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Web 2.0 Weekly
  “Google Follows ITA Software With Zynga Financing”
                                                                                                                                          July 13, 2010

                                                                                                                 David Shore, CFA, MBA 416.860.6784
                                                                                                                       dshore@mackieresearch.com
                                                                                                                    Damian Wojcichowsky, CFA 416.860.7652

                            This report has been created by Analysts that are employed by Mackie Research Capital Corporation, a Canadian Investment Dealer.
                                                                For further disclosures, please see last page of this report.
                                                                                 www.mackieresearch.com


Copyright © 2000-2010, Mackie Research Capital Corporation, All rights reserved                                                                 www.mackieresearch.com
Key Developments (past week)
    Deals (M&A, Finance) – Google On A Roll
     Google invested a rumoured $100-$200 mm in social game developer, Zynga, bringing
     that company’s total funding to almost $500 mm (assuming the lower end of the range).
     The Gaming sector remains hot – along with Google’s investment in Zynga, The9 Ltd.
     (Chinese online game developer and operator) invested $5 mm in Delaware-based
     Aurora Feint (focused on gaming for the mobile space).
     A triad of financings in the Social Commerce space this week, including Beyond the
     Rack ($12 mm), ThredUP ($1.7 mm), and BuyWithMe ($16 mm in a Series B
     financing).
     Sysomos, Canadian social media monitoring firm, was acquired by MarketWire for
     between $25 mm and $35 mm.
    Financial Results/Guidance/Partnerships/Product
     LookSmart, Ltd (NasdaqGM:LOOK) provided preliminary Q2/F10 guidance for sales of
     $12.8-$13.0 mm (compared with $13.2 mm Y/Y and $13.3 mm Q/Q). However, the
     company is expected to report positive EPS of $0.02-$0.04 compared with losses of
     $0.08 and $0.03 Y/Y and Q/Q, respectively. LookSmart is an advertising firm with focus
     on pay-per-click and search campaigns.

2                                                                           www.mackieresearch.com
Chart of the Week: Zynga Dominates Gaming Financing
                 600.0
                                                                 Zynga has raised ~$500 mm
                                                                   – more than any other
                 500.0
                                                                  Gaming sector company



                 400.0
        US$ mm




                 300.0


                         481.0

                 200.0

                                  300.0


                 100.0

                                                   99.6      92.0
                                                                              76.0
                                                                                        40.6       36.5           29.0             27.0    24.0          24.0
                   0.0




                                                                                                                                           LiveGamer
                                                                                                                  Smith & Tinker
                          Zynga




                                   ZeniMax Media




                                                   Turbine




                                                                                                                                                          Raptr
                                                                                         Ngmoco



                                                                                                  Emergent Game




                                                                                                                                   Limbo
                                                                              Playdom
                                                             Big Fish Games




                                                                                                   Technologies




3                                                                                                                                                      www.mackieresearch.com
Public Company Data




4                         www.mackieresearch.com
Aggregate Public Data

     Web 2.0 Public Companies   Total      Median    Max           Min
    # Companies                   103          -        -            -
    Market Cap (US$ mm)         76,857.8     69.3   32,658.2        1.0
    Revenue (US$ mm)            23,196.6     56.0    3,057.7        0.0
    1 Year revenue growth                   2.5%    8961.6%     -100.0%
    EBITDA as % of revenue         -        11.3%    63.1%       -99.5%
    Net cash (US$ mm)           9,249.6      3.3     1,843.0      -670.8
    TEV/Revenue                    -         1.9x     43.5x        0.1x
    TEV/EBITDA                     -         8.8x     42.9x        0.5x
    P/E                            -        15.8x     94.5x        0.0x
    Relative to 52 week high               -44.0%     0.0%       -95.6%



     Source: CapitalIQ




5                                                          www.mackieresearch.com
6
                                                                      0
                                                                                          5
                                                                                                       10
                                                                                                                      15
                                                                                                                                     20
                                                                                                                                               25
                                                                                                                                                              30
                                                          Gaming




                                                                                                                                                         28
                                                Social Networking




                                                                                                                                18
                                                            Media




                                                                                                            10
                                                                                                       9
                                                        Diversified




                                                                                              5
                                                           Mobile




                                                                                              5
                                                        Marketing




                         Source: CapitalIQ
                                                                                      3
                                                     Infrastructure




