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Equity and Health in the Era of
Reforms
Gita Sen
Indian Institute of Management
Bangalore

4th Krishna Raj Memorial Lecture on
Contemporary Issues in Health and Social
Sciences
CEHAT / Anusandhan Trust, Mumbai, April 9, 2010
Acknowledgements
• First of all, of course, to Krishna Raj, about
  whose contribution to informed public debate
  in this country, enough can never be said. I am
  deeply honoured, beyond my ability to
  adequately express.
• Many thanks to the Anusandhan Trust,
  eSocialSciences; Dept. of Economics,
  Mumbai University; P.G. Dept. of Economics,
  SNDT Women’s University and Tata Institute
  of Social Sciences (TISS) for inviting me to
  give this lecture
Acknowledgements
• I also want to acknowledge my long intellectual
  partnership with Dr Aditi Iyer in our joint work
  on equity and intersectionality, and all the fun
  we have had doing it! This lecture is based
  partly on that previous work, and on our
  ongoing analysis of the NSS 60th round for
  which Aditi provides the data and analysis
  muscle!
• Prof Chandan Mukherjee who has been our
  great support and colleague in this work from
  early on.
• And to Vasini Vardhan, many thanks for her
  hard work on the literature review.
INTRODUCTION
Equity in health – why do we care?

• Isn’t a consideration of the level (average or that
  of the lowest in the socioeconomic order)
  enough? Why should we be concerned about
  relative levels?
• 3 approaches: Ethicist / social activist versus
  pragmatist /policy administrator
  ▫ Raise the average level
  ▫ Raise the minimum level
  ▫ Reduce inequality
Equity in health – why do we care?
•   A problem of communication?
•   A problem of information?
•   A problem of politics / ideology?
•   All the above, BUT
•   Focusing on the average level or on improving
    the health of the worst off also plays safe; it
    doesn’t always ask hard questions about social
    structures that a focus on inequality almost
    inevitably leads to.
Inequality matters – Wilkinson’s
answer
• Richard Wilkinson: “Almost everyone benefits from
  greater equality. Usually the benefits are greatest
  among the poor but extend to the majority of the
  population.”


• (Acknowledgement to Prof R Wilkinson for the next
  slides)
Health and Social Problems are not Related to Average Income in
              Rich Countries




  Index of:
  • Life expectancy
  • Math & Literacy
  • Infant mortality
  • Homicides
  • Imprisonment
  • Teenage births
  • Trust
  • Obesity
  • Mental illness – incl.
    drug & alcohol
    addiction
  • Social mobility




Source: Wilkinson & Pickett, The Spirit Level (2009)            www.equalitytrust.org.uk
Health and Social Problems are Worse in More Unequal Countries




  Index of:
  • Life expectancy
  • Math & Literacy
  • Infant mortality
  • Homicides
  • Imprisonment
  • Teenage births
  • Trust
  • Obesity
  • Mental illness – incl.
    drug & alcohol
    addiction
  • Social mobility




Source: Wilkinson & Pickett, The Spirit Level (2009)     www.equalitytrust.org.uk
Equity in health – the fallacy of
congruence
• Yes, inequality matters for health but what kind
  of inequality?
• Can different dimensions of inequality be viewed
  as collapsible into each other?
• Does focusing on economic class inequality tell
  us enough? Does it tell us the right things?
• Does how we look at inequality need to be both
  multi-dimensional and intersectional?
Equity in health – the fallacy of
congruence
Wilkinson & Pickett: “…what matters is the extent
 of social class differentiation. No one suggests
 that it is blackness itself which matters. Rather it
 is the social meaning attached to it – the fact
 that it serves as a marker for class and attracts
 class prejudice – which leads both to worse
 health and to wider income differences.” (Social
 Science and Medicine 62 (2006) pp 1778-9)
EQUITY IN HEALTH CARE 1986-87 TO
2004
Health care – 1986-87 to 2004
• Extends our earlier analysis (Sen, Iyer and George,
  EPW April 6, 2002) of NSS surveys on morbidity
  and health care (42nd round – 1986-87 and 52nd
  round – 1995-96) to the 60th round – 2004
• Looks at both economic class & gender –
  interpretation draws on insights from our work in
  Koppal
• Some changes in definitions and reference
  periods which I will only touch upon in places,
  and are being discussed in detail in our
  forthcoming paper
Features of the benchmark period
 India’ s health care system already highly
 inequitable by the mid 1980s prior to the
 start of economic reforms in 1991
   >70% health expenditure out of pocket
   Large rural – urban differences in
   availability of services
   Poor quality and uneven reach of public
   services
   Highly unregulated private sector
Features of the benchmark period
contd

