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UNION
      BUDGET-
      2012-13


E c o n o m i c A ffa i r s a n d R e se a r c h D i v i si o n
UNION BUDGET



HIGHLIGHTS

    Fiscal deficit projected at 5.1% of GDP in 2012-13: Based on a projected
     buoyancy in non-tax revenue and indirect taxes
    The nominal growth rate of GDP is expected to be 14% for 2012-13: This
     translates into a 6.5% inflation rate, assuming a 7.6% GDP projection in the next
     fiscal
    Exemption limit for general category of individual taxpayers has been raised
     from Rs1.8 lakh to Rs 2 lakh
    Growth impulse could be dampened by the 2% hike in excise duty and service
     tax: These hikes are expected to add to inflationary pressures and would work
     against budget expectations of lower inflation
    Over the medium term, the Government believes to bring down fiscal deficit
     further and has targeted a reduction in fiscal deficit to 4.5% by FY2014 and
     3.9% by FY2015: Fiscal consolidation will remain a challenge
    Budget targets to contain the central subsidies under 2% of GDP in 2012-13: It
     will be a difficult task
    Gross market borrowings will finance 93% of the fiscal deficit in 2012-13:
     Indication of government borrowing to finance non-plan expenditures
    The Government did not enunciate any actionable roadmap for implementation
     of either the GST or the DTC
    No revival of investment allowance, no restoration of tax exemption on dividend
     income or capital gains for infrastructure capital fund / company and no hike in
     depreciation rate in budget
    Reduction in withholding tax on interest payable on External Commercial
     Borrowings (ECBs) in certain sectors and extension of concessional tax
     treatment on the repatriation of overseas dividends are welcome: The raising of
     the ECB limit for infrastructure sector will also encourage investment in the
     sector.
    The removal of cascading impact of DDT, which was recommend by FICCI is
     most welcome. The extension of tax benefit period for companies engaged in
     in-house R&D activities may also provide some relief to the companies.
    Provision of extension of 200% weighted deduction for R&D expenditure is
     specially welcome as it has been announced for a period of 5 years
    150% weighted deduction for agricultural extension will hopefully encourage
     private sector investment in agriculture and raise crop yields
    For the power sector besides access to low cost funds the Budget has also
     extended the sunset date by one year until March 31, 2013 by claiming 100%
     deduction of profits for 10 years along with an additional distribution of 20%.
     This measure would encourage investment in power generation.




                                         1
UNION BUDGET

                                          MACROVIEW

FICCI had ex pec ted and r ec om m ended that the budget would inc lude m eas ures f or
prom oting inves tm ent led gr owth. T his was s pec ially reques ted in the c ontex t of
ongoing s lowdown of ec onom ic gr owth whic h c ould be lower than 6.9% in 2011 - 12. T he
nom inal gr owth r ate of G DP is ex pec ted to be 14% f or 2012 - 13. T his trans lates into a
6.5% inf lation r ate, as s um ing a 7.6% G DP proj ec tion in the nex t f is c al. It is not c lear if
the higher gr owth r ate wo uld s ee a s trong revival of the m anuf ac turing s ec tor.

T he G over nm ent has budgeted a f is c al def ic it target of 5.1% of G DP in FY2013 as
agains t an es tim ated 5.9% of G DP (was budgeted at 4.6% of G DP) in FY2012.T his is
bas ed on a pr oj ec ted buoyanc y in non - tax revenue (32% budgeted growth in 2012 - 13
agains t a 5 year c om pounded annual growth rate/ CAG R at 6.1%) , bas is Rs 40,000
c rore s pec tr um pr oc eeds in nex t f is c al. Net tax revenue to Centre is proj ec ted to c lim b
by 20.1% ( 5 year CAG R at 9.9%). Net tax revenue in turn is bas ed on es tim ated
buoyanc y in indir ec t tax es ( ex c is e tax proj ec ted to grow by a s harp 29%, agains t a 5
year CAG R at 5% and s er vic e tax es at 30.5% agains t a 5 year CAG R at 16.7%).

T he G over nm ent has tak en s everal m eas ures to augm ent indirec t t ax es . O n the
s ervic es tax f r ont, the tax bas e has been inc reas ed through the introduc tion of the
negative lis t. T he lis t now c ontains 17 item s , whic h im plies that every other s ervic e
would be tax ed. Apar t f r om this , there is a propos al to rais e the s ervic e tax rate to
12% f rom 10% ear lier , br inging it to the pre - c ris is level.

O n the ex c is e duty f r ont, the s tandard rate on non - petroleum goods is propos ed to be
inc reas ed to 12%. It had been reduc ed to 8% during the peak of the las t global
f inanc ial c r is is an d s inc e then th e G overnm ent has been rolling it bac k in s tages . It
has been pr opos ed that c us tom s duty on gold bars , c oins and platinum would be
inc reas ed f r om 2% to 4%. Duty on nons tandard gold is to be doubled to 10% f rom 5%
earlier. Ex c is e duty on gold has als o been inc reas ed to 3% f rom 1.5% earlier.

T he G over nm ent did not enunc iate any ac tionable roadm ap f or im plem entation of
either the G ST or the DT C .

G rowth im puls e c ould be dam pened by the 2% hik e in ex c is e duty and s ervic e tax .
T hes e hik es ar e ex pec ted to add to inf lationary pres s ure and would work agains t
budget ex pec tations of lower inf lation.

As f ar as per s onal inc om e tax es are c onc erned, the ex em ption lim it f or general
c ategory of individual tax payer s has been rais ed f rom Rs 1.8 lak h to Rs 2 lak hs .

O ver the m edium ter m , the G overnm ent believes to bring down f is c al def ic it f urther
and has tar gete d a r educ tion in f is c al def ic it to 4.5% by FY2014 and 3.9% by FY2015.

FICCI believes f is c al c ons olidation would c ontinue to be one of the m aj or c hallenges .
T he dis inves tm ent tar get at Rs 30,000 c rores is an am bitious one. Additionally, as
m entioned ear lie r , the budgeted s pec trum proc eeds at Rs 40,000 c rores f or the nex t
f is c al as s um es will be dif f ic ult to ac hieve.

T he G over nm ent has als o pr opos ed rationalis ation of tax provis ions that ac c rues f rom
overs eas tr ans f er of s har es holding underlying as s ets in India. T he propos ed
rationalis ation will ef f ec t r etr os pec tively f rom April 1’1962. FICCI believes that any
polic y c hanges s hould always be f orward look ing and not with retros pec tive im pac t as
it hurts the inves tm ent c lim ate and the bus ines s s trategies f or the inves tors .


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UNION BUDGET


T able 1: Budget at a glance ( Rs crore and as a % of G DP)
                                                                                                               Growth   CAGR 10 CAGR 5
                                               2008-09     2009-10    2010-11     2011-12-RE    2012-13-BE
                                                                                                                Rate      yrs     yrs
     1 Revenue Receipts                         540,259    572,811     788,471       766,989       935,685      22.0     14.2%   9.1%
                                                9.7%        8.9%       10.3%         8.6%          9.2%
    a.     Tax Revenue (net to centre)          443,319    456,536     569,869       642,252       771,071      20.1     16.7%   9.9%
                                                7.9%        7.1%        7.4%         7.2%          7.6%
    b.     Non-Tax Revenue                       96,940    116,275     218,602       124,737       164,614      32.0     6.2%    5.1%
                                                1.7%        1.8%        2.8%         1.4%          1.6%
     1 Capital Receipts (5+6+7)$                343,697    451,676     408,857       551,730       555,241       0.6     13.1%   34.1%
                                                6.2%        7.0%        5.3%         6.2%          5.5%
  2.a.     Recoveries of Loans                    6,139      8,613       12,420        14,258        11,650     -18.3    -9.3%   29.3%
                                                0.1%        0.1%        0.2%         0.2%          0.1%
  2.b.     Other Receipts                            566    24,581       22,846        15,493        30,000     93.6     19.4%   -20.5%
                                                0.0%        0.4%        0.3%         0.2%          0.3%
  2.c.     Borrowings and other liabilities*    336,992    418,482     373,591       521,980       513,590      -1.6     15.3%   42.4%
                                                6.0%        6.5%        4.9%         5.9%          5.1%
     3 Total Receipts (1+4)                     883,956 1,024,487    1,197,328     1,318,720      1,490,925     13.1     13.7%   16.6%
                                               15.8%       15.9%       15.6%        14.8%         14.7%
     4 Non-Plan Expenditure                     608,721    721,096     818,299       892,116       969,900       8.7     12.8%   15.1%
                                               10.9%       11.2%       10.7%        10.0%          9.5%
   4.a     On Revenue Account of which,         559,024    657,925     726,491       815,740       865,596       6.1     13.2%   18.0%
                                               10.0%       10.2%        9.5%         9.2%          8.5%
 4.a.1       Interest Payments                  192,204    213,093     234,022       275,618       319,759      16.0     9.9%    12.7%
                                                3.4%        3.3%        3.0%         3.1%          3.1%
   4.b     On Capital Account                    49,697     63,171       91,808        76,376      104,304      36.6     25.9%   33.5%
                                                0.9%        1.0%        3.0%         3.1%          3.1%
     5 Plan Expenditure                         275,235    303,391     379,029       426,604       521,025      22.1     -4.1%   -21.9%
                                                4.9%        4.7%        1.2%         0.9%          1.0%
  5.a.     On Revenue Account                   234,774    253,884     314,232       346,201       420,513      21.5     21.9%   25.2%
                                                4.2%        3.9%        4.9%         4.8%          5.1%
  5.b.     On Capital Account                    40,461     49,507       64,797        80,404      100,512      25.0     27.1%   82.1%
                                                0.7%        0.8%        4.1%         3.9%          4.1%
     6 Total Expenditure (9+13)                 883,956 1,024,487    1,197,328     1,318,720      1,490,925     13.1     13.7%   16.6%
                                               15.8%       15.9%        0.8%         0.9%          1.0%
   6.a     Revenue Expenditure (10+14)          793,798    911,809   1,040,723     1,161,940      1,286,109     10.7     16.3%   22.0%
                                               14.2%       14.1%       15.6%        14.8%         14.7%
          Of Which, Grants for
                                                                         87,487      137,505       164,672
 6.a.1 creation of Capital Assets


  6.b.     Capital Expenditure (12+15)           90,158    112,678     156,605       156,780       204,816      19.8     7.0%    3.8%
                                                1.6%        1.7%        1.1%         1.5%          1.6%
     7 Revenue Deficit (17-1)                   253,539    338,998     252,252       394,951       350,424      30.6     4.2%    31.4%
                                                 4.5        -5.2        -3.3          -4.4          -3.4
     8 Effective Revenue
         Deficit (17-18)#                                              164,765       257,446       185,752      -27.8
                                                                        -2.1          -2.9          -1.8
     9 Fiscal Deficit {16-(1+5+6)}              336,992    418,482     373,591       521,980       513,590      -1.6     15.3%   42.4%
                                                 6          -6.4        -4.9          -5.9          -5.1
   10 Primary Deficit (20-11)                   144,788    205,389     139,569       246,362       193,831      -21.3    27.7%     na
                                                 2.6        -3.1        -1.8          -2.8          -1.9
        Memoranda
        Nominal GDP Growth rate                   5,582,623 6,457,352 7,674,148         8,912,178 10,159,884
        Growth                                       12.0         15.7          18.8      16.1       14.0
Source: Budget documents
N o t e : F i g u r e s b e l o w t h e e s t i m a t e s a r e e xp r e s s e d a s a % o f G D P




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UNION BUDGET



T able 2: Direct and Indirect t axes (Rs crore and as a % of G DP)
                                                                                                                              2012-13
                                                                                                                              vis-à-vis
                                                                                                                              2011-12
                                                                                                                              growth CAGR 10 CAGR 5
                                                         2008-09       2009-10      2010-11-RE 2011-12-BE         2012-13       rates   yrs    yrs
   1 Gross Tax Revenue                                     605,299       624,528       786,888       901,664      1,077,611   19.5%   17.2%   11.0%
                                                          10.8%          9.7%         10.3%          10.1%        10.6%
   2 Direct Tax
2.a.     Corporation Tax                                   213,395       244,725       296,377       327,680        373,227   13.9%   24.3%   14.2%
                                                           3.8%          3.8%         3.9%           3.7%          3.7%
2.b.     Taxes on Income Other than Corporation Tax        106,046       122,475       141,566       166,679        189,866   13.9%   18.3%   12.9%
                                                           1.9%          1.9%         1.8%           1.9%          1.9%
   3 Indirect Taxes
3.a.     Customs                                            99,879        83,324       131,800       153,000        186,694   22.0%   14.6%   10.1%
                                                           1.8%          1.3%         1.7%           1.7%          1.8%
3.b.     Union Excise Duty                                 108,613       102,991       137,263       150,075        193,729   29.1%   6.9%     5.0%
                                                           1.9%          1.6%         1.8%           1.7%          1.9%
3.c.     Service Tax                                        60,941        58,422        69,400        95,000        124,000   30.5%   41.7%   16.7%
                                                           1.1%          0.9%         0.9%           1.1%          1.2%
Source: Budget docum ents
N o t e : F i g u r e s b e l o w t h e e s t i m a t e s a r e e xp r e s s e d a s a % o f G D P

It m ight als o be noted that the c apital ex penditure is budgeted to go up by 31% in the
year 2012 - 13. But the gr owth in non - plan c apital ex penditure is es tim ated to be m uc h
higher than the gr owth in plan c apital ex penditure. Henc e an im petus to growth
through pum p pr im ing c apital ex penditure is dif f ic ult to envis age .

