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Chapter 25
!

Production
and
Growth
Saudi Arabia Energy
Consumption
Buying
Production
Selling	


Today

2030?

Future
U.S. Energy
Production
Selling
Consumption
Buying	


Today

2030?

Future
Subsidize Petrol?
Price

Too much 	

and 	

too cheap

Supply - Market
Supply - Subsidize

Pm
Ps

Qm Qs

Demand
Quantity
Profit attracts Innovation
Innovation drops
cost	

allowing price to 	

also drop

Price

Innovation

Innovation

Innovation

Innovation

Price
Cost
Time
Whales to 747s
ideas	

technology	

methods	


Intellectual

Human

trust	

knowledge	

skills	

personality	

health	

relationships	


Entrepreneur

money and risk	

savers and borrowers
time is money	


Culture
	

Financial

(1+r)n	


insurance  
limited liability corporations	


	


Physical

natural resources	

time	

buildings	

equipment	

things than make things
Productivity
Output	

divided by
Input
How do we go 	

from this...

to this?
1800
Population

2010

one billion seven billion

Change
7x

Life Expectancy

26 years

66 years

40 +

GDP Per Capita Per Day

$3

$30

10 x
GDP 	

Per Capita
GDP: $70,000,000,000,000
Population: 7,000,000,000	

GDP Per Capita: $10,000
Source:
https://www.google.com.sa/publicdata/explore?
ds=d5bncppjof8f9_&met_y=ny_gdp_mktp_cd&tdim=true&dl=en&hl=en&q=world%20gdp#!
ctype=l&strail=false&bcs=d&nselm=h&met_y=ny_gdp_pcap_cd&scale_y=lin&ind_y=false&rdim=region&ifdim=regi
on&tdim=true&hl=en_US&dl=en&ind=false
Rates
and
Compounding
Linear
versus
Exponential
Linear versus Exponential	

Adding versus Compounding
64

64

^

56
48
40
32

32

24
16

16

8
0 2
1

+

4

2

8
6

8

3

4

10

5

12

6
Rule of 70s	

Years to Double
70 	

divided by 	

the rate of growth

70	

Rate of Growth
Rate
1%
2%

Years to
Double
70 ÷ 1 = 70
70 ÷ 2 = 35

Size in 	

70 years?
2x
4x

3%

70 ÷ 3 = 23.3

8x

4%
5%

70 ÷ 4 = 17.5
70 ÷ 5 = 14

16 x
32 x
Why do 	

Standards of Living
differ?
One word
!

Productivity
Productivity
Better at
making stuff
What is Wealth?
What people want
What is Capital?
Anything that helps you
create wealth
Five Types of Capital
Cultural
Human
Physical
Intellectual
Financial
Cultural
Capital
Worldview
Political
Legal
Economic
Cultural Capital
How people
view and treat other
people
!

Expectations
Cultural Capital
Property Rights	

Rule of Law	

Political Stability
No peace ... No prosperity
Lady	

Justice
Weight of the
evidence	

versus	

Status of the
parties
Human
Capital
I look for three things in
hiring people.
!

The first is personal
integrity, the second is
intelligence, and the third
is a high energy level.
!

But of you don’t have the
first, the other two will kill
you.

!

- Warren Buffett, CEO,
Berkshire Hathaway
Trust
Integrity
Competence
Human Capital
Trust
Knowledge and Skills
Health and Nutrition
Social Relationships
Health & Nutrition
Physical Capital
Two types
Tools
Natural Resources
Water, Oil, Minerals
Physical Capital
Tools we use to make stuff
!

Natural Resources
Renewable
Non-renewable
!
Intellectual Capital
Technology
How the world works
How we make
smart things and make
things smart
Research and
Development
Patent System	

20 Year Monopoly on
your idea
Intellectual Capital

Human Capital
Financial Capital
Money
!

Allows us to store
labor and shift time
Spend or Save?
Savings	

versus 	

Consumption
Three Steps
Save instead of consume	

Investment in new capital	

Increase productivity
Capital Allocation

Right capital at the right time
Innovation - Productivity
Continuous Innovation
Education
Each year in school
adds 10 percent to
income	

!

Invest versus consume
Population Growth
More people	

Smaller slices
GDP

GDP 	

per capita

Grow the pie
faster than
population
Population Growth
A smaller slice
of a larger pie
is bigger than a
larger slice of
a smaller pie
How you
slice the pie

Culture
determines
the size of
the pie
!
U.S. Farmers	

1800 - 90 percent	

1900 - 45 percent
U.S. Farmers	

2012 - 2 percent
Productivity Growth
More people	

More ideas	

More innovation	

More wealth
Quiz	

1. What are the five types of capital?	

2. What is global GDP per capita?	

3. If a country is growing at 5 percent,
how long will it take to double GDP?	

4. What is productivity?	

5. Name two types of physical capital.

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Eco 202 ch 25 production and costs