  However:
   Public hospitals (even if doubtful quality)
   available to the poor especially for
   inpatient care
   Significant drug price control (over 300
   drugs) in the essential, controlled price
   list
   Thriving (pre-WTO) indigenous drug
   production (through reverse engineering)
   kept drugs available and competitively
Key Questions
• What happened in the period after economic
  reforms began?
• Important policy shifts:
  ▫ Sharp reduction in the controlled drugs list leading to
    significant increases in drug prices
  ▫ Entry of user fees and two-tier services in public
    hospitals – those below the poverty line are supposed
    to get services free including drugs, but this is rarely
    the case (under the counter payments, and drugs
    have almost always to be purchased outside)
• Did gender and class inequalities in access to care
  change?
Evidence
• We will look through gender and economic
  class lenses at:
  ▫ untreated morbidity
  ▫ reasons for non-treatment
  ▫ the shifting public – private mix
  ▫ the cost of care
• Simple gradient – gap methodology to
 examine inequality
But first a word about self-reported
illness
 Concerns about under-reporting of illness
 especially by the poor and women led the
 National Sample Survey to try to improve
 coverage through better training and
 instructions to enumerators etc.
Q: what was the result?
Rates of perceived
morbidity: All India
Rates of perceived morbidity: Male versus Female (Rural)


                      25
No. per 100 persons




                      20

                      15

                      10

                      5

                      0
                            Quintile 1      Quintile 2   Quintile 3      Quintile 4      Quintile 5
                            (poorest)                                                    (richest)
                                                         Rural


                           Male (1986-87)                             Female (1986-87)
                           Male (1995-96)                             Female (1995-96)
                           Male (2004)                                Female (2004)
Rates of perceived morbidity: Male versus Female (Urban)


                      25
No. per 100 persons




                      20

                      15

                      10

                      5

                      0
                            Quintile 1      Quintile 2   Quintile 3      Quintile 4      Quintile 5
                            (poorest)                                                    (richest)
                                                         Urban

                           Male (1986-87)                             Female (1986-87)
                           Male (1995-96)                             Female (1995-96)
                           Male (2004)                                Female (2004)
• What does the pattern over time in self-reported
  morbidity tell us? NSS made a serious attempt to
  improve its capture of illness; yet a class gradient
  has emerged in both rural and urban areas, and
  more for women than men. Very little gender gap
  among rural poor.
• Not plausible that the rich are more ill
• Under-reporting due to ‘normalisation’ of illness by
  poor (both men and women) even more sharp in
  relative terms?
Q: whose ill-health is the NSS capturing better?
Summary Results – Morbidity Reporting
Morbidity
• 1986-87 (pre-reform benchmark, 42nd round)
  – No significant class gradient (based on MPCE
    fractiles) or major gap in self-reported morbidity for
    either women or men
• 1995-96 (52nd round)
  – Across the board increase in self-reported morbidity,
    with the emergence of significant class differences in
    reporting; also some more gender differences
• 2004 (60th round)
  ▫ Even further sharpened class gradient for both women
    and men; sharper gender differences but at the upper
    end
Rates of persons never
treated: All India
Never treated vs discontinued
treatment?
• Difference between those never treated and
  those who discontinued treatment?
• Apparently - an increase in those discontinuing
  treatment, becoming greater by 2004 and with a
  sharper gradient
• May indicate a shift from never being treated to
  discontinuing treatment even though illness
  continued
Persons ‘never treated’
and ‘discontinuing
treatment’
Rates of persons never treated: Gender divide (Rural)
                                                                                                                                          25




                                                                                                             No. per 100 ailing persons
                                                                                                                                          20

                                                                                                                                          15

                                                                                                                                          10

                                                                                                                                           5
                             25
No. per 100 ailing persons




                                                                                                                                           0
                             20
                                                                                                                                                Quintile 1      Quintile 2   Quintile 3      Quintile 4      Quintile 5
                                                                                                                                                (poorest)                                                    (richest)
                             15                                                                                                                                              Rural

                             10                                                                                                                Male (1995-96)                             Female (1995-96)


                             5
                                                                                                                                          25
                             0                                                                               No. per 100 ailing persons
                                   Quintile 1      Quintile 2   Quintile 3      Quintile 4      Quintile 5                                20
                                   (poorest)                                                    (richest)
                                                                Rural
                                                                                                                                          15
                                  Male (1986-87)                             Female (1986-87)
                                                                                                                                          10

                                                                                                                                          5

                                                                                                                                          0
                                                                                                                                                Quintile 1      Quintile 2   Quintile 3      Quintile 4      Quintile 5
                                                                                                                                                (poorest)                                                    (richest)
                                                                                                                                                                             Rural

                                                                                                                                                Male (2004)                                Female (2004)
Rates of persons never treated: Gender divide (Urban)
                                                                                                                                                           20




                                                                                                             No. per 100 ailing persons
                                                                                                                                                           15


                             20                                                                                                                            10
No. per 100 ailing persons




                             15                                                                                                                            5


                             10                                                                                                                            0
                                                                                                                                                                     Quintile 1      Quintile 2    Quintile 3        Quintile 4     Quintile 5
                                                                                                                                                                     (poorest)                                                      (richest)
                             5                                                                                                                                                                     Urban

