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ALTERNATIVE ENERGY


      Dave Roby
Chief Operating Officer
   Praxis Strategy Group is a growth strategy company that works with
    communities, economic development corporations and agencies, research
    and development organizations, and companies to develop and implement
    strategic initiatives and business ventures.Financial challenges & risk
    profile of new industries
   An eight-time winner in the Small Business Innovation Research program
    and a 1997 winner of SBA’s National Tibbetts award for contributions to and
    success in the SBIR Program.
   Business Consulting & funds sourcing
   Military Base Assessment & Realignment projects
   Managing Center for the Red River Valley Research Corridor – founded by
    Senior Senator Byron Dorgan
   Have developed & executed over 20 Action Summits
   Praxis Energy Group LLC
   NewGeography.com
   Current International projects in London & Ghana
   Sister company to Flint Communications (ad agency) & Media Productions
    (event planning and execution unit)
400+ million People
                            In the USA by 2050




Source: Bureau of the Census, CensusScope
US Energy Consumption by Source: 1980-2030 (quadrillion Btu)



140

120

100                                                                                Renewable/Other
                                                                                   Hydropower
80                                                                                 Nuclear
                                                                                   Coal
60                                                                                 Natural Gas
                                                                                   Petroleum
40

20

 0
 1980                1990             2000             2010          2020   2030



        Source: Annual Energy Outlook. Report #:DOE/EIA-0383(2006)
OPEC Remains Largest Oil
Source in 2030 on Current Path
                         % Total Imports in 2030


   50%

   40%

   30%

   20%

   10%

   0%
         Canada Mexico   North   OPEC    Other Other Other     Other
                         Sea            Middle Latin  Africa   Asia
                                         East America
National Security
                  Concerns
 Our growing dependence on unstable parts of the world

 Dangerous and costly
  military commitments
  connected to energy
  needs

 Vulnerability of energy
  flows at global choke
  points
Goals of North American
Energy Community
Independence from unstable authoritarian
 governments via a full energy mix of pooled
 resources from US, Canada & Mexico

Reduction in fossil fuel emissions, boosting
 alternatives + efficiency and conservation
 improvements go green both ways

Creating basis for sustainable economic growth
 for all of North America
When Oil Alternatives are Viable

         Biodiesel *                                $80

         US Corn-based ethanol *                    $60

         Shale Oil                                  $50

         Tar sands, Brazilian cane-based ethanol,
         Gas-to-liquids, Coal-to-liquids      $40

                       Cambridge Energy Research
                       Associates; The Economist. April
                       22nd, 2006. *Excludes the impact of
                       tax credits
Biomass Resource Capacity Available by County
Biomass Fuels the Economy
  Federal Renewable Fuels Standards Impact
  requiring production of 7.5 billion gallons by 2012.

 the reduction of crude oil imports by 2 billion barrels
 reduce payments to foreign oil producers by $64 billion.
 potential to create 234,840 new jobs in all sectors of the
  economy
 increase household income by $43 billion
 add $200 billion to GDP between 2005-2012
 create $6 billion in new investment in renewable fuel
  production facilities
Bio-fuel Potential
 In U.S.
   5.6 billion gallons of ethanol now in production
   6 billion gallon capacity under construction
   Cellulosic potential is enormous - provided technical
    challenges are overcome

DOE and USDA
    goal of replacing 30% of
     transportation petroleum
     used in US by 2030
Projected Corn Ethanol Production. . .
                   accounts for <10% of motor fuel needs
                   14

                   12
 Billion gallons




                   10

                    8

                    6

                    4

                    2

                    0
                        2007/08   2009/10     2011/12     2013/14    2015/16

                                  With credit/tariff    W/O credit/tariff
USDA analysis
Biodiesel Plants




CARD: Iowa State University 5/2007
Projected Soy Biodiesel Production. . .
                                   w/o tax credit (USDA analysis)

                   800
                   700
 Million gallons




                   600
                   500
                   400
                   300
                   200
                   100
                     0
                         2007/08     2009/10   2011/12     2013/14    2015/16
                                          With credit    W/O credit
USDA analysis
The Most Plentiful Resource
275 billion tons of Recoverable Coal
Coal is Electrifying

