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Corn Breeding Overview
         Ankeny Investor Field Day




          August 22, 2005
Mark Messmer, Corn Commercial Breeding Lead
           Monsanto Company
MON Corn Breeding Keys To Success
•    Structured to support
     commercial strategy
      – Multiple channels
                                                                                                                   Line Review Worksheet


•    Automating the Breeding               08_01DKD2*2/7640:@>0003.1001.
                                           Show selected lines only                                                                                                     Export
                                                                                                                   Add Filter?
                                                        Lines                                                               Nursery notes
                                                                                                        YLD % of
                                                                                                        Check
                                                                                                                            Keep      Plot Lineage
                                                                                                        Mean
                                            Select                      Pedigree                                                                                                 Trait 1 Trait 2 Trait 3 Comments
                                              x      08_01DKD2*2/7640:@>0003.1001.                        110                         14011 :@>0003.1001.4001.                          7         5        22 nice




     Process
                                                     08_01DKD2*2/7640:@>0102.1001.                         95               X        14012 :@>0003.1001.4002.                           6         6        24 better
                                                     08_01DKD2*2/7640:@>0126.1001.                         85               Breeder Comments
                                                                                                                            Advance this line into PCM1 on 6 testers
                                              x      08_01DKD2*2/7640:@>0160.1002.                        120
                                                     08_01DKD2*2/7640:@>0171.1003.                        101
                                              x      08_01DKD2*2/7640:@>0175.1002.                        105
                                                     08_01DKD2*2/7640:@>0179.1003.                         87
                                                                                                                Data             GCA          SCA                                            Checks                    Check mean
                                          Select Below and update above?
                                                              Line Data                                 Double click entry to show Set data sheet



      – Driving experimental product
                                            Select     Set        Entry            Tester       Gen       # Loc    SELIN     YLD      MST      TWT      YM      RTLP    STLP      PHT       EHT       CZ        INT     FSP   DRP       ERM
                                                      GCA                            All                   39        120      120     105       97      120              220      105       100       75         75     100              114
                                              X      C7201          5          19HGZ1            F4        13        140      250     18.5     56.3     14                15      115       53                   1      99               113
                                                     C8202         4           80IDM2            F4        13        103      229     19.1     56.7     12                2       116       44        3          4      100              114
                                              X      C8207         12           LH283            F4        13        113      226      19       57      12                1       118       42        5          4      100              115
                                                     C8101         26          :@>0003+          F3        7         132      241      18       56      13                6       112       51                   2      99               113




        numbers game                                          Rank Data                                                     Ranks             Data
                                             Set      Entry       Tester           Overall      Loc 1     Loc 2     Loc 3    Loc 4    Loc 5   Loc 6    Loc 7    Loc 8   Loc 9    Loc 10 Loc 11 Loc 12 Loc 13 Loc 14 Loc 15
                                                                                                                                                                                                              Sort by Yield Levels
                                                                Mean Yield                      140       150        160      165     170      175      180     185      190      200    210    215    300
                                           C7201       5         19HGZ1                     1    45        55        66          33    20       5        4        4       3        2         2        1          2
                                                                                                                                                                                                                        Green - Hybrid above chk m
                                           C8202       4         80IDM2                    18    50        66        33          21    30       40       5        6       7        8         2        1          3
                                                                                                                                                                                                                        Red - Hybrid below chk mea
                                           C8207       12         LH283                    16    60        12        20          30     8       8        5        4       10       12        2        8          4




•    Germplasm Diversity
                                           C7201       5         19HGZ1                     2    1         5          8          25    47       36      22        1       1        5         4        3          8
                                           C8202       4         80IDM2                     4    2         5         22          44    56       12      11        5       8        22       14        16         55
                                           C8207       12         LH283                    16    14        22        11          10     1       17      27       26       5        4         9        8          7




      – Broad and deep
•    Marker Assisted Line
     Development
      – An SOP Enhancing the
        probability of breeding success
•    Pipeline Depth
      – More improved products