                                                                                                                                                                    Male (1995-96)                               Female (1995-96)
                             0
                                   Quintile 1      Quintile 2   Quintile 3       Quintile 4     Quintile 5
                                   (poorest)                                                    (richest)
                                                                 Urban
                                                                                                                                                            20
                                  Male (1986-87)                             Female (1986-87)
                                                                                                                              No. per 100 ailing persons
                                                                                                                                                            15


                                                                                                                                                            10


                                                                                                                                                                5


                                                                                                                                                                0
                                                                                                                                                                      Quintile 1      Quintile 2    Quintile 3        Quintile 4     Quintile 5
                                                                                                                                                                      (poorest)                                                      (richest)
                                                                                                                                                                                                     Urban

                                                                                                                                                                      Male (2004)                                  Female (2004)
Summary Results – Untreated morbidity

Untreated Morbidity
• 1986-87 (pre-reform benchmark, 42nd round)
  – Significant class gradient and gender differences in untreated
    morbidity – women and the poor worse off; gender gap mainly at
    the bottom (rationing?)
• 1995-96 (52nd round)
  – The class gradient worsened for all groups
  – Some improvement in rates for poorest women (not sure why) ,
    but sharp worsening for poorest men – perverse catch up?
  – Gender gap tended to close at the bottom
• 2004 (60th round)
  ▫ Not much change but some worsening of the gradient for rural
    men – gender gap almost closed – perverse catch up at the
    bottom?
Insights from Koppal on untreated
morbidity
• Traditional analysis too simplistic and may
  actually mask what is actually going on, not only
  in terms of gender, but even in terms of class
• Apparent class results may actually be
  gendered results
2. Method:
Illustration of hypotheses testing


• Illustrative evidence from cross-sectional household
  health survey in Koppal district
   – 60 villages, 1920 households, 12,328 individuals
   – Health seeking and expenditures during pregnancy,
     for short- and long-term illness

• Illustration of intersectional analysis for long-term illness:
  non-treatment and discontinued treatment
Non-treatment of long-term ailments

                       Likelihood of non-treatment of long-term ailments:
                           Differences by gender and economic class

              6.00
              5.00
              4.00
Odds ratios




              3.00

              2.00



                     Poorest     Poor       Non-poor   Poor men   Non-poor      Poorest
              1.00
                     w omen     w omen       w omen                 men           men

                               ■ p < 0.05     □ p > 0.05    □ Reference group
Discontinued treatment for long-term ailments

                     Likelihood of discontinued treatment for long-term ailments:
                               Differences by gender & economic class


              1.75

              1.50
Odds ratios




              1.25                                                    Non-poor     Poor
                                                                       w omen      men
              1.00
                       Poorest    Poorest      Poor        Non-poor
                       w omen      men        w omen         men

                                 ■ p < 0.05   □ p > 0.05       □ Reference group
Continued treatment for long-term ailments

                     Likelihood of continued treatment for long-term ailments:
                             Differences by gender & economic class
                     Poorest      Poor       Poorest    Non-poor
                     w omen      w omen       men        w omen
              1.00
              0.90                                                 Non-poor      Poor
                                                                     men         men
              0.80
Odds ratios




              0.70

              0.60

              0.50


              0.40              ■ p < 0.05     □ p > 0.05    □ Reference group
Distribution of reasons for non-treatment: Rural India
             100


              80
Percentage




              60


              40


              20


               0
                    Male (1995-96)   Female (1995-96)       Male (2004)           Female (2004)
                                                    Rural

    Medical facility unavailable     Financial barriers   Illness not "serious"     Other reasons
Distribution of reasons for non-treatment: Rural India
100                                                                 100

80                                                                  80

60                                                                  60

40                                                                  40

20                                                                  20

 0                                                                   0
       Q1           Q2            Q3           Q4          Q5              Q1           Q2           Q3           Q4          Q5
                           Male (1995-96)                                                  Female (1995-96)

      Financial barriers    Illness not "serious"   Other reasons         Financial barriers   Illness not "serious"   Other reasons
100                                                                 100

80                                                                  80

60                                                                  60

40                                                                  40

20                                                                  20

 0                                                                   0
       Q1           Q2            Q3           Q4          Q5              Q1           Q2           Q3           Q4          Q5
                            Male (2004)                                                        Female (2004)
Distribution of reasons for non-treatment: Urban India
             100


              80
Percentage




              60


              40


              20


               0
                    Male (1995-96)   Female (1995-96)      Male (2004)           Female (2004)
                                                   Urban

    Medical facility unavailable     Financial reasons   Illness not "serious"     Other reasons
Distribution of reasons for non-treatment: Urban India
100                                                                 100

80                                                                  80

60                                                                  60

40                                                                  40

20                                                                  20

 0                                                                   0
       Q1           Q2            Q3           Q4          Q5              Q1           Q2           Q3           Q4          Q5
                           Male (1995-96)                                                  Female (1995-96)

      Financial barriers    Illness not "serious"   Other reasons         Financial barriers   Illness not "serious"   Other reasons
100                                                                 100