T able 3: Expendit ure t rends ( Rs crore and as a % of G DP)
                                                                                                                            Growth CAGR 10    CAGR 5
                                           2008-09         2009-10          2010-11          2011-12-RE        2012-13 BE    Rate    yrs        yrs
       1 Non Plan Expenditure                608,721          721,096          818,299           892,116           969,900   8.7%   12.8%      15.1%
                                            10.9%           11.2%            10.7%             10.0%              9.5%
  1.a. Interest payments                     192,204          213,093          234,022           275,618           319,759 16.0%    9.9%      12.7%
                                            3.4%             3.3%             3.0%              3.1%              3.1%
  1.b. Defence Expenditure                   114,223          141,781          154,117           170,937           193,407 13.1%    13.3%     16.9%
                                            2.0%             2.2%             2.0%              1.9%              1.9%
  1.c. Subsidies                             129,708          141,351          173,420           216,297           190,015 -12.2%   19.5%     32.1%
                                            2.3%             2.2%             2.3%              2.4%              1.9%
  1.d. Other Non Plan Expenditure            172,586          224,871          256,740           229,264           266,719 16.3%    11.7%      7.1%
                                            3.1%             3.5%             3.3%              2.6%              2.6%
       2 Plan expenditure                    275,235          303,391          379,029           426,604           521,025 22.1%    16.1%     20.1%
                                            4.9%             4.7%             4.9%              4.8%              5.1%
  2.a. on Revenue Account                    234,774          253,884          314,232           346,200           420,513 21.5%    19.1%     18.8%
                                            4.2%             3.9%             4.1%              3.9%              4.1%
  2.b. on Capital Account                     40,461           49,507           64,797            80,404           100,512 25.0%    8.1%      26.4%
                                            0.7%             0.8%             0.8%              0.9%              1.0%
       3 Total Expenditure                   883,956        1,024,487        1,197,328         1,318,720         1,490,925 13.1%    13.8%     16.6%
                                               15.8%            15.9%            15.6%             14.8%             14.7%
  3.a. on Revenue Account                    793,798          911,809        1,040,723         1,161,940         1,286,109 10.7%    14.7%     18.2%
                                               14.2%            14.1%            13.6%             13.0%             12.7%
  3.b. on Capital Account                     90,158          112,678          156,605           156,780           204,816 30.6%    8.6%       7.3%
                                                1.6%              1.7%             2.0%              1.8%              2.0%
Source: Budget documents
N o t e : F i g u r e s b e l o w t h e e s t i m a t e s a r e e xp r e s s e d a s a % o f G D P

T hough the budget tar gets to c ontain the c entral s ubs idies under 2 % of G DP in 2012 -
13, and br inging them down f r om the c urrent 2.4% will not be eas y. T his is bec aus e

                                                                                4
UNION BUDGET
im plem entation of f ood s ec ur ity bill will alone am ount to a m inim um of 0.7% of G DP
and c ould be as high as 1.5% of G DP. W e believe that the es tim ates of f ood s ubs idy
m ay have a downwar d bias , as it does not inc lude s ubs idy s torage and trans port,
leak age c os ts etc ( f ood s ubs idy is proj ec ted to inc reas e by only 3% in 2012 - 13,
agains t a 5 year CAG R at 22.1%) Als o, the budgeted f igures f or oil s ubs idy indic ate a
dec line by about 12% or Rs 24,901 c rores . H owever there has been no word on the
propos ed der egulation of the s ec tor or an inc reas e in dies el pric es . W e hope that the
m uc h requir ed der egulation of the petroleum s ec tor is tak en f orward in the right
earnes t.

T able 4: Subsidy t rends ( Rs crore and as a % of G DP)
                                                                                                                                      2012-13
                                                                                                                                      vis-à-vis
                                                                                                                                      2011-12
                                                                                                                                      growth CAGR 10 CAGR 5
                                                         2008-09        2009-10          2010-11       2011-12 RE 2012-13 BE            rates Years  Years
         1 Total Subsidies                                    129,708        141,351         173,420      216,297        190,015       -12.2%    19.2%   31.9%
                                                              2.3%           2.2%            2.3%         2.4%           1.9%
1.a.         Fertiliser Subsidy                                76,602          61,264         62,301          67,199      60,974        -9.3%    22.3%   21.4%
                                                              1.4%           0.9%            0.8%         0.8%           0.6%
1.b.         Food Subsidy                                      43,751          58,443         63,844          72,823      75,000        3.0%     13.0%   22.2%
                                                              0.8%           0.9%            0.8%         0.8%           0.7%
1.c.         Petroleum Subsidy                                  2,852          14,951         38,371          68,481      43,580       -36.4%    30.4%   120.7%
                                                              0.1%           0.2%            0.5%         0.8%           0.4%
1.d.         Interest Subsidies                                 3,493            2,686         4,680           5,791          7,968    37.6%     25.2%   19.6%
                                                              0.1%           0.0%            0.1%         0.1%           0.1%
1.e.         Other Subsidies                                    3,009            4,006         4,223           2,002          2,493    24.5%     -1.9%   -0.8%
                                                              0.1%           0.1%            0.1%        0.02%           0.02%


Source: Budget documents
N o t e : F i g u r e s b e l o w t h e e s t i m a t e s a r e e xp r e s s e d a s a % o f G D P

T he gros s m ar k et bor r o wings f or the year 2011 - 12 have been revis ed upwards by 22%
f rom Rs 41 71 billion ( BE) to Rs 5100 billion (RE). T his f igure is f urthe r ex pec ted to go
up to Rs 5696 billion in 2012- 13. Suc h a high level of borrowing will c ontinue to ex ert
pres s ure on inter es t r ates . Apart f rom dated s ec urities , the G overnm ent is als o
s c heduled to bor r ow Rs 900 billion through t reas ury bills . However the dec reas e in
interes t rates on EPFs is an enc ouraging m ove .

T able 5: G ov ernment Borrow ings (Rs crore and as a % of G DP)
                                                                                                                          2012-13
                                                                                                                          vis-à-vis
                                                                                                                          2011-12
                                                                                                                          growth CAGR 10 CAGR 5
                                                    2008-09          2009-10         2010-11        2011-12 RE 2012-13 BE   rates   yrs    yrs
Gross Market Borrowings                               273,000         451,000            437,000       510,000         569,616        11.7%     16.9%    32.0%
                                                     4.9%             7.0%            5.7%             5.7%            5.6%
Less repayments                                        39,370           52,576           111,586        73,586          90,616        23.1%     11.6%    19.3%
                                                     0.7%             0.8%            1.5%             0.8%            0.9%
Net Market Borrowings                                 233,630         398,424            325,414       436,414         479,000        9.8%      18.1%    34.9%
                                                     4.2%             6.2%            4.2%             4.9%            4.7%
Source: Budget documents
N o t e : F i g u r e s b e l o w t h e e s t i m a t e s a r e e xp r e s s e d a s a % o f G D P

Interes tingly, as table 6 s hows , the huge inc reas e in gros s borrowings f or the
governm ent in 2012 - 13 m ay c r owd out c redit to private s ec tor. For ex am ple, the ratio
of gros s bor r owings to non - f ood c r edit in 2011 - 12 was 1. 14 indic ating that f or every
rupee of non- f ood c r edit , ther e is a c onc om itant borrowing of Rs 1.14 by the
G overnm ent. Inter es tingly, the r atio of redem ption to gros s borrowings (indic ating f or
every rupee o f G over nm ent borrowing, the am ount that is going purely to repay

                                                                                 5
UNION BUDGET
previous gover nm ent debt ) was 43 pais e in 2004 - 05, that had dec lined to 16 pais e in
2012- 13. By this logic , the governm ent borrowings s hould have dec lined in 2012 - 13.
However, in c ontr as t, in the nex t f is c al, the m ark et borrowings will f inanc e 93% of the
f is c al def ic it as c om par ed to 84% las t year. T his c learly indic ates that the G overnm ent
is now bor r owing pur ely to f inanc e non - plan ex penditure, as revenue growth has
dec elerated in the las t c ouple of years .

T able 6: G ross borrow ings, crow ding out
and redempt ion
             Gross   Redemption
          Borrowing/    / Gross
           Non Food     Market
             Credit   Borrowings
2002-03           0.88           0.22
2003-04           1.03           0.35
2004-05           0.29           0.43
2005-06           0.37           0.27
2006-07           0.35           0.24
2007-08           0.39           0.22
2008-09           0.66           0.14
2009-10           0.97           0.12
2010-11           0.64           0.26
2011-12           1.14           0.14
2012-13                          0.16
Source: Budget documents




                                                 6
UNION BUDGET

                                                           SECTOR ANALYSIS
T able 7 gives us an im pac t of budget on the dif f erent s ec tors . As c an be s een f rom the
table, m os t of the i s s ues whic h were in the wis h lis t have not been f ulf illed. Sec tors
lik e ins uranc e, r etail, war ehous ing, environm ent & c lim ate c hange and c hem ic al are
the ones wher e is s ues have not been addres s ed ex tens ively . A m ore detailed im pac t of
the budget has been pr ovided below bas ed on dif f erent s ec tors .

T able 7: FICCI’s Scorecard of W ish list & Budget Impact
                                      Wish-list                                                                      Budget Impact
 Sector                                                                                       Not
                                      No of wishes                   Addressed                                        +ve                 -ve
                                                                                              Addressed

 Chemical                             15                             2                        13                     7                    1
 FMCG                                 6                              1                        5                      3                    1
 Energy, Defense                &
                                      3                                                       3                                           2
 Aerospace
 Oil & Gas                            3                                                       3
 Retail                               8                                                       8                                           7
 Medical Devices                      3                              1                        2                      1
 Technical Textiles                   7                              4                        3                      4                    2
 Warehousing                          21                             5                        16                     5                    1
 MSME                                 4                              1                        3                      7
 Power                                8                              4                        4                      2
 Infrastructure                       1                                                       1
 Homeland Security                                                                                                   1
 ICT                                                                                                                 3                    2
 Agriculture                          5                              5
 Environment                    &
                                      10                                                      10
 Climate change
 Textiles                             8                              2                        6                      10
 Gems & Jewellery                     2                                                       2                      1                    3
 Wellness                             4                                                       4
 Health                               11                             3                        8                      5
 Human Resource                       7                              3                        4                      4                    2
 Banking                              3                              3

 Insurance & Pensions                 4                              1                        3

 Health Insurance                     4                              2                        2
 Microfinance                         1                              1
 Capital Markets                      7                              7
 Total                                145                            45                       100                    53                   21
Source: FICCI Research
F o o t n o t e : c o u n t s o f ‘ A d d r e s s e d ’ a n d ‘ N o t A d d r e s s e d ’ wi s h - l i s t a d d s u p t o t h e n u m b e r o f wi s h e s m a d e
i n e v e r y s e c t o r . H o we v e r , c o u n t s f o r B u d g e t I m p a c t wi l l n o t a d d u p t o t h e n u m b e r s o f wi s h e s a s r e s t o f
the impact are neutral


                                                                                 7
UNION BUDGET
Agriculture
      The budget has plac ed a m aj or em phas is on agric ulture by way of announc ing
       right polic ies that would ens ure m ore inves tm ents in agric ulture ex tens ion,
       developm ent of agr i m ar k eting inf ras truc tur e, inc reas ing agri c redit availability
       to the f ar m er s , etc . FICCI welc om es thes e initiatives , as they will give a big
       pus h to agr ic ultur e gr owth

      T he long s tanding dem and of FICCI that 150 per c ent weighted deduc tion of
       ex penditur e be ex tended to inves tm e nts m ade in the ex tens ion s ervic es has
       been c ons ider ed. T his is a very pos itive m ove as it will lead to m ore
       inves tm ents by the pr ivate s ec tor in agric ulture ex tens ion, whic h will res ult in
       inc r eas ing yields .

