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E-Commerce
   in Russia

      Study
    insights
Russian IT in English
        • East-West Digital News is the first
        international information resource
        dedicated to Russian IT industries.
        • Topics covered: Internet, e-commerce,
        e-marketing; Mobile & telecom; Digital
        TV; Software, hardware and other
        innovation; Startups and investors; Legal
        background; Industry events…
        • A finely tuned combination of news
        materials, interviews, professional
        analysis, market data and in-depth
        studies.
About the study

"E-Commerce in Russia" is the
first international study offering:
• Comprehensive and precise
market data
• Trend analysis with mid and
long term forecasts
• Deep analysis and insights on
regional e-commerce
• Full coverage of local aspects
of operations, from marketing to
payment, fulfillment, HR and
consumer rights issues.
Study contents




• 10 chapters

• 150 pages

• Date of issue:
      April 2012
Participating experts

The study is offered by
East-West Digital News,
Data Insight and Moscow’s
Higher School of                                  The University of Telecommunications
                                                  and Informatics of the Volga Region

Economics.                                        (Samara)




Also participating are
experts from leading
Russian and international
consultancies, universities,
media and specialized                                                     The Public
                                                                          Opinion
providers                      MARCHMONT
                                Innovation News
                                                  Oborot.ru               Foundation
Participating companies
Participating companies
Study insights


Market data
& trend forecasts
Market data & Trend forecasts
     Europe’s leading Internet market

In September 2011, Russia overtook
Germany as Europe’s largest Internet
market by number of users


                                              80
                         60
     50                                     million
   million             million


 Monthly users        Monthly users   Russian speaking Internet
 15+ in Russia        12+ in Russia    users (Russia + aborad)
Market data & Trend forecasts
             Europe’s leading Internet market
    Russian Internet penetration expected to
    double in the next 15 years!

Internet
penetration
trend in Russia,
1995-2045
                                             2012


Source: A. Davydov,
Sociology Institute
of the Russian Academy
of Sciences
Market data & Trend forecasts
    Russian e-commerce today

• In 2011, the Russian online
retail market amounted to              $8     $10
R.310 bn, or approximately
                                       bn      bn
$10 bn, including ticketing and
couponing, up 25% from 2010.           2010   2011


                   • 16.3 million people made
                   online purchases over a six
                   month-period, out of 54 million
                   Internet users
Market data & Trend forecasts
     Russian e-commerce today
Market size and growth rates 2011*: International comparisons




      (*) Growth rates 2011 / 2010 – Sources: Data Insight (Russia), Forrester (Brazil, USA),
                 Netcomm (Italy), CRR (market size UK), IMRG (growth rate UK),
Market data & Trend forecasts
            Russian e-commerce today
     Online share of retail trade 2011: An international comparison




Online as a percentage of retail sales – Sources: Data Insight, EWDN (Russia), Retailresearch.org (other countries)
Market data & Trend forecasts
              Russian e-commerce today



What Russian
online shoppers
bought in August
2011

(Percentage of poll
respondents who made
online purchases)


Poll conducted by the Public
Opinion Foundation (FOM)
in large Russian cities
Market data & Trend forecasts
            Russian e-commerce today



Top product
categories by
turnover in 2011
(in billion rubles)




Source: Insales
Market data & Trend forecasts
              Market size 2010-2015

                                                     $100
Included:
• Physical goods
• Ticketing
                                              $40     to
                                                     $150
• Couponing
Not included:                                  to
• Virtual goods
                                              $60     bn
• B2B
                                  $23          bn
                                  $23
                                   to
                                  $30
                                   bn
                   $10             bn
  $8 bn            bn
                                                     Long term
  2010             2011            2015       2020    potential
Market data & Trend forecasts
            Growth drivers 2012-2015: More shoppers
                The potential market growth in Moscow and St.
13.9            Petersburg in terms of new shoppers is reaching its
million         natural limit. Most new shoppers will come from the
                Russian regions, typically recent Internet users from
 2010           larger cities making initial online purchases.
    16.3             Number and proportion
                      of online shoppers by
    million        recency of Internet usage
                         in the capitals and
                                 the regions
     2011

               28.3
              million

                    2015
Market data & Trend forecasts
     Other growth drivers 2012-2015

• More diversified offerings, more active
shoppers: purchases in a larger number of
product categories
• More diversified offerings, more experienced
shoppers: more frequent purchases
• Higher per capita revenues, more diversified
offerings, more experienced shoppers: higher
average order value
Market data & Trend forecasts
Growth drivers 2012-2015