 80                                                                 80

 60                                                                 60

 40                                                                 40

 20                                                                 20

  0                                                                  0
       Q1          Q2            Q3           Q4          Q5               Q1           Q2           Q3           Q4          Q5
                            Male (2004)                                                        Female (2004)
Summary results – reasons for non-
treatment
• 1995-96 (52nd round)
 – Gender difference – men more likely to
  say ‘financial reasons’ than ‘illness not
  serious’
 –Significant class gradient in all groups
• 2004 (60th round)
 ▫ Even worse at the bottom in terms of
   financial reasons; 40% of women in
   quintile 1 (rural), and almost similar for
   men
 ▫ Yes; health care costs have increased for
   everyone but more damaging for the poor
Health providers used for outpatient care: Rural India
Health providers used for outpatient care: Urban India
Health providers used for inpatient care: Rural India
Health providers used for inpatient care: Urban India
Summary results – public-private mix
1986-87
• Private-public mix
  –70% of outpatient (OP)care was in the
   private sector (private doctors), but
  –60% of inpatient (IP)care was in the public
   sector (largely public hospitals) – both
   rural and urban
• Cost of care
  –Private : public cost of care practically
   equal in OP, but a little over double for IP
Hospitalised patients in public hospitals - Rural
                    Class Distribution: 1986-87, 1995-96, 2004


40.0


30.0
                                                        y = 2.8802x + 2.7649

20.0   y = -0.6619x + 16.933                                          y = 1.1377x + 9.7351


10.0


 0.0
       00 to 10    10 to 20    20 to 40     40 to 60    60 to 80   80 to 90    90 to 100

                                 MPCE Fractiles

         1986-87                          1995-96                       2004
         Linear (1995-96)                 Linear (1986-87)              Linear (2004)
Hospitalised patients in private hospitals - Rural
                   Class Distribution: 1986-87, 1995-96, 2004


40.0


30.0                                                  y = 5.2561x - 6.7386


20.0                                                                 y = 3.4704x + 0.4043
       y = 0.8385x + 10.932
10.0


 0.0
       00 to 10   10 to 20    20 to 40     40 to 60    60 to 80    80 to 90   90 to 100

                                MPCE Fractiles

        1986-87                          1995-96                        2004
        Linear (1995-96)                 Linear (1986-87)               Linear (2004)
Hospitalised patients in public hospitals - Urban
                    Class Distribution: 1986-87, 1995-96, 2004


40.0


30.0

       y = -1.511x + 20.33
20.0                                                              y = 0.3122x + 13.037


10.0                                             y = -1.421x + 19.97

 0.0
       00 to 10    10 to 20   20 to 40     40 to 60    60 to 80      80 to 90    90 to 100

                                MPCE Fractiles

         1986-87                         1995-96                          2004
         Linear (1995-96)                Linear (1986-87)                 Linear (2004)
Hospitalised patients in private hospitals - Urban
                    Class Distribution: 1986-87, 1995-96, 2004


40.0


30.0
                                                      y = 3.5131x + 0.2334
20.0
       y = 0.2487x + 13.291

10.0                                                              y = 1.7397x + 7.3269


 0.0
       00 to 10    10 to 20   20 to 40     40 to 60    60 to 80     80 to 90   90 to 100

                                MPCE Fractiles

         1986-87                         1995-96                         2004
         Linear (1995-96)                Linear (1986-87)                Linear (2004)
Summary results – hospital use
Service utilization
• 1986-87 (pre-reform benchmark, 42nd round)
  – No major class gradient in overall hospital use for
    inpatient (IP) care – both rural and urban
• 1995-96 (52nd round)
  – Distribution of hospital use tilts sharply towards the
    upper end
  – Those at the top use not only more of the private
    hospitals but also of the public hospitals
• 2004 (60th round)
  ▫ Some flattening of the slope of the distribution but still
    significant (except for public urban hospitals)
Expenditure on inpatient care: All India

12000

10000

 8000
                                             1986-87
 6000                                        1995-96
                                             2004
 4000

 2000

    0
          Public           Private   12000

                   Rural
                                     10000

                                      8000
                           1986-87
                           1995-96    6000
                           2004
                                      4000

                                      2000

                                         0
                                                       Public           Private
                                                                Urban
Average medical expenditures on hospitalisation at
   constant (1986-87) prices
3500

3000

2500

2000                                                 1986-87
                                                     1995-96
1500                                                 2004

1000

 500

   0
             Public                 Private   3500

                       Rural                  3000

                                              2500

                                    1986-87   2000
                                    1995-96
                                    2004      1500

