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Web 2.0 Weekly
                          “DST cashes up and then spends more”
                                                                                                                                                      April 20, 2010

                                                                                                                           David Shore, CFA, MBA 416.860.6784
                                                                                                                                 dshore@mackieresearch.com
                                                                                                                               Damian Wojcichowsky, CFA 416.860.7652

  This report has been created by Analysts that are employed by Mackie Research Capital Corporation, a Canadian Investment Dealer. For further disclosures, please see last page of this report.
                                                                                 www.mackieresearch.com


Copyright © 2000-2010, Mackie Research Capital Corporation, All rights reserved                                                                             www.mackieresearch.com
Key Developments
    Tencent (SEHK:700) invests $300mm in Digital Sky Technologies (investor in Facebook, Zynga etc.)


    DST invests $135mm in Groupon at $1.2b valuation


    Frogster Interactive Pictures AG (XTRA:FRG) reported revenue for 2009 rose 6x to Euro16.7mm with
    net profit of Euro2.3mm


    Webzen Inc. (KOSE: A069080) signed an agreement to acquire NHN Games Co., Ltd. for
    approximately KRW 240b


    The9 Limited (NasdaqGS:NCTY) reported consolidated earnings results for the fourth quarter and full
    year ended December 31, 2009. For the quarter, the company reported loss from operations of RMB
    220.2mm on revenue of RMB22.5mm


    NetDragon WebSoft, Inc. (SEHK:777) announced unaudited consolidated earnings results for the fourth
    quarter ended December 31, 2009. For the quarter, the company reported operating profit of RMB
    1,584,000 on revenues of RMB 134,190,000.

2                                                                                       www.mackieresearch.com
Public Company Data




3                         www.mackieresearch.com
Aggregate Public Data
     Web 2.0 Public Companies   Total      Median    Max           Min
    # Companies                    98          -         -           -
    Market Cap (US$ mm)         81,864.6     76.0   37,060.2        1.7
    Revenue (US$ mm)            90,908.6     22.7   67,563.7        0.0
    1 Year revenue growth                   4.3%    1178.9%      -91.4%
    EBITDA as % of revenue         -        5.9%     62.7%       -91.9%
    Net cash (US$ mm)           9,008.8      1.5     1,754.9      -732.7
    TEV/Revenue                    -         1.9x     46.6x        0.1x
    TEV/EBITDA                     -         8.7x     43.5x        0.1x
    P/E                            -        14.1x     92.7x        0.0x
    Relative to 52 week high               -32.1%     -1.9%      -98.1%




     Source: CapitalIQ




4                                                          www.mackieresearch.com
5
                                                                      0
                                                                                      5
                                                                                                        10
                                                                                                                       15
                                                                                                                                   20
                                                                                                                                             25
                                                                                                                                                        30
                                                          Gaming




                                                                                                                                                   26
                                                Social Networking




                                                                                                                             16
                                                            Media




                                                                                                             10



                                                                                               6
                                                        Diversified




                                                                                               6
                                                        Marketing




                                                                                           5
                                                           Mobile




                         Source: CapitalIQ
                                                                                      4
                                                       Advertising




                                                                                  3
                                                     Infrastructure




                                                                                  3
                                                      SMS/Voice




                                                                                  3
                                                       Enterprise




                                                                              2
                                                    Internet Retail




                                                                              2
                                                     Virtual World
                                                                                                                                                             By Sector




                                                                              2
                                                            Dating




                                                                              2
                                                            Music




                                                                          1
                                             Vertical Communities




                                                                          1
                                                     Collaboration




                                                                          1
                                                      Podcasting




                                                                          1
                                                           Search




                                                                          1
                                                              Video




                                                                          1
                                                         Learning




                                                                          1
                                                         Payment


                                                                          1
                                                Financial Services
                                                                                                                                                                          Public Company Distribution




                                                                0
                                                                          5
                                                                                      10
                                                                                                   15
                                                                                                                  20
                                                                                                                        25
                                                                                                                                  30
                                                                                                                                        35
                                                                                                                                                  40
                                                                                                                                                        45