                                                                                      3
                                                      SMS/Voice




                                                                                      3
                                                       Enterprise




                                                                                      3
                                                       Advertising




                                                                                  2
                                                    Internet Retail




                                                                                  2
                                                     Virtual World
                                                                                                                                                                   By Sector




                                                                                  2
                                                            Dating




                                                                                  2
                                                            Music




                                                                              1
                                             Vertical Communities




                                                                              1
                                                           Search




                                                                              1
                                                      Podcasting




                                                                              1
                                                         Learning




                                                                              1
                                                              Video




                                                                              1
                                                     Collaboration




                                                                              1
                                                         Payment


                                                                              1
                                                Financial Services
                                                                                                                                                                                Public Company Distribution




                                                                0
                                                                          5
                                                                                      10
                                                                                                  15
                                                                                                        20
                                                                                                                 25
                                                                                                                           30
                                                                                                                                     35
                                                                                                                                          40
                                                                                                                                                    45
                                                                                                                                                              50




                                              United States


                                                    Canada


                                                      China


                                                South Korea


                                                      Japan


                                                     Taiwan


                                                 Hong Kong


                                                   Germany


                                                     Poland


                                                   Australia


                                             United Kingdom
                                                                                                                                                                   By Country




                                                        Italy


                                                     Finland


                                                    Sweden


                                                       India


                                                     Russia


                                                   Malaysia


                                                Switzerland
www.mackieresearch.com
Valuation Dashboard – 1 Week
                     Market Cap                         EV/Revenue

                  Flat
                  10%                                                  Flat
                                                                       0%

                                             Falling
                                              63%
        Falling
         32%                        Rising                                    Rising
                                     58%                                       37%




                    EV/EBITDA                              P/E

                             Flat                          Flat
                             0%                            0%



                                                                               Rising
                                    Rising                                      40%
                                     33%
        Falling
         67%                                  Falling
                                               60%




7                                                                    www.mackieresearch.com
8
                         Source: CapitalIQ
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      Multiple (x)




                                                                                                                                                                                                                   0.0x
                                                                                                                                                                                                                          0.5x
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 1.0x
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        1.5x
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               2.0x
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          2.5x
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     3.0x
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            3.5x
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   4.0x
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            4.5x
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     5.0x




                                                                 # companies
                                                                                                                                                                                                       5/11/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                       5/18/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                       5/25/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                        6/1/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                        6/8/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                       6/15/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                       6/22/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                       6/29/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                        7/6/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                       7/13/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                       7/20/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                       7/27/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                        8/3/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                       8/10/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                       8/17/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                       8/24/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            Median EV/Revenue




                                                                                                                                                                                                       8/31/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                        9/7/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                       9/14/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                       9/21/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                       9/28/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                       10/5/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                      10/12/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                      10/19/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                      10/26/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                       11/2/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                       11/9/2009




                                             Median
                                                                                                                                                                                                      11/16/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                      11/23/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                      11/30/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                       12/7/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                      12/14/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                      12/21/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                      12/28/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                        1/4/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                       1/11/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                       1/18/2010




                                             Long-term average
                                                                                                                                                                                                       1/25/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                        2/1/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                        2/8/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                       2/15/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                       2/22/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                        3/1/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                        3/8/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                       3/15/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                       3/22/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       average




                                                                                                                                                                                                       3/29/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                        4/5/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     well below LT




                                                                                                                                                                                                       4/12/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                       4/19/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   down slightly, still
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   Revenue multiples




                                                                                                                                                                                                       4/26/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                        5/3/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                       5/10/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                       5/17/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                       5/24/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                       5/31/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                        6/7/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                       6/14/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                       6/21/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                       6/28/2010
                                                                           373839404040404042444545464646474951505150535656616161646666676464666970717173697068717370757578767879817879808083828282




www.mackieresearch.com
9
                         Source: CapitalIQ
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             Multiple (x )




                                                                 # companies
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    0. 0x
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            5. 0x
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    10. 0x
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  15. 0x
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             20. 0x
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      25. 0x
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    30. 0x
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        5/25/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         6/1/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         6/8/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        6/15/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        6/22/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        6/29/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         7/6/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        7/13/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        7/20/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        7/27/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         8/3/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        8/10/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        8/17/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        8/24/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             Median EV/EBITDA




