Presentation by Rose Baker and David Passmore @ Penn State York Campus, 29 May 2008.

1. Economic Impact Analysis with IMPLAN Rose M. Baker David L. Passmore

3. Your experiences & plans http://implan.questionpro.com

4. Your experiences & plans What you told us….

7. For information after today

8. Input-Output Analysis A systematic view of production and consumption in an economy

9. Sex life of your regional economy < the birds & bees of job creation >

10. The economy is like a ball of string < complex > < intertwined > < large > < unexpected >

11. Way to organize data < input-output tables > Summarize production & consumption.

12. Input-output table ind 1 ind 2 ind 3 ind 4 ind 1 ind 2 ind 3 ind 4 final demand total output

16. Simple input-output table ind 1 ind 2 ind 3 ind 4 ind 1 ind 2 ind 3 ind 4 final demand total output

17. Industries produce goods & services ind 1 ind 2 ind 3 ind 4 ind 1 ind 2 ind 3 ind 4 final demand total output producers

18. Industries purchase goods & services ind 1 ind 2 ind 3 ind 4 ind 1 ind 2 ind 3 ind 4 final demand total output purchasers

19. Production sector of the economy ind 1 ind 2 ind 3 ind 4 ind 1 ind 2 ind 3 ind 4 final demand total output

20. Production sector of the economy ind 1 ind 2 ind 3 ind 4 ind 1 ind 2 ind 3 ind 4 final demand total output interindustry transactions

21. Production sector of the economy ind 1 ind 2 ind 3 ind 4 ind 1 ind 2 ind 3 ind 4 final demand total output direct requirements

22. A closer look at interindustry transactions ind 1 ind 2 ind 3 ind 4 ind 1 ind 2 ind 3 ind 4 final demand total demand purchases of ind 2 from ind 1

23. A closer look at interindustry transactions ind 1 ind 2 ind 3 ind 4 ind 1 ind 2 ind 3 ind 4 final demand total demand purchases of ind 3 from ind 2; or, ind 2 produces for ind 3

24. A closer look at interindustry transactions ind 1 ind 2 ind 3 ind 4 ind 1 ind 2 ind 3 ind 4 final demand total demand purchases of ind 1 from itself; some industries use the products they make

25. Industry production function -- the direct supply chain ind 1 ind 2 ind 3 ind 4 ind 1 ind 2 ind 3 ind 4 final demand total demand All purchases of ind 1; aka industry production function

26. Producing & purchasing continues until goods or services created ind 1 ind 2 ind 3 ind 4 ind 1 ind 2 ind 3 ind 4 final demand total demand < make/use… make/use… make/use… the production cycle goes round & round >

27. Consumption ind 1 ind 2 ind 3 ind 4 ind 1 ind 2 ind 3 ind 4 final demand total output

28. Final demand… Gross domestic product… MDEV 6058  Penn State Management Development ind 1 ind 2 ind 3 ind 4 ind 1 ind 2 ind 3 ind 4 final demand total demand ind 1 ind 2 ind 3 ind 4 < personal consumption > < government purchases > < investment > < export >

29. Total economic output… ind 1 ind 2 ind 3 ind 4 ind 1 ind 2 ind 3 ind 4 final demand total output production + consumption = total output

30. Some Examples of Input-Output Tables

31. Here is the sex part…. < where jobs come from >

33. Jobs are tied to total output… ind 1 ind 2 ind 3 ind 4 ind 1 ind 2 ind 3 ind 4 final demand total output ind 1 ind 2 ind 3 ind 4 < in each industry, it takes a certain number of people to create a dollar’s worth of total economic output >

34. Jobs are tied to total output… ind 1 ind 2 ind 3 ind 4 ind 1 ind 2 ind 3 ind 4 final demand total output ind 1 ind 2 ind 3 ind 4 < if It takes .001 workers to create $1 of economic output, then,

35. Jobs are tied to total output… ind 1 ind 2 ind 3 ind 4 ind 1 ind 2 ind 3 ind 4 final demand total output ind 1 Ind 2 ind 3 ind 4 < if It takes .001 workers to create $1 of economic output, then, with $1 billion of total industrial output, 1 million workers are required >

36. Jobs are tied to total output… ind 1 ind 2 ind 3 ind 4 ind 1 ind 2 ind 3 ind 4 final demand total output ind 1 ind 2 ind 3 ind 4 < changes in labor intensity or in total economic output create changes in numbers and kinds of jobs >

37. Occupational employment is tied to total industrial output… ind 1 ind 2 ind 3 ind 4 ind 1 ind 2 ind 3 ind 4 final demand total output ind 1 ind 2 ind 3 ind 4 < industries use different occupations > < industries use different labor intensities > < occupational employment differs by industry >

38. Occupational employment is created.. … when people use their unique human capital to create goods & services

39. Results of input-output analysis

41. Local uses of input-output analysis < producer & purchaser data > < multipliers >

42. Multiplier A product of input-output analysis

43. producer/purchaser data… ind 1 ind 2 ind 3 ind 4 ind 1 ind 2 ind 3 ind 4 final demand total output producers purchasers

45. Producing & purchasing multiplies… ind 1 ind 2 ind 3 ind 4 ind 1 ind 2 ind 3 ind 4 final demand total demand

50. Two types of multipliers type 1 = type 2 = direct + indirect direct direct + indirect + induced direct

51. Some employment multipliers

54. Waste/recycling multipliers for Pennsylvania

55. Loss of opportunity Penn State research on: Community Costs of Technical Skills Deficits

56. Quick response, regional impact Penn State research: Economic & Workforce Brief series

57. Economic Impact Analysis with IMPLAN Rose M. Baker David L. Passmore