                                              1000
       Source: Selvaraj and Karan
                (2009)                         500

                                                 0
                                                               Public           Private
                                                                        Urban
Summary results of the comparison
• Overall, reporting on illness, extent of non-
  treatment and discontinued treatment went up
  sharply
• Serious increases in the costs of care, and in
  financial reasons for non-treatment (related
  largely to drug prices but also possibly to user
  charges?)
• Micro level in-depth studies on reasons for
  households falling into poverty (e.g. Anirudh
  Krishna) show that health expenditures are a
  major reason (among the top 3)
Summary results of the comparison
• Class gradients sharply worse in the mid-1990s with
  some moderation in 2004 but still sharp
• Gender gaps persist but moderated in some
  instances – perverse catch up by poorest men in
  terms of non-treatment and financial reasons for it
• Hospital use for care – the better off are more likely
  to go to private hospitals for inpatient care but they
  use more of both private AND public hospitals
  (some reversal in urban public hospitals in 2004)
• The poorest still depend on public hospitals (>55%
  of use) even in 2004 even though they cater more to
  the rich
Recent policy trends
 The only game in policy town is the
 National Rural Health Mission:
  Many pluses – increasing health budget,
  focus on maternal mortality, strong
  leadership and management inputs, good
  technical backstopping, openness to civil
  society and to third party review
 What about health inequality, overall
 access to the poor, and health costs? Drug
 prices?
Conclusions
• Health inequalities have both over time and
  cross sectional dimensions – both gender and
  class
• Period of economic reforms has sharply
  worsened access, use and cost of care to the
  poor
• Non-treatment and discontinuation have gone
  up
Conclusions
• Gender differences are important but poorest men
  appear to be catching up with poorest women in
  perverse ways
• Caveat: what about caste?
• However, our Koppal work raises larger
  methodological issues about how to analyse the
  intersections between different dimensions of
  inequality
• Simplistic class and gender analysis not enough –
  may mask or even distort our analysis of what is
  happening
Closing words
• Studying inequality is not just about
  methodology but also politics…
• Additional insights from Koppal about
  intersectionality - Not just the extremes but what
  is happening to the groups in the middle – those
  who may be advantaged on one dimension and
  disadvantaged on others?
Closing words
• Nuanced, unprejudiced and open analysis is the
  best tribute we can pay to Krishna Raj’s
  extraordinary work and life…




• Thank you.

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Equity and Health in the Era of Reforms