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        8/31/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         9/7/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        9/14/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        9/21/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        9/28/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        10/5/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       10/12/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       10/19/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       10/26/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        11/2/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        11/9/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       11/16/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       11/23/2009




                                             Median
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       11/30/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        12/7/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       12/14/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       12/21/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       12/28/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         1/4/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        1/11/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        1/18/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        1/25/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         2/1/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         2/8/2010



                                             Long-term average
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        2/15/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        2/22/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         3/1/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         3/8/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        3/15/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        3/22/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        3/29/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         4/5/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        4/12/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        4/19/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        4/26/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         5/3/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        5/10/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        5/17/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               EV/EBITDA multiples down,
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               depressed below LT average




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        5/24/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        5/31/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         6/7/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        6/14/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        6/21/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        6/28/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         7/5/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        7/12/2010
                                                                 19 20 21 22 22 21 21 22 23 22 23 22 23 25 25 26 26 25 24 25 26 27 30 29 33 33 35 37 40 38 38 38 39 40 42 38 38 41 42 41 42 41 41 41 42 43 44 44 44 47 49 49 50 50 50 48 50 47 49 49




www.mackieresearch.com
10
                         Source: CapitalIQ
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 Multiple (x )




                                                                                                                                                                               # companies
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    0. 0x
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            5. 0x
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    10. 0x
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             15. 0x
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             20. 0x
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      25. 0x
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               30. 0x
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           35. 0x
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        5/25/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         6/1/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         6/8/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    Median P/E

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        6/15/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        6/22/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        6/29/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         7/6/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        7/13/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        7/20/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        7/27/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         8/3/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        8/10/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        8/17/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        8/24/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        8/31/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         9/7/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        9/14/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        9/21/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        9/28/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        10/5/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       10/12/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       10/19/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       10/26/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        11/2/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        11/9/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       11/16/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       11/23/2009




                                             Median
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       11/30/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        12/7/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       12/14/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       12/21/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       12/28/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         1/4/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        1/11/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        1/18/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        1/25/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         2/1/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         2/8/2010



                                             Long-term average
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        2/15/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        2/22/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         3/1/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         3/8/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        3/15/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        3/22/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        3/29/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         4/5/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        4/12/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        4/19/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        4/26/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         and below LT average




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         5/3/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        P/E multiples also down




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        5/10/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        5/17/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        5/24/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        5/31/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         6/7/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        6/14/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        6/21/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        6/28/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         7/5/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        7/12/2010
                                                                 19 19 18 18 19 18 19 19 20 20 19 18 19 19 19 20 23 23 24 24 25 26 28 26 30 30 31 31 33 33 33 35 37 39 38 38 38 39 40 41 39 39 39 38 37 37 35 33 33 32 35 35 36 35 35 34 36 32 33 33




www.mackieresearch.com
11
                                                                  -
                                                                                   5.0
                                                                                                     10.0
                                                                                                            15.0
                                                                                                                   20.0
                                                                                                                          25.0
                                                                                                                                 30.0
                                                                                                                                          35.0




                         # Companies 1
                                                 Virtual World
                                                                                                                                        33.0




                         2
                                                 Infrastructure




                                                                                                            13.4




                         9
                                            Social Networking




                                                                                                      9.2




                         7
                                                    Diversified




                                                                                                     9.0




                         1
                                                     Learning




                                                                                               7.6




                         4
                                                       Mobile




                                                                                         4.9




                         2
                                                        Music




                                                                                     4.3




                         1
                                                       Search



                                                                                    4.0
                                                      Gaming




                         21
                                                                                   3.7




                         5
                                                    Marketing
                                                                                   3.4




                         3
                                                  SMS/Voice
                                                                                  3.3




                         1
                                         Vertical Communities
                                                                                  3.3
                                                                                                                                                 Average EV/Revenue – by Sector




                         1
                                                  Podcasting
                                                                              2.8




                         1
                                                 Collaboration
                                                                              2.5




                         9
                                                        Media
                                                                             2.3




                         3


                                                   Advertising
                                                                             2.3




                         2




                                                Internet Retail
                                                                            1.9




                         3




                                                   Enterprise
                                                                            1.8




                         1




                                                        Video
                                                                        1.5




                         2




                                                       Dating
                                                                        1.3