                                              United States


                                                    Canada


                                                      China


                                                South Korea


                                                      Japan


                                                     Taiwan


                                                   Germany


                                                   Australia


                                             United Kingdom


                                                     Poland


                                                   Malaysia


                                                     Russia
                                                                                                                                                             By Country




                                                     Finland


                                                    Sweden


                                                 Hong Kong


                                                       India


                                                        Italy


                                                Switzerland


                                                      Israel
www.mackieresearch.com
Valuation Dashboard – 1 Week
                             Market Cap                        EV/Revenue
                                                               Flat
                      Flat
                      10%                                      4%


                                          Rising
                                           38%
                                                    Falling
                                                     43%                           Rising
                                                                                    53%

            Falling
             52%


                         EV/EBITDA                                P/E

                             Flat                                 Flat
                             5%                                   0%




                                                     Falling
       Falling                                        43%
        41%                                Rising
                                                                                    Rising
                                            54%
                                                                                     57%




6                                                                           www.mackieresearch.com
7
                         Source: CapitalIQ
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      Multiple (x)




                                                                                                                                                                                                                   0.0x
                                                                                                                                                                                                                          0.5x
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 1.0x
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        1.5x
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               2.0x
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          2.5x
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     3.0x
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            3.5x
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   4.0x
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              4.5x
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         5.0x




                                                                 # companies
                                                                                                                                                                                                        3/2/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                        3/9/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                       3/16/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                       3/23/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                       3/30/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                        4/6/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                       4/13/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                       4/20/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                       4/27/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                        5/4/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                       5/11/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                       5/18/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                       5/25/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                        6/1/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                        6/8/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                       6/15/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                Median EV/Revenue




                                                                                                                                                                                                       6/22/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                       6/29/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                        7/6/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                       7/13/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                       7/20/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                       7/27/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                        8/3/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                       8/10/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                       8/17/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                       8/24/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                       8/31/2009




                                             Median
                                                                                                                                                                                                        9/7/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                       9/14/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                       9/21/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                       9/28/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                       10/5/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                      10/12/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                      10/19/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                      10/26/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                       11/2/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                       11/9/2009




                                             Long-term average
                                                                                                                                                                                                      11/16/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                      11/23/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                      11/30/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                       12/7/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                      12/14/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                      12/21/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                      12/28/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                        1/4/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                       1/11/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                       1/18/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                       1/25/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                        2/1/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           recovering but




                                                                                                                                                                                                        2/8/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          below LT Average
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          Revenue multiples




                                                                                                                                                                                                       2/15/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                       2/22/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                        3/1/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                        3/8/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                       3/15/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                       3/22/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                       3/29/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                        4/5/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                       4/12/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                       4/19/2010
                                                                           373837393939404039414142434444444445474848484750535356585761636364616162666868697168646870716873717475777575747678788280




www.mackieresearch.com
8
                         Source: CapitalIQ
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               Multiple (x)




                                                                 # companies
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         0.0x
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                5.0x
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       10.0x
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              15.0x
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      20.0x
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               25.0x
                                                                                                                                                                                                                              3/2/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                              3/9/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                             3/16/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                             3/23/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                             3/30/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                              4/6/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                             4/13/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                             4/20/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                             4/27/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                              5/4/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                             5/11/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                             5/18/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                             5/25/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                              6/1/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       Median EV/EBITDA




                                                                                                                                                                                                                              6/8/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                             6/15/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                             6/22/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                             6/29/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                              7/6/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                             7/13/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                             7/20/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                             7/27/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                              8/3/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                             8/10/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                             8/17/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                             8/24/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                             8/31/2009




                                             Median
                                                                                                                                                                                                                              9/7/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                             9/14/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                             9/21/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                             9/28/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                             10/5/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                            10/12/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                            10/19/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                            10/26/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                             11/2/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                             11/9/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                            11/16/2009



                                             Long-term average
                                                                                                                                                                                                                            11/23/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                            11/30/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                             12/7/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                            12/14/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                            12/21/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                            12/28/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                              1/4/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                             1/11/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                             1/18/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                             1/25/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               below LT average
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               remain depressed




