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Rediscover M.S.N.



 Strategies for Mobile Companies




 Frederic Bruneteau - May 15, 2009




PTOLEMUS Consulting Group
From MSN to M.S.N.
                                                               M.S.N.




   • It started with teenagers                                 • It starts with geeks (on mobile
   • It was addictive                                              at least)
                                                               •   It will be addictive


   • It impacted -mostly- their                                • It will impact their real life
       virtual life                                            • It’s about how to lose time and
   •   It was - mostly -about how to                               gain some time and money
       lose time                                               •   It can be with everybody
   •   It was with friends                                     •   It partly arrives from the US
   •   It arrived from the US                                  •   It is -often- not in an island
   •   It is an island                                         •   It will be used by Facebook or
   •   It was replaced by Facebook                                 replace it



PTOLEMUS          M.S.N. stands for Mobile Social Networking                 Strictly confidential   2 Dec. 2008
Dozens of companies have been created around M.S.N.
 M.S.N.




    • Fantastic amount of
      innovation and…
      imitation
    • Most sites have a
      web and a wap
      interface
    • Interests can vary
      from dating, meeting
      friends, sharing trip
      destinations, sharing
      hot spots
    • Most have been
      created in the US,
      Germany and Spain




PTOLEMUS                           Strictly confidential   2 Dec. 2008
These pioneers are making new user experiences possible
  M.S.N.

                            CitySense, a live hot spot   TellMeWhere, a graded
                                     finder                     placefinder




  Mobiluck, a friendfinder
   and communication
         platform




PTOLEMUS
For mobile, a number of barriers to take-off remain

          GPS users will remain a minority                                               Other obstacles exist


 M.S.N.
                                                                             •   Battery life uptime is still an issue

             Number of users worldwide                                       •   The need to have a data bundle
                                                                                 reduces addressable market
     Mobile phone users                                                      •   No data bundle abroad. Most
GPS-enabled mobile users
                                            5.6 billion
                                                                                 applications require a large data plan
                                                                                 and cannot be used abroad, when you
                                                                                 need it most
           3.1 billion

                                                                             •   The biggest customer base
                                                                                 owners (mobile operators, Yahoo!,
                                                                                 etc.) have not developed / leveraged
                                                                                 MSN applications
                                                           0.7 billion
                         0.2 billion
                                                                             •   Business models are not mature
                     2007                           2013                     •   Speed and accuracy of location
                                                                                 are often not sufficient




PTOLEMUS                 Sources: ABI Research, Juniper Research, PTOLEMUS
Virtually all high tech leaders have invested in
   acquiring M.S.N. companies or enablers
 M.S.N.



     • Companies have
          invested to gain
          - Technologies (e.g.
              Keyhole)
          -   Assets / brands
              (Multimap)
          -   Time (Panoramio)


     • Mobile operators
          seem to join




PTOLEMUS
M.S.N.
 Tech giants also want to put you in the map
     With Vine,        With Latitude, Google leverages its Google   We expect R.C.S. to
Microsoft brings the    Maps investment and its Gmail contact       also include location
location to Windows                    database                           mid-term
        Live




PTOLEMUS
Within a few years, we will be able to make                      M.S.N.


 dynamic people search
           People




PTOLEMUS                          Strictly confidential   2 Dec. 2008
Within a few years, we will be able to make                        M.S.N.


 dynamic people search
           People




                    Eric Montagne




PTOLEMUS                            Strictly confidential   2 Dec. 2008
Within a few years, we will be able to make                                         M.S.N.


 dynamic people search



  Eric Montagne 1 est à l’Hȏtel Raphaël.
  Eric est occupé en ce moment:
  - Laisser un message
  - Aller à l’Hȏtel Raphaël. Envoyer sur Latitude.




