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Financial Plan

Ben Fowke
Vice President and CFO




                         New York Analyst Meeting
                         December 5, 2007
Safe Harbor
This material includes forward-looking statements that are subject to
certain risks, uncertainties and assumptions. Such forward-looking
statements include projected earnings, cash flows, capital
expenditures and other statements and are identified in this document
by the words “anticipate,” “estimate,” “expect,” “projected,”
“objective,” “outlook,” “possible,” “potential” and similar
expressions. Actual results may vary materially. Factors that could
cause actual results to differ materially include, but are not limited to:
general economic conditions, including the availability of credit,
actions of rating agencies and their impact on capital expenditures;
business conditions in the energy industry; competitive factors;
unusual weather; effects of geopolitical events, including war and acts
of terrorism; changes in federal or state legislation; regulation; actions
of accounting regulatory bodies; the higher degree of risk associated
with Xcel Energy’s nonregulated businesses compared with
Xcel Energy’s regulated business; and other risk factors listed from
time to time by Xcel Energy in reports filed with the SEC, including
Exhibit 99.01 to Xcel Energy’s report on Form 10-K for year 2006.
Today’s Recap

 Strong regulatory compact
 Ability to address carbon and environmental issues
 — Geography
 — Fuel efficiency
 Willingness to address environmental issues
 Partner in public policy implementation due
 to environmental leadership
 Manageable cost increases to implement plan
 Capital investment opportunity is growing
Capital Expenditure Forecast
                               Denotes enhanced recovery mechanism
  Dollars in millions
                             2007     2008      2009      2010     2011
Base & Other                $1,080   $1,245    $1,285    $1,310    $1,300
MERP                          290       170        25        10         0
Comanche 3                    360       330        60        10         0
MN Wind Tran/CapX 2020        160        40        65       115       270
Sherco Upgrade                  5         5        20        75       230
MN Wind Generation             80       135         0         0         0
Nuclear Capacity/Life Ext      25        75       120       180       200
Fort St. Vrain CT              90       100        25         0         0
 Total Committed            $2,090   $2,100    $1,600    $1,700    $2,000
Potential Projects              0     0-100 200-400 200-400 200-500
 Range                      $2,090   $2,100-   $1,800-   $1,900-   $2,200-
                                      $2,200    $2,000    $2,100    $2,500
Potential Resource Plan Projects

 Incremental wind generation (2007–2011)
 — Estimated 600 MW
 — Ownership target > 50%
 — Potential investment up to $600 million
 Incremental natural gas generation (2007–2011)
 — Ownership target up to 100%
 — Potential investment up to $400 million
 Additional transmission (2007–2011)
 — Potential investment up to $400 million
Recovery on Capital Investment *

        Dollars in millions
2,800
                                                  $2,350
2,400
                     $2,150
          $2,090                       $2,000
                              $1,900
2,000
1,600
1,200
 800
 400
   0
           2007       2008     2009     2010      2011
   Traditional Recovery       Enhanced Recovery     Depreciation
 * Capital forecast based on middle of range
Potential Cash from Operations

         Dollars in millions
2,400

2,000

1,600

1,200

 800

 400

   0
           2007       2008     2009      2010         2011
                Net Income *   Depreciation     NOL
        * Net Income growth based on middle of range
Delivering on Rate Base Growth *

  Dollars in billions

   CAGR = 7.5%
                                                $16.9
                                        $15.7
                                $14.9
                        $14.0
             $12.8
   $11.7




    2006     2007       2008    2009    2010    2011

 * Growth based on middle of capital forecast range
Earnings Guidance Range 2007–2008

 Dollars per share
                                2007           2008
Regulated Utility           $1.51 – $1.55   $1.61 – $1.71
Holding Company                $(0.13)         $(0.16)
Earnings before PSRI/COLI   $1.38 – $1.42   $1.45 – $1.55