      T he gover nm ent has c ons idered FICCI’s s ugges tion to ex tend interes t
       s ubvention f or pos t har ves t loans agains t warehous e rec eipts . T his will reduc e
       the dis tr es s s elling by the f arm ers .

      FICCI als o welc om es the dec is ion to enhanc e the inves tm ent link ed deduc tion
       f or war ehous es and c old s torages to 150 per c ent. T his would attrac t large
       private inves tm ents in the c old c hain ac ros s the c ountry whos e dem and f ar
       outs tr ips the pr es ent handling c apac ity. T he enhanc ed c old c hain and
       war ehous ing f ac ilities would im m ens ely c ontribute to the governm ent c of f ers as
       thes e would r educ e hor tic ultural produc e was tages to an ex tent of 30 %. Apart,
       s ignif ic ant alloc ation was m ade f or inc reas ing the warehous ing c apac ity in the
       c ountr y.

      Sever al announc em ents m ade on indirec t tax es f ront by way of reduc tion in
       im por t duty on f ar m equipm ent, green hous es , water s oluble f ertilizers would
       als o r es ult in lower input c os ts f or f arm ers .

      G over nm ent’s dec is ion to s et up a c om pany to f inanc ing m inor irrigation work s
       and inc luding ir r igation pr oj ec ts under v iability gap f unding is an innovative as it
       would enc our age s ever al private c om panies to enter into the bus ines s of
       developing ir r igation f ac ilities .

      Rs 200 c r or e f or Res earc h Rewards             f or agric ultural res earc hers f or
       break thr oughs is yet another innovativ e          polic y approac h adopted by the
       gover nm ent

Chemicals
      An es tim ated 40 % of the f r uit and vegetable produc tion in India goes was te due
       to lac k of s tor age, c old c hain and trans port inf ras truc ture. T o addres s thes e
       is s ues , dur ing 2011 - 12, approval is being given to s et up 15 m ore Mega Food
       Par k s . Spec ialty c hem ic als will be part of this f ac ilitation.

      T o attr ac t inves tm ent in this s ec tor, henc ef orth, c apital inves tm ent in the
       c reation of m oder n s tor age c apac ity will be eligible f or viability gap f unding
       s c hem e of the Financ e Minis try. It is als o p ropos ed to rec ognize c old c hains
       and pos t - har ves t s tor age as an inf ras truc ture s ub - s ec tor.

      In or der to give a boos t to inf ras truc ture developm ent in railways , ports , hous ing
       and highways developm ent, tax f ree bonds of Rs 30,000 c rores to be is s ued by
       var ious G over nm ent undertak ings in the year 2011 - 12. T his inc ludes Indian

                                                8
UNION BUDGET
      Railway Financ e Cor por ation Rs 10,000 c rores , National Highway Author ity of
      India Rs 10,000 c r or es , HUDCO Rs 5,000 c rores and Ports Rs 5,000 c rores .

     Polic y ex pec ts to tak e the s hare of m anuf ac turing in G DP f rom about 16 % to
      25% over a per iod of ten years . A G roup of Minis ters has been s et up to
      c ons ider all is s ues r elating to rec onc iliation of environm ental c onc erns
      em anating f r om var ious departm ental ac tivities inc luding thos e relat ed to
      inf r as tr uc tur e and m ining. T his G roup will als o s ugges t c hanges in the ex is ting
      s tatutes , r ules , r egulations and guidelines and m ak e its rec om m endations in a
      tim e bound m anner . T his will benef it the c hem ic al indus try als o.

     W eighted deduc tion on paym ents m ade to National Laboratories , univer s ities
      and Ins titutes of tec hnology, f or s c ienti f ic res earc h, enhanc ed f rom 175 % to
      200%.

     Mic r o- ir r igation is an environm ent - f riendly and ef f ic ient m eans of irrigation
      es pec ially f or dr y land f ar m ing. I t is propos ed to reduc e the bas ic c us tom s duty
      on m ic r o- ir r igation equipm ent f rom 7.5 % to 5%. T his is an opportunity f or the
      Plas tic s indus tr y.

     Full ex em ption f r om bas ic c us tom s duty and a c onc es s ional CVD of 1% to
      s team c oal f or a per iod of two years till Marc h 31, 2014

FM CG
     Direc t tax : Ex em ption lim it of pers onal inc om e tax inc reas ed, will be leading to
      augm entation in the dis pos able inc om e: Should give s tim ulus to the dem and of
      FMCG pr oduc ts .

     Cas c ading ef f ec t of dividend dis tribution tax rem oved: T o benef it Ind ian MNCs

     G ST networ k ex pec ted       to   roll   out   by   Augus t   2012:   No    c larity   on   the
      im plem entation tim eline.

     Standar d r ate of ex c is e inc reas ed f rom 10 % to 12%, the m erit rate f rom 5 % to
      6%, and the lower m er it rate f rom 1 % to 2%: c ould lead to inc reas e in the
      produc t pr ic e and would have inf lationary im pac t

     Inc r eas e in bas ic ex c is e duty on c igarettes of m ore than 65m m length by adding
      an ad valor em c om ponent of 10 % to the ex is ting s pec if ic rates . T he ad valorem
      duty would b e c har geable on 50% of the Retail Sal e Pric e dec lared on the pac k :
      Pric es will inc r eas e of c igarettes m anuf ac tured dom es tic ally.

     Inc r eas e in bas ic ex c is e duty on hand - rolled bidis f rom 8 to 10 per thous and
      and m ac hine - r olled bidis f rom 19 to 21 per thous and, however ex is ting
      ex em ption avail able to hand - rolled bidis f or c learanc es up to 20 lak h bidis per
      annum is being r etained: It is an ef f ort to gain revenue and s truc ture the
      unor ganis ed s ec tor .




                                                 9
UNION BUDGET
Energy, Def ense and Aerospace
        T he budget has not addr es s ed any of the is s ues whic h are plaguing the growth
         of the pr ivate s ec tor in def enc e. No s tep is being tak en in the direc tion of
         c reating a level playing f ield f or the private s ec tor. Private s ec tor c ontinues to
         be on an uneven f ooting unable to c om petitively bid agains t the DPSUs and the
         O EMs owing to the is s ues s uc h as FERV, and uneven tax es and duties .

        Although the gover nm ent has approved the guidelines f or es tablis hing the j oint
         ventur e c om panies by def enc e PSUs in PPP m ode, it c an’t be c laim ed that
         s etting of guidelines alone will boos t s e lf relianc e and indigenization. T he
         guidelines will ens ur e tr ans parenc y in s etting up of J VCs and not direc tives to
         DPSUs to f or m s J Vs with private s ec tor. As DPSUs ’ order book s are f ull with
         order s and over f lowing in s om e c as es , the intent to f orm J V in D PSUs is not
         ther e.

Retail
        Direc t tax : Ex em ption lim it inc reas ed, although a tok en inc reas e yet will be
         leading to augm entation in the dis pos able inc om e : Should give s tim ulus to the
         retail s ales

        Indir ec t tax : Ser vic e tax inc reas ed f rom 10% to 12%: Foo d s ervic es retailing to
         have an im pac t; eating out would be ex pens ive. In addition inc reas e in s ervic e
         tax on r entals of c om m er c ial prem is es would lead to inc reas e in c os t f or the
         retailer s .

        DT C def er r ed no c lar ity on G ST tim elines


        Ef f or ts to c ontinue to build a c ons ens us in c ons ultation with the State
         gover nm ents . : No f r es h air f or m ulti - brand retailing in this res pec t

        Inves tm ent link ed deduc tion of c apital ex penditure inc urred in the c old c hain
         bus ines s is pr opos ed to be provi ded at the enhanc ed rate of 150% , as agains t
         the c ur r ent r ate of 100% : W ill attrac t inves tm ent in c old c hain inf ras truc ture and
         im pr ovis e the s upply c hain

        W eighted deduc tion of 150% on ex penditure inc urred f or agri - ex tens ion s ervic es
         whic h will tr ic k le down to give boos t to f ood retailing s ec tor as well

        Conc es s ional im por t duty to be available f or ins tallation of Mec hanis ed Handling
         Sys tem s and Pallet Rac k ing Sys tem s in m andis or warehous es f or hortic ultural
         produc e: Mec hanis ation would lead to reduc tion in was tage



M edical Dev i ces
        T he im pac t of c us tom d uty reduc tion will be f ar reac hing in c utting down the
         c os ts of m edic al devic es and equipm ents where titanium diox ide is us ed as an
         input.

T echnical T ext iles
        T he us e of r ight m ix of f ibr e as is the trend worldwide


                                                   10
UNION BUDGET

        Lik ely to enc o ur age m anuf ac turing of tec hnic al tex tiles item s lik e bullet proof
         helm ets in the c ountr y and m ak ing them c om petitive

        G eo- tex tiles m anuf ac tur ing will get a boos t in the c ountry if the dom es tic ally
         produc ed item s ar e enc our aged under the Rs 500 c rores s c hem e announc ed f or
         Nor th- Eas t f or applic ation of geo - tex tiles

        R&D is m us t f or tec hnic al tex tiles , henc e the budget will have s alutary im pac t
         on the s ec tor

        G reen hous e c over s c an be im ported at bas ic im port duty of 5% now as agains t
         10%. May dis inc entive lo c al m anuf ac turing here

        W eaving is weak link in the tex tiles value c hain and needs to be m odernis ed.
         Henc e, c us tom duty ex em ption on s huttles loom s will help the s ec tor in
         upgr ading the tec hnology

W arehousing
        T he pr opos al f or s etting up the national f ood Proc es s ing Mis s ion is a welc om e
         m ove whic h will def initely c ontribute to enhanc ed growth of the s ec tor on
         ac c ount of im pr oved c entr e s tate c oordination and ex ec ution of polic ies .

        T he inc r eas e in ex c is e duty ac r os s c ategories ranging f rom 1 - 2% will c ontrib ute
         to inf lationar y pr es s ur es and we s eek a roll bac k . Sinc e the indus try is low
         m ar gin and high volum e the roll bac k bec om es even m ore pertinent.

        Enhanc em ent in inves tm ent link ed deduc tion of c apital ex penditure towards c old
         c hain f ac ility, war ehous es i s a pos itive m ove towards inc entivizing f low of
         m oney in thes e ar eas .

        Creation of 2 m illion tonnes of s torage c apac ity in the f orm of m odern s ilos has
         already been appr oved. Nearly 15 m illion tonnes c apac ity is being c reated under
         the Pr ivate Entr epr eneu r ’s G uarantee Sc hem e, of whic h 3 m illion tonnes of
         s tor age c apac ity will be added by the end of 2011 - 12 and 5 m i llion would be
         added nex t year

        T he r educ tion in c us tom s duty on probiotic s and Soya protein c onc entrate and
         is olated s oya pr otein as well as re duc tion in ex c is e duty on all proc es s ed s oya
         f ood pr oduc ts , as als o the reduc tion in c onc es s ional bas ic c us tom s duty along
         with r educ ed ex c is e duty of 6 % on iodine, is a s tep in the right direc tion
         towar ds ac hieving nutr ition and health goals

M SM E
        Inc r eas e in Com puls or y audit lim it of s m all bus ines s will help c urtail c os t of
         hiring auditor s / legal ex per ts

        In or der to enhanc e availability of equity to MSME s ec tor, s etting up of Rs .
         5,000 c r or es India O ppor tunities Venture Fund with SIDBI is a welc om e s te p.
         T his will help MSMEs f unding requirem ent during their s tart- up as well as
         growth s tage




                                                   11
UNION BUDGET
        For the year 2012 - 13, tax - f ree bonds f or Rs . 5000 c rores were announc ed f or
         f inanc ing in f r as tr uc tur e pr oj ec ts f or SIDBI

        In addition to 4 m ega handloom c lus ters alre ady operationalis ed, the
         announc em ent of two m or e m ega c lus ters , one to c over Prak as am and G untur
         dis tr ic ts in Andhr a Pr ades h and the other f or G odda and neighbouring dis tric ts
         in J har k hand is a welc om e m ove f or prom oting c lus ter developm ent f or MSMEs .
         Als o pr oviding as s is tanc e in s etting up of dorm itories f or wom en work ers in the
         5 m ega c lus ter s r elating to handloom , power loom and leather s ec tors would
         inc r eas e em ploym ent opportunities f or wom en.

