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Hindawi Publishing Corporation
Journal of Cancer Epidemiology
Volume 2011, Article ID 275758, 7 pages
doi:10.1155/2011/275758




Research Article
Impact of Histopathological Diagnosis with Ancillary
Immunohistochemical Studies on Lung Cancer Subtypes
Incidence and Survival: A Population-Based Study

          Andrea Bordoni,1 Massimo Bongiovanni,2 Luca Mazzucchelli,2 and Alessandra Spitale1
          1 Ticino   Cancer Registry, Institute of Pathology, 6600 Locarno, Switzerland
          2 Division  of Clinical Pathology, Institute of Pathology, 6600 Locarno, Switzerland

          Correspondence should be addressed to Andrea Bordoni, andrea.bordoni@ti.ch

          Received 26 September 2011; Accepted 7 November 2011

          Academic Editor: Carmen J. Marsit

          Copyright © 2011 Andrea Bordoni et al. This is an open access article distributed under the Creative Commons Attribution
          License, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly
          cited.

          Purpose. The aim of this study was to assess the impact of immunohistochemical- (IHC-) studies on incidence and survival of lung
          cancer histotypes. Patients and Methods. Lung cancers occurred in southern Switzerland between 1996 and 2010 were selected by
          the Ticino Cancer Registry and categorised into adenocarcinoma (AC), squamous-cell-carcinoma (SqCC), small-cell-carcinoma
          (SmCC), and large-cell carcinoma/non-small-cell lung cancer (LCC/NSCLC). Incidence rates, annual-percentage-change (APC),
          and two-year overall survival (OS) (follow-up: 31.12.2010) were performed. Results. 2467 cases were selected: 997 (40.4%) AC; 522
          (21.2%) LCC/NSCLC, 378 (15.3%) SmCC, and 570 (23.1%) SqCC. Trend-analysis showed significant increase in AC (APC: 4.6;
          95% CI: 3.1; 6.0) and decrease of LCC/NSCLC, with significant joinpoint in 2003 (APC: −14.7; 95% CI: −21.6; −7.1). Improved
          OS and decreased OS were detected in SqCC and LCC/NSCLC, respectively. Conclusions. This study highlights that diagnosis
          with ancillary immunohistochemical studies will change incidence and survival of precisely defined lung cancer subtypes. It
          calls attention to the need for cautious interpretation of studies and clinical trials, where the diagnosis was based on histology
          unaccompanied by IHC studies, and to the need of standardised diagnostic procedures.




1. Introduction                                                              lung carcinomas (NSCLCs); patients with the former were
                                                                             referred to chemotherapy, whereas patients with the latter
Lung cancer is one of most common cancers in the world,                      were potentially eligible for surgery or different chemother-
representing 17.1% of all cancers in men, 6.7% in women,                     apies. Over the past few years, the emergence of targeted or
and 12.2% in both sexes [1]. Of the histological types, ade-                 combination treatment strategies has created new demands
nocarcinoma (AC) has remained the most prevalent among                       on histopathological diagnostics, as it is now recognised that
women over the past three decades, with incidence rates                      the efficacy and toxicity of some new drugs are related to the
increasing slowly over time in many countries. In contrast,                  histological type [3]. Consequently, the exact determination
squamous cell carcinoma (SqCC) has historically been the                     of histological type by a pathologist has become essential to
predominant tumour type in men, but the incidence has                        making clinical decisions [4].
declined and converged with the corresponding incidence in                        In this context, the integration of conventional histomor-
women, which has remained fairly stable [2].                                 phological analysis with an immunohistochemical (IHC)
    Traditionally, lung carcinoma was classified into histolog-               panel that includes markers of squamous (i.e., p63, cytok-
ical types using standard histological techniques. The most                  eratin (CK) 5/6) and glandular (TTF-1, CK7) cell differen-
critical step in histopathological diagnosis was to distin-                  tiation allows more accurate identification of the histotype
guish small cell carcinoma (SmCC) from the other lung                        [5–12]. Moreover, recent studies have demonstrated that the
carcinomas, which were collectively called the non-small cell                antibody panel approach may help to refine lung cancer
2                                                                                              Journal of Cancer Epidemiology