                                                                                                                                                                                                                              2/1/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                              2/8/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              EV/EBITDA multiples




                                                                                                                                                                                                                             2/15/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                             2/22/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                              3/1/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                              3/8/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                             3/15/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                             3/22/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                             3/29/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                              4/5/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                             4/12/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                             4/19/2010
                                                                 2120 2022 22 2323 2222 2324 2322 2424 26 2626 2626 2526 2628 30 2830 3334 3640 3738 3638 39 3837 3740 4140 4041 41 4143 4243 4342 4848 4748 49 4947 4745




www.mackieresearch.com
9
                         Source: CapitalIQ
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               Multiple (x)




                                                                                                                                                                  # companies
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         0.0x
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                5.0x
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       10.0x
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   15.0x
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              20.0x
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      25.0x
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             30.0x
                                                                                                                                                                                                                              3/2/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                              3/9/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                             3/16/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     Median P/E

                                                                                                                                                                                                                             3/23/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                             3/30/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                              4/6/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                             4/13/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                             4/20/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                             4/27/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                              5/4/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                             5/11/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                             5/18/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                             5/25/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                              6/1/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                              6/8/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                             6/15/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                             6/22/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                             6/29/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                              7/6/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                             7/13/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                             7/20/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                             7/27/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                              8/3/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                             8/10/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                             8/17/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                             8/24/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                             8/31/2009




                                             Median
                                                                                                                                                                                                                              9/7/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                             9/14/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                             9/21/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                             9/28/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                             10/5/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                            10/12/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                            10/19/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                            10/26/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                             11/2/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                             11/9/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                            11/16/2009



                                             Long-term average
                                                                                                                                                                                                                            11/23/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                            11/30/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                             12/7/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                            12/14/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                            12/21/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                            12/28/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                              1/4/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                             1/11/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                             1/18/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                             1/25/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                              2/1/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              below LT average




                                                                                                                                                                                                                              2/8/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              P/E multiples also




                                                                                                                                                                                                                             2/15/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                             2/22/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                              3/1/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                              3/8/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                             3/15/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                             3/22/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                             3/29/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                              4/5/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                             4/12/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                             4/19/2010
                                                                 1719 2019 18 1818 1919 1920 1918 1919 19 2021 2425 2525 2526 26 2629 3030 2932 3132 3235 36 3636 3637 3839 3737 37 3635 3632 3130 3332 3232 32 3232 3130




www.mackieresearch.com
10
                                                                      -
                                                                                 5.0
                                                                                              10.0
                                                                                                              15.0
                                                                                                                               20.0
                                                                                                                                             25.0




                            # Companies 2
                                                    Infrastructure




                            3
                                                      SMS/Voice




                            7
                                               Social Networking




                            4
                                                       Diversified




                            2
                                                           Music




                            1
                                                         Learning




                            5
                                                       Marketing




                            4
                                                           Mobile




                            1
                                            Vertical Communities

                                                          Gaming




                            20
                            1
                                                      Podcasting




                            1
                                                    Collaboration
                                                                                                                                                    EV/Revenue




                            1
                                                          Search




                            1
                                                            Video




                            4
                                                      Advertising




                            2
                                                   Internet Retail




                            3
                                                       Enterprise




                            2
                                                           Dating




                            9
                                                           Media




                            1
                                               Financial Services




                            1
                                                    Virtual World


                                                                  -
                                                                          5.0
                                                                                10.0
                                                                                       15.0
                                                                                                20.0
                                                                                                       25.0
                                                                                                                     30.0
                                                                                                                            35.0
                                                                                                                                      40.0
                                                                                                                                             45.0
                                                                                                                                                                 Average Valuation – by Sector




                         # Companies
                            1
                                                       Search
                            2




                                                   Enterprise
                            4




                                                    Diversified
                            1




                                                       Mobile
                            6




                                                        Media
                            1




                                                 Collaboration
                            2




                                                Internet Retail
                            5




                                            Social Networking
                                                                                                                                                    EV/EBITDA




                            1




                                            Financial Services



                                                      Gaming
                            12
                            3




                                                    Marketing
                            1




                                                        Dating
                            1




                                                   Advertising
www.mackieresearch.com
11
                                                                                    0.0
                                                                                                                                                                                                                            5.0
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        10.0
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          15.0
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        20.0
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       25.0
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              30.0
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            35.0
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   40.0
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               45.0
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 50.0




                                                                                          0.1
                                                           Perfect World Co., Ltd.
                                                                     Ngi Group Inc.
                                                                         Asknet AG
                                                                     Cyberplex Inc.