2
Corn Breeding Structure
is Designed to Support Multiple
Commercial Channels
             1
         0.9

                                                                                              Linkages and
                                                               Commercial Development
         0.8
         0.7


                                                                                              Exchange of information
         0.6

                                            Line Development
         0.5


                                                                                              Are key to Success.
         0.4

                   Breeding Technology
         0.3
         0.2
         0.1
             0




                                             LINE
   New            BREEDING                                     COMMERCIAL                        CHANNEL
                                         DEVELOPMENT
Technology       TECHNOLOGY                                     BREEDING                       DEPLOYMENT
                                           Breeding


         • Marker Labs        • F1 to national • Product                                         • MON Brands




                                                                                 MANAGEMENT
         • Statistics                            Characterization
                                testing




                                                                                  PRODUCT
                                                                                                 • National Partners
         • Disease and Insect • Quality grain • Channel Tech                                     • Regional Partners
                                                 Support
                                programs
         • Winter Nurseries                                                                      • Local Partners
                                               • Testing
         • Discovery
           Breeding                            • QA/QC

                                                                       • Channel Strategy
                                                                       • Channel Needs
                                                                       • Comm Development
3
Regional Breeding Teams
Tie Breeding Functions Together


                                                     North

                                        W. Central      E. Central


                                                     South
Regional Breeding Team Objectives:
1.    Focus on most elite germplasm
2.    Maintain important germplasm types
3.    Enhance Product diversity
4.    Enhance breeder germplasm
      knowledge and info exchange
5.    Breeder synergy to identify and
      support customer needs




4
Expansive breeding and
testing geography enables
effective product identification and placement




5
State of the Art Automated
Experimental Seed Processing
Sets the Stage for Outstanding Field Data Quality




     Shelling          Grading         Waste Discard

                                                        Color Sorting




    Finished Product
                            Seed Treatment
                                                       Culls and Keeps
    Ready to Packet

6
Investment in State of the Art
Field Plot Equipment Enables Direct Mimicking
of Farmer Practices and Timing




     ~50% Increase in Plot Testing Capacity Over the Past Two Years

7
Plant Breeding:
What do we actually do?
    • Plant Breeding – is the science, art, and business
      of improving plants for human benefit.
    • Easy Description
      –   Cross good germplasm by good germplasm
      –   Generate a series of genetically different exptl. parents
      –   Pick the right tester
      –   Select the best experimental line via extensive field
          testing
    • More complicated Description
          delta(G)=1/C(0.25*k1*V(a)1.2/sqrt(V(P)1.2) + 0.25*k2*V(a)2.1/sqrt(V(P))2.1)

8
Vast germplasm
resources enable deployment
of differentiated product portfolios
        12 countries and 3 companies/country = 36 major germplasm acquisitions


                               Asgrow
                 DEKALB
                               Int’l
                 Int’l
                                   Asgrow USA
            DEKALB
            USA      Inter-company
                                    Crosses
                                                        Cargill Int’l
            Holden’s

                                               Agroceres
                       Sensako


       50% of breeding pop’n are “inter-company” crosses
9
The Dilemma:
 Germplasm Sources X Genes
     1   2   3   4   5    6     7     8    9       10


                                                        Corn has many
                                                        thousands of genes,
                                                        hundreds of which
                                                        probably affect yield

                                                        Over 3 billion different
                                                        genotypes result from
                                                        just 2 forms of each of
                                                        20 genes




                     Yield from Parent 1       Yield from Parent 2




10
Marker-Assisted Recurrent
Selection (MARS) rapidly
increases the frequency of favorable genes
  Breeder
                                                                                   1.0




                                                  F requency of F avorable G ene
                                Selection and
          Tissue                                                                   0.9

                                Recombination
          Sampling                                                                 0.8