classification in fine needle aspiration (FNA) cell blocks as       assess the relationship between the different lung cancer
well as in biopsy material; remarkably, this approach reduces     histotypes and main clinicopathological characteristics such
the proportion of cancers diagnosed as NSCLCs and thus            as sex, histological grade, and tumour extent at diagnosis.
improves the quality of treatment decisions [11, 13].             The Kruskal Wallis test was used to compare ordinal variables
     The aims of this study were as follows: (i) to assess        such as age groups.
changes in lung cancer incidence in the south of Switzerland          European age-standardised incidence rates were cal-
after the progressive introduction from 2003 to 2009 of           culated by the direct standardization method to remove
ancillary IHC studies for the diagnosis of lung cancers (panel    the strong correlation between patient age and tumour
systematically applied from 2010) and (ii) to evaluate poten-     occurrence [23]. Trends in incidence were measured as the
tial changes in short-term survival trends of the four major      estimated annual percentage change (APC) and the 95%
lung cancer histotypes.                                           confidence interval (CI), which were calculated by fitting a
                                                                  linear regression to the natural logarithm of the age-adjusted
                                                                  rates (r), with year of diagnosis as the regressor variable
2. Material and Methods
                                                                  as follows: ln(r) = m(year) + b. From m, the slope of
2.1. Case Selection. All patients with invasive lung cancer       the regression line, the APC was calculated as follows: APC =
diagnosed by cytology or histology in the south of Switzer-       100 × (em − 1) [24–26]. Incidence trends were analysed by
land between 1996 and 2010 were selected from the files of         lung cancer histotypes for both genders together. Statistical
the population-based Ticino Cancer Registry. The Registry is      significance was set at P < 0.05. Two-year overall survival
located in the southern, Italian-speaking region of Switzer-      (OS) (follow-up on December 31, 2010) was analysed for
land and is closely connected to and part of the region-          patients with a 24-month complete follow-up (incidence
al Institute of Pathology, which serves the entire region [14].   period 1996–2008) using the Kaplan-Meier method. The
    Lung tumour topography and lung tumour histotypes             logrank test was used to detect statistically significant
were classified using the International Classification of Dis-      differences in survival. The two-year survival trend analysis
eases for Oncology (ICD-O-III) and the WHO Classification          considered three incidence periods: 1996–2001 (before the
of Tumours of the Lung [15, 16]. The tumour site was clas-        introduction of the IHC panel), 2002–2004 (transitional
sified according to the extended ICD-O version proposed by         period), and 2005–2008 (after the introduction of the
Wagner [17]. Case registration and comparability, validity,       complete IHC panel). The statistical analysis was conducted
and consistency checks were performed according to the            in SAS version 9.1 (SAS Institute Inc, Cary, NC, USA).
International Agency for Research on Cancer (IARC) guide-
lines and the recommendations of the European Network of
Cancer Registries (ENCRs) [18–20].
                                                                  3. Results
    Lung cancers were categorised into four histotypes:           Of 2844 lung cancers that occurred in the south of Switzer-
AC, SqCC, SmCC, and large cell carcinoma/non-small-cell           land between 1996 and 2010, 2585 (90.9%) were confirmed
lung cancer (LCC/NSCLC) [15, 16]. We included NSCLC,              by cytological or histological assay and were therefore
not formally classified by WHO, in the LCC histotype,              selected for inclusion in the present study. The 118 cases that
as considered by default “poorly differentiated” tumours,          did not meet the inclusion criteria (i.e., carcinomas NOS,
resulting in the group called LCC/NSCLC [16]. Carcinomas          lymphomas, neuroendocrine, and mesenchymal tumours)
not otherwise specified (NOS), lymphomas, neuroendocrine           were excluded from the analysis, and the remaining 2467
tumours (i.e., carcinoids and large cell neuroendocrine           cases constitute the basis of the present study. The prevalence
carcinomas), and mesenchymal tumours were excluded from           of each of the four lung cancer histotypes was as follows:
the present study. Tumours were staged according to the           997 (40.4%) ACs, 522 (21.2%) LCC/NSCLCs, 378 (15.3%)
Cancer Staging Manual of the American Joint Committee             SmCCs, and 570 (23.1%) SqCCs.
on Cancer (AJCC), version 5, until 2002 and according                 Table 1 summarises the main clinical-pathological char-
to version 6 from 2003 onwards. The tumours were then             acteristics of the patients. The four lung cancer histotypes
categorised as “limited disease” (any T, any N, and M0) or        differed significantly by mean age at diagnosis (ANOVA
“extensive disease” (any T, any N, and M1) [16, 21, 22].          F-test = 7.49, P < 0.0001), AC being dominant in the
    All histological evaluations were made at the local           youngest group (66.0 ± 11.0 years old). When subjects were
Institute of pathology by the same core group of pathologists.    stratified by age group, this result was confirmed (P <
IHC studies for histotyping lung cancers (i.e., TTF-1, p63,       0.0001). Overall, most lung cancers occurred in men (69%),
CK 5/6 and 7) were progressively introduced from 2003 to          with a pick of 80.5% in SqCC (P < 0.0001). In terms of
2009. Since 2010 a diagnostic algorithm is applied to all new     histological grade at diagnosis, 62.6% of AC tumours and
cases systematically.                                             54.2% of SqCC tumours were poorly differentiated (P =
                                                                  0.0048). A significant difference was found when lung cancer
2.2. Statistical Analysis. Mean and median values are pro-        histotypes were compared by tumour extent at diagnosis
vided for quantitative variables; proportions represent qual-     (P < 0.0001): SqCC showed the highest prevalence of limited
itative variables. Differences among lung cancer histotypes        disease (77.2%), whereas >50% of SmCCs were classified as
were evaluated using 1-way analysis of variance (ANOVA)           “extensive”. We also detected an overall significant difference
for patient age (years). A chi-square test was conducted to       (P < 0.0001) in the distribution of histotypes across the two
Table 1: Main clinical-pathological characteristics of lung cancer histotypes: Ticino (southern Switzerland), 1996–2010.
Variable
                                                                                                                                                                                                  Journal of Cancer Epidemiology