                         Source: CapitalIQ
                                                                 RealNetworks Inc.
                                                   Jumbuck Entertainment Limited
                                                           Betawave Corporation
                                                                     Tree.Com, Inc.
                                                 Uniserve Communications Corp.
                                                               Actoz Soft Co., Ltd.
                                                                     Glu Mobile, Inc.
                                                                   GameOn Co Ltd.
                                                           Points International Ltd.
                                                                     GigaMedia Ltd.
                                                         Openwave Systems Inc.
                                                  Northgate Technologies Limited
                                                                        DADA SpA
                                                                 Internet Group SA
                                                              IAC/InterActiveCorp.
                                                                TheStreet.com, Inc.
                                                                           AOL, Inc.




                                                                                             0.20.20.20.40.40.40.4 0.40.40.50.50.50.50.6 0.70.70.80.80.80.90.9
                                                                          CDC Corp.
                                                                 United Online, Inc.
                                                         CornerWorld Corporation
                                                                AQ Interactive, Inc.
                                                  The New York Times Company
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        EV/Revenue Ranking




                                                  OAO RBC Information Systems
                                                          Beyond Commerce, Inc.
                                             Gamania Digital Entertainment Co., Ltd.
                                                                   infoGROUP, Inc.
                                                                    HanbitSoft, Inc.
                                                                   YD Online Corp.
                                                                    ValueClick, Inc.
                                                              Spark Networks, Inc.
                                                         NetDragon WebSoft, Inc.
                                                                                                                                                              0.9 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.3 1.3 1.5 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.7




                                                                     Ynk Korea Inc.
                                                                     Shutterfly, Inc.
                                                                   Score Media Inc.
                                                             SNAP Interactive, Inc.
                                                               PNI Digital Media Inc.
                                                                            Velti Plc
                                                     Modern Times Group Mtg AB
                                                             NeuLion Incorporated
                                                                           XING AG
                                                    Oriented Media Group Berhad
                                                                  UOMO Media, Inc
                                                                                                                                                                                                                      1.8 1.9 1.9 2.1 2.12.22.22.3 2.32.32.4




                                                GungHo Online Entertainment, Inc.
                                                     SK Communications Co., Ltd.
                                                                     Sohu.com Inc.
                                                                  Myriad Group AG
                                                                       Webzen Inc.
                                                                   Open Text Corp.
                                                                     iseemedia Inc.
                                                     NEOWIZ Games Corporation
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            revenue multiple




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            2.6 2.73.0 3.23.23.23.33.3




                                                  Wizzard Software Corporation
                                                                        Taleo Corp.
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          Spectrum has highest




                                                        DigitalPost Interactive, Inc.
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         4.1 4.5 4.7




                                                             WebMediaBrands Inc
                                                     Kingsoft Corporation Limited
                                                            Changyou.com Limited
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         5.4 5.45.5




                                                          Lingo Media Corporation
                                                      Accelerize New Media, Inc.
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             6.0 6.4




                                                                            Mixi, Inc.
                                                 Frogster Interactive Pictures AG
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       7.8 8.4




                                                               Unilava Corporation
                                                         HUGHES Telematics, Inc.
                                                          Fluid Music Canada, Inc.
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            9.39.4 9.9




                                                                          Gree, Inc.
                                                     Chinese Gamer International
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         12.4
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 15.4




                                                                    GeoSentric Oyj
                                                                            Paid Inc.
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               20.0




                                                                MOKO.mobi Limited
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  20.6




                                                             Tencent Holdings Ltd.
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     22.2




                                                                   Bright Things plc
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     31.4




                                                                SpectrumDNA, Inc.
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          46.6




www.mackieresearch.com
12
                                                                                                0.0
                                                                                                                5.0
                                                                                                                                                       10.0
                                                                                                                                                                                             15.0
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                20.0
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           25.0
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  30.0
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             35.0
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    40.0
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  45.0
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  50.0
                                                                     Perfect World Co., Ltd.