                         1




                                            Financial Services
                                                                      0.4




www.mackieresearch.com
Average EV/EBITDA – by Sector

          50.0


          45.0      42.9

          40.0


          35.0


          30.0


          25.0


          20.0
                              16.7         16.5
          15.0
                                                     12.1
                                                                    11.1
                                                                                       10.2                9.9      9.2     9.1
          10.0
                                                                                                                                            6.9         6.5
                                                                                                                                                                 4.7
           5.0


           -
                                                      Diversified




                                                                                                                                                                 Advertising
                                                                     Internet Retail
                     Search




                              Enterprise




                                            Mobile




                                                                                       Social Networking




                                                                                                           Gaming




                                                                                                                    Media




                                                                                                                            Collaboration




                                                                                                                                            Marketing




                                                                                                                                                        Dating
      # Companies     1         2            3          5               2                  6               13        6        1               2          1         1




12                                                                                                                                                               www.mackieresearch.com
Average P/E – by Sector

          100.0

                     90.4
           90.0


           80.0


           70.0


           60.0                  57.5


           50.0

                                                39.6
           40.0                                                35.9


           30.0
                                                                             23.7
                                                                                         19.2
           20.0                                                                                       16.0
                                                                                                                  13.5    13.2

           10.0                                                                                                                       7.4


            -
                    Internet   Enterprise   Collaboration   Diversified     Social     Marketing   Advertising   Gaming   Media   Virtual World
                     Retail                                               Networking

                       2           3             1              9            18           5            3           28      10          2
      # Companies




13                                                                                                                                      www.mackieresearch.com
14
                                                                                   0.0
                                                                                                                                                                         5.0
                                                                                                                                                                                                                               10.0
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                15.0
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 20.0
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        25.0
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       30.0
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    35.0
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              40.0
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      45.0
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             50.0


                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      43
                             Ac credited Members H olding C orporation




                         Source: CapitalIQ
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 40
                                                       NeXplore C orporation
                                                                  S ocialG O P LC




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   33 33
                                                               Worlds .c om Inc .




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               26
                                                           S pec trumDNA, Inc .




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            17
                                                       T encent H oldings L td.




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       15
                                                                G eoS entric O y j




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               13
                                                                         P aid Inc .




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          11
                                                   B ey ond C ommerce, Inc .
                                              C hines e G amer International




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       10 10
                                                          MO K O . mobi L imited




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   9
                                                                       G ree, Inc .
                                                   L ingo Media C orporation




                                                                                                                                                                                                                             8 8
                                                 DigitalP os t Interactive, Inc .
                                                   F luid Mus ic C anada, Inc .




                                                                                                                                                                                                                         7 6
                                                            T rans G aming, Inc .
                                                                  Dena C o. L td.
                                                  HU G H E S T elematic s , Inc .




                                                                                                                                                                                                                     6 5 5
                                               Ac celeriz e New Media, Inc.
                                        F rogs ter Interac tiv e P ic tures AG
                                                                        Mix i, Inc.
                                             S K C ommunications C o., L td.




                                                                                         4 4 4 4
                                                      C hangyou. com Limited
                                                                     T aleo C orp.




                                                                                                 4 3
                                                       WebMediaB rands Inc
                                              K ings oft C orporation Limited
                                                                 is eemedia Inc .
                                          Wiz z ard S oftware C orporation
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    EV/Revenue Ranking




                                                              O pen T ex t C orp.




                                                                                                     3 3 3 3 2
                                                                   Motric ity , Inc .
                                                                H anbitS oft, Inc.
                                                                        eP ro L td.
                                             Modern T imes G roup Mtg AB
                                              NE O WIZ G ames C orporation
                                                                        XING AG
                                                              S core Media Inc.
                                                                 S ohu.c om Inc .
                                                                 S hutterfly, Inc.
                                                                         V elti P lc                           2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2
                                                         P NI Digital Media Inc .
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www.mackieresearch.com
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Web 2.0 Weekly - July 13, 2010