                           All cases N = 2467 (100%)             AC N = 997 (40.4%)         LCC/NSCLC N = 522 (21.2%)           SmCC N = 378 (15.3%)            SqCC N = 570 (23.1%)    P value
Age (yrs)
  mean ± sd                        67.0 ± 10.4                         66.0 ± 11.0                    67.2 ± 10.4                      67.4 ± 10.0                   68.5 ± 9.3        <0.0001
  median                                68.0                              67.0                           68.0                             68.0                          69.0           0.0022
  range                                26–94                             26–94                          34–93                            40–94                         38–93
Age-specific groups, n (%)
  <50                               150 (6.1%)                         83 (8.3%)                       31 (5.9%)                         21 (5.6%)                    15 (2.6%)
  50–59                            395 (16.0%)                        176 (17.7%)                    87 (16.7%)                         55 (14.5%)                   77 (13.5%)
  60–69                            841 (34.1%)                        336 (33.7%)                    173 (33.1%)                       133 (35.2%)                  199 (34.9%)        <0.0001
  70–79                            813 (32.9%)                        308 (30.9%)                    169 (32.4%)                       227 (33.6%)                  209 (36.7%)
  ≥80                              268 (10.9%)                         94 (9.4%)                      62 (11.9%)                        42 (11.1%)                   70 (12.3%)
Sex, n (%)
  women                            759 (30.8%)                        373 (37.4%)                    169 (32.4%)                       106 (28.0%)                  111 (19.5%)
                                                                                                                                                                                       <0.0001
  men                             1708 (69.2%)                        624 (62.6%)                    353 (67.6%)                       272 (72.0%)                  459 (80.5%)
Histological grade, n (%)
  well differentiated                 70 (3.8%)                         52 (7.4%)                        0 (0%)                                                       14 (3.1%)
  moderately differentiated         408 (22.1%)                        211 (30.0%)                       0 (0%)                                                      192 (42.7%)
                                                                                                                                            NA                                         <0.0001∗
  poorly differentiated            1365 (74.1%)                        440 (62.6%)                     522 (100%)                                                    244 (54.2%)
  unknown                               624                               294                                                                                           120
Tumour extent at diagnosis
  limited disease (M0)            1491 (60.4%)                        600 (60.2%)                    273 (52.3%)                       178 (47.1%)                  440 (77.2%)
                                                                                                                                                                                       <0.0001
  extensive disease (M1)           976 (39.6%)                        397 (39.8%)                    249 (47.7%)                       200 (52.9%)                  130 (22.8%)
Period of diagnosis
  1996–2003                       1214 (49.2%)                        408 (40.9%)                    334 (64.0%)                       197 (52.1%)                  275 (48.3%)
                                                                                                                                                                                       <0.0001
  2004–2010                       1253 (50.8%)                        589 (59.1%)                    188 (36.0%)                       181 (47.9%)                  295 (51.7%)
AC: adenocarcinoma; LLC/NSCLC: large cell carcinoma/non-small-cell lung cancer; SmCC: small cell carcinoma; SqCC: squamous cell carcinoma; NA: not applicable
∗ The comparison was performed only between AC and SqCC; histological grade is not applicable for SmCC.
                                                                                                                                                                                                  3
4                                                                                                                                                                                                         Journal of Cancer Epidemiology

                                                    25
       European age-standardized incidence rates

                                                                                                                                                                       APC (AC): 4.6 (95% CI: 3.1; 6.0)
                                                    20


                                                    15
                     (×100000)




                                                    10
                                                                                                                                                                       APC (SqCC): −0.1 (95% CI: −1.8; 1.7)

                                                        5                                                                                                              APC (SmCC): −1.6 (95% CI: −4.1; 1)
                                                                                                                                                                       APC (LCC/NSCLC, 2003–2010): −14.7 (95% CI: −21.6; −7.1)

                                                        0
                                                              1996
                                                                     1997
                                                                            1998
                                                                                   1999
                                                                                          2000
                                                                                                 2001
                                                                                                        2002
                                                                                                               2003
                                                                                                                      2004
                                                                                                                             2005
                                                                                                                                    2006
                                                                                                                                           2007
                                                                                                                                                  2008
                                                                                                                                                         2009
                                                                                                                                                                2010
                                                                                                  Year of diagnosis
                                                                      SqCC                                            SmCC
                                                                      LCC/NSCLC                                       AC
                                                             AC: adenocarcinoma; LLC/NSCLC: large-cell carcinoma/non-small-cell lung cancer
                                                             SmCC: small-cell carcinoma; SqCC: squamous cell carcinoma

                                                         Figure 1: Trend of European age-standardised incidence rates of lung cancer histotypes: Ticino, 1996–2010.



