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Labor Market Information/LMI: How to Demystify Labor Market & Economic Statistics Tuesday, June 29, 2010 Presentation by Gary Crossley to the IAWP 97 th  Educational Conference 2Work www.LovetoWork.org [email_address] Phone -- 843/452-4121
The Secret Behind the LMI Magic ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Outline ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Education ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
BLS Core Programs ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
BLS Cooperative Programs ,[object Object]
Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Data Sources for QCEW ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Uses of QCEW Data ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
BLS Cooperative Programs ,[object Object]
Information from CES ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
CES/QCEW Coverage Differences ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Data Sources for CES ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Uses of CES ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
BLS Cooperative Programs ,[object Object],[object Object]
Information from LAUS ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
LAUS Source Information ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
BLS Cooperative Programs ,[object Object]
Information from MLS ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Background Material -BLS  Statistical Programs  ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
BLS Cooperative Programs ,[object Object]
Information from OES ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
OES Staffing Estimates ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
State and Area Occupational Projections   ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Cheat Sheet   BLS  Program Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages CES -- Current  Employment Survey LAUS -- Local Area  Unemployment Statistics MLS -- Mass Layoff  Statistics OES -- Occupational  Employment Statistics Other titles Wage Record Monthly Employment Unemployment Rate Labor Force Data Mass Layoffs Wages by Job Title Frequency Quarterly Monthly Monthly Monthly Previously once a year.  Data now gathered in May  and November Sample No, universe of all  businesses that are  required to report Yes,  firms in sample are  based on the QCEW  universe. No, Composite model  which uses as one of the  inputs responses from the  Current Population Survey,  a household survey that  measures the national  unemployment rate. No, universe of all  businesses that have a  qualifying event. Yes,  firms in sample are  based on the ES-202  universe. Measures Quarterly report of all  employment and firms  (Industry and Employment) Indicator of rapid changes  in employment available on  a monthly basis (Industry,  Employment and  Manufacturing Production  Workers wages).  Is used  for industrial projections. Consistent measure of  available, able and actively  seeking work for all  counties (Unemployment  Rate) Shows the demographic  characteristics of those  involved in a mass layoff.  Definition of mass layoff  event varies by state. Occupational data by  Industry, geographic area  as well as wage data.  Is a  component for projections. Time Lag Not available until 5 months  after the end of the quarter Usually, 6 weeks. Usually, 6 weeks. Usually, 6 weeks. Approximately one year,  should be shorter with new  reporting method. Updates? Of the data, rarely Preliminary data, then  revised.  Benchmarked at  the end of the year Benchmarked at the end of  the year Of the data, rarely Uses the ECI (Employment  Cost Index) to bring data up- to-date Geography Subject to rules of  confidentiality.  May include  county, metropolitan areas  and state Subject to rules of  confidentiality. Metropolitan  areas and state County, metropolitan areas  and state.  In addition, the  different counties in an area  can be added together to  create Labor Market Areas. Subject to rules of  confidentiality.  In some  states, county,  metropolitan areas and  state data are available. Subject to rules of  confidentiality. Metropolitan  areas and state are  available.  In addition, each  state may produce four sub- areas. Comparison of Bureau of Labor Statistics Programs done in Labor Market Information Shops
Census ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Employment Dynamics ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
On The Map for Custom Areas ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
LMI Training Institute ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
LMI Concepts & Definitions ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Unadjusted Data
Seasonally Adjusted Data
Data Collection ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Labor Market Concepts ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Labor Force Terms and Concepts ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Labor Force Terms and Concepts ,[object Object],[object Object]
Labor Force Terms and Concepts ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Labor Force Terms and Concepts ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Alternative Unemployment Measures ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Application & Assessment ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
LMI Matters ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Communication ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Help Each Other ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Solutions ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Industries Occupations ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Geographic Areas ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
DataExplained.com ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Deep Water Horizon Rig Employment Off-Shore Moratorium The economic impact of shutting down a deep water drilling rig is no doubt massively expensive. But employment impact is different. As a benchmark, the employment on the BP rig was  126 persons . It is reported that wages average about 100k per year for those workers. However, I could not find that person anywhere, except in the management ranks according to  National OES  data! Furthermore, most if not all support workers, according to the  BLS , make less than 1/2 that unsubstantiated amount. Interestingly, as soon as we get into a multiplier discussion, the numbers start off ridiculously high and go up from there.  But a multiplier over two is not reasonable or supported in any research and especially not in this case.  One primary reason is the service nature of the JOBS we are talking about, NOT the industry multipliers.
