1. C LIMATE C HANGE AND V IETNAM’S C OASTS. THOUSANDS OF INFORMATION CHALLENGES AND OPPORTUNITIES. Boris Fabres Consultant, Centre for Marinelife Conservation and Community Development (MCD), Hanoi, Vietnam Email: bafabres@yahoo.com CONSAL XIV, 21-22 April 2009, Hanoi, Vietnam

2. I f CONSAL XIV was in October 2008 in Hanoi

3. L and – S ea – A tmosphere I nterface Sea Level Rise Tides Sea Surface Temperature Waves Ocean Currents Wind, Rainfall River Flow Air Temperature Land Temperature UV Radiation MULTIPLE EFFECTS and INTERACTIONS Single or Additive, Feedbacks, Interactive, Non-linear Physical, Chemical, Biological, Social Timing, “After-Shocks” Scale

4. C oastal V ulnerability: P eople and F ood Each Dot ( ● ) is 100 km 2 Rice planted Elevation Elevation + Poverty Elevation + Rice Blue < 1m

5. Projected Temperature & Sea Level Rise Cities at Risk Sea Level Sea Surface Temperature Pacific Ocean 1957-2006 Sea Surface Temperature South China Sea 1982-1991 2000-2009 2020-2029 2040-2049 2060-2069 Monthly Max.30ºC+ 1 ----- 4 mm/Y

7. Coastal Climate Science Knowledge – “Deluge” (2007) IPCC 4th Assessment > 18,300 scientific publications reviewed (2006) 400,000 blogs discussing the environment and conservation (2003-1971) >28,497 authors - biogeochemistry of coastal ecosystems (2006-1993) Marine climate change literature increased exponentially Number of Authors Social Sciences Coastal Geomorphology Resilience Adaptation Vulnerability Coral Theses & Publications

14. Thank You 20 + Years IPCC 15 + Years UNFCCC 10 + Years Kyoto Protocol We do not have much time