                                                        12
            European age-standardized incidence rates




                                                        10
                                                                                                                                                                       APC (AC): 5.1 (95% CI: 3.4; 6.8)

                                                         8
                          (×100000)




                                                         6


                                                         4                                                                                                             APC (SqCC): 1.6 (95% CI: −1.3; 4.5)
                                                                                                                                                                       APC (LCC/NSCLC, 2003–2010): −14.7 (95% CI: −21.6; −7.1)

                                                         2


                                                         0
                                                              1996
                                                                     1997
                                                                            1998
                                                                                   1999
                                                                                          2000
                                                                                                 2001
                                                                                                        2002
                                                                                                               2003
                                                                                                                      2004
                                                                                                                             2005
                                                                                                                                    2006
                                                                                                                                           2007
                                                                                                                                                  2008
                                                                                                                                                         2009
                                                                                                                                                                2010




                                                                                                   Year of diagnosis

                                                                      SqCC
                                                                      LCC/NSCLC
                                                                      AC
                                                             AC: adenocarcinoma; LLC/NSCLC: large-cell carcinoma/non-small-cell lung cancer
                                                             SqCC: squamous cell carcinoma

    Figure 2: Trend in European age-standardised incidence rates of poorly differentiated lung cancer histotypes: Ticino, 1996–2010.



study periods (Table 1). In particular, we observed a higher                                                                                                      0.0001), corresponding to a percentage decrease of 43.8%.
proportion of AC tumours after 2003 (40.9% in 1996–2003                                                                                                           The prevalence of SmCC and SqCC remained stable.
versus 59.1% in 2004–2010, P < 0.0001), corresponding to                                                                                                              The above-described trends of proportions were con-
a percentage increase of 44.5% of the total cases; in contrast,                                                                                                   firmed by the trend analysis of incidence rates, which show
there was a significant decrease in LCC/NSCLC proportion                                                                                                           a significant increase in AC incidence (Figure 1, APC: 4.6;
(64.0% in 1996–2003 versus 36.0% in 2004–2010, P <                                                                                                                95% CI: 3.1; 6.0) accompanied by a decrease in LCC/NSCLC
Journal of Cancer Epidemiology                                                                                                                               5

incidence, with a significant joinpoint in 2003 (APC: −14.7;                                1
95% CI: −21.6; −7.1). We also detected a slight decrease in
the incidence of SqCC and SmCC, but it was not statistically
significant. The trend seen in AC was also observed when we                                0.8
considered only poorly differentiated lung cancers (APC: 5.1;
95% CI: 3.4; 6.8) (Figure 2).




                                                                   Survival probability
    Short-term OSs by lung cancer histotype are reported in
                                                                                          0.6
Figure 3; SmCCs and LCC/NSCLCs show the worst survival
probabilities at two years from diagnosis (P < 0.0001). We
also detected an increase in OS for SqCC and a decrease for
LCC/NSCLC, particularly in the last study period, 2005–2008                               0.4
(Figure 4).

4. Discussion                                                                             0.2
                                                                                                    P < 0.0001
The observed baseline increase in the incidence of AC and
decrease in the incidence of SqCC, which were observed in
                                                                                           0
both genders, are similar to the trends observed worldwide
and described in many studies [27–29]. The decreased inci-                                      0       3        6    9      12      15    18   21      24
dence of smoking in men, the increased incidence of smoking                                                          Months of follow-up
in women, accompanied by changes in the composition of                                                 AC                        SmCC
cigarettes, and the implementation of filters are suggested to                                          LLC/NSCLC                 SqCC
be responsible for the observed changes [2, 30]. It has also                                AC: adenocarcinoma; LLC/NSCLC: large-cell carcinoma/non-
been postulated that the use of filtered cigarettes has caused                               small-cell lung cancer
an increase in the incidence of AC, which is usually located                                SmCC: small-cell carcinoma; SqCC: squamous cell carcinoma
in the peripheral lung, because smokers now need to inhale
                                                                  Figure 3: Short-term overall survival by lung cancer histotypes:
more deeply to achieve a comparable effect. The exposure of        Ticino, 1996–2008.
the lung tissue to tobacco smoke is thus more extensive [31].
     In addition to the increasing incidence of AC, our
study highlights a significant decrease in the incidence of
the LCC/NSCLC histotype, with a joinpoint in 2003. This           “catch-all”). In order to avoid classification bias, we pooled
observation is difficult to explain by changes in exposure to       these two groups in the second study period as well. Another
known lung cancer risk factors. More likely it is associated      potential confounding factor (not observed in our study,
with the progressive introduction (beginning in 2003) of a        data not shown) would be a shift along the study period in
panel of IHC markers for squamous (i.e., p63, CK 5/6) and         diagnostic procedure (i.e., cytology versus histology), which
glandular differentiation (TTF-1, CK7). Many studies have          could cause an increase or decrease in diagnostic accuracy.
already described the benefit to diagnosis of a specific panel           The significant changes in incidence by histological
of markers that can help pathologists to correctly classify       subtype appear to be followed by changes in the short-term
lung cancer histotypes [32–34]. In particular, major benefits      OS. This trend, which is most evident for LCC/NSCLC and
are obtained in distinguishing poorly differentiated SqCC          SqCC, is important, as it could have affected the results of
from AC, especially in small biopsy tissues or cell specimens     some clinical trials, particularly in cases where the diagnosis
obtained by bronchus brossage/lavage or FNA [6–9, 35]. In         of lung cancers was based on histological evaluation without
recent years, a precise histopathological classification of lung   ancillary studies, or where ancillary studies were progres-
carcinomas has become increasingly important as a way to          sively introduced over the study period. In this contest, the
identify candidates for targeted therapy and to improve the       worst short-term OS for LCC/NSCLC in the last period of the
design of clinical trials [3, 12]. Thus, the observed decrease    study (Figure 4) most likely reflects the selection of poorly
in LCC/NSCLC diagnosis and increase in AC diagnosis will          differentiated carcinomas. Additional studies are warranted
help to better define the target populations that could benefit     to clarify this observation as well as the improved short-term
from these new drugs.                                             OS of patients with SqCC that may be related to a general
     Concerning potential confounding factors, it is unlikely     improvement of cancer care.
that WHO’s 2003 changes in lung cancer classification                   The most significant aspects of this study are the fol-
(1996–2002, according to the second edition of the Inter-         lowing: (i) it includes an up-to-date case study (1996–2010)
national Classification of Diseases for Oncology (ICD-O-           composed of a large number of lung cancer cases, thus
II); 2003–2010, according to the third edition (ICD-O-III))       reflecting a representative real-world description of a popu-
significantly influenced our results. Before the introduction       lation with universal and homogeneous access to treatment;
of ICD-O-III in 2003, LCC and NSCLC were routinely con-           (ii) all ages were considered, thereby ensuring the observa-
sidered together as a poorly defined and poorly differentiated      tion of a total population at risk; (iii) the panel analyses of
entity (since 2003 the NSCLC code was not available in ICD-       diagnostic markers were all carried out by a single laboratory
O codes, and as consequence LCC diagnosis was treated as a        and evaluated on routinely collected tissue by the same core
6                                                                                                                             Journal of Cancer Epidemiology