PSRI/COLI                      $(0.08)           –
Continuing Operations       $1.30 – $1.34   $1.45 - $1.55
Disc Ops                       $0.01             –
Total                       $1.31 – $1.35   $1.45 – $1.55
Delivering on
Dividend Growth Objective

  Annualized dividend per share
   2004–2007 CAGR = 3.5%
                                           $0.92
                                   $0.89
                           $0.86
              $0.83
    $0.75




    2003      2004         2005    2006    2007
Catalysts

 Improve earned return on equity
 Colorado electric rate case in 2009
 — Request will be based on forecast test year
 Minnesota electric rate case in 2009
 — Interim rates
 — Potential nuclear recovery mechanism
 Rate cases in smaller jurisdictions
 WYCO gas transmission pipeline
 — Operational in 2009
 — $145 million equity investment
 — Potential EPS contribution of 2 – 3 cents
   per share
Premium Utility

 Xcel Energy has the willingness and ability to reduce
 carbon, while meeting increasing customer demand
 Environmental leadership has given us credibility
 with key stakeholders and a seat at the table
 Enhanced regulatory recovery mechanisms improve
 cash flow, keeps balance sheet strong and increases
 regulatory certainty
 SPS is positioned for improved performance
 Continue to deliver on expectations
 Xcel Energy is undervalued compared to regulated
 utility peers
Attractive Value Proposition

 Low risk, fully regulated and integrated utility
 Constructive regulatory environment with enhanced
 recovery of major capital projects
 Pipeline of investment opportunities
 Environmental leader, well-positioned
 for changing rules
 Attractive Total Return
    Sustainable annual EPS growth of 5% – 7%
    with upside potential
    Strong dividend yield of ~ 4.2%
    Sustainable annual dividend growth of 2% – 4%
Appendix
Company Profile

                                               Traditional Regulation
     NSP-Minnesota         NSP-Wisconsin
                                               Operate in 8 States
    47% of net income     7% of net income
                                               Combination Utility
                                               Electric 85% of net income
                                               Gas 15% of net income
     PSCo
38% of net income                              Customers
                                               3.3 million electric
                                               1.8 million gas
            SPS                                2006 Financial Statistics
      8% of net income                         NI cont op: $548 million
                                               Assets: $22 billion
                                               GAAP ROE: 10.1%
                                               Equity ratio: 43%
    2006 EPS $1.30 continuing operations
    2007 Dividend $0.92 per share annualized
Capital Investment Opportunities *

         Dollars in millions
$2,800
                                                  Potential Projects
$2,400
                                                  Common/Other
$2,000
                                                  Nuclear Fuel
$1,600
                                                  Gas
$1,200
                                                  Elec Distribution
 $800
                                                  Elec Transmission
 $400
                                                  Elec Generation
   $0
          2007    2008     2009   2010   2011

    * Capital forecast based on middle of range
Capital Expenditures
by Operating Company *

Dollars in millions

               2007    2008     2009      2010   2011

 NSPM        $1,025    $935     $955 $1,060 $1,380
 PSCo            850    945       650      680   750
 SPS             140    170       205      180   140
 NSPW            75    100         90     80     80
 Total       $2,090 $2,150     $1,900 $2,000 $2,350


 * Capital forecast based on middle of range
Capital Expenditures by Function *

 Dollars in millions
                       2007    2008    2009   2010   2011
Elec Generation    $1,000 $935 $480 $525 $745
Elec Transmission     400    300    325    390    500
Elec Distribution     330    355    345    355    360
Gas                   115    140    155    160    155
Nuclear Fuel           90    145    150    140    105
Common/Other          155    225    145    130    135
Potential Projects      0     50    300    300    350
Total              $2,090 $2,150 $1,900 $2,000 $2,350

* Capital forecast based on middle of range
Debt Maturities

         Dollars in millions
$1,200
                                           SPS
$1,000                                     PSCo
                                           NSPW
 $800
                                           NSPM
 $600                                      Xcel Energy

