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US, the World,
       and Water
Water is the best
                     of all things.
                                   Pindar, 500 BC

                      When the well's
                      dry, we know the
                      worth of water.
                             Benjamin Franklin, Poor
                             Richard's Almanac, 1746


Whiskey is for drinking; water is for
fighting over
                   Mark Twain ca 1881
Jack and Jill went up the hill to
                       fetch a pail of water.“ But Jack fell
                       down when tests came back
                       showing a high count of two
                       water-borne parasites known as
                       cryptosporidia and giardia lamblia
                       in his restaurant's water.

                       It's the water, stupid. Sorry about
                       that, but it is. If we don't pay
                       attention to the water, it's going to
                       bite us big time.“

                               21st Century Blogs

Tomorrow Is Not Going to Be Like Yesterday
The 21st Century




  "Toto, I've a feeling we're not in Kansas anymore”
The 21st Century
•   Population Explosion
•   Pressures for Development
•   Scarce Resources
•   Technological Surge
•   Change
•   Volatile, Uncertain, Complex, Ambiguous
    National and World Situations
The Climate Change Bears
   Sea Level Rise
   Increased Hurricane
    Intensity -SST
   Increased Flood
    Potential
   Increased Drought
   Increased
    Temperatures
   More Storms
   Uncertainty
CLIMATE CHANGE!
  A strong, credible body of scientific evidence
   shows that climate change is occurring, is
 caused largely by human activities, and poses
significant risks for a broad range of human and
                  natural systems,

                                               7
   It is virtually certain that increases in
    the frequency and magnitude of warm
    daily temperature extremes and
    decreases in cold extremes will occur
    in the 21st century at the global scale.

   It is very likely that the length,
    frequency, and/or intensity of warm
    spells or heat waves will increase over
    most land areas.

   It is likely that the frequency of heavy
    precipitation or the proportion of total
    rainfall from heavy falls will increase in
    the 21st century over many areas of
    the globe.
Ten Warmest 12-month consecutive periods of the CONUS
Record
These are the warmest 12-month periods on record for the contiguous United States. The record begins
January 1895   .
                                                                         Temperature Departure
                                    Consecutive 12-month
Rank                                                                     (from 20th Century
                                    Period
                                                                         Average)
Warmest                             May 2011 – April 2012*               +2.80°F
                                    November 1999 – October
2nd Warmest                                                  +2.70°F
                                    2000
                                    October 1999 – September
3rd Warmest                                                  +2.65°F
                                    2000
4th Warmest                         April 2011 – March 2012*             +2.61°F
                                    September 2005 – August
5th Warmest                                                 +2.56°F
                                    2006
6th Warmest                         August 2005 – July 2006              +2.54°F
                                    September 1999 – August
                                                            +2.54°F
                                    2000
8th Warmest                         July 1999 – June 2000                +2.51°F
9th Warmest                         June 1999 – May 2000                 +2.46°F
                                    August 1999 – July 2000              +2.46°F
Climate Change and the NFIP
Water Security:
Flash Points and Challenges Ahead


                     Dallas, Texas
                     2 April 2013


       Gerald E. Galloway, Jr., PE, PhD
    Water Policy Collaborative, University of Maryland
The World and the US Face Major
Water Challenges
Water Security
• The reliable availability of an acceptable
  quantity and quality of water for health,
  livelihoods and production, and

• An ability to deal with water-related
  disasters such as floods, hurricanes and
  drought
               Adapted from David Gray and Claudia Sadoff
US Water Challenges
Drought and Water
Demand
  • 2002 - 49 percent of the
    contiguous United States in
    moderate to extreme drought
  • 2005-2007 Drought Grows in
    West and Southeast
  • 2011 – Texas ‘On Fire”

  • Uncertainty - Climate
    Change
Source NRDC
US Water Challenges
Water Quality
 • 55% of the nation’s
   river and stream miles
   do not support
   healthy populations of
   aquatic life
 • Non-point source
   pollution not yet
   controlled (TMDLs?)
 • Number of new
   contaminants on rise
US Water Challenges
Water Quality
• Alien Invasive Species (AIS)
growing threat
 • Airborne
   pollution
   increasing




                                 • Fracking
US Water Challenges
  Floods
• 76 Years of Flood Control
• 44 Years of Flood Insurance
• Increasing Flood Damages
  • Average annual losses -
    $8 Billion Inadequate
    Protection
• Inadequate Maintenance
city of Dallas/ David Mimlitch




        City of Dallas/ David Mimlitch
Illustrative Result – Changes to Flood Areas




Climate Change and the NFIP      AECOM         20
Coastal Flood Area Change
    Gulf of Mexico (Illustrative, not final)