                                                                                   0.7

                                                                                   0.6

                                                                                   0.5

                                                                                   0.4
                                        Data                                             C0    C1    C2     C3
                     Multiple
 DNA extraction                        Analysis
                      cycles                                                             Multiple cycles of MARS
                                                                                         increases the frequency
                                                                                         of favorable marker
                                                                                         alleles associated with
         Generate Marker Fingerprint
                                                                                         agronomic traits
 Genotyping
    Lab
Marker Assisted Breeding:
Sorting the Germplasm and Genes…A Vastly
Enhanced Numbers Game

       Mapping QTL position, size, and favorable parent




                         Yield from Parent 1                        Yield from Parent 2
                                                       Fr eq u en cy o f :
                 Cycle o f               A Favo r ab le                Th e Best
                 Select io n             A llele                       Gen o t yp e
                          0                       0 .5 1               2 p er t r illio n
       Start
                          1                       0 .6 2                5 p er b illio n
                          2                       0 .8 1                    1 p er 5 0 0 0
                          3                       0 .9 6                       1 in 5
       End
               *Assumes 20 independent regions and 5% selection intensity
12
Breeders Build an Optimized
Genetic Model for Every Breeding
Population and use MARS to Toward the Model

                                                            Select Traits




                                                              Quality metrics
                      Predicted Model Response



             Parental Contribution




                                                                      Data
     Data                            Decisions

                                 Identify and Select QTLs

                                                            RUBICON: Integrate
                                                            and Analyze Field
                                                            and Marker data


13
Marker Characterization
Early in the Breeding Enhances
Probability of Success Late in the Process
              Genotypic and phenotypic                X
     Year 1
                 selection of parents

                                                 Recombine
                                                   genes




                                                                          6- to 8-year process
                                                                          6- to 8-year process
           Marker
        Characterization                                                                         120,000+

                                             Select best based on
                             ted                  phenotype
                          sis ction
                       As
                    er- t Sele
                  rk
               Ma urren
                                                  Yield test
                 c
               Re

                    Years 2-6
                                                 Select best

                                                  Yield test                                     10’s
                    Year 7            Commercial product success rate <
                                               Commercialize
                                                    1%
14
Marker Assisted Breeding
 Drives Increased Genetic Gain

                              1.8
                              1.6                                                                                                   2x Improvement
     MTI value (Parent = 0)




                              1.4
                              1.2
                              1.0
                              0.8
                              0.6
                              0.4
                              0.2
                              0.0
                                             2002                          2003                          2004                       All Years
                                                                       Conventional               Markers

                                MTI = Multiple Trait Index that combines multiple traits like grain yield, grain moisture, standability, and test weight.


15
16
                                                                                                                                      85
                                                                                                                                           90
                                                                                                                                                95
                                                                                                                                                     100
                                                                                                                                                           105
                                                                                                                                                                 110
                                                                                                                                                                       115
                                                                                                                                                                                     120




                                                                      85
                                                                                   90
                                                                                          95
                                                                                               100
                                                                                                      105
                                                                                                            110
                                                                                                                  115
                                                                                                                        120
                                                                                                                                  D 40
                                                                                                                                   K4
                                                                   D 57
                                                                    K3



                                                                D C70
                                                                 K 5- 1                                                        D C 62
                                                                                                                                K 4- 6


                                                               N 50N R
                                                                A6 5 R 1
                                                                                                                               D C 44
                                                                                                                                K 4- 6
                                                                  N 50
                                                                   B5 1

                                                                                                                               D C 71
                                                                                                                                K 4- 0
                                                                  N 50
                                                                   B9 1




     Denotes YG hybrid
                                                                  N 50
                                                                   C3 1                                                          N 40
                                                                                                                                  C5 4


                                                                  N 50
                                                                   C3 5
                                                                                                                                 N 40
                                                                                                                                  C7 2

                                                                  N 50
                                                                   C3 8

                                                                                                                                 N 40
                                                                                                                                  C5 5
                                                                  N 51
                                                                   C3 0




                                MON New 2005 Commercials
                                                                                                                              N 40EA
                                                                                                                               C5 1 Z 1
                                                                                                                                                                             95 RM