 $400

 $200

   $0
         2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015


     Xcel Energy: $104 million due 11/27/2007 @ 7.50%
Senior Debt Ratings

                   Secured             Unsecured
              Fitch Moody’s S&P   Fitch Moody’s S&P
Holding Co.                       BBB+   Baa1   BBB
NSPM           A+    A2     A      A     A3     BBB
NSPW           A+    A2     A      A     A3     BBB+
PSCo           A     A3     A      A-    Baa1   BBB
SPS                               BBB+   Baa1   BBB+
2006 Rate Case Outcomes

Dollars in millions

                                             Return on Equity
                       Dollar Increase
                    Requested Granted      Requested Granted

Colorado Electric     $208        $151        11.0%       10.5%
Minnesota Electric    $156     $131/115*      11.0%       10.54%
Wisconsin Electric $53.1          $43.4       11.9%       11.0%
Colorado Gas          $34.5       $22.0       11.0%       10.5%
Wisconsin Gas          $7.8       $3.9        11.9%       11.0%

* $131 million for 2006 reduced to $115 million in 2007
  for large customer coming on-line January 1, 2007
2007 Rate Case Outcomes

Dollars in millions

                      Dollar Increase     Return on Equity
                   Requested Granted    Requested Granted

Texas Electric        $48.0    $23.0      11.6%     N/A
Colorado Gas          $41.9    $32.3      11.0%    10.25%
Minnesota Gas         $18.5    $11.9      11.0%     9.71%
North Dakota Gas       $2.8     $2.3      11.3%    10.75%
Pending Rate Cases

  Dollars in millions

                     Revenue    Requested Interim
  Jurisdiction       Request      ROE      Rate      Decision

Wisconsin Electric      $67.4     11.0%     N/A     December 2007
Wisconsin Gas            $5.3     11.0%     N/A     December 2007
New Mexico Electric $17.3         11.0%     N/A     Summer 2008
2006 Rate Base and ROE

Dollars in millions                 Weather Normalized
                        Rate Base      Earned ROE
Minnesota Electric        $3,599           10.3%
Minnesota Gas                441            6.1
North Dakota Electric        188            8.9
North Dakota Gas              44            7.5
South Dakota Electric        232           11.1
Colorado Electric          3,292            7.7
Colorado Gas               1,106            7.8
Wisconsin Electric           556           10.8
Wisconsin Gas                 77            7.4
Texas Electric               977            6.5
New Mexico Electric          311            6.2
Wholesale                    879        Not Reported
Total Rate Base           $11,702

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Xcel Energy 2007-2011 Financial Plan and Capital Forecast

