SlideShare una empresa de Scribd logo
1 de 21
Feyzi Bagirov
26 Jan 2015
1
2
 Only about half of financial services organizations
have a single system to comply with anti-money
laundering directives (Accenture)
http://www.forbes.com/sites/jasonbloomberg/2014/0
7/29/three-way-big-data-banking-battle-brewing/
 Data Mining
◦ Retail Use cases
◦ Data Mining Process
 Data Mining Methodologies
 Data
◦ Data Training
◦ Types of Business Information Systems
◦ Data Warehouses
◦ Data Mining Tools
◦ Data Visualization Tools
◦ Big Data
3
A
B
CD
E
 Machine Learning is a scientific discipline that
explores the construction and study of
algorithms that can learn from data (Ron
Kovahi; Foster Provost (1998). “Glossary of
terms”.
 Data Mining is the process of achieving
Machine Learning.
4
A
B
CD
E
 Response modeling for direct marketing
 Uplift modeling for direct marketing
 Customer retention with churn modeling
 Churn uplift modeling
5
A
B
CD
E
6
Lifeline Screening: Response up
38%, cost down 20%, 62K more
customers annually
PREMIER Bankcard: Direct mail
response up 3-5%
Sun Microsystems: Doubled the
number of leads per phone call
A
B
CD
E
Based on the past experience, who will respond tomorrow?
7
A
B
CD
E
8
A
B
CD
E
Leading financial institution:
incremental conversion up 0.02% to
0.43%; Revenue per contact up by
over 20 times
9
Reed Elsevier’s Caterer &
Hotelkeeper: Reduced churn by
16%; Retention ROI up by 10%
PREMIER Bankcard: $8 million est.
retained
Leading North American Telecom:
Identified customers with a 600%
increased risk of churn with social
network analysis.
Optus (Australian telecom):
Doubled churn model performance
with social data
A
B
CD
E
10
A
B
CD
E
Telenor: Reduced churn 36%; Cost-
of-contact down 40%; Campaign
ROI up 11-fold
US Bank: Costs down 40%, lift up 2
times, and cross-sell ROI up 5
times
11
CRISP-DM
(Cross Industry Standard Process
for Data Mining)
SEMMA
(Sample, Explore, Modify, Model, Assess)
A
B
CD
E
Business Task
Data Set
Data Preparation
Data cleaning
Modeling
Evaluation and
validation
Use of DM
results/deploymen
t
Results of action
based on DM
results
Development
12
Strategic
Objectives
Operational
Objectives
Marketing
Objectives
Other
Objectives
A
B
CD
E
13
Age: 25-35
Gender: Male
Marital Status: Married
Education: Graduate
Historically
Historically
Training Data
Unknown Data
Prediction
Supervised
Unknown Data
Historically
Unsupervised
14
Transactional
Information
Systems
Analysis-Based Information Systems
15
Data Warehouse 4 main features:
• Topical Orientation (customer, product, etc.)
• Logical integration and homogenization (relational integration)
• Presence of a reference period (vs operational)
• Low volatility (should not change often)
3 components of Data Warehouses:
• DBMS (Database Management System)
• DB (Database)
• DBCS (Database Communication System)
Snowflake Star
16
17
18
19
1. Velocity
2. Variety
3. Volume
20
Q&A?
21

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Analytics infrastructure, platforms and methods

  • 2. 2  Only about half of financial services organizations have a single system to comply with anti-money laundering directives (Accenture) http://www.forbes.com/sites/jasonbloomberg/2014/0 7/29/three-way-big-data-banking-battle-brewing/
  • 3.  Data Mining ◦ Retail Use cases ◦ Data Mining Process  Data Mining Methodologies  Data ◦ Data Training ◦ Types of Business Information Systems ◦ Data Warehouses ◦ Data Mining Tools ◦ Data Visualization Tools ◦ Big Data 3 A B CD E
  • 4.  Machine Learning is a scientific discipline that explores the construction and study of algorithms that can learn from data (Ron Kovahi; Foster Provost (1998). “Glossary of terms”.  Data Mining is the process of achieving Machine Learning. 4 A B CD E
  • 5.  Response modeling for direct marketing  Uplift modeling for direct marketing  Customer retention with churn modeling  Churn uplift modeling 5 A B CD E
  • 6. 6 Lifeline Screening: Response up 38%, cost down 20%, 62K more customers annually PREMIER Bankcard: Direct mail response up 3-5% Sun Microsystems: Doubled the number of leads per phone call A B CD E Based on the past experience, who will respond tomorrow?
  • 8. 8 A B CD E Leading financial institution: incremental conversion up 0.02% to 0.43%; Revenue per contact up by over 20 times
  • 9. 9 Reed Elsevier’s Caterer & Hotelkeeper: Reduced churn by 16%; Retention ROI up by 10% PREMIER Bankcard: $8 million est. retained Leading North American Telecom: Identified customers with a 600% increased risk of churn with social network analysis. Optus (Australian telecom): Doubled churn model performance with social data A B CD E
  • 10. 10 A B CD E Telenor: Reduced churn 36%; Cost- of-contact down 40%; Campaign ROI up 11-fold US Bank: Costs down 40%, lift up 2 times, and cross-sell ROI up 5 times
  • 11. 11 CRISP-DM (Cross Industry Standard Process for Data Mining) SEMMA (Sample, Explore, Modify, Model, Assess) A B CD E
  • 12. Business Task Data Set Data Preparation Data cleaning Modeling Evaluation and validation Use of DM results/deploymen t Results of action based on DM results Development 12 Strategic Objectives Operational Objectives Marketing Objectives Other Objectives A B CD E
  • 13. 13 Age: 25-35 Gender: Male Marital Status: Married Education: Graduate Historically Historically Training Data Unknown Data Prediction Supervised Unknown Data Historically Unsupervised
  • 15. 15 Data Warehouse 4 main features: • Topical Orientation (customer, product, etc.) • Logical integration and homogenization (relational integration) • Presence of a reference period (vs operational) • Low volatility (should not change often) 3 components of Data Warehouses: • DBMS (Database Management System) • DB (Database) • DBCS (Database Communication System) Snowflake Star
  • 16. 16
  • 17. 17
  • 18. 18
  • 21. 21