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Business
 Simulation Software
Supply Chain Analytics


                         1
Contents


Description                                          Page

Introduction……………………………………………………………..1
Solution Scope………………………………………………………....2
Supply chain management problems solved……………………..3
Some practical questions answered………………………………..4
Steps to build - Scenario……………………………………….…......5 – 6
Steps to build - Analytics report……………………………….…….7
Scenario Analytics Drilldown - Cost …..………………………...…8 - 30
Scenario Analytics Drilldown - Cost change ……………….…….31 - 55
Scenario Analytics Drilldown - Inventory………………………….56 - 60
Scenario Analytics Drilldown - Inventory change……….…….…61 - 66
Contact details………………………………………………………….67




                                                                 2
1

                      Introduction
The purpose of this paper is to demonstrate how the analysis and
reporting of supply chain dynamic complexity does not need to be a
complex process, if fact, it can be made so simple as to be automated.
This is made possible using our simulation software that enables decision
makers model and simulate supply chain scenarios using the “Modeling
and Simulation Module” then import each scenario into the “Supply Chain
Reporting and Analytics Module” as required. Once imported, practically
everything else is automated. There is no further delay in getting down to
understanding the dynamics of one or more scenarios or the dynamics
responsible for differences between multiple scenarios, all at the click of
a mouse.
We demonstrate this capability by taking you behind the supply chain
profit and loss statement to reveal these dynamic complexities.
The objective is very simple, to access actionable information that enables
decision makers to measure, influence and manage future outcomes
through greater awareness and understanding.


                                                                     3
2
               Solution Scope



Modelling

            Simulation

                          Analytics


                                      Optimization




                                                     4
3
         Supply Chain Management Problems Solved

Diagnostic
Model current and proposed change to the supply chain strategy in order to
identify opportunities for driving change for competitive advantage.

Simulation
Holistic model that simulates cause effect for risk assessment and decision
making.

Planning & Control
Supports the integration of Lean, Six Sigma and Constraints
Theory so that the outcome of the Diagnostic and Simulation is
reflected in the business planning process, such as, rolling forecasting.

Analytics
Connect cause and effect so that threats and opportunities are understood and
appropriate action is targeted for sustainable results.




                                                                              5
4
               Some practical questions answered

Diagnostic
Where and what drives cost and risk along the supply chain?
What is the cost to serve?
How can we evaluate the effectiveness of current and proposed change?

Simulation
How can we test the sensitivity to change when change is applied to multiple
drivers across the supply chain simultaneously.?
How can we rely less on intuition when dealing with complexity?
How do we select the right KPIs for our business needs?

Planning & Control
How can we more effectively integrate continuous process improvement and
supply chain management into mainstream business planning and control?

Analytics
How can we more effectively acquire the business intelligence and insight in a
timely manner to reduce risk and leverage the gain from opportunities?



                                                                               6
5
               Steps to build - Scenario
    Supply Chain Modelling & Simulation Module

The following two pages outline the assumptions and steps required to
build the scenario database used as the basis for this paper,

 Supply Chain
 1. Raw material sourced from China, Malaysia, USA, Ireland
 2. Raw Material (excl Irish sourced) routed to Holland for onward
    distribution.
3. Manufacturing occurs in Ireland
Trade Terms
1. Supplies - Ex Works
2. Sales      - Delivered
Task
 1. Reduce lot size in order to improve quality and reduce inventory
2. Analyse impact by highlighting resulting change in
               a) Product lot size change
               b) Product Lot Size yield improvement
               c) Supplies lot size reduction

                                                                       7
6
             Steps to build - Scenario
    Supply Chain Modelling & Simulation Module

Prepare Value Stream Map to represent Supply chain.

Configure system model based on value stream map.

Assign demand to drive resource requirements.

Execute code to auto build resource demand, utilization, multi-
dimensional cost structure and extended period cost and revenue.

Output = Scenario Database

Build additional Scenarios as required by modifying driver assumptions.




                                                                    8
7
              Steps to build – Analytics Report
          Supply Chain Modelling & Simulation Module

Only input required:-
Assign sequence number and name for each scenario to be imported. Sequence
one is assigned to the base scenario which represents the current state or scenario
from which change is measured.




Automated Process:-
Execute code to auto import data from Modelling and Simulation Module and build
Supply Chain Analytics Reports.




                                                                             9
8
              Scenario Analytics Drilldown - Cost
             Supply Chain Report & Analytics Module
The screen shot in the next page represents the incremental change in the
supply chain P&L Statement from the current to the future state. The
“Base Scenario” in this case focuses on the execution of the current
supply chain strategy whereby the operational strategy is to maximise
product lot size.
In this example the decision maker needs to understand what the outcome
of a decision to reduce the lot size would be from a holistic perspective
and how each component of change contributed to the total. In order to
understand this the change is subdivided into the follows increments,
          1. Large to small product lot size
          2. First pass yield improvement resulting from smaller lot size
          3. Raw material lot size reduction.
The objective of the Scenario Drill Down is to provide decision makers
with a total understanding of the base scenario before moving onto
reviewing the impact of each of the incremental changes above.




                                                                   10
9




11
10
              Scenario Analytics Drilldown - Cost
             Supply Chain Report & Analytics Module

From the Variance report in the previous page the decision maker selects
the Base Scenario to extract the Supply Chain P&L Summary for the
“Large Product Lot Size”. This format provides insight, at a summary
level, into the profit and loss based on the three segments of the demand
driven supply chain as follows,
                             Supply Process
                             Demand Process
                             Product Process

The objective of this report is to provide decision makers with insight to
the dynamics of the supply chain performance from the perspective of
each segment. Also, to serve as a launch pad from which decision makers
can drill down to understand the dynamic complexities of each segment
and the part that each plays in order overall supply chain financial
performance



                                                                    12
11




13
12
               Scenario Analytics Drilldown - Cost
             Supply Chain Report & Analytics Module

From the Base Scenario P&L Summary in the previous page there is one
significant line item that stands out,

    Resource Imbalance - - As it suggests is the difference between

     Resources made available to support the supply chain strategy
                         And
            Current demand for these resources

But this is just the starting point and just one of many consequences of
current state that we need to understand. There is no actionable
information at this level. We need to drill down to understand what drives
this outcome and how we can better influence, measure and manage the
current state before driving change towards the future state.