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    Survival probability




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Conflict of Interests                                                                              chemical panel containing TTF-1, napsin A, p63, and CK5/6,”
                                                                                                  American Journal of Surgical Pathology, vol. 35, no. 1, pp. 15–
The authors indicate that there are no potential conflict of                                       25, 2011.
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                                                                                                  Registry,” 2009, http://www.ti.ch/cancer.
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275758

  • 1. Hindawi Publishing Corporation Journal of Cancer Epidemiology Volume 2011, Article ID 275758, 7 pages doi:10.1155/2011/275758 Research Article Impact of Histopathological Diagnosis with Ancillary Immunohistochemical Studies on Lung Cancer Subtypes Incidence and Survival: A Population-Based Study Andrea Bordoni,1 Massimo Bongiovanni,2 Luca Mazzucchelli,2 and Alessandra Spitale1 1 Ticino Cancer Registry, Institute of Pathology, 6600 Locarno, Switzerland 2 Division of Clinical Pathology, Institute of Pathology, 6600 Locarno, Switzerland Correspondence should be addressed to Andrea Bordoni, andrea.bordoni@ti.ch Received 26 September 2011; Accepted 7 November 2011 Academic Editor: Carmen J. Marsit Copyright © 2011 Andrea Bordoni et al. This is an open access article distributed under the Creative Commons Attribution License, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited. Purpose. The aim of this study was to assess the impact of immunohistochemical- (IHC-) studies on incidence and survival of lung cancer histotypes. Patients and Methods. Lung cancers occurred in southern Switzerland between 1996 and 2010 were selected by the Ticino Cancer Registry and categorised into adenocarcinoma (AC), squamous-cell-carcinoma (SqCC), small-cell-carcinoma (SmCC), and large-cell carcinoma/non-small-cell lung cancer (LCC/NSCLC). Incidence rates, annual-percentage-change (APC), and two-year overall survival (OS) (follow-up: 31.12.2010) were performed. Results. 2467 cases were selected: 997 (40.4%) AC; 522 (21.2%) LCC/NSCLC, 378 (15.3%) SmCC, and 570 (23.1%) SqCC. Trend-analysis showed significant increase in AC (APC: 4.6; 95% CI: 3.1; 6.0) and decrease of LCC/NSCLC, with significant joinpoint in 2003 (APC: −14.7; 95% CI: −21.6; −7.1). Improved OS and decreased OS were detected in SqCC and LCC/NSCLC, respectively. Conclusions. This study highlights that diagnosis with ancillary immunohistochemical studies will change incidence and survival of precisely defined lung cancer subtypes. It calls attention to the need for cautious interpretation of studies and clinical trials, where the diagnosis was based on histology unaccompanied by IHC studies, and to the need of standardised diagnostic procedures. 1. Introduction lung carcinomas (NSCLCs); patients with the former were referred to chemotherapy, whereas patients with the latter Lung cancer is one of most common cancers in the world, were potentially eligible for surgery or different chemother- representing 17.1% of all cancers in men, 6.7% in women, apies. Over the past few years, the emergence of targeted or and 12.2% in both sexes [1]. Of the histological types, ade- combination treatment strategies has created new demands nocarcinoma (AC) has remained the most prevalent among on histopathological diagnostics, as it is now recognised that women over the past three decades, with incidence rates the efficacy and toxicity of some new drugs are related to the increasing slowly over time in many countries. In contrast, histological type [3]. Consequently, the exact determination squamous cell carcinoma (SqCC) has historically been the of histological type by a pathologist has become essential to predominant tumour type in men, but the incidence has making clinical decisions [4]. declined and converged with the corresponding incidence in In this context, the integration of conventional histomor- women, which has remained fairly stable [2]. phological analysis with an immunohistochemical (IHC) Traditionally, lung carcinoma was classified into histolog- panel that includes markers of squamous (i.e., p63, cytok- ical types using standard histological techniques. The most eratin (CK) 5/6) and glandular (TTF-1, CK7) cell differen- critical step in histopathological diagnosis was to distin- tiation allows more accurate identification of the histotype guish small cell carcinoma (SmCC) from the other lung [5–12]. Moreover, recent studies have demonstrated that the carcinomas, which were collectively called the non-small cell antibody panel approach may help to refine lung cancer