                                Forecast of drivers of Russian
                                e-commerce, 2012-2015:

                                   Higher average order value
                                   Higher per capita revenues
                                   More diversified purchases
                                   New Internet users
                                   New Internet shoppers
Market data & Trend forecasts
     Mid and long term growth drivers

$30 billion in 2020 = just 5% of Russia’s total
retail market. Further strong growth will be fuelled
mainly by such structural factors as:
• Fulfilment infrastructure reaching maturity: With
reduced delivery costs, the scope of e-commerce
will extend to cheaper product categories
• E-signature and online payments becoming more
popular: mass demand for dematerialized
products such as insurance and tour package
offers
Study insights


Social commerce
Social commerce
          Social networks in Russia

                                • Russian Internet users are
                                highly engaged in social
   Vkontakte: Over 150 m
accounts, 26 m monthly users*   networking: 9.8 hours per month
                                (compare with UK: 7.3, Spain: 5, world
                                average: 4.5)**
 Odnoklassniki: Over 100 m
 accounts, 21 m active users*   • Vkontakte #1 among 3 dominant
                                players
                                • Facebook, Twitter and
     MoiMir: 20 m users*
                                Foursquare lag behind as
                                latecomers on the Russian market
         Facebook:              Sources:
       5 m active users         * TNS Russia, Dec. 2011   ** Comscore, Aug. 2010
Social commerce
        The gray face of Russian social commerce

  In November 2011, over 150 Vkontakte groups
  counted over 100,000 users, generating mostly
  informal and undeclared exchanges


Number of informal
Commercial groups
   on Vkontakte.ru
Social commerce
A variety of initiatives (2010-2011)
      • Vkontakte Search by product, a joint project with Ozon.ru
      with a monthly turnover ranging in hundred thousand USD.*
      • Zhelannye Podarki (Welcome Gifts), a social gifting
      application on Odnoklassniki attracting 12 million users in the
      first 3 months (2010); Clone Giftofini launched on Facebook for
      Turkish users
      • Odnoklassniki Shopping club, with up to 20,000 daily users
      and a 4,000 ruble / $129 average order value
      • Online offer catalog Glavmarket launched on Odnoklassniki
      and Vkontakte
      • Groupon deal for exclusive association with Odnoklassniki
      • Sony integrates shop with Vkontakte
      • Jizo social application for air tickets on Facebook
      • Social commerce enabler Ecwid and marketplace Magazinga
      launched in 2010 and 2011, respectively
      *The project was stopped in late 2011 following new legislation for online payments, but
      Ozon launched a social commerce application on Facebook.
Social commerce
           Perspectives
• Putting aside some brilliant successes, sales volumes are not
significant yet*, but growing very fast
• Informal social commerce groups to become legal entities
as means of managing large scale operations more efficiently
• Vkontakte and Odnoklassniki to integrate new payment
instruments, including virtual currencies, bank cards, and Qiwi…
• Major retailers to launch or re-launch social shopping sites
as adequate payment systems are made available
•Thematic aggregators to appear as social apps in
corresponding groups
* In late 2011, most retailers generated just a few thousand US dollars monthly in sales through
Magazinga’s social marketplace.
Study insights


Cash based
e-commerce
Payments: Cash-based e-commerce
A variety of payment methods
Payments: Cash-based e-commerce
           Bank cards still under-utilized


  Use of bank
     cards on
some Russian
  e-commerce
         sites

 (as of late 2011
    – early 2012)




                    * The difference between Svyaznoy.ru and Wildberries.ru could be explained by the fact that Svyaznoy
                    has made payments by bank card available not only online, but also during delivery, with couriers
                    equipped with bank card payment terminals.
Payments: Cash-based e-commerce
      Bank cards: Both customers and
      merchants are reluctant

• On the customer’s side:
  - Lack of trust in bank cards
  - Objectively more rational to pay cash on delivery
  - Bank cards not that easy to use: account balance
  of debit cards, pre-authorization required, card
  information cannot be stored on sites
• On the merchant’s side: high commission fees and
related costs; some merchants favor alternative
payment methods
Payments: Cash-based e-commerce
Perspectives
  • Cash will remain the main payment method for physical
  goods in the foreseeable future.
  • Offline electronic payment terminals (e.g. Qiwi) will remain
  popular essentially for services or virtual goods.
  • Bank cards will be used more and more for services, virtual
  goods, and e-content, while integrating further with other
  systems (e.g. Qiwi+Visa).
  • E-currencies are likely to develop further mainly for goods
  and services at lower price points.
  • Mobile payments, with commission fees now suitable for e-
  commerce, could develop for goods and services at lower
  price points.
  • Recurring payments, now emerging, could become an
  option for certain businesses.
Study insights


HR: The most painful
bottleneck?
HR: The most painful bottleneck?