                                                             Jumbuck Entertainment Limited




                                                                                                      0.1 0.9




                         Source: CapitalIQ
                                                                           GameOn Co Ltd.

                                                                        Actoz Soft Co., Ltd.

                                                                             Cyberplex Inc.
                                                                                  AOL, Inc.




                                                                                                           2.1 2.2 2.3 2.6
                                                                          United Online, Inc.




                                                                                                                             4.5
                                                                            ValueClick, Inc.

                                                                             Sohu.com Inc.




                                                                                                                              5.7 6.2
                                                                           YD Online Corp.

                                                      Gamania Digital Entertainment Co., Ltd.

                                                                                DADA SpA
                                                                           infoGROUP, Inc.
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         EV/EBITDA Ranking




                                                                       Spark Networks, Inc.
                                                             The New York Times Company

                                                                                 CDC Corp.                                            6.9 7.1 7.2 7.5 7.5 7.8
                                                            Uniserve Communications Corp.

                                                                                   XING AG

                                                                       PNI Digital Media Inc.
                                                                     Changyou.com Limited

                                                                   NetDragon WebSoft, Inc.
                                                                                                                                                              7.9 8.2 8.4 8.4 8.6 8.7




                                                                             Tree.Com, Inc.

                                                                                    Velti Plc
                                                                                                                                                                            9.7 10.3




                                                          GungHo Online Entertainment, Inc.
                                                                                                                                                                                     10.7




                                                                           Open Text Corp.

                                                               NEOWIZ Games Corporation
                                                                                                                                                                                        11.8 12.1




                                                                Kingsoft Corporation Limited

                                                                           Score Media Inc.
                                                                                                                                                                                            12.8 13.4




                                                                             Shutterfly, Inc.
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                Tencent has
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              highest valuation




                                                                       IAC/InterActiveCorp.

                                                                   Openwave Systems Inc.
                                                                                                                                                                                                      13.9 14.0 14.0




                                                                             Ynk Korea Inc.

                                                               Modern Times Group Mtg AB
                                                                                  Gree, Inc.
                                                                                                                                                                                                                       16.5 16.6 16.8




                                                                                   Mixi, Inc.
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        21.3




                                                                Chinese Gamer International
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           22.9




                                                                        TheStreet.com, Inc.
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    28.9




                                                                                Taleo Corp.
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           31.6




                                                               SK Communications Co., Ltd.
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           39.6




                                                                      Tencent Holdings Ltd.
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    43.5




www.mackieresearch.com
                         Excluding EV/EBITDA > 100x
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Web 2.0 Weekly - Apr. 20, 2010