  • 1. Equity and Health in the Era of Reforms Gita Sen Indian Institute of Management Bangalore 4th Krishna Raj Memorial Lecture on Contemporary Issues in Health and Social Sciences CEHAT / Anusandhan Trust, Mumbai, April 9, 2010
  • 2. Acknowledgements • First of all, of course, to Krishna Raj, about whose contribution to informed public debate in this country, enough can never be said. I am deeply honoured, beyond my ability to adequately express. • Many thanks to the Anusandhan Trust, eSocialSciences; Dept. of Economics, Mumbai University; P.G. Dept. of Economics, SNDT Women’s University and Tata Institute of Social Sciences (TISS) for inviting me to give this lecture
  • 3. Acknowledgements • I also want to acknowledge my long intellectual partnership with Dr Aditi Iyer in our joint work on equity and intersectionality, and all the fun we have had doing it! This lecture is based partly on that previous work, and on our ongoing analysis of the NSS 60th round for which Aditi provides the data and analysis muscle! • Prof Chandan Mukherjee who has been our great support and colleague in this work from early on. • And to Vasini Vardhan, many thanks for her hard work on the literature review.
  • 5. Equity in health – why do we care? • Isn’t a consideration of the level (average or that of the lowest in the socioeconomic order) enough? Why should we be concerned about relative levels? • 3 approaches: Ethicist / social activist versus pragmatist /policy administrator ▫ Raise the average level ▫ Raise the minimum level ▫ Reduce inequality
  • 6. Equity in health – why do we care? • A problem of communication? • A problem of information? • A problem of politics / ideology? • All the above, BUT • Focusing on the average level or on improving the health of the worst off also plays safe; it doesn’t always ask hard questions about social structures that a focus on inequality almost inevitably leads to.
  • 7. Inequality matters – Wilkinson’s answer • Richard Wilkinson: “Almost everyone benefits from greater equality. Usually the benefits are greatest among the poor but extend to the majority of the population.” • (Acknowledgement to Prof R Wilkinson for the next slides)
  • 8. Health and Social Problems are not Related to Average Income in Rich Countries Index of: • Life expectancy • Math & Literacy • Infant mortality • Homicides • Imprisonment • Teenage births • Trust • Obesity • Mental illness – incl. drug & alcohol addiction • Social mobility Source: Wilkinson & Pickett, The Spirit Level (2009) www.equalitytrust.org.uk
  • 9. Health and Social Problems are Worse in More Unequal Countries Index of: • Life expectancy • Math & Literacy • Infant mortality • Homicides • Imprisonment • Teenage births • Trust • Obesity • Mental illness – incl. drug & alcohol addiction • Social mobility Source: Wilkinson & Pickett, The Spirit Level (2009) www.equalitytrust.org.uk
  • 10. Equity in health – the fallacy of congruence • Yes, inequality matters for health but what kind of inequality? • Can different dimensions of inequality be viewed as collapsible into each other? • Does focusing on economic class inequality tell us enough? Does it tell us the right things? • Does how we look at inequality need to be both multi-dimensional and intersectional?
  • 11. Equity in health – the fallacy of congruence Wilkinson & Pickett: “…what matters is the extent of social class differentiation. No one suggests that it is blackness itself which matters. Rather it is the social meaning attached to it – the fact that it serves as a marker for class and attracts class prejudice – which leads both to worse health and to wider income differences.” (Social Science and Medicine 62 (2006) pp 1778-9)
  • 12. EQUITY IN HEALTH CARE 1986-87 TO 2004
  • 13. Health care – 1986-87 to 2004 • Extends our earlier analysis (Sen, Iyer and George, EPW April 6, 2002) of NSS surveys on morbidity and health care (42nd round – 1986-87 and 52nd round – 1995-96) to the 60th round – 2004 • Looks at both economic class & gender – interpretation draws on insights from our work in Koppal • Some changes in definitions and reference periods which I will only touch upon in places, and are being discussed in detail in our forthcoming paper
  • 14. Features of the benchmark period India’ s health care system already highly inequitable by the mid 1980s prior to the start of economic reforms in 1991 >70% health expenditure out of pocket Large rural – urban differences in availability of services Poor quality and uneven reach of public services Highly unregulated private sector
  • 15. Features of the benchmark period contd However: Public hospitals (even if doubtful quality) available to the poor especially for inpatient care Significant drug price control (over 300 drugs) in the essential, controlled price list Thriving (pre-WTO) indigenous drug production (through reverse engineering) kept drugs available and competitively
  • 16. Key Questions • What happened in the period after economic reforms began? • Important policy shifts: ▫ Sharp reduction in the controlled drugs list leading to significant increases in drug prices ▫ Entry of user fees and two-tier services in public hospitals – those below the poverty line are supposed to get services free including drugs, but this is rarely the case (under the counter payments, and drugs have almost always to be purchased outside) • Did gender and class inequalities in access to care change?
  • 17. Evidence • We will look through gender and economic class lenses at: ▫ untreated morbidity ▫ reasons for non-treatment ▫ the shifting public – private mix ▫ the cost of care • Simple gradient – gap methodology to examine inequality
  • 18. But first a word about self-reported illness Concerns about under-reporting of illness especially by the poor and women led the National Sample Survey to try to improve coverage through better training and instructions to enumerators etc. Q: what was the result?
  • 20. Rates of perceived morbidity: Male versus Female (Rural) 25 No. per 100 persons 20 15 10 5 0 Quintile 1 Quintile 2 Quintile 3 Quintile 4 Quintile 5 (poorest) (richest) Rural Male (1986-87) Female (1986-87) Male (1995-96) Female (1995-96) Male (2004) Female (2004)