Climate Change and the NFIP                    21
US Water Challenges
  Ports , Harbors and Waterways in Transition
• Limiting Port Depths
    • US Ports ~45 foot depths
    • International Ports > 60 foot
      depths –Panamax II Capable
• Inland Waterway System
    • Limited Size Locks
    • Traffic Congestion
    • Age
    • Economic Viability
US Water Challenges
Protecting the Environment
• Wetland and Species Losses
  • ~ 60,000 acres annual wetland
  loss
  • >1370 threatened or endangered
    plants and animals (1100 plans)
• Need for minimum instream flows
  and flood pulses
100 Years of Civil
Engineering at Maryland
US Water Challenges
Water - Energy Nexus
  • Water for Energy and Fuel
    Production
  • Energy for Water Production
  • Exploitation of Renewable
    Sources
  • Maximizing Sustainable Use
    of Hydro Capabilities
US Water Challenges
Dealing with Conflicts
1. The Nation Lacks a National Water
   Vision and a Water Policy
2. Water Efforts Are Uncoordinated
3. Water Must Be Dealt with in a Holistic
   Manner
US Water Challenges
    Dealing with Global Water Challenges
• Water and Sanitation (MDG)
• Water Supply
• Disasters
•    Transboundary Water
     Relationships
• Major Basin Development
Water Factoids

• One Billion People Lack Access to Safe
  water
• Two Billion People Live in Countries
  under Water Stress
• Five Million People Die Each Year from
  Water-related Illness

                            Source: DOS;FP
Cubic Meters of Water Per Capita by Basin
                 Source: Transboundary Freshwater Dispute Database
Basic Needs
              Can
              Be
              Met
SHARING WATER RESOURCES
• There are 263
  transboundary basins
• 145 nations have territory
  within a transboundary
  basin, and 21 lie entirely
  within one.
• 12 countries have more
  than 95% of their territory
  within one or more
  transboundary basins.
• On third of the
  transboundary basins are
  shared by more than two
  countries.
Good Neighbors?

• 97% of Egypt’s Nile Water
  dependent on 8 other nations
• 66% of Iraq’s Water dependent
  on Turkey
• 19 Countries rely on Imported
  Water for > 50% of renewable
  resources

     Source: SEI, Polestar Series, Report 4
Water Basins at Risk
                       Source: TFDD
Virtual Water
Basics!
Water Supply
Floods
Power
Pollution
Infrastructure
Navigation
Water Supply
Floods
Power
Pollution
Infrastructure
Impediments to Progress
• Lack of Policy
  – US Internal

  – US Foreign Policy
    • Little Interest in Water
    • Denial of Change Impacts
    • Focus on Small Projects
    • Nervousness about Major Projects
    • Limited Funding
The Challenge
• Involve All Elements of Society and All
  Nations in a Complex Political, Social
  and Technical Process
• Export Our Lessons Learned, Not Our
  Mistakes


 Are We Ready?
Water Security: Flash Points and Challenges Ahead

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Water Security: Flash Points and Challenges Ahead