  • 1. Web 2.0 Weekly “DST cashes up and then spends more” April 20, 2010 David Shore, CFA, MBA 416.860.6784 dshore@mackieresearch.com Damian Wojcichowsky, CFA 416.860.7652 This report has been created by Analysts that are employed by Mackie Research Capital Corporation, a Canadian Investment Dealer. For further disclosures, please see last page of this report. www.mackieresearch.com Copyright © 2000-2010, Mackie Research Capital Corporation, All rights reserved www.mackieresearch.com
  • 2. Key Developments Tencent (SEHK:700) invests $300mm in Digital Sky Technologies (investor in Facebook, Zynga etc.) DST invests $135mm in Groupon at $1.2b valuation Frogster Interactive Pictures AG (XTRA:FRG) reported revenue for 2009 rose 6x to Euro16.7mm with net profit of Euro2.3mm Webzen Inc. (KOSE: A069080) signed an agreement to acquire NHN Games Co., Ltd. for approximately KRW 240b The9 Limited (NasdaqGS:NCTY) reported consolidated earnings results for the fourth quarter and full year ended December 31, 2009. For the quarter, the company reported loss from operations of RMB 220.2mm on revenue of RMB22.5mm NetDragon WebSoft, Inc. (SEHK:777) announced unaudited consolidated earnings results for the fourth quarter ended December 31, 2009. For the quarter, the company reported operating profit of RMB 1,584,000 on revenues of RMB 134,190,000. 2 www.mackieresearch.com
  • 3. Public Company Data 3 www.mackieresearch.com
  • 4. Aggregate Public Data Web 2.0 Public Companies Total Median Max Min # Companies 98 - - - Market Cap (US$ mm) 81,864.6 76.0 37,060.2 1.7 Revenue (US$ mm) 90,908.6 22.7 67,563.7 0.0 1 Year revenue growth 4.3% 1178.9% -91.4% EBITDA as % of revenue - 5.9% 62.7% -91.9% Net cash (US$ mm) 9,008.8 1.5 1,754.9 -732.7 TEV/Revenue - 1.9x 46.6x 0.1x TEV/EBITDA - 8.7x 43.5x 0.1x P/E - 14.1x 92.7x 0.0x Relative to 52 week high -32.1% -1.9% -98.1% Source: CapitalIQ 4 www.mackieresearch.com
  • 5. 5 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 Gaming 26 Social Networking 16 Media 10 6 Diversified 6 Marketing 5 Mobile Source: CapitalIQ 4 Advertising 3 Infrastructure 3 SMS/Voice 3 Enterprise 2 Internet Retail 2 Virtual World By Sector 2 Dating 2 Music 1 Vertical Communities 1 Collaboration 1 Podcasting 1 Search 1 Video 1 Learning 1 Payment 1 Financial Services Public Company Distribution 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 United States Canada China South Korea Japan Taiwan Germany Australia United Kingdom Poland Malaysia Russia By Country Finland Sweden Hong Kong India Italy Switzerland Israel www.mackieresearch.com
  • 6. Valuation Dashboard – 1 Week Market Cap EV/Revenue Flat Flat 10% 4% Rising 38% Falling 43% Rising 53% Falling 52% EV/EBITDA P/E Flat Flat 5% 0% Falling Falling 43% 41% Rising Rising 54% 57% 6 www.mackieresearch.com
