Is solar poised to grow in the Midwest? This presentation to the Midwest Solar Expo by Institute for Local Self-Reliance Director of Democratic Energy John Farrell explains the enormous potential for solar, the favorable economics, and the opportunities for local action to make solar a reality.
4. POTENTIAL PERCENT
OF ELECTRICITY FROM
LOCAL ROOFTOP SOLAR
50% or more
25 to 50%
10 to 25%
0 to 10%
20%
42%
31%
18%
23%
24%
19%
19%
28%
23%
24%
24%
26%
21%
12%
11%
52%
51%
49%
22%
23%
21%
23%
19%
14%
38%
41%
26%
35%
28%
19%
25%
21%
25%
24%
20%
22%
19%
23%
17%
23%
18% 20%
15%
24%
21%
18%
Residential and Commercial roofs
L O C A L S O L A R P O T E N T I A L
21%
23%
49%
6. 0¢
3¢
6¢
9¢
12¢
15¢
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
IA IL IN KS MI MN MO
ND NE OH SD WI Average
R I S I N G R E TA I L E L E C T R I C I T Y P R I C E S
(Residential, ¢ per kilowatt-hour)
7. 0¢
3¢
6¢
9¢
12¢
15¢
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Average of Midwest states
R I S I N G R E TA I L E L E C T R I C I T Y P R I C E S
4.7% per year
3% per year
(Residential, ¢ per kilowatt-hour)
8. 07 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
st states
R I C I T Y P R I C E S
4.7% per year
9. 07 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
st states
R I C I T Y P R I C E S
4.7% per year
10. 0¢
10¢
20¢
30¢
40¢
50¢
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Average Midwest residential retail electricity price
Levelized cost of solar electricity (Minneapolis)
Cost of solar with ITC
S O L A R PA R I T Y I S C O M I N G
4.7% per year
Subsidized Solar Parity
Unsubsidized Solar Parity
(¢ per kilowatt-hour)
11. POTENTIAL PERCENT
OF ELECTRICITY FROM
LOCAL ROOFTOP SOLAR
50% or more
25 to 50%
10 to 25%
0 to 10%
20%
42%
31%
18%
23%
24%
19%
19%
28%
23%
24%
24%
26%
21%
12%
11%
52%
51%
49%
22%
23%
21%
23%
19%
14%
38%
41%
26%
35%
28%
19%
25%
21%
25%
24%
20%
22%
19%
23%
17%
23%
18% 20%
15%
24%
21%
18%
Residential and Commercial roofs
L O C A L S O L A R P O T E N T I A L
21%
23%
49%
16. Not local
0 25 50 75 100
very negative negative neutral positive very positive
L O C A L P O W E R VA L U E
(political)
17. Attitude towards increased use of local wind energy
Not local
0 25 50 75 100
very negative negative neutral positive very positive
-44%
+33%
+77% net approval
Local
Ownership
L O C A L P O W E R VA L U E
(political)
20. I N S TA L L E D S O L A R C A PA C I T Y ( M W )
18
21
48
39
88
<1
<1
<1
<1
1
58
20
Sources: SEIA & ACORE
0 . 3 G I G AWAT T S
21. Solar standard (RPS)
Community solar
Value of solar
Net metering
State tax/cash incentives
Utility cash incentives
Property/sales tax benefit
N . D A K O TA
1 0 0 K W
Source: DSIRE
18
21
48
39
88
<1
<1
<1
<1
1
58
20
0¢
5¢
10¢
15¢
20¢
25¢
Residential retail electricity price
Value of solar
Solar price with ITC
Solar price
22. S . D A K O TA
Solar standard (RPS)
Community solar
Value of solar
Net metering
State tax/cash incentives
Utility cash incentives
Property/sales tax benefit
Source: DSIRE
18
21
48
39
88
<1
<1
<1
<1
1
58
20
0¢
5¢
10¢
15¢
20¢
25¢
Residential retail electricity price
Value of solar
Solar price with ITC
Solar price
23. N E B R A S K A
Solar standard (RPS)
Community solar
Value of solar
Net metering
State tax/cash incentives
Utility cash incentives
Property/sales tax benefit
2 5 K W
Source: DSIRE
18
21
48
39
88
<1
<1
<1
<1
1
58
20
0¢
5¢
10¢
15¢
20¢
25¢
Residential retail electricity price
Value of solar
Solar price with ITC
Solar price
24. K A N S A S
Solar standard (RPS)
Community solar
Value of solar