                                                                  N 50
                                                                   C4 6




                                                                            105 RM
                                                                  N 50
                                                                   B4 5
                                                                                                                                 N 40
                                                                                                                                  B6 1

                                                                  N 50
                                                                   C5 2
                                                                                                                                 N 40
                                                                                                                                  B7 3
                                                                  N 50
                                                                   C6 7


                                                                                                                                 N 40
                                                                                                                                  C6 3
                                                                  N 50
                                                                   C7 2


                                                                  N 50
                                                                   C7 6                                                          N 40
                                                                                                                                  C9 2


                                                                P N6 0
                                                                 I 3 B8
                                                                  O
                                                                                                                               P N8 2
                                                                                                                                I 3 A4
                                                                                                                                 O
                                                                                                                                                                                           A full pipeline enables




                                                                P N5 5
                                                                 I 3 Y4
                                                                  O

                                                                                                                               P N8 2
                                                                                                                                I 3 A5
                                                                                                                                 O
                                                                P N5 6
                                                                 I 3 Y5
                                                                  O




                                MON 2005 PCM4s
                                                                                                                                      85
                                                                                                                                           90
                                                                                                                                                95
                                                                                                                                                     100
                                                                                                                                                           105
                                                                                                                                                                 110
                                                                                                                                                                       115
                                                                                                                                                                                     120




                                                                       85
                                                                                     90
                                                                                          95
                                                                                                100
                                                                                                      105
                                                                                                            110
                                                                                                                  115
                                                                                                                        120
                                                                                                                                                                                           continued support of growth




                                                                                                                                D C14
                                                                                                                                 K 5- 3
                                                                  DC01
                                                                   K6- 5




     MON Brand Leader hybrids
                                                                    R70
                                                                     X4
                                                                                                                                  D 57
                                                                                                                                   K3

                                                                  DC01
                                                                   K6- 9


                                                                                                                                 N 40
                                                                                                                                  B6 2
                                                                 R78 R G
                                                                  X1R/Y




                                                                   N60
                                                                    C14
                                                                                                                                 N 40
                                                                                                                                  C8 1


                                                                   N50
                                                                    C81

                                                                                                                              N 50N R
                                                                                                                               B1 1 R 1
                                                                   N50
                                                                    C82




                                                                                                                                 N 50
                                                                                                                                  C2 5
                                                                   N50
                                                                    C88
                                                                                               `




                                                                   N50
                                                                    C89
                                                                                                                                 N 50
                                                                                                                                  C2 8

                                                                   N50
                                                                    C92
                                                                                                                                                                                           via the commercial strategy (95 - 109 RM)




                                  Competitive Leader Hybrids




                                                                                                                                 N 50
                                                                                                                                  C2 9
                                                                   N50
                                                                    C93
                                                                                                                                                                         100 RM




                                                                            108-109 RM




                                                                   N50
                                                                    C97
                                                                                                                                 N 51
                                                                                                                                  C2 0


                                                                   N51
                                                                    C90

                                                                                                                                 N 50
                                                                                                                                  B1 1
                                                                 P N4 3
                                                                 I 3H1
                                                                  O




                                                                                                                               P N8 6
                                                                                                                                I 3 H7
                                                                                                                                 O
                                                                 P N4 9
                                                                 I 3M
                                                                  O   4




                                                                 P N4 9
                                                                 I 3M
                                                                  O   5

                                                                                                                               P N6 7
                                                                                                                                I 3 N0
                                                                                                                                 O

                                                                 P N3 4
                                                                 I 3N4
                                                                  O
17
             85
                                   90
                                                       95
                                                                     100
                                                                                      105
                                                                                                             110
                                                                                                                      115
                                                                                                                                                120
                                                                                                                                                               85
                                                                                                                                                                    90
                                                                                                                                                                         95
                                                                                                                                                                              100
                                                                                                                                                                                    105
                                                                                                                                                                                          110
                                                                                                                                                                                                115
                                                                                                                                                                                                                     120
                                                                                                                                                          D C01
                                                                                                                                                           K 6- 5
       D C3 0
        K 6 -5