“Perhaps just a hundred people in the country
have a thorough understanding of e-commerce
processes.”

"Most job applicants are people with limited
skills who write nice resumes and demand
extravagant salaries.”

“Well trained e-commerce professionals
coming out of the Russian educational system?
Are you kidding? Next question, please.”
                           (From interviewed companies)
HR: The most painful bottleneck?
      Labor shortages: Affected positions

Skilled labor shortages affect almost all functions:




                                               Source:
                                               EWDN interviews, 2011
HR: The most painful bottleneck?
      Demand exceeds supply . . .
• Growing demand
   - More and more pure players
   - More and more online projects from offline players
• Educational offer still weak
   - Young, competent teaching staff attracted to corporate sector
   - Internet sphere still too young to attract serious attention
   - Difficulty in staying up to date on rapidly evolving issues & trends
   - Universities trying to fill the gap still insufficiently known or
   appreciated by market players
• Insufficient applicant experience
   - Small ecosystem with few experienced people on the market (e.g.
   marketing agencies)
   - Many in labor force not prepared to work in startups after experience
   in large corporations
HR: The most painful bottleneck?
           High salaries
    • Salaries significantly higher than in most
    Western cities
    • Salary levels strongly affected by well financed
    startups hiring hundreds of people and Internet
    groups after IPOs

 Current average
  monthly salary
range in Moscow
    e-commerce
      companies
 Source: EWDN interviews,
 NESS Group, 2011 - 2012
HR: The most painful bottleneck?
       Solutions
• Finding people
   - Hire people from close offline fields       Most appreciated
   - Hire inexperienced people and train them      work perks
   - Hire foreign specialists (cons: language
   barrier, Russian market specificities,
   expatriation costs)

• Motivating people
   - Stock options (rare in Russian companies)
   - Bonuses / KPIs
   - Attractive career perspectives
   - Motivating project (especially for
   programmers)                                     Source: SuperJob
   - Human environment (team, management)           online poll, 2011.

   - Non material advantages (“Y generation”)
Thank you for your attention!

The study will be available in May 2012,
based mainly on 2011 data.

To receive a free Executive summary
or order the full version, please contact us
at editor@ewdn.com

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East West Digital News - E-commerce in Russia