PTOLEMUS                                             Strictly confidential   2 Dec. 2008
However, all players need to solve the first                        M.S.N.


 problem, i.e. reach a critical mass of users




PTOLEMUS                            Strictly confidential   2 Dec. 2008
Gaining the trust of users to give you your                            M.S.N.


 location is the 2nd huge barrier




                  Xy      Xy
           Xy                      Xy




           Xy     Xy      Xy      Xy




           Xy     Xy      Xy      Xy




           Xy     Xy      Xy       Xy




           Xy     Xy




PTOLEMUS                                Strictly confidential   2 Dec. 2008
We believe most applications mostly centered                                                        M.S.N.

 around location will struggle on their own

• It is easier to create a M.S.N. application than to gain a
  customer base of several millions of customers

• People give their trust only when
  -   They know and trust already the provider
  -   They have heard about it from colleagues, friends and family
  -   There no other psychological barriers (paid-for, risk)
  -   There is something in it for them


• In the case of the location, you need to be «whiter than
  white»
  -   Giving your location to Google or Microsoft appears frightening to most people
  -   You need to have a well-understood interest that does not scare people: TomTom Map
      Share

PTOLEMUS                                                        Strictly confidential   2 Dec. 2008
Instead, successful applications of M.S.N. will                                 M.S.N.


 enable the satisfaction of concrete user cases
 TripIt, a temporary community that forms
            when you are travelling




PTOLEMUS                                    Strictly confidential   2 Dec. 2008
Instead, successful applications of M.S.N. will                            M.S.N.

 enable the satisfaction of concrete user cases

Coyote, a temporary community
that forms whenever you are on
            the road

                                 • There is a clear benefit that is shared
                                  by the community

                                 • Users’ location is kept secret

                                 • Usage is not a terminal that you have
                                  on a permanent basis

                                 • Target users are ready to buy a custom
                                  fit device and to pay a subscription




PTOLEMUS
Instead, successful applications of M.S.N. will                                                                                            M.S.N.


 enable the satisfaction of concrete user cases



     Geomate.jr offers a geocaching
          device for $69.95                              •   250,000 geocaches in the US

                                                         •   A temporary community around a game

                                                         •   Users’ location is kept secret

                                                         •   Usage is not a terminal that you have on a
                                                             permanent basis




                Geocaching, a global treasure hunt in which participants hunt down hidden objects
PTOLEMUS        using satellite navigation and Web-posted coordinates and replace the items with something else confidential
                                                                                                       Strictly               2 Dec. 2008
Multiple players can develop social networks                                                   M.S.N.




       What is needed
       -   A large community of users that trust you
                                                                          Meetic could go much
       -   The possibility to ask them to use their mobile                       further



            Mobile operators have clear levers to pull




   •   Introducing location on communities used by teenagers
       such as chat
   •   Create an open location enabler / environment using
       your community
   •   They can give away location-based services to generate
       more revenues from data bundles




                                                                Strictly confidential   2 Dec. 2008
PTOLEMUS
M.S.N. is more than meeting friends and dating
                                                                             M.S.N.




 • Existing social networks, i.e. Facebook, LinkedIn, Viadeo,
   are best placed to leverage M.S.N. but have been slow

 • Other customer base owners, notably mobile operators, can
   also leverage their own base with voluntary services

 • Breakthroughs will come from
   - Best-in-class management of privacy options
   - Automatic background reporting of location
   - Linkage to very large customer bases (think about SMS interworking), i.e.
      partnerships




PTOLEMUS
Recipe to succeed could be to remain pragmatic
 and use what is available                                                                   M.S.N.




