings, researchers
                                                                                                                                                                                          must also rely on carefully executed observational studies. In                                                                                emergency department use.
  inpatient hospital days and emergency department
  visits, and a greater number of outpatient physician visits                                                                                                                             the absence of randomization, causality is difficult to establish,
                                                                      - $3,756 for diabetes                                                                                               however advanced econometric techniques can be used to                                                                                        IMPLICATIONS FOR POLICY, DELIVERY, OR PRACTICE
• Higher drug costs were more than offset by lower                    - $1,258 for dyslipidemia                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         Policies that improve medication adherence may be
                                                                                                                                                                                          reduce potential bias in effect estimates.
  medical costs with annual total health care cost savings          • Benefit-cost ratios ranged from 2:1 for non-senior adults with                                                                                                                                                                                                    worthwhile investments for plan sponsors and patients. Disease
  amounting to:                                                       dyslipidemia to over 13:1 for seniors with hypertension                                                             This study extends the literature on the impact of medication                                                                                 management programs, pharmacist-consumer engagement,
  - $7,823 for congestive heart failure                                                                                                                                                   adherence on health services utilization and cost. Using a large                                                                              and physician education are among the alternatives. Value-
                                                                    • Adherence effects were generally greater in magnitude for
  - $3,908 for hypertension                                                                                                                                                               panel dataset, fixed effects modeling controlled for the potential                                                                            based insurance designs may be particularly attractive since
                                                                      seniors than for non-seniors
                                                                                                                                                                                          endogeneity of adherence. Results confirm that despite higher                                                                                 economic incentives are well-known to affect patient behavior.
©2010 Caremark. All rights reserved.

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Value of Medication Adherence in Chronic Vascular Disease

  • 1. Value of Medication Adherence in Chronic Vascular Disease: Fixed Effects Models of Health Services Utilization and Cost Roebuck, MC, MBA; Liberman, JN, PhD; Gemmill-Toyama, MC, PhD; Brennan, TA, MD, JD, MPH RESEARCH OBJECTIVE Descriptive Statistics by Chronic Vascular Condition Marginal Effects of Adherence on Health Services Utilization and Cost To examine the relationship between adherence to Congestive medication therapy and the utilization and cost of health Utilization (All Individuals) Cost (All Individuals) Heart Failure Hypertension Diabetes Dyslipidemia 2 $2,000 services in four chronic vascular disorders (congestive heart Variable (n = 16,353) (n = 112,757) (n = 42,080) (n = 53,041) 1 ns 0.35 0.27 $1,058 $429 $656 $601 1.13 0.04 $0 failure, hypertension, diabetes and dyslipidemia); while 0.550 0.487 0.532 0.502 0 -0.03 -0.02 -0.01 ($1,860) ($1,258) Male -0.04 ($2,000) addressing the potential endogeneity of adherence. (0.497) (0.500) (0.499) (0.500) -1 -2.14 -2.39 -1.78 ($3,908) ($3,756) -2 ($4,337) ($4,413) Effect estimates from prior studies may be biased due to Age 77.301 68.401 67.872 65.096 -3 ($4,000) unobservables correlated with both adherence and health (10.600) (13.692) (13.745) (14.157) -4 ($6,000) ($7,823) services