                                                                      14
13
              Scenario Analytics Drilldown - Cost
             Supply Chain Report & Analytics Module
                       Support Process
The objective of the next two pages is to drill down behind the Support
Process in order to understand,

    1. The scope and cost in providing these support processes

    2. The scope and cost of each support process and identify
       opportunities for driving change.

    3. Identify, in order of magnitude, which raw material items drive
       the greatest activity and cost for each process task.

    4. Identify the key attributes and resource source that is responsible
       for driving cost for each process task.

Actionable Outcome – We know where to affect change and can
measure and manage the outcome.

                                                                     15
14
  Scenario Analytics Drilldown - Cost
Supply Chain Report & Analytics Module

    Supply Support Process
          Summary




          Configuration




                                         16
15
  Scenario Analytics Drilldown - Cost
Supply Chain Report & Analytics Module
       Supply Support Process

         Driver - Cyclecounting




       Activity Driver Attributes




                                         17
16
               Scenario Analytics Drilldown - Cost
             Supply Chain Report & Analytics Module
                         Material Cost
The objective of the next page is to drill down behind the Material Cost in
order to understand,

     1. Material Cost by Part

     2. Identify the key driver attributes, such as, purchase price, qty per,
        current process yield, first pass yield. Also, the routing step and
        product where demand for materials is driven.

Actionable Outcome – We know where to affect change and can
measure and manage the outcome.




                                                                        18
17
  Scenario Analytics Drilldown - Cost
Supply Chain Report & Analytics Module
            Material Cost
              Summary




            Driver Attributes




                                         19
18
               Scenario Analytics Drilldown - Cost
             Supply Chain Report & Analytics Module
                       Logistics Cost
The objective of the next two pages is to drill down behind the Logistics
Cost in order to understand,

    1. Scope and Cost of Logistics

    2. Logistics Cost by raw material item

    3. Identify the key driver attributes that drive logistics cost.

Actionable Outcome – We know where to affect change and can
measure and manage the outcome.




                                                                       20
19
  Scenario Analytics Drilldown - Cost
Supply Chain Report & Analytics Module
            Logistics Cost

            Expense Summary




        Freight - By Raw Material Item




                                         21
20
  Scenario Analytics Drilldown - Cost
Supply Chain Report & Analytics Module
            Logistics Cost

       Logistics Cost Driver Attributes




                                          22
21
            Scenario Analytics Drilldown - Cost
          Supply Chain Report & Analytics Module
                   Transformation Cost

The objective of the next two pages is to drill down behind the Supply
Process Transformation Costs in order to understand,

    1. Total transformation cost by routing step & value type
    2. Transformation Cost & Value Type by activity.
    3. Driver Activity cost by raw material item.
    4. Driver Attributes, such as, cycle time, batch size, sample size,
       demand activity, pack configuration, resource utilization.

Actionable Outcome – We know where to affect change and can
measure and manage the outcome.




                                                                      23
Scenario Analytics Drilldown - Cost         22
Supply Chain Report & Analytics Module

      Transformation Cost
     Summary By Routing Step




       Activity Cost By Routing
       Step




                                         24
Scenario Analytics Drilldown - Cost             23
Supply Chain Report & Analytics Module
         Transformation Cost
 Driver Activity Cost By Raw Material Item




          Activity Driver Attributes




                                             25
24
                Scenario Analytics Drilldown - Cost
             Supply Chain Report & Analytics Module
                  Resource Imbalance Cost
The objective of the next two pages is to drill down behind the Resource
Imbalance Cost in order to understand,

    1. Resource Imbalance by Process Type
    2. Resource Imbalance by Resource Cell
    3. Resource Assignment summary
    4. Resource Cell Spend Summary

Actionable Outcome – We know the source, period cost, where
resources are consumed and the resulting imbalance so that we
can determine how best to optimise the utilization of resources
from a holistic perspective rather that optimization on a silo by
silo basis. Involves a review of strategy and tactical plans.



                                                                    26
Scenario Analytics Drilldown - Cost        25
Supply Chain Report & Analytics Module
       Resource Imbalance Cost
        Process Type Summary




    Process Resource Type Summary




                                         27
Scenario Analytics Drilldown - Cost         26
Supply Chain Report & Analytics Module
       Resource Imbalance Cost
    Resource Cell Assignment Summary




       Resource Cell Spend Summary




                                         28
27
            Scenario Analytics Drilldown - Cost
         Supply Chain Report & Analytics Module
                    Cost Of Capital
The objective of the next two pages is to drill down behind the Cost Of
Capital in order to understand,

    1.Cost of capital by process and driver source, such as, process
      cycle time, idle resources, vendor credit, customer credit.
    2. Cost of capital summary by driver source, e.g.., raw material
      process cycle time cost of capital.
    3. Cost of capital by driver source detail, such as, process cycle time,
      cumulative flow time, resource cost, CoC rate

 Actionable Outcome – We know the source, period cost, where
resources are consumed, process cycle time, total time in process,
cost of capital interest rate applied and the resulting cost of
capital. All necessary information to decide best tactical plan to
affect cost of capital reduction.