                                                                                                                                                            R70
                                                                                                                                                             X4
       D C3 9
        K 6 -7


                                                                                                                                                          D C01
                                                                                                                                                           K 6- 9
       D C3 8
        K 6 -7

                                                                                                                                                         R78 R G
                                                                                                                                                          X1 R /Y

       D C4 0
        K 6 -1
                                                                                                                                                           N 60
                                                                                                                                                            B1 4


     N 60EA
      B62 Z 1
                                                                                                                                                           N 60
                                                                                                                                                            B1 6



        N 60
         C67                                                                                                                                               N 60
                                                                                                                                                            C0 9




                                                                                                                                                                              `
                                                                                                                                                           N 61
                                                                                                                                                            C2 0
        N 60
         C68


                                                                                                                                                           N 61
                                                                                                                                                            C2 3
        N 60
         C69




                                                                                                                                        116-117 RM
                                                                                                                                                           N 61
                                                                                                                                                            C2 4
     N 61E 1
      C 6 1 ZA

                                                                                                                                                        N 61EA
                                                                                                                                                         C2 5 Z 1
                                                                                                                                                                                                        110-112 RM




      P N1 9
       IO 3 G 8
                                                                                                                                                         P N4 3
                                                                                                                                                          I 3 H1
                                                                                                                                                           O
                                                                                                                                                                                                                           New commercial and




      P N3 3
       IO 3 D 1
                                                                                                                                                         P N4 9
                                                                                                                                                          I 3 M4
                                                                                                                                                           O



      P N3 5
       IO 3 B 1                                                                                                                                          P N4 9
                                                                                                                                                          I 3 M5
                                                                                                                                                           O




                                                                                                                                                         P N3 4
                                                                                                                                                          I 3 N4
                                                                                                                                                           O
      P N3 6
       IO 3 P 7
                                                                                                                                                                                                                           experimental products appear




                                                                                                                                                               85
                                                                                                                                                                    90
                                                                                                                                                                         95
                                                                                                                                                                              100
                                                                                                                                                                                    105
                                                                                                                                                                                          110
                                                                                                                                                                                                115
                                                                                                                                                                                                               120




                                                                                                                                                        DKC63-50

                                                                                                                                                        DKC63-79

                                                                                                                                                        DKC63-78

                                                                                                                                                        DKC64-10

                                                                                                                                                      NB6402NRR1

                                                                                                                                                      NB6504EZA1

                                                                                                                                                         NC6304

                                                                                                                                                         NC6307
                                                                     MON 2005 PCM4s



               Denotes YG hybrid




                                                                                                                                                         NC6313

                                                                                                                                                         NC6315

                                                                                                                                                         NC6403
                                                                                                                   MON Brand Leader hybrids




                                        Competitive Leader Hybrids




                                                                                                                                                         NC6407
                                                                                        MON New 2005 Commercials




                                                                                                                                                         NC6505

                                                                                                                                                         NC6509

                                                                                                                                                         NC6510
                                                                                                                                                                                                                           ready to allow growth in later RMs (110 - 117 RM)




                                                                                                                                                       PION33B50
                                                                                                                                                                                                      113-115 RM




                                                                                                                                                       PION33D31

                                                                                                                                                       PION33B51

                                                                                                                                                       PION33P67
Invention is the Best Way to Predict the Future




                                                                                                Yield

                                                                                                Test Weight

                                                                                                Total Damaged
                                                                                                Plants
                                                                                                Stay Green
                                  (5 log(pvalue) units between marks)
                                                                                                Rind
                                                                                                Penetrometer
                                                                                                Protogyny

                                                                                                Plant Height

                                                                                                Moisture

                                                                                                Intactness

                                                                                                GDU pollen
                                                                                                shed
                                                                                                Ear Height

                                                                                                Gray Leaf Spot

                                                                                                Chrom

                                                                                                Markers

18                                                                      (10 cM between marks)