utilization and cost. Senior (age≥65) 0.872 0.614 0.615 0.517 -5 -5.72 ($8,000) ($8,881) (0.334) (0.487) (0.487) (0.500) -6 Annual Inpatient Hospital Days Annual Emergency Annual Outpatient ($10,000) STUDY DESIGN Charlson Comorbidity 2.025 1.112 1.696 1.001 (Adherent vs. Non-Adherent) Department Visits (Adherent vs. Non-Adherent) Physician Visits (Adherent vs. Non-Adherent) Annual Pharmacy Costs (Adherent vs. Non-Adherent) Annual Medical Costs (Adherent vs. Non-Adherent) Annual Total Health Care Costs (Adherent vs. Non-Adherent) Index (1.365) (1.222) (1.179) (1.173) A longitudinal claims analysis of patients with continuous insurance coverage from 1/1/05 to 6/30/08. Condition cohorts Annual Inpatient 11.901 3.291 4.255 2.239 Cost (Seniors) Hospital Days Utilization (Seniors) (26.973) (13.967) (16.458) (11.148) were constructed using ICD-9-CM codes. Medical and pharmacy 2 $2,000 $467 $676 $655 Annual Emergency 0.613 0.318 0.353 0.265 1 ns 0.45 0.37 $1,040 claims data were used to derive six annual measures of health Department Visits (1.156) (0.827) (0.891) (0.745) 0 1.22 0.01 $0 ns -0.02 -0.01 ($1,847) services utilization and cost: inpatient hospital days, emergency -1 -1.88 -0.01 -0.05 ($2,000) ($2,502) Annual Outpatient 11.651 8.506 9.407 8.660 department visits, outpatient physician visits, pharmacy costs, Physician Visits (10.306) (7.811) (8.458) (7.836) -2 -3.14 -3.41 ($4,000) ($5,170) -3 medical costs and total health care costs. Patients were defined -4 ($6,000) ($6,292) ($5,847) ($5,824) Annual Pharmacy 3,780 2,867 3,624 2,920 as adherent where their condition-level Medication Possession Costs ($) (4,493) (3,901) (4,371) (4,078) -5 -5.87 ($8,000) ($7,893) ($8,934) Ratios were at least 0.80. Fixed effects models were estimated to 39,076 14,813 17,955 12,688 -6 Annual Inpatient Hospital Days Annual Emergency Annual Outpatient Annual Medical ($10,000) Annual Pharmacy Costs Annual Medical Costs Annual Total Health Care Costs control for the potential endogeneity of adherence. Costs ($) (81,569) (42,371) (50,042) (39,477) (Adherent vs. Non-Adherent) Department Visits Physician Visits (Adherent vs. Non-Adherent) (Adherent vs. Non-Adherent) (Adherent vs. Non-Adherent) (Adherent vs. Non-Adherent) (Adherent vs. Non-Adherent) Annual Total 42,856 17,680 21,580 15,608 POPULATION STUDIED Health Care Costs ($) (82,058) (43,047) (50,753) (40,256) Congestive Heart Failure Hypertension Diabetes Dyslipidemia The sample consisted of 16,353 patients with congestive heart Medication 0.400 0.591 0.513 0.522 Notes: Unless denoted with “ns”, presented are statistically signi cant (p<0.01) marginal e ect estimates from linear xed e ects models of health services utilization and cost. All models included a weighted Charlson Comorbidity Index; two year indicator variables; dummy variables for senior, male, and adherent; and interaction terms for adherent with male and senior. failure, 112,757 with hypertension, 42,080 with diabetes and Possession Ratio (MPR) (0.435) (0.417) (0.426) (0.427) 53,041 with dyslipidemia. Adherent (MPR≥0.80) 0.340 (0.474) 0.505 (0.500) 0.412 (0.492) 0.426 (0.495) CONCLUSIONS To fully understand the clinical and economic impacts of pharmacy costs, medication adherence provided substantial PRINCIPAL FINDINGS medical savings, likely due to reductions in hospitalization and • Medication adherence was associated with fewer Notes: Presented are means with standard deviations in parentheses for last year of study period (7/1/07-6/30/08). prescription drug use in community-based settings, researchers must also rely on carefully executed observational studies. In emergency department use. inpatient hospital days and emergency department visits, and a greater number of outpatient physician visits the absence of randomization, causality is difficult to establish, - $3,756 for diabetes however advanced econometric techniques can be used to IMPLICATIONS FOR POLICY, DELIVERY, OR PRACTICE • Higher drug costs were more than offset by lower - $1,258 for dyslipidemia Policies that improve medication adherence may be reduce potential bias in effect estimates. medical costs with annual total health care cost savings • Benefit-cost ratios ranged from 2:1 for non-senior adults with worthwhile investments for plan sponsors and patients. Disease amounting to: dyslipidemia to over 13:1 for seniors with hypertension This study extends the literature on the impact of medication management programs, pharmacist-consumer engagement, - $7,823 for congestive heart failure adherence on health services utilization and cost. Using a large and physician education are among the alternatives. Value- • Adherence effects were generally greater in magnitude for - $3,908 for hypertension panel dataset, fixed effects modeling controlled for the potential based insurance designs may be particularly attractive since seniors than for non-seniors endogeneity of adherence. Results confirm that despite higher economic incentives are well-known to affect patient behavior. ©2010 Caremark. All rights reserved.