        T he alloc ation f or Pr im e Minis ter’s Em ploym ent G eneration Program m e
         ( PMEG P) has been inc r eas ed by 23% f rom Rs . 1,037 c rore in 2011 - 12 to Rs .
         1,276 c r or e in 2012 - 13. T his would eventually help in broadening
         entr epr eneur s hip bas e and thereby inc reas ing the em ploym ent opportunity in
         the MSME s ec tor .

        In or der to pr o vide im petus to the MSME engaged in produc tion of low - c os t
         m edic al devic es , a r educ ti on on bas ic c us tom s duty to 2.5% with c onc es s ional
         CVD of 6% on s pec if ied parts , c om ponents and raw m aterials f or the
         m anuf ac tur e of s om e dis pos ables and ins trum ents was a nnounc ed. Als o, f ull
         ex em ption f r om bas ic c us tom s duty and CVD is als o being ex tended to s pec if ied
         raw m ater ials f or the m anuf ac ture of c oronary s tents and heart valves . T hes e
         c onc es s ions would be s ubj ec t to ac tual us er c ondition. T his announc em ent will
         help Indian m anuf ac tur er s to bring out indigenis ed produc ts at low c os t.

Pow er
        Fuel r ef or m s : G over nm ent’s apprec iation f or the c onc erns of power s ec tor
         s tak eholder s par tic ular ly pertaining to the f uel is s ues is welc om e. T he ef f orts
         s tar ted by PMO by m anda ting Coal India Lim ited to s ign Fuel Supply
         Agr eem ents ( with under tak ings having s igned the PPAs and lik ely to
         c om m is s ion bef or e or by Marc h 31, 2015). T hes e have been f urther enhanc ed
         by f ull ex em ption of bas ic c us tom s duty and a c onc es s ional CVD of 1% on
         s team c oal f or a per iod of 2 years till Marc h 2014. O ther f uels us ed f or power
         gener ation s uc h as natural gas and LNG , uranium have als o been f ully
         ex em pted f r om bas ic c us tom s duty. T he propos ed c ons titution of an inter -
         m inis ter ial gr oup to under tak e peri odic review of the alloc ated c oal m ines and
         m ak e r ec om m endations on de - alloc ations , if s o required is als o welc om e. T hes e
         m eas ur es c oupled with f ull ex em ption f rom bas ic c us tom s duty f or c oal m ining
         proj ec ts will c er tainly m ak e the proc es s m ore ac c ountable and hopef ully lead to
         greater dom es tic ex plor ation of c oal.

        Financ ing Im per atives : ECBs have been allowed to part - f inanc e Rupee Debt of
         ex is ting power pr oj ec ts and tax - f ree bonds am ounting INR 10,000 c rores have
         been pr opos ed f or the power s ec tor. For t he power s ec tor, bes ides ac c es s to
         low c os t f unds , the Budget has als o propos ed ex tens ion of the s uns et date by
         one year f or power s ec tor undertak ings s o that they c an be s et up on or bef ore
         Mar c h 31, 2013 f or c laim ing 100% deduc tion of prof its f or 10 year s . Additional
         depr ec iation of 20% in the initial year is propos ed to be ex tended to new as s ets
         ac quir ed by power gener ation c om panies . T he dec is ion to rem ove the c as c ading
         ef f ec t of Dividend Dis tr ibution T ax is als o welc om e.




                                                  12
UNION BUDGET
Homeland Securit y
         Ef f or ts to i nc r eas e the availability of res idential quarters to f orc es . In 2012 - 13,
          it is envis aged to c ons tr uc t nearly 4,000 res idential quarters f or Central Arm ed
          Polic e For c es f or whic h 1,185 c rore s are propos ed to be alloc ated

         A pr ovis ion of 3,280 c r or es f or 2012 - 13 has als o been m ade f or c ons truc tion of
          of f ic e buildings inc luding land ac quis ition and barrac k s to ac c om m odate 27,000
          per s onnel. T his will pr ovide better work ing environm ent and inc entive f or people
          to s er ve in var ious f or c es .

ICT
         Need to get f ur ther elabor ation on the viability gap f unding announc ed f or phone
          tower s .

         Som e m obile phone par ts have been ex em pted f rom bas ic c us tom s duty whic h
          is good news

         Inc r eas e in s er vic e tax will hit the end c us tom ers in telec om s ec tor, m ore s o
          when the indus tr y is f ac ing lots of unc ertainty

         Foc us on e - enablem ent by s tres s ing on enabling e - f iling, e - paym ent of tax es ,
          c om puter ization of c om m er c ial tax es , Creation of online platf orm s etc .

         All thr ee public s ec tor O il Mark eting Com panies have launc hed                      LPG
          trans par en c y por tals to im prove c us t om er s ervic e and reduc e leak age

         Mobile- bas ed s ys tem that gives all inf orm ation on f ertilizer and s ubs idies
          m ovem ents to be r olled out nation - wide is pos itive s tep

         Us e of Aadhaar as power f ul ef f ec tive tool in ac hieving good gover nanc e and
          m aintaining tr ans par enc y

         Endeavour to s c ale up and roll out Aadhaar enabled paym ents f or various
          gover nm ent s c hem es in at leas t 50 dis tric ts within nex t 6 m onths

Env ironment , Climat e Change & R enew able Energy
         No c hange in the ex is ting c ondition

T extiles
         Ex c is e duty on r eadym ade G arm ents f urther reduc ed: Ex c is e duty of 10% is
          applic able to br anded r eady- m ade garm ents with abatem ent of 55% f rom the
          Retail Sale Pr ic e. Along with inc reas e in duty to 12%, FM propos es to enhanc e
          the abatem ent to 70%. As res ult, the inc idenc e of duty as a perc entage of the
          Retail Sale Pr ic e would c om e down f rom 4.5% to 3.6%.In term s of im pac t, there
          would be m ar ginal benef it to tex tile c om panies in the higher end of the value
          c hain

         Autom ated s huttle loom s ex em pted f ro m c us tom s duty: Fully ex em pt autom atic
          s huttle - les s loom s f r om bas ic c us tom s duty of 5% would have the pos itive
          im pac t on weaving indus tr y and s pec ially Denim s ec tor


                                                    13
UNION BUDGET
        Mor e Handloom c lus ter s : Setting up of two m ore handloom m ega c lus ters , one
         to c over Pr ak a s am and G untur dis tric ts in Andhra Prades h and other f or G odda
         and neighbor ing dis tr ic ts in J hark hand in addition to 4 m ega handloom c lus ters
         already oper ating.

        T hr ee W eaver 's Ser vic e Centers one eac h in Mizoram , Nagaland and J hark hand
         to be s et up f or pr oviding tec hnic al s upport to poor handloom weavers

        Setting up of dor m itor ies f or wom en work ers in the 5 m ega c lus ters relating to
         handloom , power loom and leather s ec tors

        Rs 500 c r or es pilot s c hem e in twelf th plan f or prom otion and applic ation of G eo -
         tex tiles in the Nor th Eas t Region

        Reduc tion of bas ic c us tom s duty on raw m aterials

        Mega Power loom Clus ter: A Power loom Mega Clus ter will be s et up in
         Ic halk ar anj i in Mahar as htr a with budget alloc ation of Rs 70 c rores

        Relief to Silk indus tr y: Full ex em pt ion f rom bas ic duty is being ac c orded to
         autom atic s ilk r eeling and proc es s ing m ac hinery as well as its parts . It is als o
         propos ed to r es tr ic t thes e ex em ptions and the ex is ting c onc es s ional rateof
         bas ic c us tom s duty of 5 % only to new tex tile m ac hinery

        Sec ond- hand m ac hiner y would now attrac t bas ic duty of 7.5%

        T o r educ e bas ic c us tom s duty on wool was te and wool tops f rom 15% to 5%

        T o r educ e bas ic c us tom s duty on T itanium diox ide f rom 10% to 7.5%

G ems & Jew ellery
        Ex c is e duty s tays at 1%

        Cus tom duty on G o ld and Platinum duty has been inc reas ed f rom 2% to 4%.
         T his will af f ec t the end us er, s inc e the duty hik e will be pas s ed on to them

        Branded Silver J eweller y is ex em pted f rom ex c is e duty; as s uc h there is no
         branded s ilve r j eweller y available in m ark et



        Cut and Polis hed c olor ed gem s s tone to attrac t bas ic c us tom duty of 2% at par
         with Diam onds . T his will have m arginal im pac t.

Health
        Inves tm ent link deduc tion of c apital ex penditure f or c ertain bus ines s es
         inc luding hos pitals pr opos ed to be provi ded at the enhanc ed rate of 150% whic h
         will inc lude hos pitals . T he m eas ure will inc rem entally inc entivize hos pital
         penetr ation into tier - II and tier - III c ities . However, the dem and f or
         ‘Inf r as tr uc tur e Status ’ has not been m et whic h would have a f ar greater im pac t
         on the ex pans ion of num bers of beds in T ier II - T ier III c ities .



                                                 14
UNION BUDGET
      W ithin the ex is ting lim it f or deduc tion allowed f or health ins uranc e, a deduc tion
       of up to Rs .5000 is being allowed f or preventive health c hec k ups .

          o   T his would benef it the end c ons um er in a big way; the propos al would
              lead to m ove towar ds prevention and m anagem ent of dis eas es as als o
              health c ouns eling ins tead of j us t c urative healthc ar e whic h is the need of
              the hour

          o   Hos pitals and s tandalone diagnos tic s c enters would benef it through
              s ubs tant ial additional bus ines s .

          o   Health ins ur anc e indus try c an als o benef it indirec tly through better ris k
              pr of iling of c ons um ers and m ore s c ientif ic pric ing in the long run.

      Alloc ation f or NRHM pr opos ed to be inc reas ed f rom Rs .18,115 c rores in 2011 -
       12 to Rs .20 ,822 c r or es in 2012 - 13.
           o Additional f unding will pos itively im pac t various public health initiatives
               of the G over nm ent at the rural level.

      National Ur ban Health Mis s ion is being launc hed.
          o T his will have a pos itive im pac t on inc luding the urban poor in the public
             health initiatives of the G overnm ent whic h was neglec ted until now

Human Resource
      G over nm ent has lar gely m is s ed out on the FICCI rec om m endations f or higher
       educ ation. Ex c ept f or the routine inc reas e in the f und alloc ation f or the s ec tor,
       ther e has not been any m aj or announc em ent m ade. In f ac t, the budget s peec h
       f inds no m ention of higher educ ation anywhere, thereby not giving a c lear
       pic tur e of the am ount alloc ated f or higher educ ation this year. Als o the m uc h
       awaited im pending Bills on higher educ a tion f ound no plac e in his s peec h whic h
       would f ur ther aggr avate the anx iety of s tak eholders , m ore s o f rom the f oreign
       higher educ ation pr ovider s .

Higher Educat ion
      G over nm ent’s pr opos al to c reate a Credit G uarantee Sc hem e f or educ ation
       loans thr ough bank s to ens ure better f low of c redit to des erving and m eritorious
       s tudents will def initely enhanc e the af f ordability of higher educ ation am ongs t
       the m iddle and low inc om e groups there by inc reas ing the G ER.

      T o pr om ote inves tm ent in res earc h and developm ent, t he governm ent has
       ex tended the weighted deduc ti on of 200% f or R&D ex penditure in an in - hous e
       f ac ility beyond Mar c h 31, 2012 f or a period of f ive years whic h c ertainly im pac t
       the R&D gr owth in univer s ities and res earc h c entres .