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monsanto 08-23-05b

  • 1. Corn Breeding Overview Ankeny Investor Field Day August 22, 2005 Mark Messmer, Corn Commercial Breeding Lead Monsanto Company
  • 2. MON Corn Breeding Keys To Success • Structured to support commercial strategy – Multiple channels Line Review Worksheet • Automating the Breeding 08_01DKD2*2/7640:@>0003.1001. Show selected lines only Export Add Filter? Lines Nursery notes YLD % of Check Keep Plot Lineage Mean Select Pedigree Trait 1 Trait 2 Trait 3 Comments x 08_01DKD2*2/7640:@>0003.1001. 110 14011 :@>0003.1001.4001. 7 5 22 nice Process 08_01DKD2*2/7640:@>0102.1001. 95 X 14012 :@>0003.1001.4002. 6 6 24 better 08_01DKD2*2/7640:@>0126.1001. 85 Breeder Comments Advance this line into PCM1 on 6 testers x 08_01DKD2*2/7640:@>0160.1002. 120 08_01DKD2*2/7640:@>0171.1003. 101 x 08_01DKD2*2/7640:@>0175.1002. 105 08_01DKD2*2/7640:@>0179.1003. 87 Data GCA SCA Checks Check mean Select Below and update above? Line Data Double click entry to show Set data sheet – Driving experimental product Select Set Entry Tester Gen # Loc SELIN YLD MST TWT YM RTLP STLP PHT EHT CZ INT FSP DRP ERM GCA All 39 120 120 105 97 120 220 105 100 75 75 100 114 X C7201 5 19HGZ1 F4 13 140 250 18.5 56.3 14 15 115 53 1 99 113 C8202 4 80IDM2 F4 13 103 229 19.1 56.7 12 2 116 44 3 4 100 114 X C8207 12 LH283 F4 13 113 226 19 57 12 1 118 42 5 4 100 115 C8101 26 :@>0003+ F3 7 132 241 18 56 13 6 112 51 2 99 113 numbers game Rank Data Ranks Data Set Entry Tester Overall Loc 1 Loc 2 Loc 3 Loc 4 Loc 5 Loc 6 Loc 7 Loc 8 Loc 9 Loc 10 Loc 11 Loc 12 Loc 13 Loc 14 Loc 15 Sort by Yield Levels Mean Yield 140 150 160 165 170 175 180 185 190 200 210 215 300 C7201 5 19HGZ1 1 45 55 66 33 20 5 4 4 3 2 2 1 2 Green - Hybrid above chk m C8202 4 80IDM2 18 50 66 33 21 30 40 5 6 7 8 2 1 3 Red - Hybrid below chk mea C8207 12 LH283 16 60 12 20 30 8 8 5 4 10 12 2 8 4 • Germplasm Diversity C7201 5 19HGZ1 2 1 5 8 25 47 36 22 1 1 5 4 3 8 C8202 4 80IDM2 4 2 5 22 44 56 12 11 5 8 22 14 16 55 C8207 12 LH283 16 14 22 11 10 1 17 27 26 5 4 9 8 7 – Broad and deep • Marker Assisted Line Development – An SOP Enhancing the probability of breeding success • Pipeline Depth – More improved products 2
  • 3. Corn Breeding Structure is Designed to Support Multiple Commercial Channels 1 0.9 Linkages and Commercial Development 0.8 0.7 Exchange of information 0.6 Line Development 0.5 Are key to Success. 0.4 Breeding Technology 0.3 0.2 0.1 0 LINE New BREEDING COMMERCIAL CHANNEL DEVELOPMENT Technology TECHNOLOGY BREEDING DEPLOYMENT Breeding • Marker Labs • F1 to national • Product • MON Brands MANAGEMENT • Statistics Characterization testing PRODUCT • National Partners • Disease and Insect • Quality grain • Channel Tech • Regional Partners Support programs • Winter Nurseries • Local Partners • Testing • Discovery Breeding • QA/QC • Channel Strategy • Channel Needs • Comm Development 3