                                                                      29
Scenario Analytics Drilldown - Cost              28
Supply Chain Report & Analytics Module
            Cost Of Capital
   Process & Cost Of Capital Type Summary




  Process Cycle Time Cost Of Capital Driver




                                              30
Scenario Analytics Drilldown - Cost        29
Supply Chain Report & Analytics Module

            Cost Of Capital
    Driver – Process Cycle Time Detail




                                         31
Scenario Analytics Drilldown - Cost                              30
         Supply Chain Report & Analytics Module
                     Conclusion

The scenario drilldown process presented for the “Supply” segment of the
supply chain is repeated for both the “Demand and Product” segments
when completed,

Actionable Outcome – Thorough understanding and insight into resource
and cost for each segment of the current supply chain scenario, key
drivers and attributes. Understanding of where improvement can be driven
across the supply chain and where a review of strategic and tactical plans
warrant further analysis and possible change.

Next Learning Process – The remainder of the paper focuses on
understanding how the change from a large to a small lot size drives
performance improvement across the supply chain.




                                                                       32
31
       Scenario Analytics Drilldown - Cost Change
        Supply Chain Report & Analytics Module
The objective of this phase of the supply chain change review is
understand how and where the cost and overall performance of the supply
chain has been affected by a reduction in Lot Size.

Each change resulting from a reduction in the Lot Size can be represented
and analysed in the same way as the preceding pages. The purpose of the
following section of the paper is to demonstrate that the affect of a
reduction in Lot Size could be viewed from the perspective of

    1. Batch Affect     – Unit cost increase for batch based processes

    2. Quality Affect   – Research has demonstrated that improvement in
                          product quality can result from lower lot sizing.

    3. Frequency Affect – Increase in frequency for support and
                          transformational processes that affect both
                          batch and non batched based activities.

                                                                     33
32
      Scenario Analytics Drilldown - Cost Change
        Supply Chain Report & Analytics Module

Based on the selection of scenarios for comparison the interactive report
and drill down capability automatically analyses the change from one
scenario to another.

The objective of this drill down is to provide decision makers with a
thorough understanding and insight into how a change as simple as a lot
size reduction can have such an impact on both supply chain cost and
inventory holding.

Replaces intuition with fact based understanding and therefore a sounder
foundation on which to influence and manage change.




                                                                    34
33
Scenario Analytics Drilldown - Cost Change
 Supply Chain Report & Analytics Module




                                             35
34
      Scenario Analytics Drilldown - Cost Change
        Supply Chain Report & Analytics Module
                  Support Process

The objective of the next two pages is to drill down to understand the
affect of change from large to small lot size on supply chain support
processes, as follows,

    1. Change at Segment Level. (Supply, Demand, Product)
    2. Change at process level (business support process by segment)
    3. Change at task level (by business support process)
    4. Change at task driver level (by Part)
    5. Change at task driver attribute level. (Process cycle time, Batch
       Size, Sample Size, Activity)

Actionable Outcome – We know where and how a change in
support process cost has arisen and how we can influence,
measure and manage the outcome.


                                                                     36
Scenario Analytics Drilldown - Cost Change        35
 Supply Chain Report & Analytics Module
             Support Process
     Supply Chain Segment Change Summary




              Supply Process Change




             Supply Process Task Change




                                             37
Scenario Analytics Drilldown - Cost Change        36
 Supply Chain Report & Analytics Module
              Support Process
                Driver Change




            Driver Attribute Change




                                             38
Scenario Analytics Drilldown - Cost Change                          37
        Supply Chain Report & Analytics Module
                    Material Cost
The objective of the next three pages is to drill down to understand the
affect of change from large to small lot size on supply chain material cost,

    1. Change at part level.
    2. Change at part level where used
    3. Change in Material cost drivers where used. (change in Currency,
       price change, Qty Per, Current process yield, First pass yield,
      volume.)

Actionable Outcome – We know where and how a change in
material cost has arisen and how we can influence, measure and
manage the outcome.




                                                                      39
Scenario Analytics Drilldown - Cost Change        38
 Supply Chain Report & Analytics Module
                  Material
                 Summary




                                             40
Scenario Analytics Drilldown - Cost Change        39
 Supply Chain Report & Analytics Module
                  Material
                 Where Used




                                             41
Scenario Analytics Drilldown - Cost Change        40
 Supply Chain Report & Analytics Module

                  Material
              Driver Attributes




                                             42
Scenario Analytics Drilldown - Cost Change                             41
        Supply Chain Report & Analytics Module
                    Logistics Cost
 The objective of the next three pages is to drill down to understand the
affect of change from large to small lot size on supply chain logistics, as
follows,

    1. Change at segment level. (Supply, Demand, Product)
    2. Change at Expense line item level. (by segment)
    3. Change at Expense line item level. (by Part)
    4. Change at driver attribute level,. (Exp rate, Currency, price change,
       component Packaging weight, Volume.)

 Actionable Outcome – We know where and how a change in
logistics cost has arisen and how we can influence, measure and
manage the outcome.




                                                                       43
Scenario Analytics Drilldown - Cost Change        42
 Supply Chain Report & Analytics Module
                 Logistics
   Supply Chain Segment Change Summary




              Spend Change




                                             44
Scenario Analytics Drilldown - Cost Change        43
 Supply Chain Report & Analytics Module

                Logistics
          Freight by Driver Change




                                             45
Scenario Analytics Drilldown - Cost Change        44
 Supply Chain Report & Analytics Module
                 Logistics
    Freight Cost Driver Attribute Change




                                             46
Scenario Analytics Drilldown - Cost Change                         45
          Supply Chain Report & Analytics Module
                 Transformation Cost
 The objective of the next two pages is to drill down to understand the
affect of change from large to small lot size on supply chain
transformation costs, as follows,

    1. Change at Segment Level. (Supply, Demand, Product)
    2. Change at Routing level (by process)
    3. Change at task level (by routing step)
    4. Change at Task Driver Attribute level (Process cycle time, Current
       process yield, First pass yield, Lot Size, Volume.