 50+% electricity generated from coal in US
 Abundant, cheap, widely distributed
 Clean coal technologies available now
 Carbon capture and sequestration
 Can be mixed with biomass to lessen emissions
  Coal = high rank biomass
 Can be gasified and liquified
  Coal = heavy oil
Hydro Power #1 Renewable
    in North America
1200


1000


800

                                                 Fossil/Nuke
600                                              Other Renew
                                                 Hydro

400


200


  0
        Canada          US          Mexico



   Total Gigawatt Electricity Generating Capacity (2005)
National Center for Hydrogen Technology
University of North Dakota
Energy and Environmental Research Center
Solar Potential is Regional
Wind could generate as much as
11 trillion kilowatt-hours of electricity each
year on the Great Plains, Great Lakes,
Rocky and Appalachian Mountains.
50,000 megawatts in Canada
Department of Energy Announces $93
million to Support Wind Energy – April
2009
Cross Border Transmission ~ MATL




          It Can Be Done!
Current Transmission in Mexico
Barriers & Bottlenecks
 Uncertainty about the future
 Financial challenges & risk profile of
  new industries
 Materials and construction
  –   Escalating costs and shortages
  –   Contractors running at full capacity
 Distribution and transmission
  –   Highly complex, highly integrated
 Siting and permitting
 TRANSMISSION
What Government Can Do
 Increase incentives for domestic production of
  energy, with gradual but steady focus on
  renewable and clean production
 More investment in and incentives for energy
  efficiency technologies and conservation
  methods
 Early adopter of new technologies, e.g.
  hydrogen, bio jet fuels
 New investment in transmission lines for energy,
  particularly wind, solar and other renewable
  forms
Communities, Regions
      & States Take the Initiative
• State tax incentives,
  credits & goals
• Community-based
  energy & economic
  development initiatives
• Multi-jurisidictional
  energy initiatives, e.g.
  Plug-In Partners
  National Campaign
                             Wenatchee, Washington
Become a
possibility factory!
High Throughput – Combinatorial


 “If you want to have good
    ideas you must have
    many ideas.”

 Linus Pauling
    Quantum chemist & biochemist
    Nobel Prize Winner (2 times)
Questions and Comment

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WIND ENERGY ~ NAFTA Institute ~ Praxis Strategy Group Presentation 6 12 09