LMI Resources ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Summary ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Labor Market Information/LMI: How to Demystify Labor Market & Economic Statistics Questions and State Sharing 2Work www.LovetoWork.org [email_address] Phone -- 843/452-4121

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Lmi Demystify62910

  • 1. Labor Market Information/LMI: How to Demystify Labor Market & Economic Statistics Tuesday, June 29, 2010 Presentation by Gary Crossley to the IAWP 97 th Educational Conference 2Work www.LovetoWork.org [email_address] Phone -- 843/452-4121
  • 2.
  • 3.
  • 4.
  • 5.
  • 6.
  • 7.
  • 8.
  • 9.
  • 10.
  • 11.
  • 12.
  • 13.
  • 14.
  • 15.
  • 16.
  • 17.
  • 18.
  • 19.
  • 20.
  • 21.
  • 22.
  • 23.
  • 24.
  • 25. Cheat Sheet BLS Program Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages CES -- Current Employment Survey LAUS -- Local Area Unemployment Statistics MLS -- Mass Layoff Statistics OES -- Occupational Employment Statistics Other titles Wage Record Monthly Employment Unemployment Rate Labor Force Data Mass Layoffs Wages by Job Title Frequency Quarterly Monthly Monthly Monthly Previously once a year. Data now gathered in May and November Sample No, universe of all businesses that are required to report Yes, firms in sample are based on the QCEW universe. No, Composite model which uses as one of the inputs responses from the Current Population Survey, a household survey that measures the national unemployment rate. No, universe of all businesses that have a qualifying event. Yes, firms in sample are based on the ES-202 universe. Measures Quarterly report of all employment and firms (Industry and Employment) Indicator of rapid changes in employment available on a monthly basis (Industry, Employment and Manufacturing Production Workers wages). Is used for industrial projections. Consistent measure of available, able and actively seeking work for all counties (Unemployment Rate) Shows the demographic characteristics of those involved in a mass layoff. Definition of mass layoff event varies by state. Occupational data by Industry, geographic area as well as wage data. Is a component for projections. Time Lag Not available until 5 months after the end of the quarter Usually, 6 weeks. Usually, 6 weeks. Usually, 6 weeks. Approximately one year, should be shorter with new reporting method. Updates? Of the data, rarely Preliminary data, then revised. Benchmarked at the end of the year Benchmarked at the end of the year Of the data, rarely Uses the ECI (Employment Cost Index) to bring data up- to-date Geography Subject to rules of confidentiality. May include county, metropolitan areas and state Subject to rules of confidentiality. Metropolitan areas and state County, metropolitan areas and state. In addition, the different counties in an area can be added together to create Labor Market Areas. Subject to rules of confidentiality. In some states, county, metropolitan areas and state data are available. Subject to rules of confidentiality. Metropolitan areas and state are available. In addition, each state may produce four sub- areas. Comparison of Bureau of Labor Statistics Programs done in Labor Market Information Shops
  • 26.
  • 27.
  • 28.
  • 29.
  • 30.
  • 33.
  • 34.
  • 35.
  • 36.
  • 37.
  • 38.
  • 39.
  • 40.
  • 41.
  • 42.
  • 43.
  • 44.
  • 45.
  • 46.
  • 47. Deep Water Horizon Rig Employment Off-Shore Moratorium The economic impact of shutting down a deep water drilling rig is no doubt massively expensive. But employment impact is different. As a benchmark, the employment on the BP rig was 126 persons . It is reported that wages average about 100k per year for those workers. However, I could not find that person anywhere, except in the management ranks according to  National OES data! Furthermore, most if not all support workers, according to the BLS , make less than 1/2 that unsubstantiated amount. Interestingly, as soon as we get into a multiplier discussion, the numbers start off ridiculously high and go up from there.  But a multiplier over two is not reasonable or supported in any research and especially not in this case.  One primary reason is the service nature of the JOBS we are talking about, NOT the industry multipliers.
  • 48.
  • 49.
  • 50. Labor Market Information/LMI: How to Demystify Labor Market & Economic Statistics Questions and State Sharing 2Work www.LovetoWork.org [email_address] Phone -- 843/452-4121