 Actionable Outcome – We know where and how a change in
transformation cost has arisen and how we can influence, measure
and manage the outcome.




                                                                      47
Scenario Analytics Drilldown - Cost Change            46
  Supply Chain Report & Analytics Module
            Transformation Cost
    Supply Chain Segment Change Summary




Product Process Step Transformation Cost Change




                                                  48
Scenario Analytics Drilldown - Cost Change        47
 Supply Chain Report & Analytics Module
           Transformation Cost
            Task Cost Change




         Volume Based Task Change




         Lot Size Based Task Change




                                             49
Scenario Analytics Drilldown - Cost Change                         48
          Supply Chain Report & Analytics Module
                  Resource Imbalance
 The objective of the next three pages is to drill down to understand the
affect of change from large to small lot size on supply chain resource
Imbalance Cost, as follows,

 1. Change at segment level (Supply, Demand, Product).
 2. Change at process type level. (Transformation and Business Process)
 3. Change at Resource cell Level (where resource are located)
 4. Change at Driver Attribute level ( Resource spend, Resource
    assignment)

Actionable Outcome – We know where and how a change in
resource imbalance cost has arisen and how we can influence,
measure and manage the outcome.




                                                                      50
Scenario Analytics Drilldown - Cost Change           49
  Supply Chain Report & Analytics Module
          Resource Imbalance Cost
    Supply Chain Segment Change Summary




Product Process Resource Imbalance Cost Change




                                                 51
Scenario Analytics Drilldown - Cost Change        50
 Supply Chain Report & Analytics Module
         Resource Imbalance Cost
         Resource Imbalance Change




                                             52
Scenario Analytics Drilldown - Cost Change        51
 Supply Chain Report & Analytics Module
       Resource Imbalance Cost
              Change




            Spend Change




                                             53
Scenario Analytics Drilldown - Cost Change                        52
          Supply Chain Report & Analytics Module
                    Cost Of Capital
The objective of the next three pages is to drill down to understand the
affect of change from large to small lot size on supply chain cost of
capital, as follows,

    1. Change at segment level (Supply, Demand, Product).
    2. Change at process type level. (Transformation and Business
       Process)
    3. Change at Driver Level (Cycle time, Idle time, Vendor and customer
       credit)
    4. Change at Driver Attribute level ( Forecast cost, Cost of Capital
       rate, credit terms, cycle time, idle time).

Actionable Outcome – We know where and how a change in cost of
capital has arisen and how we can influence, measure and manage
the outcome.



                                                                     54
Scenario Analytics Drilldown - Cost Change        53
 Supply Chain Report & Analytics Module
            Cost Of Capital
   Supply Chain Segment Change Summary




   Supply Process Cost Of Capital Change




                                             55
Scenario Analytics Drilldown - Cost Change         54
  Supply Chain Report & Analytics Module
             Cost Of Capital

Vendor Credit Cost Of Capital Change Summary




                                               56
Scenario Analytics Drilldown - Cost Change         55
  Supply Chain Report & Analytics Module
             Cost Of Capital

Vendor Credit Cost Of Capital Change by Part




                                               57
Scenario Analytics Drilldown - Inventory                        56
         Supply Chain Report & Analytics Module
                      Inventory

The objective of the following four pages is to drill down from a summary
to a part or product inventory level in order to understand where and how
inventory cost accumulates across the supply chain. Also, to expose
where effort should be focused in driving process improvement that will
result in inventory reduction.

Actionable Outcome Understanding what drives inventory across the
supply chain, we are enabled to drive inventory reduction. This is
achieved by focusing effort on driver attribute improvement, such as
cycle time, total flow time, quality, forecasting etc.




                                                                    58
Scenario Analytics Drilldown - Inventory        57
Supply Chain Report & Analytics Module
       Raw Material Inventory
               Summary




                                           59
Scenario Analytics Drilldown - Inventory        58
Supply Chain Report & Analytics Module
       Raw Material Inventory




                                           60
Scenario Analytics Drilldown - Inventory        59
Supply Chain Report & Analytics Module
   W.I.P & Finished Goods Inventory
               Summary




                                           61
Scenario Analytics Drilldown - Inventory                 60
        Supply Chain Report & Analytics Module
W.I.P & Finished Goods Inventory Flow & Cost Accumulation




                                                            62
Scenario Analytics Drilldown – Inventory Change                       61
        Supply Chain Report & Analytics Module
                     Inventory Change

The purpose of the following six pages is to drill down to understand
how change applied to driver attributes such as lot size, quality affect and
process improvement etc. affect the flow and accumulation of inventory
across the supply chain. Earlier in this paper we demonstrated how a
change in lot size drives change across the supply chain and how
analytics enable us to understand the dynamic complexity of what occurs
as a consequence of change. What we learned from this helps to explain
how change at driver attribute level affects inventory flow and cost
accumulation across the supply chain.

Actionable Outcome By understanding how change applied to driver
attributes affect inventory flow and accumulation across the supply chain
we are enabled to influence and target change that will result in greater
agility, flexibility, reduce risk, increase competiveness and support
sustainable competitive advantage.