      G over nm ent’s announc em ent o f weighted deduc tion of 150% of ex penditure
       inc ur r ed on s k ill developm ent in m anuf ac turing s ec tor would partially help in
       addr es s ing s hor tage of s k illed m anpower in the m anuf ac turing s ec tor and would
       gener ate em ploym ent. FICCI’s initiative of s etting up Na tional Knowledge
       Func tional Hubs ( NKFH) f or c reating a s us tained m ec hanis m f or indus try -
       ac adem ia link age f oc us ing on c apital goods /m anuf ac turing will gain by



                                               15
UNION BUDGET
       attr ac ting c or por ate inves tm ent in the hub. Planning Com m is s ion is als o
       propos ing to integr ate thi s m odel in the 12th Plan.

School Educat ion
      21.7% inc r eas e in budget alloc ation ( Rs 25,555 c rores f or 2012 - 13) f or Sarva
       Shik s ha Abhiyan ( SSA) whic h is being c urrently im plem ented through Right to
       Educ ation ( RT E) would c ertainly help in m eeting the res our c e c runc h and help
       in inc r eas ing liter a c y level in the c ountry

      T he m ention of s etting up 6000 m odel s c hools is one of the elem ents f rom las t
       year ’s budget. 2500 m odel s c hools to be built in PPP a f ram ework has not tak en
       of f due lac k of c ons ens us between t he governm ent and the private s ec tor.
       Henc e, ther e is an ur gent need by the governm ent to ex pedite the proc es s s o
       that it f r uc tif ies in the 12th Plan period

      29% hik e in f und alloc ation (Rs 3124 c rores ) f or Ras htriya Madhyam ik Shik s ha
       Abhiyan ( RMSA) whic h was launc hed in 2009 to enhanc e ac c es s to quality
       s ec ondar y educ ation is a good m ove f orward to arres t s c hool dropout rate at the
       m iddle s c hool level.




                                              16

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India Budget 2012-13 - A FICCI Analysis