  • 1. Web 2.0 Weekly “Google Follows ITA Software With Zynga Financing” July 13, 2010 David Shore, CFA, MBA 416.860.6784 dshore@mackieresearch.com Damian Wojcichowsky, CFA 416.860.7652 This report has been created by Analysts that are employed by Mackie Research Capital Corporation, a Canadian Investment Dealer. For further disclosures, please see last page of this report. www.mackieresearch.com Copyright © 2000-2010, Mackie Research Capital Corporation, All rights reserved www.mackieresearch.com
  • 2. Key Developments (past week) Deals (M&A, Finance) – Google On A Roll Google invested a rumoured $100-$200 mm in social game developer, Zynga, bringing that company’s total funding to almost $500 mm (assuming the lower end of the range). The Gaming sector remains hot – along with Google’s investment in Zynga, The9 Ltd. (Chinese online game developer and operator) invested $5 mm in Delaware-based Aurora Feint (focused on gaming for the mobile space). A triad of financings in the Social Commerce space this week, including Beyond the Rack ($12 mm), ThredUP ($1.7 mm), and BuyWithMe ($16 mm in a Series B financing). Sysomos, Canadian social media monitoring firm, was acquired by MarketWire for between $25 mm and $35 mm. Financial Results/Guidance/Partnerships/Product LookSmart, Ltd (NasdaqGM:LOOK) provided preliminary Q2/F10 guidance for sales of $12.8-$13.0 mm (compared with $13.2 mm Y/Y and $13.3 mm Q/Q). However, the company is expected to report positive EPS of $0.02-$0.04 compared with losses of $0.08 and $0.03 Y/Y and Q/Q, respectively. LookSmart is an advertising firm with focus on pay-per-click and search campaigns. 2 www.mackieresearch.com
  • 3. Chart of the Week: Zynga Dominates Gaming Financing 600.0 Zynga has raised ~$500 mm – more than any other 500.0 Gaming sector company 400.0 US$ mm 300.0 481.0 200.0 300.0 100.0 99.6 92.0 76.0 40.6 36.5 29.0 27.0 24.0 24.0 0.0 LiveGamer Smith & Tinker Zynga ZeniMax Media Turbine Raptr Ngmoco Emergent Game Limbo Playdom Big Fish Games Technologies 3 www.mackieresearch.com
  • 4. Public Company Data 4 www.mackieresearch.com
  • 5. Aggregate Public Data Web 2.0 Public Companies Total Median Max Min # Companies 103 - - - Market Cap (US$ mm) 76,857.8 69.3 32,658.2 1.0 Revenue (US$ mm) 23,196.6 56.0 3,057.7 0.0 1 Year revenue growth 2.5% 8961.6% -100.0% EBITDA as % of revenue - 11.3% 63.1% -99.5% Net cash (US$ mm) 9,249.6 3.3 1,843.0 -670.8 TEV/Revenue - 1.9x 43.5x 0.1x TEV/EBITDA - 8.8x 42.9x 0.5x P/E - 15.8x 94.5x 0.0x Relative to 52 week high -44.0% 0.0% -95.6% Source: CapitalIQ 5 www.mackieresearch.com
  • 6. 6 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 Gaming 28 Social Networking 18 Media 10 9 Diversified 5 Mobile 5 Marketing Source: CapitalIQ 3 Infrastructure 3 SMS/Voice 3 Enterprise 3 Advertising 2 Internet Retail 2 Virtual World By Sector 2 Dating 2 Music 1 Vertical Communities 1 Search 1 Podcasting 1 Learning 1 Video 1 Collaboration 1 Payment 1 Financial Services Public Company Distribution 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 United States Canada China South Korea Japan Taiwan Hong Kong Germany Poland Australia United Kingdom By Country Italy Finland Sweden India Russia Malaysia Switzerland www.mackieresearch.com
