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Valley of the Death
Major Commercialization Challenge
for
Cleantech Start-ups
Opal Financial Group
Energy Investment Forum
Austin TX, January 25-26, 2012
cxo360 Wind Portfolio
Q3/2011 Cleantech VC Investments
>>> Storage $514M 19 deals
>>> Solar $350M 33 deals
>>> Efficiency $223M 34 deals
>>> Transport’ $177M 15 deals
>>> Wind 0 0
Stages of Technology Development
Proof
of
Concept
Commercial
Product
Stages of Technology Development
$10M-$25M
Proof
of
Concept
Bankable
Product
Obstacles
Expensive:
>>> A utility scale single turbine cost $1.5-$2M per unit.
>>> Need multiple units for wake impact and statistics
Customers refuse to participate in pilots:
>>> Budget commitments to financer
>>> Warranty/insurance limitations
How to Overcome the Valley of the Death
>>> Government programs (Bloomberg, BIRDF,..)
>>> Partner with a utility size research institute (NREL, NIRE,…)
>>> Buy your own turbines (used?)
>>> Partner early on with a major turbine supplier
>>> Partner with an old wind farm
>>> Find the least resistant path (May be longer but safer)
Summary
Make sure the business plan addresses
the Valley of the Death issue at the very
beginning and not as an afterthought
Thank you
cxo360
Arie Brish
Principal
cxo360@gmail.com

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Valley of the death

  • 1. Valley of the Death Major Commercialization Challenge for Cleantech Start-ups Opal Financial Group Energy Investment Forum Austin TX, January 25-26, 2012
  • 3. Q3/2011 Cleantech VC Investments >>> Storage $514M 19 deals >>> Solar $350M 33 deals >>> Efficiency $223M 34 deals >>> Transport’ $177M 15 deals >>> Wind 0 0
  • 4. Stages of Technology Development Proof of Concept Commercial Product
  • 5. Stages of Technology Development $10M-$25M Proof of Concept Bankable Product
  • 6. Obstacles Expensive: >>> A utility scale single turbine cost $1.5-$2M per unit. >>> Need multiple units for wake impact and statistics Customers refuse to participate in pilots: >>> Budget commitments to financer >>> Warranty/insurance limitations
  • 7. How to Overcome the Valley of the Death >>> Government programs (Bloomberg, BIRDF,..) >>> Partner with a utility size research institute (NREL, NIRE,…) >>> Buy your own turbines (used?) >>> Partner early on with a major turbine supplier >>> Partner with an old wind farm >>> Find the least resistant path (May be longer but safer)
  • 8. Summary Make sure the business plan addresses the Valley of the Death issue at the very beginning and not as an afterthought