open innovation : Comment l'ouverture peut-être un atout pour l'innovation ?

•

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Francois Letellier

Présentation faite à la matinée open-source, ARDI numérique, 2008, Grenoble. www.flet.fr

Tecnología Educación

Open Source /
Open Innovation
Modèles économiques hybrides et
innovation autour de l'open source

© François LETELLIER 13 novembre 2008

Free software
≠
freeware
© François LETELLIER 13 novembre 2008

Free / Libre / Open Source

R. Stallman

E. Raymond

© François LETELLIER 13 novembre 2008

Toutes les licences LL/OS sont copyleftées

Contamination générale

Obligation de redistribuer / de publier

Interdiction d'une activité commerciale
© François LETELLIER 13 novembre 2008

The FLOSS code base has been
doubling every 18-24 mnths over
the past 8 yrs and this growth is
projected to continue for several
more years

Study on the economic impact of OSS on innovation and the competitiveness os the information and
communication technologies (ICT) sector in the EU, 2006, UNU-MERIT, NL

© François LETELLIER 13 novembre 2008

2010
Mainstream IT shops will
consider open source for 80% of
their infrastructure software
needs
Mainstream IT shops will
consider open source for 25% of
their business software needs
Source: Mark Driver, Gartner Research VP, The Gartner Application
Development Summit, Sept 2005

© François LETELLIER 13 novembre 2008

The existing base of quality FLOSS
applications would cost firms about
12 Billion Euros to reproduce
internally

Study on the economic impact of OSS on innovation and the competitiveness os the information and
communication technologies (ICT) sector in the EU, 2006, UNU-MERIT, NL

© François LETELLIER 13 novembre 2008

Source Forge
500 top projects New technology N. for a platform Existing techno.

New market Radical innovation 1% <1%

Existing market <1% 10% No innov. 87%

Source: Innovativeness of open source software projects, K. Klincewicz 2005

© François LETELLIER 13 novembre 2008

03 06
20 2 0

2004

TELOCIM

TELOSYS AJAX FRAMEWORK
1994

ASK Corp. 1990
<1980 Relational Technology Inc. /
Ingres Corp. 1980

© François LETELLIER 13 novembre 2008

(business intelligence)

Bonita, Shark
Funambol eXo P.

eXo Platform

(workflow, orchestr.)
XWiki

(portal & CMS)
(mobile sync.)

SpagoBI

(wiki, blogs)
Sync4j

XWiki
Eclipse Engineering Bull Eclipse
Web TP SOA TP

Iona EBM WS
Bull
JOnAS Celtix/Petals
(J2EE appserv) (ESB, JBI)
INRIA INRIA
EMIC Bull US
ProActive JOTM Tél.
France C-JDBC
Tribe (Grid) P6
Univ (transactions)
JAC Speedo (RDBMS clust.)
Together
(group comm.) Scalagent
(AOP) Orbeon
(JDO persist.)
INRIA/FT OPS
Octopus FT JORAM XQuare
Fractal (ETL) ASM (JMS, MOM) XQuare (XML pipelines)
(component mod) (codebyte man.) (XML rewriting)
© François LETELLIER 13 novembre 2008

Prix d'équilibre
= zéro
Modèle concurentiel Banalisation
déséquilibré
Open Source

© François LETELLIER 13 novembre 2008

 Windows XP : 450 €  Linux : 0€
 Pack Office : 700 €  OpenOffice : 0€
 PhotoShop : 1100 €  Gimp : 0€
 WebLogic : $ 10000  JOnAS : 0€
(par processeur)
 Oracle (/cpu) : $ 40000  PostgreSQL : 0 €
 ...  ...

© François LETELLIER 13 novembre 2008

 43rd R+D spending company worldwide
 Fortune 211 (2006), $ 11B revenue

NFS
 Don't make money on IP
 Sell the rest

 [TM]

© François LETELLIER 13 novembre 2008

FLOSS potentially saves the
industry 36%+ in software R&D
investment that can result in
increased profits or be more usefully
spent in further innovation

Study on the economic impact of OSS on innovation and the competitiveness os the information and
communication technologies (ICT) sector in the EU, 2006, UNU-MERIT, NL

© François LETELLIER 13 novembre 2008

2012

80% of all commercial
software will include
OSS elements

Source: Gartner Key Predictions for IT Organisations and Users in 2008
and Beyond, January 2008

© François LETELLIER 13 novembre 2008

Microsoft Abandons IE 8

© François LETELLIER 13 novembre 2008

“Il n'y a pas de modèle
d'affaires pour le
logiciel libre !”

© François LETELLIER 13 novembre 2008

The OSS related economy
represents 565,000 jobs and 263
Billion Euros in annual revenues
(2006)

Study on the economic impact of OSS on innovation and the competitiveness os the information and
communication technologies (ICT) sector in the EU, 2006, UNU-MERIT, NL

© François LETELLIER 13 novembre 2008

 $ 91B revenue
 #1 in number of US patents granted/y
 $ 1B/y FOSS investment (2002)

© François LETELLIER 13 novembre 2008

Produit: le code open source
Prix: zero
Promotion: aucune
Place: online, un point c'est tout

© François LETELLIER 13 novembre 2008

 Support and services tied to open source
 Aggregating and enhancing
 Commercialize with dual licenses
 Bait and hook
 Selling added value complements
 Subsystems level lock-in
 SaaS, Infoware

< insert your own here >
© François LETELLIER 13 novembre 2008

Fenêtres d'opportunité

Emerging Commoditized
Opportunities

Adoption

© François LETELLIER 13 novembre 2008

Obsolète
Sans intérêt
Sans marché
Sans communauté

Trash in, trash out

© François LETELLIER 13 novembre 2008

Source : Duane Elmer's Cross-Cultural Connections (Downers Grove: InterVarsity Press, 2002),

© François LETELLIER 13 novembre 2008

N.I.H
N.S.H
© François LETELLIER 13 novembre 2008

“The Power of Collaborative
Innovation is the answer to all the
big global challenges we are facing”

Tony Blair
World Economic Forum
Davos, Janvier 2008

© François LETELLIER 13 novembre 2008

fl@flet.fr

www.flet.fr

© François LETELLIER 13 novembre 2008

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open innovation : Comment l'ouverture peut-être un atout pour l'innovation ?