  • 2. 2 Journal of Cancer Epidemiology classification in fine needle aspiration (FNA) cell blocks as assess the relationship between the different lung cancer well as in biopsy material; remarkably, this approach reduces histotypes and main clinicopathological characteristics such the proportion of cancers diagnosed as NSCLCs and thus as sex, histological grade, and tumour extent at diagnosis. improves the quality of treatment decisions [11, 13]. The Kruskal Wallis test was used to compare ordinal variables The aims of this study were as follows: (i) to assess such as age groups. changes in lung cancer incidence in the south of Switzerland European age-standardised incidence rates were cal- after the progressive introduction from 2003 to 2009 of culated by the direct standardization method to remove ancillary IHC studies for the diagnosis of lung cancers (panel the strong correlation between patient age and tumour systematically applied from 2010) and (ii) to evaluate poten- occurrence [23]. Trends in incidence were measured as the tial changes in short-term survival trends of the four major estimated annual percentage change (APC) and the 95% lung cancer histotypes. confidence interval (CI), which were calculated by fitting a linear regression to the natural logarithm of the age-adjusted rates (r), with year of diagnosis as the regressor variable 2. Material and Methods as follows: ln(r) = m(year) + b. From m, the slope of 2.1. Case Selection. All patients with invasive lung cancer the regression line, the APC was calculated as follows: APC = diagnosed by cytology or histology in the south of Switzer- 100 × (em − 1) [24–26]. Incidence trends were analysed by land between 1996 and 2010 were selected from the files of lung cancer histotypes for both genders together. Statistical the population-based Ticino Cancer Registry. The Registry is significance was set at P < 0.05. Two-year overall survival located in the southern, Italian-speaking region of Switzer- (OS) (follow-up on December 31, 2010) was analysed for land and is closely connected to and part of the region- patients with a 24-month complete follow-up (incidence al Institute of Pathology, which serves the entire region [14]. period 1996–2008) using the Kaplan-Meier method. The Lung tumour topography and lung tumour histotypes logrank test was used to detect statistically significant were classified using the International Classification of Dis- differences in survival. The two-year survival trend analysis eases for Oncology (ICD-O-III) and the WHO Classification considered three incidence periods: 1996–2001 (before the of Tumours of the Lung [15, 16]. The tumour site was clas- introduction of the IHC panel), 2002–2004 (transitional sified according to the extended ICD-O version proposed by period), and 2005–2008 (after the introduction of the Wagner [17]. Case registration and comparability, validity, complete IHC panel). The statistical analysis was conducted and consistency checks were performed according to the in SAS version 9.1 (SAS Institute Inc, Cary, NC, USA). International Agency for Research on Cancer (IARC) guide- lines and the recommendations of the European Network of Cancer Registries (ENCRs) [18–20]. 3. Results Lung cancers were categorised into four histotypes: Of 2844 lung cancers that occurred in the south of Switzer- AC, SqCC, SmCC, and large cell carcinoma/non-small-cell land between 1996 and 2010, 2585 (90.9%) were confirmed lung cancer (LCC/NSCLC) [15, 16]. We included NSCLC, by cytological or histological assay and were therefore not formally classified by WHO, in the LCC histotype, selected for inclusion in the present study. The 118 cases that as considered by default “poorly differentiated” tumours, did not meet the inclusion criteria (i.e., carcinomas NOS, resulting in the group called LCC/NSCLC [16]. Carcinomas lymphomas, neuroendocrine, and mesenchymal tumours) not otherwise specified (NOS), lymphomas, neuroendocrine were excluded from the analysis, and the remaining 2467 tumours (i.e., carcinoids and large cell neuroendocrine cases constitute the basis of the present study. The prevalence carcinomas), and mesenchymal tumours were excluded from of each of the four lung cancer histotypes was as follows: the present study. Tumours were staged according to the 997 (40.4%) ACs, 522 (21.2%) LCC/NSCLCs, 378 (15.3%) Cancer Staging Manual of the American Joint Committee SmCCs, and 570 (23.1%) SqCCs. on Cancer (AJCC), version 5, until 2002 and according Table 1 summarises the main clinical-pathological char- to version 6 from 2003 onwards. The tumours were then acteristics of the patients. The four lung cancer histotypes categorised as “limited disease” (any T, any N, and M0) or differed significantly by mean age at diagnosis (ANOVA “extensive disease” (any T, any N, and M1) [16, 21, 22]. F-test = 7.49, P < 0.0001), AC being dominant in the All histological evaluations were made at the local youngest group (66.0 ± 11.0 years old). When subjects were Institute of pathology by the same core group of pathologists. stratified by age group, this result was confirmed (P < IHC studies for histotyping lung cancers (i.e., TTF-1, p63, 0.0001). Overall, most lung cancers occurred in men (69%), CK 5/6 and 7) were progressively introduced from 2003 to with a pick of 80.5% in SqCC (P < 0.0001). In terms of 2009. Since 2010 a diagnostic algorithm is applied to all new histological grade at diagnosis, 62.6% of AC tumours and cases systematically. 