  • 1. UNION BUDGET- 2012-13 E c o n o m i c A ffa i r s a n d R e se a r c h D i v i si o n
  • 2. UNION BUDGET HIGHLIGHTS  Fiscal deficit projected at 5.1% of GDP in 2012-13: Based on a projected buoyancy in non-tax revenue and indirect taxes  The nominal growth rate of GDP is expected to be 14% for 2012-13: This translates into a 6.5% inflation rate, assuming a 7.6% GDP projection in the next fiscal  Exemption limit for general category of individual taxpayers has been raised from Rs1.8 lakh to Rs 2 lakh  Growth impulse could be dampened by the 2% hike in excise duty and service tax: These hikes are expected to add to inflationary pressures and would work against budget expectations of lower inflation  Over the medium term, the Government believes to bring down fiscal deficit further and has targeted a reduction in fiscal deficit to 4.5% by FY2014 and 3.9% by FY2015: Fiscal consolidation will remain a challenge  Budget targets to contain the central subsidies under 2% of GDP in 2012-13: It will be a difficult task  Gross market borrowings will finance 93% of the fiscal deficit in 2012-13: Indication of government borrowing to finance non-plan expenditures  The Government did not enunciate any actionable roadmap for implementation of either the GST or the DTC  No revival of investment allowance, no restoration of tax exemption on dividend income or capital gains for infrastructure capital fund / company and no hike in depreciation rate in budget  Reduction in withholding tax on interest payable on External Commercial Borrowings (ECBs) in certain sectors and extension of concessional tax treatment on the repatriation of overseas dividends are welcome: The raising of the ECB limit for infrastructure sector will also encourage investment in the sector.  The removal of cascading impact of DDT, which was recommend by FICCI is most welcome. The extension of tax benefit period for companies engaged in in-house R&D activities may also provide some relief to the companies.  Provision of extension of 200% weighted deduction for R&D expenditure is specially welcome as it has been announced for a period of 5 years  150% weighted deduction for agricultural extension will hopefully encourage private sector investment in agriculture and raise crop yields  For the power sector besides access to low cost funds the Budget has also extended the sunset date by one year until March 31, 2013 by claiming 100% deduction of profits for 10 years along with an additional distribution of 20%. This measure would encourage investment in power generation. 1
  • 3. UNION BUDGET MACROVIEW FICCI had ex pec ted and r ec om m ended that the budget would inc lude m eas ures f or prom oting inves tm ent led gr owth. T his was s pec ially reques ted in the c ontex t of ongoing s lowdown of ec onom ic gr owth whic h c ould be lower than 6.9% in 2011 - 12. T he nom inal gr owth r ate of G DP is ex pec ted to be 14% f or 2012 - 13. T his trans lates into a 6.5% inf lation r ate, as s um ing a 7.6% G DP proj ec tion in the nex t f is c al. It is not c lear if the higher gr owth r ate wo uld s ee a s trong revival of the m anuf ac turing s ec tor. T he G over nm ent has budgeted a f is c al def ic it target of 5.1% of G DP in FY2013 as agains t an es tim ated 5.9% of G DP (was budgeted at 4.6% of G DP) in FY2012.T his is bas ed on a pr oj ec ted buoyanc y in non - tax revenue (32% budgeted growth in 2012 - 13 agains t a 5 year c om pounded annual growth rate/ CAG R at 6.1%) , bas is Rs 40,000 c rore s pec tr um pr oc eeds in nex t f is c al. Net tax revenue to Centre is proj ec ted to c lim b by 20.1% ( 5 year CAG R at 9.9%). Net tax revenue in turn is bas ed on es tim ated buoyanc y in indir ec t tax es ( ex c is e tax proj ec ted to grow by a s harp 29%, agains t a 5 year CAG R at 5% and s er vic e tax es at 30.5% agains t a 5 year CAG R at 16.7%). T he G over nm ent has tak en s everal m eas ures to augm ent indirec t t ax es . O n the s ervic es tax f r ont, the tax bas e has been inc reas ed through the introduc tion of the negative lis t. T he lis t now c ontains 17 item s , whic h im plies that every other s ervic e would be tax ed. Apar t f r om this , there is a propos al to rais e the s ervic e tax rate to 12% f rom 10% ear lier , br inging it to the pre - c ris is level. O n the ex c is e duty f r ont, the s tandard rate on non - petroleum goods is propos ed to be inc reas ed to 12%. It had been reduc ed to 8% during the peak of the las t global f inanc ial c r is is an d s inc e then th e G overnm ent has been rolling it bac k in s tages . It has been pr opos ed that c us tom s duty on gold bars , c oins and platinum would be inc reas ed f r om 2% to 4%. Duty on nons tandard gold is to be doubled to 10% f rom 5% earlier. Ex c is e duty on gold has als o been inc reas ed to 3% f rom 1.5% earlier. T he G over nm ent did not enunc iate any ac tionable roadm ap f or im plem entation of either the G ST or the DT C . G rowth im puls e c ould be dam pened by the 2% hik e in ex c is e duty and s ervic e tax . T hes e hik es ar e ex pec ted to add to inf lationary pres s ure and would work agains t budget ex pec tations of lower inf lation. As f ar as per s onal inc om e tax es are c onc erned, the ex em ption lim it f or general c ategory of individual tax payer s has been rais ed f rom Rs 1.8 lak h to Rs 2 lak hs . O ver the m edium ter m , the G overnm ent believes to bring down f is c al def ic it f urther and has tar gete d a r educ tion in f is c al def ic it to 4.5% by FY2014 and 3.9% by FY2015. FICCI believes f is c al c ons olidation would c ontinue to be one of the m aj or c hallenges . T he dis inves tm ent tar get at Rs 30,000 c rores is an am bitious one. Additionally, as m entioned ear lie r , the budgeted s pec trum proc eeds at Rs 40,000 c rores f or the nex t f is c al as s um es will be dif f ic ult to ac hieve. T he G over nm ent has als o pr opos ed rationalis ation of tax provis ions that ac c rues f rom overs eas tr ans f er of s har es holding underlying as s ets in India. T he propos ed rationalis ation will ef f ec t r etr os pec tively f rom April 1’1962. FICCI believes that any polic y c hanges s hould always be f orward look ing and not with retros pec tive im pac t as it hurts the inves tm ent c lim ate and the bus ines s s trategies f or the inves tors . 2
  • 4. UNION BUDGET T able 1: Budget at a glance ( Rs crore and as a % of G DP) Growth CAGR 10 CAGR 5 2008-09 2009-10 2010-11 2011-12-RE 2012-13-BE Rate yrs yrs 1 Revenue Receipts 540,259 572,811 788,471 766,989 935,685 22.0 14.2% 9.1% 9.7% 8.9% 10.3% 8.6% 9.2% a. Tax Revenue (net to centre) 443,319 456,536 569,869 642,252 771,071 20.1 16.7% 9.9% 7.9% 7.1% 7.4% 7.2% 7.6% b. Non-Tax Revenue 96,940 116,275 218,602 124,737 164,614 32.0 6.2% 5.1% 1.7% 1.8% 2.8% 1.4% 1.6% 1 Capital Receipts (5+6+7)$ 343,697 451,676 408,857 551,730 555,241 0.6 13.1% 34.1% 6.2% 7.0% 5.3% 6.2% 5.5% 2.a. Recoveries of Loans 6,139 8,613 12,420 14,258 11,650 -18.3 -9.3% 29.3% 0.1% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 2.b. Other Receipts 566 24,581 22,846 15,493 30,000 93.6 19.4% -20.5% 0.0% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.3% 2.c. Borrowings and other liabilities* 336,992 418,482 373,591 521,980 513,590 -1.6 15.3% 42.4% 6.0% 6.5% 4.9% 5.9% 5.1% 3 Total Receipts (1+4) 883,956 1,024,487 1,197,328 1,318,720 1,490,925 13.1 13.7% 16.6% 15.8% 15.9% 15.6% 14.8% 14.7% 4 Non-Plan Expenditure 608,721 721,096 818,299 892,116 969,900 8.7 12.8% 15.1% 10.9% 11.2% 10.7% 10.0% 9.5% 4.a On Revenue Account of which, 559,024 657,925 726,491 815,740 865,596 6.1 13.2% 18.0% 10.0% 10.2% 9.5% 9.2% 8.5% 4.a.1 Interest Payments 192,204 213,093 234,022 275,618 319,759 16.0 9.9% 12.7% 3.4% 3.3% 3.0% 3.1% 3.1% 4.b On Capital Account 49,697 63,171 91,808 76,376 104,304 36.6 25.9% 33.5% 0.9% 1.0% 3.0% 3.1% 3.1% 5 Plan Expenditure 275,235 303,391 379,029 426,604 521,025 22.1 -4.1% -21.9% 4.9% 4.7% 1.2% 0.9% 1.0% 5.a. On Revenue Account 234,774 253,884 314,232 346,201 420,513 21.5 21.9% 25.2% 4.2% 3.9% 4.9% 4.8% 5.1% 5.b. On Capital Account 40,461 49,507 64,797 80,404 100,512 25.0 27.1% 82.1% 0.7% 0.8% 4.1% 3.9% 4.1% 6 Total Expenditure (9+13) 883,956 1,024,487 1,197,328 1,318,720 1,490,925 13.1 13.7% 16.6% 15.8% 15.9% 0.8% 0.9% 1.0% 6.a Revenue Expenditure (10+14) 793,798 911,809 1,040,723 1,161,940 1,286,109 10.7 16.3% 22.0% 14.2% 14.1% 15.6% 14.8% 14.7% Of Which, Grants for 87,487 137,505 164,672 6.a.1 creation of Capital Assets 6.b. Capital Expenditure (12+15) 90,158 112,678 156,605 156,780 204,816 19.8 7.0% 3.8% 1.6% 1.7% 1.1% 1.5% 1.6% 7 Revenue Deficit (17-1) 253,539 338,998 252,252 394,951 350,424 30.6 4.2% 31.4% 4.5 -5.2 -3.3 -4.4 -3.4 8 Effective Revenue Deficit (17-18)# 164,765 257,446 185,752 -27.8 -2.1 -2.9 -1.8 9 Fiscal Deficit {16-(1+5+6)} 336,992 418,482 373,591 521,980 513,590 -1.6 15.3% 42.4% 6 -6.4 -4.9 -5.9 -5.1 10 Primary Deficit (20-11) 144,788 205,389 139,569 246,362 193,831 -21.3 27.7% na 2.6 -3.1 -1.8 -2.8 -1.9 Memoranda Nominal GDP Growth rate 5,582,623 6,457,352 7,674,148 8,912,178 10,159,884 Growth 12.0 15.7 18.8 16.1 14.0 Source: Budget documents N o t e : F i g u r e s b e l o w t h e e s t i m a t e s a r e e xp r e s s e d a s a % o f G D P 3
  • 5. UNION BUDGET T able 2: Direct and Indirect t axes (Rs crore and as a % of G DP) 2012-13 vis-à-vis 2011-12 growth CAGR 10 CAGR 5 2008-09 2009-10 2010-11-RE 2011-12-BE 2012-13 rates yrs yrs 1 Gross Tax Revenue 605,299 624,528 786,888 901,664 1,077,611 19.5% 17.2% 11.0% 10.8% 9.7% 10.3% 10.1% 10.6% 2 Direct Tax 2.a. Corporation Tax 213,395 244,725 296,377 327,680 373,227 13.9% 24.3% 14.2% 3.8% 3.8% 3.9% 3.7% 3.7% 2.b. Taxes on Income Other than Corporation Tax 106,046 122,475 141,566 166,679 189,866 13.9% 18.3% 12.9% 1.9% 1.9% 1.8% 1.9% 1.9% 3 Indirect Taxes 3.a. Customs 99,879 83,324 131,800 153,000 186,694 22.0% 14.6% 10.1% 1.8% 1.3% 1.7% 1.7% 1.8% 3.b. Union Excise Duty 108,613 102,991 137,263 150,075 193,729 29.1% 6.9% 5.0% 1.9% 1.6% 1.8% 1.7% 1.9% 3.c. Service Tax 60,941 58,422 69,400 95,000 124,000 30.5% 41.7% 16.7% 1.1% 0.9% 0.9% 1.1% 1.2% Source: Budget docum ents N o t e : F i g u r e s b e l o w t h e e s t i m a t e s a r e e xp r e s s e d a s a % o f G D P It m ight als o be noted that the c apital ex penditure is budgeted to go up by 31% in the year 2012 - 13. But the gr owth in non - plan c apital ex penditure is es tim ated to be m uc h higher than the gr owth in plan c apital ex penditure. Henc e an im petus to growth through pum p pr im ing c apital ex penditure is dif f ic ult to envis age . T able 3: Expendit ure t rends ( Rs crore and as a % of G DP) Growth CAGR 10 CAGR 5 2008-09 2009-10 2010-11 2011-12-RE 2012-13 BE Rate yrs yrs 1 Non Plan Expenditure 608,721 721,096 818,299 892,116 969,900 8.7% 12.8% 15.1% 10.9% 11.2% 10.7% 10.0% 9.5% 1.a. Interest payments 192,204 213,093 234,022 275,618 319,759 16.0% 9.9% 12.7% 3.4% 3.3% 3.0% 3.1% 3.1% 1.b. Defence Expenditure 114,223 141,781 154,117 170,937 193,407 13.1% 13.3% 16.9% 2.0% 2.2% 2.0% 1.9% 1.9% 1.c. Subsidies 129,708 141,351 173,420 216,297 190,015 -12.2% 19.5% 32.1% 2.3% 2.2% 2.3% 2.4% 1.9% 1.d. Other Non Plan Expenditure 172,586 224,871 256,740 229,264 266,719 16.3% 11.7% 7.1% 3.1% 3.5% 3.3% 2.6% 2.6% 2 Plan expenditure 275,235 303,391 379,029 426,604 521,025 22.1% 16.1% 20.1% 4.9% 4.7% 4.9% 4.8% 5.1% 2.a. on Revenue Account 234,774 253,884 314,232 346,200 420,513 21.5% 19.1% 18.8% 4.2% 3.9% 4.1% 3.9% 4.1% 2.b. on Capital Account 40,461 49,507 64,797 80,404 100,512 25.0% 8.1% 26.4% 0.7% 0.8% 0.8% 0.9% 1.0% 3 Total Expenditure 883,956 1,024,487 1,197,328 1,318,720 1,490,925 13.1% 13.8% 16.6% 15.8% 15.9% 15.6% 14.8% 14.7% 3.a. on Revenue Account 793,798 911,809 1,040,723 1,161,940 1,286,109 10.7% 14.7% 18.2% 14.2% 14.1% 13.6% 13.0% 12.7% 3.b. on Capital Account 90,158 112,678 156,605 156,780 204,816 30.6% 8.6% 7.3% 1.6% 1.7% 2.0% 1.8% 2.0% Source: Budget documents N o t e : F i g u r e s b e l o w t h e e s t i m a t e s a r e e xp r e s s e d a s a % o f G D P T hough the budget tar gets to c ontain the c entral s ubs idies under 2 % of G DP in 2012 - 13, and br inging them down f r om the c urrent 2.4% will not be eas y. T his is bec aus e 4
  • 6. UNION BUDGET im plem entation of f ood s ec ur ity bill will alone am ount to a m inim um of 0.7% of G DP and c ould be as high as 1.5% of G DP. W e believe that the es tim ates of f ood s ubs idy m ay have a downwar d bias , as it does not inc lude s ubs idy s torage and trans port, leak age c os ts etc ( f ood s ubs idy is proj ec ted to inc reas e by only 3% in 2012 - 13, agains t a 5 year CAG R at 22.1%) Als o, the budgeted f igures f or oil s ubs idy indic ate a dec line by about 12% or Rs 24,901 c rores . H owever there has been no word on the propos ed der egulation of the s ec tor or an inc reas e in dies el pric es . W e hope that the m uc h requir ed der egulation of the petroleum s ec tor is tak en f orward in the right earnes t. T able 4: Subsidy t rends ( Rs crore and as a % of G DP) 2012-13 vis-à-vis 2011-12 growth CAGR 10 CAGR 5 2008-09 2009-10 2010-11 2011-12 RE 2012-13 BE rates Years Years 1 Total Subsidies 129,708 141,351 173,420 216,297 190,015 -12.2% 19.2% 31.9% 2.3% 2.2% 2.3% 2.4% 1.9% 1.a. Fertiliser Subsidy 76,602 61,264 62,301 67,199 60,974 -9.3% 22.3% 21.4% 1.4% 0.9% 0.8% 0.8% 0.6% 1.b. Food Subsidy 43,751 58,443 63,844 72,823 75,000 3.0% 13.0% 22.2% 0.8% 0.9% 0.8% 0.8% 0.7% 1.c. Petroleum Subsidy 2,852 14,951 38,371 68,481 43,580 -36.4% 30.4% 120.7% 0.1% 0.2% 0.5% 0.8% 0.4% 1.d. Interest Subsidies 3,493 2,686 4,680 5,791 7,968 37.6% 25.2% 19.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 1.e. Other Subsidies 3,009 4,006 4,223 2,002 2,493 24.5% -1.9% -0.8% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.02% 0.02% Source: Budget documents N o t e : F i g u r e s b e l o w t h e e s t i m a t e s a r e e xp r e s s e d a s a % o f G D P T he gros s m ar k et bor r o wings f or the year 2011 - 12 have been revis ed upwards by 22% f rom Rs 41 71 billion ( BE) to Rs 5100 billion (RE). T his f igure is f urthe r ex pec ted to go up to Rs 5696 billion in 2012- 13. Suc h a high level of borrowing will c ontinue to ex ert pres s ure on inter es t r ates . Apart f rom dated s ec urities , the G overnm ent is als o s c heduled to bor r ow Rs 900 billion through t reas ury bills . However the dec reas e in interes t rates on EPFs is an enc ouraging m ove . T able 5: G ov ernment Borrow ings (Rs crore and as a % of G DP) 2012-13 vis-à-vis 2011-12 growth CAGR 10 CAGR 5 2008-09 2009-10 2010-11 2011-12 RE 2012-13 BE rates yrs yrs Gross Market Borrowings 273,000 451,000 437,000 510,000 569,616 11.7% 16.9% 32.0% 4.9% 7.0% 5.7% 5.7% 5.6% Less repayments 39,370 52,576 111,586 73,586 90,616 23.1% 11.6% 19.3% 0.7% 0.8% 1.5% 0.8% 0.9% Net Market Borrowings 233,630 398,424 325,414 436,414 479,000 9.8% 18.1% 34.9% 4.2% 6.2% 4.2% 4.9% 4.7% Source: Budget documents N o t e : F i g u r e s b e l o w t h e e s t i m a t e s a r e e xp r e s s e d a s a % o f G D P Interes tingly, as table 6 s hows , the huge inc reas e in gros s borrowings f or the governm ent in 2012 - 13 m ay c r owd out c redit to private s ec tor. For ex am ple, the ratio of gros s bor r owings to non - f ood c r edit in 2011 - 12 was 1. 14 indic ating that f or every rupee of non- f ood c r edit , ther e is a c onc om itant borrowing of Rs 1.14 by the G overnm ent. Inter es tingly, the r atio of redem ption to gros s borrowings (indic ating f or every rupee o f G over nm ent borrowing, the am ount that is going purely to repay 5