1. Open Source / Open Innovation Modèles économiques hybrides et innovation autour de l'open source © François LETELLIER 13 novembre 2008

5. Toutes les licences LL/OS sont copyleftées Contamination générale Obligation de redistribuer / de publier Interdiction d'une activité commerciale © François LETELLIER 13 novembre 2008

6. The FLOSS code base has been doubling every 18-24 mnths over the past 8 yrs and this growth is projected to continue for several more years Study on the economic impact of OSS on innovation and the competitiveness os the information and communication technologies (ICT) sector in the EU, 2006, UNU-MERIT, NL © François LETELLIER 13 novembre 2008

8. 2010 Mainstream IT shops will consider open source for 80% of their infrastructure software needs Mainstream IT shops will consider open source for 25% of their business software needs Source: Mark Driver, Gartner Research VP, The Gartner Application Development Summit, Sept 2005 © François LETELLIER 13 novembre 2008

9. The existing base of quality FLOSS applications would cost firms about 12 Billion Euros to reproduce internally Study on the economic impact of OSS on innovation and the competitiveness os the information and communication technologies (ICT) sector in the EU, 2006, UNU-MERIT, NL © François LETELLIER 13 novembre 2008

10. Source Forge 500 top projects New technology N. for a platform Existing techno. New market Radical innovation 1% <1% Existing market <1% 10% No innov. 87% Source: Innovativeness of open source software projects, K. Klincewicz 2005 © François LETELLIER 13 novembre 2008

14. 03 06 20 2 0 2004 TELOCIM TELOSYS AJAX FRAMEWORK 1994 ASK Corp. 1990 <1980 Relational Technology Inc. / Ingres Corp. 1980 © François LETELLIER 13 novembre 2008

16. (business intelligence) Bonita, Shark Funambol eXo P. eXo Platform (workflow, orchestr.) XWiki (portal & CMS) (mobile sync.) SpagoBI (wiki, blogs) Sync4j XWiki Eclipse Engineering Bull Eclipse Web TP SOA TP Iona EBM WS Bull JOnAS Celtix/Petals (J2EE appserv) (ESB, JBI) INRIA INRIA EMIC Bull US ProActive JOTM Tél. France C-JDBC Tribe (Grid) P6 Univ (transactions) JAC Speedo (RDBMS clust.) Together (group comm.) Scalagent (AOP) Orbeon (JDO persist.) INRIA/FT OPS Octopus FT JORAM XQuare Fractal (ETL) ASM (JMS, MOM) XQuare (XML pipelines) (component mod) (codebyte man.) (XML rewriting) © François LETELLIER 13 novembre 2008

18. Prix d'équilibre = zéro Modèle concurentiel Banalisation déséquilibré Open Source © François LETELLIER 13 novembre 2008

19.  Windows XP : 450 €  Linux : 0€  Pack Office : 700 €  OpenOffice : 0€  PhotoShop : 1100 €  Gimp : 0€  WebLogic : $ 10000  JOnAS : 0€ (par processeur)  Oracle (/cpu) : $ 40000  PostgreSQL : 0 €  ...  ... © François LETELLIER 13 novembre 2008

20.  43rd R+D spending company worldwide  Fortune 211 (2006), $ 11B revenue NFS  Don't make money on IP  Sell the rest  [TM] © François LETELLIER 13 novembre 2008

21. FLOSS potentially saves the industry 36%+ in software R&D investment that can result in increased profits or be more usefully spent in further innovation Study on the economic impact of OSS on innovation and the competitiveness os the information and communication technologies (ICT) sector in the EU, 2006, UNU-MERIT, NL © François LETELLIER 13 novembre 2008

22. 2012 80% of all commercial software will include OSS elements Source: Gartner Key Predictions for IT Organisations and Users in 2008 and Beyond, January 2008 © François LETELLIER 13 novembre 2008

25. The OSS related economy represents 565,000 jobs and 263 Billion Euros in annual revenues (2006) Study on the economic impact of OSS on innovation and the competitiveness os the information and communication technologies (ICT) sector in the EU, 2006, UNU-MERIT, NL © François LETELLIER 13 novembre 2008

26.  $ 91B revenue  #1 in number of US patents granted/y  $ 1B/y FOSS investment (2002) © François LETELLIER 13 novembre 2008

27. Produit: le code open source Prix: zero Promotion: aucune Place: online, un point c'est tout © François LETELLIER 13 novembre 2008

28.  Support and services tied to open source  Aggregating and enhancing  Commercialize with dual licenses  Bait and hook  Selling added value complements  Subsystems level lock-in  SaaS, Infoware < insert your own here > © François LETELLIER 13 novembre 2008

31. Source : Duane Elmer's Cross-Cultural Connections (Downers Grove: InterVarsity Press, 2002), © François LETELLIER 13 novembre 2008

34. “The Power of Collaborative Innovation is the answer to all the big global challenges we are facing” Tony Blair World Economic Forum Davos, Janvier 2008 © François LETELLIER 13 novembre 2008

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