  • 7. 7 Source: CapitalIQ Multiple (x) 0.0x 0.5x 1.0x 1.5x 2.0x 2.5x 3.0x 3.5x 4.0x 4.5x 5.0x # companies 3/2/2009 3/9/2009 3/16/2009 3/23/2009 3/30/2009 4/6/2009 4/13/2009 4/20/2009 4/27/2009 5/4/2009 5/11/2009 5/18/2009 5/25/2009 6/1/2009 6/8/2009 6/15/2009 Median EV/Revenue 6/22/2009 6/29/2009 7/6/2009 7/13/2009 7/20/2009 7/27/2009 8/3/2009 8/10/2009 8/17/2009 8/24/2009 8/31/2009 Median 9/7/2009 9/14/2009 9/21/2009 9/28/2009 10/5/2009 10/12/2009 10/19/2009 10/26/2009 11/2/2009 11/9/2009 Long-term average 11/16/2009 11/23/2009 11/30/2009 12/7/2009 12/14/2009 12/21/2009 12/28/2009 1/4/2010 1/11/2010 1/18/2010 1/25/2010 2/1/2010 recovering but 2/8/2010 below LT Average Revenue multiples 2/15/2010 2/22/2010 3/1/2010 3/8/2010 3/15/2010 3/22/2010 3/29/2010 4/5/2010 4/12/2010 4/19/2010 373837393939404039414142434444444445474848484750535356585761636364616162666868697168646870716873717475777575747678788280 www.mackieresearch.com
  • 8. 8 Source: CapitalIQ Multiple (x) # companies 0.0x 5.0x 10.0x 15.0x 20.0x 25.0x 3/2/2009 3/9/2009 3/16/2009 3/23/2009 3/30/2009 4/6/2009 4/13/2009 4/20/2009 4/27/2009 5/4/2009 5/11/2009 5/18/2009 5/25/2009 6/1/2009 Median EV/EBITDA 6/8/2009 6/15/2009 6/22/2009 6/29/2009 7/6/2009 7/13/2009 7/20/2009 7/27/2009 8/3/2009 8/10/2009 8/17/2009 8/24/2009 8/31/2009 Median 9/7/2009 9/14/2009 9/21/2009 9/28/2009 10/5/2009 10/12/2009 10/19/2009 10/26/2009 11/2/2009 11/9/2009 11/16/2009 Long-term average 11/23/2009 11/30/2009 12/7/2009 12/14/2009 12/21/2009 12/28/2009 1/4/2010 1/11/2010 1/18/2010 1/25/2010 below LT average remain depressed 2/1/2010 2/8/2010 EV/EBITDA multiples 2/15/2010 2/22/2010 3/1/2010 3/8/2010 3/15/2010 3/22/2010 3/29/2010 4/5/2010 4/12/2010 4/19/2010 2120 2022 22 2323 2222 2324 2322 2424 26 2626 2626 2526 2628 30 2830 3334 3640 3738 3638 39 3837 3740 4140 4041 41 4143 4243 4342 4848 4748 49 4947 4745 www.mackieresearch.com
  • 9. 9 Source: CapitalIQ Multiple (x) # companies 0.0x 5.0x 10.0x 15.0x 20.0x 25.0x 30.0x 3/2/2009 3/9/2009 3/16/2009 Median P/E 3/23/2009 3/30/2009 4/6/2009 4/13/2009 4/20/2009 4/27/2009 5/4/2009 5/11/2009 5/18/2009 5/25/2009 6/1/2009 6/8/2009 6/15/2009 6/22/2009 6/29/2009 7/6/2009 7/13/2009 7/20/2009 7/27/2009 8/3/2009 8/10/2009 8/17/2009 8/24/2009 8/31/2009 Median 9/7/2009 9/14/2009 9/21/2009 9/28/2009 10/5/2009 10/12/2009 10/19/2009 10/26/2009 11/2/2009 11/9/2009 11/16/2009 Long-term average 11/23/2009 11/30/2009 12/7/2009 12/14/2009 12/21/2009 12/28/2009 1/4/2010 1/11/2010 1/18/2010 1/25/2010 2/1/2010 below LT average 2/8/2010 P/E multiples also 2/15/2010 2/22/2010 3/1/2010 3/8/2010 3/15/2010 3/22/2010 3/29/2010 4/5/2010 4/12/2010 4/19/2010 1719 2019 18 1818 1919 1920 1918 1919 19 2021 2425 2525 2526 26 2629 3030 2932 3132 3235 36 3636 3637 3839 3737 37 3635 3632 3130 3332 3232 32 3232 3130 www.mackieresearch.com
  • 10. 10 - 5.0 10.0 15.0 20.0 25.0 # Companies 2 Infrastructure 3 SMS/Voice 7 Social Networking 4 Diversified 2 Music 1 Learning 5 Marketing 4 Mobile 1 Vertical Communities Gaming 20 1 Podcasting 1 Collaboration EV/Revenue 1 Search 1 Video 4 Advertising 2 Internet Retail 3 Enterprise 2 Dating 9 Media 1 Financial Services 1 Virtual World - 5.0 10.0 15.0 20.0 25.0 30.0 35.0 40.0 45.0 Average Valuation – by Sector # Companies 1 Search 2 Enterprise 4 Diversified 1 Mobile 6 Media 1 Collaboration 2 Internet Retail 5 Social Networking EV/EBITDA 1 Financial Services Gaming 12 3 Marketing 1 Dating 1 Advertising www.mackieresearch.com