  • 1. Financial Plan Ben Fowke Vice President and CFO New York Analyst Meeting December 5, 2007
  • 2. Safe Harbor This material includes forward-looking statements that are subject to certain risks, uncertainties and assumptions. Such forward-looking statements include projected earnings, cash flows, capital expenditures and other statements and are identified in this document by the words “anticipate,” “estimate,” “expect,” “projected,” “objective,” “outlook,” “possible,” “potential” and similar expressions. Actual results may vary materially. Factors that could cause actual results to differ materially include, but are not limited to: general economic conditions, including the availability of credit, actions of rating agencies and their impact on capital expenditures; business conditions in the energy industry; competitive factors; unusual weather; effects of geopolitical events, including war and acts of terrorism; changes in federal or state legislation; regulation; actions of accounting regulatory bodies; the higher degree of risk associated with Xcel Energy’s nonregulated businesses compared with Xcel Energy’s regulated business; and other risk factors listed from time to time by Xcel Energy in reports filed with the SEC, including Exhibit 99.01 to Xcel Energy’s report on Form 10-K for year 2006.
  • 3. Today’s Recap Strong regulatory compact Ability to address carbon and environmental issues — Geography — Fuel efficiency Willingness to address environmental issues Partner in public policy implementation due to environmental leadership Manageable cost increases to implement plan Capital investment opportunity is growing
  • 4. Capital Expenditure Forecast Denotes enhanced recovery mechanism Dollars in millions 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Base & Other $1,080 $1,245 $1,285 $1,310 $1,300 MERP 290 170 25 10 0 Comanche 3 360 330 60 10 0 MN Wind Tran/CapX 2020 160 40 65 115 270 Sherco Upgrade 5 5 20 75 230 MN Wind Generation 80 135 0 0 0 Nuclear Capacity/Life Ext 25 75 120 180 200 Fort St. Vrain CT 90 100 25 0 0 Total Committed $2,090 $2,100 $1,600 $1,700 $2,000 Potential Projects 0 0-100 200-400 200-400 200-500 Range $2,090 $2,100- $1,800- $1,900- $2,200- $2,200 $2,000 $2,100 $2,500
  • 5. Potential Resource Plan Projects Incremental wind generation (2007–2011) — Estimated 600 MW — Ownership target > 50% — Potential investment up to $600 million Incremental natural gas generation (2007–2011) — Ownership target up to 100% — Potential investment up to $400 million Additional transmission (2007–2011) — Potential investment up to $400 million
  • 6. Recovery on Capital Investment * Dollars in millions 2,800 $2,350 2,400 $2,150 $2,090 $2,000 $1,900 2,000 1,600 1,200 800 400 0 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Traditional Recovery Enhanced Recovery Depreciation * Capital forecast based on middle of range
  • 7. Potential Cash from Operations Dollars in millions 2,400 2,000 1,600 1,200 800 400 0 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Net Income * Depreciation NOL * Net Income growth based on middle of range
  • 8. Delivering on Rate Base Growth * Dollars in billions CAGR = 7.5% $16.9 $15.7 $14.9 $14.0 $12.8 $11.7 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 * Growth based on middle of capital forecast range
  • 9. Earnings Guidance Range 2007–2008 Dollars per share 2007 2008 Regulated Utility $1.51 – $1.55 $1.61 – $1.71 Holding Company $(0.13) $(0.16) Earnings before PSRI/COLI $1.38 – $1.42 $1.45 – $1.55 PSRI/COLI $(0.08) – Continuing Operations $1.30 – $1.34 $1.45 - $1.55 Disc Ops $0.01 – Total $1.31 – $1.35 $1.45 – $1.55
  • 10. Delivering on Dividend Growth Objective Annualized dividend per share 2004–2007 CAGR = 3.5% $0.92 $0.89 $0.86 $0.83 $0.75 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007
  • 11. Catalysts Improve earned return on equity Colorado electric rate case in 2009 — Request will be based on forecast test year Minnesota electric rate case in 2009 — Interim rates — Potential nuclear recovery mechanism Rate cases in smaller jurisdictions WYCO gas transmission pipeline — Operational in 2009 — $145 million equity investment — Potential EPS contribution of 2 – 3 cents per share