54.2% of SqCC tumours were poorly differentiated (P = 0.0048). A significant difference was found when lung cancer 2.2. Statistical Analysis. Mean and median values are pro- histotypes were compared by tumour extent at diagnosis vided for quantitative variables; proportions represent qual- (P < 0.0001): SqCC showed the highest prevalence of limited itative variables. Differences among lung cancer histotypes disease (77.2%), whereas >50% of SmCCs were classified as were evaluated using 1-way analysis of variance (ANOVA) “extensive”. We also detected an overall significant difference for patient age (years). A chi-square test was conducted to (P < 0.0001) in the distribution of histotypes across the two
  • 3. Table 1: Main clinical-pathological characteristics of lung cancer histotypes: Ticino (southern Switzerland), 1996–2010. Variable Journal of Cancer Epidemiology All cases N = 2467 (100%) AC N = 997 (40.4%) LCC/NSCLC N = 522 (21.2%) SmCC N = 378 (15.3%) SqCC N = 570 (23.1%) P value Age (yrs) mean ± sd 67.0 ± 10.4 66.0 ± 11.0 67.2 ± 10.4 67.4 ± 10.0 68.5 ± 9.3 <0.0001 median 68.0 67.0 68.0 68.0 69.0 0.0022 range 26–94 26–94 34–93 40–94 38–93 Age-specific groups, n (%) <50 150 (6.1%) 83 (8.3%) 31 (5.9%) 21 (5.6%) 15 (2.6%) 50–59 395 (16.0%) 176 (17.7%) 87 (16.7%) 55 (14.5%) 77 (13.5%) 60–69 841 (34.1%) 336 (33.7%) 173 (33.1%) 133 (35.2%) 199 (34.9%) <0.0001 70–79 813 (32.9%) 308 (30.9%) 169 (32.4%) 227 (33.6%) 209 (36.7%) ≥80 268 (10.9%) 94 (9.4%) 62 (11.9%) 42 (11.1%) 70 (12.3%) Sex, n (%) women 759 (30.8%) 373 (37.4%) 169 (32.4%) 106 (28.0%) 111 (19.5%) <0.0001 men 1708 (69.2%) 624 (62.6%) 353 (67.6%) 272 (72.0%) 459 (80.5%) Histological grade, n (%) well differentiated 70 (3.8%) 52 (7.4%) 0 (0%) 14 (3.1%) moderately differentiated 408 (22.1%) 211 (30.0%) 0 (0%) 192 (42.7%) NA <0.0001∗ poorly differentiated 1365 (74.1%) 440 (62.6%) 522 (100%) 244 (54.2%) unknown 624 294 120 Tumour extent at diagnosis limited disease (M0) 1491 (60.4%) 600 (60.2%) 273 (52.3%) 178 (47.1%) 440 (77.2%) <0.0001 extensive disease (M1) 976 (39.6%) 397 (39.8%) 249 (47.7%) 200 (52.9%) 130 (22.8%) Period of diagnosis 1996–2003 1214 (49.2%) 408 (40.9%) 334 (64.0%) 197 (52.1%) 275 (48.3%) <0.0001 2004–2010 1253 (50.8%) 589 (59.1%) 188 (36.0%) 181 (47.9%) 295 (51.7%) AC: adenocarcinoma; LLC/NSCLC: large cell carcinoma/non-small-cell lung cancer; SmCC: small cell carcinoma; SqCC: squamous cell carcinoma; NA: not applicable ∗ The comparison was performed only between AC and SqCC; histological grade is not applicable for SmCC. 3
  • 4. 4 Journal of Cancer Epidemiology 25 European age-standardized incidence rates APC (AC): 4.6 (95% CI: 3.1; 6.0) 20 15 (×100000) 10 APC (SqCC): −0.1 (95% CI: −1.8; 1.7) 5 APC (SmCC): −1.6 (95% CI: −4.1; 1) APC (LCC/NSCLC, 2003–2010): −14.7 (95% CI: −21.6; −7.1) 0 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Year of diagnosis SqCC SmCC LCC/NSCLC AC AC: adenocarcinoma; LLC/NSCLC: large-cell carcinoma/non-small-cell lung cancer SmCC: small-cell carcinoma; SqCC: squamous cell carcinoma Figure 1: Trend of European age-standardised incidence rates of lung cancer histotypes: Ticino, 1996–2010. 12 European age-standardized incidence rates 10 APC (AC): 5.1 (95% CI: 3.4; 6.8) 8 (×100000) 6 4 APC (SqCC): 1.6 (95% CI: −1.3; 4.5) APC (LCC/NSCLC, 2003–2010): −14.7 (95% CI: −21.6; −7.1) 2 0 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Year of diagnosis SqCC LCC/NSCLC AC AC: adenocarcinoma; LLC/NSCLC: large-cell carcinoma/non-small-cell lung cancer SqCC: squamous cell carcinoma Figure 2: Trend in European age-standardised incidence rates of poorly differentiated lung cancer histotypes: Ticino, 1996–2010. study periods (Table 1). In particular, we observed a higher 0.0001), corresponding to a percentage decrease of 43.8%. proportion of AC tumours after 2003 (40.9% in 1996–2003 The prevalence of SmCC and SqCC remained stable. versus 59.1% in 2004–2010, P < 0.0001), corresponding to The above-described trends of proportions were con- a percentage increase of 44.5% of the total cases; in contrast, firmed by the trend analysis of incidence rates, which show there was a significant decrease in LCC/NSCLC proportion a significant increase in AC incidence (Figure 1, APC: 4.6; (64.0% in 1996–2003 versus 36.0% in 2004–2010, P < 95% CI: 3.1; 6.0) accompanied by a decrease in LCC/NSCLC
