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Complexity Multipliers
Jason Felice
@eraserhd
Tuesday, August 27, 13
Act I: Models
Tuesday, August 27, 13
How to Understand Things
Stolen from Gerald Weinberg
Tuesday, August 27, 13
“Complexity”
Tuesday, August 27, 13
Complexity Multiplier
• A change which increases the cost of future
activities.
Tuesday, August 27, 13
• 50 Tasks
• Average task takes 5 days, normally
distributed, with a deviation of 2 days
A Really Simple Model
Tuesday, August 27, 13
Tuesday, August 27, 13
• 50 Tasks
• Tasks start as an average of 5 days with
about 2 day deviation
• Each task accrues a 1% complexity
multiplier - about 20 minutes on the first
task
A Better Model
Tuesday, August 27, 13
Tuesday, August 27, 13
• 50 Tasks
• Tasks start as an average of 5 days with
about 2 day deviation
• Each task has a 10% probability of incurring
about 20% complexity (with a deviation of
about 4%)
A “Realistic” Model
Tuesday, August 27, 13
Tuesday, August 27, 13
Tuesday, August 27, 13
From Mythical Man Month, Fred Brooks
Tuesday, August 27, 13
Act II: Conflict
Tuesday, August 27, 13
A task can almost always be
completed more quickly by
ignoring its effect on the
complexity of the system.
The Trade-Off
Tuesday, August 27, 13
“Let’s Maintain Two”
• Code modules
• Git repositories
• Code paths
• Config files
Tuesday, August 27, 13
“A basic principle of data processing teaches
the folly of trying to maintain independent
files in synchronism. It is far better to
combine them into one file with each record
containing all the information both files held
concerning a given key.”
– Fred Brooks (in 1975)
Tuesday, August 27, 13
Stage Gates
• Sign-off required by another team
• Work required by another team
• Any process required for each task (or
group of tasks) to proceed
Tuesday, August 27, 13
Communication
Tuesday, August 27, 13
FuzzyVersion Matching
• Package A: 2 point versions released
• Package B: 3 point versions released
• Package C: 2 point versions released
• Total: 12 configurations
Tuesday, August 27, 13
Language Design
Tuesday, August 27, 13
(defvar foo 42)
(defun foo ()
79)
(defmacro foo ()
‘(* 7 9))
Tuesday, August 27, 13
(symbol-value ‘foo)
=> 42
(symbol-function ‘foo)
=> #<FUNCTION FOO>
; equivalent to #‘foo
(macro-function ‘foo)
=> #<FUNCTION {...}>
Tuesday, August 27, 13
(setf ‘foo 24)
(setf
(symbol-function ‘foo)
#’(lambda () 26)))
(setf
(macro-function ‘foo)
#’(lambda (x) x))
Tuesday, August 27, 13
(let ((bar 5))
...)
(flet ((bar ()
6))
...)
(symbol-macrolet ((foo ()
‘(* 6 4)))
...)
Tuesday, August 27, 13
(let* ((bar 5)
(baz (* bar 2)))
...)
(labels ((bar ()
5)
(baz ()
(* (bar) 2)))
...)
; No equiv. for symbol-macrolet
Tuesday, August 27, 13
defun
defvar
defmacro
macro-function
symbol-value
symbol-function
let
let*
flet
labels
symbol-macrolet
macrolet
compiler-let
makunbound
fmakunbound
Tuesday, August 27, 13
define
let
let*
define-syntax
let-syntax
let-syntax*
Tuesday, August 27, 13
=
Tuesday, August 27, 13
(let ((x 5))
(labels ((somefn ()
...))
(let ((y 7))
(labels ((otherfn ()
...))
...))))
Tuesday, August 27, 13
(let* ((x 5)
(somefun (lambda () ...))
(y 7)
(otherfun (lambda () ...)))
...)
Tuesday, August 27, 13
x = 5
somefun = ...
y = 7
otherfun = ...
Tuesday, August 27, 13
Java
• int versus Integer
• int[] versus List<Integer>
• (autoboxing only works for simple types)
Tuesday, August 27, 13
In Node.js
• CPS-style functions versus regular functions
Tuesday, August 27, 13
Act III: Resolution
Tuesday, August 27, 13
Complexity Dividers
(or “Complexity Multipliers < 1.0”)
Tuesday, August 27, 13
Tuesday, August 27, 13
Tuesday, August 27, 13

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Complexity Multipliers