  • 1. US, the World, and Water
  • 2. Water is the best of all things. Pindar, 500 BC When the well's dry, we know the worth of water. Benjamin Franklin, Poor Richard's Almanac, 1746 Whiskey is for drinking; water is for fighting over Mark Twain ca 1881
  • 3. Jack and Jill went up the hill to fetch a pail of water.“ But Jack fell down when tests came back showing a high count of two water-borne parasites known as cryptosporidia and giardia lamblia in his restaurant's water. It's the water, stupid. Sorry about that, but it is. If we don't pay attention to the water, it's going to bite us big time.“ 21st Century Blogs Tomorrow Is Not Going to Be Like Yesterday
  • 4. The 21st Century "Toto, I've a feeling we're not in Kansas anymore”
  • 5. The 21st Century • Population Explosion • Pressures for Development • Scarce Resources • Technological Surge • Change • Volatile, Uncertain, Complex, Ambiguous National and World Situations
  • 6. The Climate Change Bears  Sea Level Rise  Increased Hurricane Intensity -SST  Increased Flood Potential  Increased Drought  Increased Temperatures  More Storms  Uncertainty
  • 7. CLIMATE CHANGE! A strong, credible body of scientific evidence shows that climate change is occurring, is caused largely by human activities, and poses significant risks for a broad range of human and natural systems, 7
  • 8. It is virtually certain that increases in the frequency and magnitude of warm daily temperature extremes and decreases in cold extremes will occur in the 21st century at the global scale.  It is very likely that the length, frequency, and/or intensity of warm spells or heat waves will increase over most land areas.  It is likely that the frequency of heavy precipitation or the proportion of total rainfall from heavy falls will increase in the 21st century over many areas of the globe.
  • 9. Ten Warmest 12-month consecutive periods of the CONUS Record These are the warmest 12-month periods on record for the contiguous United States. The record begins January 1895 . Temperature Departure Consecutive 12-month Rank (from 20th Century Period Average) Warmest May 2011 – April 2012* +2.80°F November 1999 – October 2nd Warmest +2.70°F 2000 October 1999 – September 3rd Warmest +2.65°F 2000 4th Warmest April 2011 – March 2012* +2.61°F September 2005 – August 5th Warmest +2.56°F 2006 6th Warmest August 2005 – July 2006 +2.54°F September 1999 – August +2.54°F 2000 8th Warmest July 1999 – June 2000 +2.51°F 9th Warmest June 1999 – May 2000 +2.46°F August 1999 – July 2000 +2.46°F
  • 10. Climate Change and the NFIP
  • 11. Water Security: Flash Points and Challenges Ahead Dallas, Texas 2 April 2013 Gerald E. Galloway, Jr., PE, PhD Water Policy Collaborative, University of Maryland
  • 12. The World and the US Face Major Water Challenges
  • 13. Water Security • The reliable availability of an acceptable quantity and quality of water for health, livelihoods and production, and • An ability to deal with water-related disasters such as floods, hurricanes and drought Adapted from David Gray and Claudia Sadoff
  • 14. US Water Challenges Drought and Water Demand • 2002 - 49 percent of the contiguous United States in moderate to extreme drought • 2005-2007 Drought Grows in West and Southeast • 2011 – Texas ‘On Fire” • Uncertainty - Climate Change
  • 16. US Water Challenges Water Quality • 55% of the nation’s river and stream miles do not support healthy populations of aquatic life • Non-point source pollution not yet controlled (TMDLs?) • Number of new contaminants on rise
  • 17. US Water Challenges Water Quality • Alien Invasive Species (AIS) growing threat • Airborne pollution increasing • Fracking
  • 18. US Water Challenges Floods • 76 Years of Flood Control • 44 Years of Flood Insurance • Increasing Flood Damages • Average annual losses - $8 Billion Inadequate Protection • Inadequate Maintenance
  • 19. city of Dallas/ David Mimlitch City of Dallas/ David Mimlitch
  • 20. Illustrative Result – Changes to Flood Areas Climate Change and the NFIP AECOM 20
  • 21. Coastal Flood Area Change Gulf of Mexico (Illustrative, not final) Climate Change and the NFIP 21
  • 22. US Water Challenges Ports , Harbors and Waterways in Transition • Limiting Port Depths • US Ports ~45 foot depths • International Ports > 60 foot depths –Panamax II Capable • Inland Waterway System • Limited Size Locks • Traffic Congestion • Age • Economic Viability
  • 23. US Water Challenges Protecting the Environment • Wetland and Species Losses • ~ 60,000 acres annual wetland loss • >1370 threatened or endangered plants and animals (1100 plans) • Need for minimum instream flows and flood pulses
  • 24. 100 Years of Civil Engineering at Maryland
  • 25.
  • 26. US Water Challenges Water - Energy Nexus • Water for Energy and Fuel Production • Energy for Water Production • Exploitation of Renewable Sources • Maximizing Sustainable Use of Hydro Capabilities
  • 27. US Water Challenges Dealing with Conflicts
  • 28. 1. The Nation Lacks a National Water Vision and a Water Policy 2. Water Efforts Are Uncoordinated 3. Water Must Be Dealt with in a Holistic Manner
  • 29. US Water Challenges Dealing with Global Water Challenges • Water and Sanitation (MDG) • Water Supply • Disasters • Transboundary Water Relationships • Major Basin Development
  • 30. Water Factoids • One Billion People Lack Access to Safe water • Two Billion People Live in Countries under Water Stress • Five Million People Die Each Year from Water-related Illness Source: DOS;FP
  • 31. Cubic Meters of Water Per Capita by Basin Source: Transboundary Freshwater Dispute Database
  • 32. Basic Needs Can Be Met
  • 33. SHARING WATER RESOURCES • There are 263 transboundary basins • 145 nations have territory within a transboundary basin, and 21 lie entirely within one. • 12 countries have more than 95% of their territory within one or more transboundary basins. • On third of the transboundary basins are shared by more than two countries.
  • 34. Good Neighbors? • 97% of Egypt’s Nile Water dependent on 8 other nations • 66% of Iraq’s Water dependent on Turkey • 19 Countries rely on Imported Water for > 50% of renewable resources Source: SEI, Polestar Series, Report 4
  • 35. Water Basins at Risk Source: TFDD
  • 39.
  • 40.
  • 42.
  • 43.
  • 44. Impediments to Progress • Lack of Policy – US Internal – US Foreign Policy • Little Interest in Water • Denial of Change Impacts • Focus on Small Projects • Nervousness about Major Projects • Limited Funding
  • 45. The Challenge • Involve All Elements of Society and All Nations in a Complex Political, Social and Technical Process • Export Our Lessons Learned, Not Our Mistakes Are We Ready?

Notas del editor

  1. The Mississippi is known throughout the world