  • 1. E-Commerce in Russia Study insights
  • 2. Russian IT in English • East-West Digital News is the first international information resource dedicated to Russian IT industries. • Topics covered: Internet, e-commerce, e-marketing; Mobile & telecom; Digital TV; Software, hardware and other innovation; Startups and investors; Legal background; Industry events… • A finely tuned combination of news materials, interviews, professional analysis, market data and in-depth studies.
  • 3. About the study "E-Commerce in Russia" is the first international study offering: • Comprehensive and precise market data • Trend analysis with mid and long term forecasts • Deep analysis and insights on regional e-commerce • Full coverage of local aspects of operations, from marketing to payment, fulfillment, HR and consumer rights issues.
  • 4. Study contents • 10 chapters • 150 pages • Date of issue: April 2012
  • 5. Participating experts The study is offered by East-West Digital News, Data Insight and Moscow’s Higher School of The University of Telecommunications and Informatics of the Volga Region Economics. (Samara) Also participating are experts from leading Russian and international consultancies, universities, media and specialized The Public Opinion providers MARCHMONT Innovation News Oborot.ru Foundation
  • 9. Market data & Trend forecasts Europe’s leading Internet market In September 2011, Russia overtook Germany as Europe’s largest Internet market by number of users 80 60 50 million million million Monthly users Monthly users Russian speaking Internet 15+ in Russia 12+ in Russia users (Russia + aborad)
  • 10. Market data & Trend forecasts Europe’s leading Internet market Russian Internet penetration expected to double in the next 15 years! Internet penetration trend in Russia, 1995-2045 2012 Source: A. Davydov, Sociology Institute of the Russian Academy of Sciences
  • 11. Market data & Trend forecasts Russian e-commerce today • In 2011, the Russian online retail market amounted to $8 $10 R.310 bn, or approximately bn bn $10 bn, including ticketing and couponing, up 25% from 2010. 2010 2011 • 16.3 million people made online purchases over a six month-period, out of 54 million Internet users
  • 12. Market data & Trend forecasts Russian e-commerce today Market size and growth rates 2011*: International comparisons (*) Growth rates 2011 / 2010 – Sources: Data Insight (Russia), Forrester (Brazil, USA), Netcomm (Italy), CRR (market size UK), IMRG (growth rate UK),
  • 13. Market data & Trend forecasts Russian e-commerce today Online share of retail trade 2011: An international comparison Online as a percentage of retail sales – Sources: Data Insight, EWDN (Russia), Retailresearch.org (other countries)
  • 14. Market data & Trend forecasts Russian e-commerce today What Russian online shoppers bought in August 2011 (Percentage of poll respondents who made online purchases) Poll conducted by the Public Opinion Foundation (FOM) in large Russian cities
  • 15. Market data & Trend forecasts Russian e-commerce today Top product categories by turnover in 2011 (in billion rubles) Source: Insales
  • 16. Market data & Trend forecasts Market size 2010-2015 $100 Included: • Physical goods • Ticketing $40 to $150 • Couponing Not included: to • Virtual goods $60 bn • B2B $23 bn $23 to $30 bn $10 bn $8 bn bn Long term 2010 2011 2015 2020 potential
  • 17. Market data & Trend forecasts Growth drivers 2012-2015: More shoppers The potential market growth in Moscow and St. 13.9 Petersburg in terms of new shoppers is reaching its million natural limit. Most new shoppers will come from the Russian regions, typically recent Internet users from 2010 larger cities making initial online purchases. 16.3 Number and proportion of online shoppers by million recency of Internet usage in the capitals and the regions 2011 28.3 million 2015
  • 18. Market data & Trend forecasts Other growth drivers 2012-2015 • More diversified offerings, more active shoppers: purchases in a larger number of product categories • More diversified offerings, more experienced shoppers: more frequent purchases • Higher per capita revenues, more diversified offerings, more experienced shoppers: higher average order value
  • 19. Market data & Trend forecasts Growth drivers 2012-2015 Forecast of drivers of Russian e-commerce, 2012-2015: Higher average order value Higher per capita revenues More diversified purchases New Internet users New Internet shoppers
  • 20. Market data & Trend forecasts Mid and long term growth drivers $30 billion in 2020 = just 5% of Russia’s total retail market. Further strong growth will be fuelled mainly by such structural factors as: • Fulfilment infrastructure reaching maturity: With reduced delivery costs, the scope of e-commerce will extend to cheaper product categories • E-signature and online payments becoming more popular: mass demand for dematerialized products such as insurance and tour package offers
  • 22. Social commerce Social networks in Russia • Russian Internet users are highly engaged in social Vkontakte: Over 150 m accounts, 26 m monthly users* networking: 9.8 hours per month (compare with UK: 7.3, Spain: 5, world average: 4.5)** Odnoklassniki: Over 100 m accounts, 21 m active users* • Vkontakte #1 among 3 dominant players • Facebook, Twitter and MoiMir: 20 m users* Foursquare lag behind as latecomers on the Russian market Facebook: Sources: 5 m active users * TNS Russia, Dec. 2011 ** Comscore, Aug. 2010
  • 23. Social commerce The gray face of Russian social commerce In November 2011, over 150 Vkontakte groups counted over 100,000 users, generating mostly informal and undeclared exchanges Number of informal Commercial groups on Vkontakte.ru