  • 4. Regional Breeding Teams Tie Breeding Functions Together North W. Central E. Central South Regional Breeding Team Objectives: 1. Focus on most elite germplasm 2. Maintain important germplasm types 3. Enhance Product diversity 4. Enhance breeder germplasm knowledge and info exchange 5. Breeder synergy to identify and support customer needs 4
  • 5. Expansive breeding and testing geography enables effective product identification and placement 5
  • 6. State of the Art Automated Experimental Seed Processing Sets the Stage for Outstanding Field Data Quality Shelling Grading Waste Discard Color Sorting Finished Product Seed Treatment Culls and Keeps Ready to Packet 6
  • 7. Investment in State of the Art Field Plot Equipment Enables Direct Mimicking of Farmer Practices and Timing ~50% Increase in Plot Testing Capacity Over the Past Two Years 7
  • 8. Plant Breeding: What do we actually do? • Plant Breeding – is the science, art, and business of improving plants for human benefit. • Easy Description – Cross good germplasm by good germplasm – Generate a series of genetically different exptl. parents – Pick the right tester – Select the best experimental line via extensive field testing • More complicated Description delta(G)=1/C(0.25*k1*V(a)1.2/sqrt(V(P)1.2) + 0.25*k2*V(a)2.1/sqrt(V(P))2.1) 8
  • 9. Vast germplasm resources enable deployment of differentiated product portfolios 12 countries and 3 companies/country = 36 major germplasm acquisitions Asgrow DEKALB Int’l Int’l Asgrow USA DEKALB USA Inter-company Crosses Cargill Int’l Holden’s Agroceres Sensako 50% of breeding pop’n are “inter-company” crosses 9
  • 10. The Dilemma: Germplasm Sources X Genes 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Corn has many thousands of genes, hundreds of which probably affect yield Over 3 billion different genotypes result from just 2 forms of each of 20 genes Yield from Parent 1 Yield from Parent 2 10
  • 11. Marker-Assisted Recurrent Selection (MARS) rapidly increases the frequency of favorable genes Breeder 1.0 F requency of F avorable G ene Selection and Tissue 0.9 Recombination Sampling 0.8 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.4 Data C0 C1 C2 C3 Multiple DNA extraction Analysis cycles Multiple cycles of MARS increases the frequency of favorable marker alleles associated with Generate Marker Fingerprint agronomic traits Genotyping Lab
  • 12. Marker Assisted Breeding: Sorting the Germplasm and Genes…A Vastly Enhanced Numbers Game Mapping QTL position, size, and favorable parent Yield from Parent 1 Yield from Parent 2 Fr eq u en cy o f : Cycle o f A Favo r ab le Th e Best Select io n A llele Gen o t yp e 0 0 .5 1 2 p er t r illio n Start 1 0 .6 2 5 p er b illio n 2 0 .8 1 1 p er 5 0 0 0 3 0 .9 6 1 in 5 End *Assumes 20 independent regions and 5% selection intensity 12
  • 13. Breeders Build an Optimized Genetic Model for Every Breeding Population and use MARS to Toward the Model Select Traits Quality metrics Predicted Model Response Parental Contribution Data Data Decisions Identify and Select QTLs RUBICON: Integrate and Analyze Field and Marker data 13
