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Raising the Demand for Solar




              Narasimhan Santhanam,
                     Director,
              Energy Alternatives India
                    www.eai.in
Solar Power…

• Smells and tastes no different from coal-
  based/natural gas power

• Is available no better than wind-based power

• Is not a baseload source as hydro power




                                              www.eai.in
IT COSTS FOUR TIMES AS MUCH AS COAL,
     NATURAL GAS, WIND OR HYDRO




                               www.eai.in
AND YET


WE WANT EVERYONE TO USE IT!




                          www.eai.in
Why?


BECAUSE ITS POTENTIAL AS A FUTURE
RENEWABLE ENERGY SOURCE IS IMMENSE




                              www.eai.in
But…
   How does one create demand for a
 commodity that costs four times the price
    at which it is available elsewhere?




                                   www.eai.in
About EAI

• Leading     Indian    renewable     energy    business
  intelligence, market strategy consulting firm
• All primary renewable energy sectors – solar, wind,
  bio-fuels/biomass, waste-to-energy, small hydro
• Market research, entry and diversification strategy,
  economic, financial modeling and pre-feasibility
  analysis
• Professionals from IITs and IIMs, with renewable
  energy, industry research and economics backgrounds
• Based out of Chennai, India
• More at   www.eai.in
                                              www.eai.in
5 Ways to Increase the Demand for
               Solar




                             www.eai.in
Product


      Place


          Positioning


                   Price



                           www.eai.in
1
  Let Go of Grid Solar PV Fixation

“A man with only a hammer sees every
 problem as a nail” – Abraham Maslow




                                 www.eai.in
Not Just Grid Connected, but also
Off-grid

 – Industrial rooftops


 – Domestic rooftops

 – Small community micro-grid power plants
   for rural areas




                                   www.eai.in
Not Just PV, but also Thermal

 – CSP (solar thermal) has higher efficiency than PV
   (21% vs. 17%)


 – CSP has higher chances of becoming baseload
   compatible in future

 – Storing heat is less costly than storing electricity
   (using batteries could increase cost by over 75%)

 – Use of thermal for heating and drying purposes is
   efficient (less losses as no conversion)


                                               www.eai.in
Plethora of Solar Product Possibilities


• Solar Cookers International has rated
  India as the #1 country in the world in
  terms of solar cooking potential;
  estimated potential demand of 10
  million solar cookers in this country

• India has less than 2 million solar water
  heaters. China has 25 million!
                                   www.eai.in
Plethora of Solar Product Possibilities
Consumer Products               Commercial/Industrial Products
Solar Water Heaters            Absorption Chillers
Home Lighting, Street Light,   Boilers
Outdoor Lighting                Solar Thermal Desalination
Solar Lanterns                 Solar Water Pumps
Solar Power Packs              Solar Dryers
Solar Submersible Pumps        Solar based Electric Fences
Solar Pool Covers              Solar LED Signals
Solar Pool Heaters             solar LED Road Studs
Solar Cookers                  Exotica - Solar Panels on Sound
Solar Fencing                  Barriers on Roads
Solar Radio
Solar Candles
Solar Exhaust Fans
Exotica - Solar Powered Bags



                                                   www.eai.in
2
   Take Solar Where Really Needed

“Stop selling. Start helping” - Zig Ziglar



                                    www.eai.in
Take Solar to Unelectrified Villages

   – Over 60,000 villages have no grid
     power
   – TERI’s Lighting a Billion Lives (LaBL)
   – SELCO’s success
   – Innovative processes - Hybrid of
     biomass and solar?
   – Innovative financial schemes


                                     www.eai.in
Tale Solar to Areas with Long Power Cuts

• India’s peak power shortages are expected
  to worsen from:
   – 17% peak deficit in 2009 (23 GW gap), to
   – 25% peak deficit in 2015 (over 60 GW
     shortfall)

• Power disruptions cost over Rs 25,000
  crores per year

                                    www.eai.in
3
      Position Solar diFFeRently

“I took a child’s scribbling and sold it as
   abstract art” – Groucho Marx (att.)




                                      www.eai.in
Position It against the Right Fuel
           (“Diesel Substitute”)
• Let solar PV be compared to diesel generated power;
  Economics almost the same, perhaps even better with
  govt subsidies

      • Over 250,000 cell phone towers, consume about 2 billion
        litres of diesel per year. Move to solar will result in a
        reduction of 5 million tons of CO2 emissions and savings of
        US $1.4 billion in operating expenses.
      • Irrigation Pumps - Promote micro-irrigation
           – 21 million irrigation pumps in India
           – 9 million run on diesel
      • Areas like Andamans almost fully running on diesel power
      • Diesel prices will continue increasing while solar prices will
        continue decreasing
                                                      www.eai.in
Position It as a Safer Fuel
        (“Healthy”)
• Over 80 million families in India use
  kerosene as a fuel
     • Results in acute respiratory infections:
       influenza and pneumonia
     • 2.5 million people suffer severe burns each
       year primarily from upturned lamps
     • Solar/LED provides far better white light than
       kerosene lamps, resulting in less eye strain