• Use ad hoc social networks, not     • A SIP (Simple Important Problem)
  necessarily permanent ones            needs to be solved first before
                                        controlling the whole life of your
• GPS accuracy is not always            customer!
  necessary. Cell-based location is   • Don’t hesitate to use (and build)
  generally good enough for most        any kind of mobile devices
  applications.                         -   M.S.N. on mobile will really start in 2009 but most
                                            of «normal» customers will be out
                                        -   Specific, on-purpose devices can reduce usage
• Social networks need not be live          constraints

  or even dynamic for the start. A
  database can be good enough (cf.    • Try to educate your customer
  Panoramio).                           base about these services by
                                        giving them for free at the
                                        beginning


PTOLEMUS                                                Strictly confidential   2 Dec. 2008
Thank you




 Strategies for Mobile Companies



 PTOLEMUS Consulting Group
 Sarphatipark 84-II
 Amsterdam 1073 EB
 Tel.: +31 6 42 69 50 66
 contact@ptolemus.com
 www.ptolemus.com


PTOLEMUS Consulting Group

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Rediscover M.S.N. Strategies for Mobile Social Networking

  • 1. Rediscover M.S.N. Strategies for Mobile Companies Frederic Bruneteau - May 15, 2009 PTOLEMUS Consulting Group
  • 2. From MSN to M.S.N. M.S.N. • It started with teenagers • It starts with geeks (on mobile • It was addictive at least) • It will be addictive • It impacted -mostly- their • It will impact their real life virtual life • It’s about how to lose time and • It was - mostly -about how to gain some time and money lose time • It can be with everybody • It was with friends • It partly arrives from the US • It arrived from the US • It is -often- not in an island • It is an island • It will be used by Facebook or • It was replaced by Facebook replace it PTOLEMUS M.S.N. stands for Mobile Social Networking Strictly confidential 2 Dec. 2008
  • 3. Dozens of companies have been created around M.S.N. M.S.N. • Fantastic amount of innovation and… imitation • Most sites have a web and a wap interface • Interests can vary from dating, meeting friends, sharing trip destinations, sharing hot spots • Most have been created in the US, Germany and Spain PTOLEMUS Strictly confidential 2 Dec. 2008
  • 4. These pioneers are making new user experiences possible M.S.N. CitySense, a live hot spot TellMeWhere, a graded finder placefinder Mobiluck, a friendfinder and communication platform PTOLEMUS
  • 5. For mobile, a number of barriers to take-off remain GPS users will remain a minority Other obstacles exist M.S.N. • Battery life uptime is still an issue Number of users worldwide • The need to have a data bundle reduces addressable market Mobile phone users • No data bundle abroad. Most GPS-enabled mobile users 5.6 billion applications require a large data plan and cannot be used abroad, when you need it most 3.1 billion • The biggest customer base owners (mobile operators, Yahoo!, etc.) have not developed / leveraged MSN applications 0.7 billion 0.2 billion • Business models are not mature 2007 2013 • Speed and accuracy of location are often not sufficient PTOLEMUS Sources: ABI Research, Juniper Research, PTOLEMUS
  • 6. Virtually all high tech leaders have invested in acquiring M.S.N. companies or enablers M.S.N. • Companies have invested to gain - Technologies (e.g. Keyhole) - Assets / brands (Multimap) - Time (Panoramio) • Mobile operators seem to join PTOLEMUS
  • 7. M.S.N. Tech giants also want to put you in the map With Vine, With Latitude, Google leverages its Google We expect R.C.S. to Microsoft brings the Maps investment and its Gmail contact also include location location to Windows database mid-term Live PTOLEMUS
  • 8. Within a few years, we will be able to make M.S.N. dynamic people search People PTOLEMUS Strictly confidential 2 Dec. 2008
  • 9. Within a few years, we will be able to make M.S.N. dynamic people search People Eric Montagne PTOLEMUS Strictly confidential 2 Dec. 2008
  • 10. Within a few years, we will be able to make M.S.N. dynamic people search Eric Montagne 1 est à l’Hȏtel Raphaël. Eric est occupé en ce moment: - Laisser un message - Aller à l’Hȏtel Raphaël. Envoyer sur Latitude. PTOLEMUS Strictly confidential 2 Dec. 2008