  • 11. 11 0.0 5.0 10.0 15.0 20.0 25.0 30.0 35.0 40.0 45.0 50.0 0.1 Perfect World Co., Ltd. Ngi Group Inc. Asknet AG Cyberplex Inc. Source: CapitalIQ RealNetworks Inc. Jumbuck Entertainment Limited Betawave Corporation Tree.Com, Inc. Uniserve Communications Corp. Actoz Soft Co., Ltd. Glu Mobile, Inc. GameOn Co Ltd. Points International Ltd. GigaMedia Ltd. Openwave Systems Inc. Northgate Technologies Limited DADA SpA Internet Group SA IAC/InterActiveCorp. TheStreet.com, Inc. AOL, Inc. 0.20.20.20.40.40.40.4 0.40.40.50.50.50.50.6 0.70.70.80.80.80.90.9 CDC Corp. United Online, Inc. CornerWorld Corporation AQ Interactive, Inc. The New York Times Company EV/Revenue Ranking OAO RBC Information Systems Beyond Commerce, Inc. Gamania Digital Entertainment Co., Ltd. infoGROUP, Inc. HanbitSoft, Inc. YD Online Corp. ValueClick, Inc. Spark Networks, Inc. NetDragon WebSoft, Inc. 0.9 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.3 1.3 1.5 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.7 Ynk Korea Inc. Shutterfly, Inc. Score Media Inc. SNAP Interactive, Inc. PNI Digital Media Inc. Velti Plc Modern Times Group Mtg AB NeuLion Incorporated XING AG Oriented Media Group Berhad UOMO Media, Inc 1.8 1.9 1.9 2.1 2.12.22.22.3 2.32.32.4 GungHo Online Entertainment, Inc. SK Communications Co., Ltd. Sohu.com Inc. Myriad Group AG Webzen Inc. Open Text Corp. iseemedia Inc. NEOWIZ Games Corporation revenue multiple 2.6 2.73.0 3.23.23.23.33.3 Wizzard Software Corporation Taleo Corp. Spectrum has highest DigitalPost Interactive, Inc. 4.1 4.5 4.7 WebMediaBrands Inc Kingsoft Corporation Limited Changyou.com Limited 5.4 5.45.5 Lingo Media Corporation Accelerize New Media, Inc. 6.0 6.4 Mixi, Inc. Frogster Interactive Pictures AG 7.8 8.4 Unilava Corporation HUGHES Telematics, Inc. Fluid Music Canada, Inc. 9.39.4 9.9 Gree, Inc. Chinese Gamer International 12.4 15.4 GeoSentric Oyj Paid Inc. 20.0 MOKO.mobi Limited 20.6 Tencent Holdings Ltd. 22.2 Bright Things plc 31.4 SpectrumDNA, Inc. 46.6 www.mackieresearch.com
  • 12. 12 0.0 5.0 10.0 15.0 20.0 25.0 30.0 35.0 40.0 45.0 50.0 Perfect World Co., Ltd. Jumbuck Entertainment Limited 0.1 0.9 Source: CapitalIQ GameOn Co Ltd. Actoz Soft Co., Ltd. Cyberplex Inc. AOL, Inc. 2.1 2.2 2.3 2.6 United Online, Inc. 4.5 ValueClick, Inc. Sohu.com Inc. 5.7 6.2 YD Online Corp. Gamania Digital Entertainment Co., Ltd. DADA SpA infoGROUP, Inc. EV/EBITDA Ranking Spark Networks, Inc. The New York Times Company CDC Corp. 6.9 7.1 7.2 7.5 7.5 7.8 Uniserve Communications Corp. XING AG PNI Digital Media Inc. Changyou.com Limited NetDragon WebSoft, Inc. 7.9 8.2 8.4 8.4 8.6 8.7 Tree.Com, Inc. Velti Plc 9.7 10.3 GungHo Online Entertainment, Inc. 10.7 Open Text Corp. NEOWIZ Games Corporation 11.8 12.1 Kingsoft Corporation Limited Score Media Inc. 12.8 13.4 Shutterfly, Inc. Tencent has highest valuation IAC/InterActiveCorp. Openwave Systems Inc. 13.9 14.0 14.0 Ynk Korea Inc. Modern Times Group Mtg AB Gree, Inc. 16.5 16.6 16.8 Mixi, Inc. 21.3 Chinese Gamer International 22.9 TheStreet.com, Inc. 28.9 Taleo Corp. 31.6 SK Communications Co., Ltd. 39.6 Tencent Holdings Ltd. 43.5 www.mackieresearch.com Excluding EV/EBITDA > 100x