  • 7. Valuation Dashboard – 1 Week Market Cap EV/Revenue Flat 10% Flat 0% Falling 63% Falling 32% Rising Rising 58% 37% EV/EBITDA P/E Flat Flat 0% 0% Rising Rising 40% 33% Falling 67% Falling 60% 7 www.mackieresearch.com
  • 8. 8 Source: CapitalIQ Multiple (x) 0.0x 0.5x 1.0x 1.5x 2.0x 2.5x 3.0x 3.5x 4.0x 4.5x 5.0x # companies 5/11/2009 5/18/2009 5/25/2009 6/1/2009 6/8/2009 6/15/2009 6/22/2009 6/29/2009 7/6/2009 7/13/2009 7/20/2009 7/27/2009 8/3/2009 8/10/2009 8/17/2009 8/24/2009 Median EV/Revenue 8/31/2009 9/7/2009 9/14/2009 9/21/2009 9/28/2009 10/5/2009 10/12/2009 10/19/2009 10/26/2009 11/2/2009 11/9/2009 Median 11/16/2009 11/23/2009 11/30/2009 12/7/2009 12/14/2009 12/21/2009 12/28/2009 1/4/2010 1/11/2010 1/18/2010 Long-term average 1/25/2010 2/1/2010 2/8/2010 2/15/2010 2/22/2010 3/1/2010 3/8/2010 3/15/2010 3/22/2010 average 3/29/2010 4/5/2010 well below LT 4/12/2010 4/19/2010 down slightly, still Revenue multiples 4/26/2010 5/3/2010 5/10/2010 5/17/2010 5/24/2010 5/31/2010 6/7/2010 6/14/2010 6/21/2010 6/28/2010 373839404040404042444545464646474951505150535656616161646666676464666970717173697068717370757578767879817879808083828282 www.mackieresearch.com
  • 9. 9 Source: CapitalIQ Multiple (x ) # companies 0. 0x 5. 0x 10. 0x 15. 0x 20. 0x 25. 0x 30. 0x 5/25/2009 6/1/2009 6/8/2009 6/15/2009 6/22/2009 6/29/2009 7/6/2009 7/13/2009 7/20/2009 7/27/2009 8/3/2009 8/10/2009 8/17/2009 8/24/2009 Median EV/EBITDA 8/31/2009 9/7/2009 9/14/2009 9/21/2009 9/28/2009 10/5/2009 10/12/2009 10/19/2009 10/26/2009 11/2/2009 11/9/2009 11/16/2009 11/23/2009 Median 11/30/2009 12/7/2009 12/14/2009 12/21/2009 12/28/2009 1/4/2010 1/11/2010 1/18/2010 1/25/2010 2/1/2010 2/8/2010 Long-term average 2/15/2010 2/22/2010 3/1/2010 3/8/2010 3/15/2010 3/22/2010 3/29/2010 4/5/2010 4/12/2010 4/19/2010 4/26/2010 5/3/2010 5/10/2010 5/17/2010 EV/EBITDA multiples down, depressed below LT average 5/24/2010 5/31/2010 6/7/2010 6/14/2010 6/21/2010 6/28/2010 7/5/2010 7/12/2010 19 20 21 22 22 21 21 22 23 22 23 22 23 25 25 26 26 25 24 25 26 27 30 29 33 33 35 37 40 38 38 38 39 40 42 38 38 41 42 41 42 41 41 41 42 43 44 44 44 47 49 49 50 50 50 48 50 47 49 49 www.mackieresearch.com
  • 10. 10 Source: CapitalIQ Multiple (x ) # companies 0. 0x 5. 0x 10. 0x 15. 0x 20. 0x 25. 0x 30. 0x 35. 0x 5/25/2009 6/1/2009 6/8/2009 Median P/E 6/15/2009 6/22/2009 6/29/2009 7/6/2009 7/13/2009 7/20/2009 7/27/2009 8/3/2009 8/10/2009 8/17/2009 8/24/2009 8/31/2009 9/7/2009 9/14/2009 9/21/2009 9/28/2009 10/5/2009 10/12/2009 10/19/2009 10/26/2009 11/2/2009 11/9/2009 11/16/2009 11/23/2009 Median 11/30/2009 12/7/2009 12/14/2009 12/21/2009 12/28/2009 1/4/2010 1/11/2010 1/18/2010 1/25/2010 2/1/2010 2/8/2010 Long-term average 2/15/2010 2/22/2010 3/1/2010 3/8/2010 3/15/2010 3/22/2010 3/29/2010 4/5/2010 4/12/2010 4/19/2010 4/26/2010 and below LT average 5/3/2010 P/E multiples also down 5/10/2010 5/17/2010 5/24/2010 5/31/2010 6/7/2010 6/14/2010 6/21/2010 6/28/2010 7/5/2010 7/12/2010 19 19 18 18 19 18 19 19 20 20 19 18 19 19 19 20 23 23 24 24 25 26 28 26 30 30 31 31 33 33 33 35 37 39 38 38 38 39 40 41 39 39 39 38 37 37 35 33 33 32 35 35 36 35 35 34 36 32 33 33 www.mackieresearch.com