  • 12. Premium Utility Xcel Energy has the willingness and ability to reduce carbon, while meeting increasing customer demand Environmental leadership has given us credibility with key stakeholders and a seat at the table Enhanced regulatory recovery mechanisms improve cash flow, keeps balance sheet strong and increases regulatory certainty SPS is positioned for improved performance Continue to deliver on expectations Xcel Energy is undervalued compared to regulated utility peers
  • 13. Attractive Value Proposition Low risk, fully regulated and integrated utility Constructive regulatory environment with enhanced recovery of major capital projects Pipeline of investment opportunities Environmental leader, well-positioned for changing rules Attractive Total Return Sustainable annual EPS growth of 5% – 7% with upside potential Strong dividend yield of ~ 4.2% Sustainable annual dividend growth of 2% – 4%
  • 15. Company Profile Traditional Regulation NSP-Minnesota NSP-Wisconsin Operate in 8 States 47% of net income 7% of net income Combination Utility Electric 85% of net income Gas 15% of net income PSCo 38% of net income Customers 3.3 million electric 1.8 million gas SPS 2006 Financial Statistics 8% of net income NI cont op: $548 million Assets: $22 billion GAAP ROE: 10.1% Equity ratio: 43% 2006 EPS $1.30 continuing operations 2007 Dividend $0.92 per share annualized
  • 16. Capital Investment Opportunities * Dollars in millions $2,800 Potential Projects $2,400 Common/Other $2,000 Nuclear Fuel $1,600 Gas $1,200 Elec Distribution $800 Elec Transmission $400 Elec Generation $0 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 * Capital forecast based on middle of range
  • 17. Capital Expenditures by Operating Company * Dollars in millions 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 NSPM $1,025 $935 $955 $1,060 $1,380 PSCo 850 945 650 680 750 SPS 140 170 205 180 140 NSPW 75 100 90 80 80 Total $2,090 $2,150 $1,900 $2,000 $2,350 * Capital forecast based on middle of range
  • 18. Capital Expenditures by Function * Dollars in millions 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Elec Generation $1,000 $935 $480 $525 $745 Elec Transmission 400 300 325 390 500 Elec Distribution 330 355 345 355 360 Gas 115 140 155 160 155 Nuclear Fuel 90 145 150 140 105 Common/Other 155 225 145 130 135 Potential Projects 0 50 300 300 350 Total $2,090 $2,150 $1,900 $2,000 $2,350 * Capital forecast based on middle of range
  • 19. Debt Maturities Dollars in millions $1,200 SPS $1,000 PSCo NSPW $800 NSPM $600 Xcel Energy $400 $200 $0 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Xcel Energy: $104 million due 11/27/2007 @ 7.50%
  • 20. Senior Debt Ratings Secured Unsecured Fitch Moody’s S&P Fitch Moody’s S&P Holding Co. BBB+ Baa1 BBB NSPM A+ A2 A A A3 BBB NSPW A+ A2 A A A3 BBB+ PSCo A A3 A A- Baa1 BBB SPS BBB+ Baa1 BBB+
  • 21. 2006 Rate Case Outcomes Dollars in millions Return on Equity Dollar Increase Requested Granted Requested Granted Colorado Electric $208 $151 11.0% 10.5% Minnesota Electric $156 $131/115* 11.0% 10.54% Wisconsin Electric $53.1 $43.4 11.9% 11.0% Colorado Gas $34.5 $22.0 11.0% 10.5% Wisconsin Gas $7.8 $3.9 11.9% 11.0% * $131 million for 2006 reduced to $115 million in 2007 for large customer coming on-line January 1, 2007
  • 22. 2007 Rate Case Outcomes Dollars in millions Dollar Increase Return on Equity Requested Granted Requested Granted Texas Electric $48.0 $23.0 11.6% N/A Colorado Gas $41.9 $32.3 11.0% 10.25% Minnesota Gas $18.5 $11.9 11.0% 9.71% North Dakota Gas $2.8 $2.3 11.3% 10.75%
  • 23. Pending Rate Cases Dollars in millions Revenue Requested Interim Jurisdiction Request ROE Rate Decision Wisconsin Electric $67.4 11.0% N/A December 2007 Wisconsin Gas $5.3 11.0% N/A December 2007 New Mexico Electric $17.3 11.0% N/A Summer 2008
  • 24. 2006 Rate Base and ROE Dollars in millions Weather Normalized Rate Base Earned ROE Minnesota Electric $3,599 10.3% Minnesota Gas 441 6.1 North Dakota Electric 188 8.9 North Dakota Gas 44 7.5 South Dakota Electric 232 11.1 Colorado Electric 3,292 7.7 Colorado Gas 1,106 7.8 Wisconsin Electric 556 10.8 Wisconsin Gas 77 7.4 Texas Electric 977 6.5 New Mexico Electric 311 6.2 Wholesale 879 Not Reported Total Rate Base $11,702