  • 21. Rates of perceived morbidity: Male versus Female (Urban) 25 No. per 100 persons 20 15 10 5 0 Quintile 1 Quintile 2 Quintile 3 Quintile 4 Quintile 5 (poorest) (richest) Urban Male (1986-87) Female (1986-87) Male (1995-96) Female (1995-96) Male (2004) Female (2004)
  • 22. • What does the pattern over time in self-reported morbidity tell us? NSS made a serious attempt to improve its capture of illness; yet a class gradient has emerged in both rural and urban areas, and more for women than men. Very little gender gap among rural poor. • Not plausible that the rich are more ill • Under-reporting due to ‘normalisation’ of illness by poor (both men and women) even more sharp in relative terms? Q: whose ill-health is the NSS capturing better?
  • 23. Summary Results – Morbidity Reporting Morbidity • 1986-87 (pre-reform benchmark, 42nd round) – No significant class gradient (based on MPCE fractiles) or major gap in self-reported morbidity for either women or men • 1995-96 (52nd round) – Across the board increase in self-reported morbidity, with the emergence of significant class differences in reporting; also some more gender differences • 2004 (60th round) ▫ Even further sharpened class gradient for both women and men; sharper gender differences but at the upper end
  • 24.
  • 25. Rates of persons never treated: All India
  • 26. Never treated vs discontinued treatment? • Difference between those never treated and those who discontinued treatment? • Apparently - an increase in those discontinuing treatment, becoming greater by 2004 and with a sharper gradient • May indicate a shift from never being treated to discontinuing treatment even though illness continued
  • 27. Persons ‘never treated’ and ‘discontinuing treatment’
  • 28. Rates of persons never treated: Gender divide (Rural) 25 No. per 100 ailing persons 20 15 10 5 25 No. per 100 ailing persons 0 20 Quintile 1 Quintile 2 Quintile 3 Quintile 4 Quintile 5 (poorest) (richest) 15 Rural 10 Male (1995-96) Female (1995-96) 5 25 0 No. per 100 ailing persons Quintile 1 Quintile 2 Quintile 3 Quintile 4 Quintile 5 20 (poorest) (richest) Rural 15 Male (1986-87) Female (1986-87) 10 5 0 Quintile 1 Quintile 2 Quintile 3 Quintile 4 Quintile 5 (poorest) (richest) Rural Male (2004) Female (2004)
  • 29. Rates of persons never treated: Gender divide (Urban) 20 No. per 100 ailing persons 15 20 10 No. per 100 ailing persons 15 5 10 0 Quintile 1 Quintile 2 Quintile 3 Quintile 4 Quintile 5 (poorest) (richest) 5 Urban Male (1995-96) Female (1995-96) 0 Quintile 1 Quintile 2 Quintile 3 Quintile 4 Quintile 5 (poorest) (richest) Urban 20 Male (1986-87) Female (1986-87) No. per 100 ailing persons 15 10 5 0 Quintile 1 Quintile 2 Quintile 3 Quintile 4 Quintile 5 (poorest) (richest) Urban Male (2004) Female (2004)
  • 30. Summary Results – Untreated morbidity Untreated Morbidity • 1986-87 (pre-reform benchmark, 42nd round) – Significant class gradient and gender differences in untreated morbidity – women and the poor worse off; gender gap mainly at the bottom (rationing?) • 1995-96 (52nd round) – The class gradient worsened for all groups – Some improvement in rates for poorest women (not sure why) , but sharp worsening for poorest men – perverse catch up? – Gender gap tended to close at the bottom • 2004 (60th round) ▫ Not much change but some worsening of the gradient for rural men – gender gap almost closed – perverse catch up at the bottom?
  • 31. Insights from Koppal on untreated morbidity • Traditional analysis too simplistic and may actually mask what is actually going on, not only in terms of gender, but even in terms of class • Apparent class results may actually be gendered results
  • 32. 2. Method: Illustration of hypotheses testing • Illustrative evidence from cross-sectional household health survey in Koppal district – 60 villages, 1920 households, 12,328 individuals – Health seeking and expenditures during pregnancy, for short- and long-term illness • Illustration of intersectional analysis for long-term illness: non-treatment and discontinued treatment
  • 33. Non-treatment of long-term ailments Likelihood of non-treatment of long-term ailments: Differences by gender and economic class 6.00 5.00 4.00 Odds ratios 3.00 2.00 Poorest Poor Non-poor Poor men Non-poor Poorest 1.00 w omen w omen w omen men men ■ p < 0.05 □ p > 0.05 □ Reference group
  • 34. Discontinued treatment for long-term ailments Likelihood of discontinued treatment for long-term ailments: Differences by gender & economic class 1.75 1.50 Odds ratios 1.25 Non-poor Poor w omen men 1.00 Poorest Poorest Poor Non-poor w omen men w omen men ■ p < 0.05 □ p > 0.05 □ Reference group
  • 35. Continued treatment for long-term ailments Likelihood of continued treatment for long-term ailments: Differences by gender & economic class Poorest Poor Poorest Non-poor w omen w omen men w omen 1.00 0.90 Non-poor Poor men men 0.80 Odds ratios 0.70 0.60 0.50 0.40 ■ p < 0.05 □ p > 0.05 □ Reference group
  • 36.
  • 37. Distribution of reasons for non-treatment: Rural India 100 80 Percentage 60 40 20 0 Male (1995-96) Female (1995-96) Male (2004) Female (2004) Rural Medical facility unavailable Financial barriers Illness not "serious" Other reasons
  • 38. Distribution of reasons for non-treatment: Rural India 100 100 80 80 60 60 40 40 20 20 0 0 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q5 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q5 Male (1995-96) Female (1995-96) Financial barriers Illness not "serious" Other reasons Financial barriers Illness not "serious" Other reasons 100 100 80 80 60 60 40 40 20 20 0 0 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q5 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q5 Male (2004) Female (2004)
  • 39. Distribution of reasons for non-treatment: Urban India 100 80 Percentage 60 40 20 0 Male (1995-96) Female (1995-96) Male (2004) Female (2004) Urban Medical facility unavailable Financial reasons Illness not "serious" Other reasons