  • 5. Journal of Cancer Epidemiology 5 incidence, with a significant joinpoint in 2003 (APC: −14.7; 1 95% CI: −21.6; −7.1). We also detected a slight decrease in the incidence of SqCC and SmCC, but it was not statistically significant. The trend seen in AC was also observed when we 0.8 considered only poorly differentiated lung cancers (APC: 5.1; 95% CI: 3.4; 6.8) (Figure 2). Survival probability Short-term OSs by lung cancer histotype are reported in 0.6 Figure 3; SmCCs and LCC/NSCLCs show the worst survival probabilities at two years from diagnosis (P < 0.0001). We also detected an increase in OS for SqCC and a decrease for LCC/NSCLC, particularly in the last study period, 2005–2008 0.4 (Figure 4). 4. Discussion 0.2 P < 0.0001 The observed baseline increase in the incidence of AC and decrease in the incidence of SqCC, which were observed in 0 both genders, are similar to the trends observed worldwide and described in many studies [27–29]. The decreased inci- 0 3 6 9 12 15 18 21 24 dence of smoking in men, the increased incidence of smoking Months of follow-up in women, accompanied by changes in the composition of AC SmCC cigarettes, and the implementation of filters are suggested to LLC/NSCLC SqCC be responsible for the observed changes [2, 30]. It has also AC: adenocarcinoma; LLC/NSCLC: large-cell carcinoma/non- been postulated that the use of filtered cigarettes has caused small-cell lung cancer an increase in the incidence of AC, which is usually located SmCC: small-cell carcinoma; SqCC: squamous cell carcinoma in the peripheral lung, because smokers now need to inhale Figure 3: Short-term overall survival by lung cancer histotypes: more deeply to achieve a comparable effect. The exposure of Ticino, 1996–2008. the lung tissue to tobacco smoke is thus more extensive [31]. In addition to the increasing incidence of AC, our study highlights a significant decrease in the incidence of the LCC/NSCLC histotype, with a joinpoint in 2003. This “catch-all”). In order to avoid classification bias, we pooled observation is difficult to explain by changes in exposure to these two groups in the second study period as well. Another known lung cancer risk factors. More likely it is associated potential confounding factor (not observed in our study, with the progressive introduction (beginning in 2003) of a data not shown) would be a shift along the study period in panel of IHC markers for squamous (i.e., p63, CK 5/6) and diagnostic procedure (i.e., cytology versus histology), which glandular differentiation (TTF-1, CK7). Many studies have could cause an increase or decrease in diagnostic accuracy. already described the benefit to diagnosis of a specific panel The significant changes in incidence by histological of markers that can help pathologists to correctly classify subtype appear to be followed by changes in the short-term lung cancer histotypes [32–34]. In particular, major benefits OS. This trend, which is most evident for LCC/NSCLC and are obtained in distinguishing poorly differentiated SqCC SqCC, is important, as it could have affected the results of from AC, especially in small biopsy tissues or cell specimens some clinical trials, particularly in cases where the diagnosis obtained by bronchus brossage/lavage or FNA [6–9, 35]. In of lung cancers was based on histological evaluation without recent years, a precise histopathological classification of lung ancillary studies, or where ancillary studies were progres- carcinomas has become increasingly important as a way to sively introduced over the study period. In this contest, the identify candidates for targeted therapy and to improve the worst short-term OS for LCC/NSCLC in the last period of the design of clinical trials [3, 12]. Thus, the observed decrease study (Figure 4) most likely reflects the selection of poorly in LCC/NSCLC diagnosis and increase in AC diagnosis will differentiated carcinomas. Additional studies are warranted help to better define the target populations that could benefit to clarify this observation as well as the improved short-term from these new drugs. OS of patients with SqCC that may be related to a general Concerning potential confounding factors, it is unlikely improvement of cancer care. that WHO’s 2003 changes in lung cancer classification The most significant aspects of this study are the fol- (1996–2002, according to the second edition of the Inter- lowing: (i) it includes an up-to-date case study (1996–2010) national Classification of Diseases for Oncology (ICD-O- composed of a large number of lung cancer cases, thus II); 2003–2010, according to the third edition (ICD-O-III)) reflecting a representative real-world description of a popu- significantly influenced our results. Before the introduction lation with universal and homogeneous access to treatment; of ICD-O-III in 2003, LCC and NSCLC were routinely con- (ii) all ages were considered, thereby ensuring the observa- sidered together as a poorly defined and poorly differentiated tion of a total population at risk; (iii) the panel analyses of entity (since 2003 the NSCLC code was not available in ICD- diagnostic markers were all carried out by a single laboratory O codes, and as consequence LCC diagnosis was treated as a and evaluated on routinely collected tissue by the same core
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