                                         www.eai.in
Position It as the Anywhere Fuel
             (“Freedom”)

• Let it not be called solar electricity; let it
  be seen as “powering you anywhere”

   – You cannot take the grid with you
     while on a mountain hike
   – Mobile applications – phones, camping
     and related travel
   – Using it where it is application specific
     – local refrigeration for preserving milk
                                        www.eai.in
Position It as a Corporate Statement
          (“Responsibility”)
– Companies keen on making green
  statements out of both genuine concern
  and for branding
   • Infosys has a CSR budget of Rs 20 Crores


– Facilitate such adoption by providing
  customized solutions and benefits
   • Awards and recognition


                                      www.eai.in
4
      Provide External Stimuli

“Governments should act when markets
           can’t” - Anon




                                 www.eai.in
Stimuli Using Incentives

   • Incentives
     – REC
     – CER
     – F-I-T
     – CDM
     – Net Metering
     – Other Financial Incentives

                                www.eai.in
Stimuli through Regulations
         • Mandates such as the RPOs/SPOs
         • “Increase” the prices of substitutes
                   • Carbon tax
                   • Reduce subsidies for fossil fuels and
                     provide it for solar
# of households using kerosene            7.6 crores
Total kerosene used per year              3.6 billion liters
Savings to govt from subsidy avoidance    Rs 1200
per household per year
Cost of a solar PV solution per BPL       Rs 20,000 / Approx Rs 1300
household / cost per year with 15 years
lifetime

                                                                  www.eai.in
5
        Invent the Future

"The best way to predict the future is to
         invent it." - Alan Kay




                                     www.eai.in
Technology Innovations

Adapt Pure Tech Innovations Innovate on Indianized
                            Solutions

Cell efficiency increases   India-specific applications

Storage breakthroughs       India-specific products

Thin film innovations       India-specific adoption




                                                          www.eai.in
Financing Innovations
• Microfinance
  – SKS Microfinance, India's largest MFI, offers solar
    lamps to its 5 million customers
  – SELCO works with many microfinance institutions

• “Softer” Loans
  – Already available for a range of consumer solar
    products (at interest rates 5% and below)
  – Capital subsidies available along with soft loans

• Public-private Partnerships
                                              www.eai.in
Raising the Demand for
Solar

1. Let Go of Grid Solar PV Fixation
2. Take Solar Where Really Needed
3. Position Solar Differently
4. Provide External Stimuli
5. Invent the Future




                               www.eai.in
“The significant problems that we face
 today cannot be solved with the same
     mentality that created them”
           Albert Einstein




                                  www.eai.in
Let There be Sun!

      Narasimhan Santhanam,
Director, Energy Alternatives India
narsi@eai.in, Mob: +91-98413-48117


          www.eai.in

                                      www.eai.in

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Narsi presentation iitm nov 2012