  • 1. ALTERNATIVE ENERGY Dave Roby Chief Operating Officer
  • 2. Praxis Strategy Group is a growth strategy company that works with communities, economic development corporations and agencies, research and development organizations, and companies to develop and implement strategic initiatives and business ventures.Financial challenges & risk profile of new industries  An eight-time winner in the Small Business Innovation Research program and a 1997 winner of SBA’s National Tibbetts award for contributions to and success in the SBIR Program.  Business Consulting & funds sourcing  Military Base Assessment & Realignment projects  Managing Center for the Red River Valley Research Corridor – founded by Senior Senator Byron Dorgan  Have developed & executed over 20 Action Summits  Praxis Energy Group LLC  NewGeography.com  Current International projects in London & Ghana  Sister company to Flint Communications (ad agency) & Media Productions (event planning and execution unit)
  • 3. 400+ million People In the USA by 2050 Source: Bureau of the Census, CensusScope
  • 4. US Energy Consumption by Source: 1980-2030 (quadrillion Btu) 140 120 100 Renewable/Other Hydropower 80 Nuclear Coal 60 Natural Gas Petroleum 40 20 0 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 Source: Annual Energy Outlook. Report #:DOE/EIA-0383(2006)
  • 5. OPEC Remains Largest Oil Source in 2030 on Current Path % Total Imports in 2030 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% Canada Mexico North OPEC Other Other Other Other Sea Middle Latin Africa Asia East America
  • 6. National Security Concerns  Our growing dependence on unstable parts of the world  Dangerous and costly military commitments connected to energy needs  Vulnerability of energy flows at global choke points
  • 7. Goals of North American Energy Community Independence from unstable authoritarian governments via a full energy mix of pooled resources from US, Canada & Mexico Reduction in fossil fuel emissions, boosting alternatives + efficiency and conservation improvements go green both ways Creating basis for sustainable economic growth for all of North America
  • 8. When Oil Alternatives are Viable Biodiesel * $80 US Corn-based ethanol * $60 Shale Oil $50 Tar sands, Brazilian cane-based ethanol, Gas-to-liquids, Coal-to-liquids $40 Cambridge Energy Research Associates; The Economist. April 22nd, 2006. *Excludes the impact of tax credits
  • 9. Biomass Resource Capacity Available by County
  • 10. Biomass Fuels the Economy Federal Renewable Fuels Standards Impact requiring production of 7.5 billion gallons by 2012.  the reduction of crude oil imports by 2 billion barrels  reduce payments to foreign oil producers by $64 billion.  potential to create 234,840 new jobs in all sectors of the economy  increase household income by $43 billion  add $200 billion to GDP between 2005-2012  create $6 billion in new investment in renewable fuel production facilities
  • 11. Bio-fuel Potential  In U.S.  5.6 billion gallons of ethanol now in production  6 billion gallon capacity under construction  Cellulosic potential is enormous - provided technical challenges are overcome DOE and USDA  goal of replacing 30% of transportation petroleum used in US by 2030
  • 12.
  • 13. Projected Corn Ethanol Production. . . accounts for <10% of motor fuel needs 14 12 Billion gallons 10 8 6 4 2 0 2007/08 2009/10 2011/12 2013/14 2015/16 With credit/tariff W/O credit/tariff USDA analysis
  • 14. Biodiesel Plants CARD: Iowa State University 5/2007
  • 15. Projected Soy Biodiesel Production. . . w/o tax credit (USDA analysis) 800 700 Million gallons 600 500 400 300 200 100 0 2007/08 2009/10 2011/12 2013/14 2015/16 With credit W/O credit USDA analysis
  • 16. The Most Plentiful Resource 275 billion tons of Recoverable Coal
  • 17. Coal is Electrifying  50+% electricity generated from coal in US  Abundant, cheap, widely distributed  Clean coal technologies available now  Carbon capture and sequestration  Can be mixed with biomass to lessen emissions Coal = high rank biomass  Can be gasified and liquified Coal = heavy oil
  • 18. Hydro Power #1 Renewable in North America 1200 1000 800 Fossil/Nuke 600 Other Renew Hydro 400 200 0 Canada US Mexico Total Gigawatt Electricity Generating Capacity (2005)
  • 19. National Center for Hydrogen Technology University of North Dakota Energy and Environmental Research Center
  • 20. Solar Potential is Regional
  • 21. Wind could generate as much as 11 trillion kilowatt-hours of electricity each year on the Great Plains, Great Lakes, Rocky and Appalachian Mountains. 50,000 megawatts in Canada
  • 22.
  • 23.
  • 24.
  • 25.
  • 26. Department of Energy Announces $93 million to Support Wind Energy – April 2009
  • 27.
  • 28.
  • 29. Cross Border Transmission ~ MATL It Can Be Done!
  • 31.
  • 32.
  • 33.
  • 34.
  • 35.
  • 36. Barriers & Bottlenecks  Uncertainty about the future  Financial challenges & risk profile of new industries  Materials and construction – Escalating costs and shortages – Contractors running at full capacity  Distribution and transmission – Highly complex, highly integrated  Siting and permitting  TRANSMISSION
  • 37. What Government Can Do  Increase incentives for domestic production of energy, with gradual but steady focus on renewable and clean production  More investment in and incentives for energy efficiency technologies and conservation methods  Early adopter of new technologies, e.g. hydrogen, bio jet fuels  New investment in transmission lines for energy, particularly wind, solar and other renewable forms
  • 38. Communities, Regions & States Take the Initiative • State tax incentives, credits & goals • Community-based energy & economic development initiatives • Multi-jurisidictional energy initiatives, e.g. Plug-In Partners National Campaign Wenatchee, Washington
  • 39. Become a possibility factory! High Throughput – Combinatorial “If you want to have good ideas you must have many ideas.” Linus Pauling Quantum chemist & biochemist Nobel Prize Winner (2 times)