  • 40. Distribution of reasons for non-treatment: Urban India 100 100 80 80 60 60 40 40 20 20 0 0 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q5 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q5 Male (1995-96) Female (1995-96) Financial barriers Illness not "serious" Other reasons Financial barriers Illness not "serious" Other reasons 100 100 80 80 60 60 40 40 20 20 0 0 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q5 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q5 Male (2004) Female (2004)
  • 41. Summary results – reasons for non- treatment • 1995-96 (52nd round) – Gender difference – men more likely to say ‘financial reasons’ than ‘illness not serious’ –Significant class gradient in all groups • 2004 (60th round) ▫ Even worse at the bottom in terms of financial reasons; 40% of women in quintile 1 (rural), and almost similar for men ▫ Yes; health care costs have increased for everyone but more damaging for the poor
  • 42.
  • 43. Health providers used for outpatient care: Rural India
  • 44. Health providers used for outpatient care: Urban India
  • 45. Health providers used for inpatient care: Rural India
  • 46. Health providers used for inpatient care: Urban India
  • 47. Summary results – public-private mix 1986-87 • Private-public mix –70% of outpatient (OP)care was in the private sector (private doctors), but –60% of inpatient (IP)care was in the public sector (largely public hospitals) – both rural and urban • Cost of care –Private : public cost of care practically equal in OP, but a little over double for IP
  • 48.
  • 49. Hospitalised patients in public hospitals - Rural Class Distribution: 1986-87, 1995-96, 2004 40.0 30.0 y = 2.8802x + 2.7649 20.0 y = -0.6619x + 16.933 y = 1.1377x + 9.7351 10.0 0.0 00 to 10 10 to 20 20 to 40 40 to 60 60 to 80 80 to 90 90 to 100 MPCE Fractiles 1986-87 1995-96 2004 Linear (1995-96) Linear (1986-87) Linear (2004)
  • 50. Hospitalised patients in private hospitals - Rural Class Distribution: 1986-87, 1995-96, 2004 40.0 30.0 y = 5.2561x - 6.7386 20.0 y = 3.4704x + 0.4043 y = 0.8385x + 10.932 10.0 0.0 00 to 10 10 to 20 20 to 40 40 to 60 60 to 80 80 to 90 90 to 100 MPCE Fractiles 1986-87 1995-96 2004 Linear (1995-96) Linear (1986-87) Linear (2004)
  • 51. Hospitalised patients in public hospitals - Urban Class Distribution: 1986-87, 1995-96, 2004 40.0 30.0 y = -1.511x + 20.33 20.0 y = 0.3122x + 13.037 10.0 y = -1.421x + 19.97 0.0 00 to 10 10 to 20 20 to 40 40 to 60 60 to 80 80 to 90 90 to 100 MPCE Fractiles 1986-87 1995-96 2004 Linear (1995-96) Linear (1986-87) Linear (2004)
  • 52. Hospitalised patients in private hospitals - Urban Class Distribution: 1986-87, 1995-96, 2004 40.0 30.0 y = 3.5131x + 0.2334 20.0 y = 0.2487x + 13.291 10.0 y = 1.7397x + 7.3269 0.0 00 to 10 10 to 20 20 to 40 40 to 60 60 to 80 80 to 90 90 to 100 MPCE Fractiles 1986-87 1995-96 2004 Linear (1995-96) Linear (1986-87) Linear (2004)
  • 53. Summary results – hospital use Service utilization • 1986-87 (pre-reform benchmark, 42nd round) – No major class gradient in overall hospital use for inpatient (IP) care – both rural and urban • 1995-96 (52nd round) – Distribution of hospital use tilts sharply towards the upper end – Those at the top use not only more of the private hospitals but also of the public hospitals • 2004 (60th round) ▫ Some flattening of the slope of the distribution but still significant (except for public urban hospitals)
  • 54.
  • 55. Expenditure on inpatient care: All India 12000 10000 8000 1986-87 6000 1995-96 2004 4000 2000 0 Public Private 12000 Rural 10000 8000 1986-87 1995-96 6000 2004 4000 2000 0 Public Private Urban
  • 56. Average medical expenditures on hospitalisation at constant (1986-87) prices 3500 3000 2500 2000 1986-87 1995-96 1500 2004 1000 500 0 Public Private 3500 Rural 3000 2500 1986-87 2000 1995-96 2004 1500 1000 Source: Selvaraj and Karan (2009) 500 0 Public Private Urban
  • 57. Summary results of the comparison • Overall, reporting on illness, extent of non- treatment and discontinued treatment went up sharply • Serious increases in the costs of care, and in financial reasons for non-treatment (related largely to drug prices but also possibly to user charges?) • Micro level in-depth studies on reasons for households falling into poverty (e.g. Anirudh Krishna) show that health expenditures are a major reason (among the top 3)
  • 58. Summary results of the comparison • Class gradients sharply worse in the mid-1990s with some moderation in 2004 but still sharp • Gender gaps persist but moderated in some instances – perverse catch up by poorest men in terms of non-treatment and financial reasons for it • Hospital use for care – the better off are more likely to go to private hospitals for inpatient care but they use more of both private AND public hospitals (some reversal in urban public hospitals in 2004) • The poorest still depend on public hospitals (>55% of use) even in 2004 even though they cater more to the rich
  • 59. Recent policy trends The only game in policy town is the National Rural Health Mission: Many pluses – increasing health budget, focus on maternal mortality, strong leadership and management inputs, good technical backstopping, openness to civil society and to third party review What about health inequality, overall access to the poor, and health costs? Drug prices?
  • 60. Conclusions • Health inequalities have both over time and cross sectional dimensions – both gender and class • Period of economic reforms has sharply worsened access, use and cost of care to the poor • Non-treatment and discontinuation have gone up
  • 61. Conclusions • Gender differences are important but poorest men appear to be catching up with poorest women in perverse ways • Caveat: what about caste? • However, our Koppal work raises larger methodological issues about how to analyse the intersections between different dimensions of inequality • Simplistic class and gender analysis not enough – may mask or even distort our analysis of what is happening
  • 62. Closing words • Studying inequality is not just about methodology but also politics… • Additional insights from Koppal about intersectionality - Not just the extremes but what is happening to the groups in the middle – those who may be advantaged on one dimension and disadvantaged on others?
  • 63. Closing words • Nuanced, unprejudiced and open analysis is the best tribute we can pay to Krishna Raj’s extraordinary work and life… • Thank you.