  • 1. Raising the Demand for Solar Narasimhan Santhanam, Director, Energy Alternatives India www.eai.in
  • 2. Solar Power… • Smells and tastes no different from coal- based/natural gas power • Is available no better than wind-based power • Is not a baseload source as hydro power www.eai.in
  • 3. IT COSTS FOUR TIMES AS MUCH AS COAL, NATURAL GAS, WIND OR HYDRO www.eai.in
  • 4. AND YET WE WANT EVERYONE TO USE IT! www.eai.in
  • 5. Why? BECAUSE ITS POTENTIAL AS A FUTURE RENEWABLE ENERGY SOURCE IS IMMENSE www.eai.in
  • 6. But… How does one create demand for a commodity that costs four times the price at which it is available elsewhere? www.eai.in
  • 7. About EAI • Leading Indian renewable energy business intelligence, market strategy consulting firm • All primary renewable energy sectors – solar, wind, bio-fuels/biomass, waste-to-energy, small hydro • Market research, entry and diversification strategy, economic, financial modeling and pre-feasibility analysis • Professionals from IITs and IIMs, with renewable energy, industry research and economics backgrounds • Based out of Chennai, India • More at www.eai.in www.eai.in
  • 8. 5 Ways to Increase the Demand for Solar www.eai.in
  • 9. Product Place Positioning Price www.eai.in
  • 10. 1 Let Go of Grid Solar PV Fixation “A man with only a hammer sees every problem as a nail” – Abraham Maslow www.eai.in
  • 11. Not Just Grid Connected, but also Off-grid – Industrial rooftops – Domestic rooftops – Small community micro-grid power plants for rural areas www.eai.in
  • 12. Not Just PV, but also Thermal – CSP (solar thermal) has higher efficiency than PV (21% vs. 17%) – CSP has higher chances of becoming baseload compatible in future – Storing heat is less costly than storing electricity (using batteries could increase cost by over 75%) – Use of thermal for heating and drying purposes is efficient (less losses as no conversion) www.eai.in
  • 13. Plethora of Solar Product Possibilities • Solar Cookers International has rated India as the #1 country in the world in terms of solar cooking potential; estimated potential demand of 10 million solar cookers in this country • India has less than 2 million solar water heaters. China has 25 million! www.eai.in
  • 14. Plethora of Solar Product Possibilities Consumer Products Commercial/Industrial Products Solar Water Heaters Absorption Chillers Home Lighting, Street Light, Boilers Outdoor Lighting Solar Thermal Desalination Solar Lanterns Solar Water Pumps Solar Power Packs Solar Dryers Solar Submersible Pumps Solar based Electric Fences Solar Pool Covers Solar LED Signals Solar Pool Heaters solar LED Road Studs Solar Cookers Exotica - Solar Panels on Sound Solar Fencing Barriers on Roads Solar Radio Solar Candles Solar Exhaust Fans Exotica - Solar Powered Bags www.eai.in
  • 15. 2 Take Solar Where Really Needed “Stop selling. Start helping” - Zig Ziglar www.eai.in
  • 16. Take Solar to Unelectrified Villages – Over 60,000 villages have no grid power – TERI’s Lighting a Billion Lives (LaBL) – SELCO’s success – Innovative processes - Hybrid of biomass and solar? – Innovative financial schemes www.eai.in
  • 17. Tale Solar to Areas with Long Power Cuts • India’s peak power shortages are expected to worsen from: – 17% peak deficit in 2009 (23 GW gap), to – 25% peak deficit in 2015 (over 60 GW shortfall) • Power disruptions cost over Rs 25,000 crores per year www.eai.in
  • 18. 3 Position Solar diFFeRently “I took a child’s scribbling and sold it as abstract art” – Groucho Marx (att.) www.eai.in
  • 19. Position It against the Right Fuel (“Diesel Substitute”) • Let solar PV be compared to diesel generated power; Economics almost the same, perhaps even better with govt subsidies • Over 250,000 cell phone towers, consume about 2 billion litres of diesel per year. Move to solar will result in a reduction of 5 million tons of CO2 emissions and savings of US $1.4 billion in operating expenses. • Irrigation Pumps - Promote micro-irrigation – 21 million irrigation pumps in India – 9 million run on diesel • Areas like Andamans almost fully running on diesel power • Diesel prices will continue increasing while solar prices will continue decreasing www.eai.in
  • 20. Position It as a Safer Fuel (“Healthy”) • Over 80 million families in India use kerosene as a fuel • Results in acute respiratory infections: influenza and pneumonia • 2.5 million people suffer severe burns each year primarily from upturned lamps • Solar/LED provides far better white light than kerosene lamps, resulting in less eye strain www.eai.in
  • 21. Position It as the Anywhere Fuel (“Freedom”) • Let it not be called solar electricity; let it be seen as “powering you anywhere” – You cannot take the grid with you while on a mountain hike – Mobile applications – phones, camping and related travel – Using it where it is application specific – local refrigeration for preserving milk www.eai.in
  • 22. Position It as a Corporate Statement (“Responsibility”) – Companies keen on making green statements out of both genuine concern and for branding • Infosys has a CSR budget of Rs 20 Crores – Facilitate such adoption by providing customized solutions and benefits • Awards and recognition www.eai.in
  • 23. 4 Provide External Stimuli “Governments should act when markets can’t” - Anon www.eai.in
  • 24. Stimuli Using Incentives • Incentives – REC – CER – F-I-T – CDM – Net Metering – Other Financial Incentives www.eai.in
  • 25. Stimuli through Regulations • Mandates such as the RPOs/SPOs • “Increase” the prices of substitutes • Carbon tax • Reduce subsidies for fossil fuels and provide it for solar # of households using kerosene 7.6 crores Total kerosene used per year 3.6 billion liters Savings to govt from subsidy avoidance Rs 1200 per household per year Cost of a solar PV solution per BPL Rs 20,000 / Approx Rs 1300 household / cost per year with 15 years lifetime www.eai.in
  • 26. 5 Invent the Future "The best way to predict the future is to invent it." - Alan Kay www.eai.in
  • 27. Technology Innovations Adapt Pure Tech Innovations Innovate on Indianized Solutions Cell efficiency increases India-specific applications Storage breakthroughs India-specific products Thin film innovations India-specific adoption www.eai.in
  • 28. Financing Innovations • Microfinance – SKS Microfinance, India's largest MFI, offers solar lamps to its 5 million customers – SELCO works with many microfinance institutions • “Softer” Loans – Already available for a range of consumer solar products (at interest rates 5% and below) – Capital subsidies available along with soft loans • Public-private Partnerships www.eai.in
  • 29. Raising the Demand for Solar 1. Let Go of Grid Solar PV Fixation 2. Take Solar Where Really Needed 3. Position Solar Differently 4. Provide External Stimuli 5. Invent the Future www.eai.in
  • 30. “The significant problems that we face today cannot be solved with the same mentality that created them” Albert Einstein www.eai.in
  • 31. Let There be Sun! Narasimhan Santhanam, Director, Energy Alternatives India narsi@eai.in, Mob: +91-98413-48117 www.eai.in www.eai.in

Notas del editor

  1. Notes:Keep texts to the minimumLots of graphsSome good graphicsAny other visualSlide transition – at bottom and topic separators