  • 24. Social commerce A variety of initiatives (2010-2011) • Vkontakte Search by product, a joint project with Ozon.ru with a monthly turnover ranging in hundred thousand USD.* • Zhelannye Podarki (Welcome Gifts), a social gifting application on Odnoklassniki attracting 12 million users in the first 3 months (2010); Clone Giftofini launched on Facebook for Turkish users • Odnoklassniki Shopping club, with up to 20,000 daily users and a 4,000 ruble / $129 average order value • Online offer catalog Glavmarket launched on Odnoklassniki and Vkontakte • Groupon deal for exclusive association with Odnoklassniki • Sony integrates shop with Vkontakte • Jizo social application for air tickets on Facebook • Social commerce enabler Ecwid and marketplace Magazinga launched in 2010 and 2011, respectively *The project was stopped in late 2011 following new legislation for online payments, but Ozon launched a social commerce application on Facebook.
  • 25. Social commerce Perspectives • Putting aside some brilliant successes, sales volumes are not significant yet*, but growing very fast • Informal social commerce groups to become legal entities as means of managing large scale operations more efficiently • Vkontakte and Odnoklassniki to integrate new payment instruments, including virtual currencies, bank cards, and Qiwi… • Major retailers to launch or re-launch social shopping sites as adequate payment systems are made available •Thematic aggregators to appear as social apps in corresponding groups * In late 2011, most retailers generated just a few thousand US dollars monthly in sales through Magazinga’s social marketplace.
  • 27. Payments: Cash-based e-commerce A variety of payment methods
  • 28. Payments: Cash-based e-commerce Bank cards still under-utilized Use of bank cards on some Russian e-commerce sites (as of late 2011 – early 2012) * The difference between Svyaznoy.ru and Wildberries.ru could be explained by the fact that Svyaznoy has made payments by bank card available not only online, but also during delivery, with couriers equipped with bank card payment terminals.
  • 29. Payments: Cash-based e-commerce Bank cards: Both customers and merchants are reluctant • On the customer’s side: - Lack of trust in bank cards - Objectively more rational to pay cash on delivery - Bank cards not that easy to use: account balance of debit cards, pre-authorization required, card information cannot be stored on sites • On the merchant’s side: high commission fees and related costs; some merchants favor alternative payment methods
  • 30. Payments: Cash-based e-commerce Perspectives • Cash will remain the main payment method for physical goods in the foreseeable future. • Offline electronic payment terminals (e.g. Qiwi) will remain popular essentially for services or virtual goods. • Bank cards will be used more and more for services, virtual goods, and e-content, while integrating further with other systems (e.g. Qiwi+Visa). • E-currencies are likely to develop further mainly for goods and services at lower price points. • Mobile payments, with commission fees now suitable for e- commerce, could develop for goods and services at lower price points. • Recurring payments, now emerging, could become an option for certain businesses.
  • 31. Study insights HR: The most painful bottleneck?
  • 32. HR: The most painful bottleneck? “Perhaps just a hundred people in the country have a thorough understanding of e-commerce processes.” "Most job applicants are people with limited skills who write nice resumes and demand extravagant salaries.” “Well trained e-commerce professionals coming out of the Russian educational system? Are you kidding? Next question, please.” (From interviewed companies)
  • 33. HR: The most painful bottleneck? Labor shortages: Affected positions Skilled labor shortages affect almost all functions: Source: EWDN interviews, 2011
  • 34. HR: The most painful bottleneck? Demand exceeds supply . . . • Growing demand - More and more pure players - More and more online projects from offline players • Educational offer still weak - Young, competent teaching staff attracted to corporate sector - Internet sphere still too young to attract serious attention - Difficulty in staying up to date on rapidly evolving issues & trends - Universities trying to fill the gap still insufficiently known or appreciated by market players • Insufficient applicant experience - Small ecosystem with few experienced people on the market (e.g. marketing agencies) - Many in labor force not prepared to work in startups after experience in large corporations
  • 35. HR: The most painful bottleneck? High salaries • Salaries significantly higher than in most Western cities • Salary levels strongly affected by well financed startups hiring hundreds of people and Internet groups after IPOs Current average monthly salary range in Moscow e-commerce companies Source: EWDN interviews, NESS Group, 2011 - 2012
  • 36. HR: The most painful bottleneck? Solutions • Finding people - Hire people from close offline fields Most appreciated - Hire inexperienced people and train them work perks - Hire foreign specialists (cons: language barrier, Russian market specificities, expatriation costs) • Motivating people - Stock options (rare in Russian companies) - Bonuses / KPIs - Attractive career perspectives - Motivating project (especially for programmers) Source: SuperJob - Human environment (team, management) online poll, 2011. - Non material advantages (“Y generation”)
  • 37. Thank you for your attention! The study will be available in May 2012, based mainly on 2011 data. To receive a free Executive summary or order the full version, please contact us at editor@ewdn.com