  • 11. However, all players need to solve the first M.S.N. problem, i.e. reach a critical mass of users PTOLEMUS Strictly confidential 2 Dec. 2008
  • 12. Gaining the trust of users to give you your M.S.N. location is the 2nd huge barrier Xy Xy Xy Xy Xy Xy Xy Xy Xy Xy Xy Xy Xy Xy Xy Xy Xy Xy PTOLEMUS Strictly confidential 2 Dec. 2008
  • 13. We believe most applications mostly centered M.S.N. around location will struggle on their own • It is easier to create a M.S.N. application than to gain a customer base of several millions of customers • People give their trust only when - They know and trust already the provider - They have heard about it from colleagues, friends and family - There no other psychological barriers (paid-for, risk) - There is something in it for them • In the case of the location, you need to be «whiter than white» - Giving your location to Google or Microsoft appears frightening to most people - You need to have a well-understood interest that does not scare people: TomTom Map Share PTOLEMUS Strictly confidential 2 Dec. 2008
  • 14. Instead, successful applications of M.S.N. will M.S.N. enable the satisfaction of concrete user cases TripIt, a temporary community that forms when you are travelling PTOLEMUS Strictly confidential 2 Dec. 2008
  • 15. Instead, successful applications of M.S.N. will M.S.N. enable the satisfaction of concrete user cases Coyote, a temporary community that forms whenever you are on the road • There is a clear benefit that is shared by the community • Users’ location is kept secret • Usage is not a terminal that you have on a permanent basis • Target users are ready to buy a custom fit device and to pay a subscription PTOLEMUS
  • 16. Instead, successful applications of M.S.N. will M.S.N. enable the satisfaction of concrete user cases Geomate.jr offers a geocaching device for $69.95 • 250,000 geocaches in the US • A temporary community around a game • Users’ location is kept secret • Usage is not a terminal that you have on a permanent basis Geocaching, a global treasure hunt in which participants hunt down hidden objects PTOLEMUS using satellite navigation and Web-posted coordinates and replace the items with something else confidential Strictly 2 Dec. 2008
  • 17. Multiple players can develop social networks M.S.N. What is needed - A large community of users that trust you Meetic could go much - The possibility to ask them to use their mobile further Mobile operators have clear levers to pull • Introducing location on communities used by teenagers such as chat • Create an open location enabler / environment using your community • They can give away location-based services to generate more revenues from data bundles Strictly confidential 2 Dec. 2008 PTOLEMUS
  • 18. M.S.N. is more than meeting friends and dating M.S.N. • Existing social networks, i.e. Facebook, LinkedIn, Viadeo, are best placed to leverage M.S.N. but have been slow • Other customer base owners, notably mobile operators, can also leverage their own base with voluntary services • Breakthroughs will come from - Best-in-class management of privacy options - Automatic background reporting of location - Linkage to very large customer bases (think about SMS interworking), i.e. partnerships PTOLEMUS
  • 19. Recipe to succeed could be to remain pragmatic and use what is available M.S.N. • Use ad hoc social networks, not • A SIP (Simple Important Problem) necessarily permanent ones needs to be solved first before controlling the whole life of your • GPS accuracy is not always customer! necessary. Cell-based location is • Don’t hesitate to use (and build) generally good enough for most any kind of mobile devices applications. - M.S.N. on mobile will really start in 2009 but most of «normal» customers will be out - Specific, on-purpose devices can reduce usage • Social networks need not be live constraints or even dynamic for the start. A database can be good enough (cf. • Try to educate your customer Panoramio). base about these services by giving them for free at the beginning PTOLEMUS Strictly confidential 2 Dec. 2008
  • 20. Thank you Strategies for Mobile Companies PTOLEMUS Consulting Group Sarphatipark 84-II Amsterdam 1073 EB Tel.: +31 6 42 69 50 66 contact@ptolemus.com www.ptolemus.com PTOLEMUS Consulting Group