  • 11. 11 - 5.0 10.0 15.0 20.0 25.0 30.0 35.0 # Companies 1 Virtual World 33.0 2 Infrastructure 13.4 9 Social Networking 9.2 7 Diversified 9.0 1 Learning 7.6 4 Mobile 4.9 2 Music 4.3 1 Search 4.0 Gaming 21 3.7 5 Marketing 3.4 3 SMS/Voice 3.3 1 Vertical Communities 3.3 Average EV/Revenue – by Sector 1 Podcasting 2.8 1 Collaboration 2.5 9 Media 2.3 3 Advertising 2.3 2 Internet Retail 1.9 3 Enterprise 1.8 1 Video 1.5 2 Dating 1.3 1 Financial Services 0.4 www.mackieresearch.com
  • 12. Average EV/EBITDA – by Sector 50.0 45.0 42.9 40.0 35.0 30.0 25.0 20.0 16.7 16.5 15.0 12.1 11.1 10.2 9.9 9.2 9.1 10.0 6.9 6.5 4.7 5.0 - Diversified Advertising Internet Retail Search Enterprise Mobile Social Networking Gaming Media Collaboration Marketing Dating # Companies 1 2 3 5 2 6 13 6 1 2 1 1 12 www.mackieresearch.com
  • 13. Average P/E – by Sector 100.0 90.4 90.0 80.0 70.0 60.0 57.5 50.0 39.6 40.0 35.9 30.0 23.7 19.2 20.0 16.0 13.5 13.2 10.0 7.4 - Internet Enterprise Collaboration Diversified Social Marketing Advertising Gaming Media Virtual World Retail Networking 2 3 1 9 18 5 3 28 10 2 # Companies 13 www.mackieresearch.com
  • 14. 14 0.0 5.0 10.0 15.0 20.0 25.0 30.0 35.0 40.0 45.0 50.0 43 Ac credited Members H olding C orporation Source: CapitalIQ 40 NeXplore C orporation S ocialG O P LC 33 33 Worlds .c om Inc . 26 S pec trumDNA, Inc . 17 T encent H oldings L td. 15 G eoS entric O y j 13 P aid Inc . 11 B ey ond C ommerce, Inc . C hines e G amer International 10 10 MO K O . mobi L imited 9 G ree, Inc . L ingo Media C orporation 8 8 DigitalP os t Interactive, Inc . F luid Mus ic C anada, Inc . 7 6 T rans G aming, Inc . Dena C o. L td. HU G H E S T elematic s , Inc . 6 5 5 Ac celeriz e New Media, Inc. F rogs ter Interac tiv e P ic tures AG Mix i, Inc. S K C ommunications C o., L td. 4 4 4 4 C hangyou. com Limited T aleo C orp. 4 3 WebMediaB rands Inc K ings oft C orporation Limited is eemedia Inc . Wiz z ard S oftware C orporation EV/Revenue Ranking O pen T ex t C orp. 3 3 3 3 2 Motric ity , Inc . H anbitS oft, Inc. eP ro L td. Modern T imes G roup Mtg AB NE O WIZ G ames C orporation XING AG S core Media Inc. S ohu.c om Inc . S hutterfly, Inc. V elti P lc 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 P NI Digital Media Inc . G ungH o O nline E ntertainment, Inc . V alueC lick , Inc . Myriad G roup AG P latforma Mediowa P oint G roup S . A. U nilav a C orporation Webz en Inc. U O MO Media, Inc Accredited Members NeuL ion Inc orporated revenue multiple at 43x G amania Digital E ntertainment C o., L td. Holding Co. has highest Hutc his on T elec ommunic ations Hong Y D O nline C orp. S park Network s , Inc . 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 S NAP Interactive, Inc . Y nk K orea Inc. O riented Media G roup B erhad NetDragon WebS oft, Inc. AQ Interactive, Inc . P oints International L td. Internet G roup S A O AO R B C Information S ys tems T he New Y ork T imes C ompany T heS treet. com, Inc . Northgate T echnologies Limited IAC /InterAc tiv eC orp. DADA S pA Unis erve C ommunic ations C orp. U nited O nline, Inc . C DC C orp. AO L, Inc. G igaMedia L td. 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 G lu Mobile, Inc . T ree. C om, Inc . C y berplex Inc. Actoz S oft C o., Ltd. O penwav e S y s tems Inc. J umbuc k E ntertainment L imited R ealNetwork s Inc . G ameO n C o L td. As k net AG 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Look S mart, L td. www.mackieresearch.com