                                                                      63
Scenario Analytics Drilldown – Inventory Change        62
   Supply Chain Report & Analytics Module
          Inventory Change Summary




                                                  64
Scenario Analytics Drilldown – Inventory Change        63
   Supply Chain Report & Analytics Module
         Raw Material Inventory Change




                                                  65
Scenario Analytics Drilldown – Inventory Change            64
        Supply Chain Report & Analytics Module
Raw Material Inventory Flow & Cost Accumulation Change




                                                         66
Scenario Analytics Drilldown – Inventory Change        65
   Supply Chain Report & Analytics Module
   W.I.P & Finished Goods Inventory Change




                                                  67
Scenario Analytics Drilldown – Inventory Change       66
          Supply Chain Report & Analytics Module
W.I.P & Fin Goods Inventory Flow & Cost Accumulation Change




                                                        68
67


                    Contact Us


Cyril Bourke ceo
Setanta Business Systems Ltd

Address:
Redmondstown House,
Redmondstown,
Clonmel
Co. Tipperary
Ireland

Phone: 353-52-6125476
Email: cyrilbourke@setantasystems.com




                                        69

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Setanta Systems - Supply Chain Report and Analyses Module

  • 2. Contents Description Page Introduction……………………………………………………………..1 Solution Scope………………………………………………………....2 Supply chain management problems solved……………………..3 Some practical questions answered………………………………..4 Steps to build - Scenario……………………………………….…......5 – 6 Steps to build - Analytics report……………………………….…….7 Scenario Analytics Drilldown - Cost …..………………………...…8 - 30 Scenario Analytics Drilldown - Cost change ……………….…….31 - 55 Scenario Analytics Drilldown - Inventory………………………….56 - 60 Scenario Analytics Drilldown - Inventory change……….…….…61 - 66 Contact details………………………………………………………….67 2
  • 3. 1 Introduction The purpose of this paper is to demonstrate how the analysis and reporting of supply chain dynamic complexity does not need to be a complex process, if fact, it can be made so simple as to be automated. This is made possible using our simulation software that enables decision makers model and simulate supply chain scenarios using the “Modeling and Simulation Module” then import each scenario into the “Supply Chain Reporting and Analytics Module” as required. Once imported, practically everything else is automated. There is no further delay in getting down to understanding the dynamics of one or more scenarios or the dynamics responsible for differences between multiple scenarios, all at the click of a mouse. We demonstrate this capability by taking you behind the supply chain profit and loss statement to reveal these dynamic complexities. The objective is very simple, to access actionable information that enables decision makers to measure, influence and manage future outcomes through greater awareness and understanding. 3
  • 4. 2 Solution Scope Modelling Simulation Analytics Optimization 4
  • 5. 3 Supply Chain Management Problems Solved Diagnostic Model current and proposed change to the supply chain strategy in order to identify opportunities for driving change for competitive advantage. Simulation Holistic model that simulates cause effect for risk assessment and decision making. Planning & Control Supports the integration of Lean, Six Sigma and Constraints Theory so that the outcome of the Diagnostic and Simulation is reflected in the business planning process, such as, rolling forecasting. Analytics Connect cause and effect so that threats and opportunities are understood and appropriate action is targeted for sustainable results. 5
  • 6. 4 Some practical questions answered Diagnostic Where and what drives cost and risk along the supply chain? What is the cost to serve? How can we evaluate the effectiveness of current and proposed change? Simulation How can we test the sensitivity to change when change is applied to multiple drivers across the supply chain simultaneously.? How can we rely less on intuition when dealing with complexity? How do we select the right KPIs for our business needs? Planning & Control How can we more effectively integrate continuous process improvement and supply chain management into mainstream business planning and control? Analytics How can we more effectively acquire the business intelligence and insight in a timely manner to reduce risk and leverage the gain from opportunities? 6
  • 7. 5 Steps to build - Scenario Supply Chain Modelling & Simulation Module The following two pages outline the assumptions and steps required to build the scenario database used as the basis for this paper, Supply Chain 1. Raw material sourced from China, Malaysia, USA, Ireland 2. Raw Material (excl Irish sourced) routed to Holland for onward distribution. 3. Manufacturing occurs in Ireland Trade Terms 1. Supplies - Ex Works 2. Sales - Delivered Task 1. Reduce lot size in order to improve quality and reduce inventory 2. Analyse impact by highlighting resulting change in a) Product lot size change b) Product Lot Size yield improvement c) Supplies lot size reduction 7
  • 8. 6 Steps to build - Scenario Supply Chain Modelling & Simulation Module Prepare Value Stream Map to represent Supply chain. Configure system model based on value stream map. Assign demand to drive resource requirements. Execute code to auto build resource demand, utilization, multi- dimensional cost structure and extended period cost and revenue. Output = Scenario Database Build additional Scenarios as required by modifying driver assumptions. 8
  • 9. 7 Steps to build – Analytics Report Supply Chain Modelling & Simulation Module Only input required:- Assign sequence number and name for each scenario to be imported. Sequence one is assigned to the base scenario which represents the current state or scenario from which change is measured. Automated Process:- Execute code to auto import data from Modelling and Simulation Module and build Supply Chain Analytics Reports. 9