  • 14. Marker Characterization Early in the Breeding Enhances Probability of Success Late in the Process Genotypic and phenotypic X Year 1 selection of parents Recombine genes 6- to 8-year process 6- to 8-year process Marker Characterization 120,000+ Select best based on ted phenotype sis ction As er- t Sele rk Ma urren Yield test c Re Years 2-6 Select best Yield test 10’s Year 7 Commercial product success rate < Commercialize 1% 14
  • 15. Marker Assisted Breeding Drives Increased Genetic Gain 1.8 1.6 2x Improvement MTI value (Parent = 0) 1.4 1.2 1.0 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.0 2002 2003 2004 All Years Conventional Markers MTI = Multiple Trait Index that combines multiple traits like grain yield, grain moisture, standability, and test weight. 15
  • 16. 16 85 90 95 100 105 110 115 120 85 90 95 100 105 110 115 120 D 40 K4 D 57 K3 D C70 K 5- 1 D C 62 K 4- 6 N 50N R A6 5 R 1 D C 44 K 4- 6 N 50 B5 1 D C 71 K 4- 0 N 50 B9 1 Denotes YG hybrid N 50 C3 1 N 40 C5 4 N 50 C3 5 N 40 C7 2 N 50 C3 8 N 40 C5 5 N 51 C3 0 MON New 2005 Commercials N 40EA C5 1 Z 1 95 RM N 50 C4 6 105 RM N 50 B4 5 N 40 B6 1 N 50 C5 2 N 40 B7 3 N 50 C6 7 N 40 C6 3 N 50 C7 2 N 50 C7 6 N 40 C9 2 P N6 0 I 3 B8 O P N8 2 I 3 A4 O A full pipeline enables P N5 5 I 3 Y4 O P N8 2 I 3 A5 O P N5 6 I 3 Y5 O MON 2005 PCM4s 85 90 95 100 105 110 115 120 85 90 95 100 105 110 115 120 continued support of growth D C14 K 5- 3 DC01 K6- 5 MON Brand Leader hybrids R70 X4 D 57 K3 DC01 K6- 9 N 40 B6 2 R78 R G X1R/Y N60 C14 N 40 C8 1 N50 C81 N 50N R B1 1 R 1 N50 C82 N 50 C2 5 N50 C88 ` N50 C89 N 50 C2 8 N50 C92 via the commercial strategy (95 - 109 RM) Competitive Leader Hybrids N 50 C2 9 N50 C93 100 RM 108-109 RM N50 C97 N 51 C2 0 N51 C90 N 50 B1 1 P N4 3 I 3H1 O P N8 6 I 3 H7 O P N4 9 I 3M O 4 P N4 9 I 3M O 5 P N6 7 I 3 N0 O P N3 4 I 3N4 O
  • 17. 17 85 90 95 100 105 110 115 120 85 90 95 100 105 110 115 120 D C01 K 6- 5 D C3 0 K 6 -5 R70 X4 D C3 9 K 6 -7 D C01 K 6- 9 D C3 8 K 6 -7 R78 R G X1 R /Y D C4 0 K 6 -1 N 60 B1 4 N 60EA B62 Z 1 N 60 B1 6 N 60 C67 N 60 C0 9 ` N 61 C2 0 N 60 C68 N 61 C2 3 N 60 C69 116-117 RM N 61 C2 4 N 61E 1 C 6 1 ZA N 61EA C2 5 Z 1 110-112 RM P N1 9 IO 3 G 8 P N4 3 I 3 H1 O New commercial and P N3 3 IO 3 D 1 P N4 9 I 3 M4 O P N3 5 IO 3 B 1 P N4 9 I 3 M5 O P N3 4 I 3 N4 O P N3 6 IO 3 P 7 experimental products appear 85 90 95 100 105 110 115 120 DKC63-50 DKC63-79 DKC63-78 DKC64-10 NB6402NRR1 NB6504EZA1 NC6304 NC6307 MON 2005 PCM4s Denotes YG hybrid NC6313 NC6315 NC6403 MON Brand Leader hybrids Competitive Leader Hybrids NC6407 MON New 2005 Commercials NC6505 NC6509 NC6510 ready to allow growth in later RMs (110 - 117 RM) PION33B50 113-115 RM PION33D31 PION33B51 PION33P67
  • 18. Invention is the Best Way to Predict the Future Yield Test Weight Total Damaged Plants Stay Green (5 log(pvalue) units between marks) Rind Penetrometer Protogyny Plant Height Moisture Intactness GDU pollen shed Ear Height Gray Leaf Spot Chrom Markers 18 (10 cM between marks)