  • 7. UNION BUDGET previous gover nm ent debt ) was 43 pais e in 2004 - 05, that had dec lined to 16 pais e in 2012- 13. By this logic , the governm ent borrowings s hould have dec lined in 2012 - 13. However, in c ontr as t, in the nex t f is c al, the m ark et borrowings will f inanc e 93% of the f is c al def ic it as c om par ed to 84% las t year. T his c learly indic ates that the G overnm ent is now bor r owing pur ely to f inanc e non - plan ex penditure, as revenue growth has dec elerated in the las t c ouple of years . T able 6: G ross borrow ings, crow ding out and redempt ion Gross Redemption Borrowing/ / Gross Non Food Market Credit Borrowings 2002-03 0.88 0.22 2003-04 1.03 0.35 2004-05 0.29 0.43 2005-06 0.37 0.27 2006-07 0.35 0.24 2007-08 0.39 0.22 2008-09 0.66 0.14 2009-10 0.97 0.12 2010-11 0.64 0.26 2011-12 1.14 0.14 2012-13 0.16 Source: Budget documents 6
  • 8. UNION BUDGET SECTOR ANALYSIS T able 7 gives us an im pac t of budget on the dif f erent s ec tors . As c an be s een f rom the table, m os t of the i s s ues whic h were in the wis h lis t have not been f ulf illed. Sec tors lik e ins uranc e, r etail, war ehous ing, environm ent & c lim ate c hange and c hem ic al are the ones wher e is s ues have not been addres s ed ex tens ively . A m ore detailed im pac t of the budget has been pr ovided below bas ed on dif f erent s ec tors . T able 7: FICCI’s Scorecard of W ish list & Budget Impact Wish-list Budget Impact Sector Not No of wishes Addressed +ve -ve Addressed Chemical 15 2 13 7 1 FMCG 6 1 5 3 1 Energy, Defense & 3 3 2 Aerospace Oil & Gas 3 3 Retail 8 8 7 Medical Devices 3 1 2 1 Technical Textiles 7 4 3 4 2 Warehousing 21 5 16 5 1 MSME 4 1 3 7 Power 8 4 4 2 Infrastructure 1 1 Homeland Security 1 ICT 3 2 Agriculture 5 5 Environment & 10 10 Climate change Textiles 8 2 6 10 Gems & Jewellery 2 2 1 3 Wellness 4 4 Health 11 3 8 5 Human Resource 7 3 4 4 2 Banking 3 3 Insurance & Pensions 4 1 3 Health Insurance 4 2 2 Microfinance 1 1 Capital Markets 7 7 Total 145 45 100 53 21 Source: FICCI Research F o o t n o t e : c o u n t s o f ‘ A d d r e s s e d ’ a n d ‘ N o t A d d r e s s e d ’ wi s h - l i s t a d d s u p t o t h e n u m b e r o f wi s h e s m a d e i n e v e r y s e c t o r . H o we v e r , c o u n t s f o r B u d g e t I m p a c t wi l l n o t a d d u p t o t h e n u m b e r s o f wi s h e s a s r e s t o f the impact are neutral 7
  • 9. UNION BUDGET Agriculture  The budget has plac ed a m aj or em phas is on agric ulture by way of announc ing right polic ies that would ens ure m ore inves tm ents in agric ulture ex tens ion, developm ent of agr i m ar k eting inf ras truc tur e, inc reas ing agri c redit availability to the f ar m er s , etc . FICCI welc om es thes e initiatives , as they will give a big pus h to agr ic ultur e gr owth  T he long s tanding dem and of FICCI that 150 per c ent weighted deduc tion of ex penditur e be ex tended to inves tm e nts m ade in the ex tens ion s ervic es has been c ons ider ed. T his is a very pos itive m ove as it will lead to m ore inves tm ents by the pr ivate s ec tor in agric ulture ex tens ion, whic h will res ult in inc r eas ing yields .  T he gover nm ent has c ons idered FICCI’s s ugges tion to ex tend interes t s ubvention f or pos t har ves t loans agains t warehous e rec eipts . T his will reduc e the dis tr es s s elling by the f arm ers .  FICCI als o welc om es the dec is ion to enhanc e the inves tm ent link ed deduc tion f or war ehous es and c old s torages to 150 per c ent. T his would attrac t large private inves tm ents in the c old c hain ac ros s the c ountry whos e dem and f ar outs tr ips the pr es ent handling c apac ity. T he enhanc ed c old c hain and war ehous ing f ac ilities would im m ens ely c ontribute to the governm ent c of f ers as thes e would r educ e hor tic ultural produc e was tages to an ex tent of 30 %. Apart, s ignif ic ant alloc ation was m ade f or inc reas ing the warehous ing c apac ity in the c ountr y.  Sever al announc em ents m ade on indirec t tax es f ront by way of reduc tion in im por t duty on f ar m equipm ent, green hous es , water s oluble f ertilizers would als o r es ult in lower input c os ts f or f arm ers .  G over nm ent’s dec is ion to s et up a c om pany to f inanc ing m inor irrigation work s and inc luding ir r igation pr oj ec ts under v iability gap f unding is an innovative as it would enc our age s ever al private c om panies to enter into the bus ines s of developing ir r igation f ac ilities .  Rs 200 c r or e f or Res earc h Rewards f or agric ultural res earc hers f or break thr oughs is yet another innovativ e polic y approac h adopted by the gover nm ent Chemicals  An es tim ated 40 % of the f r uit and vegetable produc tion in India goes was te due to lac k of s tor age, c old c hain and trans port inf ras truc ture. T o addres s thes e is s ues , dur ing 2011 - 12, approval is being given to s et up 15 m ore Mega Food Par k s . Spec ialty c hem ic als will be part of this f ac ilitation.  T o attr ac t inves tm ent in this s ec tor, henc ef orth, c apital inves tm ent in the c reation of m oder n s tor age c apac ity will be eligible f or viability gap f unding s c hem e of the Financ e Minis try. It is als o p ropos ed to rec ognize c old c hains and pos t - har ves t s tor age as an inf ras truc ture s ub - s ec tor.  In or der to give a boos t to inf ras truc ture developm ent in railways , ports , hous ing and highways developm ent, tax f ree bonds of Rs 30,000 c rores to be is s ued by var ious G over nm ent undertak ings in the year 2011 - 12. T his inc ludes Indian 8
  • 10. UNION BUDGET Railway Financ e Cor por ation Rs 10,000 c rores , National Highway Author ity of India Rs 10,000 c r or es , HUDCO Rs 5,000 c rores and Ports Rs 5,000 c rores .  Polic y ex pec ts to tak e the s hare of m anuf ac turing in G DP f rom about 16 % to 25% over a per iod of ten years . A G roup of Minis ters has been s et up to c ons ider all is s ues r elating to rec onc iliation of environm ental c onc erns em anating f r om var ious departm ental ac tivities inc luding thos e relat ed to inf r as tr uc tur e and m ining. T his G roup will als o s ugges t c hanges in the ex is ting s tatutes , r ules , r egulations and guidelines and m ak e its rec om m endations in a tim e bound m anner . T his will benef it the c hem ic al indus try als o.  W eighted deduc tion on paym ents m ade to National Laboratories , univer s ities and Ins titutes of tec hnology, f or s c ienti f ic res earc h, enhanc ed f rom 175 % to 200%.  Mic r o- ir r igation is an environm ent - f riendly and ef f ic ient m eans of irrigation es pec ially f or dr y land f ar m ing. I t is propos ed to reduc e the bas ic c us tom s duty on m ic r o- ir r igation equipm ent f rom 7.5 % to 5%. T his is an opportunity f or the Plas tic s indus tr y.  Full ex em ption f r om bas ic c us tom s duty and a c onc es s ional CVD of 1% to s team c oal f or a per iod of two years till Marc h 31, 2014 FM CG  Direc t tax : Ex em ption lim it of pers onal inc om e tax inc reas ed, will be leading to augm entation in the dis pos able inc om e: Should give s tim ulus to the dem and of FMCG pr oduc ts .  Cas c ading ef f ec t of dividend dis tribution tax rem oved: T o benef it Ind ian MNCs  G ST networ k ex pec ted to roll out by Augus t 2012: No c larity on the im plem entation tim eline.  Standar d r ate of ex c is e inc reas ed f rom 10 % to 12%, the m erit rate f rom 5 % to 6%, and the lower m er it rate f rom 1 % to 2%: c ould lead to inc reas e in the produc t pr ic e and would have inf lationary im pac t  Inc r eas e in bas ic ex c is e duty on c igarettes of m ore than 65m m length by adding an ad valor em c om ponent of 10 % to the ex is ting s pec if ic rates . T he ad valorem duty would b e c har geable on 50% of the Retail Sal e Pric e dec lared on the pac k : Pric es will inc r eas e of c igarettes m anuf ac tured dom es tic ally.  Inc r eas e in bas ic ex c is e duty on hand - rolled bidis f rom 8 to 10 per thous and and m ac hine - r olled bidis f rom 19 to 21 per thous and, however ex is ting ex em ption avail able to hand - rolled bidis f or c learanc es up to 20 lak h bidis per annum is being r etained: It is an ef f ort to gain revenue and s truc ture the unor ganis ed s ec tor . 9
  • 11. UNION BUDGET Energy, Def ense and Aerospace  T he budget has not addr es s ed any of the is s ues whic h are plaguing the growth of the pr ivate s ec tor in def enc e. No s tep is being tak en in the direc tion of c reating a level playing f ield f or the private s ec tor. Private s ec tor c ontinues to be on an uneven f ooting unable to c om petitively bid agains t the DPSUs and the O EMs owing to the is s ues s uc h as FERV, and uneven tax es and duties .  Although the gover nm ent has approved the guidelines f or es tablis hing the j oint ventur e c om panies by def enc e PSUs in PPP m ode, it c an’t be c laim ed that s etting of guidelines alone will boos t s e lf relianc e and indigenization. T he guidelines will ens ur e tr ans parenc y in s etting up of J VCs and not direc tives to DPSUs to f or m s J Vs with private s ec tor. As DPSUs ’ order book s are f ull with order s and over f lowing in s om e c as es , the intent to f orm J V in D PSUs is not ther e. Retail  Direc t tax : Ex em ption lim it inc reas ed, although a tok en inc reas e yet will be leading to augm entation in the dis pos able inc om e : Should give s tim ulus to the retail s ales  Indir ec t tax : Ser vic e tax inc reas ed f rom 10% to 12%: Foo d s ervic es retailing to have an im pac t; eating out would be ex pens ive. In addition inc reas e in s ervic e tax on r entals of c om m er c ial prem is es would lead to inc reas e in c os t f or the retailer s .  DT C def er r ed no c lar ity on G ST tim elines  Ef f or ts to c ontinue to build a c ons ens us in c ons ultation with the State gover nm ents . : No f r es h air f or m ulti - brand retailing in this res pec t  Inves tm ent link ed deduc tion of c apital ex penditure inc urred in the c old c hain bus ines s is pr opos ed to be provi ded at the enhanc ed rate of 150% , as agains t the c ur r ent r ate of 100% : W ill attrac t inves tm ent in c old c hain inf ras truc ture and im pr ovis e the s upply c hain  W eighted deduc tion of 150% on ex penditure inc urred f or agri - ex tens ion s ervic es whic h will tr ic k le down to give boos t to f ood retailing s ec tor as well  Conc es s ional im por t duty to be available f or ins tallation of Mec hanis ed Handling Sys tem s and Pallet Rac k ing Sys tem s in m andis or warehous es f or hortic ultural produc e: Mec hanis ation would lead to reduc tion in was tage M edical Dev i ces  T he im pac t of c us tom d uty reduc tion will be f ar reac hing in c utting down the c os ts of m edic al devic es and equipm ents where titanium diox ide is us ed as an input. T echnical T ext iles  T he us e of r ight m ix of f ibr e as is the trend worldwide 10
  • 12. UNION BUDGET  Lik ely to enc o ur age m anuf ac turing of tec hnic al tex tiles item s lik e bullet proof helm ets in the c ountr y and m ak ing them c om petitive  G eo- tex tiles m anuf ac tur ing will get a boos t in the c ountry if the dom es tic ally produc ed item s ar e enc our aged under the Rs 500 c rores s c hem e announc ed f or Nor th- Eas t f or applic ation of geo - tex tiles  R&D is m us t f or tec hnic al tex tiles , henc e the budget will have s alutary im pac t on the s ec tor  G reen hous e c over s c an be im ported at bas ic im port duty of 5% now as agains t 10%. May dis inc entive lo c al m anuf ac turing here  W eaving is weak link in the tex tiles value c hain and needs to be m odernis ed. Henc e, c us tom duty ex em ption on s huttles loom s will help the s ec tor in upgr ading the tec hnology W arehousing  T he pr opos al f or s etting up the national f ood Proc es s ing Mis s ion is a welc om e m ove whic h will def initely c ontribute to enhanc ed growth of the s ec tor on ac c ount of im pr oved c entr e s tate c oordination and ex ec ution of polic ies .  T he inc r eas e in ex c is e duty ac r os s c ategories ranging f rom 1 - 2% will c ontrib ute to inf lationar y pr es s ur es and we s eek a roll bac k . Sinc e the indus try is low m ar gin and high volum e the roll bac k bec om es even m ore pertinent.  Enhanc em ent in inves tm ent link ed deduc tion of c apital ex penditure towards c old c hain f ac ility, war ehous es i s a pos itive m ove towards inc entivizing f low of m oney in thes e ar eas .  Creation of 2 m illion tonnes of s torage c apac ity in the f orm of m odern s ilos has already been appr oved. Nearly 15 m illion tonnes c apac ity is being c reated under the Pr ivate Entr epr eneu r ’s G uarantee Sc hem e, of whic h 3 m illion tonnes of s tor age c apac ity will be added by the end of 2011 - 12 and 5 m i llion would be added nex t year  T he r educ tion in c us tom s duty on probiotic s and Soya protein c onc entrate and is olated s oya pr otein as well as re duc tion in ex c is e duty on all proc es s ed s oya f ood pr oduc ts , as als o the reduc tion in c onc es s ional bas ic c us tom s duty along with r educ ed ex c is e duty of 6 % on iodine, is a s tep in the right direc tion towar ds ac hieving nutr ition and health goals M SM E  Inc r eas e in Com puls or y audit lim it of s m all bus ines s will help c urtail c os t of hiring auditor s / legal ex per ts  In or der to enhanc e availability of equity to MSME s ec tor, s etting up of Rs . 5,000 c r or es India O ppor tunities Venture Fund with SIDBI is a welc om e s te p. T his will help MSMEs f unding requirem ent during their s tart- up as well as growth s tage 11