  • 10. 8 Scenario Analytics Drilldown - Cost Supply Chain Report & Analytics Module The screen shot in the next page represents the incremental change in the supply chain P&L Statement from the current to the future state. The “Base Scenario” in this case focuses on the execution of the current supply chain strategy whereby the operational strategy is to maximise product lot size. In this example the decision maker needs to understand what the outcome of a decision to reduce the lot size would be from a holistic perspective and how each component of change contributed to the total. In order to understand this the change is subdivided into the follows increments, 1. Large to small product lot size 2. First pass yield improvement resulting from smaller lot size 3. Raw material lot size reduction. The objective of the Scenario Drill Down is to provide decision makers with a total understanding of the base scenario before moving onto reviewing the impact of each of the incremental changes above. 10
  • 11. 9 11
  • 12. 10 Scenario Analytics Drilldown - Cost Supply Chain Report & Analytics Module From the Variance report in the previous page the decision maker selects the Base Scenario to extract the Supply Chain P&L Summary for the “Large Product Lot Size”. This format provides insight, at a summary level, into the profit and loss based on the three segments of the demand driven supply chain as follows, Supply Process Demand Process Product Process The objective of this report is to provide decision makers with insight to the dynamics of the supply chain performance from the perspective of each segment. Also, to serve as a launch pad from which decision makers can drill down to understand the dynamic complexities of each segment and the part that each plays in order overall supply chain financial performance 12
  • 13. 11 13
  • 14. 12 Scenario Analytics Drilldown - Cost Supply Chain Report & Analytics Module From the Base Scenario P&L Summary in the previous page there is one significant line item that stands out, Resource Imbalance - - As it suggests is the difference between Resources made available to support the supply chain strategy And Current demand for these resources But this is just the starting point and just one of many consequences of current state that we need to understand. There is no actionable information at this level. We need to drill down to understand what drives this outcome and how we can better influence, measure and manage the current state before driving change towards the future state. 14
  • 15. 13 Scenario Analytics Drilldown - Cost Supply Chain Report & Analytics Module Support Process The objective of the next two pages is to drill down behind the Support Process in order to understand, 1. The scope and cost in providing these support processes 2. The scope and cost of each support process and identify opportunities for driving change. 3. Identify, in order of magnitude, which raw material items drive the greatest activity and cost for each process task. 4. Identify the key attributes and resource source that is responsible for driving cost for each process task. Actionable Outcome – We know where to affect change and can measure and manage the outcome. 15
  • 16. 14 Scenario Analytics Drilldown - Cost Supply Chain Report & Analytics Module Supply Support Process Summary Configuration 16
  • 17. 15 Scenario Analytics Drilldown - Cost Supply Chain Report & Analytics Module Supply Support Process Driver - Cyclecounting Activity Driver Attributes 17
  • 18. 16 Scenario Analytics Drilldown - Cost Supply Chain Report & Analytics Module Material Cost The objective of the next page is to drill down behind the Material Cost in order to understand, 1. Material Cost by Part 2. Identify the key driver attributes, such as, purchase price, qty per, current process yield, first pass yield. Also, the routing step and product where demand for materials is driven. Actionable Outcome – We know where to affect change and can measure and manage the outcome. 18
  • 19. 17 Scenario Analytics Drilldown - Cost Supply Chain Report & Analytics Module Material Cost Summary Driver Attributes 19
  • 20. 18 Scenario Analytics Drilldown - Cost Supply Chain Report & Analytics Module Logistics Cost The objective of the next two pages is to drill down behind the Logistics Cost in order to understand, 1. Scope and Cost of Logistics 2. Logistics Cost by raw material item 3. Identify the key driver attributes that drive logistics cost. Actionable Outcome – We know where to affect change and can measure and manage the outcome. 20
  • 21. 19 Scenario Analytics Drilldown - Cost Supply Chain Report & Analytics Module Logistics Cost Expense Summary Freight - By Raw Material Item 21
  • 22. 20 Scenario Analytics Drilldown - Cost Supply Chain Report & Analytics Module Logistics Cost Logistics Cost Driver Attributes 22
  • 23. 21 Scenario Analytics Drilldown - Cost Supply Chain Report & Analytics Module Transformation Cost The objective of the next two pages is to drill down behind the Supply Process Transformation Costs in order to understand, 1. Total transformation cost by routing step & value type 2. Transformation Cost & Value Type by activity. 3. Driver Activity cost by raw material item. 4. Driver Attributes, such as, cycle time, batch size, sample size, demand activity, pack configuration, resource utilization. Actionable Outcome – We know where to affect change and can measure and manage the outcome. 23
  • 24. Scenario Analytics Drilldown - Cost 22 Supply Chain Report & Analytics Module Transformation Cost Summary By Routing Step Activity Cost By Routing Step 24
  • 25. Scenario Analytics Drilldown - Cost 23 Supply Chain Report & Analytics Module Transformation Cost Driver Activity Cost By Raw Material Item Activity Driver Attributes 25
  • 26. 24 Scenario Analytics Drilldown - Cost Supply Chain Report & Analytics Module Resource Imbalance Cost The objective of the next two pages is to drill down behind the Resource Imbalance Cost in order to understand, 1. Resource Imbalance by Process Type 2. Resource Imbalance by Resource Cell 3. Resource Assignment summary 4. Resource Cell Spend Summary Actionable Outcome – We know the source, period cost, where resources are consumed and the resulting imbalance so that we can determine how best to optimise the utilization of resources from a holistic perspective rather that optimization on a silo by silo basis. Involves a review of strategy and tactical plans. 26
  • 27. Scenario Analytics Drilldown - Cost 25 Supply Chain Report & Analytics Module Resource Imbalance Cost Process Type Summary Process Resource Type Summary 27
  • 28. Scenario Analytics Drilldown - Cost 26 Supply Chain Report & Analytics Module Resource Imbalance Cost Resource Cell Assignment Summary Resource Cell Spend Summary 28