Net metering
State tax/cash incentives
Utility cash incentives
Property/sales tax benefit
2 5 / 2 0 0 K W
Source: DSIRE
18
21
48
39
88
<1
<1
<1
<1
1
58
20
0¢
5¢
10¢
15¢
20¢
25¢
Residential retail electricity price
Value of solar
Solar price with ITC
Solar price
25. I O WA
Solar standard (RPS)
Community solar
Value of solar
Net metering
State tax/cash incentives
Utility cash incentives
Property/sales tax benefit
5 0 0 K W
Source: DSIRE
18
21
48
39
88
<1
<1
<1
<1
1
58
20
0¢
5¢
10¢
15¢
20¢
25¢
Residential retail electricity price
Value of solar
Solar price with ITC
Solar price
26. W I S C O N S I N
Solar standard (RPS)
Community solar
Value of solar
Net metering
State tax/cash incentives
Utility cash incentives
Property/sales tax
2 0 / 1 0 0 K W
Source: DSIRE
18
21
48
39
88
<1
<1
<1
<1
1
58
20
0¢
5¢
10¢
15¢
20¢
25¢
Residential retail electricity price
Value of solar
Solar price with ITC
Solar price
27. 0¢
5¢
10¢
15¢
20¢
25¢
Residential retail electricity price
Value of solar
Solar price with ITC
Solar price
M I C H I G A N
Solar standard (RPS)*
Community solar
Value of solar
Net metering
State tax/cash incentives
Utility cash incentives
Property/sales tax
1 5 0 K W
*triple credit under RPS
Source: DSIRE
18
21
48
39
88
<1
<1
<1
<1
1
58
20
28. I N D I A N A
Solar standard (RPS)
Community solar
Value of solar
Net metering
State tax/cash incentives
Utility cash incentives
Property/sales tax
1 0 0 0 K W
Source: DSIRE
18
21
48
39
88
<1
<1
<1
<1
1
58
20
0¢
5¢
10¢
15¢
20¢
25¢
Residential retail electricity price
Value of solar
Solar price with ITC
Solar price
29. O H I O
Solar standard (RPS)
Community solar
Value of solar
Net metering
State tax/cash incentives
Utility cash incentives
Property/sales tax
U N L . K W
Source: DSIRE
18
21
48
39
88
<1
<1
<1
<1
1
58
20
0¢
5¢
10¢
15¢
20¢
25¢
Residential retail electricity price
Value of solar
Solar price with ITC
Solar price
30. I L L I N O I S
Solar standard (RPS)
Community solar
Value of solar
Net metering
State tax/cash incentives
Utility cash incentives
Property/sales tax
4 0 K W
Source: DSIRE
18
21
48
39
88
<1
<1
<1
<1
1
58
20
0¢
5¢
10¢
15¢
20¢
25¢
Residential retail electricity price
Value of solar
Solar price with ITC
Solar price
31. M I S S O U R I
Solar standard (RPS)
Community solar
Value of solar
Net metering
State tax/cash incentives
Utility cash incentives
Property/sales tax
1 0 0 K W
Source: DSIRE
18
21
48
39
88
<1
<1
<1
<1
1
58
20
0¢
5¢
10¢
15¢
20¢
25¢
Residential retail electricity price
Value of solar
Solar price with ITC
Solar price
?
32. M I N N E S O TA
Solar standard (RPS)
Community solar
Value of solar
Net metering
State tax/cash incentives
Utility cash incentives
Property/sales tax
1 0 0 0 K W
Source: DSIRE
18
21
48
39
88
<1
<1
<1
<1
1
58
20
0¢
5¢
10¢
15¢
20¢
25¢
Residential retail electricity price
Value of solar
Solar price with ITC
Solar price
34. 0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
Installed Cost per Watt
$6.00 $5.00 $4.00 $3.00 $2.00
13%
15%
19%
26%
39%
5% 6%
8%
12%
22%
L O C A L P E R M I T T I N G
Data from The Impact of City-level Permitting Processes on Residential Photovoltaic Installation Prices and Development Times (LBNL, 2013)
...the savings
Approx.year for residential installation* 2013 2017 2023
*From ILSR’s Rooftop Revolution reports: http://www.ilsr.org/rooftop-revolution/
As the cost of solar falls...
from
permitting rise
streamlined
35. L O C A L P E R M I T T I N G
Leading Cities
Vote Solar: Project Permit
36. L O C A L E N E R G Y F I N A N C I N G
http://pacenow.org/