  • 13. UNION BUDGET  For the year 2012 - 13, tax - f ree bonds f or Rs . 5000 c rores were announc ed f or f inanc ing in f r as tr uc tur e pr oj ec ts f or SIDBI  In addition to 4 m ega handloom c lus ters alre ady operationalis ed, the announc em ent of two m or e m ega c lus ters , one to c over Prak as am and G untur dis tr ic ts in Andhr a Pr ades h and the other f or G odda and neighbouring dis tric ts in J har k hand is a welc om e m ove f or prom oting c lus ter developm ent f or MSMEs . Als o pr oviding as s is tanc e in s etting up of dorm itories f or wom en work ers in the 5 m ega c lus ter s r elating to handloom , power loom and leather s ec tors would inc r eas e em ploym ent opportunities f or wom en.  T he alloc ation f or Pr im e Minis ter’s Em ploym ent G eneration Program m e ( PMEG P) has been inc r eas ed by 23% f rom Rs . 1,037 c rore in 2011 - 12 to Rs . 1,276 c r or e in 2012 - 13. T his would eventually help in broadening entr epr eneur s hip bas e and thereby inc reas ing the em ploym ent opportunity in the MSME s ec tor .  In or der to pr o vide im petus to the MSME engaged in produc tion of low - c os t m edic al devic es , a r educ ti on on bas ic c us tom s duty to 2.5% with c onc es s ional CVD of 6% on s pec if ied parts , c om ponents and raw m aterials f or the m anuf ac tur e of s om e dis pos ables and ins trum ents was a nnounc ed. Als o, f ull ex em ption f r om bas ic c us tom s duty and CVD is als o being ex tended to s pec if ied raw m ater ials f or the m anuf ac ture of c oronary s tents and heart valves . T hes e c onc es s ions would be s ubj ec t to ac tual us er c ondition. T his announc em ent will help Indian m anuf ac tur er s to bring out indigenis ed produc ts at low c os t. Pow er  Fuel r ef or m s : G over nm ent’s apprec iation f or the c onc erns of power s ec tor s tak eholder s par tic ular ly pertaining to the f uel is s ues is welc om e. T he ef f orts s tar ted by PMO by m anda ting Coal India Lim ited to s ign Fuel Supply Agr eem ents ( with under tak ings having s igned the PPAs and lik ely to c om m is s ion bef or e or by Marc h 31, 2015). T hes e have been f urther enhanc ed by f ull ex em ption of bas ic c us tom s duty and a c onc es s ional CVD of 1% on s team c oal f or a per iod of 2 years till Marc h 2014. O ther f uels us ed f or power gener ation s uc h as natural gas and LNG , uranium have als o been f ully ex em pted f r om bas ic c us tom s duty. T he propos ed c ons titution of an inter - m inis ter ial gr oup to under tak e peri odic review of the alloc ated c oal m ines and m ak e r ec om m endations on de - alloc ations , if s o required is als o welc om e. T hes e m eas ur es c oupled with f ull ex em ption f rom bas ic c us tom s duty f or c oal m ining proj ec ts will c er tainly m ak e the proc es s m ore ac c ountable and hopef ully lead to greater dom es tic ex plor ation of c oal.  Financ ing Im per atives : ECBs have been allowed to part - f inanc e Rupee Debt of ex is ting power pr oj ec ts and tax - f ree bonds am ounting INR 10,000 c rores have been pr opos ed f or the power s ec tor. For t he power s ec tor, bes ides ac c es s to low c os t f unds , the Budget has als o propos ed ex tens ion of the s uns et date by one year f or power s ec tor undertak ings s o that they c an be s et up on or bef ore Mar c h 31, 2013 f or c laim ing 100% deduc tion of prof its f or 10 year s . Additional depr ec iation of 20% in the initial year is propos ed to be ex tended to new as s ets ac quir ed by power gener ation c om panies . T he dec is ion to rem ove the c as c ading ef f ec t of Dividend Dis tr ibution T ax is als o welc om e. 12
  • 14. UNION BUDGET Homeland Securit y  Ef f or ts to i nc r eas e the availability of res idential quarters to f orc es . In 2012 - 13, it is envis aged to c ons tr uc t nearly 4,000 res idential quarters f or Central Arm ed Polic e For c es f or whic h 1,185 c rore s are propos ed to be alloc ated  A pr ovis ion of 3,280 c r or es f or 2012 - 13 has als o been m ade f or c ons truc tion of of f ic e buildings inc luding land ac quis ition and barrac k s to ac c om m odate 27,000 per s onnel. T his will pr ovide better work ing environm ent and inc entive f or people to s er ve in var ious f or c es . ICT  Need to get f ur ther elabor ation on the viability gap f unding announc ed f or phone tower s .  Som e m obile phone par ts have been ex em pted f rom bas ic c us tom s duty whic h is good news  Inc r eas e in s er vic e tax will hit the end c us tom ers in telec om s ec tor, m ore s o when the indus tr y is f ac ing lots of unc ertainty  Foc us on e - enablem ent by s tres s ing on enabling e - f iling, e - paym ent of tax es , c om puter ization of c om m er c ial tax es , Creation of online platf orm s etc .  All thr ee public s ec tor O il Mark eting Com panies have launc hed LPG trans par en c y por tals to im prove c us t om er s ervic e and reduc e leak age  Mobile- bas ed s ys tem that gives all inf orm ation on f ertilizer and s ubs idies m ovem ents to be r olled out nation - wide is pos itive s tep  Us e of Aadhaar as power f ul ef f ec tive tool in ac hieving good gover nanc e and m aintaining tr ans par enc y  Endeavour to s c ale up and roll out Aadhaar enabled paym ents f or various gover nm ent s c hem es in at leas t 50 dis tric ts within nex t 6 m onths Env ironment , Climat e Change & R enew able Energy  No c hange in the ex is ting c ondition T extiles  Ex c is e duty on r eadym ade G arm ents f urther reduc ed: Ex c is e duty of 10% is applic able to br anded r eady- m ade garm ents with abatem ent of 55% f rom the Retail Sale Pr ic e. Along with inc reas e in duty to 12%, FM propos es to enhanc e the abatem ent to 70%. As res ult, the inc idenc e of duty as a perc entage of the Retail Sale Pr ic e would c om e down f rom 4.5% to 3.6%.In term s of im pac t, there would be m ar ginal benef it to tex tile c om panies in the higher end of the value c hain  Autom ated s huttle loom s ex em pted f ro m c us tom s duty: Fully ex em pt autom atic s huttle - les s loom s f r om bas ic c us tom s duty of 5% would have the pos itive im pac t on weaving indus tr y and s pec ially Denim s ec tor 13
  • 15. UNION BUDGET  Mor e Handloom c lus ter s : Setting up of two m ore handloom m ega c lus ters , one to c over Pr ak a s am and G untur dis tric ts in Andhra Prades h and other f or G odda and neighbor ing dis tr ic ts in J hark hand in addition to 4 m ega handloom c lus ters already oper ating.  T hr ee W eaver 's Ser vic e Centers one eac h in Mizoram , Nagaland and J hark hand to be s et up f or pr oviding tec hnic al s upport to poor handloom weavers  Setting up of dor m itor ies f or wom en work ers in the 5 m ega c lus ters relating to handloom , power loom and leather s ec tors  Rs 500 c r or es pilot s c hem e in twelf th plan f or prom otion and applic ation of G eo - tex tiles in the Nor th Eas t Region  Reduc tion of bas ic c us tom s duty on raw m aterials  Mega Power loom Clus ter: A Power loom Mega Clus ter will be s et up in Ic halk ar anj i in Mahar as htr a with budget alloc ation of Rs 70 c rores  Relief to Silk indus tr y: Full ex em pt ion f rom bas ic duty is being ac c orded to autom atic s ilk r eeling and proc es s ing m ac hinery as well as its parts . It is als o propos ed to r es tr ic t thes e ex em ptions and the ex is ting c onc es s ional rateof bas ic c us tom s duty of 5 % only to new tex tile m ac hinery  Sec ond- hand m ac hiner y would now attrac t bas ic duty of 7.5%  T o r educ e bas ic c us tom s duty on wool was te and wool tops f rom 15% to 5%  T o r educ e bas ic c us tom s duty on T itanium diox ide f rom 10% to 7.5% G ems & Jew ellery  Ex c is e duty s tays at 1%  Cus tom duty on G o ld and Platinum duty has been inc reas ed f rom 2% to 4%. T his will af f ec t the end us er, s inc e the duty hik e will be pas s ed on to them  Branded Silver J eweller y is ex em pted f rom ex c is e duty; as s uc h there is no branded s ilve r j eweller y available in m ark et  Cut and Polis hed c olor ed gem s s tone to attrac t bas ic c us tom duty of 2% at par with Diam onds . T his will have m arginal im pac t. Health  Inves tm ent link deduc tion of c apital ex penditure f or c ertain bus ines s es inc luding hos pitals pr opos ed to be provi ded at the enhanc ed rate of 150% whic h will inc lude hos pitals . T he m eas ure will inc rem entally inc entivize hos pital penetr ation into tier - II and tier - III c ities . However, the dem and f or ‘Inf r as tr uc tur e Status ’ has not been m et whic h would have a f ar greater im pac t on the ex pans ion of num bers of beds in T ier II - T ier III c ities . 14
  • 16. UNION BUDGET  W ithin the ex is ting lim it f or deduc tion allowed f or health ins uranc e, a deduc tion of up to Rs .5000 is being allowed f or preventive health c hec k ups . o T his would benef it the end c ons um er in a big way; the propos al would lead to m ove towar ds prevention and m anagem ent of dis eas es as als o health c ouns eling ins tead of j us t c urative healthc ar e whic h is the need of the hour o Hos pitals and s tandalone diagnos tic s c enters would benef it through s ubs tant ial additional bus ines s . o Health ins ur anc e indus try c an als o benef it indirec tly through better ris k pr of iling of c ons um ers and m ore s c ientif ic pric ing in the long run.  Alloc ation f or NRHM pr opos ed to be inc reas ed f rom Rs .18,115 c rores in 2011 - 12 to Rs .20 ,822 c r or es in 2012 - 13. o Additional f unding will pos itively im pac t various public health initiatives of the G over nm ent at the rural level.  National Ur ban Health Mis s ion is being launc hed. o T his will have a pos itive im pac t on inc luding the urban poor in the public health initiatives of the G overnm ent whic h was neglec ted until now Human Resource  G over nm ent has lar gely m is s ed out on the FICCI rec om m endations f or higher educ ation. Ex c ept f or the routine inc reas e in the f und alloc ation f or the s ec tor, ther e has not been any m aj or announc em ent m ade. In f ac t, the budget s peec h f inds no m ention of higher educ ation anywhere, thereby not giving a c lear pic tur e of the am ount alloc ated f or higher educ ation this year. Als o the m uc h awaited im pending Bills on higher educ a tion f ound no plac e in his s peec h whic h would f ur ther aggr avate the anx iety of s tak eholders , m ore s o f rom the f oreign higher educ ation pr ovider s . Higher Educat ion  G over nm ent’s pr opos al to c reate a Credit G uarantee Sc hem e f or educ ation loans thr ough bank s to ens ure better f low of c redit to des erving and m eritorious s tudents will def initely enhanc e the af f ordability of higher educ ation am ongs t the m iddle and low inc om e groups there by inc reas ing the G ER.  T o pr om ote inves tm ent in res earc h and developm ent, t he governm ent has ex tended the weighted deduc ti on of 200% f or R&D ex penditure in an in - hous e f ac ility beyond Mar c h 31, 2012 f or a period of f ive years whic h c ertainly im pac t the R&D gr owth in univer s ities and res earc h c entres .  G over nm ent’s announc em ent o f weighted deduc tion of 150% of ex penditure inc ur r ed on s k ill developm ent in m anuf ac turing s ec tor would partially help in addr es s ing s hor tage of s k illed m anpower in the m anuf ac turing s ec tor and would gener ate em ploym ent. FICCI’s initiative of s etting up Na tional Knowledge Func tional Hubs ( NKFH) f or c reating a s us tained m ec hanis m f or indus try - ac adem ia link age f oc us ing on c apital goods /m anuf ac turing will gain by 15
  • 17. UNION BUDGET attr ac ting c or por ate inves tm ent in the hub. Planning Com m is s ion is als o propos ing to integr ate thi s m odel in the 12th Plan. School Educat ion  21.7% inc r eas e in budget alloc ation ( Rs 25,555 c rores f or 2012 - 13) f or Sarva Shik s ha Abhiyan ( SSA) whic h is being c urrently im plem ented through Right to Educ ation ( RT E) would c ertainly help in m eeting the res our c e c runc h and help in inc r eas ing liter a c y level in the c ountry  T he m ention of s etting up 6000 m odel s c hools is one of the elem ents f rom las t year ’s budget. 2500 m odel s c hools to be built in PPP a f ram ework has not tak en of f due lac k of c ons ens us between t he governm ent and the private s ec tor. Henc e, ther e is an ur gent need by the governm ent to ex pedite the proc es s s o that it f r uc tif ies in the 12th Plan period  29% hik e in f und alloc ation (Rs 3124 c rores ) f or Ras htriya Madhyam ik Shik s ha Abhiyan ( RMSA) whic h was launc hed in 2009 to enhanc e ac c es s to quality s ec ondar y educ ation is a good m ove f orward to arres t s c hool dropout rate at the m iddle s c hool level. 16