  • 29. 27 Scenario Analytics Drilldown - Cost Supply Chain Report & Analytics Module Cost Of Capital The objective of the next two pages is to drill down behind the Cost Of Capital in order to understand, 1.Cost of capital by process and driver source, such as, process cycle time, idle resources, vendor credit, customer credit. 2. Cost of capital summary by driver source, e.g.., raw material process cycle time cost of capital. 3. Cost of capital by driver source detail, such as, process cycle time, cumulative flow time, resource cost, CoC rate Actionable Outcome – We know the source, period cost, where resources are consumed, process cycle time, total time in process, cost of capital interest rate applied and the resulting cost of capital. All necessary information to decide best tactical plan to affect cost of capital reduction. 29
  • 30. Scenario Analytics Drilldown - Cost 28 Supply Chain Report & Analytics Module Cost Of Capital Process & Cost Of Capital Type Summary Process Cycle Time Cost Of Capital Driver 30
  • 31. Scenario Analytics Drilldown - Cost 29 Supply Chain Report & Analytics Module Cost Of Capital Driver – Process Cycle Time Detail 31
  • 32. Scenario Analytics Drilldown - Cost 30 Supply Chain Report & Analytics Module Conclusion The scenario drilldown process presented for the “Supply” segment of the supply chain is repeated for both the “Demand and Product” segments when completed, Actionable Outcome – Thorough understanding and insight into resource and cost for each segment of the current supply chain scenario, key drivers and attributes. Understanding of where improvement can be driven across the supply chain and where a review of strategic and tactical plans warrant further analysis and possible change. Next Learning Process – The remainder of the paper focuses on understanding how the change from a large to a small lot size drives performance improvement across the supply chain. 32
  • 33. 31 Scenario Analytics Drilldown - Cost Change Supply Chain Report & Analytics Module The objective of this phase of the supply chain change review is understand how and where the cost and overall performance of the supply chain has been affected by a reduction in Lot Size. Each change resulting from a reduction in the Lot Size can be represented and analysed in the same way as the preceding pages. The purpose of the following section of the paper is to demonstrate that the affect of a reduction in Lot Size could be viewed from the perspective of 1. Batch Affect – Unit cost increase for batch based processes 2. Quality Affect – Research has demonstrated that improvement in product quality can result from lower lot sizing. 3. Frequency Affect – Increase in frequency for support and transformational processes that affect both batch and non batched based activities. 33
  • 34. 32 Scenario Analytics Drilldown - Cost Change Supply Chain Report & Analytics Module Based on the selection of scenarios for comparison the interactive report and drill down capability automatically analyses the change from one scenario to another. The objective of this drill down is to provide decision makers with a thorough understanding and insight into how a change as simple as a lot size reduction can have such an impact on both supply chain cost and inventory holding. Replaces intuition with fact based understanding and therefore a sounder foundation on which to influence and manage change. 34
  • 35. 33 Scenario Analytics Drilldown - Cost Change Supply Chain Report & Analytics Module 35
  • 36. 34 Scenario Analytics Drilldown - Cost Change Supply Chain Report & Analytics Module Support Process The objective of the next two pages is to drill down to understand the affect of change from large to small lot size on supply chain support processes, as follows, 1. Change at Segment Level. (Supply, Demand, Product) 2. Change at process level (business support process by segment) 3. Change at task level (by business support process) 4. Change at task driver level (by Part) 5. Change at task driver attribute level. (Process cycle time, Batch Size, Sample Size, Activity) Actionable Outcome – We know where and how a change in support process cost has arisen and how we can influence, measure and manage the outcome. 36
  • 37. Scenario Analytics Drilldown - Cost Change 35 Supply Chain Report & Analytics Module Support Process Supply Chain Segment Change Summary Supply Process Change Supply Process Task Change 37
  • 38. Scenario Analytics Drilldown - Cost Change 36 Supply Chain Report & Analytics Module Support Process Driver Change Driver Attribute Change 38
  • 39. Scenario Analytics Drilldown - Cost Change 37 Supply Chain Report & Analytics Module Material Cost The objective of the next three pages is to drill down to understand the affect of change from large to small lot size on supply chain material cost, 1. Change at part level. 2. Change at part level where used 3. Change in Material cost drivers where used. (change in Currency, price change, Qty Per, Current process yield, First pass yield, volume.) Actionable Outcome – We know where and how a change in material cost has arisen and how we can influence, measure and manage the outcome. 39
  • 40. Scenario Analytics Drilldown - Cost Change 38 Supply Chain Report & Analytics Module Material Summary 40
  • 41. Scenario Analytics Drilldown - Cost Change 39 Supply Chain Report & Analytics Module Material Where Used 41
  • 42. Scenario Analytics Drilldown - Cost Change 40 Supply Chain Report & Analytics Module Material Driver Attributes 42
  • 43. Scenario Analytics Drilldown - Cost Change 41 Supply Chain Report & Analytics Module Logistics Cost The objective of the next three pages is to drill down to understand the affect of change from large to small lot size on supply chain logistics, as follows, 1. Change at segment level. (Supply, Demand, Product) 2. Change at Expense line item level. (by segment) 3. Change at Expense line item level. (by Part) 4. Change at driver attribute level,. (Exp rate, Currency, price change, component Packaging weight, Volume.) Actionable Outcome – We know where and how a change in logistics cost has arisen and how we can influence, measure and manage the outcome. 43
  • 44. Scenario Analytics Drilldown - Cost Change 42 Supply Chain Report & Analytics Module Logistics Supply Chain Segment Change Summary Spend Change 44
  • 45. Scenario Analytics Drilldown - Cost Change 43 Supply Chain Report & Analytics Module Logistics Freight by Driver Change 45
  • 46. Scenario Analytics Drilldown - Cost Change 44 Supply Chain Report & Analytics Module Logistics Freight Cost Driver Attribute Change 46
