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Welcome to the Bubble: Understanding the Silicon Valley Ecosystem
- 1. Understanding The Silicon Valley Ecosystem Draft 20120903 Gary A. Bolles Co-founder, eParachute, Inc. A Talk for Auckland University of Technology
- 2. Startups ◦ Communications, enterprise applications, education+work Media Past Clients ◦ 6 tech magazines HP Cisco Events Nokia ◦ Custom & new Google United Nations Strategy consulting London Business School
- 3. How does the ecosystem work? How are the people flowing? How is the money flowing? What’s hot and what’s not?
- 4. U.S. Venture Investment Activity 2Q2012
- 5. EDUCATION Mentors Research/IP CAPITAL Engineering & Science ORGANIZATIONS Angels ECONOMY Super-Angels Small institutionals Market Large institutionals ENTRE- Buy early Tech Industry Banks PRENEURSSTART- Buy later Large acquirers Investment banks UPS Employee bases PRODUCTS INFRASTRUCTURE CULTURE ENVIRON- Communications POLICY Tolerance for failure Transport Intellectual Property Reward for innovation MENT Hubs Investment Meritocracy Services Immigration Consultants Mergers & acquisitions Public markets
- 6. EDUCATION Mentors Research/IP CAPITAL Engineering & Science ORGANIZATIONS Angels ECONOMY Super-Angels Small institutionals Market Large institutionals ENTRE- Buy early Tech Industry Banks PRENEURSSTART- Buy later Large acquirers Investment banks UPS Employee bases PRODUCTS INFRASTRUCTURE CULTURE ENVIRON- Communications POLICY Tolerance for failure Transport Intellectual Property Reward for innovation MENT Hubs Investment Meritocracy Services Immigration Consultants Mergers & acquisitions Public markets
- 7. June 2011
- 8. Idea Prototype MVP First Customers Initial Growth What Market Viability Money Appears Breakout Growth When? Market Dominance
- 9. That Was Then… Friends & Family Idea Angels Prototype This is an over- simplification, Super-Angels MVP but for purposes of Small Institutionals First Customers illustration… Large Institutionals Initial Growth Mid-stage Capital Market Viability Later-stage Capital Breakout Growth Public Markets Market Dominance
- 10. …This Is Now Friends & Family Idea Prototype Angels MVP Super-Angels First Customers Small Institutionals Initial Growth Large Institutionals Market Viability Mid-stage Capital Breakout Growth Later-stage Capital Market Dominance Public Markets
- 11. …This Is Now Friends & Family Idea Launchpads Prototype Angels MVP Super-Angels First Customers Small Institutionals Initial Growth Large Institutionals Market Viability Mid-stage Capital Breakout Growth Later-stage Capital Market Dominance Public Markets
- 12. Y Combinator 500 Startups TechStars AngelPad Kicklabs Founder Institute I/O Ventures Plug & Play Dogpatch Lab The Hub …and many more
- 13. Low-cost infrastructure ◦ Barrier-to-entry nears zero Launchpads can be efficient ◦ One of the ramifications of “Abundance” Social spread fuels adoption ◦ Never easier to create a brand more rapidly – or to destroy it IPO>M&A>Acqui-Hire ◦ Human resource is the scarce commodity Pure, large-scale venture model is widely regard as broken ◦ Too much money chasing too few exits
- 14. Cloud Mobile Social Security Big Data Quantified Self
- 15. “The lean startup” rules • Agile everything The social and business graphs are well- established; treat them as infrastructure • LinkedIn, Facebook, Twitter, Google+ Market traction resolves risk • Established business model in a large market
- 16. What happens if the bar continues to lower? What happens if the global economy picks up? What happens if the amount of available capital increases?
- 17. ?
Notas del editor
- http://genelu.com/2011/06/beware-of-infauxgraphics/