  • 47. Scenario Analytics Drilldown - Cost Change 45 Supply Chain Report & Analytics Module Transformation Cost The objective of the next two pages is to drill down to understand the affect of change from large to small lot size on supply chain transformation costs, as follows, 1. Change at Segment Level. (Supply, Demand, Product) 2. Change at Routing level (by process) 3. Change at task level (by routing step) 4. Change at Task Driver Attribute level (Process cycle time, Current process yield, First pass yield, Lot Size, Volume. Actionable Outcome – We know where and how a change in transformation cost has arisen and how we can influence, measure and manage the outcome. 47
  • 48. Scenario Analytics Drilldown - Cost Change 46 Supply Chain Report & Analytics Module Transformation Cost Supply Chain Segment Change Summary Product Process Step Transformation Cost Change 48
  • 49. Scenario Analytics Drilldown - Cost Change 47 Supply Chain Report & Analytics Module Transformation Cost Task Cost Change Volume Based Task Change Lot Size Based Task Change 49
  • 50. Scenario Analytics Drilldown - Cost Change 48 Supply Chain Report & Analytics Module Resource Imbalance The objective of the next three pages is to drill down to understand the affect of change from large to small lot size on supply chain resource Imbalance Cost, as follows, 1. Change at segment level (Supply, Demand, Product). 2. Change at process type level. (Transformation and Business Process) 3. Change at Resource cell Level (where resource are located) 4. Change at Driver Attribute level ( Resource spend, Resource assignment) Actionable Outcome – We know where and how a change in resource imbalance cost has arisen and how we can influence, measure and manage the outcome. 50
  • 51. Scenario Analytics Drilldown - Cost Change 49 Supply Chain Report & Analytics Module Resource Imbalance Cost Supply Chain Segment Change Summary Product Process Resource Imbalance Cost Change 51
  • 52. Scenario Analytics Drilldown - Cost Change 50 Supply Chain Report & Analytics Module Resource Imbalance Cost Resource Imbalance Change 52
  • 53. Scenario Analytics Drilldown - Cost Change 51 Supply Chain Report & Analytics Module Resource Imbalance Cost Change Spend Change 53
  • 54. Scenario Analytics Drilldown - Cost Change 52 Supply Chain Report & Analytics Module Cost Of Capital The objective of the next three pages is to drill down to understand the affect of change from large to small lot size on supply chain cost of capital, as follows, 1. Change at segment level (Supply, Demand, Product). 2. Change at process type level. (Transformation and Business Process) 3. Change at Driver Level (Cycle time, Idle time, Vendor and customer credit) 4. Change at Driver Attribute level ( Forecast cost, Cost of Capital rate, credit terms, cycle time, idle time). Actionable Outcome – We know where and how a change in cost of capital has arisen and how we can influence, measure and manage the outcome. 54
  • 55. Scenario Analytics Drilldown - Cost Change 53 Supply Chain Report & Analytics Module Cost Of Capital Supply Chain Segment Change Summary Supply Process Cost Of Capital Change 55
  • 56. Scenario Analytics Drilldown - Cost Change 54 Supply Chain Report & Analytics Module Cost Of Capital Vendor Credit Cost Of Capital Change Summary 56
  • 57. Scenario Analytics Drilldown - Cost Change 55 Supply Chain Report & Analytics Module Cost Of Capital Vendor Credit Cost Of Capital Change by Part 57
  • 58. Scenario Analytics Drilldown - Inventory 56 Supply Chain Report & Analytics Module Inventory The objective of the following four pages is to drill down from a summary to a part or product inventory level in order to understand where and how inventory cost accumulates across the supply chain. Also, to expose where effort should be focused in driving process improvement that will result in inventory reduction. Actionable Outcome Understanding what drives inventory across the supply chain, we are enabled to drive inventory reduction. This is achieved by focusing effort on driver attribute improvement, such as cycle time, total flow time, quality, forecasting etc. 58
  • 59. Scenario Analytics Drilldown - Inventory 57 Supply Chain Report & Analytics Module Raw Material Inventory Summary 59
  • 60. Scenario Analytics Drilldown - Inventory 58 Supply Chain Report & Analytics Module Raw Material Inventory 60
  • 61. Scenario Analytics Drilldown - Inventory 59 Supply Chain Report & Analytics Module W.I.P & Finished Goods Inventory Summary 61
  • 62. Scenario Analytics Drilldown - Inventory 60 Supply Chain Report & Analytics Module W.I.P & Finished Goods Inventory Flow & Cost Accumulation 62
  • 63. Scenario Analytics Drilldown – Inventory Change 61 Supply Chain Report & Analytics Module Inventory Change The purpose of the following six pages is to drill down to understand how change applied to driver attributes such as lot size, quality affect and process improvement etc. affect the flow and accumulation of inventory across the supply chain. Earlier in this paper we demonstrated how a change in lot size drives change across the supply chain and how analytics enable us to understand the dynamic complexity of what occurs as a consequence of change. What we learned from this helps to explain how change at driver attribute level affects inventory flow and cost accumulation across the supply chain. Actionable Outcome By understanding how change applied to driver attributes affect inventory flow and accumulation across the supply chain we are enabled to influence and target change that will result in greater agility, flexibility, reduce risk, increase competiveness and support sustainable competitive advantage. 63
  • 64. Scenario Analytics Drilldown – Inventory Change 62 Supply Chain Report & Analytics Module Inventory Change Summary 64
  • 65. Scenario Analytics Drilldown – Inventory Change 63 Supply Chain Report & Analytics Module Raw Material Inventory Change 65
  • 66. Scenario Analytics Drilldown – Inventory Change 64 Supply Chain Report & Analytics Module Raw Material Inventory Flow & Cost Accumulation Change 66
  • 67. Scenario Analytics Drilldown – Inventory Change 65 Supply Chain Report & Analytics Module W.I.P & Finished Goods Inventory Change 67
  • 68. Scenario Analytics Drilldown – Inventory Change 66 Supply Chain Report & Analytics Module W.I.P & Fin Goods Inventory Flow & Cost Accumulation Change 68
  • 69. 67 Contact Us Cyril Bourke ceo Setanta Business Systems Ltd Address: Redmondstown House, Redmondstown, Clonmel Co. Tipperary Ireland Phone: 353-52-6125476 Email: cyrilbourke@setantasystems.com 69